DARK
Darkwoods · Robinhood · gru_s3
- token id
- #795
- symbol
- DARK
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xdc45b71d7203c2e8baafc43a19bca0eb993bb54e
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2023-11-23
- predictions
- 456
Track record at +1d
assessed
149
of 152 predictions shown
direction hit
61.1%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1005
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0017
actual -0.0378
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.001307 | 0.001303 | -0.28% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.000949 | 0.000939679 | -0.98% | 0.001307 | +37.72% | 0.3329 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.001397 | 0.001393 | -0.27% | 0.000949 | -32.07% | 0.3974 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.001845 | 0.001838 | -0.38% | 0.001397 | -24.26% | 0.2720 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.002037 | 0.002028 | -0.45% | 0.001845 | -9.45% | 0.1024 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-08-04 | oos | 0.002796 | 0.002785 | -0.42% | – | pending | – | – | 3.62 |
| 2025-08-03 | oos | 0.00239 | 0.002385 | -0.17% | 0.002796 | +17.03% | 0.1338 | ✗ | 3.45 |
| 2025-08-02 | oos | 0.002305 | 0.002302 | -0.14% | 0.00239 | +3.67% | 0.0133 | ✓ | 3.43 |
| 2025-08-01 | oos | 0.002374 | 0.00237 | -0.19% | 0.002305 | -2.91% | 0.0065 | ✓ | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-31 | oos | 0.002516 | 0.002511 | -0.20% | 0.002374 | -5.64% | 0.0218 | ✗ | 3.55 |
| 2025-07-30 | oos | 0.002592 | 0.002588 | -0.17% | 0.002516 | -2.93% | 0.0363 | ✗ | 3.63 |
| 2025-07-29 | oos | 0.00286 | 0.002853 | -0.23% | 0.002592 | -9.37% | 0.0931 | ✓ | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-28 | oos | 0.003153 | 0.003143 | -0.32% | 0.00286 | -9.29% | 0.0904 | ✓ | 3.38 |
| 2025-07-27 | oos | 0.003054 | 0.003046 | -0.26% | 0.003153 | +3.24% | 0.0748 | ✗ | 3.44 |
| 2025-07-26 | oos | 0.002947 | 0.002939 | -0.28% | 0.003054 | +3.63% | 0.0036 | ✓ | 3.34 |
| 2025-07-25 | oos | 0.003035 | 0.003025 | -0.33% | 0.002947 | -2.90% | 0.0358 | ✓ | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-24 | oos | 0.003066 | 0.003056 | -0.33% | 0.003035 | -1.01% | 0.0148 | ✗ | 3.35 |
| 2025-07-23 | oos | 0.003233 | 0.00322 | -0.40% | 0.003066 | -5.17% | 0.0376 | ✓ | 3.29 |
| 2025-07-22 | oos | 0.003309 | 0.003294 | -0.44% | 0.003233 | -2.30% | 0.0150 | ✗ | 3.32 |
| 2025-07-21 | oos | 0.003192 | 0.003175 | -0.53% | 0.003309 | +3.67% | 0.0313 | ✓ | 3.32 |
| 2025-07-20 | oos | 0.002797 | 0.002787 | -0.37% | 0.003192 | +14.12% | 0.1314 | ✗ | 4.40 |
| 2025-07-19 | oos | 0.002741 | 0.002732 | -0.32% | 0.002797 | +2.04% | 0.0440 | ✗ | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-18 | oos | 0.002851 | 0.002841 | -0.35% | 0.002741 | -3.86% | 0.0321 | ✓ | 4.05 |
| 2025-07-17 | oos | 0.002938 | 0.002927 | -0.37% | 0.002851 | -2.96% | 0.0165 | ✗ | 4.07 |
| 2025-07-16 | oos | 0.002999 | 0.002986 | -0.44% | 0.002938 | -2.03% | 0.0361 | ✓ | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-15 | oos | 0.002946 | 0.002934 | -0.42% | 0.002999 | +1.80% | 0.0085 | ✓ | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-14 | oos | 0.002694 | 0.002688 | -0.22% | 0.002946 | +9.35% | 0.1648 | ✗ | 4.17 |
| 2025-07-13 | oos | 0.002897 | 0.002888 | -0.32% | 0.002694 | -7.01% | 0.0951 | ✓ | 4.18 |
| 2025-07-12 | oos | 0.003098 | 0.003084 | -0.46% | 0.002897 | -6.49% | 0.1215 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-11 | oos | 0.003358 | 0.003334 | -0.71% | 0.003098 | -7.74% | 0.0695 | ✓ | 4.20 |
| 2025-07-10 | oos | 0.003002 | 0.002987 | -0.51% | 0.003358 | +11.86% | 0.0618 | ✗ | 4.17 |
| 2025-07-09 | oos | 0.002724 | 0.002716 | -0.29% | 0.003002 | +10.21% | 0.0762 | ✓ | 4.22 |
| 2025-07-08 | oos | 0.002578 | 0.002576 | -0.09% | 0.002724 | +5.66% | 0.0329 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-07 | oos | 0.002644 | 0.002642 | -0.06% | 0.002578 | -2.50% | 0.0513 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-06 | oos | 0.002814 | 0.002809 | -0.18% | 0.002644 | -6.04% | 0.0237 | ✓ | 4.22 |
| 2025-07-05 | oos | 0.002657 | 0.002659 | +0.07% | 0.002814 | +5.91% | 0.0192 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-04 | oos | 0.002586 | 0.002593 | +0.26% | 0.002657 | +2.75% | 0.0160 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-03 | oos | 0.002754 | 0.002758 | +0.14% | 0.002586 | -6.10% | 0.0020 | ✗ | 4.24 |
| 2025-07-02 | oos | 0.002885 | 0.002889 | +0.13% | 0.002754 | -4.54% | 0.0766 | ✗ | 4.24 |
| 2025-07-01 | oos | 0.002573 | 0.00259 | +0.66% | 0.002885 | +12.13% | 0.0166 | ✗ | 4.21 |
| 2025-06-30 | oos | 0.003278 | 0.003278 | +0.00% | 0.002573 | -21.51% | 0.1858 | ✗ | 4.11 |
| 2025-06-29 | oos | 0.003167 | 0.003172 | +0.17% | 0.003278 | +3.50% | 0.0798 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-28 | oos | 0.002957 | 0.002973 | +0.53% | 0.003167 | +7.10% | 0.0234 | ✓ | 4.17 |
| 2025-06-27 | oos | 0.003523 | 0.003525 | +0.06% | 0.002957 | -16.07% | 0.1851 | ✗ | 4.16 |
| 2025-06-26 | oos | 0.004013 | 0.004 | -0.32% | 0.003523 | -12.21% | 0.1302 | ✓ | 4.15 |
| 2025-06-25 | oos | 0.004036 | 0.004025 | -0.26% | 0.004013 | -0.57% | 0.0113 | ✗ | 4.17 |
| 2025-06-24 | oos | 0.004267 | 0.004251 | -0.38% | 0.004036 | -5.41% | 0.1012 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-23 | oos | 0.004368 | 0.004351 | -0.38% | 0.004267 | -2.31% | 0.0481 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-22 | oos | 0.004004 | 0.004013 | +0.22% | 0.004368 | +9.09% | 0.0985 | ✗ | 4.28 |
| 2025-06-21 | oos | 0.003983 | 0.003995 | +0.31% | 0.004004 | +0.53% | 0.0519 | ✓ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-20 | oos | 0.004445 | 0.004444 | -0.03% | 0.003983 | -10.39% | 0.0606 | ✓ | 4.33 |
| 2025-06-19 | oos | 0.004911 | 0.004892 | -0.39% | 0.004445 | -9.49% | 0.0393 | ✓ | 4.33 |
| 2025-06-18 | oos | 0.005086 | 0.005063 | -0.46% | 0.004911 | -3.44% | 0.0204 | ✓ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-17 | oos | 0.005041 | 0.005025 | -0.31% | 0.005086 | +0.89% | 0.0015 | ✓ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-16 | oos | 0.005281 | 0.005256 | -0.48% | 0.005041 | -4.54% | 0.0536 | ✗ | 4.45 |
| 2025-06-15 | oos | 0.005917 | 0.005864 | -0.90% | 0.005281 | -10.75% | 0.1578 | ✓ | 4.50 |
| 2025-06-14 | oos | 0.006217 | 0.006145 | -1.16% | 0.005917 | -4.83% | 0.0435 | ✓ | 4.50 |
| 2025-06-13 | oos | 0.005012 | 0.00502 | +0.15% | 0.006217 | +24.04% | 0.2424 | ✓ | 4.64 |
| 2025-06-12 | oos | 0.005304 | 0.005307 | +0.06% | 0.005012 | -5.51% | 0.0745 | ✗ | 4.64 |
| 2025-06-11 | oos | 0.006633 | 0.006559 | -1.11% | 0.005304 | -20.04% | 0.0868 | ✓ | 4.57 |
| 2025-06-10 | oos | 0.005894 | 0.005876 | -0.31% | 0.006633 | +12.54% | 0.1929 | ✗ | 4.81 |
| 2025-06-09 | oos | 0.006098 | 0.006079 | -0.32% | 0.005894 | -3.35% | 0.0308 | ✓ | 4.82 |
| 2025-06-08 | oos | 0.005929 | 0.005938 | +0.15% | 0.006098 | +2.85% | 0.1852 | ✗ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-07 | oos | 0.005997 | 0.006014 | +0.28% | 0.005929 | -1.13% | 0.0222 | ✗ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-06 | oos | 0.005891 | 0.005924 | +0.57% | 0.005997 | +1.80% | 0.0467 | ✗ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-05 | oos | 0.005238 | 0.005299 | +1.16% | 0.005891 | +12.47% | 0.0318 | ✗ | 5.02 |
| 2025-06-04 | oos | 0.00631 | 0.006355 | +0.72% | 0.005238 | -16.99% | 0.0368 | ✗ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-03 | oos | 0.00767 | 0.007669 | -0.01% | 0.00631 | -17.73% | 0.1621 | ✓ | 5.00 |
| 2025-06-02 | oos | 0.007135 | 0.007172 | +0.52% | 0.00767 | +7.50% | 0.0891 | ✓ | 5.09 |
| 2025-06-01 | oos | 0.007398 | 0.007438 | +0.54% | 0.007135 | -3.56% | 0.0516 | ✗ | 5.09 |
| 2025-05-31 | oos | 0.006696 | 0.006768 | +1.07% | 0.007398 | +10.48% | 0.0385 | ✓ | 5.05 |
| 2025-05-30 | oos | 0.006587 | 0.006669 | +1.25% | 0.006696 | +1.65% | 0.0256 | ✗ | 5.05 |
| 2025-05-29 | oos | 0.007919 | 0.007985 | +0.84% | 0.006587 | -16.82% | 0.1193 | ✗ | 4.98 |
| 2025-05-28 | oos | 0.00946 | 0.009471 | +0.11% | 0.007919 | -16.29% | 0.0745 | ✗ | 4.96 |
| 2025-05-27 | oos | 0.010931 | 0.010865 | -0.60% | 0.00946 | -13.46% | 0.0858 | ✓ | 4.92 |
| 2025-05-26 | oos | 0.01142 | 0.011331 | -0.78% | 0.010931 | -4.28% | 0.0139 | ✓ | 4.95 |
| 2025-05-25 | oos | 0.011277 | 0.011207 | -0.62% | 0.01142 | +1.27% | 0.0000 | ✓ | 4.96 |
| 2025-05-24 | oos | 0.012084 | 0.011981 | -0.85% | 0.011277 | -6.68% | 0.1182 | ✓ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-23 | oos | 0.012392 | 0.01228 | -0.90% | 0.012084 | -2.49% | 0.0377 | ✓ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-22 | oos | 0.015393 | 0.015108 | -1.85% | 0.012392 | -19.50% | 0.0090 | ✓ | 5.16 |
| 2025-05-21 | oos | 0.012423 | 0.012315 | -0.87% | 0.015393 | +23.91% | 0.1318 | ✗ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-20 | oos | 0.011758 | 0.011712 | -0.39% | 0.012423 | +5.66% | 0.0713 | ✓ | 5.01 |
| 2025-05-19 | oos | 0.012125 | 0.012076 | -0.40% | 0.011758 | -3.03% | 0.0866 | ✓ | 5.02 |
| 2025-05-18 | oos | 0.011663 | 0.011649 | -0.12% | 0.012125 | +3.96% | 0.0822 | ✗ | 5.22 |
| 2025-05-17 | oos | 0.011383 | 0.011409 | +0.23% | 0.011663 | +2.46% | 0.1483 | ✗ | 5.39 |
| 2025-05-16 | oos | 0.011643 | 0.011671 | +0.24% | 0.011383 | -2.23% | 0.0217 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-15 | oos | 0.012234 | 0.01225 | +0.13% | 0.011643 | -4.83% | 0.0481 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-14 | oos | 0.013635 | 0.013605 | -0.22% | 0.012234 | -10.28% | 0.1085 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-13 | oos | 0.016633 | 0.016459 | -1.05% | 0.013635 | -18.02% | 0.1826 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-12 | oos | 0.018853 | 0.018561 | -1.55% | 0.016633 | -11.78% | 0.1225 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-11 | oos | 0.017499 | 0.017296 | -1.16% | 0.018853 | +7.74% | 0.0991 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-10 | oos | 0.016775 | 0.016611 | -0.98% | 0.017499 | +4.32% | 0.0586 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-09 | oos | 0.01342 | 0.013467 | +0.35% | 0.016775 | +25.00% | 0.2020 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-08 | in | 0.015819 | 0.015799 | -0.13% | 0.01342 | -15.17% | 0.1606 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-07 | in | 0.011052 | 0.011146 | +0.85% | 0.015819 | +43.13% | 0.2883 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-06 | in | 0.01415 | 0.01424 | +0.64% | 0.011052 | -21.89% | 0.2557 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-05 | in | 0.015996 | 0.016061 | +0.41% | 0.01415 | -11.54% | 0.1487 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-04 | in | 0.017052 | 0.017101 | +0.29% | 0.015996 | -6.19% | 0.0717 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-03 | in | 0.01703 | 0.017084 | +0.31% | 0.017052 | +0.13% | 0.0149 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-02 | in | 0.023187 | 0.02308 | -0.46% | 0.01703 | -26.55% | 0.2929 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-01 | in | 0.0163 | 0.016291 | -0.06% | 0.023187 | +42.25% | 0.3488 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-30 | in | 0.02036 | 0.020285 | -0.37% | 0.0163 | -19.94% | 0.2433 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-29 | in | 0.024322 | 0.024214 | -0.44% | 0.02036 | -16.29% | 0.1724 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-28 | in | 0.025719 | 0.025604 | -0.45% | 0.024322 | -5.43% | 0.0432 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-27 | in | 0.030589 | 0.030398 | -0.62% | 0.025719 | -15.92% | 0.1805 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-26 | in | 0.03442 | 0.034045 | -1.09% | 0.030589 | -11.13% | 0.0976 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-01-16 | in | 0.000009 | 0.000009145 | +1.61% | – | pending | – | – | -1.27 |
| 2024-01-15 | in | 0.0000157 | 0.000015892 | +1.22% | 0.000009 | -42.68% | 0.5523 | ✗ | -1.09 |
| 2024-01-14 | in | 0.0000149 | 0.00001511 | +1.41% | 0.0000157 | +5.37% | 0.0597 | ✓ | -1.13 |
| 2024-01-13 | in | 0.00001622 | 0.000016425 | +1.26% | 0.0000149 | -8.14% | 0.1302 | ✗ | -1.21 |
| 2024-01-12 | in | 0.0000257 | 0.00002566 | -0.16% | 0.00001622 | -36.89% | 0.4568 | ✓ | -1.23 |
| 2024-01-11 | in | 0.00002504 | 0.000024997 | -0.17% | 0.0000257 | +2.64% | 0.0853 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2024-01-10 | in | 0.00002673 | 0.000026645 | -0.32% | 0.00002504 | -6.32% | 0.0721 | ✓ | -1.44 |
| 2024-01-09 | in | 0.00003347 | 0.000033276 | -0.58% | 0.00002673 | -20.14% | 0.2029 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2024-01-08 | in | 0.00002866 | 0.000028591 | -0.24% | 0.00003347 | +16.78% | 0.1339 | ✗ | -1.26 |
| 2024-01-07 | in | 0.00002885 | 0.000028758 | -0.32% | 0.00002866 | -0.66% | 0.0979 | ✗ | -1.51 |
| 2024-01-06 | in | 0.00003261 | 0.000032425 | -0.57% | 0.00002885 | -11.53% | 0.1183 | ✓ | -1.54 |
| 2024-01-05 | in | 0.0000316 | 0.000031405 | -0.62% | 0.00003261 | +3.20% | 0.0310 | ✗ | -1.52 |
| 2024-01-04 | in | 0.000032 | 0.000031879 | -0.38% | 0.0000316 | -1.25% | 0.0090 | ✓ | -1.52 |
| 2024-01-03 | in | 0.00003349 | 0.00003335 | -0.42% | 0.000032 | -4.45% | 0.0057 | ✗ | -1.54 |
| 2024-01-02 | in | 0.0000337 | 0.0000336 | -0.30% | 0.00003349 | -0.62% | 0.0866 | ✓ | -1.73 |
| 2024-01-01 | in | 0.00003166 | 0.000031618 | -0.13% | 0.0000337 | +6.44% | 0.0941 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2023-12-31 | in | 0.00003167 | 0.000031682 | +0.04% | 0.00003166 | -0.03% | 0.0894 | ✓ | -2.01 |
| 2023-12-30 | in | 0.00003168 | 0.000031715 | +0.11% | 0.00003167 | -0.03% | 0.0056 | ✓ | -2.02 |
| 2023-12-29 | in | 0.00003798 | 0.000037868 | -0.30% | 0.00003168 | -16.59% | 0.1747 | ✓ | -2.03 |
| 2023-12-28 | in | 0.0000381 | 0.000038007 | -0.25% | 0.00003798 | -0.31% | 0.0258 | ✓ | -2.05 |
| 2023-12-27 | in | 0.00002929 | 0.000029394 | +0.36% | 0.0000381 | +30.08% | 0.2242 | ✓ | -1.70 |
| 2023-12-26 | in | 0.00003903 | 0.000038973 | -0.15% | 0.00002929 | -24.96% | 0.2538 | ✓ | -1.43 |
| 2023-12-25 | in | 0.00004557 | 0.000045485 | -0.19% | 0.00003903 | -14.35% | 0.1976 | ✓ | -1.79 |
| 2023-12-24 | in | 0.00005145 | 0.000051266 | -0.36% | 0.00004557 | -11.43% | 0.0952 | ✓ | -1.73 |
| 2023-12-23 | in | 0.00004727 | 0.000047146 | -0.26% | 0.00005145 | +8.84% | 0.0607 | ✗ | -1.65 |
| 2023-12-22 | in | 0.00003765 | 0.000037653 | +0.01% | 0.00004727 | +25.55% | 0.2340 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-21 | in | 0.00004179 | 0.000041773 | -0.04% | 0.00003765 | -9.91% | 0.1071 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-20 | in | 0.00004502 | 0.000045001 | -0.04% | 0.00004179 | -7.17% | 0.0786 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-19 | in | 0.00005 | 0.000049924 | -0.15% | 0.00004502 | -9.96% | 0.1362 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-18 | in | 0.000056 | 0.000055871 | -0.23% | 0.00005 | -10.71% | 0.1020 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-17 | in | 0.00005097 | 0.000050881 | -0.17% | 0.000056 | +9.87% | 0.0649 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-16 | in | 0.000045 | 0.000045039 | +0.09% | 0.00005097 | +13.27% | 0.1449 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-15 | in | 0.00004838 | 0.000048205 | -0.36% | 0.000045 | -6.99% | 0.0760 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-14 | in | 0.00004328 | 0.000043377 | +0.22% | 0.00004838 | +11.78% | 0.1349 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-13 | in | 0.00004588 | 0.000045922 | +0.09% | 0.00004328 | -5.67% | 0.0626 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-12 | in | 0.00006089 | 0.000060684 | -0.34% | 0.00004588 | -24.65% | 0.3130 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-11 | in | 0.00006109 | 0.000060837 | -0.41% | 0.00006089 | -0.33% | 0.0051 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-10 | in | 0.00006163 | 0.000061497 | -0.22% | 0.00006109 | -0.88% | 0.0537 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-09 | in | 0.00005702 | 0.000056949 | -0.13% | 0.00006163 | +8.08% | 0.0774 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-08 | in | 0.00005751 | 0.000057495 | -0.03% | 0.00005702 | -0.85% | 0.0024 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-07 | in | 0.00006009 | 0.000059974 | -0.19% | 0.00005751 | -4.29% | 0.0628 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-06 | in | 0.0000579 | 0.000057836 | -0.11% | 0.00006009 | +3.78% | 0.0493 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-05 | in | 0.00005568 | 0.000055625 | -0.10% | 0.0000579 | +3.99% | 0.0474 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-04 | in | 0.00006001 | 0.000059854 | -0.26% | 0.00005568 | -7.22% | 0.1210 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-03 | in | 0.00006997 | 0.000069651 | -0.46% | 0.00006001 | -14.23% | 0.1978 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-02 | in | 0.00006388 | 0.000063607 | -0.43% | 0.00006997 | +9.53% | 0.0826 | ✗ | 1.00 |