CTR

Citrea · Base · gru_s3

token id: #590
symbol: CTR
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x11030f79109269d796fd0fb956d6244e502757f7
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-26
predictions: 423

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

134

of 141 predictions shown

direction hit

50.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0980

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0189

actual -0.0148

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.015367	0.014931	-2.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.16
2026-10-21	oos	0.0152	0.014773	-2.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.15
2026-10-20	oos	0.017857	0.017108	-4.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-10-19	oos	0.017291	0.016452	-4.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-18	oos	0.013308	0.012996	-2.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-17	oos	0.013303	0.012978	-2.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-16	oos	0.013935	0.013548	-2.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-15	oos	0.013058	0.012722	-2.58%	0.015367	+17.68%	0.1813	✗	0.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.013763	0.013369	-2.86%	0.0152	+10.44%	0.1191	✗	0.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.014573	0.01412	-3.10%	0.017857	+22.54%	0.2354	✗	0.29
2026-10-12	oos	0.013765	0.013346	-3.05%	0.017291	+25.61%	0.2586	✗	0.28
2026-10-11	oos	0.012887	0.012552	-2.60%	0.013308	+3.27%	0.0653	✗	0.34
2026-10-10	oos	0.012848	0.012506	-2.66%	0.013303	+3.55%	0.0680	✗	0.33
2026-10-09	oos	0.012519	0.012192	-2.62%	0.013935	+11.31%	0.1380	✗	0.34
2026-10-08	oos	0.012738	0.012394	-2.70%	0.013058	+2.52%	0.0503	✗	0.36
2026-10-07	oos	0.012589	0.01225	-2.69%	0.013763	+9.33%	0.1247	✗	0.40
2026-10-06	oos	0.012659	0.012315	-2.71%	0.014573	+15.12%	0.1795	✗	0.39
2026-10-05	oos	0.012707	0.012356	-2.76%	0.013765	+8.33%	0.1282	✗	0.42
2026-10-04	oos	0.012899	0.012543	-2.76%	0.012887	-0.09%	0.0425	✗	0.47
2026-10-03	oos	0.012956	0.012586	-2.85%	0.012848	-0.83%	0.0308	✗	0.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.011884	0.011581	-2.55%	0.012519	+5.34%	0.0888	✗	0.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.012313	0.01198	-2.70%	0.012738	+3.45%	0.0790	✗	0.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.012909	0.012522	-2.99%	0.012589	-2.48%	0.0068	✓	0.47
2026-09-29	oos	0.012601	0.01223	-2.94%	0.012659	+0.46%	0.0252	✓	0.42
2026-09-28	oos	0.012023	0.011683	-2.83%	0.012707	+5.69%	0.0718	✗	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.012241	0.011894	-2.83%	0.012899	+5.38%	0.0702	✗	0.45
2026-09-26	oos	0.012434	0.012072	-2.92%	0.012956	+4.19%	0.0688	✗	0.47
2026-09-25	oos	0.011831	0.011506	-2.75%	0.011884	+0.45%	0.0301	✗	0.47
2026-09-24	oos	0.012256	0.011907	-2.84%	0.012313	+0.46%	0.0310	✗	0.45
2026-09-23	oos	0.01249	0.012129	-2.89%	0.012909	+3.35%	0.0667	✗	0.45
2026-09-22	oos	0.01223	0.011902	-2.68%	0.012601	+3.03%	0.0706	✗	0.45
2026-09-21	oos	0.011974	0.011664	-2.59%	0.012023	+0.41%	0.0496	✗	0.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.011331	0.011046	-2.52%	0.012241	+8.03%	0.0840	✗	0.47
2026-09-19	oos	0.011508	0.011215	-2.55%	0.012434	+8.05%	0.0848	✗	0.48
2026-09-18	oos	0.011775	0.011466	-2.62%	0.011831	+0.48%	0.0117	✓	0.50
2026-09-17	oos	0.011548	0.011242	-2.65%	0.012256	+6.13%	0.0331	✗	0.53
2026-09-16	oos	0.011539	0.011241	-2.58%	0.01249	+8.24%	0.0504	✗	0.54
2026-09-15	oos	0.012138	0.011748	-3.21%	0.01223	+0.75%	0.0428	✓	0.63
2026-09-14	oos	0.010906	0.010707	-1.83%	0.011974	+9.79%	0.0354	✗	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	0.010455	0.010279	-1.68%	0.011331	+8.39%	0.0562	✗	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	0.00994	0.009837	-1.03%	0.011508	+15.79%	0.1191	✗	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	0.009771	0.009692	-0.81%	0.011775	+20.51%	0.1598	✗	0.75
2026-09-10	oos	0.009272	0.009239	-0.35%	0.011548	+24.55%	0.2248	✗	0.73
2026-09-09	oos	0.01026	0.010156	-1.01%	0.011539	+12.47%	0.1462	✗	0.67
2026-09-08	oos	0.010186	0.010095	-0.89%	0.012138	+19.17%	0.2098	✗	0.69
2026-09-07	oos	0.010375	0.010294	-0.78%	0.010906	+5.12%	0.0662	✗	0.72
2026-09-06	oos	0.00945	0.009537	+0.92%	0.010455	+10.63%	0.1240	✓	0.71
2026-09-05	oos	0.009865	0.009887	+0.22%	0.00994	+0.76%	0.0289	✓	0.72
2026-09-04	oos	0.009869	0.009888	+0.19%	0.009771	-0.99%	0.0091	✓	0.67
2026-09-03	oos	0.010077	0.010137	+0.59%	0.009272	-7.99%	0.0503	✗	0.65
2026-09-02	oos	0.010039	0.00996	-0.79%	0.01026	+2.20%	0.0181	✗	0.92
2026-09-01	oos	0.00967	0.009628	-0.44%	0.010186	+5.33%	0.0438	✗	0.93
2026-08-31	oos	0.009508	0.009516	+0.08%	0.010375	+9.11%	0.0803	✓	0.90
2026-08-30	oos	0.009343	0.009334	-0.10%	0.00945	+1.15%	0.0179	✓	0.89
2026-08-29	oos	0.009572	0.009566	-0.06%	0.009865	+3.06%	0.0131	✗	0.87
2026-08-28	oos	0.009431	0.009424	-0.07%	0.009869	+4.64%	0.0261	✗	0.86
2026-08-27	oos	0.009239	0.009326	+0.95%	0.010077	+9.07%	0.0664	✓	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.009325	0.009375	+0.53%	0.010039	+7.66%	0.0884	✓	0.90
2026-08-25	oos	0.008563	0.008644	+0.95%	0.00967	+12.93%	0.1246	✓	0.86
2026-08-24	oos	0.008554	0.008637	+0.96%	0.009508	+11.15%	0.1013	✓	0.96
2026-08-23	oos	0.007924	0.007987	+0.80%	0.009343	+17.91%	0.1575	✓	0.94
2026-08-22	oos	0.008046	0.008091	+0.56%	0.009572	+18.97%	0.1539	✓	0.94
2026-08-21	oos	0.00872	0.008752	+0.37%	0.009431	+8.15%	0.0804	✓	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	0.008193	0.008119	-0.91%	0.009239	+12.77%	0.0439	✗	0.90
2026-08-19	oos	0.008446	0.008287	-1.88%	0.009325	+10.41%	0.0149	✓	1.01
2026-08-18	oos	0.008435	0.008222	-2.52%	0.008563	+1.51%	0.1858	✓	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.008381	0.00817	-2.51%	0.008554	+2.07%	0.1905	✓	1.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.008785	0.008543	-2.75%	0.007924	-9.80%	0.3387	✓	1.24
2026-08-15	oos	0.008704	0.008473	-2.66%	0.008046	-7.56%	0.3009	✓	1.24
2026-08-14	oos	0.008496	0.00828	-2.54%	0.00872	+2.64%	0.2178	✓	1.24
2026-08-13	oos	0.008806	0.008579	-2.57%	0.008193	-6.96%	0.2195	✓	1.23
2026-08-12	oos	0.00827	0.008082	-2.28%	0.008446	+2.13%	0.0647	✓	1.23
2026-08-11	oos	0.00837	0.008176	-2.32%	0.008435	+0.78%	0.0092	✓	1.23
2026-08-10	oos	0.00778	0.007629	-1.93%	0.008381	+7.72%	0.0830	✗	1.24
2026-08-09	oos	0.0081	0.007939	-1.99%	0.008785	+8.46%	0.1401	✗	1.23
2026-08-08	oos	0.00833	0.008155	-2.10%	0.008704	+4.49%	0.1016	✗	1.23
2026-08-07	oos	0.00791	0.007752	-2.00%	0.008496	+7.41%	0.1284	✗	1.23
2026-08-06	oos	0.00782	0.00766	-2.05%	0.008806	+12.60%	0.1555	✗	1.22
2026-08-05	oos	0.0077	0.007542	-2.05%	0.00827	+7.40%	0.1149	✗	1.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.007285	0.007138	-2.02%	0.00837	+14.89%	0.1690	✗	1.20
2026-08-03	oos	0.007235	0.007085	-2.07%	0.00778	+7.53%	0.0852	✗	1.20
2026-08-02	oos	0.00739	0.00723	-2.17%	0.0081	+9.61%	0.0884	✗	1.20
2026-08-01	oos	0.00733	0.007173	-2.14%	0.00833	+13.64%	0.1093	✗	1.20
2026-07-31	oos	0.00747	0.007305	-2.20%	0.00791	+5.89%	0.0407	✗	1.20
2026-07-30	oos	0.00749	0.007328	-2.16%	0.00782	+4.41%	0.0737	✗	1.25
2026-07-29	oos	0.00744	0.007282	-2.12%	0.0077	+3.49%	0.0421	✗	1.24
2026-07-28	oos	0.007265	0.007124	-1.94%	0.007285	+0.28%	0.0184	✓	1.24
2026-07-27	oos	0.007205	0.007069	-1.89%	0.007235	+0.42%	0.0277	✗	1.24
2026-07-26	oos	0.007935	0.007765	-2.14%	0.00739	-6.87%	0.0156	✓	1.19
2026-07-25	oos	0.00816	0.00798	-2.21%	0.00733	-10.17%	0.0556	✓	1.21
2026-07-24	oos	0.00766	0.00751	-1.96%	0.00747	-2.48%	0.0184	✓	1.20
2026-07-23	oos	0.007535	0.007388	-1.95%	0.00749	-0.60%	0.0199	✗	1.22
2026-07-22	oos	0.008285	0.008098	-2.25%	0.00744	-10.20%	0.0448	✓	1.18
2026-07-21	oos	0.008235	0.008047	-2.28%	0.007265	-11.78%	0.0536	✓	1.19
2026-07-20	oos	0.00835	0.008159	-2.29%	0.007205	-13.71%	0.0957	✓	1.21
2026-07-19	oos	0.008165	0.007986	-2.19%	0.007935	-2.82%	0.0186	✓	1.20
2026-07-18	oos	0.00831	0.008125	-2.22%	0.00816	-1.81%	0.0136	✓	1.20
2026-07-17	oos	0.007805	0.007652	-1.96%	0.00766	-1.86%	0.0024	✓	1.16
2026-07-16	oos	0.00805	0.007885	-2.05%	0.007535	-6.40%	0.0685	✓	1.16
2026-07-15	oos	0.00832	0.008136	-2.22%	0.008285	-0.42%	0.0061	✓	1.16
2026-07-14	oos	0.008335	0.008147	-2.25%	0.008235	-1.20%	0.0162	✓	1.16
2026-07-13	oos	0.00812	0.007961	-1.96%	0.00835	+2.83%	0.0071	✓	1.18
2026-07-12	oos	0.00811	0.007942	-2.07%	0.008165	+0.68%	0.0097	✓	1.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.00844	0.008256	-2.18%	0.00831	-1.54%	0.0130	✓	1.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.00916	0.008939	-2.41%	0.007805	-14.79%	0.1312	✓	1.22
2026-07-09	oos	0.008405	0.008234	-2.04%	0.00805	-4.22%	0.0333	✓	1.15
2026-07-08	oos	0.008595	0.00842	-2.03%	0.00832	-3.20%	0.0578	✓	1.17
2026-07-07	oos	0.00918	0.008967	-2.32%	0.008335	-9.20%	0.1029	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.01039	0.010112	-2.67%	0.00812	-21.85%	0.1887	✓	1.12
2026-07-05	oos	0.01091	0.010608	-2.77%	0.00811	-25.66%	0.2713	✓	1.14
2026-07-04	oos	0.01107	0.010762	-2.78%	0.00844	-23.76%	0.2555	✓	1.15
2026-07-03	oos	0.01067	0.010385	-2.68%	0.00916	-14.15%	0.1540	✓	1.12
2026-07-02	oos	0.01102	0.010728	-2.65%	0.008405	-23.73%	0.2759	✓	1.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.01197	0.011648	-2.69%	0.008595	-28.20%	0.3550	✓	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.01117	0.010918	-2.26%	0.00918	-17.82%	0.2750	✓	1.29
2026-06-29	oos	0.01143	0.011154	-2.41%	0.01039	-9.10%	0.1523	✓	1.31
2026-06-28	oos	0.010725	0.010505	-2.05%	0.01091	+1.72%	0.0454	✓	1.25
2026-06-27	oos	0.01078	0.010561	-2.03%	0.01107	+2.69%	0.0168	✓	1.25
2026-06-26	oos	0.01009	0.009924	-1.64%	0.01067	+5.75%	0.0226	✗	1.21
2026-06-25	oos	0.01044	0.010267	-1.65%	0.01102	+5.56%	0.0344	✗	1.24
2026-06-24	oos	0.0103	0.010136	-1.59%	0.01197	+16.21%	0.1832	✗	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.011325	0.011084	-2.13%	0.01117	-1.37%	0.0758	✗	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.01124	0.011002	-2.12%	0.01143	+1.69%	0.0992	✗	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.01069	0.010514	-1.65%	0.010725	+0.33%	0.0812	✗	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.01125	0.011037	-1.89%	0.01078	-4.18%	0.0455	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.01065	0.010501	-1.40%	0.01009	-5.26%	0.0163	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.010465	0.010347	-1.13%	0.01044	-0.24%	0.0608	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.01182	0.011604	-1.83%	0.0103	-12.86%	0.0640	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.01149	0.011286	-1.78%	0.011325	-1.44%	0.0498	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.0121	0.01186	-1.98%	0.01124	-7.11%	0.0180	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.01255	0.012299	-2.00%	0.01069	-14.82%	0.1019	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.012475	0.012246	-1.83%	0.01125	-9.82%	0.0816	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.012795	0.012567	-1.78%	0.01065	-16.76%	0.1645	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.01296	0.012725	-1.81%	0.010465	-19.25%	0.1847	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0125	0.012326	-1.39%	0.01182	-5.44%	0.0896	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.01515	0.014868	-1.86%	0.01149	-24.16%	0.3195	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01411	0.013856	-1.80%	0.0121	-14.25%	0.1852	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.01453	0.014258	-1.87%	0.01255	-13.63%	0.1649	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.01496	0.014739	-1.48%	0.012475	-16.61%	0.2239	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.01366	0.013471	-1.39%	0.012795	-6.33%	0.0917	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.01688	0.016548	-1.97%	0.01296	-23.22%	0.2406	✓	1.00