CTR

Citrea · Base · gru_s3

token id: #590
symbol: CTR
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x11030f79109269d796fd0fb956d6244e502757f7
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-26
predictions: 420

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

110

of 140 predictions shown

direction hit

64.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2043

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0548

actual -0.0614

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.018489	0.016318	-11.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.20
2026-10-20	oos	0.017857	0.015824	-11.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-10-19	oos	0.017291	0.015252	-11.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-18	oos	0.013308	0.01238	-6.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-17	oos	0.013303	0.01231	-7.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-16	oos	0.013935	0.012751	-8.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-15	oos	0.013058	0.012018	-7.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.013763	0.012541	-8.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.014573	0.013221	-9.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.29
2026-10-12	oos	0.013765	0.01251	-9.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.28
2026-10-11	oos	0.012887	0.011879	-7.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-10	oos	0.012848	0.011814	-8.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.33
2026-10-09	oos	0.012519	0.01152	-7.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-08	oos	0.012738	0.011692	-8.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.36
2026-10-07	oos	0.012589	0.011585	-7.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.40
2026-10-06	oos	0.012659	0.011682	-7.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.39
2026-10-05	oos	0.012707	0.011717	-7.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-10-04	oos	0.012899	0.011914	-7.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-10-03	oos	0.012956	0.011917	-8.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.011884	0.011034	-7.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.012313	0.011385	-7.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.012909	0.011804	-8.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-09-29	oos	0.012601	0.011543	-8.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-09-28	oos	0.012023	0.011059	-8.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.012241	0.011288	-7.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-26	oos	0.012434	0.01144	-8.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-09-25	oos	0.011831	0.01094	-7.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-09-24	oos	0.012256	0.011313	-7.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-23	oos	0.01249	0.011539	-7.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-22	oos	0.01223	0.011385	-6.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-21	oos	0.011974	0.011183	-6.60%	0.018489	+54.41%	0.5268	✗	0.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.011331	0.010537	-7.01%	0.017857	+57.59%	0.5173	✗	0.47
2026-09-19	oos	0.011508	0.010696	-7.06%	0.017291	+50.24%	0.4767	✗	0.48
2026-09-18	oos	0.011775	0.010908	-7.37%	0.013308	+13.02%	0.1919	✗	0.50
2026-09-17	oos	0.011548	0.010607	-8.15%	0.013303	+15.20%	0.1925	✗	0.53
2026-09-16	oos	0.011539	0.010607	-8.07%	0.013935	+20.76%	0.2365	✗	0.54
2026-09-15	oos	0.012138	0.011022	-9.20%	0.013058	+7.58%	0.1172	✗	0.63
2026-09-14	oos	0.010906	0.010267	-5.86%	0.013763	+26.20%	0.2613	✗	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	0.010455	0.009878	-5.52%	0.014573	+39.39%	0.3299	✗	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	0.00994	0.009481	-4.61%	0.013765	+38.49%	0.3304	✗	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	0.009771	0.009359	-4.22%	0.012887	+31.89%	0.2594	✗	0.75
2026-09-10	oos	0.009272	0.008947	-3.50%	0.012848	+38.58%	0.3035	✗	0.73
2026-09-09	oos	0.01026	0.009808	-4.40%	0.012519	+22.02%	0.2086	✗	0.67
2026-09-08	oos	0.010186	0.009758	-4.20%	0.012738	+25.06%	0.2386	✗	0.69
2026-09-07	oos	0.010375	0.009987	-3.73%	0.012589	+21.34%	0.1943	✗	0.72
2026-09-06	oos	0.00945	0.009416	-0.36%	0.012659	+33.96%	0.2512	✗	0.71
2026-09-05	oos	0.009865	0.009735	-1.32%	0.012707	+28.81%	0.2148	✗	0.72
2026-09-04	oos	0.009869	0.009741	-1.30%	0.012899	+30.70%	0.2259	✗	0.67
2026-09-03	oos	0.010077	0.010086	+0.09%	0.012956	+28.57%	0.2232	✓	0.65
2026-09-02	oos	0.010039	0.009715	-3.23%	0.011884	+18.38%	0.1194	✗	0.92
2026-09-01	oos	0.00967	0.009462	-2.15%	0.012313	+27.33%	0.1777	✗	0.93
2026-08-31	oos	0.009508	0.009463	-0.47%	0.012909	+35.76%	0.2553	✗	0.90
2026-08-30	oos	0.009343	0.009289	-0.58%	0.012601	+34.87%	0.2387	✗	0.89
2026-08-29	oos	0.009572	0.009586	+0.14%	0.012023	+25.60%	0.1702	✓	0.87
2026-08-28	oos	0.009431	0.009507	+0.80%	0.012241	+29.80%	0.1827	✓	0.86
2026-08-27	oos	0.009239	0.00968	+4.78%	0.012434	+34.59%	0.2052	✓	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.009325	0.009727	+4.31%	0.011831	+26.87%	0.1396	✓	0.90
2026-08-25	oos	0.008563	0.009121	+6.53%	0.012256	+43.14%	0.2337	✓	0.86
2026-08-24	oos	0.008554	0.009161	+7.09%	0.01249	+46.01%	0.2464	✓	0.96
2026-08-23	oos	0.007924	0.00846	+6.76%	0.01223	+54.33%	0.2718	✓	0.94
2026-08-22	oos	0.008046	0.008541	+6.15%	0.011974	+48.82%	0.2284	✓	0.94
2026-08-21	oos	0.00872	0.009194	+5.43%	0.011331	+29.95%	0.1765	✓	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	0.008193	0.008158	-0.42%	0.011508	+40.47%	0.2480	✗	0.90
2026-08-19	oos	0.008446	0.008077	-4.37%	0.011775	+39.42%	0.2207	✗	1.01
2026-08-18	oos	0.008435	0.007856	-6.87%	0.011548	+36.91%	0.1917	✗	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.008381	0.00781	-6.81%	0.011539	+37.68%	0.1965	✗	1.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.008785	0.008101	-7.78%	0.012138	+38.17%	0.1755	✗	1.24
2026-08-15	oos	0.008704	0.008052	-7.49%	0.010906	+25.30%	0.0364	✓	1.24
2026-08-14	oos	0.008496	0.007892	-7.11%	0.010455	+23.05%	0.0360	✓	1.24
2026-08-13	oos	0.008806	0.008172	-7.19%	0.00994	+12.88%	0.0474	✓	1.23
2026-08-12	oos	0.00827	0.007756	-6.21%	0.009771	+18.15%	0.0104	✓	1.23
2026-08-11	oos	0.00837	0.007857	-6.12%	0.009272	+10.77%	0.0627	✓	1.23
2026-08-10	oos	0.00778	0.007383	-5.10%	0.01026	+31.88%	0.0780	✗	1.24
2026-08-09	oos	0.0081	0.007679	-5.20%	0.010186	+25.75%	0.0480	✓	1.23
2026-08-08	oos	0.00833	0.007867	-5.56%	0.010375	+24.54%	0.0331	✓	1.23
2026-08-07	oos	0.00791	0.007497	-5.23%	0.00945	+19.47%	0.0305	✓	1.23
2026-08-06	oos	0.00782	0.007396	-5.42%	0.009865	+26.15%	0.0229	✓	1.22
2026-08-05	oos	0.0077	0.007279	-5.47%	0.009869	+28.17%	0.0472	✓	1.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.007285	0.006879	-5.58%	0.010077	+38.33%	0.0955	✗	1.20
2026-08-03	oos	0.007235	0.006811	-5.85%	0.010039	+38.76%	0.1512	✗	1.20
2026-08-02	oos	0.00739	0.006935	-6.15%	0.00967	+30.85%	0.0947	✗	1.20
2026-08-01	oos	0.00733	0.006876	-6.20%	0.009508	+29.72%	0.0553	✓	1.20
2026-07-31	oos	0.00747	0.007003	-6.26%	0.009343	+25.07%	0.0343	✓	1.20
2026-07-30	oos	0.00749	0.007054	-5.82%	0.009572	+27.80%	0.0690	✗	1.25
2026-07-29	oos	0.00744	0.007004	-5.86%	0.009431	+26.76%	0.0518	✓	1.24
2026-07-28	oos	0.007265	0.006876	-5.35%	0.009239	+27.17%	0.0114	✓	1.24
2026-07-27	oos	0.007205	0.006822	-5.32%	0.009325	+29.42%	0.0459	✓	1.24
2026-07-26	oos	0.007935	0.007478	-5.76%	0.008563	+7.91%	0.0826	✓	1.19
2026-07-25	oos	0.00816	0.007663	-6.09%	0.008554	+4.83%	0.1397	✓	1.21
2026-07-24	oos	0.00766	0.007245	-5.42%	0.007924	+3.45%	0.1413	✓	1.20
2026-07-23	oos	0.007535	0.007132	-5.35%	0.008046	+6.78%	0.0861	✓	1.22
2026-07-22	oos	0.008285	0.007775	-6.15%	0.00872	+5.25%	0.0866	✓	1.18
2026-07-21	oos	0.008235	0.007725	-6.19%	0.008193	-0.51%	0.0520	✓	1.19
2026-07-20	oos	0.00835	0.00782	-6.34%	0.008446	+1.15%	0.0032	✓	1.21
2026-07-19	oos	0.008165	0.007663	-6.15%	0.008435	+3.31%	0.0960	✗	1.20
2026-07-18	oos	0.00831	0.007799	-6.15%	0.008381	+0.85%	0.0780	✗	1.20
2026-07-17	oos	0.007805	0.007357	-5.74%	0.008785	+12.56%	0.1967	✗	1.16
2026-07-16	oos	0.00805	0.007567	-6.00%	0.008704	+8.12%	0.1537	✗	1.16
2026-07-15	oos	0.00832	0.007793	-6.33%	0.008496	+2.12%	0.1180	✗	1.16
2026-07-14	oos	0.008335	0.007797	-6.45%	0.008806	+5.64%	0.1499	✗	1.16
2026-07-13	oos	0.00812	0.007633	-6.00%	0.00827	+1.85%	0.0586	✓	1.18
2026-07-12	oos	0.00811	0.007601	-6.27%	0.00837	+3.21%	0.1003	✗	1.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.00844	0.007887	-6.55%	0.00778	-7.82%	0.0164	✓	1.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.00916	0.008514	-7.06%	0.0081	-11.57%	0.0635	✓	1.22
2026-07-09	oos	0.008405	0.00786	-6.48%	0.00833	-0.89%	0.0271	✓	1.15
2026-07-08	oos	0.008595	0.008034	-6.53%	0.00791	-7.97%	0.0645	✓	1.17
2026-07-07	oos	0.00918	0.008529	-7.09%	0.00782	-14.81%	0.1038	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.01039	0.009575	-7.85%	0.0077	-25.89%	0.2283	✓	1.12
2026-07-05	oos	0.01091	0.010025	-8.11%	0.007285	-33.23%	0.3276	✓	1.14
2026-07-04	oos	0.01107	0.010159	-8.23%	0.007235	-34.64%	0.3464	✓	1.15
2026-07-03	oos	0.01067	0.009808	-8.08%	0.00739	-30.74%	0.3005	✓	1.12
2026-07-02	oos	0.01102	0.010129	-8.08%	0.00733	-33.48%	0.3477	✓	1.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.01197	0.010971	-8.34%	0.00747	-37.59%	0.4483	✓	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.01117	0.01032	-7.61%	0.00749	-32.95%	0.4503	✓	1.29
2026-06-29	oos	0.01143	0.010516	-7.99%	0.00744	-34.91%	0.4252	✓	1.31
2026-06-28	oos	0.010725	0.009914	-7.56%	0.007265	-32.26%	0.3993	✓	1.25
2026-06-27	oos	0.01078	0.009954	-7.66%	0.007205	-33.16%	0.3990	✓	1.25
2026-06-26	oos	0.01009	0.009351	-7.32%	0.007935	-21.36%	0.2677	✓	1.21
2026-06-25	oos	0.01044	0.009661	-7.46%	0.00816	-21.84%	0.2606	✓	1.24
2026-06-24	oos	0.0103	0.00953	-7.47%	0.00766	-25.63%	0.2681	✓	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.011325	0.010406	-8.11%	0.007535	-33.47%	0.3605	✓	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.01124	0.010321	-8.17%	0.008285	-26.29%	0.2526	✓	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.01069	0.00987	-7.67%	0.008235	-22.97%	0.2317	✓	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.01125	0.010367	-7.85%	0.00835	-25.78%	0.2316	✓	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.01065	0.009864	-7.38%	0.008165	-23.33%	0.2079	✓	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.010465	0.009723	-7.09%	0.00831	-20.59%	0.1870	✓	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.01182	0.010941	-7.44%	0.007805	-33.97%	0.3292	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.01149	0.010645	-7.36%	0.00805	-29.94%	0.2509	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.0121	0.011209	-7.36%	0.00832	-31.24%	0.2742	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.01255	0.011634	-7.30%	0.008335	-33.59%	0.3225	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.012475	0.011574	-7.22%	0.00812	-34.91%	0.3202	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.012795	0.011874	-7.20%	0.00811	-36.62%	0.3844	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.01296	0.012011	-7.33%	0.00844	-34.88%	0.3561	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0125	0.011598	-7.22%	0.00916	-26.72%	0.2787	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.01515	0.014006	-7.55%	0.008405	-44.52%	0.5345	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01411	0.013038	-7.60%	0.008595	-39.09%	0.4035	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.01453	0.013401	-7.77%	0.00918	-36.82%	0.3786	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.01496	0.013806	-7.72%	0.01039	-30.55%	0.3347	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.01366	0.012577	-7.93%	0.01091	-20.13%	0.1832	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.01688	0.015462	-8.40%	0.01107	-34.42%	0.3228	✓	1.00