CSPR

Casper Network · native · gru_s3

token id: #586
symbol: CSPR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-21
predictions: 252

Track record at +7d

assessed

77

of 84 predictions shown

direction hit

59.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0883

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0292

actual -0.0015

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.002257	0.002206	-2.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.002253	0.002202	-2.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-19	oos	0.002189	0.002136	-2.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-18	oos	0.002275	0.002217	-2.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-17	oos	0.002348	0.002284	-2.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-16	oos	0.002345	0.002282	-2.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-15	oos	0.002311	0.002254	-2.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-14	oos	0.002449	0.002382	-2.74%	0.002257	-7.85%	0.0618	✓	0.57
2026-10-13	oos	0.00249	0.002429	-2.44%	0.002253	-9.52%	0.0742	✓	0.56
2026-10-12	oos	0.002435	0.002368	-2.78%	0.002189	-10.10%	0.0789	✓	0.56
2026-10-11	oos	0.002483	0.002422	-2.45%	0.002275	-8.36%	0.0513	✓	0.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.002443	0.002377	-2.71%	0.002348	-3.87%	0.0018	✓	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.002498	0.002421	-3.05%	0.002345	-6.12%	0.0251	✓	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.002343	0.002277	-2.84%	0.002311	-1.36%	0.0123	✓	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.002432	0.00236	-2.95%	0.002449	+0.71%	0.0478	✗	0.52
2026-10-06	oos	0.002499	0.002427	-2.90%	0.00249	-0.37%	0.0402	✗	0.50
2026-10-05	oos	0.002604	0.002524	-3.09%	0.002435	-6.48%	0.0119	✓	0.50
2026-10-04	oos	0.00258	0.002507	-2.85%	0.002483	-3.79%	0.0069	✓	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.002571	0.002493	-3.03%	0.002443	-4.96%	0.0091	✓	0.51
2026-10-02	oos	0.002537	0.002466	-2.82%	0.002498	-1.56%	0.0247	✓	0.51
2026-10-01	oos	0.002563	0.002496	-2.59%	0.002343	-8.56%	0.0442	✓	0.50
2026-09-30	oos	0.002648	0.002573	-2.81%	0.002432	-8.16%	0.0548	✓	0.52
2026-09-29	oos	0.002717	0.002644	-2.68%	0.002499	-8.02%	0.0680	✓	0.52
2026-09-28	oos	0.002731	0.002659	-2.63%	0.002604	-4.67%	0.0351	✓	0.52
2026-09-27	oos	0.00279	0.002722	-2.44%	0.00258	-7.53%	0.0656	✓	0.50
2026-09-26	oos	0.002743	0.002682	-2.21%	0.002571	-6.28%	0.0445	✓	0.51
2026-09-25	oos	0.002707	0.002652	-2.02%	0.002537	-6.26%	0.0466	✓	0.51
2026-09-24	oos	0.002674	0.002626	-1.80%	0.002563	-4.18%	0.0272	✓	0.51
2026-09-23	oos	0.00273	0.002679	-1.89%	0.002648	-3.03%	0.0067	✓	0.50
2026-09-22	oos	0.002788	0.002739	-1.76%	0.002717	-2.55%	0.0066	✓	0.49
2026-09-21	oos	0.002786	0.002739	-1.69%	0.002731	-1.95%	0.0154	✓	0.49
2026-09-20	oos	0.002651	0.002601	-1.90%	0.00279	+5.25%	0.0519	✗	0.46
2026-09-19	oos	0.00285	0.002783	-2.34%	0.002743	-3.76%	0.0319	✓	0.45
2026-09-18	oos	0.002697	0.002648	-1.82%	0.002707	+0.37%	0.0046	✓	0.45
2026-09-17	oos	0.002583	0.002551	-1.25%	0.002674	+3.52%	0.0044	✓	0.43
2026-09-16	oos	0.002491	0.002473	-0.74%	0.00273	+9.61%	0.0553	✗	0.43
2026-09-15	oos	0.002579	0.002551	-1.08%	0.002788	+8.13%	0.0316	✗	0.44
2026-09-14	oos	0.00289	0.002828	-2.15%	0.002786	-3.60%	0.0417	✓	0.26
2026-09-13	oos	0.002902	0.002838	-2.19%	0.002651	-8.63%	0.0833	✓	0.27
2026-09-12	oos	0.003038	0.00296	-2.57%	0.00285	-6.20%	0.0506	✓	0.25
2026-09-11	oos	0.002933	0.002865	-2.30%	0.002697	-8.05%	0.0725	✓	0.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.002973	0.0029	-2.46%	0.002583	-13.11%	0.1150	✓	0.26
2026-09-09	oos	0.003018	0.002941	-2.55%	0.002491	-17.47%	0.1596	✓	0.24
2026-09-08	oos	0.002894	0.002829	-2.22%	0.002579	-10.88%	0.0836	✓	0.25
2026-09-07	oos	0.002854	0.002793	-2.13%	0.00289	+1.25%	0.0368	✗	0.25
2026-09-06	oos	0.002809	0.002753	-1.99%	0.002902	+3.31%	0.0642	✗	0.26
2026-09-05	oos	0.002845	0.002783	-2.20%	0.003038	+6.79%	0.0964	✗	0.26
2026-09-04	oos	0.002662	0.002615	-1.75%	0.002933	+10.19%	0.1230	✗	0.26
2026-09-03	oos	0.002657	0.00261	-1.76%	0.002973	+11.91%	0.1459	✗	0.26
2026-09-02	oos	0.002679	0.002624	-2.05%	0.003018	+12.66%	0.1356	✗	0.34
2026-09-01	oos	0.002757	0.002692	-2.36%	0.002894	+4.95%	0.0677	✗	0.33
2026-08-31	oos	0.002768	0.0027	-2.48%	0.002854	+3.10%	0.0535	✗	0.32
2026-08-30	oos	0.002631	0.002571	-2.27%	0.002809	+6.75%	0.0780	✗	0.30
2026-08-29	oos	0.00288	0.002794	-2.99%	0.002845	-1.22%	0.0132	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.002962	0.002868	-3.18%	0.002662	-10.15%	0.0803	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.002917	0.002835	-2.82%	0.002657	-8.94%	0.0682	✓	0.26
2026-08-26	oos	0.002761	0.002696	-2.34%	0.002679	-2.95%	0.0011	✓	0.23
2026-08-25	oos	0.003037	0.002936	-3.34%	0.002757	-9.23%	0.0594	✓	0.24
2026-08-24	oos	0.002855	0.002777	-2.74%	0.002768	-3.04%	0.0016	✓	0.28
2026-08-23	oos	0.00248	0.002425	-2.21%	0.002631	+6.10%	0.0817	✗	0.19
2026-08-22	oos	0.002637	0.002567	-2.67%	0.00288	+9.21%	0.1120	✗	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.002832	0.002758	-2.61%	0.002962	+4.60%	0.0720	✗	0.09
2026-08-20	oos	0.002643	0.002547	-3.64%	0.002917	+10.37%	0.1522	✗	-0.17
2026-08-19	oos	0.002541	0.00243	-4.38%	0.002761	+8.62%	0.0038	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	0.002767	0.002627	-5.07%	0.003037	+9.77%	0.0487	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	0.003116	0.002927	-6.07%	0.002855	-8.38%	0.2278	✓	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	0.002687	0.002545	-5.27%	0.00248	-7.70%	0.2387	✓	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	0.002798	0.002639	-5.69%	0.002637	-5.74%	0.2016	✓	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	0.002543	0.002416	-5.01%	0.002832	+11.36%	0.0591	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	0.002369	0.002261	-4.55%	0.002643	+11.58%	0.0154	✓	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.002229	0.002136	-4.21%	0.002541	+14.00%	0.0852	✗	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	0.0022	0.002108	-4.17%	0.002767	+25.79%	0.2541	✗	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	0.002055	0.001977	-3.81%	0.003116	+51.64%	0.4464	✗	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	0.001954	0.001886	-3.45%	0.002687	+37.51%	0.3852	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	0.001931	0.001865	-3.43%	0.002798	+44.91%	0.4354	✗	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	0.002011	0.001936	-3.74%	0.002543	+26.43%	0.3027	✗	1.00
2026-08-06	oos	0.001839	0.001778	-3.30%	0.002369	+28.84%	0.3001	✗	1.00
2026-08-05	oos	0.00184	0.00178	-3.30%	0.002229	+21.14%	0.2440	✗	1.00
2026-08-04	oos	0.001926	0.001858	-3.55%	0.0022	+14.21%	0.1771	✗	1.00
2026-08-03	oos	0.001892	0.001826	-3.47%	0.002055	+8.63%	0.1111	✗	1.00
2026-08-02	oos	0.001897	0.001831	-3.46%	0.001954	+2.98%	0.0436	✗	1.00
2026-08-01	oos	0.00193	0.00186	-3.59%	0.001931	+0.06%	0.0036	✓	1.00
2026-07-31	oos	0.00186	0.001799	-3.30%	0.002011	+8.13%	0.0794	✗	1.00
2026-07-30	oos	0.001836	0.001767	-3.76%	0.001839	+0.13%	0.0467	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.