CSPR

Casper Network · native · gru_s3

token id: #586
symbol: CSPR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-21
predictions: 255

Track record at +30d

assessed

55

of 85 predictions shown

direction hit

65.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1268

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0915

actual -0.0504

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.002272	0.002152	-5.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-21	oos	0.002269	0.002147	-5.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.002253	0.002118	-5.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-19	oos	0.002189	0.002043	-6.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-18	oos	0.002275	0.002115	-7.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-17	oos	0.002348	0.002169	-7.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-16	oos	0.002345	0.002168	-7.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-15	oos	0.002311	0.002153	-6.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-14	oos	0.002449	0.002261	-7.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.57
2026-10-13	oos	0.00249	0.002326	-6.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-12	oos	0.002435	0.002245	-7.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-11	oos	0.002483	0.002317	-6.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.002443	0.002255	-7.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.002498	0.00228	-8.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.002343	0.00214	-8.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.002432	0.002219	-8.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-10-06	oos	0.002499	0.002294	-8.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-05	oos	0.002604	0.002375	-8.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-04	oos	0.00258	0.002373	-8.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.002571	0.00234	-8.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-10-02	oos	0.002537	0.00232	-8.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-10-01	oos	0.002563	0.002363	-7.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-09-30	oos	0.002648	0.002422	-8.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-29	oos	0.002717	0.0025	-7.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-28	oos	0.002731	0.002521	-7.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-27	oos	0.00279	0.002594	-7.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-09-26	oos	0.002743	0.002567	-6.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-09-25	oos	0.002707	0.002548	-5.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-09-24	oos	0.002674	0.002538	-5.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-09-23	oos	0.00273	0.002586	-5.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-09-22	oos	0.002788	0.002664	-4.46%	0.002272	-18.51%	0.1477	✓	0.49
2026-09-21	oos	0.002786	0.00267	-4.15%	0.002269	-18.55%	0.1481	✓	0.49
2026-09-20	oos	0.002651	0.002472	-6.75%	0.002253	-15.02%	0.1030	✓	0.46
2026-09-19	oos	0.00285	0.002641	-7.34%	0.002189	-23.18%	0.1908	✓	0.45
2026-09-18	oos	0.002697	0.002522	-6.48%	0.002275	-15.64%	0.1093	✓	0.45
2026-09-17	oos	0.002583	0.002397	-7.23%	0.002348	-9.10%	0.0477	✓	0.43
2026-09-16	oos	0.002491	0.002329	-6.50%	0.002345	-5.87%	0.0223	✓	0.43
2026-09-15	oos	0.002579	0.002399	-6.96%	0.002311	-10.37%	0.0736	✓	0.44
2026-09-14	oos	0.00289	0.002676	-7.39%	0.002449	-15.25%	0.0998	✓	0.26
2026-09-13	oos	0.002902	0.002675	-7.81%	0.00249	-14.19%	0.0933	✓	0.27
2026-09-12	oos	0.003038	0.002783	-8.40%	0.002435	-19.85%	0.1479	✓	0.25
2026-09-11	oos	0.002933	0.002701	-7.92%	0.002483	-15.35%	0.1047	✓	0.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.002973	0.002722	-8.47%	0.002443	-17.83%	0.1290	✓	0.26
2026-09-09	oos	0.003018	0.002775	-8.08%	0.002498	-17.25%	0.1177	✓	0.24
2026-09-08	oos	0.002894	0.00268	-7.38%	0.002343	-19.02%	0.1442	✓	0.25
2026-09-07	oos	0.002854	0.002655	-6.99%	0.002432	-14.80%	0.1005	✓	0.25
2026-09-06	oos	0.002809	0.002632	-6.31%	0.002499	-11.02%	0.0676	✓	0.26
2026-09-05	oos	0.002845	0.002647	-6.96%	0.002604	-8.48%	0.0350	✓	0.26
2026-09-04	oos	0.002662	0.002497	-6.17%	0.00258	-3.05%	0.0110	✓	0.26
2026-09-03	oos	0.002657	0.002506	-5.66%	0.002571	-3.24%	0.0144	✓	0.26
2026-09-02	oos	0.002679	0.002476	-7.58%	0.002537	-5.29%	0.0060	✓	0.34
2026-09-01	oos	0.002757	0.002535	-8.07%	0.002563	-7.05%	0.0194	✓	0.33
2026-08-31	oos	0.002768	0.00255	-7.90%	0.002648	-4.36%	0.0181	✓	0.32
2026-08-30	oos	0.002631	0.002427	-7.75%	0.002717	+3.27%	0.0903	✗	0.30
2026-08-29	oos	0.00288	0.00262	-9.05%	0.002731	-5.17%	0.0263	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.002962	0.002686	-9.33%	0.00279	-5.80%	0.0185	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.002917	0.002697	-7.55%	0.002743	-5.98%	0.0038	✓	0.26
2026-08-26	oos	0.002761	0.0026	-5.81%	0.002707	-1.95%	0.0257	✓	0.23
2026-08-25	oos	0.003037	0.002802	-7.77%	0.002674	-11.95%	0.0640	✓	0.24
2026-08-24	oos	0.002855	0.002677	-6.24%	0.00273	-4.36%	0.0016	✓	0.28
2026-08-23	oos	0.00248	0.002349	-5.28%	0.002788	+12.44%	0.1519	✗	0.19
2026-08-22	oos	0.002637	0.00246	-6.73%	0.002786	+5.62%	0.0999	✗	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.002832	0.002653	-6.33%	0.002651	-6.39%	0.0039	✓	0.09
2026-08-20	oos	0.002643	0.002391	-9.56%	0.00285	+7.81%	0.1942	✗	-0.17
2026-08-19	oos	0.002541	0.002243	-11.76%	0.002697	+6.10%	0.0299	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	0.002767	0.002377	-14.10%	0.002583	-6.64%	0.0826	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	0.003116	0.002611	-16.22%	0.002491	-20.06%	0.2132	✓	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	0.002687	0.002297	-14.49%	0.002579	-4.02%	0.0691	✓	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	0.002798	0.002369	-15.32%	0.00289	+3.28%	0.0170	✓	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	0.002543	0.002195	-13.69%	0.002902	+14.10%	0.0806	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	0.002369	0.002074	-12.47%	0.003038	+28.25%	0.1846	✗	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.002229	0.001972	-11.54%	0.002933	+31.55%	0.2000	✗	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	0.0022	0.00195	-11.37%	0.002973	+35.15%	0.2357	✗	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	0.002055	0.001842	-10.34%	0.003018	+46.88%	0.2907	✗	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	0.001954	0.001771	-9.37%	0.002894	+48.11%	0.3008	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	0.001931	0.001751	-9.30%	0.002854	+47.82%	0.2908	✗	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	0.002011	0.00181	-10.00%	0.002809	+39.63%	0.2256	✗	1.00
2026-08-06	oos	0.001839	0.001673	-9.02%	0.002845	+54.73%	0.3142	✗	1.00
2026-08-05	oos	0.00184	0.001674	-9.04%	0.002662	+44.63%	0.2541	✗	1.00
2026-08-04	oos	0.001926	0.001738	-9.77%	0.002657	+37.93%	0.1864	✗	1.00
2026-08-03	oos	0.001892	0.001708	-9.71%	0.002679	+41.63%	0.2529	✗	1.00
2026-08-02	oos	0.001897	0.001712	-9.75%	0.002757	+45.33%	0.2785	✗	1.00
2026-08-01	oos	0.00193	0.001733	-10.20%	0.002768	+43.46%	0.2439	✗	1.00
2026-07-31	oos	0.00186	0.001683	-9.54%	0.002631	+41.44%	0.2349	✗	1.00
2026-07-30	oos	0.001836	0.001664	-9.39%	0.00288	+56.85%	0.3591	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.