AVL

Avalon · Ethereum · gru_s3

token id: #696
symbol: AVL
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x5c8d0c48810fd37a0a824d074ee290e64f7a8fa2
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 144

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 48 predictions shown

direction hit

53.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0628

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0196

actual -0.0043

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.021245	0.020915	-1.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.17
2026-10-21	oos	0.021361	0.021059	-1.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.17
2026-10-20	oos	0.019693	0.019454	-1.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-19	oos	0.020678	0.020377	-1.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.17
2026-10-18	oos	0.019445	0.019173	-1.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.18
2026-10-17	oos	0.020546	0.020225	-1.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2026-10-16	oos	0.022173	0.021756	-1.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.020543	0.020157	-1.88%	0.021245	+3.41%	0.0215	✗	1.23
2026-10-14	oos	0.018647	0.018293	-1.90%	0.021361	+14.55%	0.1194	✗	1.20
2026-10-13	oos	0.019376	0.019025	-1.81%	0.019693	+1.64%	0.0369	✗	1.19
2026-10-12	oos	0.018817	0.018447	-1.96%	0.020678	+9.89%	0.1128	✗	1.17
2026-10-11	oos	0.020663	0.020275	-1.88%	0.019445	-5.89%	0.0198	✓	1.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.022471	0.022021	-2.00%	0.020546	-8.56%	0.0482	✓	1.14
2026-10-09	oos	0.019944	0.01949	-2.28%	0.022173	+11.18%	0.1431	✗	1.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.019933	0.01945	-2.43%	0.020543	+3.06%	0.0489	✗	1.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.022334	0.021816	-2.32%	0.018647	-16.51%	0.1361	✓	1.01
2026-10-06	oos	0.02175	0.021266	-2.23%	0.019376	-10.92%	0.0609	✓	1.11
2026-10-05	oos	0.022515	0.021994	-2.31%	0.018817	-16.42%	0.1030	✓	1.11
2026-10-04	oos	0.022884	0.022338	-2.39%	0.020663	-9.71%	0.0411	✓	1.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.022833	0.022261	-2.51%	0.022471	-1.59%	0.0340	✗	1.13
2026-10-02	oos	0.022786	0.022162	-2.74%	0.019944	-12.47%	0.0790	✓	1.13
2026-10-01	oos	0.022953	0.022354	-2.61%	0.019933	-13.15%	0.0719	✓	1.13
2026-09-30	oos	0.023642	0.022989	-2.76%	0.022334	-5.53%	0.0250	✓	1.17
2026-09-29	oos	0.022532	0.021932	-2.66%	0.02175	-3.47%	0.0347	✓	1.17
2026-09-28	oos	0.021848	0.021251	-2.73%	0.022515	+3.05%	0.0260	✓	1.17
2026-09-27	oos	0.024924	0.024253	-2.69%	0.022884	-8.18%	0.0837	✓	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.025513	0.024823	-2.71%	0.022833	-10.50%	0.0876	✓	1.07
2026-09-25	oos	0.024789	0.024119	-2.70%	0.022786	-8.08%	0.0617	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.024097	0.023489	-2.52%	0.022953	-4.75%	0.0286	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.023279	0.022694	-2.51%	0.023642	+1.56%	0.0507	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.024603	0.024048	-2.26%	0.022532	-8.42%	0.0350	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.023323	0.022798	-2.25%	0.021848	-6.32%	0.0056	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.021137	0.020553	-2.76%	0.024924	+17.92%	0.1529	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.021371	0.020802	-2.66%	0.025513	+19.38%	0.1657	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.0216	0.021074	-2.43%	0.024789	+14.76%	0.1233	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.020413	0.019981	-2.11%	0.024097	+18.05%	0.0872	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.020576	0.020185	-1.90%	0.023279	+13.14%	0.0400	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.021305	0.020916	-1.82%	0.024603	+15.48%	0.0309	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.020442	0.020159	-1.38%	0.023323	+14.09%	0.0435	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.020262	0.020038	-1.11%	0.021137	+4.32%	0.0018	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.021569	0.021292	-1.29%	0.021371	-0.92%	0.0464	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.020448	0.020251	-0.96%	0.0216	+5.64%	0.0181	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.018637	0.018431	-1.11%	0.020413	+9.53%	0.1046	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.02012	0.019971	-0.74%	0.020576	+2.26%	0.0575	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.020503	0.020404	-0.48%	0.021305	+3.91%	0.0804	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.020774	0.020747	-0.13%	0.020442	-1.60%	0.0032	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.020602	0.020649	+0.22%	0.020262	-1.65%	0.0262	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.020591	0.020626	+0.17%	0.021569	+4.75%	0.0774	✓	1.00