AVL
Avalon · Ethereum · gru_s3
- token id
- #696
- symbol
- AVL
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x5c8d0c48810fd37a0a824d074ee290e64f7a8fa2
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-27
- predictions
- 144
Track record at +30d
assessed
18
of 48 predictions shown
direction hit
77.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0535
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0540
actual -0.0621
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.021245 | 0.020347 | -4.23% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.021361 | 0.020545 | -3.82% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.019693 | 0.018983 | -3.60% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.020678 | 0.019813 | -4.18% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.019445 | 0.018631 | -4.19% | – | pending | – | – | 1.18 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.020546 | 0.019604 | -4.59% | – | pending | – | – | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.022173 | 0.021035 | -5.13% | – | pending | – | – | 1.19 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.020543 | 0.019479 | -5.18% | – | pending | – | – | 1.23 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.018647 | 0.017585 | -5.70% | – | pending | – | – | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.019376 | 0.018353 | -5.27% | – | pending | – | – | 1.19 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.018817 | 0.017729 | -5.78% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.020663 | 0.01957 | -5.29% | – | pending | – | – | 1.09 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.022471 | 0.02124 | -5.48% | – | pending | – | – | 1.14 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.019944 | 0.018681 | -6.33% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.019933 | 0.018599 | -6.70% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.022334 | 0.020944 | -6.23% | – | pending | – | – | 1.01 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.02175 | 0.020452 | -5.97% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.022515 | 0.021128 | -6.16% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.022884 | 0.021432 | -6.35% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.022833 | 0.021336 | -6.56% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.022786 | 0.021167 | -7.10% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.022953 | 0.021416 | -6.70% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.023642 | 0.021991 | -6.98% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.022532 | 0.021021 | -6.71% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.021848 | 0.02036 | -6.81% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.024924 | 0.023272 | -6.63% | – | pending | – | – | 1.07 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.025513 | 0.023833 | -6.59% | – | pending | – | – | 1.07 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.024789 | 0.023172 | -6.52% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.024097 | 0.022646 | -6.02% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.023279 | 0.021901 | -5.92% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.024603 | 0.023331 | -5.17% | 0.021245 | -13.65% | 0.0704 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.023323 | 0.022148 | -5.04% | 0.021361 | -8.41% | 0.0061 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.021137 | 0.019722 | -6.70% | 0.019693 | -6.83% | 0.0232 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.021371 | 0.019997 | -6.43% | 0.020678 | -3.24% | 0.0261 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.0216 | 0.020313 | -5.96% | 0.019445 | -9.98% | 0.0576 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.020413 | 0.01912 | -6.33% | 0.020546 | +0.65% | 0.0081 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.020576 | 0.019332 | -6.05% | 0.022173 | +7.76% | 0.0692 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.021305 | 0.020048 | -5.90% | 0.020543 | -3.57% | 0.0586 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.020442 | 0.019383 | -5.18% | 0.018647 | -8.78% | 0.0812 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.020262 | 0.019228 | -5.11% | 0.019376 | -4.38% | 0.0712 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.021569 | 0.020498 | -4.97% | 0.018817 | -12.76% | 0.1419 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.020448 | 0.01936 | -5.32% | 0.020663 | +1.05% | 0.0153 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.018637 | 0.017301 | -7.17% | 0.022471 | +20.57% | 0.1814 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.02012 | 0.019045 | -5.34% | 0.019944 | -0.88% | 0.0069 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.020503 | 0.019558 | -4.61% | 0.019933 | -2.78% | 0.0215 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.020774 | 0.020017 | -3.65% | 0.022334 | +7.51% | 0.0580 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.020602 | 0.020026 | -2.80% | 0.02175 | +5.57% | 0.0199 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.020591 | 0.020018 | -2.79% | 0.022515 | +9.34% | 0.0460 | ✗ | 1.00 |