AVL

Avalon · Ethereum · gru_s3

token id: #696
symbol: AVL
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x5c8d0c48810fd37a0a824d074ee290e64f7a8fa2
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 141

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 47 predictions shown

direction hit

60.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0412

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0026

actual -0.0020

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.019479	0.019428	-0.26%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-20	oos	0.019693	0.019648	-0.23%	0.019479	-1.08%	0.0053	✓	1.13
2026-10-19	oos	0.020678	0.020585	-0.45%	0.019693	-4.77%	0.0599	✓	1.17
2026-10-18	oos	0.019445	0.019388	-0.29%	0.020678	+6.34%	0.0669	✗	1.18
2026-10-17	oos	0.020546	0.020477	-0.34%	0.019445	-5.36%	0.0609	✓	1.20
2026-10-16	oos	0.022173	0.022027	-0.66%	0.020546	-7.34%	0.0679	✓	1.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.020543	0.020373	-0.83%	0.022173	+7.93%	0.0941	✗	1.23
2026-10-14	oos	0.018647	0.018606	-0.22%	0.020543	+10.17%	0.0909	✗	1.20
2026-10-13	oos	0.019376	0.019332	-0.22%	0.018647	-3.76%	0.0139	✓	1.19
2026-10-12	oos	0.018817	0.018779	-0.20%	0.019376	+2.97%	0.0119	✗	1.17
2026-10-11	oos	0.020663	0.020597	-0.32%	0.018817	-8.93%	0.0648	✓	1.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.022471	0.022322	-0.66%	0.020663	-8.05%	0.0877	✓	1.14
2026-10-09	oos	0.019944	0.019888	-0.28%	0.022471	+12.67%	0.1172	✗	1.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.019933	0.019878	-0.28%	0.019944	+0.05%	0.0082	✓	1.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.022334	0.022241	-0.42%	0.019933	-10.75%	0.0902	✓	1.01
2026-10-06	oos	0.02175	0.021675	-0.35%	0.022334	+2.68%	0.0599	✗	1.11
2026-10-05	oos	0.022515	0.022429	-0.38%	0.02175	-3.40%	0.0280	✓	1.11
2026-10-04	oos	0.022884	0.022796	-0.39%	0.022515	-1.61%	0.0026	✓	1.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.022833	0.022739	-0.42%	0.022884	+0.22%	0.0168	✓	1.13
2026-10-02	oos	0.022786	0.022693	-0.41%	0.022833	+0.21%	0.0030	✓	1.13
2026-10-01	oos	0.022953	0.022868	-0.37%	0.022786	-0.73%	0.0010	✓	1.13
2026-09-30	oos	0.023642	0.023537	-0.44%	0.022953	-2.92%	0.0431	✓	1.17
2026-09-29	oos	0.022532	0.02245	-0.36%	0.023642	+4.93%	0.0529	✗	1.17
2026-09-28	oos	0.021848	0.021777	-0.32%	0.022532	+3.13%	0.0315	✗	1.17
2026-09-27	oos	0.024924	0.024806	-0.47%	0.021848	-12.34%	0.1142	✓	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.025513	0.025376	-0.54%	0.024924	-2.31%	0.0186	✓	1.07
2026-09-25	oos	0.024789	0.024662	-0.51%	0.025513	+2.92%	0.0301	✗	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.024097	0.023983	-0.47%	0.024789	+2.87%	0.0365	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.023279	0.023182	-0.41%	0.024097	+3.51%	0.0386	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.024603	0.024483	-0.49%	0.023279	-5.38%	0.0291	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.023323	0.023233	-0.39%	0.024603	+5.49%	0.0619	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.021137	0.021071	-0.31%	0.023323	+10.34%	0.0367	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.021371	0.021305	-0.31%	0.021137	-1.09%	0.0070	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.0216	0.021537	-0.29%	0.021371	-1.06%	0.0122	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.020413	0.020372	-0.20%	0.0216	+5.81%	0.0009	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.020576	0.020538	-0.19%	0.020413	-0.79%	0.0088	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.021305	0.021251	-0.25%	0.020576	-3.42%	0.0397	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.020442	0.02043	-0.06%	0.021305	+4.22%	0.0756	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.020262	0.02025	-0.06%	0.020442	+0.89%	0.0083	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.021569	0.021489	-0.37%	0.020262	-6.06%	0.0527	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.020448	0.020451	+0.02%	0.021569	+5.48%	0.0525	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.018637	0.018683	+0.25%	0.020448	+9.71%	0.0815	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.02012	0.020168	+0.24%	0.018637	-7.37%	0.0564	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.020503	0.02056	+0.28%	0.02012	-1.87%	0.0195	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.020774	0.020848	+0.36%	0.020503	-1.30%	0.0085	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.020602	0.020702	+0.49%	0.020774	+0.83%	0.0191	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.020591	0.020686	+0.46%	0.020602	+0.05%	0.0104	✗	1.00