ASSET

REAL · Ethereum · gru_s3

token id: #914
symbol: ASSET
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x99e980265bf36516c442be982df1772a6ccb3233
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 498

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

159

of 166 predictions shown

direction hit

54.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1053

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0298

actual +0.0347

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.18042	0.177779	-1.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-20	oos	0.18043	0.177918	-1.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-19	oos	0.18359	0.181038	-1.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.184295	0.181943	-1.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-17	oos	0.182895	0.180573	-1.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-16	oos	0.178165	0.176069	-1.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-15	oos	0.18215	0.179926	-1.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-14	oos	0.18487	0.182477	-1.29%	0.18042	-2.41%	0.0116	✓	0.02
2026-10-13	oos	0.182	0.180003	-1.10%	0.18043	-0.86%	0.0023	✓	-0.02
2026-10-12	oos	0.1805	0.178407	-1.16%	0.18359	+1.71%	0.0287	✗	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.18504	0.182907	-1.15%	0.184295	-0.40%	0.0073	✓	-0.01
2026-10-10	oos	0.18501	0.182965	-1.11%	0.182895	-1.14%	0.0005	✓	-0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.182435	0.180584	-1.01%	0.178165	-2.34%	0.0135	✓	-0.00
2026-10-08	oos	0.1874	0.185107	-1.22%	0.18215	-2.80%	0.0161	✓	-0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.185	0.183096	-1.03%	0.18487	-0.07%	0.0100	✓	0.02
2026-10-06	oos	0.19033	0.188558	-0.93%	0.182	-4.38%	0.0357	✓	-0.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.178	0.176705	-0.73%	0.1805	+1.40%	0.0223	✗	0.02
2026-10-04	oos	0.1936	0.1921	-0.77%	0.18504	-4.42%	0.0377	✓	-0.01
2026-10-03	oos	0.194695	0.193004	-0.87%	0.18501	-4.97%	0.0425	✓	-0.01
2026-10-02	oos	0.202175	0.199978	-1.09%	0.182435	-9.76%	0.0920	✓	-0.01
2026-10-01	oos	0.197955	0.196076	-0.95%	0.1874	-5.33%	0.0454	✓	-0.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.2008	0.198403	-1.19%	0.185	-7.87%	0.0699	✓	0.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.19782	0.195922	-0.96%	0.19033	-3.79%	0.0300	✓	0.05
2026-09-28	oos	0.195415	0.193586	-0.94%	0.178	-8.91%	0.0849	✓	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.2026	0.201605	-0.49%	0.1936	-4.44%	0.0384	✓	-0.09
2026-09-26	oos	0.22275	0.220931	-0.82%	0.194695	-12.59%	0.1260	✓	-0.10
2026-09-25	oos	0.22897	0.226779	-0.96%	0.202175	-11.70%	0.1144	✓	-0.10
2026-09-24	oos	0.23369	0.231142	-1.09%	0.197955	-15.29%	0.1545	✓	-0.10
2026-09-23	oos	0.24311	0.240517	-1.07%	0.2008	-17.40%	0.1815	✓	-0.10
2026-09-22	oos	0.238275	0.237107	-0.49%	0.19782	-16.98%	0.1834	✓	-0.07
2026-09-21	oos	0.24785	0.246661	-0.48%	0.195415	-21.16%	0.2383	✓	-0.15
2026-09-20	oos	0.24671	0.24382	-1.17%	0.2026	-17.88%	0.1794	✓	-0.14
2026-09-19	oos	0.23124	0.229489	-0.76%	0.22275	-3.67%	0.0245	✓	-0.14
2026-09-18	oos	0.23163	0.229965	-0.72%	0.22897	-1.15%	0.0012	✓	-0.14
2026-09-17	oos	0.23271	0.22969	-1.30%	0.23369	+0.42%	0.0318	✗	-0.15
2026-09-16	oos	0.2335	0.230833	-1.14%	0.24311	+4.12%	0.0672	✗	-0.15
2026-09-15	oos	0.24225	0.238959	-1.36%	0.238275	-1.64%	0.0095	✓	-0.09
2026-09-14	oos	0.24074	0.238603	-0.89%	0.24785	+2.95%	0.0460	✗	-0.08
2026-09-13	oos	0.240105	0.237977	-0.89%	0.24671	+2.75%	0.0402	✗	-0.08
2026-09-12	oos	0.2405	0.238797	-0.71%	0.23124	-3.85%	0.0284	✓	-0.07
2026-09-11	oos	0.24871	0.246597	-0.85%	0.23163	-6.87%	0.0593	✓	-0.07
2026-09-10	oos	0.25068	0.248339	-0.93%	0.23271	-7.17%	0.0652	✓	-0.08
2026-09-09	oos	0.24441	0.243122	-0.53%	0.2335	-4.46%	0.0421	✓	-0.06
2026-09-08	oos	0.245365	0.244603	-0.31%	0.24225	-1.27%	0.0097	✓	-0.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.24287	0.24286	-0.00%	0.24074	-0.88%	0.0088	✓	-0.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.245	0.245363	+0.15%	0.240105	-2.00%	0.0252	✗	-0.08
2026-09-05	oos	0.245875	0.246107	+0.09%	0.2405	-2.19%	0.0260	✗	-0.09
2026-09-04	oos	0.252975	0.252922	-0.02%	0.24871	-1.69%	0.0191	✓	-0.07
2026-09-03	oos	0.26135	0.261841	+0.19%	0.25068	-4.08%	0.0492	✗	-0.09
2026-09-02	oos	0.25512	0.255082	-0.01%	0.24441	-4.20%	0.0421	✓	-0.05
2026-09-01	oos	0.26499	0.264564	-0.16%	0.245365	-7.41%	0.0742	✓	-0.08
2026-08-31	oos	0.252875	0.253556	+0.27%	0.24287	-3.96%	0.0422	✗	-0.13
2026-08-30	oos	0.259595	0.259535	-0.02%	0.245	-5.62%	0.0487	✓	-0.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.24012	0.240651	+0.22%	0.245875	+2.40%	0.0259	✓	-0.22
2026-08-28	oos	0.233425	0.234232	+0.35%	0.252975	+8.38%	0.0821	✓	-0.22
2026-08-27	oos	0.24205	0.242949	+0.37%	0.26135	+7.97%	0.0762	✓	-0.26
2026-08-26	oos	0.2484	0.248723	+0.13%	0.25512	+2.71%	0.0199	✓	-0.25
2026-08-25	oos	0.24627	0.246369	+0.04%	0.26499	+7.60%	0.0693	✓	-0.24
2026-08-24	oos	0.25147	0.251564	+0.04%	0.252875	+0.56%	0.0036	✓	-0.29
2026-08-23	oos	0.25364	0.253597	-0.02%	0.259595	+2.35%	0.0232	✗	-0.26
2026-08-22	oos	0.258565	0.2584	-0.06%	0.24012	-7.13%	0.0695	✓	-0.25
2026-08-21	oos	0.253835	0.253676	-0.06%	0.233425	-8.04%	0.0848	✓	-0.26
2026-08-20	oos	0.2488	0.248127	-0.27%	0.24205	-2.71%	0.0057	✗	-0.32
2026-08-19	oos	0.251865	0.250098	-0.70%	0.2484	-1.38%	0.0368	✗	-0.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.257515	0.253449	-1.58%	0.24627	-4.37%	0.0335	✗	-0.32
2026-08-17	oos	0.263055	0.258558	-1.71%	0.25147	-4.40%	0.0422	✗	-0.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.261825	0.256754	-1.94%	0.25364	-3.13%	0.0633	✗	-0.36
2026-08-15	oos	0.26281	0.257771	-1.92%	0.258565	-1.62%	0.0765	✗	-0.36
2026-08-14	oos	0.26914	0.263622	-2.05%	0.253835	-5.69%	0.0355	✗	-0.34
2026-08-13	oos	0.26543	0.260238	-1.96%	0.2488	-6.27%	0.0138	✓	-0.42
2026-08-12	oos	0.257655	0.252941	-1.83%	0.251865	-2.25%	0.0511	✗	-0.62
2026-08-11	oos	0.26611	0.260532	-2.10%	0.257515	-3.23%	0.0022	✓	-0.53
2026-08-10	oos	0.258425	0.253081	-2.07%	0.263055	+1.79%	0.0425	✗	-0.43
2026-08-09	oos	0.258105	0.252613	-2.13%	0.261825	+1.44%	0.0192	✓	-0.53
2026-08-08	oos	0.262765	0.25672	-2.30%	0.26281	+0.02%	0.0072	✓	-0.55
2026-08-07	oos	0.2584	0.251982	-2.48%	0.26914	+4.16%	0.0480	✗	-0.60
2026-08-06	oos	0.2601	0.253432	-2.56%	0.26543	+2.05%	0.0386	✗	-0.58
2026-08-05	oos	0.26411	0.256966	-2.70%	0.257655	-2.44%	0.0079	✓	-0.57
2026-08-04	oos	0.25658	0.249051	-2.93%	0.26611	+3.71%	0.0619	✗	-0.53
2026-08-03	oos	0.267695	0.259708	-2.98%	0.258425	-3.46%	0.0016	✓	-0.48
2026-08-02	oos	0.266015	0.258065	-2.99%	0.258105	-2.97%	0.0109	✓	-0.51
2026-08-01	oos	0.258765	0.25135	-2.87%	0.262765	+1.55%	0.0593	✗	-0.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.26543	0.257872	-2.85%	0.2584	-2.65%	0.0166	✓	-0.45
2026-07-30	oos	0.26337	0.255578	-2.96%	0.2601	-1.24%	0.0142	✓	-0.47
2026-07-29	oos	0.27105	0.263239	-2.88%	0.26411	-2.56%	0.0056	✓	-0.21
2026-07-28	oos	0.27033	0.262206	-3.01%	0.25658	-5.09%	0.0210	✓	-0.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.27	0.261659	-3.09%	0.267695	-0.85%	0.0221	✓	-0.20
2026-07-26	oos	0.27424	0.266261	-2.91%	0.266015	-3.00%	0.0076	✓	-0.23
2026-07-25	oos	0.285335	0.277005	-2.92%	0.258765	-9.31%	0.0729	✓	-0.20
2026-07-24	oos	0.27427	0.266043	-3.00%	0.26543	-3.22%	0.0063	✓	-0.20
2026-07-23	oos	0.28433	0.2761	-2.89%	0.26337	-7.37%	0.0484	✓	-0.23
2026-07-22	oos	0.27796	0.269585	-3.01%	0.27105	-2.49%	0.0023	✓	-0.23
2026-07-21	oos	0.28398	0.275874	-2.85%	0.27033	-4.81%	0.0299	✓	-0.23
2026-07-20	oos	0.28799	0.27954	-2.93%	0.27	-6.25%	0.0398	✓	-0.21
2026-07-19	oos	0.27379	0.265241	-3.12%	0.27424	+0.16%	0.0357	✗	-0.23
2026-07-18	oos	0.281705	0.272781	-3.17%	0.285335	+1.29%	0.0432	✗	-0.23
2026-07-17	oos	0.28486	0.276022	-3.10%	0.27427	-3.72%	0.0057	✓	-0.21
2026-07-16	oos	0.27849	0.269955	-3.06%	0.28433	+2.10%	0.0561	✗	-0.21
2026-07-15	oos	0.252995	0.244648	-3.30%	0.27796	+9.87%	0.1314	✗	-0.18
2026-07-14	oos	0.26841	0.259709	-3.24%	0.28398	+5.80%	0.0936	✗	-0.18
2026-07-13	oos	0.26562	0.256898	-3.28%	0.28799	+8.42%	0.1227	✗	-0.18
2026-07-12	oos	0.26993	0.261055	-3.29%	0.27379	+1.43%	0.0508	✗	-0.22
2026-07-11	oos	0.27867	0.269527	-3.28%	0.281705	+1.09%	0.0476	✗	-0.21
2026-07-10	oos	0.27803	0.268702	-3.35%	0.28486	+2.46%	0.0576	✗	-0.21
2026-07-09	oos	0.27415	0.264916	-3.37%	0.27849	+1.58%	0.0520	✗	-0.21
2026-07-08	oos	0.28	0.270358	-3.44%	0.252995	-9.64%	0.0592	✓	-0.18
2026-07-07	oos	0.29089	0.28054	-3.56%	0.26841	-7.73%	0.0385	✓	-0.22
2026-07-06	oos	0.28952	0.279046	-3.62%	0.26562	-8.26%	0.0556	✓	-0.23
2026-07-05	oos	0.29238	0.2814	-3.76%	0.26993	-7.68%	0.0411	✓	-0.22
2026-07-04	oos	0.29104	0.279789	-3.87%	0.27867	-4.25%	0.0017	✓	-0.21
2026-07-03	oos	0.29352	0.281969	-3.94%	0.27803	-5.28%	0.0091	✓	-0.19
2026-07-02	oos	0.292	0.280603	-3.90%	0.27415	-6.11%	0.0183	✓	-0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.27333	0.262981	-3.79%	0.28	+2.44%	0.0717	✗	-0.24
2026-06-30	oos	0.280855	0.270043	-3.85%	0.29089	+3.57%	0.0890	✗	-0.19
2026-06-29	oos	0.24758	0.238859	-3.52%	0.28952	+16.94%	0.1971	✗	-0.08
2026-06-28	oos	0.25	0.24087	-3.65%	0.29238	+16.95%	0.1974	✗	-0.05
2026-06-27	oos	0.250875	0.241377	-3.79%	0.29104	+16.01%	0.1901	✗	-0.06
2026-06-26	oos	0.25667	0.246665	-3.90%	0.29352	+14.36%	0.1760	✗	-0.05
2026-06-25	oos	0.258	0.247783	-3.96%	0.292	+13.18%	0.1653	✗	-0.04
2026-06-24	oos	0.26441	0.25343	-4.15%	0.27333	+3.37%	0.0742	✗	-0.08
2026-06-23	oos	0.243305	0.233554	-4.01%	0.280855	+15.43%	0.1834	✗	-0.02
2026-06-22	oos	0.25176	0.241109	-4.23%	0.24758	-1.66%	0.0224	✓	-0.07
2026-06-21	oos	0.25175	0.240938	-4.29%	0.25	-0.70%	0.0340	✓	-0.05
2026-06-20	oos	0.24887	0.237324	-4.64%	0.250875	+0.81%	0.0516	✗	-0.06
2026-06-19	oos	0.245725	0.233317	-5.05%	0.25667	+4.45%	0.0927	✗	-0.05
2026-06-18	oos	0.25078	0.237873	-5.15%	0.258	+2.88%	0.0805	✗	-0.01
2026-06-17	oos	0.265975	0.251873	-5.30%	0.26441	-0.59%	0.0423	✓	-0.11
2026-06-16	oos	0.27077	0.256125	-5.41%	0.243305	-10.14%	0.0584	✓	-0.15
2026-06-15	oos	0.27511	0.26008	-5.46%	0.25176	-8.49%	0.0386	✓	-0.17
2026-06-14	oos	0.274525	0.259387	-5.51%	0.25175	-8.30%	0.0357	✓	-0.15
2026-06-13	oos	0.27333	0.258156	-5.55%	0.24887	-8.95%	0.0370	✓	-0.12
2026-06-12	oos	0.282715	0.266782	-5.64%	0.245725	-13.08%	0.0823	✓	-0.05
2026-06-11	oos	0.281995	0.265824	-5.73%	0.25078	-11.07%	0.0588	✓	-0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.26464	0.250335	-5.41%	0.265975	+0.50%	0.0663	✗	-0.12
2026-06-09	oos	0.256955	0.243047	-5.41%	0.27077	+5.38%	0.1154	✗	-0.12
2026-06-08	oos	0.23368	0.222093	-4.96%	0.27511	+17.73%	0.2168	✗	-0.06
2026-06-07	oos	0.2178	0.207226	-4.85%	0.274525	+26.04%	0.2834	✗	-0.06
2026-06-06	oos	0.21444	0.204281	-4.74%	0.27333	+27.46%	0.2919	✗	-0.01
2026-06-05	oos	0.21939	0.208418	-5.00%	0.282715	+28.86%	0.3048	✗	0.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.23152	0.218608	-5.58%	0.281995	+21.80%	0.2535	✗	-0.29
2026-06-03	oos	0.1936	0.185101	-4.39%	0.26464	+36.69%	0.3449	✗	-0.30
2026-06-02	oos	0.18198	0.17398	-4.40%	0.256955	+41.20%	0.3715	✗	-0.24
2026-06-01	oos	0.16522	0.158229	-4.23%	0.23368	+41.44%	0.4217	✗	0.26
2026-05-31	oos	0.169535	0.161743	-4.60%	0.2178	+28.47%	0.2992	✗	0.01
2026-05-30	oos	0.17431	0.165719	-4.93%	0.21444	+23.02%	0.2568	✗	-0.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.177695	0.168267	-5.31%	0.21939	+23.46%	0.4494	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.178315	0.168188	-5.68%	0.23152	+29.84%	0.4612	✗	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.180295	0.169184	-6.16%	0.1936	+7.38%	0.2836	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.164055	0.153338	-6.53%	0.18198	+10.93%	0.3001	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.17311	0.161145	-6.91%	0.16522	-4.56%	0.1049	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.17411	0.161455	-7.27%	0.169535	-2.63%	0.0940	✗	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.18742	0.173488	-7.43%	0.17431	-6.99%	0.0430	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.185295	0.171142	-7.64%	0.177695	-4.10%	0.0655	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.181295	0.167187	-7.78%	0.178315	-1.64%	0.1179	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.17322	0.159748	-7.78%	0.180295	+4.08%	0.1626	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.18601	0.171385	-7.86%	0.164055	-11.80%	0.0314	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.19024	0.17455	-8.25%	0.17311	-9.00%	0.0122	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.17619	0.161682	-8.23%	0.17411	-1.18%	0.0796	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.19502	0.176441	-9.53%	0.18742	-3.90%	0.0792	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.15268	0.140432	-8.02%	0.185295	+21.36%	0.3240	✗	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.116155	0.10969	-5.57%	0.181295	+56.08%	0.5470	✗	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10455	0.099523	-4.81%	0.17322	+65.68%	0.5773	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.12761	0.119168	-6.62%	0.18601	+45.76%	0.4926	✗	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.10276	0.098911	-3.75%	0.19024	+85.13%	0.7144	✗	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.08032	0.078612	-2.13%	0.17619	+119.36%	0.8671	✗	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.08549	0.083371	-2.48%	0.19502	+128.12%	0.8819	✗	1.00