ASSET

REAL · Ethereum · gru_s3

token id: #914
symbol: ASSET
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x99e980265bf36516c442be982df1772a6ccb3233
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 501

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

166

of 167 predictions shown

direction hit

54.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0357

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0070

actual +0.0055

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.17994	0.17944	-0.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.00
2026-10-21	oos	0.179535	0.179149	-0.22%	0.17994	+0.23%	0.0044	✗	0.02
2026-10-20	oos	0.18043	0.180013	-0.23%	0.179535	-0.50%	0.0027	✓	0.01
2026-10-19	oos	0.18359	0.183261	-0.18%	0.18043	-1.72%	0.0158	✓	0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.184295	0.184112	-0.10%	0.18359	-0.38%	0.0028	✓	0.01
2026-10-17	oos	0.182895	0.182688	-0.11%	0.184295	+0.77%	0.0086	✗	0.02
2026-10-16	oos	0.178165	0.178025	-0.08%	0.182895	+2.65%	0.0270	✗	0.02
2026-10-15	oos	0.18215	0.181954	-0.11%	0.178165	-2.19%	0.0209	✓	0.02
2026-10-14	oos	0.18487	0.184604	-0.14%	0.18215	-1.47%	0.0135	✓	0.02
2026-10-13	oos	0.182	0.181802	-0.11%	0.18487	+1.58%	0.0163	✗	-0.02
2026-10-12	oos	0.1805	0.180213	-0.16%	0.182	+0.83%	0.0101	✗	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.18504	0.184748	-0.16%	0.1805	-2.45%	0.0236	✓	-0.01
2026-10-10	oos	0.18501	0.184853	-0.08%	0.18504	+0.02%	0.0011	✗	-0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.182435	0.182285	-0.08%	0.18501	+1.41%	0.0149	✗	-0.00
2026-10-08	oos	0.1874	0.187214	-0.10%	0.182435	-2.65%	0.0259	✓	-0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.185	0.184829	-0.09%	0.1874	+1.30%	0.0141	✗	0.02
2026-10-06	oos	0.19033	0.190136	-0.10%	0.185	-2.80%	0.0276	✓	-0.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.178	0.17788	-0.07%	0.19033	+6.93%	0.0677	✗	0.02
2026-10-04	oos	0.1936	0.193283	-0.16%	0.178	-8.06%	0.0825	✓	-0.01
2026-10-03	oos	0.194695	0.194179	-0.26%	0.1936	-0.56%	0.0028	✓	-0.01
2026-10-02	oos	0.202175	0.201834	-0.17%	0.194695	-3.70%	0.0360	✓	-0.01
2026-10-01	oos	0.197955	0.197596	-0.18%	0.202175	+2.13%	0.0229	✗	-0.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.2008	0.200338	-0.23%	0.197955	-1.42%	0.0120	✓	0.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.19782	0.197434	-0.20%	0.2008	+1.51%	0.0170	✗	0.05
2026-09-28	oos	0.195415	0.194983	-0.22%	0.19782	+1.23%	0.0144	✗	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.2026	0.201927	-0.33%	0.195415	-3.55%	0.0338	✓	-0.09
2026-09-26	oos	0.22275	0.221973	-0.35%	0.2026	-9.05%	0.0913	✓	-0.10
2026-09-25	oos	0.22897	0.228082	-0.39%	0.22275	-2.72%	0.0233	✓	-0.10
2026-09-24	oos	0.23369	0.232979	-0.30%	0.22897	-2.02%	0.0177	✓	-0.10
2026-09-23	oos	0.24311	0.242489	-0.26%	0.23369	-3.87%	0.0370	✓	-0.10
2026-09-22	oos	0.238275	0.237862	-0.17%	0.24311	+2.03%	0.0203	✗	-0.07
2026-09-21	oos	0.24785	0.247341	-0.21%	0.238275	-3.86%	0.0380	✓	-0.15
2026-09-20	oos	0.24671	0.245874	-0.34%	0.24785	+0.46%	0.0174	✗	-0.14
2026-09-19	oos	0.23124	0.230779	-0.20%	0.24671	+6.69%	0.0666	✗	-0.14
2026-09-18	oos	0.23163	0.231206	-0.18%	0.23124	-0.17%	0.0008	✓	-0.14
2026-09-17	oos	0.23271	0.23212	-0.25%	0.23163	-0.46%	0.0063	✗	-0.15
2026-09-16	oos	0.2335	0.232772	-0.31%	0.23271	-0.34%	0.0001	✓	-0.15
2026-09-15	oos	0.24225	0.241546	-0.29%	0.2335	-3.61%	0.0332	✓	-0.09
2026-09-14	oos	0.24074	0.240193	-0.23%	0.24225	+0.63%	0.0059	✗	-0.08
2026-09-13	oos	0.240105	0.239418	-0.29%	0.24074	+0.26%	0.0068	✗	-0.08
2026-09-12	oos	0.2405	0.239697	-0.33%	0.240105	-0.16%	0.0013	✓	-0.07
2026-09-11	oos	0.24871	0.247674	-0.42%	0.2405	-3.30%	0.0293	✓	-0.07
2026-09-10	oos	0.25068	0.249552	-0.45%	0.24871	-0.79%	0.0027	✓	-0.08
2026-09-09	oos	0.24441	0.24358	-0.34%	0.25068	+2.57%	0.0273	✗	-0.06
2026-09-08	oos	0.245365	0.244661	-0.29%	0.24441	-0.39%	0.0010	✓	-0.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.24287	0.242353	-0.21%	0.245365	+1.03%	0.0123	✗	-0.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.245	0.244515	-0.20%	0.24287	-0.87%	0.0080	✓	-0.08
2026-09-05	oos	0.245875	0.245289	-0.24%	0.245	-0.36%	0.0006	✓	-0.09
2026-09-04	oos	0.252975	0.252286	-0.27%	0.245875	-2.81%	0.0256	✓	-0.07
2026-09-03	oos	0.26135	0.260913	-0.17%	0.252975	-3.20%	0.0327	✓	-0.09
2026-09-02	oos	0.25512	0.254607	-0.20%	0.26135	+2.44%	0.0286	✗	-0.05
2026-09-01	oos	0.26499	0.264313	-0.26%	0.25512	-3.72%	0.0355	✓	-0.08
2026-08-31	oos	0.252875	0.252264	-0.24%	0.26499	+4.79%	0.0473	✗	-0.13
2026-08-30	oos	0.259595	0.258553	-0.40%	0.252875	-2.59%	0.0192	✓	-0.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.24012	0.239434	-0.29%	0.259595	+8.11%	0.0792	✗	-0.22
2026-08-28	oos	0.233425	0.232839	-0.25%	0.24012	+2.87%	0.0319	✗	-0.22
2026-08-27	oos	0.24205	0.241526	-0.22%	0.233425	-3.56%	0.0421	✓	-0.26
2026-08-26	oos	0.2484	0.247701	-0.28%	0.24205	-2.56%	0.0192	✓	-0.25
2026-08-25	oos	0.24627	0.245403	-0.35%	0.2484	+0.86%	0.0137	✗	-0.24
2026-08-24	oos	0.25147	0.25057	-0.36%	0.24627	-2.07%	0.0190	✓	-0.29
2026-08-23	oos	0.25364	0.25283	-0.32%	0.25147	-0.86%	0.0013	✓	-0.26
2026-08-22	oos	0.258565	0.257775	-0.31%	0.25364	-1.90%	0.0139	✓	-0.25
2026-08-21	oos	0.253835	0.252923	-0.36%	0.258565	+1.86%	0.0178	✗	-0.26
2026-08-20	oos	0.2488	0.247863	-0.38%	0.253835	+2.02%	0.0464	✗	-0.32
2026-08-19	oos	0.251865	0.250807	-0.42%	0.2488	-1.22%	0.0093	✗	-0.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.257515	0.256143	-0.53%	0.251865	-2.19%	0.0053	✓	-0.32
2026-08-17	oos	0.263055	0.261638	-0.54%	0.257515	-2.11%	0.0148	✓	-0.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.261825	0.260406	-0.54%	0.263055	+0.47%	0.0193	✗	-0.36
2026-08-15	oos	0.26281	0.261458	-0.51%	0.261825	-0.37%	0.0003	✓	-0.36
2026-08-14	oos	0.26914	0.267743	-0.52%	0.26281	-2.35%	0.0184	✓	-0.34
2026-08-13	oos	0.26543	0.264247	-0.45%	0.26914	+1.40%	0.0154	✗	-0.42
2026-08-12	oos	0.257655	0.25681	-0.33%	0.26543	+3.02%	0.0331	✗	-0.62
2026-08-11	oos	0.26611	0.265035	-0.40%	0.257655	-3.18%	0.0292	✓	-0.53
2026-08-10	oos	0.258425	0.257583	-0.33%	0.26611	+2.97%	0.0300	✗	-0.43
2026-08-09	oos	0.258105	0.257428	-0.26%	0.258425	+0.12%	0.0038	✓	-0.53
2026-08-08	oos	0.262765	0.262051	-0.27%	0.258105	-1.77%	0.0157	✓	-0.55
2026-08-07	oos	0.2584	0.257744	-0.25%	0.262765	+1.69%	0.0195	✗	-0.60
2026-08-06	oos	0.2601	0.259484	-0.24%	0.2584	-0.65%	0.0014	✓	-0.58
2026-08-05	oos	0.26411	0.263492	-0.23%	0.2601	-1.52%	0.0159	✓	-0.57
2026-08-04	oos	0.25658	0.256063	-0.20%	0.26411	+2.93%	0.0355	✗	-0.53
2026-08-03	oos	0.267695	0.267082	-0.23%	0.25658	-4.15%	0.0357	✓	-0.48
2026-08-02	oos	0.266015	0.265429	-0.22%	0.267695	+0.63%	0.0082	✗	-0.51
2026-08-01	oos	0.258765	0.258252	-0.20%	0.266015	+2.80%	0.0348	✗	-0.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.26543	0.264804	-0.24%	0.258765	-2.51%	0.0235	✓	-0.45
2026-07-30	oos	0.26337	0.262687	-0.26%	0.26543	+0.78%	0.0035	✓	-0.47
2026-07-29	oos	0.27105	0.270207	-0.31%	0.26337	-2.83%	0.0230	✓	-0.21
2026-07-28	oos	0.27033	0.269661	-0.25%	0.27105	+0.27%	0.0053	✗	-0.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.27	0.269339	-0.24%	0.27033	+0.12%	0.0042	✗	-0.20
2026-07-26	oos	0.27424	0.273306	-0.34%	0.27	-1.55%	0.0181	✓	-0.23
2026-07-25	oos	0.285335	0.284323	-0.35%	0.27424	-3.89%	0.0329	✓	-0.20
2026-07-24	oos	0.27427	0.273362	-0.33%	0.285335	+4.03%	0.0435	✗	-0.20
2026-07-23	oos	0.28433	0.283125	-0.42%	0.27427	-3.54%	0.0352	✓	-0.23
2026-07-22	oos	0.27796	0.27693	-0.37%	0.28433	+2.29%	0.0228	✗	-0.23
2026-07-21	oos	0.28398	0.282604	-0.48%	0.27796	-2.12%	0.0181	✓	-0.23
2026-07-20	oos	0.28799	0.286456	-0.53%	0.28398	-1.39%	0.0044	✓	-0.21
2026-07-19	oos	0.27379	0.272758	-0.38%	0.28799	+5.19%	0.0562	✗	-0.23
2026-07-18	oos	0.281705	0.28063	-0.38%	0.27379	-2.81%	0.0251	✓	-0.23
2026-07-17	oos	0.28486	0.283609	-0.44%	0.281705	-1.11%	0.0038	✓	-0.21
2026-07-16	oos	0.27849	0.277281	-0.43%	0.28486	+2.29%	0.0274	✗	-0.21
2026-07-15	oos	0.252995	0.252315	-0.27%	0.27849	+10.08%	0.0961	✗	-0.18
2026-07-14	oos	0.26841	0.267523	-0.33%	0.252995	-5.74%	0.0566	✓	-0.18
2026-07-13	oos	0.26562	0.26471	-0.34%	0.26841	+1.05%	0.0217	✗	-0.18
2026-07-12	oos	0.26993	0.268888	-0.39%	0.26562	-1.60%	0.0173	✓	-0.22
2026-07-11	oos	0.27867	0.27727	-0.50%	0.26993	-3.14%	0.0269	✓	-0.21
2026-07-10	oos	0.27803	0.27684	-0.43%	0.27867	+0.23%	0.0054	✗	-0.21
2026-07-09	oos	0.27415	0.273001	-0.42%	0.27803	+1.42%	0.0214	✗	-0.21
2026-07-08	oos	0.28	0.278722	-0.46%	0.27415	-2.09%	0.0138	✓	-0.18
2026-07-07	oos	0.29089	0.289493	-0.48%	0.28	-3.74%	0.0372	✓	-0.22
2026-07-06	oos	0.28952	0.288052	-0.51%	0.29089	+0.47%	0.0074	✗	-0.23
2026-07-05	oos	0.29238	0.290784	-0.55%	0.28952	-0.98%	0.0029	✓	-0.22
2026-07-04	oos	0.29104	0.289538	-0.52%	0.29238	+0.46%	0.0114	✗	-0.21
2026-07-03	oos	0.29352	0.291891	-0.55%	0.29104	-0.84%	0.0012	✓	-0.19
2026-07-02	oos	0.292	0.290214	-0.61%	0.29352	+0.52%	0.0144	✗	-0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.27333	0.271844	-0.54%	0.292	+6.83%	0.0776	✗	-0.24
2026-06-30	oos	0.280855	0.279018	-0.65%	0.27333	-2.68%	0.0161	✓	-0.19
2026-06-29	oos	0.24758	0.246064	-0.61%	0.280855	+13.44%	0.1301	✗	-0.08
2026-06-28	oos	0.25	0.2485	-0.60%	0.24758	-0.97%	0.0031	✓	-0.05
2026-06-27	oos	0.250875	0.249345	-0.61%	0.25	-0.35%	0.0022	✓	-0.06
2026-06-26	oos	0.25667	0.254904	-0.69%	0.250875	-2.26%	0.0160	✓	-0.05
2026-06-25	oos	0.258	0.256047	-0.76%	0.25667	-0.52%	0.0026	✓	-0.04
2026-06-24	oos	0.26441	0.261866	-0.96%	0.258	-2.42%	0.0166	✓	-0.08
2026-06-23	oos	0.243305	0.241219	-0.86%	0.26441	+8.67%	0.0914	✗	-0.02
2026-06-22	oos	0.25176	0.249038	-1.08%	0.243305	-3.36%	0.0247	✓	-0.07
2026-06-21	oos	0.25175	0.249288	-0.98%	0.25176	+0.00%	0.0104	✗	-0.05
2026-06-20	oos	0.24887	0.24625	-1.05%	0.25175	+1.16%	0.0212	✗	-0.06
2026-06-19	oos	0.245725	0.243276	-1.00%	0.24887	+1.28%	0.0233	✗	-0.05
2026-06-18	oos	0.25078	0.248203	-1.03%	0.245725	-2.02%	0.0099	✓	-0.01
2026-06-17	oos	0.265975	0.263047	-1.10%	0.25078	-5.71%	0.0505	✓	-0.11
2026-06-16	oos	0.27077	0.26764	-1.16%	0.265975	-1.77%	0.0090	✓	-0.15
2026-06-15	oos	0.27511	0.271734	-1.23%	0.27077	-1.58%	0.0053	✓	-0.17
2026-06-14	oos	0.274525	0.27108	-1.26%	0.27511	+0.21%	0.0161	✗	-0.15
2026-06-13	oos	0.27333	0.269851	-1.27%	0.274525	+0.44%	0.0195	✗	-0.12
2026-06-12	oos	0.282715	0.278859	-1.36%	0.27333	-3.32%	0.0193	✓	-0.05
2026-06-11	oos	0.281995	0.277908	-1.45%	0.282715	+0.26%	0.0171	✗	-0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.26464	0.260973	-1.39%	0.281995	+6.56%	0.0816	✗	-0.12
2026-06-09	oos	0.256955	0.253033	-1.53%	0.26464	+2.99%	0.0444	✗	-0.12
2026-06-08	oos	0.23368	0.23064	-1.30%	0.256955	+9.96%	0.1068	✗	-0.06
2026-06-07	oos	0.2178	0.215095	-1.24%	0.23368	+7.29%	0.0827	✗	-0.06
2026-06-06	oos	0.21444	0.211815	-1.22%	0.2178	+1.57%	0.0283	✗	-0.01
2026-06-05	oos	0.21939	0.216361	-1.38%	0.21444	-2.26%	0.0089	✓	0.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.23152	0.227432	-1.77%	0.21939	-5.24%	0.0487	✓	-0.29
2026-06-03	oos	0.1936	0.191206	-1.24%	0.23152	+19.59%	0.1902	✗	-0.30
2026-06-02	oos	0.18198	0.179567	-1.33%	0.1936	+6.39%	0.0657	✗	-0.24
2026-06-01	oos	0.16522	0.16283	-1.45%	0.18198	+10.14%	0.1287	✗	0.26
2026-05-31	oos	0.169535	0.166847	-1.59%	0.16522	-2.55%	0.0095	✓	0.01
2026-05-30	oos	0.17431	0.171357	-1.69%	0.169535	-2.74%	0.0107	✓	-0.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.177695	0.174574	-1.76%	0.17431	-1.90%	0.0070	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.178315	0.174979	-1.87%	0.177695	-0.35%	0.0174	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.180295	0.176755	-1.96%	0.178315	-1.10%	0.0197	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.164055	0.160816	-1.97%	0.180295	+9.90%	0.1345	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.17311	0.169482	-2.10%	0.164055	-5.23%	0.0140	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.17411	0.170446	-2.10%	0.17311	-0.57%	0.0120	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.18742	0.183194	-2.25%	0.17411	-7.10%	0.0551	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.185295	0.181149	-2.24%	0.18742	+1.15%	0.0182	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.181295	0.1771	-2.31%	0.185295	+2.21%	0.0727	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.17322	0.169176	-2.33%	0.181295	+4.66%	0.0683	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.18601	0.181338	-2.51%	0.17322	-6.88%	0.0550	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.19024	0.185029	-2.74%	0.18601	-2.22%	0.0076	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.17619	0.171153	-2.86%	0.19024	+7.97%	0.1117	✗	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.19502	0.187458	-3.88%	0.17619	-9.66%	0.0530	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.15268	0.148165	-2.96%	0.19502	+27.73%	0.2869	✗	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.116155	0.114226	-1.66%	0.15268	+31.45%	0.3154	✗	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10455	0.103161	-1.33%	0.116155	+11.10%	0.0963	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.12761	0.124218	-2.66%	0.10455	-18.07%	0.1574	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.10276	0.101472	-1.25%	0.12761	+24.18%	0.2445	✗	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.08032	0.079746	-0.71%	0.10276	+27.94%	0.2593	✗	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.08549	0.08479	-0.82%	0.08032	-6.05%	0.0731	✓	1.00