ARCSOL

? · · gru_s3

token id: #958
symbol: ARCSOL
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-12-11
predictions: 1,986

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

47.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1773

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0231

actual +0.0282

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.050705	0.049933	-1.52%	–	pending	–	–	-0.17
2026-10-20	oos	0.05179	0.051007	-1.51%	–	pending	–	–	-0.14
2026-10-19	oos	0.04402	0.04371	-0.70%	–	pending	–	–	-0.19
2026-10-18	oos	0.041255	0.041214	-0.10%	–	pending	–	–	-0.20
2026-10-17	oos	0.040095	0.040269	+0.43%	–	pending	–	–	-0.21
2026-10-16	oos	0.035465	0.036094	+1.77%	–	pending	–	–	-0.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.03882	0.039351	+1.37%	–	pending	–	–	-0.22
2026-10-14	oos	0.036985	0.037736	+2.03%	0.050705	+37.10%	0.2986	✓	-0.23
2026-10-13	oos	0.031545	0.032406	+2.73%	0.05179	+64.18%	0.4686	✓	-0.13
2026-10-12	oos	0.05973	0.059346	-0.64%	0.04402	-26.30%	0.2989	✓	0.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.06296	0.062485	-0.75%	0.041255	-34.47%	0.4114	✓	0.18
2026-10-10	oos	0.061445	0.061024	-0.69%	0.040095	-34.75%	0.4161	✓	0.21
2026-10-09	oos	0.062975	0.062389	-0.93%	0.035465	-43.68%	0.5621	✓	0.21
2026-10-08	oos	0.060855	0.060362	-0.81%	0.03882	-36.21%	0.4425	✓	0.21
2026-10-07	oos	0.06405	0.063387	-1.03%	0.036985	-42.26%	0.5350	✓	0.18
2026-10-06	oos	0.071945	0.07088	-1.48%	0.031545	-56.15%	0.8072	✓	0.08
2026-10-05	oos	0.070345	0.069432	-1.30%	0.05973	-15.09%	0.1466	✓	0.08
2026-10-04	oos	0.073015	0.072007	-1.38%	0.06296	-13.77%	0.1317	✓	0.08
2026-10-03	oos	0.071135	0.07017	-1.36%	0.061445	-13.62%	0.1314	✓	0.07
2026-10-02	oos	0.070635	0.069731	-1.28%	0.062975	-10.84%	0.1002	✓	0.07
2026-10-01	oos	0.07224	0.07132	-1.27%	0.060855	-15.76%	0.1562	✓	0.06
2026-09-30	oos	0.07045	0.069629	-1.17%	0.06405	-9.08%	0.0834	✓	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.07265	0.071761	-1.22%	0.071945	-0.97%	0.0018	✓	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.06992	0.069199	-1.03%	0.070345	+0.61%	0.0156	✗	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.07275	0.071976	-1.06%	0.073015	+0.36%	0.0141	✗	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.07069	0.070065	-0.88%	0.071135	+0.63%	0.0152	✗	0.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.07175	0.071043	-0.98%	0.070635	-1.55%	0.0057	✓	-0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.07354	0.072791	-1.02%	0.07224	-1.77%	0.0075	✓	-0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.07853	0.077499	-1.31%	0.07045	-10.29%	0.0956	✓	-0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.078215	0.077479	-0.94%	0.07265	-7.12%	0.0653	✓	-0.03
2026-09-21	oos	0.07816	0.077573	-0.75%	0.06992	-10.54%	0.1049	✓	-0.03
2026-09-20	oos	0.073655	0.072792	-1.17%	0.07275	-1.23%	0.0046	✓	-0.13
2026-09-19	oos	0.063745	0.063525	-0.34%	0.07069	+10.89%	0.1109	✗	-0.10
2026-09-18	oos	0.070975	0.070329	-0.91%	0.07175	+1.09%	0.0239	✗	-0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.07026	0.069308	-1.35%	0.07354	+4.67%	0.0718	✗	-0.13
2026-09-16	oos	0.07422	0.073057	-1.57%	0.07853	+5.81%	0.0858	✗	-0.13
2026-09-15	oos	0.07934	0.077814	-1.92%	0.078215	-1.42%	0.0175	✓	-0.09
2026-09-14	oos	0.07305	0.072242	-1.11%	0.07816	+7.00%	0.0879	✗	-0.09
2026-09-13	oos	0.06938	0.06875	-0.91%	0.073655	+6.16%	0.0744	✗	-0.10
2026-09-12	oos	0.07315	0.07237	-1.07%	0.063745	-12.86%	0.1207	✓	-0.12
2026-09-11	oos	0.07391	0.073141	-1.04%	0.070975	-3.97%	0.0222	✓	-0.17
2026-09-10	oos	0.07355	0.072822	-0.99%	0.07026	-4.47%	0.0362	✓	-0.17
2026-09-09	oos	0.071975	0.071583	-0.54%	0.07422	+3.12%	0.0318	✗	-0.16
2026-09-08	oos	0.07252	0.072154	-0.50%	0.07934	+9.40%	0.0891	✗	-0.16
2026-09-07	oos	0.07476	0.074338	-0.57%	0.07305	-2.29%	0.0195	✓	-0.17
2026-09-06	oos	0.07195	0.071877	-0.10%	0.06938	-3.57%	0.0417	✓	-0.14
2026-09-05	oos	0.074015	0.073864	-0.20%	0.07315	-1.17%	0.0142	✓	-0.14
2026-09-04	oos	0.07428	0.074251	-0.04%	0.07391	-0.50%	0.0084	✓	-0.12
2026-09-03	oos	0.07189	0.07243	+0.75%	0.07355	+2.31%	0.0091	✓	-0.10
2026-09-02	oos	0.07274	0.072965	+0.31%	0.071975	-1.05%	0.0112	✗	-0.19
2026-09-01	oos	0.06482	0.065929	+1.71%	0.07252	+11.88%	0.0978	✓	-0.19
2026-08-31	oos	0.06939	0.070324	+1.35%	0.07476	+7.74%	0.0629	✓	-0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.06761	0.068732	+1.66%	0.07195	+6.42%	0.0495	✓	-0.11
2026-08-29	oos	0.07057	0.071649	+1.53%	0.074015	+4.88%	0.0355	✓	-0.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.06989	0.071105	+1.74%	0.07428	+6.28%	0.0471	✓	-0.15
2026-08-27	oos	0.06683	0.068587	+2.63%	0.07189	+7.57%	0.0483	✓	-0.11
2026-08-26	oos	0.07115	0.072592	+2.03%	0.07274	+2.23%	0.0001	✓	-0.09
2026-08-25	oos	0.07217	0.073536	+1.89%	0.06482	-10.18%	0.1279	✗	-0.12
2026-08-24	oos	0.07048	0.072013	+2.18%	0.06939	-1.55%	0.0377	✗	-0.11
2026-08-23	oos	0.0693	0.070684	+2.00%	0.06761	-2.44%	0.0445	✗	-0.11
2026-08-22	oos	0.06685	0.068163	+1.96%	0.07057	+5.56%	0.0365	✓	-0.12
2026-08-21	oos	0.0681	0.069449	+1.98%	0.06989	+2.63%	0.0055	✓	-0.13
2026-08-20	oos	0.06936	0.069487	+0.18%	0.06683	-3.65%	0.0293	✗	-0.10
2026-08-19	oos	0.0691	0.068391	-1.03%	0.07115	+2.97%	0.0541	✗	-0.11
2026-08-18	oos	0.06936	0.067937	-2.05%	0.07217	+4.05%	0.0839	✗	-0.12
2026-08-17	oos	0.07402	0.07236	-2.24%	0.07048	-4.78%	0.0049	✓	-0.11
2026-08-16	oos	0.07188	0.070204	-2.33%	0.0693	-3.59%	0.0160	✓	-0.14
2026-08-15	oos	0.07187	0.070224	-2.29%	0.06685	-6.98%	0.0226	✓	-0.13
2026-08-14	oos	0.07702	0.075014	-2.60%	0.0681	-11.58%	0.0649	✓	-0.15
2026-08-13	oos	0.0757	0.073802	-2.51%	0.06936	-8.38%	0.0507	✓	-0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.07193	0.070258	-2.33%	0.0691	-3.93%	0.0051	✓	-0.24
2026-08-11	oos	0.06592	0.064652	-1.92%	0.06936	+5.22%	0.0755	✗	-0.29
2026-08-10	oos	0.06458	0.063392	-1.84%	0.07402	+14.62%	0.1573	✗	-0.27
2026-08-09	oos	0.0662	0.065026	-1.77%	0.07188	+8.58%	0.0909	✗	-0.30
2026-08-08	oos	0.06342	0.062288	-1.79%	0.07187	+13.32%	0.1342	✗	-0.30
2026-08-07	oos	0.05236	0.051822	-1.03%	0.07702	+47.10%	0.3850	✗	-0.38
2026-08-06	oos	0.05468	0.054041	-1.17%	0.0757	+38.44%	0.3322	✗	-0.36
2026-08-05	oos	0.0513	0.050837	-0.90%	0.07193	+40.21%	0.3405	✗	-0.35
2026-08-04	oos	0.053	0.052464	-1.01%	0.06592	+24.38%	0.2257	✗	-0.33
2026-08-03	oos	0.0509	0.050446	-0.89%	0.06458	+26.88%	0.2494	✗	-0.35
2026-08-02	oos	0.05129	0.050854	-0.85%	0.0662	+29.07%	0.2703	✗	-0.31
2026-08-01	oos	0.05185	0.051425	-0.82%	0.06342	+22.31%	0.2206	✗	-0.32
2026-07-31	oos	0.05344	0.05299	-0.84%	0.05236	-2.02%	0.0015	✓	-0.32
2026-07-30	oos	0.05276	0.05244	-0.61%	0.05468	+3.64%	0.0395	✗	-0.33
2026-07-29	oos	0.0537	0.053357	-0.64%	0.0513	-4.47%	0.0359	✓	-0.31
2026-07-28	oos	0.05151	0.051279	-0.45%	0.053	+2.89%	0.0340	✗	-0.31
2026-07-27	oos	0.05404	0.05373	-0.57%	0.0509	-5.81%	0.0553	✓	-0.33
2026-07-26	oos	0.05593	0.055628	-0.54%	0.05129	-8.30%	0.0895	✓	-0.29
2026-07-25	oos	0.06002	0.059534	-0.81%	0.05185	-13.61%	0.1460	✓	-0.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.06223	0.061677	-0.89%	0.05344	-14.13%	0.1493	✓	-0.30
2026-07-23	oos	0.06145	0.060987	-0.75%	0.05276	-14.14%	0.1464	✓	-0.29
2026-07-22	oos	0.06452	0.064043	-0.74%	0.0537	-16.77%	0.1865	✓	-0.31
2026-07-21	oos	0.0666	0.066094	-0.76%	0.05151	-22.66%	0.2620	✓	-0.31
2026-07-20	oos	0.07012	0.069331	-1.12%	0.05404	-22.93%	0.2560	✓	-0.29
2026-07-19	oos	0.07069	0.069813	-1.24%	0.05593	-20.88%	0.2188	✓	-0.29
2026-07-18	oos	0.07093	0.070028	-1.27%	0.06002	-15.38%	0.1563	✓	-0.26
2026-07-17	oos	0.07314	0.072074	-1.46%	0.06223	-14.92%	0.1462	✓	-0.21
2026-07-16	oos	0.07475	0.073605	-1.53%	0.06145	-17.79%	0.1766	✓	-0.19
2026-07-15	oos	0.07579	0.074667	-1.48%	0.06452	-14.87%	0.1411	✓	-0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.08041	0.079073	-1.66%	0.0666	-17.17%	0.1663	✓	-0.23
2026-07-13	oos	0.07419	0.072964	-1.65%	0.07012	-5.49%	0.0226	✓	-0.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.07814	0.076786	-1.73%	0.07069	-9.53%	0.0767	✓	-0.41
2026-07-11	oos	0.07879	0.0774	-1.76%	0.07093	-9.98%	0.0804	✓	-0.43
2026-07-10	oos	0.07946	0.07806	-1.76%	0.07314	-7.95%	0.0666	✓	-0.40
2026-07-09	oos	0.0791	0.077678	-1.80%	0.07475	-5.50%	0.0347	✓	-0.40
2026-07-08	oos	0.08115	0.079588	-1.92%	0.07579	-6.61%	0.0340	✓	-0.38
2026-07-07	oos	0.08095	0.079418	-1.89%	0.08041	-0.67%	0.0209	✗	-0.33
2026-07-06	oos	0.08236	0.08077	-1.93%	0.07419	-9.92%	0.0943	✓	-0.34
2026-07-05	oos	0.08139	0.079804	-1.95%	0.07814	-3.99%	0.0204	✓	-0.29
2026-07-04	oos	0.07808	0.076604	-1.89%	0.07879	+0.91%	0.0314	✗	-0.30
2026-07-03	oos	0.07906	0.077498	-1.98%	0.07946	+0.51%	0.0330	✗	-0.32
2026-07-02	oos	0.08274	0.080958	-2.15%	0.0791	-4.40%	0.0153	✓	-0.29
2026-07-01	oos	0.08328	0.081435	-2.22%	0.08115	-2.56%	0.0072	✓	-0.29
2026-06-30	oos	0.0839	0.082012	-2.25%	0.08095	-3.52%	0.0072	✓	-0.26
2026-06-29	oos	0.08357	0.081666	-2.28%	0.08236	-1.45%	0.0247	✗	-0.26
2026-06-28	oos	0.08813	0.085974	-2.45%	0.08139	-7.65%	0.0414	✓	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.08415	0.082222	-2.29%	0.07808	-7.21%	0.0419	✓	-0.19
2026-06-26	oos	0.08425	0.082301	-2.31%	0.07906	-6.16%	0.0325	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.08372	0.081808	-2.28%	0.08274	-1.17%	0.0168	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.08263	0.080768	-2.25%	0.08328	+0.79%	0.0259	✗	-0.28
2026-06-23	oos	0.08268	0.080799	-2.27%	0.0839	+1.48%	0.0221	✓	-0.23
2026-06-22	oos	0.08369	0.081727	-2.35%	0.08357	-0.14%	0.0065	✓	-0.26
2026-06-21	oos	0.08017	0.078367	-2.25%	0.08813	+9.93%	0.1009	✗	-0.27
2026-06-20	oos	0.07994	0.07811	-2.29%	0.08415	+5.27%	0.0550	✗	-0.28
2026-06-19	oos	0.07887	0.077056	-2.30%	0.08425	+6.82%	0.0741	✗	-0.27
2026-06-18	oos	0.08197	0.079971	-2.44%	0.08372	+2.13%	0.0321	✗	-0.27
2026-06-17	oos	0.08464	0.082442	-2.60%	0.08263	-2.37%	0.0129	✓	-0.27
2026-06-16	oos	0.07379	0.072135	-2.24%	0.08268	+12.05%	0.1247	✗	-0.25
2026-06-15	oos	0.07726	0.075397	-2.41%	0.08369	+8.32%	0.0915	✗	-0.36
2026-06-14	oos	0.08196	0.079834	-2.59%	0.08017	-2.18%	0.0069	✓	-0.29
2026-06-13	oos	0.08941	0.086831	-2.88%	0.07994	-10.59%	0.0837	✓	-0.30
2026-06-12	oos	0.08883	0.08617	-2.99%	0.07887	-11.21%	0.0888	✓	-0.33
2026-06-11	oos	0.08349	0.081225	-2.71%	0.08197	-1.82%	0.0057	✓	-0.31
2026-06-10	oos	0.08397	0.081683	-2.72%	0.08464	+0.80%	0.0507	✗	-0.32
2026-06-09	oos	0.08311	0.080846	-2.72%	0.07379	-11.21%	0.0721	✓	-0.31
2026-06-08	oos	0.08395	0.081537	-2.87%	0.07726	-7.97%	0.0376	✓	-0.33
2026-06-07	oos	0.08357	0.081139	-2.91%	0.08196	-1.93%	0.0200	✓	-0.27
2026-06-06	oos	0.08278	0.080538	-2.71%	0.08941	+8.01%	0.1144	✗	-0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.08116	0.078999	-2.66%	0.08883	+9.45%	0.1233	✗	-0.15
2026-06-04	oos	0.07524	0.073388	-2.46%	0.08349	+10.96%	0.1288	✗	-0.05
2026-06-03	oos	0.07419	0.07239	-2.43%	0.08397	+13.18%	0.1453	✗	-0.08
2026-06-02	oos	0.0709	0.069202	-2.40%	0.08311	+17.22%	0.1838	✗	0.01
2026-06-01	oos	0.07662	0.074413	-2.88%	0.08395	+9.57%	0.1151	✗	-0.04
2026-05-31	oos	0.07343	0.071432	-2.72%	0.08357	+13.81%	0.1666	✗	0.06
2026-05-30	oos	0.07835	0.075995	-3.01%	0.08278	+5.65%	0.1425	✗	0.30
2026-05-29	oos	0.07464	0.072538	-2.82%	0.08116	+8.74%	0.1282	✗	0.09
2026-05-28	oos	0.07173	0.069831	-2.65%	0.07524	+4.89%	0.0812	✗	0.05
2026-05-27	oos	0.06396	0.062562	-2.19%	0.07419	+15.99%	0.1825	✗	0.08
2026-05-26	oos	0.06433	0.062903	-2.22%	0.0709	+10.21%	0.1485	✗	0.22
2026-05-25	oos	0.06502	0.063564	-2.24%	0.07662	+17.84%	0.1367	✗	-0.63
2026-05-24	oos	0.06402	0.062602	-2.21%	0.07343	+14.70%	0.1296	✗	-0.66
2026-05-23	oos	0.06449	0.063003	-2.31%	0.07835	+21.49%	0.1937	✗	-0.63
2026-05-22	oos	0.06401	0.062538	-2.30%	0.07464	+16.61%	0.1581	✗	-0.67
2026-05-21	oos	0.0641	0.062627	-2.30%	0.07173	+11.90%	0.0991	✗	-0.69
2026-05-20	oos	0.06525	0.063707	-2.37%	0.06396	-1.98%	0.0251	✓	-0.70
2026-05-19	oos	0.06462	0.063124	-2.31%	0.06433	-0.45%	0.0103	✓	-0.70
2026-05-18	oos	0.06589	0.064339	-2.35%	0.06502	-1.32%	0.0133	✓	-0.70
2026-05-17	oos	0.06769	0.066072	-2.39%	0.06402	-5.42%	0.0354	✓	-0.69
2026-05-16	oos	0.06178	0.060637	-1.85%	0.06449	+4.39%	0.0491	✗	-0.67
2026-05-15	oos	0.07376	0.071783	-2.68%	0.06401	-13.22%	0.1478	✓	-0.71
2026-05-14	oos	0.06026	0.059367	-1.48%	0.0641	+6.37%	0.0501	✗	-0.60
2026-05-13	oos	0.06384	0.062628	-1.90%	0.06525	+2.21%	0.0300	✗	-0.48
2026-05-12	oos	0.06714	0.065772	-2.04%	0.06462	-3.75%	0.0431	✓	-0.54
2026-05-11	oos	0.06406	0.062959	-1.72%	0.06589	+2.86%	0.0171	✓	-0.47
2026-05-10	oos	0.06287	0.061873	-1.59%	0.06769	+7.67%	0.0589	✗	-0.51
2026-05-09	oos	0.06858	0.067156	-2.08%	0.06178	-9.92%	0.0985	✓	-0.47
2026-05-08	oos	0.06956	0.068073	-2.14%	0.07376	+6.04%	0.0745	✗	-0.40
2026-05-07	oos	0.06741	0.066063	-2.00%	0.06026	-10.61%	0.0882	✓	-0.28
2026-05-06	oos	0.06943	0.068043	-2.00%	0.06384	-8.05%	0.0614	✓	0.09
2026-05-05	oos	0.07004	0.068567	-2.10%	0.06714	-4.14%	0.0214	✓	-0.08
2026-05-04	oos	0.06657	0.065226	-2.02%	0.06406	-3.77%	0.0172	✓	-0.04
2026-05-03	oos	0.06844	0.066926	-2.21%	0.06287	-8.14%	0.0523	✓	-0.23
2026-05-02	oos	0.0717	0.070011	-2.36%	0.06858	-4.35%	0.0158	✓	-0.20
2026-05-01	oos	0.07521	0.073325	-2.51%	0.06956	-7.51%	0.0482	✓	-0.18
2026-04-30	oos	0.07485	0.072933	-2.56%	0.06741	-9.94%	0.0702	✓	-0.18
2026-04-29	oos	0.07517	0.073227	-2.58%	0.06943	-7.64%	0.0406	✓	-0.18
2026-04-28	oos	0.06678	0.065373	-2.11%	0.07004	+4.88%	0.0739	✗	-0.08
2026-04-27	oos	0.07902	0.076804	-2.80%	0.06657	-15.76%	0.1396	✓	-0.11
2026-04-26	oos	0.06856	0.067119	-2.10%	0.06844	-0.18%	0.0194	✓	-0.08
2026-04-25	oos	0.06671	0.065306	-2.10%	0.0717	+7.48%	0.0945	✗	-0.09
2026-04-24	oos	0.06458	0.063254	-2.05%	0.07521	+16.46%	0.1736	✗	-0.04
2026-04-23	oos	0.06653	0.065099	-2.15%	0.07485	+12.51%	0.1384	✗	-0.05
2026-04-22	oos	0.06516	0.063742	-2.18%	0.07517	+15.36%	0.1634	✗	-0.05
2026-04-21	oos	0.06662	0.065008	-2.42%	0.06678	+0.24%	0.0269	✗	-0.04
2026-04-20	oos	0.0665	0.06482	-2.53%	0.07902	+18.83%	0.1994	✗	-0.07
2026-04-19	oos	0.06537	0.063602	-2.70%	0.06856	+4.88%	0.0859	✗	-0.17
2026-04-18	oos	0.06838	0.066511	-2.73%	0.06671	-2.44%	0.0081	✓	-0.20
2026-04-17	oos	0.06957	0.067695	-2.70%	0.06458	-7.17%	0.0461	✓	-0.22
2026-04-16	oos	0.07276	0.07064	-2.91%	0.06653	-8.56%	0.0515	✓	-0.21
2026-04-15	oos	0.06959	0.067611	-2.84%	0.06516	-6.37%	0.0276	✓	-0.21
2026-04-14	oos	0.07018	0.068147	-2.90%	0.06662	-5.07%	0.0167	✓	-0.21
2026-04-13	oos	0.07211	0.07	-2.93%	0.0665	-7.78%	0.0468	✓	-0.24
2026-04-12	oos	0.07456	0.072036	-3.39%	0.06537	-12.33%	0.0949	✓	-0.05
2026-04-11	oos	0.07646	0.074014	-3.20%	0.06838	-10.57%	0.0770	✓	-0.06
2026-04-10	oos	0.071	0.068952	-2.88%	0.06957	-2.01%	0.0120	✓	-0.06
2026-04-09	oos	0.07094	0.068723	-3.13%	0.07276	+2.57%	0.0596	✗	-0.05
2026-04-08	oos	0.05996	0.058518	-2.41%	0.06959	+16.06%	0.1775	✗	-0.08
2026-04-07	oos	0.05853	0.057222	-2.23%	0.07018	+19.90%	0.2066	✗	-0.08
2026-04-06	oos	0.05693	0.05544	-2.62%	0.07211	+26.66%	0.2684	✗	-0.07
2026-04-05	oos	0.05355	0.052254	-2.42%	0.07456	+39.23%	0.3573	✗	-0.07
2026-04-04	oos	0.05503	0.053477	-2.82%	0.07646	+38.94%	0.3625	✗	-0.06
2026-04-03	oos	0.05465	0.053082	-2.87%	0.071	+29.92%	0.2960	✗	-0.06
2026-04-02	oos	0.05233	0.050912	-2.71%	0.07094	+35.56%	0.3357	✗	-0.06
2026-04-01	oos	0.05479	0.053245	-2.82%	0.05996	+9.44%	0.1219	✗	-0.07
2026-03-31	oos	0.05374	0.052253	-2.77%	0.05853	+8.91%	0.1174	✗	-0.07
2026-03-30	oos	0.05065	0.049288	-2.69%	0.05693	+12.40%	0.1470	✗	-0.09
2026-03-29	oos	0.05037	0.048989	-2.74%	0.05355	+6.31%	0.0938	✗	-0.11
2026-03-28	oos	0.0517	0.050205	-2.89%	0.05503	+6.44%	0.0932	✗	-0.10
2026-03-27	oos	0.04745	0.046246	-2.54%	0.05465	+15.17%	0.1680	✗	-0.11
2026-03-26	oos	0.04267	0.04182	-1.99%	0.05233	+22.64%	0.2224	✗	-0.06
2026-03-25	oos	0.04459	0.04373	-1.93%	0.05479	+22.88%	0.2215	✗	-0.09
2026-03-24	oos	0.04665	0.045566	-2.32%	0.05374	+15.20%	0.1622	✗	-0.08
2026-03-23	oos	0.04747	0.046296	-2.47%	0.05065	+6.70%	0.0850	✗	-0.08
2026-03-22	oos	0.04813	0.046739	-2.89%	0.05037	+4.65%	0.0731	✗	-0.06
2026-03-21	oos	0.0497	0.048162	-3.09%	0.0517	+4.02%	0.0684	✗	-0.07
2026-03-20	oos	0.04846	0.04702	-2.97%	0.04745	-2.08%	0.0054	✓	-0.06
2026-03-19	oos	0.04463	0.043431	-2.69%	0.04267	-4.39%	0.0188	✓	-0.07
2026-03-18	oos	0.04082	0.039897	-2.26%	0.04459	+9.24%	0.1112	✗	-0.03
2026-03-17	oos	0.03639	0.035766	-1.71%	0.04665	+28.19%	0.2663	✗	0.01
2026-03-16	oos	0.042995	0.042052	-2.19%	0.04747	+10.41%	0.1241	✗	0.05
2026-03-15	oos	0.04655	0.045284	-2.72%	0.04813	+3.39%	0.0698	✗	0.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.04861	0.047116	-3.07%	0.0497	+2.24%	0.0564	✗	0.09
2026-03-13	oos	0.04251	0.041484	-2.41%	0.04846	+14.00%	0.1558	✗	0.06
2026-03-12	oos	0.04395	0.042805	-2.60%	0.04463	+1.55%	0.0423	✗	0.07
2026-03-11	oos	0.04198	0.040977	-2.39%	0.04082	-2.76%	0.0049	✓	0.07
2026-03-10	oos	0.04267	0.041596	-2.52%	0.03639	-14.72%	0.1375	✓	0.07
2026-03-09	oos	0.0386	0.037864	-1.91%	0.042995	+11.39%	0.1232	✗	0.04
2026-03-08	oos	0.03482	0.034449	-1.07%	0.04655	+33.69%	0.3036	✗	-0.03
2026-03-07	oos	0.03611	0.035606	-1.40%	0.04861	+34.62%	0.3132	✗	-0.03
2026-03-06	oos	0.03847	0.037787	-1.78%	0.04251	+10.50%	0.1196	✗	-0.04
2026-03-05	oos	0.03718	0.036448	-1.97%	0.04395	+18.21%	0.1870	✗	-0.03
2026-03-04	oos	0.03949	0.038531	-2.43%	0.04198	+6.31%	0.0842	✗	-0.04
2026-03-03	oos	0.03686	0.036458	-1.09%	0.04267	+15.76%	0.1595	✗	-0.09
2026-03-02	oos	0.05133	0.049791	-3.00%	0.0386	-24.80%	0.2552	✓	-0.11
2026-03-01	oos	0.04186	0.041567	-0.70%	0.03482	-16.82%	0.1765	✓	-0.20
2026-02-28	oos	0.02815	0.028272	+0.43%	0.03611	+28.28%	0.2448	✓	-0.02
2026-02-27	oos	0.03078	0.029622	-3.76%	0.03847	+24.98%	0.2615	✗	-0.00
2026-02-26	oos	0.03057	0.024555	-19.68%	0.03718	+21.62%	0.4151	✗	-0.00
2026-02-25	oos	0.05789	0.055475	-4.17%	0.03949	-31.78%	0.3372	✓	-0.04
2026-02-24	oos	0.10322	0.098518	-4.55%	0.03686	-64.29%	1.0135	✓	0.47
2026-02-23	oos	0.09076	0.087281	-3.83%	0.05133	-43.44%	0.5597	✓	0.46
2026-02-22	oos	0.09047	0.08672	-4.14%	0.04186	-53.73%	0.7156	✓	0.46
2026-02-21	oos	0.07352	0.071109	-3.28%	0.02815	-61.71%	0.9190	✓	0.52
2026-02-20	oos	0.07318	0.070711	-3.37%	0.03078	-57.94%	0.8191	✓	0.40
2026-02-19	oos	0.07658	0.073903	-3.50%	0.03057	-60.08%	0.8859	✓	0.41
2026-02-18	oos	0.07777	0.07497	-3.60%	0.05789	-25.56%	0.2677	✓	0.39
2026-02-17	oos	0.07714	0.074354	-3.61%	0.10322	+33.81%	0.3509	✗	0.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.07932	0.076319	-3.78%	0.09076	+14.42%	0.2016	✗	0.45
2026-02-15	oos	0.0769	0.074014	-3.75%	0.09047	+17.65%	0.2086	✗	0.46
2026-02-14	oos	0.07943	0.076267	-3.98%	0.07352	-7.44%	0.0246	✓	0.45
2026-02-13	oos	0.08241	0.078824	-4.35%	0.07318	-11.20%	0.0687	✓	0.46
2026-02-12	oos	0.07515	0.072285	-3.81%	0.07658	+1.90%	0.0530	✗	0.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.06673	0.06453	-3.30%	0.07777	+16.54%	0.1906	✗	0.44
2026-02-10	oos	0.0712	0.068513	-3.77%	0.07714	+8.34%	0.1266	✗	0.41
2026-02-09	oos	0.06393	0.061793	-3.34%	0.07932	+24.07%	0.2573	✗	0.43
2026-02-08	oos	0.0755	0.072148	-4.44%	0.0769	+1.85%	0.0727	✗	0.42
2026-02-07	oos	0.06176	0.059878	-3.05%	0.07943	+28.61%	0.2798	✗	0.35
2026-02-06	oos	0.07968	0.075803	-4.87%	0.08241	+3.43%	0.0912	✗	0.31
2026-02-05	oos	0.06819	0.065784	-3.53%	0.07515	+10.21%	0.1282	✗	0.09
2026-02-04	oos	0.06337	0.061219	-3.39%	0.06673	+5.30%	0.1207	✗	0.40
2026-02-03	oos	0.07037	0.067284	-4.39%	0.0712	+1.18%	0.0952	✗	0.41
2026-02-02	oos	0.04656	0.045878	-1.46%	0.06393	+37.31%	0.4215	✗	0.78
2026-02-01	oos	0.04173	0.041595	-0.32%	0.0755	+80.92%	0.6514	✗	0.61
2026-01-31	oos	0.0431	0.042787	-0.73%	0.06176	+43.29%	0.4222	✗	0.43
2026-01-30	oos	0.04241	0.041889	-1.23%	0.07968	+87.88%	0.7317	✗	0.50
2026-01-29	oos	0.04793	0.046944	-2.06%	0.06819	+42.27%	0.5249	✗	0.51
2026-01-28	oos	0.05456	0.052964	-2.93%	0.06337	+16.15%	0.2639	✗	0.42
2026-01-27	oos	0.05158	0.050091	-2.89%	0.07037	+36.43%	0.4096	✗	0.43
2026-01-26	oos	0.04991	0.048425	-2.98%	0.04656	-6.71%	0.0124	✓	0.45
2026-01-25	oos	0.05037	0.04878	-3.16%	0.04173	-17.15%	0.0987	✓	0.48
2026-01-24	oos	0.05777	0.055631	-3.70%	0.0431	-25.39%	0.2070	✓	0.39
2026-01-23	oos	0.06047	0.058079	-3.95%	0.04241	-29.87%	0.2952	✓	0.31
2026-01-22	oos	0.06253	0.059955	-4.12%	0.04793	-23.35%	0.2040	✓	0.35
2026-01-21	oos	0.0701	0.067076	-4.31%	0.05456	-22.17%	0.2057	✓	0.35
2026-01-20	oos	0.08145	0.077022	-5.44%	0.05158	-36.67%	0.4053	✓	0.47
2026-01-19	oos	0.06695	0.063911	-4.54%	0.04991	-25.45%	0.2122	✓	0.74
2026-01-18	oos	0.05477	0.052699	-3.78%	0.05037	-8.03%	0.0178	✓	0.80
2026-01-17	oos	0.04908	0.047364	-3.50%	0.05777	+17.71%	0.2526	✗	0.82
2026-01-16	oos	0.05165	0.049797	-3.59%	0.06047	+17.08%	0.2467	✗	0.81
2026-01-15	oos	0.05462	0.052594	-3.71%	0.06253	+14.48%	0.2284	✗	0.84
2026-01-14	oos	0.05716	0.055055	-3.68%	0.0701	+22.64%	0.3082	✗	0.82
2026-01-13	oos	0.06727	0.063667	-5.36%	0.08145	+21.08%	0.3193	✗	0.95
2026-01-12	oos	0.04898	0.047218	-3.60%	0.06695	+36.69%	0.3399	✗	0.62
2026-01-11	oos	0.04891	0.047102	-3.70%	0.05477	+11.98%	0.1312	✗	0.66
2026-01-10	oos	0.044	0.04255	-3.29%	0.04908	+11.55%	0.1098	✗	0.65
2026-01-09	oos	0.04275	0.041375	-3.22%	0.05165	+20.82%	0.1878	✗	0.63
2026-01-08	oos	0.03731	0.036276	-2.77%	0.05462	+46.40%	0.3787	✗	0.63
2026-01-07	oos	0.03251	0.031788	-2.22%	0.05716	+75.82%	0.4893	✗	1.62
2026-01-06	oos	0.03523	0.03446	-2.19%	0.06727	+90.95%	0.6408	✗	1.60
2026-01-05	oos	0.03633	0.035509	-2.26%	0.04898	+34.82%	0.3692	✗	1.64
2026-01-04	oos	0.03601	0.03509	-2.56%	0.04891	+35.82%	0.3437	✗	1.70
2026-01-03	oos	0.03574	0.034804	-2.62%	0.044	+23.11%	0.2387	✗	1.70
2026-01-02	oos	0.03374	0.032913	-2.45%	0.04275	+26.70%	0.2512	✗	1.67
2026-01-01	oos	0.03516	0.034236	-2.63%	0.03731	+6.11%	0.0428	✗	1.70
2025-12-31	oos	0.03534	0.034385	-2.70%	0.03251	-8.01%	0.1280	✓	1.70
2025-12-30	oos	0.03487	0.033916	-2.74%	0.03523	+1.03%	0.0632	✓	1.73
2025-12-29	oos	0.03703	0.03593	-2.97%	0.03633	-1.89%	0.1169	✓	1.71
2025-12-28	oos	0.04027	0.038941	-3.30%	0.03601	-10.58%	0.1469	✓	1.70
2025-12-27	oos	0.04554	0.043876	-3.65%	0.03574	-21.52%	0.2575	✓	1.68
2025-12-26	oos	0.04354	0.041976	-3.59%	0.03374	-22.51%	0.2678	✓	1.65
2025-12-25	oos	0.04617	0.044423	-3.78%	0.03516	-23.85%	0.2632	✓	1.65
2025-12-24	oos	0.04127	0.039835	-3.48%	0.03534	-14.37%	0.1176	✓	1.66
2025-12-23	oos	0.0401	0.038724	-3.43%	0.03487	-13.04%	0.1215	✓	1.52
2025-12-22	oos	0.04472	0.043014	-3.81%	0.03703	-17.20%	0.1250	✓	1.50
2025-12-21	oos	0.04437	0.042664	-3.84%	0.04027	-9.24%	0.0447	✓	1.51
2025-12-20	oos	0.04508	0.043287	-3.98%	0.04554	+1.02%	0.0599	✗	1.56
2025-12-19	oos	0.0423	0.040655	-3.89%	0.04354	+2.93%	0.0827	✗	1.55
2025-12-18	oos	0.04002	0.038665	-3.38%	0.04617	+15.37%	0.1465	✗	1.56
2025-12-17	oos	0.036	0.034999	-2.78%	0.04127	+14.64%	0.1392	✗	1.59
2025-12-16	oos	0.04841	0.046226	-4.51%	0.0401	-17.17%	0.1350	✓	1.48
2025-12-15	oos	0.04002	0.038669	-3.38%	0.04472	+11.74%	0.1109	✗	1.41
2025-12-14	oos	0.03232	0.03164	-2.10%	0.04437	+37.28%	0.3302	✗	1.50
2025-12-13	oos	0.03009	0.029518	-1.90%	0.04508	+49.82%	0.4568	✗	1.54
2025-12-12	oos	0.03156	0.030858	-2.23%	0.0423	+34.03%	0.3534	✗	1.55
2025-12-11	oos	0.03257	0.031713	-2.63%	0.04002	+22.87%	0.3560	✗	1.55
2025-12-10	oos	0.03374	0.032783	-2.84%	0.036	+6.70%	0.1966	✗	1.57
2025-12-09	oos	0.0371	0.035907	-3.21%	0.04841	+30.49%	0.3821	✗	1.56
2025-12-08	oos	0.03916	0.037804	-3.46%	0.04002	+2.20%	0.1323	✗	1.58
2025-12-07	oos	0.03906	0.037671	-3.56%	0.03232	-17.26%	0.1138	✓	1.58
2025-12-06	oos	0.04	0.038526	-3.69%	0.03009	-24.78%	0.2648	✓	1.61
2025-12-05	oos	0.04029	0.03874	-3.85%	0.03156	-21.67%	0.2217	✓	1.61
2025-12-04	oos	0.0406	0.038949	-4.07%	0.03257	-19.78%	0.1868	✓	1.63
2025-12-03	oos	0.04414	0.042244	-4.29%	0.03374	-23.56%	0.2002	✓	1.61
2025-12-02	oos	0.04418	0.042267	-4.33%	0.0371	-16.03%	0.1552	✓	1.65
2025-12-01	oos	0.04214	0.040411	-4.10%	0.03916	-7.07%	0.1173	✓	1.74
2025-11-30	oos	0.05073	0.048136	-5.11%	0.03906	-23.00%	0.2095	✓	1.63
2025-11-29	oos	0.04066	0.038953	-4.20%	0.04	-1.62%	0.0544	✗	1.61
2025-11-28	oos	0.04525	0.043044	-4.87%	0.04029	-10.96%	0.0382	✓	1.62
2025-11-27	oos	0.03818	0.036601	-4.13%	0.0406	+6.34%	0.0898	✗	1.64
2025-11-26	oos	0.03594	0.034471	-4.09%	0.04414	+22.82%	0.1935	✗	1.65
2025-11-25	oos	0.03641	0.034875	-4.22%	0.04418	+21.34%	0.1585	✗	1.75
2025-11-24	oos	0.03441	0.033005	-4.08%	0.04214	+22.46%	0.2844	✗	1.76
2025-11-23	oos	0.02719	0.02633	-3.16%	0.05073	+86.58%	0.5885	✗	1.67
2025-11-22	oos	0.03725	0.035565	-4.52%	0.04066	+9.15%	0.0084	✓	2.03
2025-11-21	oos	0.03157	0.030367	-3.81%	0.04525	+43.33%	0.2626	✗	2.05
2025-11-20	oos	0.02838	0.027433	-3.34%	0.03818	+34.53%	0.2176	✗	2.10
2025-11-19	oos	0.0308	0.029594	-3.92%	0.03594	+16.69%	0.2181	✗	2.18
2025-11-18	oos	0.03265	0.031258	-4.26%	0.03641	+11.52%	0.2877	✗	2.18
2025-11-17	oos	0.03008	0.028856	-4.07%	0.03441	+14.39%	0.2684	✗	2.17
2025-11-16	oos	0.03037	0.029097	-4.19%	0.02719	-10.47%	0.1102	✗	2.18
2025-11-15	oos	0.02951	0.028242	-4.30%	0.03725	+26.23%	0.5429	✗	2.20
2025-11-14	oos	0.03099	0.0296	-4.48%	0.03157	+1.87%	0.2995	✗	2.23
2025-11-13	oos	0.03208	0.030492	-4.95%	0.02838	-11.53%	0.2581	✗	2.34
2025-11-12	oos	0.02999	0.02862	-4.57%	0.0308	+2.70%	0.3268	✗	2.40
2025-11-11	oos	0.02939	0.028042	-4.59%	0.03265	+11.09%	0.4015	✗	2.42
2025-11-10	oos	0.02816	0.026896	-4.49%	0.03008	+6.82%	0.4633	✗	2.50
2025-11-09	oos	0.03016	0.028529	-5.41%	0.03037	+0.70%	0.3321	✗	2.55
2025-11-08	oos	0.02936	0.027838	-5.18%	0.02951	+0.51%	0.2341	✗	2.58
2025-11-07	oos	0.02507	0.023965	-4.41%	0.03099	+23.61%	0.4901	✗	2.62
2025-11-06	oos	0.02259	0.021686	-4.00%	0.03208	+42.01%	0.4348	✗	2.59
2025-11-05	oos	0.02642	0.025156	-4.78%	0.02999	+13.51%	0.2304	✗	2.52
2025-11-04	oos	0.02557	0.024258	-5.13%	0.02939	+14.94%	0.1539	✗	2.52
2025-11-03	oos	0.02367	0.022516	-4.88%	0.02816	+18.97%	0.2394	✗	2.88
2025-11-02	oos	0.01919	0.018534	-3.42%	0.03016	+57.17%	0.6663	✗	3.31
2025-11-01	oos	0.01756	0.017013	-3.11%	0.02936	+67.20%	0.7868	✗	3.30
2025-10-31	oos	0.01618	0.015702	-2.95%	0.02507	+54.94%	0.6605	✗	3.27
2025-10-30	oos	0.013	0.012725	-2.12%	0.02259	+73.77%	0.7882	✗	3.20
2025-10-29	oos	0.01309	0.012812	-2.12%	0.02642	+101.83%	0.9088	✗	3.21
2025-10-28	oos	0.01363	0.013348	-2.07%	0.02557	+87.60%	1.0007	✗	3.28
2025-10-27	oos	0.01453	0.014219	-2.14%	0.02367	+62.90%	0.7331	✗	3.27
2025-10-26	oos	0.01458	0.01428	-2.06%	0.01919	+31.62%	0.4123	✗	3.28
2025-10-25	oos	0.01564	0.015236	-2.58%	0.01756	+12.28%	0.1924	✗	3.46
2025-10-24	oos	0.01313	0.012895	-1.79%	0.01618	+23.23%	0.2736	✗	3.46
2025-10-23	oos	0.0135	0.013254	-1.82%	0.013	-3.70%	0.0382	✗	3.47
2025-10-22	oos	0.01197	0.011852	-0.99%	0.01309	+9.36%	0.0223	✗	3.43
2025-10-21	oos	0.01301	0.012839	-1.31%	0.01363	+4.77%	0.0809	✓	3.43
2025-10-20	oos	0.01334	0.013162	-1.33%	0.01453	+8.92%	0.0109	✓	3.50
2025-10-19	oos	0.0134	0.013257	-1.07%	0.01458	+8.81%	0.0886	✓	3.49
2025-10-18	oos	0.0135	0.013394	-0.78%	0.01564	+15.85%	0.0115	✗	3.52
2025-10-17	oos	0.01155	0.011651	+0.87%	0.01313	+13.68%	0.0267	✗	3.47
2025-10-16	oos	0.01146	0.011582	+1.06%	0.0135	+17.80%	0.0915	✓	3.52
2025-10-15	oos	0.01216	0.012227	+0.55%	0.01197	-1.56%	0.0831	✓	3.54
2025-10-14	oos	0.01252	0.012559	+0.31%	0.01301	+3.91%	0.1871	✓	3.57
2025-10-13	oos	0.01343	0.013411	-0.14%	0.01334	-0.67%	0.1440	✗	3.58
2025-10-12	oos	0.01231	0.012349	+0.31%	0.0134	+8.85%	0.2836	✓	3.53
2025-10-11	oos	0.01196	0.012032	+0.60%	0.0135	+12.88%	0.2360	✓	3.70
2025-10-10	oos	0.01147	0.011459	-0.09%	0.01155	+0.70%	0.2317	✗	3.76
2025-10-09	oos	0.02132	0.021001	-1.50%	0.01146	-46.25%	0.3264	✓	2.37
2025-10-08	oos	0.02238	0.02203	-1.56%	0.01216	-45.67%	0.3517	✓	2.26
2025-10-07	oos	0.01976	0.019501	-1.31%	0.01252	-36.64%	0.2740	✓	2.38
2025-10-06	oos	0.02155	0.021274	-1.28%	0.01343	-37.68%	0.2666	✓	2.46
2025-10-05	oos	0.02113	0.020853	-1.31%	0.01231	-41.74%	0.3536	✓	2.45
2025-10-04	oos	0.02253	0.022164	-1.62%	0.01196	-46.92%	0.3670	✓	2.49
2025-10-03	oos	0.02337	0.022948	-1.81%	0.01147	-50.92%	0.4962	✓	2.49
2025-10-02	oos	0.02322	0.022772	-1.93%	0.02132	-8.18%	0.0885	✓	2.50
2025-10-01	oos	0.02106	0.020701	-1.70%	0.02238	+6.27%	0.0175	✓	2.47
2025-09-30	oos	0.02064	0.020242	-1.93%	0.01976	-4.26%	0.1857	✓	2.60
2025-09-29	oos	0.0199	0.019531	-1.85%	0.02155	+8.29%	0.1465	✓	2.82
2025-09-28	oos	0.02045	0.02004	-2.00%	0.02113	+3.33%	0.2337	✓	2.98
2025-09-27	oos	0.02037	0.019948	-2.07%	0.02253	+10.60%	0.2106	✓	3.02
2025-09-26	oos	0.02103	0.020569	-2.19%	0.02337	+11.13%	0.2034	✓	3.04
2025-09-25	oos	0.02033	0.019885	-2.19%	0.02322	+14.22%	0.1521	✓	3.04
2025-09-24	oos	0.01793	0.017585	-1.93%	0.02106	+17.46%	0.0132	✓	3.65
2025-09-23	oos	0.01685	0.016515	-1.99%	0.02064	+22.49%	0.1569	✗	3.64
2025-09-22	oos	0.01713	0.016768	-2.11%	0.0199	+16.17%	0.1205	✗	3.53
2025-09-21	oos	0.0195	0.019071	-2.20%	0.02045	+4.87%	0.1642	✗	3.48
2025-09-20	oos	0.02021	0.019741	-2.32%	0.02037	+0.79%	0.2232	✗	3.56
2025-09-19	oos	0.01988	0.019404	-2.39%	0.02103	+5.78%	0.2698	✗	3.56
2025-09-18	oos	0.02217	0.021603	-2.56%	0.02033	-8.30%	0.1918	✗	3.53
2025-09-17	oos	0.02326	0.022607	-2.81%	0.01793	-22.91%	0.1345	✓	3.57

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.