ARCSOL

? · · gru_s3

token id: #958
symbol: ARCSOL
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-12-11
predictions: 1,986

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

42.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3990

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0679

actual +0.1748

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.050705	0.049409	-2.56%	–	pending	–	–	-0.17
2026-10-20	oos	0.05179	0.050784	-1.94%	–	pending	–	–	-0.14
2026-10-19	oos	0.04402	0.043773	-0.56%	–	pending	–	–	-0.19
2026-10-18	oos	0.041255	0.041415	+0.39%	–	pending	–	–	-0.20
2026-10-17	oos	0.040095	0.040323	+0.57%	–	pending	–	–	-0.21
2026-10-16	oos	0.035465	0.035996	+1.50%	–	pending	–	–	-0.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.03882	0.039663	+2.17%	–	pending	–	–	-0.22
2026-10-14	oos	0.036985	0.037784	+2.16%	–	pending	–	–	-0.23
2026-10-13	oos	0.031545	0.032058	+1.63%	–	pending	–	–	-0.13
2026-10-12	oos	0.05973	0.059368	-0.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.06296	0.062732	-0.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.18
2026-10-10	oos	0.061445	0.061199	-0.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-10-09	oos	0.062975	0.062172	-1.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-10-08	oos	0.060855	0.060165	-1.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-10-07	oos	0.06405	0.063126	-1.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.18
2026-10-06	oos	0.071945	0.070022	-2.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.08
2026-10-05	oos	0.070345	0.068973	-1.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.08
2026-10-04	oos	0.073015	0.071461	-2.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.08
2026-10-03	oos	0.071135	0.069628	-2.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.07
2026-10-02	oos	0.070635	0.069343	-1.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.07
2026-10-01	oos	0.07224	0.070938	-1.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.06
2026-09-30	oos	0.07045	0.069431	-1.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.07265	0.071478	-1.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.06992	0.0693	-0.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.07275	0.072136	-0.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.07069	0.070608	-0.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.07175	0.071365	-0.54%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.07354	0.073096	-0.60%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.07853	0.077173	-1.73%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.078215	0.07822	+0.01%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-09-21	oos	0.07816	0.079007	+1.08%	0.050705	-35.13%	0.4449	✗	-0.03
2026-09-20	oos	0.073655	0.07262	-1.41%	0.05179	-29.69%	0.3352	✓	-0.13
2026-09-19	oos	0.063745	0.064637	+1.40%	0.04402	-30.94%	0.3834	✗	-0.10
2026-09-18	oos	0.070975	0.070451	-0.74%	0.041255	-41.87%	0.5338	✓	-0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.07026	0.068013	-3.20%	0.040095	-42.93%	0.5205	✓	-0.13
2026-09-16	oos	0.07422	0.071328	-3.90%	0.035465	-52.22%	0.6898	✓	-0.13
2026-09-15	oos	0.07934	0.075282	-5.11%	0.03882	-51.07%	0.6545	✓	-0.09
2026-09-14	oos	0.07305	0.07149	-2.13%	0.036985	-49.37%	0.6552	✓	-0.09
2026-09-13	oos	0.06938	0.06798	-2.02%	0.031545	-54.53%	0.7600	✓	-0.10
2026-09-12	oos	0.07315	0.071435	-2.34%	0.05973	-18.35%	0.1720	✓	-0.12
2026-09-11	oos	0.07391	0.072216	-2.29%	0.06296	-14.82%	0.1235	✓	-0.17
2026-09-10	oos	0.07355	0.071811	-2.36%	0.061445	-16.46%	0.1425	✓	-0.17
2026-09-09	oos	0.071975	0.071534	-0.61%	0.062975	-12.50%	0.1191	✓	-0.16
2026-09-08	oos	0.07252	0.072171	-0.48%	0.060855	-16.09%	0.1641	✓	-0.16
2026-09-07	oos	0.07476	0.074441	-0.43%	0.06405	-14.33%	0.1416	✓	-0.17
2026-09-06	oos	0.07195	0.072672	+1.00%	0.071945	-0.01%	0.0013	✓	-0.14
2026-09-05	oos	0.074015	0.074527	+0.69%	0.070345	-4.96%	0.0479	✗	-0.14
2026-09-04	oos	0.07428	0.075198	+1.24%	0.073015	-1.70%	0.0195	✗	-0.12
2026-09-03	oos	0.07189	0.074807	+4.06%	0.071135	-1.05%	0.0460	✗	-0.10
2026-09-02	oos	0.07274	0.07384	+1.51%	0.070635	-2.89%	0.0270	✗	-0.19
2026-09-01	oos	0.06482	0.067875	+4.71%	0.07224	+11.45%	0.0794	✓	-0.19
2026-08-31	oos	0.06939	0.072539	+4.54%	0.07045	+1.53%	0.0129	✓	-0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.06761	0.070986	+4.99%	0.07265	+7.45%	0.0313	✓	-0.11
2026-08-29	oos	0.07057	0.074261	+5.23%	0.06992	-0.92%	0.0506	✓	-0.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.06989	0.074018	+5.91%	0.07275	+4.09%	0.0054	✓	-0.15
2026-08-27	oos	0.06683	0.073385	+9.81%	0.07069	+5.78%	0.0321	✓	-0.11
2026-08-26	oos	0.07115	0.076899	+8.08%	0.07175	+0.84%	0.0639	✓	-0.09
2026-08-25	oos	0.07217	0.07797	+8.04%	0.07354	+1.90%	0.0500	✓	-0.12
2026-08-24	oos	0.07048	0.077149	+9.46%	0.07853	+11.42%	0.0250	✓	-0.11
2026-08-23	oos	0.0693	0.075638	+9.15%	0.078215	+12.86%	0.0449	✓	-0.11
2026-08-22	oos	0.06685	0.073347	+9.72%	0.07816	+16.92%	0.0772	✓	-0.12
2026-08-21	oos	0.0681	0.075322	+10.60%	0.073655	+8.16%	0.0179	✓	-0.13
2026-08-20	oos	0.06936	0.071973	+3.77%	0.063745	-8.10%	0.1105	✗	-0.10
2026-08-19	oos	0.0691	0.068526	-0.83%	0.070975	+2.71%	0.0523	✗	-0.11
2026-08-18	oos	0.06936	0.066019	-4.82%	0.07026	+1.30%	0.0823	✗	-0.12
2026-08-17	oos	0.07402	0.069925	-5.53%	0.07422	+0.27%	0.0771	✗	-0.11
2026-08-16	oos	0.07188	0.067633	-5.91%	0.07934	+10.38%	0.1848	✗	-0.14
2026-08-15	oos	0.07187	0.067742	-5.74%	0.07305	+1.64%	0.1040	✗	-0.13
2026-08-14	oos	0.07702	0.071721	-6.88%	0.06938	-9.92%	0.0042	✓	-0.15
2026-08-13	oos	0.0757	0.070846	-6.41%	0.07315	-3.37%	0.0480	✓	-0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.07193	0.067903	-5.60%	0.07391	+2.75%	0.1328	✗	-0.24
2026-08-11	oos	0.06592	0.063172	-4.17%	0.07355	+11.57%	0.2064	✗	-0.29
2026-08-10	oos	0.06458	0.062137	-3.78%	0.071975	+11.45%	0.2010	✗	-0.27
2026-08-09	oos	0.0662	0.06416	-3.08%	0.07252	+9.55%	0.1790	✗	-0.30
2026-08-08	oos	0.06342	0.06191	-2.38%	0.07476	+17.88%	0.2481	✗	-0.30
2026-08-07	oos	0.05236	0.052134	-0.43%	0.07195	+37.41%	0.4025	✗	-0.38
2026-08-06	oos	0.05468	0.054172	-0.93%	0.074015	+35.36%	0.3910	✗	-0.36
2026-08-05	oos	0.0513	0.05131	+0.02%	0.07428	+44.80%	0.4438	✓	-0.35
2026-08-04	oos	0.053	0.052685	-0.59%	0.07189	+35.64%	0.3884	✗	-0.33
2026-08-03	oos	0.0509	0.050606	-0.58%	0.07274	+42.91%	0.4310	✗	-0.35
2026-08-02	oos	0.05129	0.050975	-0.61%	0.06482	+26.38%	0.3025	✗	-0.31
2026-08-01	oos	0.05185	0.051407	-0.86%	0.06939	+33.83%	0.3728	✗	-0.32
2026-07-31	oos	0.05344	0.052983	-0.86%	0.06761	+26.52%	0.3126	✗	-0.32
2026-07-30	oos	0.05276	0.053036	+0.52%	0.07057	+33.76%	0.3480	✓	-0.33
2026-07-29	oos	0.0537	0.05378	+0.15%	0.06989	+30.15%	0.3229	✓	-0.31
2026-07-28	oos	0.05151	0.051699	+0.37%	0.06683	+29.74%	0.3281	✓	-0.31
2026-07-27	oos	0.05404	0.054103	+0.12%	0.07115	+31.66%	0.3445	✓	-0.33
2026-07-26	oos	0.05593	0.056433	+0.90%	0.07217	+29.04%	0.2996	✓	-0.29
2026-07-25	oos	0.06002	0.05989	-0.22%	0.07048	+17.43%	0.2293	✗	-0.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.06223	0.061958	-0.44%	0.0693	+11.36%	0.1699	✗	-0.30
2026-07-23	oos	0.06145	0.061583	+0.22%	0.06685	+8.79%	0.1313	✓	-0.29
2026-07-22	oos	0.06452	0.06485	+0.51%	0.0681	+5.55%	0.1009	✓	-0.31
2026-07-21	oos	0.0666	0.066957	+0.54%	0.06936	+4.14%	0.0641	✓	-0.31
2026-07-20	oos	0.07012	0.06936	-1.08%	0.0691	-1.45%	0.0138	✗	-0.29
2026-07-19	oos	0.07069	0.069545	-1.62%	0.06936	-1.88%	0.0027	✓	-0.29
2026-07-18	oos	0.07093	0.069681	-1.76%	0.07402	+4.36%	0.0591	✗	-0.26
2026-07-17	oos	0.07314	0.071256	-2.58%	0.07188	-1.72%	0.0052	✓	-0.21
2026-07-16	oos	0.07475	0.072617	-2.85%	0.07187	-3.85%	0.0126	✓	-0.19
2026-07-15	oos	0.07579	0.073873	-2.53%	0.07702	+1.62%	0.0353	✗	-0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.08041	0.07791	-3.11%	0.0757	-5.86%	0.0344	✓	-0.23
2026-07-13	oos	0.07419	0.071595	-3.50%	0.07193	-3.05%	0.0114	✓	-0.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.07814	0.075292	-3.64%	0.06592	-15.64%	0.1343	✓	-0.41
2026-07-11	oos	0.07879	0.075829	-3.76%	0.06458	-18.04%	0.1596	✓	-0.43
2026-07-10	oos	0.07946	0.07651	-3.71%	0.0662	-16.69%	0.1403	✓	-0.40
2026-07-09	oos	0.0791	0.075999	-3.92%	0.06342	-19.82%	0.1702	✓	-0.40
2026-07-08	oos	0.08115	0.077534	-4.46%	0.05236	-35.48%	0.3766	✓	-0.38
2026-07-07	oos	0.08095	0.077505	-4.26%	0.05468	-32.45%	0.3440	✓	-0.33
2026-07-06	oos	0.08236	0.07878	-4.35%	0.0513	-37.71%	0.4258	✓	-0.34
2026-07-05	oos	0.08139	0.07778	-4.44%	0.053	-34.88%	0.3815	✓	-0.29
2026-07-04	oos	0.07808	0.074749	-4.27%	0.0509	-34.81%	0.3824	✓	-0.30
2026-07-03	oos	0.07906	0.075413	-4.61%	0.05129	-35.13%	0.3806	✓	-0.32
2026-07-02	oos	0.08274	0.078333	-5.33%	0.05185	-37.33%	0.4066	✓	-0.29
2026-07-01	oos	0.08328	0.078513	-5.72%	0.05344	-35.83%	0.3713	✓	-0.29
2026-06-30	oos	0.0839	0.078792	-6.09%	0.05276	-37.12%	0.3752	✓	-0.26
2026-06-29	oos	0.08357	0.078555	-6.00%	0.0537	-35.74%	0.3646	✓	-0.26
2026-06-28	oos	0.08813	0.082217	-6.71%	0.05151	-41.55%	0.4534	✓	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.08415	0.078951	-6.18%	0.05404	-35.78%	0.3675	✓	-0.19
2026-06-26	oos	0.08425	0.078941	-6.30%	0.05593	-33.61%	0.3286	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.08372	0.078432	-6.32%	0.06002	-28.31%	0.2538	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.08263	0.077616	-6.07%	0.06223	-24.69%	0.2072	✓	-0.28
2026-06-23	oos	0.08268	0.077756	-5.95%	0.06145	-25.68%	0.2268	✓	-0.23
2026-06-22	oos	0.08369	0.078579	-6.11%	0.06452	-22.91%	0.1887	✓	-0.26
2026-06-21	oos	0.08017	0.07546	-5.88%	0.0666	-16.93%	0.1112	✓	-0.27
2026-06-20	oos	0.07994	0.075219	-5.91%	0.07012	-12.28%	0.0659	✓	-0.28
2026-06-19	oos	0.07887	0.074118	-6.03%	0.07069	-10.37%	0.0423	✓	-0.27
2026-06-18	oos	0.08197	0.076612	-6.54%	0.07093	-13.47%	0.0691	✓	-0.27
2026-06-17	oos	0.08464	0.078769	-6.94%	0.07314	-13.59%	0.0765	✓	-0.27
2026-06-16	oos	0.07379	0.06968	-5.57%	0.07475	+1.30%	0.0630	✗	-0.25
2026-06-15	oos	0.07726	0.072564	-6.08%	0.07579	-1.90%	0.0349	✓	-0.36
2026-06-14	oos	0.08196	0.076382	-6.81%	0.08041	-1.89%	0.0482	✓	-0.29
2026-06-13	oos	0.08941	0.082258	-8.00%	0.07419	-17.02%	0.1135	✓	-0.30
2026-06-12	oos	0.08883	0.081431	-8.33%	0.07814	-12.03%	0.0402	✓	-0.33
2026-06-11	oos	0.08349	0.077185	-7.55%	0.07879	-5.63%	0.0216	✓	-0.31
2026-06-10	oos	0.08397	0.077332	-7.91%	0.07946	-5.37%	0.0407	✓	-0.32
2026-06-09	oos	0.08311	0.07647	-7.99%	0.0791	-4.82%	0.0412	✓	-0.31
2026-06-08	oos	0.08395	0.076886	-8.41%	0.08115	-3.34%	0.0497	✓	-0.33
2026-06-07	oos	0.08357	0.076359	-8.63%	0.08095	-3.14%	0.0585	✓	-0.27
2026-06-06	oos	0.08278	0.075682	-8.57%	0.08236	-0.51%	0.0933	✗	-0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.08116	0.074197	-8.58%	0.08139	+0.28%	0.0986	✗	-0.15
2026-06-04	oos	0.07524	0.069503	-7.62%	0.07808	+3.77%	0.1158	✗	-0.05
2026-06-03	oos	0.07419	0.068525	-7.64%	0.07906	+6.56%	0.1412	✗	-0.08
2026-06-02	oos	0.0709	0.065795	-7.20%	0.08274	+16.70%	0.2299	✗	0.01
2026-06-01	oos	0.07662	0.070282	-8.27%	0.08328	+8.69%	0.1620	✗	-0.04
2026-05-31	oos	0.07343	0.067879	-7.56%	0.0839	+14.26%	0.2266	✗	0.06
2026-05-30	oos	0.07835	0.071706	-8.48%	0.08357	+6.66%	0.2135	✗	0.30
2026-05-29	oos	0.07464	0.068761	-7.88%	0.08813	+18.07%	0.2663	✗	0.09
2026-05-28	oos	0.07173	0.066415	-7.41%	0.08415	+17.31%	0.2462	✗	0.05
2026-05-27	oos	0.06396	0.060148	-5.96%	0.08425	+31.72%	0.3543	✗	0.08
2026-05-26	oos	0.06433	0.060522	-5.92%	0.08372	+30.14%	0.3780	✗	0.22
2026-05-25	oos	0.06502	0.06123	-5.83%	0.08263	+27.08%	0.1515	✗	-0.63
2026-05-24	oos	0.06402	0.060275	-5.85%	0.08268	+29.15%	0.1798	✗	-0.66
2026-05-23	oos	0.06449	0.06046	-6.25%	0.08369	+29.77%	0.2101	✗	-0.63
2026-05-22	oos	0.06401	0.059861	-6.48%	0.08017	+25.25%	0.1735	✗	-0.67
2026-05-21	oos	0.0641	0.060118	-6.21%	0.07994	+24.71%	0.1557	✗	-0.69
2026-05-20	oos	0.06525	0.061024	-6.48%	0.07887	+20.87%	0.1176	✗	-0.70
2026-05-19	oos	0.06462	0.06041	-6.52%	0.08197	+26.85%	0.1652	✗	-0.70
2026-05-18	oos	0.06589	0.0615	-6.66%	0.08464	+28.46%	0.1948	✗	-0.70
2026-05-17	oos	0.06769	0.063167	-6.68%	0.07379	+9.01%	0.0420	✓	-0.69
2026-05-16	oos	0.06178	0.058693	-5.00%	0.07726	+25.06%	0.1655	✗	-0.67
2026-05-15	oos	0.07376	0.068473	-7.17%	0.08196	+11.12%	0.0486	✓	-0.71
2026-05-14	oos	0.06026	0.058268	-3.31%	0.08941	+48.37%	0.2908	✗	-0.60
2026-05-13	oos	0.06384	0.060676	-4.96%	0.08883	+39.14%	0.2756	✗	-0.48
2026-05-12	oos	0.06714	0.063682	-5.15%	0.08349	+24.35%	0.1439	✗	-0.54
2026-05-11	oos	0.06406	0.061546	-3.93%	0.08397	+31.08%	0.1765	✗	-0.47
2026-05-10	oos	0.06287	0.06072	-3.42%	0.08311	+32.19%	0.1662	✗	-0.51
2026-05-09	oos	0.06858	0.064993	-5.23%	0.08395	+22.41%	0.1410	✗	-0.47
2026-05-08	oos	0.06956	0.065743	-5.49%	0.08357	+20.14%	0.1448	✗	-0.40
2026-05-07	oos	0.06741	0.063995	-5.07%	0.08278	+22.80%	0.1798	✗	-0.28
2026-05-06	oos	0.06943	0.06607	-4.84%	0.08116	+16.89%	0.2308	✗	0.09
2026-05-05	oos	0.07004	0.066357	-5.26%	0.07524	+7.42%	0.1073	✗	-0.08
2026-05-04	oos	0.06657	0.063139	-5.15%	0.07419	+11.45%	0.1533	✗	-0.04
2026-05-03	oos	0.06844	0.064374	-5.94%	0.0709	+3.59%	0.0594	✓	-0.23
2026-05-02	oos	0.0717	0.067126	-6.38%	0.07662	+6.86%	0.1129	✗	-0.20
2026-05-01	oos	0.07521	0.070001	-6.93%	0.07343	-2.37%	0.0366	✓	-0.18
2026-04-30	oos	0.07485	0.069367	-7.33%	0.07835	+4.68%	0.1156	✗	-0.18
2026-04-29	oos	0.07517	0.069514	-7.52%	0.07464	-0.71%	0.0655	✓	-0.18
2026-04-28	oos	0.06678	0.062723	-6.07%	0.07173	+7.41%	0.1310	✗	-0.08
2026-04-27	oos	0.07902	0.072837	-7.82%	0.06396	-19.06%	0.1343	✓	-0.11
2026-04-26	oos	0.06856	0.064632	-5.73%	0.06433	-6.17%	0.0076	✓	-0.08
2026-04-25	oos	0.06671	0.062815	-5.84%	0.06502	-2.53%	0.0341	✓	-0.09
2026-04-24	oos	0.06458	0.060963	-5.60%	0.06402	-0.87%	0.0486	✓	-0.04
2026-04-23	oos	0.06653	0.062704	-5.75%	0.06449	-3.07%	0.0271	✓	-0.05
2026-04-22	oos	0.06516	0.061424	-5.73%	0.06401	-1.76%	0.0395	✓	-0.05
2026-04-21	oos	0.06662	0.062229	-6.59%	0.0641	-3.78%	0.0303	✓	-0.04
2026-04-20	oos	0.0665	0.061907	-6.91%	0.06525	-1.88%	0.0540	✓	-0.07
2026-04-19	oos	0.06537	0.06044	-7.54%	0.06462	-1.15%	0.0735	✓	-0.17
2026-04-18	oos	0.06838	0.063312	-7.41%	0.06589	-3.64%	0.0431	✓	-0.20
2026-04-17	oos	0.06957	0.064618	-7.12%	0.06769	-2.70%	0.0473	✓	-0.22
2026-04-16	oos	0.07276	0.06695	-7.99%	0.06178	-15.09%	0.0724	✓	-0.21
2026-04-15	oos	0.06959	0.06427	-7.64%	0.07376	+5.99%	0.1494	✗	-0.21
2026-04-14	oos	0.07018	0.064668	-7.85%	0.06026	-14.14%	0.0523	✓	-0.21
2026-04-13	oos	0.07211	0.066354	-7.98%	0.06384	-11.47%	0.0235	✓	-0.24
2026-04-12	oos	0.07456	0.067289	-9.75%	0.06714	-9.95%	0.0043	✓	-0.05
2026-04-11	oos	0.07646	0.069547	-9.04%	0.06406	-16.22%	0.0753	✓	-0.06
2026-04-10	oos	0.071	0.065365	-7.94%	0.06287	-11.45%	0.0323	✓	-0.06
2026-04-09	oos	0.07094	0.064848	-8.59%	0.06858	-3.33%	0.0623	✓	-0.05
2026-04-08	oos	0.05996	0.056201	-6.27%	0.06956	+16.01%	0.2232	✗	-0.08
2026-04-07	oos	0.05853	0.055227	-5.64%	0.06741	+15.17%	0.2080	✗	-0.08
2026-04-06	oos	0.05693	0.052907	-7.07%	0.06943	+21.96%	0.2836	✗	-0.07
2026-04-05	oos	0.05355	0.05015	-6.35%	0.07004	+30.79%	0.3455	✗	-0.07
2026-04-04	oos	0.05503	0.050716	-7.84%	0.06657	+20.97%	0.2823	✗	-0.06
2026-04-03	oos	0.05465	0.050261	-8.03%	0.06844	+25.23%	0.3183	✗	-0.06
2026-04-02	oos	0.05233	0.048411	-7.49%	0.0717	+37.02%	0.4017	✗	-0.06
2026-04-01	oos	0.05479	0.050488	-7.85%	0.07521	+37.27%	0.4087	✗	-0.07
2026-03-31	oos	0.05374	0.049615	-7.68%	0.07485	+39.28%	0.4196	✗	-0.07
2026-03-30	oos	0.05065	0.046861	-7.48%	0.07517	+48.41%	0.4842	✗	-0.09
2026-03-29	oos	0.05037	0.046472	-7.74%	0.06678	+32.58%	0.3779	✗	-0.11
2026-03-28	oos	0.0517	0.047462	-8.20%	0.07902	+52.84%	0.5253	✗	-0.10
2026-03-27	oos	0.04745	0.044153	-6.95%	0.06856	+44.49%	0.4586	✗	-0.11
2026-03-26	oos	0.04267	0.040614	-4.82%	0.06671	+56.34%	0.5041	✗	-0.06
2026-03-25	oos	0.04459	0.042584	-4.50%	0.06458	+44.83%	0.4235	✗	-0.09
2026-03-24	oos	0.04665	0.043861	-5.98%	0.06653	+42.62%	0.4252	✗	-0.08
2026-03-23	oos	0.04747	0.044387	-6.49%	0.06516	+37.27%	0.3919	✗	-0.08
2026-03-22	oos	0.04813	0.044238	-8.09%	0.06662	+38.42%	0.4166	✗	-0.06
2026-03-21	oos	0.0497	0.045381	-8.69%	0.0665	+33.80%	0.3885	✗	-0.07
2026-03-20	oos	0.04846	0.044558	-8.05%	0.06537	+34.89%	0.3861	✗	-0.06
2026-03-19	oos	0.04463	0.041472	-7.07%	0.06838	+53.22%	0.5055	✗	-0.07
2026-03-18	oos	0.04082	0.03859	-5.46%	0.06957	+70.43%	0.5916	✗	-0.03
2026-03-17	oos	0.03639	0.035135	-3.45%	0.07276	+99.95%	0.7278	✗	0.01
2026-03-16	oos	0.042995	0.040756	-5.21%	0.06959	+61.86%	0.5350	✗	0.05
2026-03-15	oos	0.04655	0.043276	-7.03%	0.07018	+50.76%	0.4812	✗	0.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.04861	0.044627	-8.19%	0.07211	+48.34%	0.4758	✗	0.09
2026-03-13	oos	0.04251	0.039991	-5.93%	0.07456	+75.39%	0.6231	✗	0.06
2026-03-12	oos	0.04395	0.041072	-6.55%	0.07646	+73.97%	0.6191	✗	0.07
2026-03-11	oos	0.04198	0.039554	-5.78%	0.071	+69.13%	0.5822	✗	0.07
2026-03-10	oos	0.04267	0.040097	-6.03%	0.07094	+66.25%	0.5687	✗	0.07
2026-03-09	oos	0.0386	0.036796	-4.67%	0.05996	+55.34%	0.4866	✗	0.04
2026-03-08	oos	0.03482	0.033679	-3.28%	0.05853	+68.09%	0.5549	✗	-0.03
2026-03-07	oos	0.03611	0.03462	-4.12%	0.05693	+57.66%	0.4981	✗	-0.03
2026-03-06	oos	0.03847	0.036488	-5.15%	0.05355	+39.20%	0.3842	✗	-0.04
2026-03-05	oos	0.03718	0.035179	-5.38%	0.05503	+48.01%	0.4459	✗	-0.03
2026-03-04	oos	0.03949	0.036997	-6.31%	0.05465	+38.39%	0.3865	✗	-0.04
2026-03-03	oos	0.03686	0.035169	-4.59%	0.05233	+41.97%	0.3954	✗	-0.09
2026-03-02	oos	0.05133	0.04696	-8.51%	0.05479	+6.74%	0.1531	✗	-0.11
2026-03-01	oos	0.04186	0.039603	-5.39%	0.05374	+28.38%	0.3127	✗	-0.20
2026-02-28	oos	0.02815	0.026378	-6.29%	0.05065	+79.93%	0.6523	✗	-0.02
2026-02-27	oos	0.03078	0.026633	-13.47%	0.05037	+63.65%	0.6373	✗	-0.00
2026-02-26	oos	0.03057	0.018993	-37.87%	0.0517	+69.12%	1.0013	✗	-0.00
2026-02-25	oos	0.05789	0.051751	-10.61%	0.04745	-18.03%	0.0878	✓	-0.04
2026-02-24	oos	0.10322	0.089347	-13.44%	0.04267	-58.66%	0.7724	✓	0.47
2026-02-23	oos	0.09076	0.080271	-11.56%	0.04459	-50.87%	0.6329	✓	0.46
2026-02-22	oos	0.09047	0.079777	-11.82%	0.04665	-48.44%	0.5560	✓	0.46
2026-02-21	oos	0.07352	0.066603	-9.41%	0.04747	-35.43%	0.3606	✓	0.52
2026-02-20	oos	0.07318	0.066085	-9.69%	0.04813	-34.23%	0.3162	✓	0.40
2026-02-19	oos	0.07658	0.068704	-10.28%	0.0497	-35.10%	0.3355	✓	0.41
2026-02-18	oos	0.07777	0.069402	-10.76%	0.04846	-37.69%	0.3826	✓	0.39
2026-02-17	oos	0.07714	0.068854	-10.74%	0.04463	-42.14%	0.4494	✓	0.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.07932	0.070414	-11.23%	0.04082	-48.54%	0.5604	✓	0.45
2026-02-15	oos	0.0769	0.068281	-11.21%	0.03639	-52.68%	0.6622	✓	0.46
2026-02-14	oos	0.07943	0.069932	-11.96%	0.042995	-45.87%	0.5184	✓	0.45
2026-02-13	oos	0.08241	0.071662	-13.04%	0.04655	-43.51%	0.4577	✓	0.46
2026-02-12	oos	0.07515	0.066124	-12.01%	0.04861	-35.32%	0.3380	✓	0.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.06673	0.059642	-10.62%	0.04251	-36.30%	0.3637	✓	0.44
2026-02-10	oos	0.0712	0.06266	-11.99%	0.04395	-38.27%	0.3648	✓	0.41
2026-02-09	oos	0.06393	0.05706	-10.75%	0.04198	-34.33%	0.3075	✓	0.43
2026-02-08	oos	0.0755	0.065127	-13.74%	0.04267	-43.48%	0.4209	✓	0.42
2026-02-07	oos	0.06176	0.055331	-10.41%	0.0386	-37.50%	0.3559	✓	0.35
2026-02-06	oos	0.07968	0.06786	-14.83%	0.03482	-56.30%	0.6466	✓	0.31
2026-02-05	oos	0.06819	0.059567	-12.65%	0.03611	-47.05%	0.5069	✓	0.09
2026-02-04	oos	0.06337	0.056188	-11.33%	0.03847	-39.29%	0.3508	✓	0.40
2026-02-03	oos	0.07037	0.060992	-13.33%	0.03718	-47.16%	0.4685	✓	0.41
2026-02-02	oos	0.04656	0.042945	-7.76%	0.03949	-15.18%	0.0223	✓	0.78
2026-02-01	oos	0.04173	0.038997	-6.55%	0.03686	-11.67%	0.0161	✓	0.61
2026-01-31	oos	0.0431	0.040024	-7.14%	0.05133	+19.10%	0.3065	✗	0.43
2026-01-30	oos	0.04241	0.039313	-7.30%	0.04186	-1.30%	0.1866	✗	0.50
2026-01-29	oos	0.04793	0.043879	-8.45%	0.02815	-41.27%	0.3252	✓	0.51
2026-01-28	oos	0.05456	0.04938	-9.49%	0.03078	-43.59%	0.3446	✓	0.42
2026-01-27	oos	0.05158	0.046681	-9.50%	0.03057	-40.73%	0.3049	✓	0.43
2026-01-26	oos	0.04991	0.044995	-9.85%	0.05789	+15.99%	0.3693	✗	0.45
2026-01-25	oos	0.05037	0.045156	-10.35%	0.10322	+104.92%	0.9726	✗	0.48
2026-01-24	oos	0.05777	0.051217	-11.34%	0.09076	+57.11%	0.6964	✗	0.39
2026-01-23	oos	0.06047	0.053207	-12.01%	0.09047	+49.61%	0.6181	✗	0.31
2026-01-22	oos	0.06253	0.054714	-12.50%	0.07352	+17.58%	0.3913	✗	0.35
2026-01-21	oos	0.0701	0.060797	-13.27%	0.07318	+4.39%	0.2802	✗	0.35
2026-01-20	oos	0.08145	0.068576	-15.81%	0.07658	-5.98%	0.2414	✗	0.47
2026-01-19	oos	0.06695	0.058049	-13.29%	0.07777	+16.16%	0.5367	✗	0.74
2026-01-18	oos	0.05477	0.048697	-11.09%	0.07714	+40.84%	0.7229	✗	0.80
2026-01-17	oos	0.04908	0.044203	-9.94%	0.07932	+61.61%	0.8511	✗	0.82
2026-01-16	oos	0.05165	0.046367	-10.23%	0.0769	+48.89%	0.7703	✗	0.81
2026-01-15	oos	0.05462	0.048778	-10.70%	0.07943	+45.42%	0.7507	✗	0.84
2026-01-14	oos	0.05716	0.051095	-10.61%	0.08241	+44.17%	0.7581	✗	0.82
2026-01-13	oos	0.06727	0.057814	-14.06%	0.07515	+11.71%	0.6082	✗	0.95
2026-01-12	oos	0.04898	0.043893	-10.39%	0.06673	+36.24%	0.6093	✗	0.62
2026-01-11	oos	0.04891	0.043721	-10.61%	0.0712	+45.57%	0.6704	✗	0.66
2026-01-10	oos	0.044	0.039864	-9.40%	0.06393	+45.30%	0.6364	✗	0.65
2026-01-09	oos	0.04275	0.038883	-9.05%	0.0755	+76.61%	0.8237	✗	0.63
2026-01-08	oos	0.03731	0.034463	-7.63%	0.06176	+65.53%	0.7544	✗	0.63
2026-01-07	oos	0.03251	0.030539	-6.06%	0.07968	+145.09%	1.3758	✗	1.62
2026-01-06	oos	0.03523	0.033305	-5.46%	0.06819	+93.56%	1.3568	✗	1.60
2026-01-05	oos	0.03633	0.034275	-5.66%	0.06337	+74.43%	1.0269	✗	1.64
2026-01-04	oos	0.03601	0.03353	-6.89%	0.07037	+95.42%	1.0645	✗	1.70
2026-01-03	oos	0.03574	0.033167	-7.20%	0.04656	+30.27%	0.5799	✗	1.70
2026-01-02	oos	0.03374	0.031436	-6.83%	0.04173	+23.68%	0.5453	✗	1.67
2026-01-01	oos	0.03516	0.032531	-7.48%	0.0431	+22.58%	0.4860	✗	1.70
2025-12-31	oos	0.03534	0.032574	-7.83%	0.04241	+20.01%	0.3310	✗	1.70
2025-12-30	oos	0.03487	0.032139	-7.83%	0.04793	+37.45%	0.4775	✗	1.73
2025-12-29	oos	0.03703	0.033854	-8.58%	0.05456	+47.34%	0.4374	✗	1.71
2025-12-28	oos	0.04027	0.036444	-9.50%	0.05158	+28.09%	0.3235	✗	1.70
2025-12-27	oos	0.04554	0.040664	-10.71%	0.04991	+9.60%	0.1965	✗	1.68
2025-12-26	oos	0.04354	0.03892	-10.61%	0.05037	+15.69%	0.2718	✗	1.65
2025-12-25	oos	0.04617	0.040975	-11.25%	0.05777	+25.12%	0.3077	✗	1.65
2025-12-24	oos	0.04127	0.036979	-10.40%	0.06047	+46.52%	0.4569	✗	1.66
2025-12-23	oos	0.0401	0.035952	-10.35%	0.06253	+55.94%	0.5186	✗	1.52
2025-12-22	oos	0.04472	0.039619	-11.41%	0.0701	+56.75%	0.5570	✗	1.50
2025-12-21	oos	0.04437	0.039234	-11.57%	0.08145	+83.57%	0.7360	✗	1.51
2025-12-20	oos	0.04508	0.039635	-12.08%	0.06695	+48.51%	0.4513	✗	1.56
2025-12-19	oos	0.0423	0.037272	-11.89%	0.05477	+29.48%	0.2902	✗	1.55
2025-12-18	oos	0.04002	0.035518	-11.25%	0.04908	+22.64%	0.1569	✗	1.56
2025-12-17	oos	0.036	0.032358	-10.12%	0.05165	+43.47%	0.3049	✗	1.59
2025-12-16	oos	0.04841	0.041879	-13.49%	0.05462	+12.83%	0.1408	✓	1.48
2025-12-15	oos	0.04002	0.035462	-11.39%	0.05716	+42.83%	0.3149	✗	1.41
2025-12-14	oos	0.03232	0.029388	-9.07%	0.06727	+108.14%	0.7103	✗	1.50
2025-12-13	oos	0.03009	0.027589	-8.31%	0.04898	+62.78%	0.5582	✗	1.54
2025-12-12	oos	0.03156	0.028862	-8.55%	0.04891	+54.97%	0.5173	✗	1.55
2025-12-11	oos	0.03257	0.029767	-8.61%	0.044	+35.09%	0.4275	✗	1.55
2025-12-10	oos	0.03374	0.030728	-8.93%	0.04275	+26.70%	0.3564	✗	1.57
2025-12-09	oos	0.0371	0.033571	-9.51%	0.03731	+0.57%	0.1338	✗	1.56
2025-12-08	oos	0.03916	0.035105	-10.35%	0.03251	-16.98%	0.0876	✓	1.58
2025-12-07	oos	0.03906	0.034926	-10.58%	0.03523	-9.81%	0.0483	✓	1.58
2025-12-06	oos	0.04	0.035596	-11.01%	0.03633	-9.18%	0.0604	✓	1.61
2025-12-05	oos	0.04029	0.035693	-11.41%	0.03601	-10.62%	0.0294	✓	1.61
2025-12-04	oos	0.0406	0.035855	-11.69%	0.03574	-11.97%	0.0235	✓	1.63
2025-12-03	oos	0.04414	0.038695	-12.34%	0.03374	-23.56%	0.0757	✓	1.61
2025-12-02	oos	0.04418	0.038577	-12.68%	0.03516	-20.42%	0.0456	✓	1.65
2025-12-01	oos	0.04214	0.036834	-12.59%	0.03534	-16.14%	0.0657	✓	1.74
2025-11-30	oos	0.05073	0.043212	-14.82%	0.03487	-31.26%	0.1786	✓	1.63
2025-11-29	oos	0.04066	0.035591	-12.47%	0.03703	-8.93%	0.1070	✓	1.61
2025-11-28	oos	0.04525	0.038852	-14.14%	0.04027	-11.01%	0.0906	✓	1.62
2025-11-27	oos	0.03818	0.033484	-12.30%	0.04554	+19.28%	0.3717	✗	1.64
2025-11-26	oos	0.03594	0.031554	-12.20%	0.04354	+21.15%	0.3811	✗	1.65
2025-11-25	oos	0.03641	0.031757	-12.78%	0.04617	+26.81%	0.3773	✗	1.75
2025-11-24	oos	0.03441	0.030147	-12.39%	0.04127	+19.94%	0.3272	✗	1.76
2025-11-23	oos	0.02719	0.024388	-10.31%	0.0401	+47.48%	0.4854	✗	1.67
2025-11-22	oos	0.03725	0.032073	-13.90%	0.04472	+20.05%	0.2416	✗	2.03
2025-11-21	oos	0.03157	0.027672	-12.35%	0.04437	+40.54%	0.3876	✗	2.05
2025-11-20	oos	0.02838	0.025191	-11.24%	0.04508	+58.84%	0.5390	✗	2.10
2025-11-19	oos	0.0308	0.027021	-12.27%	0.0423	+37.34%	0.5299	✗	2.18
2025-11-18	oos	0.03265	0.028336	-13.21%	0.04002	+22.57%	0.5274	✗	2.18
2025-11-17	oos	0.03008	0.026208	-12.87%	0.036	+19.68%	0.4610	✗	2.17
2025-11-16	oos	0.03037	0.026389	-13.11%	0.04841	+59.40%	0.7586	✗	2.18
2025-11-15	oos	0.02951	0.025587	-13.29%	0.04002	+35.62%	0.6686	✗	2.20
2025-11-14	oos	0.03099	0.026661	-13.97%	0.03232	+4.29%	0.3475	✗	2.23
2025-11-13	oos	0.03208	0.027361	-14.71%	0.03009	-6.20%	0.3263	✗	2.34
2025-11-12	oos	0.02999	0.025871	-13.73%	0.03156	+5.24%	0.4834	✗	2.40
2025-11-11	oos	0.02939	0.025347	-13.76%	0.03257	+10.82%	0.5098	✗	2.42
2025-11-10	oos	0.02816	0.024407	-13.33%	0.03374	+19.82%	0.6770	✗	2.50
2025-11-09	oos	0.03016	0.02554	-15.32%	0.0371	+23.01%	0.6836	✗	2.55
2025-11-08	oos	0.02936	0.02491	-15.16%	0.03916	+33.38%	0.7637	✗	2.58
2025-11-07	oos	0.02507	0.021792	-13.08%	0.03906	+55.80%	0.9331	✗	2.62
2025-11-06	oos	0.02259	0.019879	-12.00%	0.04	+77.07%	1.0267	✗	2.59
2025-11-05	oos	0.02642	0.02264	-14.31%	0.04029	+52.50%	0.9556	✗	2.52
2025-11-04	oos	0.02557	0.021768	-14.87%	0.0406	+58.78%	0.8678	✗	2.52
2025-11-03	oos	0.02367	0.020461	-13.56%	0.04414	+86.48%	1.1469	✗	2.88
2025-11-02	oos	0.01919	0.017399	-9.33%	0.04418	+130.22%	1.5635	✗	3.31
2025-11-01	oos	0.01756	0.016121	-8.19%	0.04214	+139.98%	1.7628	✗	3.30
2025-10-31	oos	0.01618	0.014991	-7.35%	0.05073	+213.54%	1.8484	✗	3.27
2025-10-30	oos	0.013	0.012359	-4.93%	0.04066	+212.77%	1.7538	✗	3.20
2025-10-29	oos	0.01309	0.012453	-4.87%	0.04525	+245.68%	1.9033	✗	3.21
2025-10-28	oos	0.01363	0.01302	-4.47%	0.03818	+180.12%	1.7724	✗	3.28
2025-10-27	oos	0.01453	0.013858	-4.62%	0.03594	+147.35%	1.7123	✗	3.27
2025-10-26	oos	0.01458	0.013957	-4.27%	0.03641	+149.73%	1.8477	✗	3.28
2025-10-25	oos	0.01564	0.014687	-6.09%	0.03441	+120.01%	1.6659	✗	3.46
2025-10-24	oos	0.01313	0.012615	-3.92%	0.02719	+107.08%	1.6198	✗	3.46
2025-10-23	oos	0.0135	0.012927	-4.25%	0.03725	+175.93%	1.9707	✗	3.47
2025-10-22	oos	0.01197	0.011614	-2.98%	0.03157	+163.74%	1.8054	✗	3.43
2025-10-21	oos	0.01301	0.012545	-3.57%	0.02838	+118.14%	1.5868	✗	3.43
2025-10-20	oos	0.01334	0.012872	-3.51%	0.0308	+130.88%	1.5374	✗	3.50
2025-10-19	oos	0.0134	0.012943	-3.41%	0.03265	+143.66%	1.4725	✗	3.49
2025-10-18	oos	0.0135	0.013047	-3.36%	0.03008	+122.81%	1.3705	✗	3.52
2025-10-17	oos	0.01155	0.01138	-1.47%	0.03037	+162.94%	1.4072	✗	3.47
2025-10-16	oos	0.01146	0.011339	-1.05%	0.02951	+157.50%	1.3936	✗	3.52
2025-10-15	oos	0.01216	0.012033	-1.04%	0.03099	+154.85%	1.5093	✗	3.54
2025-10-14	oos	0.01252	0.012397	-0.98%	0.03208	+156.23%	1.4033	✗	3.57
2025-10-13	oos	0.01343	0.013284	-1.09%	0.02999	+123.31%	1.2653	✗	3.58
2025-10-12	oos	0.01231	0.01217	-1.14%	0.02939	+138.75%	1.2727	✗	3.53
2025-10-11	oos	0.01196	0.011706	-2.13%	0.02816	+135.45%	1.0414	✗	3.70
2025-10-10	oos	0.01147	0.011108	-3.15%	0.03016	+162.95%	1.2857	✗	3.76
2025-10-09	oos	0.02132	0.020741	-2.72%	0.02936	+37.71%	0.7601	✗	2.37
2025-10-08	oos	0.02238	0.021767	-2.74%	0.02507	+12.02%	0.5428	✗	2.26
2025-10-07	oos	0.01976	0.019362	-2.01%	0.02259	+14.32%	0.5853	✗	2.38
2025-10-06	oos	0.02155	0.021195	-1.65%	0.02642	+22.60%	0.6695	✗	2.46
2025-10-05	oos	0.02113	0.020739	-1.85%	0.02557	+21.01%	0.6908	✗	2.45
2025-10-04	oos	0.02253	0.021844	-3.04%	0.02367	+5.06%	0.4268	✗	2.49
2025-10-03	oos	0.02337	0.022512	-3.67%	0.01919	-17.89%	0.0921	✗	2.49
2025-10-02	oos	0.02322	0.022273	-4.08%	0.01756	-24.38%	0.0085	✓	2.50
2025-10-01	oos	0.02106	0.020342	-3.41%	0.01618	-23.17%	0.0321	✓	2.47
2025-09-30	oos	0.02064	0.019722	-4.45%	0.013	-37.02%	0.2823	✓	2.60
2025-09-29	oos	0.0199	0.019063	-4.21%	0.01309	-34.22%	0.2668	✓	2.82
2025-09-28	oos	0.02045	0.019457	-4.85%	0.01363	-33.35%	0.3747	✓	2.98
2025-09-27	oos	0.02037	0.019295	-5.28%	0.01453	-28.67%	0.4024	✓	3.02
2025-09-26	oos	0.02103	0.019843	-5.65%	0.01458	-30.67%	0.4397	✓	3.04
2025-09-25	oos	0.02033	0.019182	-5.65%	0.01564	-23.07%	0.2766	✓	3.04
2025-09-24	oos	0.01793	0.0171	-4.63%	0.01313	-26.77%	0.1892	✓	3.65
2025-09-23	oos	0.01685	0.015999	-5.05%	0.0135	-19.88%	0.1076	✓	3.64
2025-09-22	oos	0.01713	0.016228	-5.27%	0.01197	-30.12%	0.1391	✓	3.53
2025-09-21	oos	0.0195	0.018462	-5.33%	0.01301	-33.28%	0.1345	✓	3.48
2025-09-20	oos	0.02021	0.019056	-5.71%	0.01334	-33.99%	0.1935	✓	3.56
2025-09-19	oos	0.01988	0.018712	-5.88%	0.0134	-32.60%	0.1113	✓	3.56
2025-09-18	oos	0.02217	0.02074	-6.45%	0.0135	-39.11%	0.1171	✓	3.53
2025-09-17	oos	0.02326	0.021574	-7.25%	0.01155	-50.34%	0.3041	✓	3.57

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.