ALIGN
Aligned · Ethereum · gru_s3
- token id
- #369
- symbol
- ALIGN
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x50614cc8e44f7814549c223aa31db9296e58057c
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-20
- predictions
- 162
Track record at +7d
assessed
47
of 54 predictions shown
direction hit
72.3%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1153
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0167
actual -0.1189
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.004775 | 0.00473 | -0.95% | – | pending | – | – | -0.65 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.004405 | 0.004375 | -0.68% | – | pending | – | – | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.004435 | 0.004396 | -0.88% | – | pending | – | – | -0.64 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.004845 | 0.004775 | -1.44% | – | pending | – | – | -0.65 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.004885 | 0.004808 | -1.58% | – | pending | – | – | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.005015 | 0.004924 | -1.82% | – | pending | – | – | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.004595 | 0.004532 | -1.37% | – | pending | – | – | -0.61 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00456 | 0.004499 | -1.35% | 0.004775 | +4.71% | 0.0682 | ✗ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.004635 | 0.004574 | -1.32% | 0.004405 | -4.96% | 0.0388 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.004785 | 0.004712 | -1.53% | 0.004435 | -7.31% | 0.0598 | ✓ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.004985 | 0.004902 | -1.66% | 0.004845 | -2.81% | 0.0251 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.00511 | 0.005014 | -1.87% | 0.004885 | -4.40% | 0.0384 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005055 | 0.004964 | -1.80% | 0.005015 | -0.79% | 0.0018 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.00526 | 0.005148 | -2.12% | 0.004595 | -12.64% | 0.1102 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.00572 | 0.005565 | -2.71% | 0.00456 | -20.28% | 0.2143 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.00581 | 0.005652 | -2.72% | 0.004635 | -20.22% | 0.2199 | ✓ | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.005875 | 0.005709 | -2.83% | 0.004785 | -18.55% | 0.2121 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.005995 | 0.005819 | -2.93% | 0.004985 | -16.85% | 0.1794 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.006145 | 0.005947 | -3.22% | 0.00511 | -16.84% | 0.1683 | ✓ | -0.76 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.00596 | 0.005779 | -3.04% | 0.005055 | -15.18% | 0.1515 | ✓ | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.005915 | 0.005739 | -2.98% | 0.00526 | -11.07% | 0.1153 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00622 | 0.006018 | -3.24% | 0.00572 | -8.04% | 0.0533 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.00631 | 0.006105 | -3.25% | 0.00581 | -7.92% | 0.0330 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.006435 | 0.006223 | -3.30% | 0.005875 | -8.70% | 0.0377 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.006307 | -3.26% | 0.005995 | -8.05% | 0.0334 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.006415 | 0.006215 | -3.11% | 0.006145 | -4.21% | 0.0086 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.006405 | 0.006211 | -3.04% | 0.00596 | -6.95% | 0.0377 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.006322 | -3.03% | 0.005915 | -9.28% | 0.0627 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.00623 | 0.006062 | -2.70% | 0.00622 | -0.16% | 0.0189 | ✓ | -0.70 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.006626 | -2.99% | 0.00631 | -7.61% | 0.0730 | ✓ | -0.80 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.00686 | 0.006658 | -2.94% | 0.006435 | -6.20% | 0.0631 | ✓ | -0.79 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.0068 | 0.006583 | -3.19% | 0.00652 | -4.12% | 0.0362 | ✗ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.00702 | 0.006786 | -3.33% | 0.006415 | -8.62% | 0.0122 | ✓ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.006925 | 0.006717 | -3.00% | 0.006405 | -7.51% | 0.0866 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.006664 | -2.42% | 0.00652 | -4.54% | 0.1220 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.00675 | 0.006618 | -1.96% | 0.00623 | -7.70% | 0.1631 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.007965 | 0.007661 | -3.82% | 0.00683 | -14.25% | 0.2462 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.005885 | 0.005916 | +0.52% | 0.00686 | +16.57% | 0.0458 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.006125 | 0.006149 | +0.40% | 0.0068 | +11.02% | 0.0453 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.006325 | 0.006348 | +0.36% | 0.00702 | +10.99% | 0.0505 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.006635 | 0.006652 | +0.25% | 0.006925 | +4.37% | 0.0061 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.00694 | 0.006949 | +0.12% | 0.00683 | -1.59% | 0.0148 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.00705 | 0.007071 | +0.30% | 0.00675 | -4.26% | 0.0188 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.00798 | 0.007949 | -0.38% | 0.007965 | -0.19% | 0.0392 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.00801 | 0.008013 | +0.04% | 0.005885 | -26.53% | 0.2970 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.007945 | 0.007976 | +0.40% | 0.006125 | -22.91% | 0.2191 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.008195 | 0.008217 | +0.27% | 0.006325 | -22.82% | 0.2290 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.00829 | 0.008335 | +0.54% | 0.006635 | -19.96% | 0.1967 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.0083 | 0.008368 | +0.82% | 0.00694 | -16.39% | 0.1271 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.00927 | 0.009255 | -0.16% | 0.00705 | -23.95% | 0.2847 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.009765 | 0.009753 | -0.12% | 0.00798 | -18.28% | 0.2141 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.010555 | 0.010558 | +0.02% | 0.00801 | -24.11% | 0.2829 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.01074 | 0.010735 | -0.05% | 0.007945 | -26.02% | 0.3348 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.01105 | 0.011062 | +0.11% | 0.008195 | -25.84% | 0.3202 | ✗ | 1.00 |