ALIGN

Aligned · Ethereum · gru_s3

token id: #369
symbol: ALIGN
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x50614cc8e44f7814549c223aa31db9296e58057c
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-20
predictions: 162

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

of 54 predictions shown

direction hit

95.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3794

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0562

actual -0.4357

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.004775	0.004816	+0.85%	–	pending	–	–	-0.65
2026-10-20	oos	0.004405	0.004465	+1.36%	–	pending	–	–	-0.63
2026-10-19	oos	0.004435	0.004447	+0.27%	–	pending	–	–	-0.64
2026-10-18	oos	0.004845	0.00476	-1.76%	–	pending	–	–	-0.65
2026-10-17	oos	0.004885	0.004759	-2.58%	–	pending	–	–	-0.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.005015	0.00485	-3.29%	–	pending	–	–	-0.66
2026-10-15	oos	0.004595	0.004489	-2.31%	–	pending	–	–	-0.61
2026-10-14	oos	0.00456	0.004442	-2.59%	–	pending	–	–	-0.62
2026-10-13	oos	0.004635	0.004526	-2.34%	–	pending	–	–	-0.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.004785	0.004616	-3.53%	–	pending	–	–	-0.63
2026-10-11	oos	0.004985	0.004803	-3.66%	–	pending	–	–	-0.66
2026-10-10	oos	0.00511	0.00487	-4.69%	–	pending	–	–	-0.66
2026-10-09	oos	0.005055	0.004818	-4.68%	–	pending	–	–	-0.66
2026-10-08	oos	0.00526	0.00495	-5.89%	–	pending	–	–	-0.66
2026-10-07	oos	0.00572	0.005293	-7.46%	–	pending	–	–	-0.73
2026-10-06	oos	0.00581	0.005386	-7.30%	–	pending	–	–	-0.75
2026-10-05	oos	0.005875	0.005427	-7.62%	–	pending	–	–	-0.74
2026-10-04	oos	0.005995	0.005521	-7.90%	–	pending	–	–	-0.74
2026-10-03	oos	0.006145	0.005591	-9.01%	–	pending	–	–	-0.76
2026-10-02	oos	0.00596	0.005451	-8.55%	–	pending	–	–	-0.75
2026-10-01	oos	0.005915	0.005423	-8.32%	–	pending	–	–	-0.74
2026-09-30	oos	0.00622	0.00565	-9.16%	–	pending	–	–	-0.74
2026-09-29	oos	0.00631	0.00573	-9.18%	–	pending	–	–	-0.73
2026-09-28	oos	0.006435	0.005832	-9.37%	–	pending	–	–	-0.73
2026-09-27	oos	0.00652	0.005921	-9.19%	–	pending	–	–	-0.73
2026-09-26	oos	0.006415	0.00586	-8.66%	–	pending	–	–	-0.72
2026-09-25	oos	0.006405	0.005863	-8.46%	–	pending	–	–	-0.72
2026-09-24	oos	0.00652	0.00597	-8.43%	–	pending	–	–	-0.72
2026-09-23	oos	0.00623	0.005765	-7.46%	–	pending	–	–	-0.70
2026-09-22	oos	0.00683	0.00627	-8.20%	–	pending	–	–	-0.80
2026-09-21	oos	0.00686	0.006307	-8.06%	0.004775	-30.39%	0.3146	✓	-0.79
2026-09-20	oos	0.0068	0.006136	-9.76%	0.004405	-35.22%	0.3066	✓	-1.15
2026-09-19	oos	0.00702	0.006305	-10.18%	0.004435	-36.82%	0.3434	✓	-1.15
2026-09-18	oos	0.006925	0.006255	-9.67%	0.004845	-30.04%	0.2694	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.00683	0.006182	-9.48%	0.004885	-28.48%	0.2994	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.00675	0.006153	-8.84%	0.005015	-25.70%	0.2725	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.007965	0.006956	-12.67%	0.004595	-42.31%	0.4976	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.005885	0.005612	-4.65%	0.00456	-22.51%	0.2500	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.006125	0.00579	-5.47%	0.004635	-24.33%	0.3014	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.006325	0.005979	-5.47%	0.004785	-24.35%	0.2791	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.006635	0.006264	-5.60%	0.004985	-24.87%	0.3088	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.00694	0.006535	-5.84%	0.00511	-26.37%	0.3259	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.00705	0.006688	-5.14%	0.005055	-28.30%	0.3329	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.00798	0.007492	-6.12%	0.00526	-34.09%	0.3942	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.00801	0.007619	-4.89%	0.00572	-28.59%	0.3382	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.007945	0.007647	-3.75%	0.00581	-26.87%	0.3375	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.008195	0.007894	-3.67%	0.005875	-28.31%	0.3669	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.00829	0.008088	-2.44%	0.005995	-27.68%	0.3817	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.0083	0.00821	-1.08%	0.006145	-25.96%	0.3316	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.00927	0.008982	-3.11%	0.00596	-35.71%	0.4992	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.009765	0.009541	-2.30%	0.005915	-39.43%	0.5700	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.010555	0.010439	-1.10%	0.00622	-41.07%	0.5794	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.01074	0.010656	-0.78%	0.00631	-41.25%	0.5981	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.01105	0.011083	+0.30%	0.006435	-41.76%	0.6083	✗	1.00