ALIGN
Aligned · Ethereum · gru_s3
- token id
- #369
- symbol
- ALIGN
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x50614cc8e44f7814549c223aa31db9296e58057c
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-20
- predictions
- 162
Track record at +1d
assessed
53
of 54 predictions shown
direction hit
64.2%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0441
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0032
actual -0.0158
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.004775 | 0.004757 | -0.37% | – | pending | – | – | -0.65 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.004405 | 0.004398 | -0.17% | 0.004775 | +8.40% | 0.0805 | ✗ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.004435 | 0.004426 | -0.20% | 0.004405 | -0.68% | 0.0038 | ✗ | -0.64 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.004845 | 0.004826 | -0.40% | 0.004435 | -8.46% | 0.0858 | ✓ | -0.65 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.004885 | 0.004866 | -0.39% | 0.004845 | -0.82% | 0.0007 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.005015 | 0.004988 | -0.54% | 0.004885 | -2.59% | 0.0218 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.004595 | 0.004584 | -0.23% | 0.005015 | +9.14% | 0.0851 | ✗ | -0.61 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00456 | 0.00455 | -0.21% | 0.004595 | +0.77% | 0.0140 | ✗ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.004635 | 0.004625 | -0.21% | 0.00456 | -1.62% | 0.0258 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.004785 | 0.004773 | -0.25% | 0.004635 | -3.13% | 0.0190 | ✓ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.004985 | 0.004971 | -0.29% | 0.004785 | -4.01% | 0.0535 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.00511 | 0.005093 | -0.33% | 0.004985 | -2.45% | 0.0154 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005055 | 0.005039 | -0.32% | 0.00511 | +1.09% | 0.0170 | ✗ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.00526 | 0.005237 | -0.44% | 0.005055 | -3.90% | 0.0284 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.00572 | 0.005686 | -0.59% | 0.00526 | -8.04% | 0.0919 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.00581 | 0.00578 | -0.52% | 0.00572 | -1.55% | 0.0304 | ✓ | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.005875 | 0.005843 | -0.55% | 0.00581 | -1.11% | 0.0075 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.005995 | 0.00596 | -0.58% | 0.005875 | -2.00% | 0.0209 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.006145 | 0.006104 | -0.66% | 0.005995 | -2.44% | 0.0025 | ✓ | -0.76 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.00596 | 0.005924 | -0.60% | 0.006145 | +3.10% | 0.0388 | ✗ | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.005915 | 0.00588 | -0.58% | 0.00596 | +0.76% | 0.0104 | ✗ | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00622 | 0.00618 | -0.64% | 0.005915 | -4.90% | 0.0325 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.00631 | 0.006269 | -0.66% | 0.00622 | -1.43% | 0.0085 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.006435 | 0.006391 | -0.68% | 0.00631 | -1.94% | 0.0112 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.006477 | -0.67% | 0.006435 | -1.30% | 0.0152 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.006415 | 0.006375 | -0.62% | 0.00652 | +1.64% | 0.0228 | ✗ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.006405 | 0.006367 | -0.60% | 0.006415 | +0.16% | 0.0103 | ✗ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.006479 | -0.62% | 0.006405 | -1.76% | 0.0140 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.00623 | 0.006198 | -0.51% | 0.00652 | +4.65% | 0.0507 | ✗ | -0.70 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.006787 | -0.62% | 0.00623 | -8.78% | 0.1028 | ✓ | -0.80 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.00686 | 0.006817 | -0.63% | 0.00683 | -0.44% | 0.0017 | ✓ | -0.79 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.0068 | 0.006756 | -0.64% | 0.00686 | +0.88% | 0.0896 | ✗ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.00702 | 0.006973 | -0.67% | 0.0068 | -3.13% | 0.0262 | ✓ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.006925 | 0.006883 | -0.60% | 0.00702 | +1.37% | 0.0153 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.006799 | -0.46% | 0.006925 | +1.39% | 0.0392 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.00675 | 0.006723 | -0.39% | 0.00683 | +1.19% | 0.0130 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.007965 | 0.007842 | -1.54% | 0.00675 | -15.25% | 0.1574 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.005885 | 0.005901 | +0.27% | 0.007965 | +35.34% | 0.3336 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.006125 | 0.006142 | +0.27% | 0.005885 | -3.92% | 0.0605 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.006325 | 0.006343 | +0.28% | 0.006125 | -3.16% | 0.0289 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.006635 | 0.006651 | +0.23% | 0.006325 | -4.67% | 0.0509 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.00694 | 0.006952 | +0.18% | 0.006635 | -4.39% | 0.0554 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.00705 | 0.007065 | +0.21% | 0.00694 | -1.56% | 0.0047 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.00798 | 0.007979 | -0.01% | 0.00705 | -11.65% | 0.1217 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.00801 | 0.008015 | +0.06% | 0.00798 | -0.37% | 0.0038 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.007945 | 0.007954 | +0.11% | 0.00801 | +0.82% | 0.0227 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.008195 | 0.008203 | +0.10% | 0.007945 | -3.05% | 0.0383 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.00829 | 0.008302 | +0.15% | 0.008195 | -1.15% | 0.0150 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.0083 | 0.008314 | +0.17% | 0.00829 | -0.12% | 0.0168 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.00927 | 0.009265 | -0.06% | 0.0083 | -10.46% | 0.1599 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.009765 | 0.009758 | -0.07% | 0.00927 | -5.07% | 0.0501 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.010555 | 0.010546 | -0.08% | 0.009765 | -7.48% | 0.0620 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.01074 | 0.010728 | -0.11% | 0.010555 | -1.72% | 0.0278 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.01105 | 0.011038 | -0.11% | 0.01074 | -2.81% | 0.0201 | ✓ | 1.00 |