8=======>

2022-04-26 · +1d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0811
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.23%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
58.6%
in alpha space · 15.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+2.98%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.265.2755+0.29%5.72+8.75%0.0621✓0.641.3M2022-04-27
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.26460.265351+0.28%0.253-4.38%0.0978✗1.712.2M2022-04-27
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.7144.7257+0.25%6.73+42.77%0.3377✓0.541.6M2022-04-27
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9282.9349+0.24%3.23+10.31%0.0765✓0.661.3M2022-04-27
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1590.159342+0.22%0.154-3.14%0.0474✗0.45190k2022-04-27
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.5863.5928+0.19%3.8142+6.36%0.0442✓0.535.6M2022-04-27
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.384.3867+0.15%5+14.16%0.1107✓0.691.2M2022-04-27
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.5311.5466+0.14%12.22+5.98%0.0430✓0.472.9M2022-04-27
MINAMina Protocolnative1.951.9525+0.13%2.02+3.59%0.0026✓1.071.3M2022-04-27
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.53730.537584+0.05%0.503-6.38%0.0732✗0.23769k2022-04-27
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.47080.47096+0.03%0.4722+0.30%0.0295✗1.09690k2022-04-27
UNIUniswapEthereum88.0021+0.03%8.23+2.88%0.0020✗1.025.6M2022-04-27
HIGHHighstreetEthereum3.9623.9627+0.02%4.086+3.13%0.0185✗1.671.8M2022-04-27
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.50.499978-0.00%0.52+4.00%0.0033✓1.45395k2022-04-27
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.0524.0515-0.01%4.348+7.31%0.0628✗0.272.5M2022-04-27
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.730.6935-0.02%31.28+1.89%0.0128✓1.087.8M2022-04-27
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.0093.0078-0.04%3.318+10.27%0.0807✗0.591.8M2022-04-27
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.16590.165812-0.05%0.1642-1.02%0.0741✓2.19395k2022-04-27
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.008560.008555-0.06%0.00862+0.70%0.0271✓1.183.1M2022-04-27
FIDABonfidaSolana1.21.1992-0.07%1.22+1.67%0.0116✓0.9861k2022-04-27
CTSICartesiEthereum0.2960.295791-0.07%0.3056+3.24%0.0053✓1.291.2M2022-04-27
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.6751.6737-0.08%1.759+5.01%0.0210✗0.9881k2022-04-27
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.27470.274479-0.08%0.2849+3.71%0.0038✓1.408.8M2022-04-27
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.029860.029836-0.08%0.0306+2.48%0.0081✗0.59514k2022-04-27
XECeCashnative0.000078590.000078525-0.08%0.00008163+3.87%0.0113✗0.939.6M2022-04-27
SKLSKALEEthereum0.15810.157958-0.09%0.1612+1.96%0.0143✓1.188.5M2022-04-27
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3763.3726-0.10%3.6093+6.91%0.0510✗0.574.6M2022-04-27
COTICOTIEthereum0.20490.204684-0.11%0.2147+4.78%0.0106✗1.263.3M2022-04-27
DASHDashDash93.2793.1682-0.11%95.64+2.54%0.0033✓1.001.5M2022-04-27
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.027480.027449-0.11%0.029142+6.05%0.0303✗1.014.4M2022-04-27
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana10.7310.7179-0.11%11.41+6.34%0.0517✗0.372.0M2022-04-27
MASKMask NetworkEthereum3.833.8256-0.11%4.26+11.23%0.0687✗1.32385k2022-04-27
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum38.7438.6948-0.12%38.81+0.18%0.0321✓1.195.3M2022-04-27
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.042220.042169-0.12%0.0433+2.56%0.0023✗0.82370k2022-04-27
MOVRMoonriverBase45.76845.7102-0.13%46.7322+2.11%0.0190✓1.40223k2022-04-27
ZENHorizenBase32.2132.1686-0.13%33.33+3.48%0.0029✓1.30261k2022-04-27
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.84.7936-0.13%5.18+7.92%0.0587✗0.64756k2022-04-27
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.1311.1294-0.15%1.213+7.25%0.0380✗1.142.6M2022-04-27
ARPAARPAEthereum0.05990.059811-0.15%0.0624+4.17%0.0098✗1.11279k2022-04-27
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV76.5376.4142-0.15%77.91+1.80%0.0039✓0.793.1M2022-04-27
AAVEAaveEthereum158.02157.7778-0.15%168.44+6.59%0.0289✗1.2412.5M2022-04-27
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.072.0668-0.15%2.14+3.38%0.0057✗0.99137k2022-04-27
GALAGALAEthereum0.16410.16384-0.16%0.1726+5.18%0.0184✗1.15242k2022-04-27
XVGVergenative0.009270.009254-0.17%0.00948+2.27%0.0071✓1.061.3M2022-04-27
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.2317.2008-0.17%17.87+3.71%0.0010✓1.33175k2022-04-27
WOOWOOEthereum0.40530.404608-0.17%0.4145+2.27%0.0143✗0.345,5292022-04-27
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.1312.1087-0.18%12.32+1.57%0.0130✓1.031.2M2022-04-27
STXStacksnative1.031.0281-0.18%1.06+2.91%0.0029✗0.94418k2022-04-27
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum15.0214.9923-0.18%15.3+1.86%0.0109✓1.0611.7M2022-04-27
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0891.0869-0.19%1.146+5.23%0.0229✗1.023.9M2022-04-27
NANOnanopayBase1.89461.891-0.19%1.9163+1.14%0.0163✓1.01188k2022-04-27
XEMNEMnative0.08890.088727-0.19%0.0921+3.60%0.0104✗0.9283k2022-04-27
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.46740.466464-0.20%0.4789+2.46%0.0010✓0.86479k2022-04-27
XLMStellarStellar0.1804670.180101-0.20%0.18432+2.14%0.0051✓0.9618.1M2022-04-27
DODODODOEthereum0.3490.348285-0.21%0.362+3.72%0.0065✗1.098.0M2022-04-27
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.9860.983861-0.22%1.011+2.54%0.0038✓1.061.3M2022-04-27
QNTQuantEthereum100.69100.4698-0.22%101.26+0.57%0.0158✓0.813.4M2022-04-27
DKAdKargoEthereum0.086220.086027-0.22%0.08706+0.97%0.0109✓0.7835k2022-04-27
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6370.635556-0.23%0.63-1.10%0.0309✓0.752.8M2022-04-27
FILFilecoinFilecoin17.3117.2703-0.23%17.72+2.37%0.0042✓1.0210.6M2022-04-27
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003650.003642-0.23%0.00378+3.56%0.0069✗1.037.1M2022-04-27
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7480.746267-0.23%0.784+4.81%0.0094✗1.361.9M2022-04-27
CHZChilizEthereum0.19680.196336-0.24%0.2094+6.40%0.0317✗1.112.6M2022-04-27
ADACardanoCardano0.82590.823928-0.24%0.8405+1.77%0.0105✓1.0353.5M2022-04-27
CBKCobakEthereum2.022.0152-0.24%2.066+2.28%0.0041✗0.7124k2022-04-27
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos20.3120.2602-0.25%21.45+5.61%0.0267✗1.0321.8M2022-04-27
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.21510.214572-0.25%0.2181+1.39%0.0079✓0.821.6M2022-04-27
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.04230.042196-0.25%0.0456+7.80%0.0296✗1.6331.5M2022-04-27
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.291.2868-0.25%1.322+2.48%0.0029✓1.02573k2022-04-27
SUNSun TokenTron0.0132680.013235-0.25%0.013891+4.70%0.0231✗0.8653k2022-04-27
SUSHISushiEthereum2.912.9026-0.25%2.99+2.75%0.0057✓1.204.4M2022-04-27
KCSKuCoinnative18.81718.7687-0.26%19.033+1.15%0.0087✓0.775.8M2022-04-27
CVCCivicEthereum0.26880.268105-0.26%0.2745+2.12%0.0086✓1.09462k2022-04-27
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.285.2662-0.26%5.51+4.36%0.0023✓1.46494k2022-04-27
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.60010.598505-0.27%0.6169+2.80%0.0021✓0.968.8M2022-04-27
BTCBitcoinBitcoin38,113.8238,012.19-0.27%39,251.11+2.98%0.0027✓1.00565.5M2022-04-27
SCSiacoinnative0.009320.009295-0.27%0.00953+2.25%0.0086✓1.14453k2022-04-27
MANADecentralandEthereum1.80741.8024-0.28%1.845+2.08%0.0083✓1.081.2M2022-04-27
AVTAventusEthereum2.332.3235-0.28%2.28-2.15%0.0339✓0.51322k2022-04-27
BORABORAKlay Token0.715690.713693-0.28%0.72269+0.98%0.0201✓1.11140k2022-04-27
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash296.43295.6023-0.28%307.39+3.70%0.0109✗0.966.0M2022-04-27
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.940.937374-0.28%0.94+0.00%0.0279✓1.04595k2022-04-27
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.04070.040586-0.28%0.0412+1.23%0.0088✓0.8163k2022-04-27
UOSUltraEthereum0.86490.862469-0.28%0.84962-1.77%0.0514✓1.241.6M2022-04-27
COMPCompoundEthereum121.78121.4374-0.28%124.46+2.20%0.0084✓1.1265k2022-04-27
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.066730.066542-0.28%0.06999+4.89%0.0208✗1.01121k2022-04-27
IMXImmutableEthereum1.6661.6613-0.28%1.719+3.18%0.0051✗0.998.7M2022-04-27
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.83995.8233-0.28%5.8032-0.63%0.0180✓0.49213k2022-04-27
LINKChainlinkEthereum12.3712.3337-0.29%12.74+2.99%0.0003✓1.0925.8M2022-04-27
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.0663.0568-0.30%2.992-2.41%0.0658✓1.51896k2022-04-27
UMAUMAEthereum5.5325.5151-0.31%5.62+1.59%0.0234✓1.442.5M2022-04-27
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13280.132394-0.31%0.1349+1.58%0.0094✓0.96203k2022-04-27
LRCLoopringEthereum0.81930.816781-0.31%0.8582+4.75%0.0140✗1.21454k2022-04-27
STORJStorjEthereum0.957960.954997-0.31%0.99319+3.68%0.0063✗1.12154k2022-04-27
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.010860.010826-0.31%0.01102+1.47%0.0011✓0.5730k2022-04-27
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.65620.654113-0.32%0.6715+2.33%0.0005✓0.9112.2M2022-04-27
DOTPolkadotPolkadot16.6916.6368-0.32%16.95+1.56%0.0110✓1.0114.6M2022-04-27
LTCLitecoinLitecoin98.5998.2736-0.32%100.63+2.07%0.0060✓1.0119.2M2022-04-27
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.09860.098279-0.33%0.0974-1.22%0.0357✓0.912.6M2022-04-27
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.0464.0327-0.33%4.173+3.14%0.0034✓1.28121k2022-04-27
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum38,008.8037,883.79-0.33%39,133.20+2.96%0.0052✗0.9325k2022-04-27
PHAPHALAEthereum0.260.259138-0.33%0.265+1.92%0.0030✓0.6636k2022-04-27
API3Api3Ethereum3.93.887-0.33%4.039+3.56%0.0108✗0.942.8M2022-04-27
BFCBifrostEthereum0.129840.129408-0.33%0.13529+4.20%0.0225✗0.7515k2022-04-27
ETHEthereumEthereum2,809.262,799.86-0.33%2,889.78+2.87%0.0022✓1.00448.2M2022-04-27
DIADIAEthereum0.810.807287-0.33%0.81+0.00%0.0106✓0.4777k2022-04-27
GITCOINGITCOIN5.2545.2364-0.34%5.482+4.34%0.0036✗1.4418k2022-04-27
YFIyearn.financeEthereum17,482.3917,423.46-0.34%17,725.84+1.39%0.0118✓0.994.0M2022-04-27
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.021150.021079-0.34%0.02058-2.70%0.0541✓1.03373k2022-04-27
QTUMQtumQtum6.00985.9895-0.34%6.1184+1.81%0.0118✓1.12147k2022-04-27
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.2731.2687-0.34%1.307+2.67%0.0063✓1.23494k2022-04-27
HIVEHivenative0.84020.837353-0.34%0.8819+4.96%0.0237✗0.961.8M2022-04-27
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.656450.65419-0.34%0.66975+2.03%0.0064✓1.02152k2022-04-27
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche68.768.4633-0.34%69.86+1.69%0.0142✓1.1762.7M2022-04-27
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000022980.000022899-0.35%0.00002342+1.91%0.0082✓1.052.0M2022-04-27
LCXLCXEthereum0.110.10961-0.35%0.1088-1.09%0.0335✓0.89658k2022-04-27
GLMGolemEthereum0.39320.391801-0.36%0.3987+1.40%0.0205✓1.29282k2022-04-27
ORCAOrcaSolana1.881.8732-0.36%1.93+2.66%0.0091✗0.71211k2022-04-27
KSMKusamaHydration154.99154.4239-0.37%158.07+1.99%0.0076✓1.051.1M2022-04-27
AMPAmpEthereum0.021160.021082-0.37%0.02156+1.89%0.0013✓0.724.2M2022-04-27
CELLCellframeEthereum0.83970.836606-0.37%0.8279-1.41%0.0466✓1.23184k2022-04-27
XVSVenusEthereum9.559.5148-0.37%9.63+0.84%0.0175✓1.004.5M2022-04-27
BTTCBTTC0.000001750.000001744-0.37%0.00000176+0.57%0.0114✓0.719.0M2022-04-27
BANDBandEthereum3.3073.2947-0.37%3.443+4.11%0.0088✗1.20666k2022-04-27
XTZTezosTezos2.72032.7101-0.37%2.8188+3.62%0.0092✗1.02893k2022-04-27
XYMSymbolnative0.10120.100816-0.38%0.1015+0.30%0.0125✓0.65823k2022-04-27
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.741.7333-0.38%1.78+2.30%0.0114✓1.291.6M2022-04-27
GTGateEthereum6.13596.1119-0.39%6.128-0.13%0.0112✓0.474.7M2022-04-27
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum5.7515.7284-0.39%5.956+3.56%0.0061✗1.12216k2022-04-27
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1376190.137076-0.39%0.139898+1.66%0.0068✓0.925.1M2022-04-27
XMRMoneroMonero230.31229.3921-0.40%229.66-0.28%0.0260✓0.923.3M2022-04-27
LSKLiskEthereum1.98491.9769-0.40%2.0806+4.82%0.0268✗0.8396k2022-04-27
RADRadworksEthereum4.144.1232-0.41%4.17+0.72%0.0137✓0.85741k2022-04-27
ZECZcashZcash145.94145.3453-0.41%149.27+2.28%0.0035✓1.026.7M2022-04-27
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.07221.0676-0.43%1.085+1.19%0.0201✓1.249.9M2022-04-27
SOLSolanaSolana95.7495.3161-0.44%98.35+2.73%0.0039✓1.20127.9M2022-04-27
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.33710.335604-0.44%0.3677+9.08%0.0568✗1.179.9M2022-04-27
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.09984.0813-0.45%4.1974+2.38%0.0005✓0.97275k2022-04-27
TRXTRONTron0.0618240.061532-0.47%0.063211+2.24%0.0089✗0.61302k2022-04-27
PROPropyEthereum1.51.4928-0.48%2.19+46.00%0.3697✗0.46267k2022-04-27
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.025.9908-0.49%6.18+2.66%0.0146✗0.561.0M2022-04-27
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.01590.015823-0.49%0.01615+1.57%0.0053✓0.881.5M2022-04-27
FTTFTXEthereum38.7138.5206-0.49%39.57+2.22%0.0003✓0.9018.9M2022-04-27
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.22550.224385-0.49%0.2405+6.65%0.0324✗1.26223k2022-04-27
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.90e-78.86e-7-0.50%9.09e-7+2.08%0.0288✗-0.11590k2022-04-27
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.36282.3507-0.51%2.3741+0.48%0.0085✓0.6211k2022-04-27
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.3514.2738-0.53%18.59+29.55%0.2270✗1.262.2M2022-04-27
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.49235.463-0.53%5.8194+5.96%0.0301✗1.1311.2M2022-04-27
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5120.509265-0.53%0.542+5.86%0.0329✗1.004.9M2022-04-27
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.8964.8694-0.54%4.829-1.37%0.0356✓0.9364k2022-04-27
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.020750.020635-0.56%0.02097+1.06%0.0265✓1.4549.4M2022-04-27
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.5123.3779-0.56%24.72+5.15%0.0192✗1.25685k2022-04-27
NMRNumeraireEthereum25.5425.3869-0.60%25.1-1.72%0.0386✓0.92517k2022-04-27
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.3662.351-0.63%2.489+5.20%0.0196✗1.278.3M2022-04-27
LUNATerraTerra 288.4787.869-0.68%89.04+0.64%0.0244✓1.2810.4M2022-04-27
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.425.3828-0.69%5.857+8.06%0.0443✗1.378.7M2022-04-27
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.026940.026731-0.78%0.026615-1.21%0.0188✓0.49199k2022-04-27
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8325780.825957-0.80%0.875631+5.17%0.0292✗0.994.6M2022-04-27
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.5352.5084-1.05%2.69+6.11%0.0417✗0.9610.9M2022-04-27
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.078090.077186-1.16%0.08116+3.93%0.0283✗0.7431k2022-04-27
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum5.23435.1661-1.30%5.5569+6.16%0.0514✗0.738.7M2022-04-27
APEApeCoinEthereum18.09217.8083-1.57%19.424+7.36%0.0243✗2.1345.8M2022-04-27
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.