8=======>

2022-03-21 · +1d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 160 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0207
160 of 160 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-2.69%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
66.9%
in alpha space · 18.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+3.32%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (160 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6570.655627-0.21%0.722+9.89%0.0667✗0.911.9M2022-03-22
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1030.102764-0.23%0.105+1.94%0.0040✗0.5429k2022-03-22
KCSKuCoinnative18.0918.0476-0.23%18.261+0.95%0.0176✓0.906.2M2022-03-22
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.1916.175-0.26%6.234+0.69%0.0060✓0.485.9M2022-03-22
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,105.8040,996.95-0.26%42,512.10+3.42%0.0049✗0.9652k2022-03-22
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.51050.50911-0.27%0.5151+0.90%0.0124✓0.74399k2022-03-22
TRXTRONTron0.061790.061597-0.31%0.063447+2.68%0.0087✗0.64259k2022-03-22
YFIyearn.financeEthereum20,359.4020,295.74-0.31%20,305.82-0.26%0.0356✓1.115.7M2022-03-22
GTGateEthereum6.36916.3491-0.31%6.4277+0.92%0.0085✓0.643.6M2022-03-22
BTCBitcoinBitcoin41,017.7140,885.39-0.32%42,378.26+3.32%0.0032✓1.00680.6M2022-03-22
UOSUltraEthereum1.16541.1614-0.34%1.1525-1.10%0.0497✓1.291.7M2022-03-22
XMRMoneroMonero191.87191.2173-0.34%193.89+1.05%0.0171✓0.951.7M2022-03-22
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012620.012577-0.34%0.01287+1.98%0.0000✓0.709,3002022-03-22
XYMSymbolnative0.13710.136629-0.34%0.1371+0.00%0.0223✓0.79298k2022-03-22
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.7519.678-0.36%20.78+5.22%0.0112✗1.33246k2022-03-22
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000022940.000022853-0.38%0.00002344+2.18%0.0129✓1.172.3M2022-03-22
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1191840.11873-0.38%0.122365+2.67%0.0034✓0.822.6M2022-03-22
COMPCompoundEthereum113.52113.0808-0.39%114.7+1.04%0.0239✓1.1748k2022-03-22
CBKCobakEthereum2.2112.2022-0.40%2.255+1.99%0.0020✓0.7921k2022-03-22
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041260.041092-0.41%0.04222+2.33%0.0003✓0.8423k2022-03-22
XEMNEMnative0.10710.106661-0.41%0.1082+1.03%0.0133✓0.8540k2022-03-22
SCSiacoinnative0.009560.009521-0.41%0.0096+0.42%0.0277✓1.10441k2022-03-22
XVSVenusEthereum9.379.3291-0.44%9.38+0.11%0.0285✓1.043.0M2022-03-22
UNIUniswapEthereum9.359.309-0.44%9.76+4.39%0.0138✗1.036.1M2022-03-22
DIADIAEthereum0.940.935826-0.44%0.95+1.06%0.0031✓0.36248k2022-03-22
XLMStellarStellar0.2036920.202779-0.45%0.20689+1.57%0.0123✓0.9917.0M2022-03-22
STORJStorjEthereum1.10491.1-0.45%1.1249+1.81%0.0145✓1.13128k2022-03-22
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.7518.6647-0.46%20.22+7.84%0.0448✗1.0824.4M2022-03-22
HIVEHivenative0.91430.910082-0.46%0.9224+0.89%0.0231✓1.122.1M2022-03-22
FTTFTXEthereum44.6744.4635-0.46%45.28+1.37%0.0156✓1.0414.3M2022-03-22
RADRadworksEthereum4.744.7178-0.47%4.97+4.85%0.0237✗0.87626k2022-03-22
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25060.249424-0.47%0.253+0.96%0.0126✓0.821.9M2022-03-22
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.9716.8894-0.48%18.02+6.19%0.0321✗1.0014.5M2022-03-22
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV84.9884.5688-0.48%91.76+7.98%0.0571✗0.751.1M2022-03-22
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2281.222-0.49%1.26+2.61%0.0017✓0.992.8M2022-03-22
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.3133.2967-0.49%4.168+25.81%0.2108✗0.731.2M2022-03-22
ETHEthereumEthereum2,891.082,876.83-0.49%2,970.51+2.75%0.0023✓1.05492.6M2022-03-22
UMAUMAEthereum7.5757.5373-0.50%7.622+0.62%0.0314✓1.306.0M2022-03-22
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.053580.053308-0.51%0.05567+3.90%0.0090✗1.05474k2022-03-22
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.226.188-0.51%6.43+3.38%0.0148✗0.721.3M2022-03-22
LINKChainlinkEthereum1514.9225-0.52%15.43+2.87%0.0013✓1.0733.1M2022-03-22
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.372.3577-0.52%2.44+2.95%0.0024✓0.98142k2022-03-22
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.12324.1018-0.52%4.2393+2.82%0.0116✗0.654.7M2022-03-22
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.8513.8308-0.52%4.136+7.40%0.0560✗0.63683k2022-03-22
PROPropyEthereum1.591.5817-0.52%1.54-3.14%0.0600✓1.02242k2022-03-22
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana12.8812.8123-0.53%13.32+3.42%0.0250✗0.433.0M2022-03-22
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.1962.1845-0.53%2.268+3.28%0.0053✓1.319.5M2022-03-22
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.74430.740314-0.54%0.7746+4.07%0.0153✗0.927.2M2022-03-22
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.9834.9562-0.54%5.543+11.24%0.0904✗0.66716k2022-03-22
FILFilecoinFilecoin17.8217.7234-0.54%18.31+2.75%0.0006✓0.985.1M2022-03-22
SUSHISushiEthereum3.313.2919-0.55%3.45+4.23%0.0091✗1.166.4M2022-03-22
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.025750.025608-0.55%0.026+0.97%0.0200✓1.08211k2022-03-22
AAVEAaveEthereum153.89153.0394-0.55%152.91-0.64%0.0430✓1.298.5M2022-03-22
MANADecentralandEthereum2.40892.3956-0.55%2.4316+0.94%0.0235✓1.181.3M2022-03-22
AMPAmpEthereum0.026170.026024-0.56%0.02633+0.61%0.0128✓0.752.7M2022-03-22
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.46.3642-0.56%6.75+5.47%0.0347✗0.741.6M2022-03-22
BTTCBTTC0.000001830.00000182-0.56%0.00000186+1.64%0.0016✓0.6212.1M2022-03-22
MINAMina Protocolnative2.092.0783-0.56%2.15+2.87%0.0001✓1.04354k2022-03-22
XVGVergenative0.00990.009844-0.56%0.00999+0.91%0.0228✓1.151.7M2022-03-22
QNTQuantEthereum119.55118.8715-0.57%127.12+6.33%0.0374✗0.914.2M2022-03-22
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011780.011713-0.57%0.01179+0.08%0.0333✓1.223.2M2022-03-22
LSKLiskEthereum2.15442.1419-0.58%2.188+1.56%0.0043✓0.79126k2022-03-22
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.230.228655-0.58%0.2354+2.35%0.0036✓1.00372k2022-03-22
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.5729.3969-0.59%29.9+1.12%0.0127✓0.91767k2022-03-22
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos27.9327.7625-0.60%28.03+0.36%0.0267✓1.1140.2M2022-03-22
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche86.2685.739-0.60%83.98-2.64%0.0632✓1.30118.0M2022-03-22
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.41180.409308-0.61%0.4105-0.32%0.0349✓1.169.3M2022-03-22
GLMGolemEthereum0.48130.478381-0.61%0.4873+1.25%0.0142✓1.001.3M2022-03-22
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07520.074724-0.63%0.0759+0.93%0.0151✓0.94146k2022-03-22
STXStacksnative1.31.2916-0.64%1.3+0.00%0.0242✓0.94481k2022-03-22
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.850.844457-0.65%0.91+7.06%0.0314✗1.332.1M2022-03-22
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15240.151389-0.66%0.1543+1.25%0.0149✓1.04215k2022-03-22
API3Api3Ethereum4.9174.8841-0.67%4.907-0.20%0.0158✓0.637.0M2022-03-22
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.5992.5815-0.67%2.669+2.69%0.0007✓1.0052k2022-03-22
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.94680.940432-0.67%1.1707+23.65%0.1796✗1.214.7M2022-03-22
ADACardanoCardano0.91790.911694-0.68%0.9753+6.25%0.0345✗1.0160.9M2022-03-22
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.8515.7424-0.68%17.58+10.91%0.0677✗1.312.6M2022-03-22
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018960.018831-0.68%0.01899+0.16%0.0252✓1.031.4M2022-03-22
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.3476.3033-0.69%6.545+3.12%0.0050✓1.00475k2022-03-22
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.7723.7457-0.70%3.8754+2.74%0.0139✗0.623.9M2022-03-22
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.19696.1536-0.70%6.1887-0.13%0.0079✓0.42179k2022-03-22
SOLSolanaSolana88.6288.0007-0.70%90.48+2.10%0.0134✓1.2692.6M2022-03-22
QTUMQtumQtum6.82366.7758-0.70%7.6005+11.38%0.0784✗1.1297k2022-03-22
NANOnanopayBase2.2122.1965-0.70%2.2499+1.71%0.0134✓1.15139k2022-03-22
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5311.5202-0.70%1.547+1.05%0.0157✓1.02644k2022-03-22
GITCOINGITCOIN6.5296.4828-0.71%6.962+6.63%0.0266✗1.3724k2022-03-22
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.8280.822127-0.71%0.8268-0.14%0.0269✓1.0016.8M2022-03-22
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash334.93332.5455-0.71%375.54+12.12%0.0910✗0.947.0M2022-03-22
GALAGALAEthereum0.23580.23412-0.71%0.2408+2.12%0.0045✓1.00173k2022-03-22
ZECZcashZcash181.56180.2596-0.72%174.59-3.84%0.0639✓0.9813.8M2022-03-22
SUNSun TokenTron0.0128140.012722-0.72%0.013307+3.85%0.0153✗0.9111k2022-03-22
AVTAventusEthereum2.272.2535-0.73%2.21-2.64%0.0322✓0.39309k2022-03-22
ZENHorizenBase43.5943.2686-0.74%45.47+4.31%0.0069✓1.31309k2022-03-22
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.7632.7423-0.75%2.762-0.04%0.0305✓1.15514k2022-03-22
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.424.3868-0.75%4.5+1.81%0.0206✓1.41375k2022-03-22
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.816550.810404-0.75%0.80946-0.87%0.0376✓1.12118k2022-03-22
DKAdKargoEthereum0.094860.094144-0.75%0.09728+2.55%0.0040✓0.8828k2022-03-22
LUNATerraTerra 295.8295.0917-0.76%93.09-2.85%0.0663✓1.389.1M2022-03-22
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.0345.9881-0.76%5.986-0.80%0.0312✓0.9582k2022-03-22
LTCLitecoinLitecoin116.13115.2406-0.77%122.81+5.75%0.0307✗1.0125.9M2022-03-22
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.16353.1392-0.77%3.292+4.06%0.0207✗0.824.1M2022-03-22
WOOWOOEthereum0.5990.594401-0.77%0.5639-5.86%0.0853✓1.004,8802022-03-22
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.891.8755-0.77%1.93+2.12%0.0131✓1.281.0M2022-03-22
LCXLCXEthereum0.08970.089008-0.77%0.0905+0.89%0.0236✓1.23504k2022-03-22
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0403440.04003-0.78%0.040562+0.54%0.0178✓0.954.1M2022-03-22
DASHDashDash123.68122.7038-0.79%130.57+5.57%0.0303✗0.981.7M2022-03-22
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.098.0261-0.79%8.37+3.46%0.0187✗0.712.6M2022-03-22
AUCTIONBounceEthereum16.5216.3869-0.81%16.17-2.12%0.0527✓1.21510k2022-03-22
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6181.6049-0.81%1.626+0.49%0.0194✓0.992.3M2022-03-22
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.22070.218891-0.82%0.2271+2.90%0.0042✓1.001.7M2022-03-22
XECeCashnative0.000080420.000079758-0.82%0.00008348+3.81%0.0142✗0.964.8M2022-03-22
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.4331.4211-0.83%1.457+1.67%0.0196✓1.36466k2022-03-22
COTICOTIEthereum0.2120.210228-0.84%0.218+2.83%0.0059✓1.291.8M2022-03-22
CELLCellframeEthereum1.4991.4864-0.84%1.466-2.20%0.0586✓1.37204k2022-03-22
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.410.406524-0.85%0.4064-0.88%0.0628✓1.912.1M2022-03-22
KSMKusamaHydration154.99153.6703-0.85%158.4+2.20%0.0066✓1.13685k2022-03-22
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13260.131467-0.85%0.1349+1.73%0.0131✓1.192.1M2022-03-22
DODODODOEthereum0.4190.415404-0.86%0.446+6.44%0.0352✗1.102.8M2022-03-22
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5501760.545413-0.87%0.561881+2.13%0.0043✓1.041.6M2022-03-22
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.456.3937-0.87%6.67+3.41%0.0182✗0.74822k2022-03-22
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana13.713.5792-0.88%13.41-2.12%0.0288✓0.502.0M2022-03-22
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06250.061947-0.88%0.0657+5.12%0.0027✓1.7243.9M2022-03-22
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.074220.073556-0.90%0.07561+1.87%0.0071✓1.0659k2022-03-22
CVCCivicEthereum0.29330.290667-0.90%0.31+5.69%0.0274✗1.13192k2022-03-22
LRCLoopringEthereum0.80750.800121-0.91%0.8086+0.14%0.0325✓1.32111k2022-03-22
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.9714.9238-0.95%5.175+4.10%0.0079✓1.282.6M2022-03-22
CHZChilizEthereum0.20320.201266-0.95%0.2091+2.90%0.0004✓1.162.3M2022-03-22
CTSICartesiEthereum0.34150.338246-0.95%0.3622+6.06%0.0254✗1.32997k2022-03-22
XTZTezosTezos3.24073.2084-1.00%3.302+1.89%0.0067✓1.091.1M2022-03-22
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.556.4841-1.01%6.98+6.56%0.0284✗1.39447k2022-03-22
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.82754.7789-1.01%4.8022-0.52%0.0256✓0.93208k2022-03-22
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum50.1749.6634-1.01%52.46+4.56%0.0139✗1.254.8M2022-03-22
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.5181.5027-1.01%1.719+13.24%0.1020✗1.001.6M2022-03-22
LPTLivepeerEthereum26.7526.4756-1.03%27.98+4.60%0.0135✗1.28735k2022-03-22
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.79690.788654-1.03%0.78-2.12%0.0221✓0.34620k2022-03-22
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.6081.5913-1.04%1.582-1.62%0.0468✓1.253.7M2022-03-22
BANDBandEthereum3.7493.7093-1.06%3.81+1.63%0.0096✓1.11590k2022-03-22
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.039030.038615-1.06%0.03923+0.51%0.0058✓0.66963k2022-03-22
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.0064.9527-1.06%5.07+1.28%0.0076✓0.95102k2022-03-22
FIDABonfidaSolana1.6871.6682-1.11%1.793+6.28%0.0457✗0.8150k2022-03-22
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.074440.073596-1.13%0.07627+2.46%0.0098✓0.799,2172022-03-22
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07120.070375-1.16%0.0724+1.69%0.0104✓1.19337k2022-03-22
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2540.25103-1.17%0.253-0.39%0.0186✓0.8129k2022-03-22
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.4137.9478-1.20%51.65+34.47%0.2762✗0.983.9M2022-03-22
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.000001180.000001166-1.26%0.000001193+1.06%0.0371✗-0.421.7M2022-03-22
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.34390.339224-1.36%0.3714+8.00%0.0439✗1.439.4M2022-03-22
MOVRMoonriverBase62.259661.4071-1.37%66.9272+7.50%0.0423✗1.34154k2022-03-22
ORCAOrcaSolana2.152.1202-1.39%2.16+0.47%0.0034✓0.67176k2022-03-22
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.640.631126-1.39%0.67+4.69%0.0100✓1.52440k2022-03-22
BFCBifrostEthereum0.152260.150137-1.39%0.15608+2.51%0.0110✓0.8514k2022-03-22
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.121.1041-1.42%1.31+16.96%0.1370✗1.04525k2022-03-22
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0256440.025256-1.51%0.025067-2.25%0.0318✓0.75198k2022-03-22
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.30432.2666-1.64%2.6489+14.95%0.1324✗0.7213k2022-03-22
IMXImmutableEthereum2.1412.105-1.68%2.315+8.13%0.0637✗0.964.0M2022-03-22
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6940.681249-1.84%0.693-0.14%0.0212✓1.182.1M2022-03-22
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.62320.611246-1.92%0.758+21.63%0.1741✗1.26447k2022-03-22
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004410.004325-1.93%0.00429-2.72%0.0509✓1.315.3M2022-03-22
HIGHHighstreetEthereum5.9675.8493-1.97%5.838-2.16%0.0346✓1.00498k2022-03-22
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain8.95268.7626-2.12%8.8344-1.32%0.0245✓1.0047.9M2022-03-22
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.035880.035023-2.39%0.03998+11.43%0.0821✗1.5413.3M2022-03-22
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.