8=======>

2022-03-02 · +1d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 152 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.1161
152 of 152 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-3.25%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
33.6%
in alpha space · 78.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.30%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (152 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
FIDABonfidaSolana2.2372.1894-2.13%1.976-11.67%0.0762✓0.7976k2022-03-03
UMAUMAEthereum8.4218.266-1.84%9.598+13.98%0.1971✗1.421.9M2022-03-03
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.033970.033464-1.49%0.03435+1.12%0.0561✗0.891.1M2022-03-03
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.8952.8535-1.43%3.084+6.53%0.1214✗1.30584k2022-03-03
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.40330.39755-1.43%0.3687-8.58%0.0203✓1.6414.7M2022-03-03
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.50290.495985-1.37%0.4722-6.10%0.0183✗2.012.2M2022-03-03
PROPropyEthereum1.821.7976-1.23%1.92+5.49%0.1063✗1.21411k2022-03-03
MOVRMoonriverBase71.5570.6702-1.23%66.5878-6.94%0.0132✓1.38231k2022-03-03
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.29e-76.22e-7-1.22%6.88e-7+9.33%0.1351✗1.001.1M2022-03-03
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.947.8447-1.20%7.63-3.90%0.0030✓0.92461k2022-03-03
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02680.026489-1.16%0.0283+5.60%0.1106✗1.33500k2022-03-03
ORCAOrcaSolana2.522.492-1.11%2.46-2.38%0.0206✗1.00445k2022-03-03
RADRadworksEthereum5.595.5285-1.10%5.51-1.43%0.0300✗1.00828k2022-03-03
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.72910.721639-1.02%0.8058+10.52%0.1573✗1.402.5M2022-03-03
LCXLCXEthereum0.09910.098087-1.02%0.095-4.14%0.0179✗1.49613k2022-03-03
LUNATerraTerra 292.4391.5521-0.95%90.56-2.02%0.0370✗1.434.8M2022-03-03
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06550.064888-0.93%0.0637-2.75%0.0409✗1.7772.8M2022-03-03
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.77512.7492-0.93%2.773-0.08%0.0380✗0.882.7M2022-03-03
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.72420.717459-0.93%0.865+19.44%0.1984✗0.341.2M2022-03-03
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.012310.012197-0.92%0.01199-2.60%0.0294✗1.392.8M2022-03-03
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.271.2584-0.91%1.24-2.36%0.0202✗1.04824k2022-03-03
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.046790.046377-0.88%0.046937+0.31%0.0478✗1.078.1M2022-03-03
SUSHISushiEthereum3.413.3807-0.86%3.3-3.23%0.0181✗1.266.8M2022-03-03
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.750.74358-0.86%0.72-4.00%0.0253✗1.721.0M2022-03-03
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3591.3478-0.82%1.545+13.69%0.1792✗1.272.0M2022-03-03
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.2923.2665-0.77%3.01-8.57%0.0483✓1.0019.7M2022-03-03
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018920.018775-0.77%0.01877-0.79%0.0364✗1.092.2M2022-03-03
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum19.3119.164-0.76%19.97+3.42%0.0799✗1.1520.0M2022-03-03
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0210730.020916-0.74%0.020258-3.87%0.0029✓0.87135k2022-03-03
DODODODOEthereum0.4680.464535-0.74%0.448-4.27%0.0070✓1.294.2M2022-03-03
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.94245.8988-0.73%5.6206-5.42%0.0379✓0.31385k2022-03-03
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07750.076943-0.72%0.0725-6.45%0.0159✓1.301.0M2022-03-03
SUNSun TokenTron0.0122160.012132-0.69%0.011953-2.15%0.0199✗1.0414k2022-03-03
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.1143.0932-0.67%2.941-5.56%0.0222✓0.84477k2022-03-03
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.6472.6295-0.66%2.508-5.25%0.0014✓1.4513.6M2022-03-03
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.654.6195-0.66%4.42-4.95%0.0066✗1.51471k2022-03-03
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.78720.78204-0.66%0.7596-3.51%0.0078✗1.109.7M2022-03-03
BANDBandEthereum4.0163.9897-0.65%3.962-1.34%0.0371✗1.311.8M2022-03-03
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.931.9174-0.65%1.85-4.15%0.0088✗1.332.0M2022-03-03
ZECZcashZcash125.91125.0944-0.65%129.17+2.59%0.0696✗1.127.4M2022-03-03
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.016340.016235-0.64%0.01525-6.67%0.0116✓1.5212.7M2022-03-03
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.646.5976-0.64%6.34-4.52%0.0075✗1.41942k2022-03-03
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.7620.6292-0.63%19.77-4.77%0.0058✓1.44328k2022-03-03
LSKLiskEthereum1.95921.9469-0.63%2.1075+7.57%0.1141✗1.0477k2022-03-03
XTZTezosTezos3.4943.4729-0.60%3.3937-2.87%0.0198✗1.281.9M2022-03-03
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.1516.0546-0.59%16.42+1.67%0.0461✗0.702.3M2022-03-03
KSMKusamaHydration138.31137.5012-0.58%131.9-4.63%0.0031✓1.151.0M2022-03-03
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.432.416-0.58%2.38-2.06%0.0185✗1.00268k2022-03-03
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.51440.511465-0.57%0.4943-3.91%0.0120✗1.37484k2022-03-03
COMPCompoundEthereum122.45121.7582-0.56%116.89-4.54%0.0001✓1.2258k2022-03-03
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004690.004664-0.56%0.00456-2.77%0.0324✗1.649.6M2022-03-03
YFIyearn.financeEthereum22,346.9422,222.59-0.56%21,698.86-2.90%0.0089✗0.985.9M2022-03-03
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.1641.1576-0.55%1.176+1.03%0.0515✗1.071.4M2022-03-03
STXStacksnative1.251.2434-0.53%1.21-3.20%0.0130✗1.20585k2022-03-03
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos32.2532.08-0.53%34.01+5.46%0.0969✗1.1550.3M2022-03-03
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.4961.4884-0.51%1.437-3.94%0.0021✓1.11939k2022-03-03
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12990.129241-0.51%0.1221-6.00%0.0134✓1.303.2M2022-03-03
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1160.115419-0.50%0.118+1.72%0.0406✗0.5544k2022-03-03
AVTAventusEthereum2.352.3383-0.50%2.38+1.28%0.0512✗1.00422k2022-03-03
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.5481.5403-0.49%1.479-4.46%0.0078✗1.45842k2022-03-03
CELLCellframeEthereum1.62261.6149-0.47%1.6497+1.67%0.0639✗1.27293k2022-03-03
CVCCivicEthereum0.29450.293111-0.47%0.2824-4.11%0.0069✗1.32317k2022-03-03
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07140.071065-0.47%0.0725+1.54%0.0538✗1.0113k2022-03-03
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.992.976-0.47%2.873-3.91%0.0037✓0.94792k2022-03-03
BTTCBTTC0.000001960.000001951-0.47%0.0000019-3.06%0.0042✓0.6613.7M2022-03-03
LPTLivepeerEthereum26.5626.4375-0.46%25.18-5.20%0.0026✓1.381.5M2022-03-03
HIVEHivenative0.99880.994341-0.45%0.9796-1.92%0.0248✗1.182.1M2022-03-03
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9170.913079-0.43%0.852-7.09%0.0262✓1.282.4M2022-03-03
MINAMina Protocolnative2.132.121-0.42%2.04-4.23%0.0001✓1.16354k2022-03-03
XMRMoneroMonero177.46176.7252-0.41%172.04-3.05%0.0067✗1.001.2M2022-03-03
AAVEAaveEthereum137.7137.1338-0.41%129.96-5.62%0.0088✓1.346.8M2022-03-03
CHZChilizEthereum0.1970.19619-0.41%0.1971+0.05%0.0504✗1.362.8M2022-03-03
XVSVenusEthereum9.789.7399-0.41%9.34-4.50%0.0012✓1.213.5M2022-03-03
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.7320.6449-0.41%20.13-2.89%0.0122✗1.129.1M2022-03-03
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.9763.9598-0.41%3.808-4.23%0.0024✓1.242.2M2022-03-03
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2470.246001-0.40%0.273+10.53%0.1328✗0.8566k2022-03-03
XVGVergenative0.010370.010328-0.40%0.01001-3.47%0.0105✗1.251.3M2022-03-03
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.591.5836-0.40%1.523-4.21%0.0005✓1.152.0M2022-03-03
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.048750.048557-0.40%0.05073+4.06%0.0841✗1.20641k2022-03-03
LRCLoopringEthereum0.80820.805058-0.39%0.7864-2.70%0.0251✗1.45270k2022-03-03
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.56650.564304-0.39%0.5501-2.89%0.0052✗0.92607k2022-03-03
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.1615.1022-0.38%14.3-5.67%0.0051✓1.482.4M2022-03-03
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.716.6846-0.38%6.42-4.32%0.0233✓0.511.2M2022-03-03
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.982.9687-0.38%2.882-3.29%0.0001✓0.89223k2022-03-03
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.436.4063-0.37%6.33-1.56%0.0176✗0.88478k2022-03-03
AMPAmpEthereum0.028320.028217-0.37%0.02753-2.79%0.0012✓0.774.0M2022-03-03
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.3730.2595-0.36%30.05-1.05%0.0243✗0.931.5M2022-03-03
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.4134.3975-0.35%4.2636-3.39%0.0072✗1.14244k2022-03-03
DIADIAEthereum1.021.0164-0.35%1.05+2.94%0.0417✗0.28282k2022-03-03
SCSiacoinnative0.009570.009537-0.35%0.00902-5.75%0.0134✓1.26563k2022-03-03
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.02973.0192-0.35%2.9519-2.57%0.0071✗0.882.4M2022-03-03
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.2915.2375-0.34%14.89-2.62%0.0164✗1.1850.8M2022-03-03
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.6118.547-0.34%18.03-3.12%0.0124✗1.2128.4M2022-03-03
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.575.5515-0.33%5.38-3.41%0.0028✓0.85540k2022-03-03
UOSUltraEthereum1.3891.3845-0.32%1.4091+1.44%0.0629✗1.352.8M2022-03-03
QTUMQtumQtum6.48676.4659-0.32%6.3922-1.46%0.0335✗1.34257k2022-03-03
ZENHorizenBase38.9238.7949-0.32%38.18-1.90%0.0325✗1.45280k2022-03-03
MANADecentralandEthereum2.75322.7444-0.32%2.6368-4.23%0.0003✓1.203.3M2022-03-03
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2021.1982-0.32%1.174-2.33%0.0194✗1.192.9M2022-03-03
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.03223.0227-0.31%2.95-2.71%0.0050✗0.873.6M2022-03-03
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15950.159008-0.31%0.1559-2.26%0.0147✗1.03420k2022-03-03
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.5054.4912-0.31%4.418-1.93%0.0118✗0.84453k2022-03-03
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25710.256315-0.31%0.249-3.15%0.0016✓0.912.0M2022-03-03
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.1410.1096-0.30%10.07-0.69%0.0182✗0.66928k2022-03-03
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.730470.728288-0.30%0.7113-2.62%0.0223✗1.37200k2022-03-03
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.6913.6503-0.29%13.32-2.70%0.0124✗1.10331k2022-03-03
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7030.700973-0.29%0.714+1.56%0.0545✗1.082.6M2022-03-03
DASHDashDash100.9100.6157-0.28%96.75-4.11%0.0013✓1.131.5M2022-03-03
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.37420.373159-0.28%0.3647-2.54%0.0226✗1.368.7M2022-03-03
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.0386.0219-0.27%5.584-7.52%0.0404✓1.05166k2022-03-03
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche83.4283.1984-0.27%78.49-5.91%0.0104✓1.43120.2M2022-03-03
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum55.5955.4455-0.26%53.31-4.10%0.0043✗1.306.5M2022-03-03
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.072580.072391-0.26%0.06983-3.79%0.0060✗1.2569k2022-03-03
API3Api3Ethereum7.37.2811-0.26%7.315+0.21%0.0214✗0.504.1M2022-03-03
BFCBifrostEthereum0.165420.164999-0.25%0.16147-2.39%0.0181✗1.1822k2022-03-03
GITCOINGITCOIN6.76.6833-0.25%6.363-5.03%0.0025✓1.3927k2022-03-03
SOLSolanaSolana100.73100.4825-0.25%95.61-5.08%0.0075✓1.26131.2M2022-03-03
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.82040.818483-0.23%0.7967-2.89%0.0109✗1.1319.9M2022-03-03
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.23112.2259-0.23%2.2899+2.64%0.0522✗0.7126k2022-03-03
CTSICartesiEthereum0.3970.396078-0.23%0.381-4.03%0.0090✗1.421.3M2022-03-03
ETCEthereum Classicnative29.5229.457-0.21%30.25+2.47%0.0627✗1.085.2M2022-03-03
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000025910.000025857-0.20%0.00002507-3.24%0.0110✗1.253.9M2022-03-03
CBKCobakEthereum2.2982.2935-0.20%2.212-3.74%0.0056✓0.9123k2022-03-03
STORJStorjEthereum1.07421.0721-0.20%1.0476-2.48%0.0215✗1.33187k2022-03-03
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3080.307449-0.18%0.295-4.22%0.0025✗1.312.2M2022-03-03
UNIUniswapEthereum10.0510.0327-0.17%9.55-4.98%0.0095✓1.1910.4M2022-03-03
IMXImmutableEthereum1.4641.4615-0.17%1.46-0.27%0.0344✗1.063.4M2022-03-03
QNTQuantEthereum117.95117.75-0.17%127.04+7.71%0.1091✗0.996.3M2022-03-03
ETHEthereumEthereum2,948.562,943.58-0.17%2,833.66-3.90%0.0031✓1.04581.4M2022-03-03
COTICOTIEthereum0.23080.230443-0.15%0.2283-1.08%0.0398✗1.472.5M2022-03-03
FTTFTXEthereum46.1646.0893-0.15%44.86-2.82%0.0088✗1.0722.8M2022-03-03
XECeCashnative0.000075940.000075838-0.13%0.00007449-1.91%0.0189✗1.104.5M2022-03-03
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash320.43320.0011-0.13%315.29-1.60%0.0177✗0.977.3M2022-03-03
XYMSymbolnative0.1490.148804-0.13%0.146-2.01%0.0082✗0.81294k2022-03-03
TRXTRONTron0.0615050.061427-0.13%0.060032-2.39%0.0028✗0.77307k2022-03-03
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.5515.544-0.13%5.231-5.76%0.0271✓0.9271k2022-03-03
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5706110.569904-0.12%0.534619-6.31%0.0260✓1.132.8M2022-03-03
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1330810.132919-0.12%0.129579-2.63%0.0061✗0.943.7M2022-03-03
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum44,262.0044,208.23-0.12%42,572.60-3.82%0.0050✓0.9753k2022-03-03
ADACardanoCardano0.93940.938262-0.12%0.9021-3.97%0.0016✓1.1296.3M2022-03-03
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,912.3443,861.85-0.11%42,464.41-3.30%0.0012✓1.00632.3M2022-03-03
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07540.075323-0.10%0.072-4.51%0.0119✓0.99157k2022-03-03
GTGateEthereum6.8036.7961-0.10%6.7949-0.12%0.0234✗0.702.8M2022-03-03
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012350.012339-0.09%0.01236+0.08%0.0265✗0.7413k2022-03-03
XLMStellarStellar0.1936240.193473-0.08%0.187901-2.96%0.0067✗1.0719.8M2022-03-03
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.040780.040749-0.08%0.03967-2.72%0.0064✗0.9929k2022-03-03
DKAdKargoEthereum0.0910.090945-0.06%0.09337+2.60%0.0618✗1.0643k2022-03-03
LTCLitecoinLitecoin110.35110.2918-0.05%111.69+1.21%0.0501✗1.1229.5M2022-03-03
XEMNEMnative0.10640.106348-0.05%0.1029-3.29%0.0003✓0.9740k2022-03-03
NANOnanopayBase1.87821.8773-0.05%1.868-0.54%0.0345✗1.18179k2022-03-03
KCSKuCoinnative20.35520.3469-0.04%19.526-4.07%0.0080✓0.999.1M2022-03-03
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV86.1186.1087-0.00%83.45-3.09%0.0031✓0.84905k2022-03-03
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.