8=======>

2022-03-01 · +1d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2267
151 of 151 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.09%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
58.9%
in alpha space · 77.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.19%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
UMAUMAEthereum9.4479.1301-3.35%8.421-10.86%0.0639✓1.421.9M2022-03-02
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.75820.743421-1.95%0.7291-3.84%0.0028✓1.392.5M2022-03-02
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.278.1108-1.93%7.94-3.99%0.0103✓0.92461k2022-03-02
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07030.069309-1.41%0.0655-6.83%0.0354✓1.7676.7M2022-03-02
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.53940.5323-1.32%0.5029-6.77%0.0328✓2.012.1M2022-03-02
API3Api3Ethereum8.0947.9899-1.29%7.3-9.81%0.0845✓0.492.9M2022-03-02
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.57242.5404-1.24%2.7751+7.88%0.0989✗0.882.7M2022-03-02
CELLCellframeEthereum1.70181.6806-1.24%1.6226-4.65%0.0200✓1.27278k2022-03-02
LUNATerraTerra 289.7288.6075-1.24%92.43+3.02%0.0594✗1.434.8M2022-03-02
LCXLCXEthereum0.10480.103829-0.93%0.0991-5.44%0.0287✓1.50613k2022-03-02
LSKLiskEthereum1.98611.9678-0.93%1.9592-1.36%0.0081✓1.0475k2022-03-02
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.42180.418018-0.90%0.4033-4.39%0.0162✓1.6414.7M2022-03-02
PROPropyEthereum1.841.8254-0.79%1.82-1.09%0.0115✗1.21452k2022-03-02
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.1933.1689-0.75%2.99-6.36%0.0467✓0.95741k2022-03-02
BANDBandEthereum4.2274.1952-0.75%4.016-4.99%0.0281✓1.301.8M2022-03-02
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.991.9758-0.71%1.93-3.02%0.0076✓1.332.0M2022-03-02
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011460.01138-0.70%0.01231+7.42%0.0952✗1.392.8M2022-03-02
XTZTezosTezos3.49183.4677-0.69%3.494+0.06%0.0229✗1.282.1M2022-03-02
LPTLivepeerEthereum27.2627.0807-0.66%26.56-2.57%0.0030✓1.381.6M2022-03-02
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0713.0509-0.66%2.98-2.96%0.0129✓0.89218k2022-03-02
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.020450.020321-0.63%0.01892-7.48%0.0585✓1.092.2M2022-03-02
HIVEHivenative1.03521.0287-0.63%0.9988-3.52%0.0153✓1.192.1M2022-03-02
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum57.1956.8317-0.63%55.59-2.80%0.0066✓1.306.7M2022-03-02
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2033.183-0.62%3.114-2.78%0.0118✓0.85477k2022-03-02
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.034260.034047-0.62%0.03397-0.85%0.0085✗0.901.2M2022-03-02
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02820.028027-0.61%0.0268-4.96%0.0289✓1.33500k2022-03-02
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07290.072455-0.61%0.0714-2.06%0.0026✓1.0112k2022-03-02
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.7915.694-0.61%16.15+2.28%0.0371✗0.712.2M2022-03-02
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.2451.2375-0.60%1.164-6.51%0.0485✓1.061.3M2022-03-02
TRBTellor TributesEthereum22.0221.8882-0.60%20.76-5.72%0.0357✓1.44328k2022-03-02
SUNSun TokenTron0.012490.012416-0.59%0.012216-2.19%0.0039✓1.0315k2022-03-02
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.6071.5975-0.59%1.548-3.67%0.0142✓1.45863k2022-03-02
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.11e-76.07e-7-0.59%6.29e-7+3.00%0.0474✗1.001.1M2022-03-02
CVCCivicEthereum0.30580.304005-0.59%0.2945-3.70%0.0160✓1.32328k2022-03-02
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13620.13542-0.57%0.1299-4.63%0.0262✓1.293.1M2022-03-02
XMRMoneroMonero177.8176.7936-0.57%177.46-0.19%0.0157✗1.001.1M2022-03-02
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.780.775681-0.55%0.75-3.85%0.0132✓1.711.0M2022-03-02
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.8630.6915-0.55%30.37-1.59%0.0006✓0.931.5M2022-03-02
RADRadworksEthereum5.125.0923-0.54%5.59+9.18%0.1053✗1.01828k2022-03-02
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07860.078177-0.54%0.0775-1.40%0.0069✗1.311.0M2022-03-02
ORCAOrcaSolana2.582.5662-0.54%2.52-2.33%0.0062✓1.00488k2022-03-02
FTTFTXEthereum46.2546.002-0.54%46.16-0.19%0.0162✗1.0722.8M2022-03-02
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.516.4753-0.53%6.43-1.23%0.0035✓0.88452k2022-03-02
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.826.7838-0.53%6.64-2.64%0.0045✓1.41942k2022-03-02
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos31.1430.9755-0.53%32.25+3.56%0.0540✗1.1450.3M2022-03-02
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.80.79581-0.52%0.7872-1.60%0.0022✓1.099.7M2022-03-02
MOVRMoonriverBase66.415666.0756-0.51%71.55+7.73%0.0961✗1.38223k2022-03-02
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.6262.6126-0.51%2.895+10.24%0.1185✗1.33584k2022-03-02
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.28044.2586-0.51%4.413+3.10%0.0492✗1.14244k2022-03-02
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum19.3419.2418-0.51%19.31-0.16%0.0173✗1.1620.6M2022-03-02
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.5462.5331-0.51%2.647+3.97%0.0614✗1.4613.6M2022-03-02
YFIyearn.financeEthereum21,756.2421,647.48-0.50%22,346.94+2.72%0.0435✗0.985.9M2022-03-02
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0494850.049238-0.50%0.04679-5.45%0.0382✓1.078.1M2022-03-02
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0226820.022569-0.50%0.021073-7.09%0.0583✓0.86124k2022-03-02
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.1774.1565-0.49%3.976-4.81%0.0297✓1.232.3M2022-03-02
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche86.9686.5347-0.49%83.42-4.07%0.0195✓1.43118.3M2022-03-02
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.52530.522748-0.49%0.5144-2.08%0.0003✓1.37484k2022-03-02
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.864.8366-0.48%4.65-4.32%0.0213✓1.51456k2022-03-02
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.076330.07597-0.47%0.07258-4.91%0.0307✓1.2569k2022-03-02
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5221.5149-0.47%1.496-1.71%0.0008✓1.12939k2022-03-02
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1230.122439-0.46%0.116-5.69%0.0475✓0.5444k2022-03-02
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.3530.2142-0.45%29.52-2.73%0.0104✓1.085.2M2022-03-02
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.1410.0947-0.45%10.14+0.00%0.0124✗0.66928k2022-03-02
UOSUltraEthereum1.36521.3591-0.45%1.389+1.75%0.0381✗1.362.8M2022-03-02
ZENHorizenBase39.3439.1652-0.44%38.92-1.07%0.0110✗1.45280k2022-03-02
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25760.256456-0.44%0.2571-0.19%0.0134✗0.912.0M2022-03-02
CHZChilizEthereum0.19540.194535-0.44%0.197+0.82%0.0289✗1.372.8M2022-03-02
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.890.886098-0.44%0.917+3.03%0.0496✗1.282.3M2022-03-02
SUSHISushiEthereum3.473.4548-0.44%3.41-1.73%0.0020✓1.266.8M2022-03-02
BTCBitcoinBitcoin44,439.9544,247.17-0.43%43,912.34-1.19%0.0043✓1.00632.3M2022-03-02
DODODODOEthereum0.4790.476935-0.43%0.468-2.30%0.0035✓1.294.2M2022-03-02
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.94995.9243-0.43%5.9424-0.13%0.0067✗0.31433k2022-03-02
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3180.316635-0.43%0.308-3.14%0.0121✓1.312.2M2022-03-02
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.9820.8903-0.43%20.73-1.19%0.0056✗1.129.1M2022-03-02
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.12173.1084-0.43%3.0322-2.87%0.0144✓0.883.6M2022-03-02
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.291.2846-0.42%1.27-1.55%0.0010✓1.04885k2022-03-02
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3281.3224-0.42%1.359+2.33%0.0429✗1.312.0M2022-03-02
LRCLoopringEthereum0.83590.832398-0.42%0.8082-3.31%0.0122✓1.45270k2022-03-02
XECeCashnative0.000078960.000078631-0.42%0.00007594-3.82%0.0217✓1.104.5M2022-03-02
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6171.6103-0.41%1.59-1.67%0.0010✓1.151.8M2022-03-02
STXStacksnative1.291.2847-0.41%1.25-3.10%0.0130✓1.20596k2022-03-02
COMPCompoundEthereum125.94125.4284-0.41%122.45-2.77%0.0095✓1.2258k2022-03-02
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16150.160854-0.40%0.1595-1.24%0.0038✓1.03446k2022-03-02
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.25792.2489-0.40%2.2311-1.19%0.0006✓0.7126k2022-03-02
STORJStorjEthereum1.08461.0803-0.40%1.0742-0.96%0.0103✗1.33175k2022-03-02
DIADIAEthereum1.061.0558-0.40%1.02-3.77%0.0313✓0.27286k2022-03-02
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.462.4503-0.39%2.43-1.22%0.0036✓1.00263k2022-03-02
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.5024.4848-0.38%4.505+0.07%0.0145✗0.84435k2022-03-02
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.3615.3015-0.38%15.29-0.46%0.0133✗1.1852.2M2022-03-02
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004710.004692-0.38%0.00469-0.42%0.0191✗1.649.6M2022-03-02
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.72680.724067-0.38%0.7242-0.36%0.0043✗0.351.2M2022-03-02
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000027130.000027028-0.38%0.00002591-4.50%0.0273✓1.253.9M2022-03-02
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2241.2194-0.37%1.202-1.80%0.0001✓1.202.9M2022-03-02
GTGateEthereum6.75536.7305-0.37%6.803+0.71%0.0191✗0.702.8M2022-03-02
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.525.4997-0.37%5.57+0.91%0.0229✗0.86510k2022-03-02
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.918.8313-0.36%18.61-1.53%0.0027✓1.2129.4M2022-03-02
SOLSolanaSolana98.798.3436-0.36%100.73+2.06%0.0390✗1.26131.2M2022-03-02
BTTCBTTC0.000001990.000001983-0.36%0.00000196-1.51%0.0037✓0.6614.0M2022-03-02
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.4455.4256-0.36%5.551+1.95%0.0337✗0.9171k2022-03-02
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.57650.574465-0.35%0.5665-1.73%0.0031✓0.91642k2022-03-02
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum44,139.1043,983.67-0.35%44,262.00+0.28%0.0179✗0.9752k2022-03-02
XVGVergenative0.010440.010403-0.35%0.01037-0.67%0.0116✗1.241.3M2022-03-02
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.09223.0814-0.35%3.0297-2.02%0.0064✓0.882.4M2022-03-02
FIDABonfidaSolana1.811.8037-0.35%2.237+23.59%0.2255✗0.8676k2022-03-02
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.048680.048511-0.35%0.04875+0.14%0.0193✗1.20681k2022-03-02
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.2615.207-0.35%15.16-0.66%0.0146✗1.482.4M2022-03-02
ZECZcashZcash119.02118.6154-0.34%125.91+5.79%0.0731✗1.137.2M2022-03-02
AMPAmpEthereum0.028850.028753-0.34%0.02832-1.84%0.0059✓0.774.1M2022-03-02
MINAMina Protocolnative2.182.1727-0.33%2.13-2.29%0.0059✓1.17354k2022-03-02
BFCBifrostEthereum0.165530.164981-0.33%0.16542-0.07%0.0169✗1.1924k2022-03-02
GITCOINGITCOIN6.8236.8009-0.32%6.7-1.80%0.0017✓1.3927k2022-03-02
MANADecentralandEthereum2.83712.8279-0.32%2.7532-2.96%0.0124✓1.203.3M2022-03-02
QTUMQtumQtum6.70536.6838-0.32%6.4867-3.26%0.0139✓1.34226k2022-03-02
ETHEthereumEthereum2,977.722,968.28-0.32%2,948.56-0.98%0.0058✗1.04561.7M2022-03-02
CTSICartesiEthereum0.39960.39841-0.30%0.397-0.65%0.0135✗1.431.3M2022-03-02
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.0914.0482-0.30%13.69-2.84%0.0128✓1.09331k2022-03-02
SCSiacoinnative0.009790.009762-0.29%0.00957-2.25%0.0049✓1.25563k2022-03-02
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.726.7008-0.29%6.71-0.15%0.0075✗0.511.2M2022-03-02
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.755560.753417-0.28%0.73047-3.32%0.0146✓1.37206k2022-03-02
AAVEAaveEthereum143.34142.938-0.28%137.7-3.93%0.0213✓1.346.8M2022-03-02
DKAdKargoEthereum0.092240.091982-0.28%0.091-1.34%0.0019✓1.0643k2022-03-02
XYMSymbolnative0.15230.151879-0.28%0.149-2.17%0.0094✓0.81294k2022-03-02
LTCLitecoinLitecoin112.65112.3392-0.28%110.35-2.04%0.0045✓1.1229.5M2022-03-02
TRXTRONTron0.0621790.062009-0.27%0.061505-1.08%0.0010✓0.77299k2022-03-02
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.7715.7557-0.27%6.038+4.63%0.0604✗1.05181k2022-03-02
QNTQuantEthereum119.35119.0375-0.26%117.95-1.17%0.0026✗0.996.4M2022-03-02
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07430.074108-0.26%0.0754+1.48%0.0291✗0.99155k2022-03-02
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6970.695214-0.26%0.703+0.86%0.0239✗1.072.5M2022-03-02
AVTAventusEthereum2.332.3241-0.25%2.35+0.86%0.0230✗1.00443k2022-03-02
CBKCobakEthereum2.3962.39-0.25%2.298-4.09%0.0284✓0.9123k2022-03-02
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012230.0122-0.25%0.01235+0.98%0.0211✗0.7413k2022-03-02
KSMKusamaHydration138.55138.2104-0.25%138.31-0.17%0.0145✗1.15973k2022-03-02
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.37530.374383-0.24%0.3742-0.29%0.0157✗1.368.7M2022-03-02
XVSVenusEthereum9.359.3277-0.24%9.78+4.60%0.0619✗1.213.4M2022-03-02
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash328.78328.0055-0.24%320.43-2.54%0.0118✓0.977.6M2022-03-02
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.85690.854885-0.24%0.8204-4.26%0.0277✓1.1320.7M2022-03-02
DASHDashDash100.0199.7849-0.23%100.9+0.89%0.0246✗1.131.5M2022-03-02
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5735770.572397-0.21%0.570611-0.52%0.0104✗1.132.8M2022-03-02
COTICOTIEthereum0.23180.231368-0.19%0.2308-0.43%0.0151✗1.472.6M2022-03-02
ADACardanoCardano0.96430.962597-0.18%0.9394-2.58%0.0111✓1.1197.3M2022-03-02
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.016560.016532-0.17%0.01634-1.33%0.0064✗1.5212.5M2022-03-02
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5821.5795-0.16%1.464-7.46%0.0634✓1.053.4M2022-03-02
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2420.24162-0.16%0.247+2.07%0.0322✗0.8659k2022-03-02
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041870.041805-0.16%0.04078-2.60%0.0130✓0.9929k2022-03-02
NANOnanopayBase1.92111.9182-0.15%1.8782-2.23%0.0070✓1.18179k2022-03-02
XLMStellarStellar0.1989270.198625-0.15%0.193624-2.67%0.0128✓1.0720.5M2022-03-02
XEMNEMnative0.10970.109537-0.15%0.1064-3.01%0.0175✓0.9741k2022-03-02
UNIUniswapEthereum10.3410.3248-0.15%10.05-2.80%0.0129✓1.1810.8M2022-03-02
KCSKuCoinnative20.74620.7162-0.14%20.355-1.88%0.0057✓0.999.5M2022-03-02
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1339910.133929-0.05%0.133081-0.68%0.0049✗0.943.7M2022-03-02
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV87.6887.6559-0.03%86.11-1.79%0.0078✓0.84905k2022-03-02
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.