8=======>

2022-02-25 · +1d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1326
151 of 151 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.87%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
49.0%
in alpha space · 51.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.26%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.4190.413689-1.27%0.4281+2.17%0.0395✗2.072.1M2022-02-26
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.00e-76.91e-7-1.22%6.98e-7-0.29%0.0119✓1.001.4M2022-02-26
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06960.068797-1.15%0.0712+2.30%0.0393✗1.9272.8M2022-02-26
LUNATerraTerra 273.272.4012-1.09%78.15+6.76%0.0800✗1.394.5M2022-02-26
PROPropyEthereum1.961.9398-1.03%1.86-5.10%0.0378✓1.63539k2022-02-26
MOVRMoonriverBase67.124966.4504-1.00%64.8155-3.44%0.0211✓1.49231k2022-02-26
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02770.027449-0.91%0.0274-1.08%0.0020✓1.46497k2022-02-26
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.035460.035149-0.88%0.03453-2.62%0.0155✓0.871.5M2022-02-26
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0486660.048287-0.78%0.048351-0.65%0.0045✓1.228.1M2022-02-26
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.1681.159-0.77%1.139-2.48%0.0142✓1.241.0M2022-02-26
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1380.137001-0.72%0.141+2.17%0.0312✗0.9551k2022-02-26
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.88330.87701-0.71%0.794-10.11%0.0980✓0.571.4M2022-02-26
API3Api3Ethereum7.097.0512-0.55%6.528-7.93%0.0761✓0.372.0M2022-02-26
ORCAOrcaSolana2.732.7158-0.52%2.56-6.23%0.0565✓1.00544k2022-02-26
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.6817.5914-0.50%17.73+0.28%0.0108✗1.1522.7M2022-02-26
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.1621.0573-0.49%21.2+0.19%0.0108✗1.59325k2022-02-26
SUNSun TokenTron0.0117130.011659-0.46%0.01194+1.94%0.0266✗1.1135k2022-02-26
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018130.01805-0.44%0.01882+3.81%0.0446✗1.112.2M2022-02-26
AMPAmpEthereum0.029220.029095-0.43%0.02842-2.74%0.0214✓0.794.4M2022-02-26
DODODODOEthereum0.4470.445161-0.41%0.438-2.01%0.0127✓1.384.6M2022-02-26
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0227120.022619-0.41%0.02263-0.36%0.0032✓1.06114k2022-02-26
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07340.073108-0.40%0.073-0.54%0.0021✓1.401.0M2022-02-26
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.661.6535-0.39%1.67+0.60%0.0133✗1.332.0M2022-02-26
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.720.717262-0.38%0.7-2.78%0.0194✓1.92995k2022-02-26
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.2630.1461-0.38%30.18-0.26%0.0038✓1.021.7M2022-02-26
DIADIAEthereum1.021.0162-0.38%1.08+5.88%0.0610✗0.03286k2022-02-26
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.624.6027-0.37%4.46-3.46%0.0275✓1.54432k2022-02-26
BANDBandEthereum3.6793.6655-0.37%3.6-2.15%0.0147✓1.301.9M2022-02-26
XTZTezosTezos3.21313.2014-0.36%3.4172+6.35%0.0687✗1.352.1M2022-02-26
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3151.3102-0.36%1.276-2.97%0.0230✓1.371.8M2022-02-26
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.282.2718-0.36%2.3+0.88%0.0149✗1.01270k2022-02-26
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8820.878918-0.35%0.895+1.47%0.0217✗1.372.1M2022-02-26
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12920.128768-0.33%0.1212-6.19%0.0572✓1.313.1M2022-02-26
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.14680.146326-0.32%0.1506+2.59%0.0315✗1.06446k2022-02-26
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.326.2998-0.32%6.27-0.79%0.0011✓1.411.2M2022-02-26
UMAUMAEthereum4.9384.9225-0.31%4.934-0.08%0.0047✗0.931.9M2022-02-26
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.5330.531325-0.31%0.5505+3.28%0.0378✗0.93643k2022-02-26
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.010160.01013-0.30%0.00997-1.87%0.0120✓1.502.5M2022-02-26
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos27.327.2209-0.29%29.89+9.49%0.0964✗1.1252.8M2022-02-26
COMPCompoundEthereum112.66112.3341-0.29%113.35+0.61%0.0123✗1.3058k2022-02-26
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.4531.4488-0.29%1.437-1.10%0.0051✓1.19963k2022-02-26
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.73860.736549-0.28%0.7459+0.99%0.0155✗1.109.6M2022-02-26
LCXLCXEthereum0.0820.081773-0.28%0.0854+4.15%0.0474✗1.55668k2022-02-26
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.85951.8544-0.27%1.8532-0.34%0.0011✓0.672.7M2022-02-26
LPTLivepeerEthereum25.2725.2009-0.27%24.45-3.24%0.0264✓1.481.8M2022-02-26
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.8714.8302-0.27%14.09-5.25%0.0473✓1.522.3M2022-02-26
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.91735.9015-0.27%6.0612+2.43%0.0278✗0.42433k2022-02-26
ZECZcashZcash106.72106.4378-0.26%107.8+1.01%0.0156✗1.137.6M2022-02-26
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.92.8924-0.26%2.874-0.90%0.0040✓0.94477k2022-02-26
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.0174.0069-0.25%3.874-3.56%0.0304✓1.312.4M2022-02-26
FILFilecoinFilecoin18.9418.8945-0.24%19.06+0.63%0.0120✗1.269.1M2022-02-26
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.35130.35047-0.24%0.3507-0.17%0.0050✗1.7015.9M2022-02-26
UOSUltraEthereum1.24741.2446-0.22%1.2108-2.93%0.0239✓1.442.6M2022-02-26
LSKLiskEthereum1.61271.6093-0.21%1.5733-2.45%0.0201✓1.0072k2022-02-26
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.451.4469-0.21%1.441-0.62%0.0002✓1.53941k2022-02-26
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.93923.931-0.21%4.0234+2.14%0.0263✗1.20284k2022-02-26
XMRMoneroMonero153.74153.4226-0.21%157.91+2.71%0.0314✗1.00966k2022-02-26
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.8312.8037-0.21%12.91+0.62%0.0109✗1.02340k2022-02-26
XVGVergenative0.009530.009511-0.20%0.00985+3.36%0.0384✗1.291.2M2022-02-26
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012020.011996-0.20%0.01217+1.25%0.0164✗0.7615k2022-02-26
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.336.3174-0.20%6.27-0.95%0.0064✓0.421.2M2022-02-26
MANADecentralandEthereum2.73672.7314-0.19%2.6813-2.03%0.0152✓1.313.2M2022-02-26
LRCLoopringEthereum0.77330.771809-0.19%0.7651-1.06%0.0048✓1.53299k2022-02-26
SUSHISushiEthereum3.33.2936-0.19%3.25-1.52%0.0099✓1.357.1M2022-02-26
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche81.0580.8969-0.19%81.79+0.91%0.0148✗1.49106.7M2022-02-26
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1451.1429-0.18%1.148+0.26%0.0078✗1.302.8M2022-02-26
BFCBifrostEthereum0.158690.158399-0.18%0.15626-1.53%0.0101✓1.3728k2022-02-26
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.046090.046006-0.18%0.04782+3.75%0.0419✗1.24703k2022-02-26
CVCCivicEthereum0.26320.262722-0.18%0.2767+5.13%0.0554✗1.39451k2022-02-26
DASHDashDash92.992.7443-0.17%93.68+0.84%0.0129✗1.131.5M2022-02-26
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.70230.701142-0.16%0.69949-0.40%0.0013✓1.44224k2022-02-26
FIDABonfidaSolana1.8341.831-0.16%1.808-1.42%0.0101✓1.0076k2022-02-26
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.3652.3612-0.16%2.394+1.23%0.0177✗1.5313.2M2022-02-26
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.655.6409-0.16%5.7+0.88%0.0126✗0.84430k2022-02-26
QTUMQtumQtum6.13266.1228-0.16%6.1323-0.01%0.0053✗1.45184k2022-02-26
AAVEAaveEthereum139.7139.4913-0.15%136.67-2.17%0.0167✓1.466.5M2022-02-26
HIVEHivenative0.90190.900557-0.15%0.9533+5.70%0.0602✗1.271.8M2022-02-26
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.22330.222973-0.15%0.226+1.21%0.0161✗1.001.9M2022-02-26
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06460.064505-0.15%0.0674+4.33%0.0466✗1.0713k2022-02-26
KSMKusamaHydration124.6124.4194-0.14%124.78+0.14%0.0060✗1.20930k2022-02-26
CBKCobakEthereum2.1872.1838-0.14%2.285+4.48%0.0480✗1.0519k2022-02-26
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.35.2926-0.14%5.38+1.51%0.0186✗0.86435k2022-02-26
YFIyearn.financeEthereum20,170.9620,142.80-0.14%20,876.08+3.50%0.0383✗1.005.7M2022-02-26
MINAMina Protocolnative2.092.0871-0.14%2.05-1.91%0.0148✓1.23343k2022-02-26
SOLSolanaSolana92.8492.7129-0.14%90.32-2.71%0.0228✓1.29132.7M2022-02-26
LINKChainlinkEthereum14.3914.3705-0.14%14.72+2.29%0.0272✗1.2459.6M2022-02-26
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum39,386.5039,333.71-0.13%39,589.70+0.52%0.0090✗0.9649k2022-02-26
GITCOINGITCOIN6.2826.2736-0.13%6.245-0.59%0.0010✓1.3828k2022-02-26
BTTCBTTC0.00000190.000001897-0.13%0.00000191+0.53%0.0083✗0.6914.7M2022-02-26
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4451.4431-0.13%1.524+5.47%0.0576✗1.201.6M2022-02-26
RADRadworksEthereum4.514.5042-0.13%4.47-0.89%0.0053✓0.91696k2022-02-26
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash309.04308.658-0.12%315.57+2.11%0.0247✗1.007.3M2022-02-26
CHZChilizEthereum0.17410.173887-0.12%0.1751+0.57%0.0106✗1.412.8M2022-02-26
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.03890.038852-0.12%0.04014+3.19%0.0354✗1.0730k2022-02-26
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2970.296637-0.12%0.29-2.36%0.0191✓1.392.1M2022-02-26
DOTPolkadotPolkadot17.2817.259-0.12%18.04+4.40%0.0477✗1.3326.4M2022-02-26
STXStacksnative1.151.1486-0.12%1.19+3.48%0.0388✗1.30695k2022-02-26
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2290.228734-0.12%0.232+1.31%0.0164✗0.8557k2022-02-26
ETCEthereum Classicnative28.0127.9778-0.11%28.91+3.21%0.0356✗1.124.9M2022-02-26
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum51.1651.102-0.11%50.44-1.41%0.0096✓1.357.3M2022-02-26
XVSVenusEthereum9.29.1898-0.11%8.98-2.39%0.0198✓1.293.2M2022-02-26
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.83120.830303-0.11%0.8598+3.44%0.0380✗1.2222.9M2022-02-26
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.3362.3335-0.11%2.305-1.33%0.0091✓1.25727k2022-02-26
ZENHorizenBase34.7334.6964-0.10%33.26-4.23%0.0384✓1.49309k2022-02-26
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.72992.7273-0.10%2.7102-0.72%0.0038✓0.982.3M2022-02-26
XYMSymbolnative0.14690.146768-0.09%0.1441-1.91%0.0163✓0.81321k2022-02-26
NANOnanopayBase1.87731.8756-0.09%1.8651-0.65%0.0025✓1.23196k2022-02-26
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.5712.5688-0.08%2.576+0.19%0.0049✗0.83207k2022-02-26
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.46340.463006-0.08%0.4599-0.76%0.0029✓1.48572k2022-02-26
CTSICartesiEthereum0.37270.37239-0.08%0.3655-1.93%0.0149✓1.471.3M2022-02-26
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0914.0876-0.08%4.058-0.81%0.0052✓0.82414k2022-02-26
SCSiacoinnative0.00880.008793-0.08%0.00906+2.95%0.0333✗1.29546k2022-02-26
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1277810.127676-0.08%0.127595-0.15%0.0019✗1.003.7M2022-02-26
CELLCellframeEthereum1.64421.6429-0.08%1.6235-1.26%0.0082✓1.44251k2022-02-26
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.211.209-0.08%1.24+2.48%0.0286✗1.28885k2022-02-26
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.36110.360825-0.08%0.3486-3.46%0.0308✓1.438.4M2022-02-26
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.48210.481733-0.08%0.504+4.54%0.0486✗1.332.0M2022-02-26
TRXTRONTron0.0594790.059436-0.07%0.059459-0.03%0.0025✗0.83286k2022-02-26
ADACardanoCardano0.89970.899065-0.07%0.8873-1.38%0.0102✓1.1697.3M2022-02-26
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6540.653567-0.07%0.679+3.82%0.0412✗1.162.0M2022-02-26
FTTFTXEthereum43.0943.0637-0.06%43.29+0.46%0.0082✗1.1523.5M2022-02-26
DKAdKargoEthereum0.085970.085926-0.05%0.08727+1.51%0.0184✗1.1146k2022-02-26
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5395390.539275-0.05%0.544581+0.93%0.0128✗1.173.1M2022-02-26
ETHEthereumEthereum2,769.522,768.18-0.05%2,780.71+0.40%0.0073✗1.08561.7M2022-02-26
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.12012.1191-0.05%2.2359+5.46%0.0559✗0.8827k2022-02-26
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024830.000024819-0.04%0.00002435-1.93%0.0156✓1.353.8M2022-02-26
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.6355.6326-0.04%5.391-4.33%0.0413✓0.99223k2022-02-26
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.379.3662-0.04%9.33-0.43%0.0021✓0.68853k2022-02-26
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.614.6083-0.04%4.68+1.52%0.0174✗0.78459k2022-02-26
QNTQuantEthereum112.52112.4813-0.03%110.79-1.54%0.0125✓1.036.4M2022-02-26
KCSKuCoinnative19.46619.4616-0.02%19.708+1.24%0.0153✗1.079.6M2022-02-26
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004340.004339-0.02%0.00431-0.69%0.0020✓1.8512.3M2022-02-26
XECeCashnative0.000075230.000075213-0.02%0.00007538+0.20%0.0052✗1.184.5M2022-02-26
LTCLitecoinLitecoin109.33109.3077-0.02%108.29-0.95%0.0063✓1.1929.5M2022-02-26
GTGateEthereum6.31346.3122-0.02%6.4106+1.54%0.0175✗0.793.0M2022-02-26
XLMStellarStellar0.1911420.191108-0.02%0.192899+0.92%0.0122✗1.1120.5M2022-02-26
UNIUniswapEthereum9.259.2495-0.01%9.06-2.05%0.0173✓1.3410.8M2022-02-26
XEMNEMnative0.09850.098508+0.01%0.101+2.54%0.0277✓1.0538k2022-02-26
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.7414.7438+0.03%14.7-0.27%0.0011✗0.711.9M2022-02-26
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.73112.7322+0.04%2.7384+0.27%0.0046✓0.932.9M2022-02-26
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.06490.06493+0.05%0.06611+1.86%0.0212✓1.2374k2022-02-26
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.9334.9355+0.05%5.009+1.54%0.0169✓0.8365k2022-02-26
COTICOTIEthereum0.21210.212212+0.05%0.2129+0.38%0.0072✓1.533.3M2022-02-26
BTCBitcoinBitcoin39,238.4839,259.26+0.05%39,137.80-0.26%0.0005✓1.00632.3M2022-02-26
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV84.884.8466+0.05%84.76-0.05%0.0013✓0.89946k2022-02-26
STORJStorjEthereum0.955960.956519+0.06%0.99036+3.60%0.0384✓1.41165k2022-02-26
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06890.068941+0.06%0.0685-0.58%0.0037✗1.05168k2022-02-26
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.018190.018208+0.10%0.01784-1.92%0.0163✗1.6012.7M2022-02-26
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5361.5394+0.22%1.5-2.34%0.0231✗1.103.4M2022-02-26
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.392.3957+0.24%2.581+7.99%0.0781✓1.41572k2022-02-26
AVTAventusEthereum2.232.2361+0.27%2.35+5.38%0.0523✓1.00639k2022-02-26
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.