8=======>

2022-02-23 · +1d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1338
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.07%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
52.0%
in alpha space · 55.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+2.90%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.43310.428929-0.96%0.3935-9.14%0.1402✓1.892.0M2022-02-24
DIADIAEthereum1.11.092-0.73%1.02-7.27%0.0967✓1.00286k2022-02-24
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1440.142952-0.73%0.126-12.50%0.1553✓1.0253k2022-02-24
API3Api3Ethereum6.3576.3112-0.72%7.001+10.13%0.0941✗0.342.0M2022-02-24
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.03660.036345-0.70%0.03323-9.21%0.1150✓0.891.7M2022-02-24
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0491780.048844-0.68%0.045853-6.76%0.0992✓1.267.5M2022-02-24
MOVRMoonriverBase67.759167.3207-0.65%63.0112-7.01%0.1090✓1.50243k2022-02-24
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.92990.924625-0.57%0.8008-13.88%0.1613✓0.611.5M2022-02-24
LUNATerraTerra 259.5459.2274-0.53%65.24+9.57%0.0586✗1.334.5M2022-02-24
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02530.025171-0.51%0.0281+11.07%0.0694✗1.43497k2022-02-24
PROPropyEthereum1.781.7715-0.48%1.69-5.06%0.0937✓1.63582k2022-02-24
SUNSun TokenTron0.012140.012091-0.41%0.01147-5.52%0.0854✓1.1539k2022-02-24
ORCAOrcaSolana2.582.5707-0.36%2.68+3.88%0.0131✗1.00671k2022-02-24
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.2917.2366-0.31%16.6-3.99%0.0705✓1.1522.3M2022-02-24
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.09756.0795-0.29%5.718-6.22%0.0725✓0.39412k2022-02-24
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018760.018711-0.26%0.01718-8.42%0.1176✓1.132.1M2022-02-24
BANDBandEthereum3.6553.6458-0.25%3.558-2.65%0.0605✓1.271.9M2022-02-24
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.72071.7165-0.25%1.8131+5.37%0.0399✗0.522.7M2022-02-24
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.591.5866-0.21%1.56-1.89%0.0555✓1.352.0M2022-02-24
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.5328.4718-0.20%30.76+7.82%0.0482✗1.021.5M2022-02-24
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.172.1659-0.19%2.19+0.92%0.0179✓1.01275k2022-02-24
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.670.668731-0.19%0.64-4.48%0.0992✓1.941.0M2022-02-24
LCXLCXEthereum0.08450.084345-0.18%0.079-6.51%0.1073✓1.46668k2022-02-24
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.8118.7759-0.18%19.48+3.56%0.0073✓1.54334k2022-02-24
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13350.133265-0.18%0.1304-2.32%0.0507✓1.02467k2022-02-24
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12060.120403-0.16%0.1205-0.08%0.0373✓1.332.9M2022-02-24
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012230.01221-0.16%0.01188-2.86%0.0491✓0.7615k2022-02-24
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.48490.484186-0.15%0.4805-0.91%0.0351✓0.96643k2022-02-24
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.234.224-0.14%4.24+0.24%0.0275✓1.10456k2022-02-24
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0227580.022727-0.14%0.021665-4.80%0.0780✓1.06111k2022-02-24
DODODODOEthereum0.4430.4424-0.14%0.423-4.51%0.0839✓1.374.5M2022-02-24
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06870.068609-0.13%0.0685-0.29%0.0408✓1.371.1M2022-02-24
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos25.1525.1169-0.13%24.86-1.15%0.0417✓1.1052.8M2022-02-24
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.86583.8608-0.13%3.7351-3.38%0.0675✓1.21283k2022-02-24
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8782.8745-0.12%2.747-4.55%0.0723✓0.95460k2022-02-24
RADRadworksEthereum4.864.8544-0.12%4.44-8.64%0.1175✓0.99682k2022-02-24
XTZTezosTezos2.93312.9297-0.11%3.0389+3.61%0.0004✓1.302.0M2022-02-24
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06220.06213-0.11%0.0609-2.09%0.0505✓1.0714k2022-02-24
CELLCellframeEthereum1.74841.7465-0.11%1.4257-18.46%0.2461✓1.51229k2022-02-24
UOSUltraEthereum1.19541.1941-0.11%1.1579-3.13%0.0699✓1.372.6M2022-02-24
UMAUMAEthereum4.9774.9716-0.11%4.785-3.86%0.0668✓1.001.8M2022-02-24
XMRMoneroMonero149.01148.8508-0.11%147-1.35%0.0411✓1.00966k2022-02-24
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.7112.6969-0.10%11.99-5.66%0.0866✓1.03369k2022-02-24
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.010060.01005-0.10%0.00977-2.88%0.0718✓1.532.2M2022-02-24
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.3831.3817-0.09%1.344-2.82%0.0626✓1.221.0M2022-02-24
DASHDashDash88.2888.2063-0.08%87.88-0.45%0.0371✓1.171.5M2022-02-24
COMPCompoundEthereum109.49109.4017-0.08%108.77-0.66%0.0427✓1.2964k2022-02-24
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.716.7047-0.08%6.1-9.09%0.1008✓0.221.2M2022-02-24
BFCBifrostEthereum0.149490.149378-0.08%0.15132+1.22%0.0258✓1.3629k2022-02-24
NANOnanopayBase1.90931.9079-0.07%1.7738-7.10%0.1080✓1.23206k2022-02-24
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.765.7558-0.07%5.42-5.90%0.0851✓0.88425k2022-02-24
YFIyearn.financeEthereum20,320.9520,307.19-0.07%19,425.17-4.41%0.0739✓1.035.7M2022-02-24
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.9380.937365-0.07%1.187+26.55%0.2010✗1.23934k2022-02-24
LRCLoopringEthereum0.75130.750792-0.07%0.74-1.50%0.0584✓1.54317k2022-02-24
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.2414.2308-0.06%13.72-3.65%0.0810✓1.562.3M2022-02-24
FILFilecoinFilecoin18.4318.4188-0.06%18.42-0.05%0.0347✓1.229.2M2022-02-24
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.3182.3167-0.06%2.188-5.61%0.0933✓1.27772k2022-02-24
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.71260.712215-0.05%0.6953-2.43%0.0566✓1.149.7M2022-02-24
MANADecentralandEthereum2.55162.5503-0.05%2.5825+1.21%0.0243✓1.293.2M2022-02-24
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.2852.2839-0.05%2.241-1.93%0.0637✓1.5713.2M2022-02-24
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1273610.127302-0.05%0.124116-2.55%0.0543✓1.013.7M2022-02-24
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.855.8474-0.04%5.89+0.68%0.0045✓0.411.3M2022-02-24
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7790.778663-0.04%0.827+6.16%0.0213✗1.362.1M2022-02-24
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.037440.037426-0.04%0.03686-1.55%0.0464✓1.0931k2022-02-24
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.2210.220919-0.04%0.2141-3.12%0.0600✓1.001.8M2022-02-24
LSKLiskEthereum1.58611.5855-0.04%1.5371-3.09%0.0616✓1.0772k2022-02-24
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1354.1336-0.03%3.945-4.59%0.0711✓0.86395k2022-02-24
TRXTRONTron0.0607840.060766-0.03%0.061098+0.52%0.0188✓0.85286k2022-02-24
ETCEthereum Classicnative26.5326.5242-0.02%26.53+0.00%0.0309✓1.094.9M2022-02-24
LPTLivepeerEthereum22.1822.1751-0.02%22.41+1.04%0.0306✓1.441.8M2022-02-24
AMPAmpEthereum0.025930.025925-0.02%0.02616+0.89%0.0131✓0.774.4M2022-02-24
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche73.573.4861-0.02%76.41+3.96%0.0038✓1.50106.7M2022-02-24
XYMSymbolnative0.1470.146973-0.02%0.1399-4.83%0.0723✓0.80345k2022-02-24
ZECZcashZcash97.5197.4935-0.02%102.72+5.34%0.0190✗1.167.6M2022-02-24
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.3891.3888-0.02%1.36-2.09%0.0631✓1.48928k2022-02-24
STXStacksnative1.131.1298-0.01%1.12-0.88%0.0464✓1.32725k2022-02-24
CVCCivicEthereum0.23960.23957-0.01%0.2371-1.04%0.0436✓1.17410k2022-02-24
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.49220.492157-0.01%0.458-6.95%0.1105✓1.352.2M2022-02-24
BTTCBTTC0.00000190.0000019-0.01%0.00000181-4.74%0.0770✓1.0014.4M2022-02-24
QTUMQtumQtum5.74015.7398-0.00%5.8411+1.76%0.0239✓1.45153k2022-02-24
XVGVergenative0.009380.00938-0.00%0.00894-4.69%0.0847✓1.291.2M2022-02-24
SOLSolanaSolana84.6484.6415+0.00%89.41+5.64%0.0193✓1.24132.7M2022-02-24
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.78752.7876+0.00%2.6203-6.00%0.0908✗1.012.3M2022-02-24
MINAMina Protocolnative2.122.1201+0.00%1.97-7.08%0.1087✗1.24324k2022-02-24
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum48.7948.792+0.00%48.82+0.06%0.0372✗1.327.5M2022-02-24
ADACardanoCardano0.86640.866485+0.01%0.8533-1.51%0.0482✗1.1597.3M2022-02-24
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash288.37288.3997+0.01%300.94+4.36%0.0141✓1.007.3M2022-02-24
FTTFTXEthereum40.7840.7844+0.01%41.3+1.28%0.0204✗1.1526.3M2022-02-24
CTSICartesiEthereum0.36510.365145+0.01%0.3452-5.45%0.0965✗1.411.3M2022-02-24
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.2941.2942+0.01%1.208-6.65%0.1084✗1.381.8M2022-02-24
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum37,524.2037,532.72+0.02%38,311.50+2.10%0.0071✗0.9739k2022-02-24
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024840.000024847+0.03%0.00002389-3.82%0.0787✗1.383.7M2022-02-24
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.15382.1545+0.03%2.1177-1.68%0.0421✗0.8728k2022-02-24
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.289.2832+0.03%8.97-3.34%0.0550✗0.72758k2022-02-24
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.659430.659671+0.04%0.66022+0.12%0.0404✗1.45246k2022-02-24
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.3635.3651+0.04%5.016-6.47%0.0970✗1.04241k2022-02-24
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.78530.785622+0.04%0.7779-0.94%0.0452✗1.2422.9M2022-02-24
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.275.2723+0.04%5.03-4.55%0.0720✗0.87367k2022-02-24
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.044860.044879+0.04%0.0436-2.81%0.0664✗1.31768k2022-02-24
CHZChilizEthereum0.17030.170373+0.04%0.1641-3.64%0.0778✗1.412.9M2022-02-24
KCSKuCoinnative18.74918.7571+0.04%18.173-3.07%0.0642✗1.149.6M2022-02-24
SUSHISushiEthereum3.283.2816+0.05%3.14-4.27%0.0839✗1.397.0M2022-02-24
GTGateEthereum6.14826.1513+0.05%6.235+1.41%0.0098✗0.823.0M2022-02-24
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2820.282142+0.05%0.274-2.84%0.0687✗1.382.0M2022-02-24
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.35360.353796+0.06%0.3618+2.32%0.0180✗1.428.4M2022-02-24
LTCLitecoinLitecoin105.41105.471+0.06%104.24-1.11%0.0463✗1.2129.5M2022-02-24
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2340.234136+0.06%0.219-6.41%0.0921✗0.8959k2022-02-24
GITCOINGITCOIN5.8585.8616+0.06%5.793-1.11%0.0222✗0.3729k2022-02-24
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5265790.526929+0.07%0.509766-3.19%0.0663✗1.163.2M2022-02-24
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.5992.6008+0.07%2.481-4.54%0.0712✗0.84198k2022-02-24
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.1815.1846+0.07%4.747-8.38%0.1110✗0.8065k2022-02-24
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.3413.3493+0.07%13.27-0.52%0.0407✗1.2260.6M2022-02-24
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.84182.8439+0.07%2.6254-7.61%0.1089✗1.012.6M2022-02-24
DOTPolkadotPolkadot15.9715.9824+0.08%16.18+1.31%0.0257✗1.3327.9M2022-02-24
ZENHorizenBase32.8432.8655+0.08%34.22+4.20%0.0047✗1.58309k2022-02-24
AAVEAaveEthereum130.67130.7747+0.08%125.3-4.11%0.0840✗1.456.5M2022-02-24
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004440.004444+0.08%0.00413-6.98%0.1270✗1.8912.6M2022-02-24
DKAdKargoEthereum0.082870.082939+0.08%0.08206-0.98%0.0423✗1.1147k2022-02-24
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.684.6839+0.08%4.42-5.56%0.0809✗0.80431k2022-02-24
QNTQuantEthereum108.35108.4429+0.09%108.73+0.35%0.0266✗1.026.6M2022-02-24
CBKCobakEthereum2.0072.0087+0.09%2.003-0.20%0.0327✗1.0419k2022-02-24
XEMNEMnative0.09430.094383+0.09%0.093-1.38%0.0443✗1.0337k2022-02-24
XLMStellarStellar0.1818880.182047+0.09%0.182403+0.28%0.0280✗1.0521.4M2022-02-24
FIDABonfidaSolana1.8071.8086+0.09%1.717-4.98%0.0805✗1.0076k2022-02-24
HIVEHivenative0.81850.81925+0.09%0.8143-0.51%0.0453✗1.381.7M2022-02-24
ETHEthereumEthereum2,580.972,583.34+0.09%2,597.42+0.64%0.0256✗1.09561.7M2022-02-24
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6670.667626+0.09%0.64-4.05%0.0739✗1.112.0M2022-02-24
KSMKusamaHydration123.58123.6974+0.10%117.93-4.57%0.0818✗1.19930k2022-02-24
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.7483.7519+0.10%3.941+5.15%0.0130✓1.272.3M2022-02-24
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3311.3325+0.11%1.338+0.53%0.0286✗1.151.6M2022-02-24
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.04760.047653+0.11%0.0532+11.76%0.0594✓1.7864.3M2022-02-24
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0381.0393+0.12%1.104+6.36%0.0245✓1.262.8M2022-02-24
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.43910.439655+0.13%0.4313-1.78%0.0607✗1.45572k2022-02-24
BTCBitcoinBitcoin37,268.1937,315.69+0.13%38,347.30+2.90%0.0013✗1.00632.3M2022-02-24
XVSVenusEthereum8.348.3508+0.13%8.95+7.31%0.0324✓1.293.1M2022-02-24
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV82.1782.2765+0.13%81.89-0.34%0.0304✗0.90946k2022-02-24
XECeCashnative0.000070220.000070316+0.14%0.00007114+1.31%0.0217✗1.174.4M2022-02-24
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.32930.329813+0.16%0.3302+0.27%0.0469✗1.6816.0M2022-02-24
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06930.06941+0.16%0.0646-6.78%0.1030✗1.09176k2022-02-24
SCSiacoinnative0.00840.008414+0.16%0.00834-0.71%0.0381✗1.03525k2022-02-24
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.3514.374+0.17%13.97-2.65%0.0498✗0.751.8M2022-02-24
UNIUniswapEthereum8.758.7651+0.17%8.83+0.91%0.0303✗1.3210.8M2022-02-24
COTICOTIEthereum0.20390.204297+0.19%0.1956-4.07%0.0873✗1.543.3M2022-02-24
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.191.1925+0.21%1.13-5.04%0.0907✗1.29934k2022-02-24
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.060160.060289+0.21%0.06073+0.95%0.0161✗0.8275k2022-02-24
AVTAventusEthereum2.352.3553+0.23%2.19-6.81%0.1013✗1.00639k2022-02-24
STORJStorjEthereum0.903290.905347+0.23%0.89559-0.85%0.0422✗1.10160k2022-02-24
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.018020.018099+0.44%0.01693-6.05%0.1133✗1.6311.1M2022-02-24
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5541.5613+0.47%1.504-3.22%0.0692✗1.113.4M2022-02-24
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.272.2839+0.61%2.18-3.96%0.0862✗1.39579k2022-02-24
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.