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2022-02-21 · +1d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1880
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.79%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
49.3%
in alpha space · 21.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+3.32%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.3322.356+1.03%2.436+4.46%0.0111✗1.36579k2022-02-22
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.019370.019508+0.71%0.02+3.25%0.0288✗1.6510.9M2022-02-22
IMXImmutableEthereum1.581.589+0.57%1.656+4.81%0.0055✓1.103.3M2022-02-22
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.251.2539+0.31%1.31+4.80%0.0024✓1.271.1M2022-02-22
UNIUniswapEthereum8.528.5395+0.23%8.86+3.99%0.0064✗1.3211.2M2022-02-22
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.34010.340871+0.23%0.3536+3.97%0.0179✗1.6716.7M2022-02-22
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.22412.229+0.22%2.1087-5.19%0.0855✗0.9228k2022-02-22
COTICOTIEthereum0.20420.204631+0.21%0.2163+5.93%0.0051✓1.543.6M2022-02-22
FIDABonfidaSolana1.8531.8557+0.14%1.859+0.32%0.0308✗1.0085k2022-02-22
ETCEthereum Classicnative2525.0354+0.14%26.68+6.72%0.0281✓1.095.2M2022-02-22
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.059940.060007+0.11%0.06248+4.24%0.0140✓0.8180k2022-02-22
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.04740.047445+0.10%0.0502+5.91%0.0014✗1.7764.3M2022-02-22
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.31.3011+0.08%1.358+4.46%0.0022✗1.381.9M2022-02-22
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.24.2029+0.07%4.43+5.48%0.0168✓1.10485k2022-02-22
XLMStellarStellar0.178160.178275+0.06%0.18564+4.20%0.0061✓1.0521.8M2022-02-22
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2790.279176+0.06%0.295+5.73%0.0114✓1.342.0M2022-02-22
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.44420.444453+0.06%0.4585+3.22%0.0161✗1.45586k2022-02-22
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.341.3406+0.05%1.38+2.99%0.0089✗1.162.0M2022-02-22
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5190670.519283+0.04%0.543354+4.68%0.0078✓1.153.5M2022-02-22
CTSICartesiEthereum0.36610.366193+0.03%0.3853+5.24%0.0041✓1.431.5M2022-02-22
STORJStorjEthereum0.885730.885944+0.02%0.92764+4.73%0.0108✓1.08165k2022-02-22
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0031.0032+0.02%1.078+7.48%0.0311✓1.253.0M2022-02-22
KSMKusamaHydration125.92125.9162-0.00%129.85+3.12%0.0081✓1.19930k2022-02-22
ADACardanoCardano0.85720.857165-0.00%0.8881+3.60%0.0018✓1.1497.3M2022-02-22
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.733.7298-0.01%4.004+7.35%0.0303✗1.242.3M2022-02-22
SCSiacoinnative0.008470.008469-0.01%0.00878+3.66%0.0018✗1.05504k2022-02-22
CVCCivicEthereum0.22930.229275-0.01%0.245+6.85%0.0288✗1.15469k2022-02-22
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004510.004509-0.01%0.00452+0.22%0.0604✓1.9212.9M2022-02-22
XTZTezosTezos2.97312.9726-0.02%3.0712+3.30%0.0097✓1.302.1M2022-02-22
XVSVenusEthereum8.648.6381-0.02%8.66+0.23%0.0399✓1.303.2M2022-02-22
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06810.068083-0.03%0.0708+3.96%0.0059✓1.381.1M2022-02-22
ZECZcashZcash100.47100.4426-0.03%102.96+2.48%0.0141✓1.197.6M2022-02-22
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.12830.128259-0.03%0.1319+2.81%0.0058✓1.03467k2022-02-22
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.033620.033609-0.03%0.03997+18.89%0.1494✗0.731.7M2022-02-22
DKAdKargoEthereum0.07910.079071-0.04%0.08458+6.93%0.0314✗1.1049k2022-02-22
STXStacksnative1.111.1096-0.04%1.17+5.41%0.0103✗1.31782k2022-02-22
QNTQuantEthereum106.88106.8331-0.04%115.85+8.39%0.0491✗0.986.6M2022-02-22
BTCBitcoinBitcoin37,023.0037,006.46-0.04%38,251.48+3.32%0.0004✗1.00633.0M2022-02-22
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash283.16283.0303-0.05%293.48+3.64%0.0041✗0.988.0M2022-02-22
COMPCompoundEthereum106.4106.3494-0.05%112.33+5.57%0.0125✗1.2959k2022-02-22
LPTLivepeerEthereum21.8721.8594-0.05%23.73+8.50%0.0329✗1.511.8M2022-02-22
ZENHorizenBase32.1432.1243-0.05%35.27+9.74%0.0427✗1.55335k2022-02-22
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.78520.784808-0.05%0.8111+3.30%0.0076✓1.2423.9M2022-02-22
SOLSolanaSolana82.9782.9276-0.05%86.43+4.17%0.0008✗1.24154.8M2022-02-22
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1280940.128025-0.05%0.13132+2.52%0.0076✓1.014.2M2022-02-22
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum47.3547.3245-0.05%51.15+8.03%0.0357✗1.298.1M2022-02-22
XEMNEMnative0.09270.092647-0.06%0.0987+6.47%0.0301✗1.0238k2022-02-22
ETHEthereumEthereum2,569.002,567.52-0.06%2,637.98+2.69%0.0089✓1.10581.4M2022-02-22
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.035910.035889-0.06%0.03793+5.63%0.0191✗1.1132k2022-02-22
AAVEAaveEthereum128.58128.5015-0.06%134.74+4.79%0.0002✓1.456.7M2022-02-22
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV80.8780.8161-0.07%83.42+3.15%0.0027✗0.891.0M2022-02-22
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7390.738498-0.07%0.799+8.12%0.0344✗1.362.1M2022-02-22
CBKCobakEthereum1.9331.9317-0.07%2.01+3.98%0.0054✗1.0520k2022-02-22
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.4812.4709-0.07%12.96+3.85%0.0049✗1.03404k2022-02-22
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.325.3161-0.07%5.611+5.47%0.0205✗1.03297k2022-02-22
HIVEHivenative0.81480.814193-0.07%0.8466+3.90%0.0118✓1.561.8M2022-02-22
XECeCashnative0.000067830.000067779-0.07%0.00007222+6.47%0.0259✗1.154.6M2022-02-22
XVGVergenative0.009290.009283-0.08%0.00963+3.66%0.0057✓1.301.2M2022-02-22
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.3212.3191-0.08%2.372+2.20%0.0191✓1.27845k2022-02-22
CHZChilizEthereum0.16860.168464-0.08%0.1778+5.46%0.0082✗1.403.0M2022-02-22
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.913.8884-0.08%14.82+6.62%0.0108✗1.662.9M2022-02-22
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024040.000024019-0.09%0.00002495+3.79%0.0074✓1.393.7M2022-02-22
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06920.069139-0.09%0.072+4.05%0.0032✗1.14194k2022-02-22
DASHDashDash87.0486.9621-0.09%93.56+7.49%0.0355✗1.151.5M2022-02-22
KCSKuCoinnative18.13718.1206-0.09%18.94+4.43%0.0054✗1.199.8M2022-02-22
AMPAmpEthereum0.02570.025676-0.09%0.02671+3.93%0.0142✗0.774.7M2022-02-22
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.645790.645166-0.10%0.68391+5.90%0.0091✗1.51278k2022-02-22
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.35720.356855-0.10%0.3823+7.03%0.0230✗1.418.7M2022-02-22
LTCLitecoinLitecoin102.78102.6781-0.10%107.51+4.60%0.0063✗1.2129.9M2022-02-22
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.172.1678-0.10%2.25+3.69%0.0039✗1.02283k2022-02-22
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.726.713-0.10%6.9+2.68%0.0206✗0.211.3M2022-02-22
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.22060.220364-0.11%0.2269+2.86%0.0043✓1.031.9M2022-02-22
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.5832.5802-0.11%2.693+4.26%0.0154✗0.84203k2022-02-22
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0230180.022992-0.11%0.022348-2.91%0.0646✓1.1189k2022-02-22
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.3841.3825-0.11%1.466+5.92%0.0121✗1.43970k2022-02-22
DOTPolkadotPolkadot16.1916.1715-0.11%16.61+2.59%0.0168✓1.3430.0M2022-02-22
BFCBifrostEthereum0.151540.151366-0.11%0.15134-0.13%0.0463✓1.4130k2022-02-22
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.5113.4942-0.12%13.98+3.48%0.0043✓1.2161.5M2022-02-22
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.640.639203-0.12%0.707+10.47%0.0659✗1.071.9M2022-02-22
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.045080.045023-0.13%0.0466+3.37%0.0108✓1.39865k2022-02-22
SUSHISushiEthereum3.283.2758-0.13%3.4+3.66%0.0083✓1.397.1M2022-02-22
GITCOINGITCOIN6.046.0322-0.13%6.214+2.88%0.0177✗0.3732k2022-02-22
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche70.0869.9871-0.13%74.42+6.19%0.0125✗1.50106.7M2022-02-22
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.7713.7517-0.13%14.5+5.30%0.0289✗0.741.8M2022-02-22
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.342.3367-0.14%2.395+2.35%0.0263✓1.5614.4M2022-02-22
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.4810.480324-0.14%0.4976+3.45%0.0053✗0.92684k2022-02-22
LCXLCXEthereum0.08770.087575-0.14%0.0886+1.03%0.0374✓1.50700k2022-02-22
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.720.718974-0.14%0.71-1.39%0.0769✓1.971.1M2022-02-22
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.47280.472111-0.15%0.5209+10.17%0.0553✗1.322.3M2022-02-22
QTUMQtumQtum5.74315.7347-0.15%6.0072+4.60%0.0019✓1.48172k2022-02-22
UMAUMAEthereum4.924.9126-0.15%5.156+4.80%0.0155✗1.011.8M2022-02-22
LSKLiskEthereum1.61271.6102-0.15%1.626+0.82%0.0273✓1.1375k2022-02-22
LRCLoopringEthereum0.74210.740928-0.16%0.8019+8.06%0.0307✗1.48411k2022-02-22
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.955.9405-0.16%6.26+5.21%0.0392✗0.401.4M2022-02-22
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.371.3677-0.16%1.423+3.87%0.0007✓1.231.1M2022-02-22
FILFilecoinFilecoin18.6418.6079-0.17%19.18+2.90%0.0102✓1.2410.1M2022-02-22
MANADecentralandEthereum2.48272.4784-0.17%2.6533+6.87%0.0270✗1.263.2M2022-02-22
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.069.0437-0.18%9.51+4.97%0.0273✗0.70758k2022-02-22
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.87752.8722-0.18%2.9222+1.55%0.0157✓1.012.5M2022-02-22
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.571.5671-0.18%1.69+7.64%0.0316✗1.352.0M2022-02-22
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.75343.7465-0.19%3.9847+6.16%0.0225✗1.20309k2022-02-22
NANOnanopayBase1.90471.9012-0.19%1.964+3.11%0.0079✓1.24218k2022-02-22
TRXTRONTron0.0594720.059359-0.19%0.06264+5.33%0.0264✗0.84307k2022-02-22
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.834.8208-0.19%4.94+2.28%0.0015✓0.79431k2022-02-22
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.010040.01002-0.20%0.0104+3.59%0.0135✓1.552.2M2022-02-22
AVTAventusEthereum2.372.3653-0.20%2.49+5.06%0.0187✗1.00639k2022-02-22
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.88830.886532-0.20%0.818-7.91%0.1051✓0.761.5M2022-02-22
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.71130.709867-0.20%0.7509+5.57%0.0191✗1.149.9M2022-02-22
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2480.2475-0.20%0.24-3.23%0.0610✓0.9368k2022-02-22
NMRNumeraireEthereum26.5126.4551-0.21%30.14+13.69%0.0985✗0.981.5M2022-02-22
ORCAOrcaSolana2.622.6145-0.21%2.61-0.38%0.0344✓1.00694k2022-02-22
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos23.8323.7794-0.21%24.84+4.24%0.0078✗1.1056.2M2022-02-22
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.86822.862-0.21%2.8677-0.02%0.0312✓1.022.4M2022-02-22
MINAMina Protocolnative2.162.1553-0.22%2.18+0.93%0.0283✓1.22324k2022-02-22
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.275.2582-0.22%5.38+2.09%0.0057✓0.88398k2022-02-22
DODODODOEthereum0.4440.442998-0.23%0.454+2.25%0.0205✓1.384.5M2022-02-22
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06130.061161-0.23%0.0629+2.61%0.0070✓1.0714k2022-02-22
YFIyearn.financeEthereum19,642.8419,595.95-0.24%20,636.07+5.06%0.0182✗1.035.8M2022-02-22
SUNSun TokenTron0.0122140.012184-0.24%0.012503+2.37%0.0118✓1.1561k2022-02-22
XYMSymbolnative0.14880.148439-0.24%0.1484-0.27%0.0271✓0.82362k2022-02-22
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0214.0111-0.25%4.152+3.26%0.0066✗0.86383k2022-02-22
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.7717.7261-0.25%17.92+0.84%0.0274✓1.1723.0M2022-02-22
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.835.8153-0.25%5.83+0.00%0.0265✓0.89430k2022-02-22
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12290.122589-0.25%0.1318+7.24%0.0304✗1.293.2M2022-02-22
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.920.917618-0.26%0.943+2.50%0.0134✓1.25934k2022-02-22
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.6317.5827-0.27%19.41+10.10%0.0488✗1.53350k2022-02-22
GTGateEthereum6.08296.0658-0.28%6.1901+1.76%0.0075✓0.853.2M2022-02-22
BANDBandEthereum3.773.7589-0.30%3.874+2.76%0.0114✓1.271.9M2022-02-22
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0180350.017979-0.31%0.01893+4.96%0.0146✗1.132.2M2022-02-22
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.2415.2237-0.33%5.266+0.48%0.0181✓0.8065k2022-02-22
LUNATerraTerra 250.1349.964-0.33%54.77+9.26%0.0478✗1.354.8M2022-02-22
BTTCBTTC0.000001940.000001933-0.34%0.00000194+0.00%0.0293✓1.0014.4M2022-02-22
MOVRMoonriverBase68.799768.5521-0.36%69.8217+1.49%0.0308✓1.51257k2022-02-22
UOSUltraEthereum1.13851.1344-0.36%1.272+11.72%0.0722✗1.292.5M2022-02-22
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum37,080.1036,946.17-0.36%38,333.50+3.38%0.0053✗0.9742k2022-02-22
XMRMoneroMonero148147.4574-0.37%150.97+2.01%0.0092✓1.001.0M2022-02-22
DIADIAEthereum0.910.906663-0.37%0.89-2.20%0.0512✓1.00281k2022-02-22
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8892.8782-0.37%2.996+3.70%0.0097✗0.93481k2022-02-22
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.83955.8177-0.37%5.8481+0.15%0.0073✓0.38412k2022-02-22
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.75691.7503-0.37%1.7886+1.80%0.0042✗0.532.8M2022-02-22
FTTFTXEthereum39.8139.6528-0.39%41.51+4.27%0.0078✗1.1627.6M2022-02-22
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012840.012778-0.48%0.01237-3.66%0.0578✓0.7815k2022-02-22
RADRadworksEthereum5.075.0454-0.48%5.11+0.79%0.0197✓0.99682k2022-02-22
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02630.026165-0.51%0.0265+0.76%0.0345✓1.45497k2022-02-22
PROPropyEthereum1.991.9795-0.53%1.83-8.04%0.1356✓1.75680k2022-02-22
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.43110.428434-0.62%0.453+5.08%0.0070✓1.922.0M2022-02-22
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0502880.049914-0.74%0.051003+1.42%0.0199✓1.277.5M2022-02-22
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1320.131008-0.75%0.139+5.30%0.0255✗1.0351k2022-02-22
API3Api3Ethereum5.725.668-0.91%5.979+4.53%0.0422✗0.342.0M2022-02-22
CELLCellframeEthereum1.6461.6259-1.22%1.72+4.50%0.0062✓1.53191k2022-02-22
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.