8=======>

2022-02-19 · +1d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1293
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.61%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
59.3%
in alpha space · 97.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.27%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.025160.025189+0.12%0.02116-15.90%0.1142✗1.3810.9M2022-02-20
UNIUniswapEthereum10.0310.029-0.01%9.36-6.68%0.0121✓1.3111.7M2022-02-20
IMXImmutableEthereum1.981.9793-0.03%1.82-8.08%0.0385✓1.043.2M2022-02-20
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.581.5794-0.04%1.44-8.86%0.0394✓1.211.2M2022-02-20
COTICOTIEthereum0.2470.246752-0.10%0.2213-10.40%0.0425✓1.523.7M2022-02-20
QNTQuantEthereum110.71110.5894-0.11%107.71-2.71%0.0177✗1.017.2M2022-02-20
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.071260.071174-0.12%0.06754-5.22%0.0190✓0.7688k2022-02-20
SCSiacoinnative0.009670.009657-0.13%0.00912-5.69%0.0122✓1.03504k2022-02-20
STORJStorjEthereum1.02751.0261-0.14%0.98512-4.12%0.0050✗1.05193k2022-02-20
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.0614.0407-0.14%12.98-7.68%0.0337✓1.03483k2022-02-20
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.040640.040583-0.14%0.03914-3.69%0.0114✗1.0932k2022-02-20
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5940430.593164-0.15%0.570834-3.91%0.0113✗1.143.6M2022-02-20
KSMKusamaHydration151.15150.9161-0.15%138.87-8.12%0.0320✓1.17973k2022-02-20
XLMStellarStellar0.2041740.203856-0.16%0.194647-4.67%0.0014✓1.0322.0M2022-02-20
XEMNEMnative0.10180.101634-0.16%0.0988-2.95%0.0162✗1.0239k2022-02-20
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00510.005091-0.17%0.00465-8.82%0.0058✓1.9413.6M2022-02-20
ETHEthereumEthereum2,764.442,759.67-0.17%2,622.47-5.14%0.0024✓1.11588.4M2022-02-20
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.752370.751048-0.18%0.70618-6.14%0.0031✗1.48334k2022-02-20
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.6753.6685-0.18%2.828-23.05%0.2112✓1.12579k2022-02-20
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV87.6487.4839-0.18%84.46-3.63%0.0037✗0.891.1M2022-02-20
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4911.4883-0.18%1.454-2.48%0.0268✗1.152.1M2022-02-20
DKAdKargoEthereum0.089250.089087-0.18%0.08575-3.92%0.0095✗1.0950k2022-02-20
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3250.3244-0.18%0.3-7.69%0.0201✓1.332.3M2022-02-20
KCSKuCoinnative19.83919.8014-0.19%18.962-4.42%0.0095✗1.219.9M2022-02-20
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash312.05311.4483-0.19%302.87-2.94%0.0148✗0.988.4M2022-02-20
CTSICartesiEthereum0.42010.419275-0.20%0.3961-5.71%0.0056✗1.431.6M2022-02-20
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.382.3752-0.20%2.28-4.20%0.0037✗1.02327k2022-02-20
CBKCobakEthereum2.1682.1637-0.20%2.067-4.66%0.0001✓1.0420k2022-02-20
BTCBitcoinBitcoin40,101.9440,020.36-0.20%38,389.03-4.27%0.0020✗1.00646.5M2022-02-20
SOLSolanaSolana91.3491.154-0.20%90.78-0.61%0.0507✗1.26179.7M2022-02-20
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07840.07824-0.20%0.0729-7.02%0.0220✓1.12194k2022-02-20
COMPCompoundEthereum121.25120.9984-0.21%116.98-3.52%0.0223✗1.2966k2022-02-20
LSKLiskEthereum1.66911.6656-0.21%1.6203-2.93%0.0212✗1.1275k2022-02-20
ADACardanoCardano0.99690.994761-0.21%0.9319-6.52%0.0170✓1.1197.3M2022-02-20
XVGVergenative0.010320.010298-0.21%0.00962-6.78%0.0116✓1.291.2M2022-02-20
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1410020.14069-0.22%0.136714-3.04%0.0152✗1.015.2M2022-02-20
DOTPolkadotPolkadot17.8617.8203-0.22%16.92-5.26%0.0068✗1.3432.4M2022-02-20
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.90010.898097-0.22%0.8455-6.07%0.0063✓1.2425.9M2022-02-20
LCXLCXEthereum0.09630.096083-0.23%0.091-5.50%0.0112✗1.50903k2022-02-20
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.41720.416255-0.23%0.3917-6.11%0.0001✓1.398.8M2022-02-20
AMPAmpEthereum0.028780.028715-0.23%0.02715-5.66%0.0192✓0.845.2M2022-02-20
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1321.1294-0.23%1.063-6.10%0.0065✓1.243.1M2022-02-20
ETCEthereum Classicnative28.728.6338-0.23%27.23-5.12%0.0036✓1.075.2M2022-02-20
ZENHorizenBase38.1338.0413-0.23%34.75-8.86%0.0222✓1.56405k2022-02-20
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.0616.0225-0.23%15.23-5.17%0.0231✗1.693.0M2022-02-20
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.5862.5799-0.24%2.5-3.33%0.0246✗1.28845k2022-02-20
NANOnanopayBase2.0712.066-0.24%1.9689-4.93%0.0060✗1.24263k2022-02-20
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.085.0674-0.25%4.65-8.46%0.0402✓1.05510k2022-02-20
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2540.253365-0.25%0.24-5.51%0.0141✓0.9273k2022-02-20
XVSVenusEthereum9.999.965-0.25%8.95-10.41%0.0534✓1.243.2M2022-02-20
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.31362.3077-0.26%2.1375-7.61%0.0361✓0.9328k2022-02-20
TRXTRONTron0.0634820.063318-0.26%0.06201-2.32%0.0160✗0.84330k2022-02-20
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.051540.051405-0.26%0.0487-5.51%0.0058✗1.37951k2022-02-20
AAVEAaveEthereum146.18145.795-0.26%137.55-5.90%0.0038✗1.426.8M2022-02-20
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.277.2507-0.27%7.17-1.38%0.0021✓0.211.4M2022-02-20
CVCCivicEthereum0.2730.272261-0.27%0.2525-7.51%0.0275✓1.09538k2022-02-20
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.04163.0334-0.27%3.02-0.71%0.0387✗0.992.4M2022-02-20
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum54.8454.6908-0.27%52.1-5.00%0.0070✗1.279.2M2022-02-20
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum39,901.0039,791.06-0.28%38,642.80-3.15%0.0133✗0.9851k2022-02-20
UOSUltraEthereum1.15271.1495-0.28%1.1176-3.04%0.0271✗1.272.6M2022-02-20
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8610.858606-0.28%0.796-7.55%0.0172✓1.342.4M2022-02-20
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.54750.545947-0.28%0.5079-7.23%0.0103✓1.42610k2022-02-20
CHZChilizEthereum0.1980.197434-0.29%0.1863-5.91%0.0015✓1.363.5M2022-02-20
XECeCashnative0.000078110.000077883-0.29%0.00007437-4.79%0.0032✗1.134.8M2022-02-20
LUNATerraTerra 250.4650.3118-0.29%49.33-2.24%0.0417✗1.415.3M2022-02-20
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7490.746786-0.30%0.7-6.54%0.0187✓1.052.0M2022-02-20
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.2656.2465-0.30%5.697-9.07%0.0493✓0.98361k2022-02-20
ZECZcashZcash112.33111.9975-0.30%108.11-3.76%0.0180✗1.227.6M2022-02-20
HIVEHivenative0.96350.960598-0.30%0.9158-4.95%0.0203✗1.561.8M2022-02-20
LRCLoopringEthereum0.88780.885104-0.30%0.8239-7.20%0.0081✓1.46453k2022-02-20
LPTLivepeerEthereum25.425.3228-0.30%23.63-6.97%0.0037✓1.501.9M2022-02-20
QTUMQtumQtum6.7876.766-0.31%6.2326-8.17%0.0187✓1.45198k2022-02-20
LTCLitecoinLitecoin115.59115.2327-0.31%110.69-4.24%0.0128✗1.2131.4M2022-02-20
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9732.9638-0.31%2.798-5.89%0.0235✓0.78206k2022-02-20
UMAUMAEthereum5.695.6723-0.31%5.36-5.80%0.0127✓1.011.9M2022-02-20
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.14440.14395-0.31%0.1362-5.68%0.0106✓1.03470k2022-02-20
STXStacksnative1.311.3059-0.32%1.23-6.11%0.0039✓1.28845k2022-02-20
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06790.067684-0.32%0.0654-3.68%0.0129✗1.0816k2022-02-20
XYMSymbolnative0.15810.157589-0.32%0.154-2.59%0.0071✗0.69362k2022-02-20
GITCOINGITCOIN6.8736.8508-0.32%6.591-4.10%0.0232✓0.3536k2022-02-20
DASHDashDash102.42102.0832-0.33%98.1-4.22%0.0086✗1.111.5M2022-02-20
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.5215.4678-0.34%14.6-5.93%0.0051✓1.2167.7M2022-02-20
DODODODOEthereum0.4890.487354-0.34%0.471-3.68%0.0265✗1.394.7M2022-02-20
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012660.012617-0.34%0.01266+0.00%0.0386✗0.8115k2022-02-20
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.8220.7498-0.34%19.82-4.80%0.0075✗1.2210.8M2022-02-20
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.581.5747-0.34%1.49-5.70%0.0017✓1.231.2M2022-02-20
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.06593.0553-0.34%2.9539-3.65%0.0077✗0.952.5M2022-02-20
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.990.986583-0.35%0.9-9.09%0.0368✓1.26818k2022-02-20
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.285.2618-0.35%5.01-5.11%0.0159✓0.76415k2022-02-20
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.374.3549-0.35%4.06-7.09%0.0168✓1.222.5M2022-02-20
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25120.250326-0.35%0.2401-4.42%0.0018✓1.001.9M2022-02-20
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.54850.546553-0.35%0.5119-6.67%0.0262✓0.90741k2022-02-20
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.821.8135-0.36%1.73-4.95%0.0111✗1.342.0M2022-02-20
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.6641.6579-0.36%1.532-7.93%0.0196✓1.361.1M2022-02-20
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.4190.41747-0.37%0.3785-9.67%0.0258✓1.6517.3M2022-02-20
XTZTezosTezos3.60743.5942-0.37%3.2624-9.56%0.0420✓1.262.2M2022-02-20
MANADecentralandEthereum2.89172.881-0.37%2.6921-6.90%0.0168✓1.173.3M2022-02-20
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.99.8635-0.37%9.77-1.31%0.0193✗0.66821k2022-02-20
AVTAventusEthereum2.742.7298-0.37%2.57-6.20%0.0167✓1.00723k2022-02-20
MINAMina Protocolnative2.422.411-0.37%2.48+2.48%0.0809✗1.21383k2022-02-20
BFCBifrostEthereum0.159980.159377-0.38%0.15607-2.44%0.0421✗1.4432k2022-02-20
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.571.564-0.38%1.41-10.19%0.0442✓1.362.7M2022-02-20
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00002750.000027395-0.38%0.00002547-7.38%0.0126✓1.383.8M2022-02-20
RADRadworksEthereum5.315.2896-0.38%7.05+32.77%0.3324✗1.03682k2022-02-20
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.925.8971-0.39%5.7-3.72%0.0022✓0.83398k2022-02-20
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.29854.2817-0.39%4.0929-4.78%0.0067✗1.19330k2022-02-20
ORCAOrcaSolana2.822.8089-0.40%2.76-2.13%0.0261✗1.00698k2022-02-20
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4724.4538-0.41%4.211-5.84%0.0208✓0.81395k2022-02-20
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.416.3839-0.41%6.14-4.21%0.0016✓0.86430k2022-02-20
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.996.9616-0.41%6.57-6.01%0.0416✓0.371.4M2022-02-20
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche85.0784.7232-0.41%77.39-9.03%0.0297✓1.39110.8M2022-02-20
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.7665.7418-0.42%5.516-4.34%0.0055✓0.7965k2022-02-20
GTGateEthereum6.65486.6264-0.43%6.2563-5.99%0.0214✓0.833.6M2022-02-20
BTTCBTTC0.000002020.000002011-0.43%0.00000197-2.48%0.0229✗1.0014.4M2022-02-20
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.6926.5729-0.44%26.09-2.25%0.0275✗1.0561.0M2022-02-20
SUNSun TokenTron0.0151450.015078-0.44%0.01318-12.97%0.0867✓1.10170k2022-02-20
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08060.080241-0.45%0.0744-7.69%0.0171✓1.341.1M2022-02-20
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.4820.3877-0.45%18.79-8.25%0.0148✓1.53371k2022-02-20
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0206170.020524-0.45%0.019255-6.61%0.0139✓1.142.4M2022-02-20
YFIyearn.financeEthereum21,669.7621,571.62-0.45%20,667.46-4.63%0.0012✓1.016.2M2022-02-20
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.812.7972-0.46%2.55-9.25%0.0266✓1.5115.0M2022-02-20
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.55760.555054-0.46%0.516-7.46%0.0157✓1.312.3M2022-02-20
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.850.846099-0.46%0.78-8.24%0.0047✗1.971.2M2022-02-20
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.79615.7692-0.46%5.735-1.05%0.0106✗0.38441k2022-02-20
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011910.011855-0.46%0.01078-9.49%0.0268✓1.562.2M2022-02-20
XMRMoneroMonero161.12160.3716-0.46%153.87-4.50%0.0030✓1.021.1M2022-02-20
SUSHISushiEthereum3.873.8518-0.47%3.63-6.20%0.0007✓1.387.4M2022-02-20
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.039670.039482-0.47%0.03634-8.39%0.0521✓0.711.9M2022-02-20
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.1115.0361-0.49%14.71-2.65%0.0080✗0.691.7M2022-02-20
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.98160.976789-0.49%0.95-3.22%0.0054✗0.761.5M2022-02-20
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.8270.822905-0.50%0.7859-4.97%0.0011✓1.0810.1M2022-02-20
FIDABonfidaSolana2.1862.1749-0.51%2.039-6.72%0.0209✓1.0076k2022-02-20
FTTFTXEthereum42.7842.561-0.51%40.84-4.53%0.0096✗1.1728.5M2022-02-20
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum2019.8927-0.54%18.7-6.50%0.0114✓1.1623.2M2022-02-20
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.026090.025949-0.54%0.025474-2.36%0.0313✗1.1489k2022-02-20
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05930.058954-0.58%0.0531-10.46%0.0289✓1.7364.3M2022-02-20
MOVRMoonriverBase84.556884.049-0.60%74.3242-12.10%0.0586✓1.47305k2022-02-20
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.98021.9683-0.60%2.0176+1.89%0.0484✗0.542.9M2022-02-20
SKLSKALEEthereum0.14720.146303-0.61%0.1343-8.76%0.0290✓1.303.3M2022-02-20
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2813.2599-0.64%3.107-5.30%0.0093✓0.89502k2022-02-20
DIADIAEthereum1.011.0027-0.72%0.94-6.93%0.0210✓1.00274k2022-02-20
PROPropyEthereum2.162.1439-0.74%1.96-9.26%0.0116✓1.79708k2022-02-20
BANDBandEthereum4.934.8918-0.77%4.38-11.16%0.0572✓1.221.9M2022-02-20
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1350.133944-0.78%0.127-5.93%0.0057✓1.0954k2022-02-20
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.030.029759-0.80%0.028-6.67%0.0025✓1.45499k2022-02-20
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.48140.476953-0.92%0.4602-4.40%0.0462✗1.881.9M2022-02-20
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.9430.6302-1.00%27.93-9.73%0.0512✓0.941.3M2022-02-20
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0593760.058298-1.81%0.051219-13.74%0.0763✓1.227.5M2022-02-20
CELLCellframeEthereum1.88541.8402-2.40%1.8141-3.78%0.0522✗1.52189k2022-02-20
API3Api3Ethereum7.477.2394-3.09%6.97-6.69%0.0283✓0.222.0M2022-02-20
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.