8=======>

2022-02-13 · +1d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0115
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.79%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
60.0%
in alpha space · 38.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.13%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0840.084006+0.01%0.0819-2.50%0.0392✗1.24195k2022-02-14
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.609390.609272-0.02%0.593972-2.53%0.0386✓1.173.5M2022-02-14
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.075340.075305-0.05%0.07495-0.52%0.0132✓0.7684k2022-02-14
UNIUniswapEthereum10.3510.3445-0.05%10.62+2.61%0.0113✗1.3412.5M2022-02-14
COTICOTIEthereum0.26880.268653-0.05%0.2742+2.01%0.0030✗1.564.2M2022-02-14
IMXImmutableEthereum2.292.2886-0.06%2.29+0.00%0.0103✓0.973.0M2022-02-14
XLMStellarStellar0.2103110.210181-0.06%0.210709+0.19%0.0092✓1.0523.0M2022-02-14
UOSUltraEthereum1.011.0093-0.06%1.039+2.88%0.0155✗1.202.3M2022-02-14
XVSVenusEthereum8.78.694-0.07%9.58+10.11%0.0822✗1.332.8M2022-02-14
STORJStorjEthereum1.13341.1326-0.07%1.1301-0.29%0.0140✓1.06239k2022-02-14
DKAdKargoEthereum0.095180.095106-0.08%0.09436-0.86%0.0201✓1.0951k2022-02-14
KCSKuCoinnative19.12619.1107-0.08%19.607+2.51%0.0103✗1.3710.2M2022-02-14
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.030660.03063-0.10%0.02976-2.94%0.0413✓1.119.8M2022-02-14
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.042590.042544-0.11%0.0437+2.61%0.0141✗1.1430k2022-02-14
CTSICartesiEthereum0.4430.442449-0.12%0.4478+1.08%0.0049✓1.512.0M2022-02-14
SCSiacoinnative0.010360.010347-0.13%0.01033-0.29%0.0132✓1.04489k2022-02-14
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.80760.806557-0.13%0.80709-0.06%0.0163✓1.51299k2022-02-14
XEMNEMnative0.110.109856-0.13%0.1094-0.55%0.0161✓1.0737k2022-02-14
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,074.9942,018.22-0.13%42,548.71+1.13%0.0014✗1.00642.7M2022-02-14
XECeCashnative0.000081770.00008166-0.14%0.00008178+0.01%0.0115✓1.155.5M2022-02-14
ETHEthereumEthereum2,872.842,868.45-0.15%2,931.01+2.02%0.0089✗1.13572.6M2022-02-14
NANOnanopayBase2.11442.1111-0.15%2.1432+1.36%0.0014✓1.22486k2022-02-14
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7470.745747-0.17%0.759+1.61%0.0052✗1.111.6M2022-02-14
LPTLivepeerEthereum25.8625.8162-0.17%26.44+2.24%0.0067✗1.532.0M2022-02-14
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.7518.7182-0.17%18.7-0.27%0.0163✓1.3734.9M2022-02-14
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.40620.405511-0.17%0.4039-0.57%0.0190✓1.348.7M2022-02-14
SOLSolanaSolana92.9292.7621-0.17%96.43+3.78%0.0246✗1.27179.7M2022-02-14
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.052670.052579-0.17%0.05226-0.78%0.0219✓1.411.2M2022-02-14
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash333.81333.2295-0.17%330.66-0.94%0.0192✓1.038.9M2022-02-14
QNTQuantEthereum121.97121.7557-0.18%121.35-0.51%0.0149✓1.037.8M2022-02-14
LSKLiskEthereum1.72791.7248-0.18%1.7556+1.60%0.0052✗1.1269k2022-02-14
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.89670.895049-0.18%0.9001+0.38%0.0070✓1.1326.7M2022-02-14
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum58.0857.9671-0.19%56.82-2.17%0.0339✓1.258.8M2022-02-14
ADACardanoCardano1.04311.0411-0.20%1.05+0.66%0.0041✓1.13115.7M2022-02-14
GTGateEthereum6.77266.759-0.20%6.6557-1.73%0.0254✓0.894.0M2022-02-14
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.61.5968-0.20%1.61+0.63%0.0049✓1.171.9M2022-02-14
ZENHorizenBase40.1640.0786-0.20%41.27+2.76%0.0117✗1.57400k2022-02-14
SPELLSpellEthereum0.005790.005778-0.21%0.00566-2.25%0.0433✓2.0218.8M2022-02-14
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.880.878124-0.21%0.909+3.30%0.0190✗1.392.4M2022-02-14
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.1315.0976-0.21%15.4+1.78%0.0079✗1.06483k2022-02-14
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.0527.0366-0.22%7.402+4.96%0.0391✗1.03407k2022-02-14
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,091.2041,997.56-0.22%42,156.20+0.15%0.0071✓0.9742k2022-02-14
XYMSymbolnative0.16860.168212-0.23%0.1748+3.68%0.0304✗0.72388k2022-02-14
FTTFTXEthereum44.3244.2181-0.23%44.85+1.20%0.0009✓1.1931.6M2022-02-14
CHZChilizEthereum0.20090.200432-0.23%0.2046+1.84%0.0047✗1.423.7M2022-02-14
CBKCobakEthereum2.3882.3823-0.24%2.341-1.97%0.0296✓1.0822k2022-02-14
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.91.8954-0.24%1.84-3.16%0.0429✓1.191.4M2022-02-14
TRXTRONTron0.0645880.064431-0.24%0.064484-0.16%0.0095✓0.92344k2022-02-14
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.417.3919-0.24%7.22-2.56%0.0269✓0.301.2M2022-02-14
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.532.4171-0.26%31.42-3.32%0.0432✓1.064.9M2022-02-14
AMPAmpEthereum0.030050.029971-0.26%0.02945-2.00%0.0273✓0.876.2M2022-02-14
LUNATerraTerra 251.8951.7533-0.26%53.94+3.95%0.0254✗1.437.4M2022-02-14
DASHDashDash102.03101.7596-0.27%103.84+1.77%0.0074✗1.142.0M2022-02-14
GITCOINGITCOIN7.2727.2526-0.27%7.128-1.98%0.0213✓0.3538k2022-02-14
CVCCivicEthereum0.28120.280444-0.27%0.2886+2.63%0.0161✗1.12538k2022-02-14
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.9035.8871-0.27%6.017+1.93%0.0120✗0.8872k2022-02-14
HIVEHivenative1.0721.0691-0.27%1.0452-2.50%0.0392✓1.481.9M2022-02-14
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3790.377915-0.29%0.364-3.96%0.0528✓1.372.3M2022-02-14
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1487270.1483-0.29%0.145821-1.95%0.0285✓1.047.0M2022-02-14
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche77.9777.7459-0.29%81.84+4.96%0.0361✗1.3698.5M2022-02-14
LTCLitecoinLitecoin125.67125.3047-0.29%124.62-0.84%0.0199✓1.2934.8M2022-02-14
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07140.071192-0.29%0.0708-0.84%0.0181✓1.1217k2022-02-14
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana17.8617.808-0.29%17.92+0.34%0.0019✓0.731.1M2022-02-14
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.1428.0579-0.29%28.49+1.24%0.0044✗0.971.1M2022-02-14
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.615.5544-0.29%15.9+1.92%0.0084✗1.2170.2M2022-02-14
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.53450.53293-0.29%0.5481+2.54%0.0133✗1.322.4M2022-02-14
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV92.5292.2445-0.30%93.76+1.34%0.0062✗0.901.2M2022-02-14
QTUMQtumQtum6.51066.4911-0.30%6.5803+1.07%0.0025✓1.45145k2022-02-14
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2441.2402-0.30%1.259+1.21%0.0009✓1.263.2M2022-02-14
KSMKusamaHydration163.53163.0267-0.31%167.33+2.32%0.0124✗1.22930k2022-02-14
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.0711.0356-0.31%11.42+3.16%0.0261✗0.72660k2022-02-14
LCXLCXEthereum0.10250.102176-0.32%0.0983-4.10%0.0564✓1.581.2M2022-02-14
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.7542.7453-0.32%2.793+1.42%0.0021✓1.351.0M2022-02-14
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.55.4822-0.32%5.47-0.55%0.0113✓0.81398k2022-02-14
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.47863.4665-0.35%3.5401+1.77%0.0084✗1.132.5M2022-02-14
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.636.6067-0.35%6.76+1.96%0.0128✗0.90416k2022-02-14
MINAMina Protocolnative2.372.3616-0.35%2.68+13.08%0.1119✗1.30383k2022-02-14
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.8216.7604-0.35%17.04+1.31%0.0030✓1.753.7M2022-02-14
XVGVergenative0.010990.010949-0.37%0.01132+3.00%0.0176✗1.401.2M2022-02-14
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1393.1273-0.37%3.225+2.74%0.0215✗0.82215k2022-02-14
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013620.013569-0.37%0.01366+0.29%0.0022✓0.7913k2022-02-14
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.474.4523-0.40%4.58+2.46%0.0144✗1.242.6M2022-02-14
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.7371.7299-0.41%1.753+0.92%0.0015✓1.321.1M2022-02-14
BFCBifrostEthereum0.171870.171159-0.41%0.1719+0.02%0.0139✓1.6336k2022-02-14
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.496.4628-0.42%6.47-0.31%0.0083✓0.84441k2022-02-14
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.42070.418895-0.43%0.4399+4.56%0.0289✗1.7829.1M2022-02-14
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0214690.021376-0.43%0.021238-1.08%0.0203✓1.232.4M2022-02-14
COMPCompoundEthereum124.43123.8871-0.44%123.15-1.03%0.0204✓1.2954k2022-02-14
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16110.160395-0.44%0.1626+0.93%0.0019✓1.05470k2022-02-14
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.522.5088-0.44%2.56+1.59%0.0086✗1.04415k2022-02-14
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.277.2376-0.45%7.17-1.38%0.0134✓0.361.7M2022-02-14
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.1926.0725-0.45%27.16+3.70%0.0281✗1.1471.8M2022-02-14
BANDBandEthereum4.064.0415-0.46%4.21+3.69%0.0268✗1.251.9M2022-02-14
MANADecentralandEthereum2.82312.8102-0.46%2.8438+0.73%0.0004✓1.022.8M2022-02-14
LRCLoopringEthereum0.91510.910908-0.46%0.9283+1.44%0.0016✓1.54637k2022-02-14
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.661.6524-0.46%1.7+2.41%0.0143✗1.271.4M2022-02-14
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.5620.465-0.46%20.75+0.92%0.0002✓1.2210.5M2022-02-14
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.76753.7494-0.48%3.9552+4.98%0.0426✗0.972.2M2022-02-14
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.68034.6575-0.49%4.6155-1.38%0.0229✓1.23355k2022-02-14
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030110.000029963-0.49%0.00002958-1.76%0.0288✓1.421.8M2022-02-14
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.895.8612-0.49%5.66-3.90%0.0473✓1.10599k2022-02-14
AVTAventusEthereum2.752.7363-0.50%2.84+3.27%0.0260✗1.00748k2022-02-14
AAVEAaveEthereum158.29157.4776-0.51%161.11+1.78%0.0070✗1.418.6M2022-02-14
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.664.636-0.51%4.631-0.62%0.0106✓0.85369k2022-02-14
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2910.289496-0.52%0.285-2.06%0.0262✓0.9577k2022-02-14
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.061.0545-0.52%1.12+5.66%0.0445✗1.41655k2022-02-14
YFIyearn.financeEthereum22,889.9122,770.02-0.52%23,089.90+0.87%0.0032✓0.967.6M2022-02-14
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.85385.8226-0.53%5.8399-0.24%0.0006✓0.32430k2022-02-14
STXStacksnative1.461.4522-0.54%1.47+0.68%0.0010✓1.001.1M2022-02-14
ZECZcashZcash117.13116.4795-0.56%120.62+2.98%0.0207✗1.277.2M2022-02-14
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.57230.569107-0.56%0.5644-1.38%0.0201✓1.061.1M2022-02-14
RLCiExec RLCEthereum21.9888-0.56%1.94-3.00%0.0396✓1.322.2M2022-02-14
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011930.011862-0.57%0.01219+2.18%0.0100✗1.541.7M2022-02-14
UMAUMAEthereum6.015.9754-0.58%6-0.17%0.0075✓1.041.9M2022-02-14
DODODODOEthereum0.4990.496088-0.58%0.502+0.60%0.0046✓1.474.5M2022-02-14
BTTCBTTC0.000002120.000002107-0.59%0.00000213+0.47%0.0005✓1.0014.2M2022-02-14
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.8231.8119-0.61%1.9224+5.45%0.0522✗0.622.9M2022-02-14
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.3821.25-0.61%21.2-0.84%0.0199✓1.57375k2022-02-14
SKLSKALEEthereum0.14750.146584-0.62%0.1573+6.64%0.0552✗1.373.2M2022-02-14
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08660.086059-0.62%0.0868+0.23%0.0070✓1.39608k2022-02-14
CELLCellframeEthereum1.31681.3085-0.63%1.2512-4.98%0.0626✓1.59120k2022-02-14
XMRMoneroMonero174.01172.9117-0.63%176.38+1.36%0.0081✗1.051.2M2022-02-14
DIADIAEthereum0.950.944001-0.63%0.94-1.05%0.0154✓1.00274k2022-02-14
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.41983.398-0.64%3.4806+1.78%0.0140✗0.8930k2022-02-14
RADRadworksEthereum5.455.4151-0.64%5.39-1.10%0.0168✓1.08701k2022-02-14
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.62960.625549-0.64%0.6376+1.27%0.0017✓1.55723k2022-02-14
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.27710.275253-0.67%0.268-3.28%0.0389✓1.091.6M2022-02-14
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.84840.842668-0.68%0.8459-0.29%0.0082✓1.0812.4M2022-02-14
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0276790.027486-0.70%0.028657+3.53%0.0273✗1.29102k2022-02-14
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.752.7307-0.70%2.91+5.82%0.0477✗1.4218.4M2022-02-14
XTZTezosTezos3.85463.8271-0.71%3.9473+2.40%0.0162✗1.312.4M2022-02-14
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06260.062151-0.72%0.0688+9.90%0.0821✗1.7557.0M2022-02-14
SUNSun TokenTron0.0163240.016205-0.73%0.016621+1.82%0.0121✗1.19573k2022-02-14
FIDABonfidaSolana2.4372.4191-0.73%2.355-3.36%0.0381✓1.0079k2022-02-14
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1180.11705-0.80%0.114-3.39%0.0376✓1.0071k2022-02-14
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.910.902637-0.81%0.94+3.30%0.0186✗1.961.0M2022-02-14
API3Api3Ethereum4.574.5316-0.84%4.35-4.81%0.0446✓0.332.0M2022-02-14
ORCAOrcaSolana3.063.0343-0.84%3.09+0.98%0.0070✓1.00946k2022-02-14
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0433190.042947-0.86%0.046133+6.50%0.0577✗1.247.4M2022-02-14
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.881.8634-0.88%1.81-3.72%0.0446✓1.392.9M2022-02-14
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum19.7719.5936-0.89%20.74+4.91%0.0438✗1.1724.9M2022-02-14
SUSHISushiEthereum4.033.9931-0.92%4.07+0.99%0.0036✓1.388.0M2022-02-14
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.3873.3548-0.95%3.33-1.68%0.0175✓0.90502k2022-02-14
PROPropyEthereum2.22.1717-1.29%2.23+1.36%0.0042✓1.991.0M2022-02-14
MOVRMoonriverBase82.667781.5322-1.37%83.68+1.22%0.0096✓1.46315k2022-02-14
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03120.030742-1.47%0.0338+8.33%0.0785✗1.46485k2022-02-14
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.29471.2738-1.62%1.226-5.31%0.0482✓0.891.7M2022-02-14
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.56440.55484-1.69%0.545-3.44%0.0390✓1.891.8M2022-02-14
GLMRMoonbeamBase4.7214.6391-1.73%4.666-1.17%0.0045✓0.92779k2022-02-14
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.045230.04444-1.75%0.04361-3.58%0.0270✓0.723.4M2022-02-14
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.