2022-02-10 · +1d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 149 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1384

149 of 149 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+1.54%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

86.6%

in alpha space · 92.6% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-2.62%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (149 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.0828	0.082731	-0.08%	0.07747	-6.44%	0.0455	✓	0.76	89k	2022-02-11
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0919	0.091823	-0.08%	0.0868	-5.55%	0.0236	✓	1.23	209k	2022-02-11
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.23172	0.231405	-0.14%	0.215393	-7.05%	0.0445	✓	1.02	24.5M	2022-02-11
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.677039	0.676049	-0.15%	0.616904	-8.88%	0.0609	✓	1.15	3.5M	2022-02-11
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.473	20.4428	-0.15%	19.087	-6.77%	0.0331	✓	1.34	10.4M	2022-02-11
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	43,527.71	43,462.56	-0.15%	42,386.47	-2.62%	0.0015	✓	1.00	642.7M	2022-02-11
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3093	0.308828	-0.15%	0.2888	-6.63%	0.0259	✓	1.55	4.2M	2022-02-11
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10255	0.102392	-0.15%	0.09752	-4.90%	0.0205	✓	1.06	50k	2022-02-11
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	43,566.60	43,498.44	-0.16%	42,347.70	-2.80%	0.0011	✓	0.97	41k	2022-02-11
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.2595	1.2575	-0.16%	1.1623	-7.72%	0.0511	✓	1.04	260k	2022-02-11
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	11.41	11.3912	-0.17%	10.65	-6.66%	0.0320	✓	1.33	12.5M	2022-02-11
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.88264	0.881131	-0.17%	0.82329	-6.72%	0.0284	✓	1.49	311k	2022-02-11
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04451	0.044432	-0.18%	0.04188	-5.91%	0.0294	✓	1.12	30k	2022-02-11
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1806	0.180272	-0.18%	0.1735	-3.93%	0.0193	✓	0.71	419k	2022-02-11
XEM	NEM	native	0.1139	0.113688	-0.19%	0.1086	-4.65%	0.0178	✓	1.05	35k	2022-02-11
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2095	1.2072	-0.19%	1.0976	-9.25%	0.0637	✓	1.19	2.3M	2022-02-11
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.9043	6.891	-0.19%	6.7399	-2.38%	0.0015	✓	0.89	4.1M	2022-02-11
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.5118	0.51081	-0.19%	0.4583	-10.45%	0.0692	✓	1.48	2.3M	2022-02-11
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	44.55	44.4632	-0.19%	43.46	-2.45%	0.0084	✗	1.18	32.3M	2022-02-11
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1515	1.1491	-0.20%	1.0803	-6.18%	0.0322	✓	1.11	117.8M	2022-02-11
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,074.85	3,068.19	-0.22%	2,929.08	-4.74%	0.0168	✓	1.11	557.7M	2022-02-11
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.59	2.5844	-0.22%	2.31	-10.81%	0.0872	✓	0.94	2.6M	2022-02-11
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.151631	0.151298	-0.22%	0.14485	-4.47%	0.0162	✓	1.03	7.1M	2022-02-11
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.6	10.5759	-0.23%	10.1	-4.72%	0.0273	✓	0.71	660k	2022-02-11
SOL	Solana	Solana	106.25	106.0026	-0.23%	96.5	-9.18%	0.0609	✓	1.24	179.7M	2022-02-11
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	9.7	9.6773	-0.23%	8.92	-8.04%	0.0471	✓	1.29	2.6M	2022-02-11
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	341.1	340.3015	-0.23%	321.01	-5.89%	0.0313	✓	1.02	8.9M	2022-02-11
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	16.26	16.2207	-0.24%	14.96	-8.00%	0.0532	✓	1.04	576k	2022-02-11
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03045	0.030374	-0.25%	0.03298	+8.31%	0.1059	✗	0.89	6.4M	2022-02-11
XEC	eCash	native	0.0000925	0.00009227	-0.25%	0.00008391	-9.29%	0.0644	✓	1.15	5.6M	2022-02-11
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.719	1.7145	-0.26%	1.637	-4.77%	0.0156	✓	1.15	1.6M	2022-02-11
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05799	0.057835	-0.27%	0.05622	-3.05%	0.0096	✗	1.43	1.2M	2022-02-11
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	20.51	20.4535	-0.28%	18.99	-7.41%	0.0383	✓	1.35	36.9M	2022-02-11
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	63.35	63.1755	-0.28%	59.07	-6.76%	0.0347	✓	1.22	8.8M	2022-02-11
ZEN	Horizen	Base	45.02	44.8957	-0.28%	40.36	-10.35%	0.0656	✓	1.54	461k	2022-02-11
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.8836	1.8783	-0.28%	1.7756	-5.73%	0.0268	✓	1.11	79k	2022-02-11
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.068608	0.068414	-0.28%	0.063958	-6.78%	0.0435	✓	0.90	362k	2022-02-11
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4615	0.460175	-0.29%	0.4181	-9.40%	0.0609	✓	1.32	9.1M	2022-02-11
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		98.35	98.0654	-0.29%	94.64	-3.77%	0.0115	✓	0.90	1.3M	2022-02-11
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.3689	2.362	-0.29%	2.1819	-7.89%	0.0478	✓	1.19	791k	2022-02-11
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	52.32	52.1676	-0.29%	50.35	-3.77%	0.0025	✓	1.43	8.4M	2022-02-11
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.076	0.075778	-0.29%	0.072	-5.26%	0.0221	✓	1.09	20k	2022-02-11
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.756	7.7329	-0.30%	7.219	-6.92%	0.0418	✓	1.02	407k	2022-02-11
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01138	0.011346	-0.30%	0.01056	-7.21%	0.0449	✓	1.01	572k	2022-02-11
HIVE	Hive	native	1.1096	1.1062	-0.30%	1.074	-3.21%	0.0093	✗	1.46	1.9M	2022-02-11
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	134.59	134.1734	-0.31%	125.69	-6.61%	0.0307	✓	1.30	34.8M	2022-02-11
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9822	0.979141	-0.31%	0.9169	-6.65%	0.0363	✓	1.11	29.2M	2022-02-11
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.821	2.8121	-0.31%	2.754	-2.38%	0.0153	✗	1.36	1.1M	2022-02-11
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.07	2.0633	-0.32%	1.99	-3.86%	0.0046	✓	1.19	1.6M	2022-02-11
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.505	2.4968	-0.33%	2.354	-6.03%	0.0308	✓	1.06	22k	2022-02-11
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.845	0.842108	-0.34%	0.771	-8.76%	0.0594	✓	1.08	1.7M	2022-02-11
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.466	6.4436	-0.35%	6.01	-7.05%	0.0455	✓	0.91	73k	2022-02-11
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6038	0.601711	-0.35%	0.5696	-5.66%	0.0200	✓	1.31	2.7M	2022-02-11
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.9	3.8865	-0.35%	4.25	+8.97%	0.1232	✗	1.27	1.9M	2022-02-11
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.84	6.8161	-0.35%	6.47	-5.41%	0.0286	✓	0.89	416k	2022-02-11
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	140.08	139.5889	-0.35%	129.51	-7.55%	0.0482	✓	1.01	7.6M	2022-02-11
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.61	4.5938	-0.35%	4.453	-3.41%	0.0089	✓	0.84	346k	2022-02-11
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.323	1.3183	-0.35%	1.257	-4.99%	0.0145	✓	1.25	3.2M	2022-02-11
DASH	Dash	Dash	111.66	111.2541	-0.36%	103.99	-6.87%	0.0375	✓	1.13	2.2M	2022-02-11
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2242	0.223373	-0.37%	0.2056	-8.30%	0.0455	✓	1.41	3.9M	2022-02-11
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	18.94	18.8692	-0.37%	17.24	-8.98%	0.0441	✓	1.74	3.8M	2022-02-11
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.5527	3.5394	-0.37%	3.4051	-4.15%	0.0091	✓	1.11	2.5M	2022-02-11
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.06	27.9547	-0.38%	28.06	+0.00%	0.0294	✗	0.97	619k	2022-02-11
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3045	0.303348	-0.38%	0.2842	-6.67%	0.0356	✓	1.11	538k	2022-02-11
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2774	0.276338	-0.38%	0.2594	-6.49%	0.0344	✓	1.09	1.6M	2022-02-11
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	34.39	34.2582	-0.38%	32.74	-4.80%	0.0173	✓	1.05	4.3M	2022-02-11
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.029	1.0249	-0.40%	0.96	-6.71%	0.0289	✓	1.37	2.3M	2022-02-11
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.67	7.639	-0.40%	7.7	+0.39%	0.0163	✗	0.32	1.0M	2022-02-11
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	179.15	178.4084	-0.41%	165.1	-7.84%	0.0454	✓	1.21	1.0M	2022-02-11
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01369	0.013633	-0.42%	0.01359	-0.73%	0.0177	✗	0.78	13k	2022-02-11
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.75	5.7241	-0.45%	5.47	-4.87%	0.0245	✓	0.79	377k	2022-02-11
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.0692	5.0461	-0.46%	4.7016	-7.25%	0.0385	✓	1.21	442k	2022-02-11
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	91.18	90.7638	-0.46%	81.81	-10.28%	0.0683	✓	1.34	89.7M	2022-02-11
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.241	3.2261	-0.46%	3.154	-2.68%	0.0011	✓	0.81	206k	2022-02-11
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.86	6.8274	-0.47%	6.24	-9.04%	0.0684	✓	0.81	463k	2022-02-11
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	17.51	17.4262	-0.48%	16.22	-7.37%	0.0399	✓	1.20	75.4M	2022-02-11
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	18.01	17.9236	-0.48%	16.98	-5.72%	0.0355	✓	0.70	919k	2022-02-11
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1649	0.164108	-0.48%	0.1566	-5.03%	0.0192	✓	1.04	430k	2022-02-11
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.1425	7.108	-0.48%	6.5603	-8.15%	0.0419	✓	1.44	156k	2022-02-11
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.654	3.6359	-0.50%	3.6	-1.48%	0.0158	✗	0.97	2.2M	2022-02-11
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1163	0.115721	-0.50%	0.1086	-6.62%	0.0221	✓	1.56	1.5M	2022-02-11
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.1401	3.1242	-0.51%	2.9222	-6.94%	0.0406	✓	0.99	3.0M	2022-02-11
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00696	0.006925	-0.51%	0.0062	-10.92%	0.0573	✓	2.00	19.6M	2022-02-11
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.2098	0.208724	-0.51%	0.18907	-9.88%	0.0564	✓	1.60	40k	2022-02-11
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.7	2.6858	-0.52%	2.58	-4.44%	0.0131	✓	1.02	474k	2022-02-11
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.987	1.9765	-0.53%	1.833	-7.75%	0.0409	✓	1.30	1.2M	2022-02-11
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.408	0.405839	-0.53%	0.375	-8.09%	0.0432	✓	1.35	1.9M	2022-02-11
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	6.43	6.3956	-0.53%	5.99	-6.84%	0.0360	✓	1.11	689k	2022-02-11
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5753	0.572197	-0.54%	0.5956	+3.53%	0.0686	✗	1.07	1.1M	2022-02-11
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	132.68	131.9601	-0.54%	124.54	-6.14%	0.0239	✓	1.28	65k	2022-02-11
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.69	5.6591	-0.54%	5.4	-5.10%	0.0193	✓	1.04	755k	2022-02-11
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.281	0.279456	-0.55%	0.301	+7.12%	0.0997	✗	0.96	70k	2022-02-11
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0397	0.03948	-0.55%	0.03653	-7.98%	0.0482	✓	1.11	9.2M	2022-02-11
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		8.495	8.4478	-0.56%	7.923	-6.73%	0.0551	✓	0.34	38k	2022-02-11
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.8	1.79	-0.56%	1.71	-5.00%	0.0123	✓	1.26	1.5M	2022-02-11
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.76	2.744	-0.58%	2.54	-7.97%	0.0432	✓	1.28	401k	2022-02-11
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	33.86	33.6622	-0.58%	29.96	-11.52%	0.0767	✓	1.50	2.0M	2022-02-11
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.874	1.863	-0.58%	1.9151	+2.19%	0.0441	✗	0.62	2.8M	2022-02-11
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.0404	1.0342	-0.59%	0.9345	-10.18%	0.0604	✓	1.54	637k	2022-02-11
XVG	Verge	native	0.01219	0.012115	-0.62%	0.01151	-5.58%	0.0148	✓	1.37	1.3M	2022-02-11
STX	Stacks	native	1.62	1.6099	-0.62%	1.51	-6.79%	0.0375	✓	1.00	1.2M	2022-02-11
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	29.1	28.9175	-0.63%	26.56	-8.73%	0.0554	✓	1.12	88.1M	2022-02-11
ORCA	Orca	Solana	3.39	3.3681	-0.65%	3.11	-8.26%	0.0532	✓	1.00	2.0M	2022-02-11
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	23.14	22.9872	-0.66%	21.09	-8.86%	0.0544	✓	1.20	10.5M	2022-02-11
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	24,454.91	24,292.06	-0.67%	23,115.13	-5.48%	0.0244	✓	0.95	9.7M	2022-02-11
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.16	2.1454	-0.68%	2.07	-4.17%	0.0012	✓	1.30	2.2M	2022-02-11
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.48	4.4497	-0.68%	3.97	-11.38%	0.1063	✓	0.29	1.6M	2022-02-11
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.23	5.1945	-0.68%	4.9	-6.31%	0.0256	✓	1.23	2.6M	2022-02-11
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	124.85	123.9882	-0.69%	116.54	-6.66%	0.0286	✓	1.26	7.1M	2022-02-11
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	6.1336	6.0912	-0.69%	6.1868	+0.87%	0.0238	✗	0.31	420k	2022-02-11
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.01	1.003	-0.69%	0.96	-4.95%	0.0173	✓	1.00	284k	2022-02-11
XMR	Monero	Monero	179.36	178.0957	-0.70%	169.21	-5.66%	0.0235	✓	1.04	1.5M	2022-02-11
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5138	0.510152	-0.71%	0.4503	-12.36%	0.0770	✓	1.80	39.0M	2022-02-11
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.28	6.2351	-0.72%	5.96	-5.10%	0.0192	✓	0.97	1.9M	2022-02-11
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1482	0.147133	-0.72%	0.149	+0.54%	0.0488	✗	1.36	3.2M	2022-02-11
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000223	0.000002214	-0.72%	0.00000216	-3.14%	0.0019	✓	1.00	14.9M	2022-02-11
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.023319	0.023148	-0.73%	0.022611	-3.04%	0.0087	✗	1.21	2.5M	2022-02-11
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.3202	1.3104	-0.74%	1.1483	-13.02%	0.0909	✓	1.55	109k	2022-02-11
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	23.69	23.5107	-0.76%	22.36	-5.61%	0.0083	✓	1.57	397k	2022-02-11
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.1273	4.0952	-0.78%	4.3129	+4.50%	0.0869	✗	1.32	2.4M	2022-02-11
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01337	0.013265	-0.78%	0.01244	-6.96%	0.0239	✓	1.52	1.7M	2022-02-11
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003081	0.000030568	-0.78%	0.00002872	-6.78%	0.0249	✓	1.41	1.7M	2022-02-11
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.017169	0.017034	-0.79%	0.015872	-7.55%	0.0396	✓	1.17	1.1M	2022-02-11
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	175.4	174.0131	-0.79%	163.71	-6.66%	0.0238	✓	1.40	9.5M	2022-02-11
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.5386	3.5105	-0.80%	3.5941	+1.57%	0.0472	✗	0.89	30k	2022-02-11
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.7205	0.714721	-0.80%	0.6537	-9.27%	0.0485	✓	1.53	849k	2022-02-11
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.562	0.557464	-0.81%	0.52	-7.47%	0.0314	✓	1.44	4.9M	2022-02-11
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.584	3.555	-0.81%	3.29	-8.20%	0.0542	✓	0.87	533k	2022-02-11
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.22	1.2099	-0.83%	1.1	-9.84%	0.0587	✓	1.37	589k	2022-02-11
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	8.52	8.449	-0.83%	7.97	-6.46%	0.0488	✓	0.36	1.7M	2022-02-11
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.124	0.122952	-0.85%	0.117	-5.65%	0.0231	✓	1.00	72k	2022-02-11
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.9488	0.940281	-0.90%	0.8754	-7.74%	0.0436	✓	1.05	13.5M	2022-02-11
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.2	3.1702	-0.93%	2.89	-9.69%	0.0554	✓	1.40	20.5M	2022-02-11
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1	0.990094	-0.99%	0.92	-8.00%	0.0216	✓	1.95	1.1M	2022-02-11
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0744	0.073639	-1.02%	0.0654	-12.10%	0.0732	✓	1.71	31.3M	2022-02-11
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.050395	0.049827	-1.13%	0.047719	-5.31%	0.0110	✓	1.21	8.8M	2022-02-11
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	21.59	21.3448	-1.14%	19.82	-8.20%	0.0434	✓	1.16	26.1M	2022-02-11
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.07	2.0459	-1.16%	1.95	-5.80%	0.0112	✓	1.39	3.0M	2022-02-11
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.035501	0.035057	-1.25%	0.032124	-9.51%	0.0535	✓	1.27	112k	2022-02-11
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.41	4.3514	-1.33%	4.09	-7.26%	0.0255	✓	1.37	8.0M	2022-02-11
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	94.3677	93.0208	-1.43%	84.8321	-10.10%	0.0541	✓	1.43	320k	2022-02-11
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.64	2.5977	-1.60%	2.28	-13.64%	0.1039	✓	1.00	1.7M	2022-02-11
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.3101	1.2877	-1.71%	1.2269	-6.35%	0.0218	✓	1.00	1.9M	2022-02-11
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.908	2.8576	-1.73%	2.551	-12.28%	0.0869	✓	1.00	68k	2022-02-11
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.035	0.034383	-1.76%	0.0319	-8.86%	0.0355	✓	1.49	490k	2022-02-11
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.1041	0.102243	-1.78%	0.0869	-16.52%	0.1267	✓	1.35	555k	2022-02-11
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04637	0.045497	-1.88%	0.05111	+10.22%	0.1429	✗	1.00	4.9M	2022-02-11
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.6635	0.649452	-2.12%	0.6358	-4.17%	0.0283	✗	1.86	1.8M	2022-02-11
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	5.533	5.4095	-2.23%	5.157	-6.80%	0.0238	✓	0.90	1.0M	2022-02-11

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.