2022-02-06 · +1d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 148 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2357

148 of 148 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+2.41%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

50.7%

in alpha space · 6.8% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+3.43%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (148 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.5826	0.567789	-2.54%	0.6483	+11.28%	0.0714	✗	1.82	1.8M	2022-02-07
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	6.143	6.0025	-2.29%	6.287	+2.34%	0.0126	✓	1.00	1.4M	2022-02-07
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04888	0.048083	-1.63%	0.04778	-2.25%	0.0400	✓	1.00	5.3M	2022-02-07
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.3266	1.307	-1.48%	1.299	-2.08%	0.0398	✓	1.00	2.5M	2022-02-07
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0353	0.034782	-1.47%	0.0369	+4.53%	0.0076	✓	1.53	490k	2022-02-07
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.81	4.7427	-1.40%	4.96	+3.12%	0.0018	✓	1.38	8.3M	2022-02-07
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	91.4575	90.2496	-1.32%	105.8832	+15.77%	0.1128	✗	1.39	319k	2022-02-07
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	23.36	23.0525	-1.32%	24.04	+2.91%	0.0025	✓	1.17	26.9M	2022-02-07
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0929	0.091796	-1.19%	0.0901	-3.01%	0.0775	✓	1.75	26.7M	2022-02-07
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	24.65	24.3729	-1.12%	25.54	+3.61%	0.0063	✓	1.57	411k	2022-02-07
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.13	2.1073	-1.07%	2.2	+3.29%	0.0094	✓	1.00	1.8M	2022-02-07
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.17	2.1472	-1.05%	2.26	+4.15%	0.0052	✓	1.36	3.4M	2022-02-07
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.0000285	0.00002822	-0.98%	0.00003255	+14.21%	0.0972	✗	1.35	1.3M	2022-02-07
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.038392	0.038031	-0.94%	0.038389	-0.01%	0.0333	✓	1.27	117k	2022-02-07
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.127	0.12583	-0.92%	0.133	+4.72%	0.0217	✗	1.00	96k	2022-02-07
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	68.32	67.7048	-0.90%	68.32	+0.00%	0.0327	✓	1.24	7.8M	2022-02-07
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.7752	0.768222	-0.90%	0.7902	+1.93%	0.0241	✓	1.55	1.1M	2022-02-07
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.39	3.3597	-0.89%	3.56	+5.01%	0.0103	✗	1.41	20.8M	2022-02-07
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.81	5.7601	-0.86%	5.9	+1.55%	0.0181	✓	1.25	2.7M	2022-02-07
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.4668	3.4371	-0.86%	3.7993	+9.59%	0.0711	✗	0.86	26k	2022-02-07
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	8.58	8.5077	-0.84%	9.06	+5.59%	0.0511	✗	0.35	1.6M	2022-02-07
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.0126	0.012496	-0.82%	0.01584	+25.71%	0.1894	✗	1.42	1.7M	2022-02-07
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.9592	0.951365	-0.82%	0.9985	+4.10%	0.0128	✗	1.05	13.5M	2022-02-07
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.22	1.21	-0.82%	1.24	+1.64%	0.0210	✓	1.35	490k	2022-02-07
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000228	0.000002262	-0.81%	0.00000235	+3.07%	0.0047	✓	1.00	14.9M	2022-02-07
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	124.6	123.6076	-0.80%	128.86	+3.42%	0.0017	✓	1.28	6.6M	2022-02-07
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.1222	1.1133	-0.80%	1.1664	+3.94%	0.0045	✓	1.52	672k	2022-02-07
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.241	2.2232	-0.80%	2.308	+2.99%	0.0038	✓	1.00	66k	2022-02-07
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.637	3.6087	-0.78%	3.76	+3.38%	0.0122	✗	0.86	649k	2022-02-07
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.556	0.551755	-0.76%	0.583	+4.86%	0.0064	✓	1.45	4.6M	2022-02-07
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	173.57	172.2765	-0.75%	182.29	+5.02%	0.0094	✗	1.40	10.2M	2022-02-07
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.23556	0.233807	-0.74%	0.22724	-3.53%	0.0832	✓	1.63	34k	2022-02-07
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.129	0.128093	-0.70%	0.1248	-3.26%	0.0799	✓	1.60	1.6M	2022-02-07
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.44	6.395	-0.70%	6.61	+2.64%	0.0007	✓	1.00	1.9M	2022-02-07
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.83	0.824249	-0.69%	0.95	+14.46%	0.0786	✗	1.88	996k	2022-02-07
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5305	0.526826	-0.69%	0.602	+13.48%	0.0732	✗	1.79	42.5M	2022-02-07
STX	Stacks	native	1.68	1.6685	-0.68%	1.72	+2.38%	0.0033	✓	1.00	1.2M	2022-02-07
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.9256	3.8989	-0.68%	4.1408	+5.48%	0.0158	✗	1.32	2.3M	2022-02-07
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	140.8	139.8476	-0.68%	145.96	+3.66%	0.0006	✓	1.29	59k	2022-02-07
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.1073	1.0999	-0.67%	1.2268	+10.79%	0.0588	✗	1.50	103k	2022-02-07
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.18	2.1654	-0.67%	2.27	+4.13%	0.0030	✓	1.31	2.2M	2022-02-07
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.01	1.0033	-0.66%	1.07	+5.94%	0.0307	✗	1.00	298k	2022-02-07
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.3003	3.2786	-0.66%	3.2878	-0.38%	0.0306	✓	0.99	2.8M	2022-02-07
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	2.076	2.0626	-0.64%	1.9987	-3.72%	0.0537	✓	0.66	3.2M	2022-02-07
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.0878	5.0554	-0.64%	4.8233	-5.20%	0.0565	✓	0.28	376k	2022-02-07
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.04	3.0207	-0.63%	3.09	+1.64%	0.0190	✓	1.24	407k	2022-02-07
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.016835	0.016729	-0.63%	0.01721	+2.23%	0.0118	✓	1.19	2.3M	2022-02-07
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	195.98	194.7639	-0.62%	198.23	+1.15%	0.0237	✓	1.23	1.0M	2022-02-07
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	31.31	31.1167	-0.62%	31.63	+1.02%	0.0223	✓	1.15	103.8M	2022-02-07
XMR	Monero	Monero	173.8	172.7323	-0.61%	185.08	+6.49%	0.0341	✗	1.04	1.6M	2022-02-07
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	6.91	6.8682	-0.61%	7.38	+6.80%	0.0376	✗	1.02	818k	2022-02-07
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	24,634.41	24,493.62	-0.57%	26,559.72	+7.82%	0.0494	✗	0.94	12.3M	2022-02-07
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.232	0.230686	-0.57%	0.2345	+1.08%	0.0304	✓	1.39	3.6M	2022-02-07
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.063	2.0514	-0.56%	2.094	+1.50%	0.0232	✓	1.30	1.2M	2022-02-07
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6191	0.61571	-0.55%	0.6257	+1.07%	0.0204	✓	1.08	1.4M	2022-02-07
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.039748	0.039532	-0.54%	0.042745	+7.54%	0.0392	✗	1.15	8.4M	2022-02-07
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.73	2.7155	-0.53%	2.82	+3.30%	0.0037	✓	1.01	542k	2022-02-07
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0712	0.070825	-0.53%	0.0915	+28.51%	0.2122	✗	1.30	540k	2022-02-07
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.27	0.268613	-0.51%	0.285	+5.56%	0.0271	✗	0.95	67k	2022-02-07
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.007	0.006964	-0.51%	0.00701	+0.14%	0.0616	✓	2.02	20.0M	2022-02-07
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3194	0.317804	-0.50%	0.3267	+2.29%	0.0103	✓	1.13	533k	2022-02-07
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.79	5.7611	-0.50%	6	+3.63%	0.0053	✗	1.05	802k	2022-02-07
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	22.46	22.3497	-0.49%	24.52	+9.17%	0.0532	✗	1.17	10.4M	2022-02-07
HIVE	Hive	native	1.2177	1.2118	-0.49%	1.2317	+1.15%	0.0336	✓	1.48	1.9M	2022-02-07
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.86	1.8509	-0.49%	1.93	+3.76%	0.0008	✓	1.27	1.8M	2022-02-07
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	18.06	17.9737	-0.48%	18.88	+4.54%	0.0096	✗	1.18	76.9M	2022-02-07
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		8.466	8.4255	-0.48%	8.971	+5.97%	0.0516	✗	0.33	39k	2022-02-07
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	27.86	27.7305	-0.46%	28.02	+0.57%	0.0227	✓	0.98	513k	2022-02-07
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.154	0.153305	-0.45%	0.1593	+3.44%	0.0036	✓	1.03	337k	2022-02-07
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.489	1.4823	-0.45%	1.495	+0.40%	0.0347	✓	1.28	3.4M	2022-02-07
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.1257	7.0938	-0.45%	7.4703	+4.84%	0.0026	✓	1.46	156k	2022-02-07
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	31.33	31.1924	-0.44%	32.06	+2.33%	0.0219	✓	1.47	2.0M	2022-02-07
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	16.28	16.2099	-0.43%	16.23	-0.31%	0.0224	✓	0.70	908k	2022-02-07
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	20.86	20.7724	-0.42%	21.81	+4.55%	0.0095	✓	1.73	3.8M	2022-02-07
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.583	2.5722	-0.42%	2.656	+2.83%	0.0040	✓	1.07	22k	2022-02-07
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.1636	5.1422	-0.41%	5.4029	+4.63%	0.0079	✗	1.23	406k	2022-02-07
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.2472	3.2339	-0.41%	3.4602	+6.56%	0.0362	✗	0.93	2.0M	2022-02-07
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0408	0.040637	-0.40%	0.04107	+0.66%	0.0267	✓	1.11	9.0M	2022-02-07
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.02203	0.021943	-0.40%	0.023054	+4.65%	0.0087	✗	1.21	2.5M	2022-02-07
ZEN	Horizen	Base	47.49	47.3027	-0.39%	48.2	+1.50%	0.0340	✓	1.57	531k	2022-02-07
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.261	3.2482	-0.39%	3.306	+1.38%	0.0096	✓	0.81	206k	2022-02-07
XVG	Verge	native	0.01152	0.011475	-0.39%	0.01222	+6.08%	0.0188	✗	1.31	1.3M	2022-02-07
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	56.13	55.915	-0.38%	59.48	+5.97%	0.0145	✗	1.40	8.4M	2022-02-07
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.131	0.130516	-0.37%	0.1382	+5.50%	0.0109	✗	1.38	3.2M	2022-02-07
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.292	7.2651	-0.37%	7.753	+6.32%	0.0309	✗	1.01	341k	2022-02-07
DASH	Dash	Dash	108.83	108.4324	-0.37%	115.9	+6.50%	0.0285	✗	1.13	2.5M	2022-02-07
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	135.95	135.458	-0.36%	154.1	+13.35%	0.0963	✗	0.97	7.5M	2022-02-07
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.0259	1.0223	-0.35%	1.0706	+4.36%	0.0094	✗	1.09	29.2M	2022-02-07
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.016	1.0124	-0.35%	1.073	+5.61%	0.0116	✗	1.38	2.3M	2022-02-07
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.533	4.5171	-0.35%	4.576	+0.95%	0.0152	✓	0.84	351k	2022-02-07
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.63	3.6176	-0.34%	3.79	+4.41%	0.0366	✗	0.30	1.5M	2022-02-07
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	21.91	21.8355	-0.34%	22.37	+2.10%	0.0220	✓	1.37	41.9M	2022-02-07
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.33	2.3221	-0.34%	2.38	+2.15%	0.0155	✓	1.19	2.3M	2022-02-07
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	46.65	46.4949	-0.33%	47.22	+1.22%	0.0245	✓	1.19	33.0M	2022-02-07
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.97	3.9568	-0.33%	4.06	+2.27%	0.0173	✓	1.28	2.0M	2022-02-07
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.784	2.7752	-0.32%	2.945	+5.78%	0.0146	✗	1.33	911k	2022-02-07
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0768	0.07656	-0.31%	0.079	+2.86%	0.0056	✓	1.10	21k	2022-02-07
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.8521	1.8463	-0.31%	1.9231	+3.84%	0.0034	✗	1.11	72k	2022-02-07
SC	Siacoin	native	0.0116	0.011565	-0.30%	0.01211	+4.40%	0.0119	✗	1.01	550k	2022-02-07
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03208	0.031983	-0.30%	0.03323	+3.58%	0.0081	✗	0.89	7.4M	2022-02-07
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.5	6.4804	-0.30%	6.65	+2.31%	0.0011	✓	0.80	441k	2022-02-07
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.778	1.7727	-0.30%	1.868	+5.06%	0.0133	✗	1.16	1.5M	2022-02-07
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1904	0.189859	-0.28%	0.1916	+0.63%	0.0153	✓	0.72	423k	2022-02-07
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01348	0.013442	-0.28%	0.01354	+0.45%	0.0205	✓	0.82	13k	2022-02-07
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.94262	0.940003	-0.28%	0.96686	+2.57%	0.0226	✓	1.51	334k	2022-02-07
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05974	0.059577	-0.27%	0.06292	+5.32%	0.0064	✗	1.43	1.5M	2022-02-07
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.08812	0.087883	-0.27%	0.08985	+1.96%	0.0043	✓	0.78	86k	2022-02-07
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5976	0.596014	-0.27%	0.6374	+6.66%	0.0231	✗	1.31	2.6M	2022-02-07
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.473	0.471758	-0.26%	0.5065	+7.08%	0.0265	✗	1.32	9.3M	2022-02-07
GT	Gate	Ethereum	7.1624	7.1438	-0.26%	7.3085	+2.04%	0.0072	✓	0.89	4.0M	2022-02-07
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.1538	0.153404	-0.26%	0.165291	+7.47%	0.0401	✗	1.03	7.1M	2022-02-07
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,058.22	3,050.76	-0.24%	3,141.89	+2.74%	0.0079	✓	1.11	544.5M	2022-02-07
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.066256	0.066101	-0.23%	0.068517	+3.41%	0.0055	✗	0.90	362k	2022-02-07
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.64	6.6247	-0.23%	6.79	+2.26%	0.0048	✓	0.88	444k	2022-02-07
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	127.68	127.3885	-0.23%	137.43	+7.64%	0.0330	✗	1.27	30.6M	2022-02-07
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.3479	1.3448	-0.23%	1.3981	+3.73%	0.0036	✗	1.05	326k	2022-02-07
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.311	0.310295	-0.23%	0.3247	+4.41%	0.0074	✓	1.57	4.1M	2022-02-07
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1436	1.141	-0.23%	1.1991	+4.85%	0.0121	✗	1.11	108.7M	2022-02-07
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	41,902.90	41,808.50	-0.23%	43,893.50	+4.75%	0.0163	✗	0.96	36k	2022-02-07
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	324.8	324.0849	-0.22%	343.12	+5.64%	0.0229	✗	1.02	6.8M	2022-02-07
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10107	0.10085	-0.22%	0.10441	+3.30%	0.0007	✓	1.05	47k	2022-02-07
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		98.65	98.4354	-0.22%	101.78	+3.17%	0.0027	✗	0.91	1.5M	2022-02-07
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2607	0.260133	-0.22%	0.2714	+4.10%	0.0078	✗	1.03	1.7M	2022-02-07
XEM	NEM	native	0.1121	0.111859	-0.21%	0.1175	+4.82%	0.0139	✗	1.05	35k	2022-02-07
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.82	2.814	-0.21%	2.86	+1.42%	0.0151	✓	0.93	2.3M	2022-02-07
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	79.05	78.883	-0.21%	83.23	+5.29%	0.0084	✗	1.34	85.1M	2022-02-07
SOL	Solana	Solana	115.32	115.0774	-0.21%	117.62	+1.99%	0.0201	✓	1.25	181.0M	2022-02-07
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.46	5.4486	-0.21%	5.62	+2.93%	0.0051	✗	0.77	356k	2022-02-07
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04503	0.044936	-0.21%	0.04657	+3.42%	0.0022	✓	1.13	29k	2022-02-07
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.279	6.266	-0.21%	6.962	+10.88%	0.0756	✗	0.88	81k	2022-02-07
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.816	0.814354	-0.20%	0.854	+4.66%	0.0107	✗	1.09	1.6M	2022-02-07
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	15.56	15.5291	-0.20%	16.8	+7.97%	0.0440	✗	1.03	616k	2022-02-07
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.26	10.2399	-0.20%	10.4	+1.36%	0.0081	✓	0.70	627k	2022-02-07
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	11.7	11.6771	-0.20%	12.38	+5.81%	0.0142	✗	1.31	12.2M	2022-02-07
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.25	7.2366	-0.19%	7.41	+2.21%	0.0129	✗	0.32	1.1M	2022-02-07
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.4089	3.4026	-0.18%	3.5646	+4.57%	0.0093	✗	1.10	2.5M	2022-02-07
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.367	0.366331	-0.18%	0.384	+4.63%	0.0024	✗	1.33	1.7M	2022-02-07
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	42,415.16	42,339.07	-0.18%	43,868.07	+3.43%	0.0018	✓	1.00	638.9M	2022-02-07
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.5074	0.506497	-0.18%	0.535	+5.44%	0.0064	✗	1.43	2.0M	2022-02-07
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.197	1.195	-0.17%	1.3002	+8.62%	0.0445	✗	1.19	2.3M	2022-02-07
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	29.89	29.8404	-0.17%	32.66	+9.27%	0.0552	✗	1.04	3.5M	2022-02-07
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.001	19.9685	-0.16%	20.309	+1.54%	0.0286	✓	1.35	10.4M	2022-02-07
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.659906	0.658862	-0.16%	0.67955	+2.98%	0.0082	✓	1.16	3.3M	2022-02-07
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.2381	2.235	-0.14%	2.3627	+5.57%	0.0162	✗	1.17	845k	2022-02-07
XEC	eCash	native	0.00008613	0.000086011	-0.14%	0.00009007	+4.57%	0.0077	✗	1.14	5.4M	2022-02-07
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.223926	0.223668	-0.12%	0.239623	+7.01%	0.0346	✗	1.02	24.4M	2022-02-07
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0894	0.089345	-0.06%	0.0948	+6.04%	0.0183	✗	1.22	244k	2022-02-07
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.91	8.9055	-0.05%	10.33	+15.94%	0.1058	✗	1.27	2.3M	2022-02-07

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.