2022-01-25 · +1d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 143 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.0462

143 of 143 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+1.92%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

54.5%

in alpha space · 51.8% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-0.38%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (143 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4433	0.446848	+0.80%	0.4593	+3.61%	0.0334	✓	1.57	2.2M	2022-01-26
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	77.9071	78.4455	+0.69%	78.4855	+0.74%	0.0052	✓	1.24	465k	2022-01-26
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.94	1.9519	+0.61%	1.91	-1.55%	0.0162	✗	1.46	5.7M	2022-01-26
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	20.06	20.1809	+0.60%	19.86	-1.00%	0.0112	✗	1.27	34.9M	2022-01-26
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	18.16	18.2682	+0.60%	19.28	+6.17%	0.0584	✓	1.19	14.0M	2022-01-26
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	4.9	4.9279	+0.57%	5.05	+3.06%	0.0282	✓	0.99	1.1M	2022-01-26
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5734	0.576462	+0.53%	0.5576	-2.76%	0.0275	✗	1.53	1.4M	2022-01-26
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.54	5.5689	+0.52%	5.64	+1.81%	0.0163	✓	0.96	960k	2022-01-26
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.54	4.5629	+0.50%	4.26	-6.17%	0.0635	✗	1.37	13.2M	2022-01-26
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0337	0.033867	+0.50%	0.034	+0.89%	0.0094	✓	1.47	931k	2022-01-26
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.59	10.6398	+0.47%	10.58	-0.09%	0.0006	✓	1.32	12.5M	2022-01-26
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00833	0.008367	+0.45%	0.0078	-6.36%	0.0611	✗	2.41	21.3M	2022-01-26
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	90.46	90.8381	+0.42%	89.84	-0.69%	0.0060	✗	1.33	7.8M	2022-01-26
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.81	0.813324	+0.41%	0.8	-1.23%	0.0106	✗	1.58	556k	2022-01-26
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.49	15.5515	+0.40%	15.24	-1.61%	0.0157	✗	1.21	79.0M	2022-01-26
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.89	6.9167	+0.39%	7.03	+2.03%	0.0175	✓	0.33	2.4M	2022-01-26
DASH	Dash	Dash	89.59	89.9249	+0.37%	93.16	+3.98%	0.0398	✓	1.18	3.0M	2022-01-26
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.038883	0.039025	+0.36%	0.041779	+7.45%	0.0731	✓	1.31	10.8M	2022-01-26
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	16.59	16.6495	+0.36%	17.02	+2.59%	0.0289	✓	1.81	3.9M	2022-01-26
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.04	0.040134	+0.34%	0.0439	+9.75%	0.0972	✓	1.99	22.4M	2022-01-26
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	127.15	127.575	+0.33%	125.05	-1.65%	0.0152	✗	1.28	80k	2022-01-26
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04882	0.048982	+0.33%	0.0491	+0.57%	0.0082	✓	1.54	1.9M	2022-01-26
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.01	3.0197	+0.32%	2.87	-4.65%	0.0456	✗	1.39	27.8M	2022-01-26
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.322	0.323028	+0.32%	0.322	+0.00%	0.0022	✓	1.42	1.6M	2022-01-26
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.883	6.9044	+0.31%	6.982	+1.44%	0.0122	✓	0.28	38k	2022-01-26
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.13	8.1552	+0.31%	7.92	-2.58%	0.0244	✗	1.28	3.0M	2022-01-26
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	152.06	152.4972	+0.29%	146.64	-3.56%	0.0341	✗	1.33	15.1M	2022-01-26
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.0136	1.0165	+0.28%	1.068	+5.37%	0.0532	✓	0.99	402k	2022-01-26
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	18.99	19.039	+0.26%	18.91	-0.42%	0.0010	✓	1.55	891k	2022-01-26
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.12	6.1358	+0.26%	6.13	+0.16%	0.0001	✓	0.21	1.2M	2022-01-26
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	13.07	13.1029	+0.25%	13	-0.54%	0.0040	✗	1.02	886k	2022-01-26
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.76	1.7644	+0.25%	1.73	-1.70%	0.0146	✗	1.36	3.1M	2022-01-26
ZEN	Horizen	Base	34.97	35.0491	+0.23%	36.62	+4.72%	0.0497	✓	1.55	626k	2022-01-26
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.92	5.9334	+0.23%	5.87	-0.84%	0.0068	✗	1.06	2.9M	2022-01-26
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.35	2.3553	+0.22%	3	+27.66%	0.2478	✓	1.55	2.2M	2022-01-26
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.502	0.503124	+0.22%	0.501	-0.20%	0.0016	✓	1.54	7.3M	2022-01-26
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	23.69	23.74	+0.21%	24.1	+1.73%	0.0213	✓	1.65	2.7M	2022-01-26
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06302	0.06315	+0.21%	0.06885	+9.25%	0.0895	✓	0.82	60k	2022-01-26
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	24,507.83	24,558.37	+0.21%	24,190.20	-1.30%	0.0116	✗	0.92	20.9M	2022-01-26
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.243	0.243497	+0.20%	0.247	+1.65%	0.0179	✓	0.95	70k	2022-01-26
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	103.44	103.6507	+0.20%	97.63	-5.62%	0.0560	✗	1.03	7.5M	2022-01-26
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.5	3.5071	+0.20%	3.44	-1.71%	0.0147	✗	1.21	2.4M	2022-01-26
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0566	0.056714	+0.20%	0.0645	+13.96%	0.1341	✓	1.45	605k	2022-01-26
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.852	0.85366	+0.19%	0.856	+0.47%	0.0079	✓	1.38	2.4M	2022-01-26
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9223	0.924051	+0.19%	0.9233	+0.11%	0.0035	✓	1.15	37.9M	2022-01-26
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1133	0.113514	+0.19%	0.1184	+4.50%	0.0472	✓	1.33	4.1M	2022-01-26
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02893	0.028982	+0.18%	0.02988	+3.28%	0.0341	✓	0.95	9.2M	2022-01-26
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	173.57	173.8805	+0.18%	165.32	-4.75%	0.0460	✗	1.18	1.3M	2022-01-26
HIVE	Hive	native	0.8391	0.84059	+0.18%	0.8673	+3.36%	0.0370	✓	1.50	3.5M	2022-01-26
XVG	Verge	native	0.00972	0.009737	+0.17%	0.00978	+0.62%	0.0095	✓	1.34	1.7M	2022-01-26
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.014419	0.014444	+0.17%	0.014587	+1.17%	0.0144	✓	1.20	2.7M	2022-01-26
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	2.9206	2.9256	+0.17%	2.9426	+0.75%	0.0110	✓	1.37	2.8M	2022-01-26
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1273	0.127503	+0.16%	0.115	-9.66%	0.0996	✗	0.95	337k	2022-01-26
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.33	2.3337	+0.16%	2.32	-0.43%	0.0020	✗	1.02	800k	2022-01-26
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2141	0.21441	+0.14%	0.2242	+4.72%	0.0488	✓	1.11	419k	2022-01-26
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.68	0.680975	+0.14%	0.67	-1.47%	0.0091	✗	1.89	1.2M	2022-01-26
SOL	Solana	Solana	94.76	94.8938	+0.14%	92.18	-2.72%	0.0245	✗	1.19	152.8M	2022-01-26
XMR	Monero	Monero	144.83	145.0239	+0.13%	148.42	+2.48%	0.0269	✓	1.01	2.4M	2022-01-26
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.32	2.3231	+0.13%	2.31	-0.43%	0.0012	✓	1.18	667k	2022-01-26
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.709	0.709934	+0.13%	0.746	+5.22%	0.0537	✓	1.11	2.0M	2022-01-26
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4145	0.415035	+0.13%	0.4047	-2.36%	0.0204	✗	1.27	10.9M	2022-01-26
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.532	1.5339	+0.13%	1.552	+1.31%	0.0167	✓	1.32	1.8M	2022-01-26
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.520192	0.520836	+0.12%	0.530813	+2.04%	0.0236	✓	1.23	3.2M	2022-01-26
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.196794	0.197035	+0.12%	0.196933	+0.07%	0.0034	✓	1.05	25.9M	2022-01-26
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2283	0.228551	+0.11%	0.235	+2.93%	0.0325	✓	1.24	1.9M	2022-01-26
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01045	0.010461	+0.11%	0.01035	-0.96%	0.0060	✗	1.24	2.3M	2022-01-26
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00946	0.00947	+0.10%	0.00956	+1.06%	0.0135	✓	1.07	641k	2022-01-26
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.91	4.9148	+0.10%	4.91	+0.00%	0.0017	✓	0.71	470k	2022-01-26
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.32	18.3376	+0.10%	18.05	-1.47%	0.0106	✗	1.38	58.5M	2022-01-26
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	20.45	20.4692	+0.09%	20.41	-0.20%	0.0001	✓	0.74	377k	2022-01-26
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	50.79	50.8373	+0.09%	49.62	-2.30%	0.0197	✗	1.21	7.1M	2022-01-26
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0592	0.059255	+0.09%	0.0618	+4.39%	0.0463	✓	1.12	21k	2022-01-26
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.04971	0.049755	+0.09%	0.0472	-5.05%	0.0477	✗	1.33	10.3M	2022-01-26
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002106	0.000021079	+0.09%	0.00002111	+0.24%	0.0068	✓	1.42	1.8M	2022-01-26
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1006	0.100678	+0.08%	0.0991	-1.49%	0.0102	✗	1.49	2.0M	2022-01-26
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1718	0.171927	+0.07%	0.1727	+0.52%	0.0098	✓	1.39	4.1M	2022-01-26
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8103	0.810853	+0.07%	0.8025	-0.96%	0.0062	✗	1.10	21.8M	2022-01-26
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.073	3.0751	+0.07%	3.038	-1.14%	0.0089	✗	0.86	1.0M	2022-01-26
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.6	5.6035	+0.06%	5.68	+1.43%	0.0167	✓	0.83	591k	2022-01-26
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.0337	1.0343	+0.06%	1.0722	+3.72%	0.0439	✓	2.09	1.1M	2022-01-26
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.5513	5.5539	+0.05%	5.5942	+0.77%	0.0127	✓	1.45	238k	2022-01-26
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,460.68	2,461.78	+0.04%	2,465.00	+0.18%	0.0056	✓	1.13	560.6M	2022-01-26
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	291.7	291.8296	+0.04%	289.23	-0.85%	0.0050	✗	1.05	8.5M	2022-01-26
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.425	1.4256	+0.04%	1.401	-1.68%	0.0129	✗	1.19	1.8M	2022-01-26
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.59	1.5906	+0.04%	1.63	+2.52%	0.0290	✓	1.19	2.5M	2022-01-26
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03703	0.03704	+0.03%	0.03832	+3.48%	0.0382	✓	1.13	28k	2022-01-26
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	36,572.80	36,581.55	+0.02%	36,316.90	-0.70%	0.0035	✗	1.01	53k	2022-01-26
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.907	2.9077	+0.02%	2.887	-0.69%	0.0042	✗	0.79	514k	2022-01-26
KCS	KuCoin	native	16.01	16.0131	+0.02%	16.167	+0.98%	0.0154	✓	1.55	10.9M	2022-01-26
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08097	0.080984	+0.02%	0.08331	+2.89%	0.0328	✓	1.19	45k	2022-01-26
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.0512	3.0517	+0.01%	3.0743	+0.76%	0.0115	✓	1.08	3.8M	2022-01-26
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.055872	0.05588	+0.01%	0.056164	+0.52%	0.0087	✓	0.95	501k	2022-01-26
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4382	0.438247	+0.01%	0.4503	+2.76%	0.0323	✓	1.37	2.6M	2022-01-26
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.59	5.5905	+0.01%	5.62	+0.54%	0.0082	✓	0.77	589k	2022-01-26
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.79477	0.794818	+0.01%	0.80993	+1.91%	0.0256	✓	1.78	698k	2022-01-26
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2593	0.259313	+0.00%	0.2561	-1.23%	0.0064	✗	1.60	4.3M	2022-01-26
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020821	0.020821	+0.00%	0.020906	+0.41%	0.0083	✓	1.13	3.6M	2022-01-26
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.142925	0.142927	+0.00%	0.143059	+0.09%	0.0052	✓	1.12	7.1M	2022-01-26
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.3437	2.3437	-0.00%	2.3802	+1.56%	0.0203	✗	1.27	791k	2022-01-26
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.1037	2.1036	-0.00%	2.1607	+2.71%	0.0311	✗	1.14	3.1M	2022-01-26
XEM	NEM	native	0.0957	0.095686	-0.01%	0.0977	+2.09%	0.0248	✗	1.06	41k	2022-01-26
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	0.99943	0.999254	-0.02%	1.0283	+2.89%	0.0335	✗	1.28	2.4M	2022-01-26
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	24.07	24.0656	-0.02%	24.34	+1.12%	0.0155	✗	1.09	3.8M	2022-01-26
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007213	0.000072106	-0.03%	0.00007183	-0.42%	0.0003	✗	1.10	6.1M	2022-01-26
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	68.08	68.0568	-0.03%	65.89	-3.22%	0.0274	✓	1.31	87.3M	2022-01-26
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	36,980.00	36,967.06	-0.03%	36,840.63	-0.38%	0.0003	✗	1.00	717.4M	2022-01-26
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.039	2.0382	-0.04%	2.086	+2.31%	0.0273	✗	1.10	23k	2022-01-26
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		90.34	90.3016	-0.04%	90.62	+0.31%	0.0071	✗	0.96	1.7M	2022-01-26
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0797	0.079665	-0.04%	0.0799	+0.25%	0.0076	✗	1.24	342k	2022-01-26
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1597	0.159616	-0.05%	0.1625	+1.75%	0.0205	✗	0.68	573k	2022-01-26
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	3.801	3.7986	-0.06%	3.788	-0.34%	0.0002	✓	0.78	408k	2022-01-26
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.043	1.0422	-0.08%	1.0784	+3.39%	0.0384	✗	1.13	110.9M	2022-01-26
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.28	4.2765	-0.08%	4.63	+8.18%	0.0842	✗	1.26	3.1M	2022-01-26
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01209	0.01208	-0.09%	0.01218	+0.74%	0.0116	✗	0.88	20k	2022-01-26
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.37	2.3678	-0.09%	2.3	-2.95%	0.0231	✓	1.56	2.6M	2022-01-26
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.052323	0.05227	-0.10%	0.052469	+0.28%	0.0076	✗	1.00	332k	2022-01-26
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.7009	1.6992	-0.10%	1.6506	-2.96%	0.0249	✓	1.10	94k	2022-01-26
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	107.9	107.7902	-0.10%	107	-0.83%	0.0023	✓	1.34	33.8M	2022-01-26
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.615	2.6118	-0.12%	2.541	-2.83%	0.0217	✓	1.53	1.1M	2022-01-26
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.2137	4.2083	-0.13%	4.2234	+0.23%	0.0082	✗	1.21	431k	2022-01-26
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.245	1.2434	-0.13%	1.333	+7.07%	0.0743	✗	1.26	3.6M	2022-01-26
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.05205	0.051982	-0.13%	0.05048	-3.02%	0.0255	✓	1.00	11.9M	2022-01-26
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.513	0.512314	-0.13%	0.5015	-2.24%	0.0163	✓	1.32	2.9M	2022-01-26
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.904	5.8959	-0.14%	5.876	-0.47%	0.0004	✓	0.99	320k	2022-01-26
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.6858	2.6821	-0.14%	2.6906	+0.18%	0.0070	✗	1.02	2.0M	2022-01-26
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	8.63	8.6175	-0.15%	8.86	+2.67%	0.0306	✗	0.74	768k	2022-01-26
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.525	3.5198	-0.15%	3.594	+1.96%	0.0209	✗	0.00	375k	2022-01-26
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5541	0.553239	-0.16%	0.6029	+8.81%	0.0930	✗	1.86	52.0M	2022-01-26
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	12.48	12.4606	-0.16%	12.63	+1.20%	0.0161	✗	0.68	806k	2022-01-26
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.4079	1.4056	-0.16%	1.2547	-10.88%	0.1098	✓	1.00	3.8M	2022-01-26
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	62.78	62.6616	-0.19%	58.8	-6.34%	0.0570	✓	1.75	8.2M	2022-01-26
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.296	6.2829	-0.21%	6.051	-3.89%	0.0345	✓	0.83	163k	2022-01-26
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.8609	2.8547	-0.22%	2.8665	+0.20%	0.0074	✗	0.87	3,820	2022-01-26
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	7.769	7.7509	-0.23%	7.333	-5.61%	0.0516	✓	1.00	1.6M	2022-01-26
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.523	0.521439	-0.30%	0.5301	+1.36%	0.0209	✗	1.16	2.1M	2022-01-26
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	36.46	36.3455	-0.31%	36.48	+0.05%	0.0082	✗	1.19	32.3M	2022-01-26
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.79	3.7772	-0.34%	3.78	-0.26%	0.0016	✓	0.23	486k	2022-01-26
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.4	2.3915	-0.35%	2.48	+3.33%	0.0401	✗	1.00	4.9M	2022-01-26
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.2549	6.229	-0.41%	6.3615	+1.70%	0.0247	✗	0.96	4.3M	2022-01-26
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8523	0.848415	-0.46%	0.8612	+1.04%	0.0207	✗	1.51	107k	2022-01-26
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	35.92	35.7065	-0.59%	32.35	-9.94%	0.0944	✓	1.15	120.6M	2022-01-26
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.16966	0.168525	-0.67%	0.16532	-2.56%	0.0133	✓	1.56	13k	2022-01-26
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.6576	1.644	-0.82%	1.7265	+4.16%	0.0521	✗	0.82	2.3M	2022-01-26

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.