2022-01-20 · +1d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 140 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

-0.0383

140 of 140 tokens assessed

long-short decile

-4.06%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

71.4%

in alpha space · 94.3% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-10.36%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (140 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.6721	0.67542	+0.49%	0.5186	-22.84%	0.1463	✗	1.08	2.5M	2022-01-21
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0529	0.052996	+0.18%	0.0417	-21.17%	0.1303	✗	1.00	23.9M	2022-01-21
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.0653	1.067	+0.16%	0.8678	-18.54%	0.0061	✓	1.94	1.2M	2022-01-21
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	5.81	5.8149	+0.09%	4.96	-14.63%	0.0167	✗	1.30	17.0M	2022-01-21
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	21.12	21.1367	+0.08%	17.88	-15.34%	0.0371	✓	1.87	4.1M	2022-01-21
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	14.49	14.4931	+0.02%	12.63	-12.84%	0.0071	✓	1.32	12.4M	2022-01-21
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	24.98	24.9797	-0.00%	24.19	-3.16%	0.1254	✗	1.44	34.3M	2022-01-21
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	162.17	162.1595	-0.01%	139.37	-14.06%	0.0215	✓	1.19	95k	2022-01-21
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	11.36	11.3584	-0.01%	9.94	-12.50%	0.0057	✓	1.17	2.9M	2022-01-21
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	26.19	26.1837	-0.02%	21.98	-16.07%	0.0533	✓	1.11	14.5M	2022-01-21
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	132.32	132.2821	-0.03%	114.44	-13.51%	0.0415	✓	0.94	6.7M	2022-01-21
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.11	1.1097	-0.03%	0.97	-12.61%	0.0491	✗	1.68	556k	2022-01-21
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01207	0.012063	-0.06%	0.0092	-23.78%	0.0102	✓	2.38	23.2M	2022-01-21
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0452	0.045168	-0.07%	0.0363	-19.69%	0.0681	✓	1.38	1.2M	2022-01-21
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	118.84	118.7456	-0.08%	102.35	-13.88%	0.0036	✓	1.33	8.4M	2022-01-21
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.679	1.6777	-0.08%	1.445	-13.94%	0.0210	✓	1.17	1.8M	2022-01-21
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1141	0.113995	-0.09%	0.0939	-17.70%	0.0525	✓	1.29	2.0M	2022-01-21
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	6.89	6.8834	-0.10%	5.68	-17.56%	0.0952	✓	0.89	1.0M	2022-01-21
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03533	0.035295	-0.10%	0.0303	-14.24%	0.0510	✓	0.93	8.3M	2022-01-21
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.231498	0.231265	-0.10%	0.202862	-12.37%	0.0161	✓	1.05	24.4M	2022-01-21
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	119.9355	119.8145	-0.10%	95	-20.79%	0.1051	✓	1.16	489k	2022-01-21
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.97	7.9618	-0.10%	6.72	-15.68%	0.1689	✓	0.01	1.2M	2022-01-21
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.06885	0.068777	-0.11%	0.05388	-21.74%	0.0940	✓	1.37	2.1M	2022-01-21
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.018378	0.018358	-0.11%	0.016171	-12.01%	0.0070	✗	1.22	2.7M	2022-01-21
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	198.37	198.1547	-0.11%	171.09	-13.75%	0.0137	✓	1.22	17.6M	2022-01-21
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1313	1.1301	-0.11%	0.91734	-18.91%	0.0911	✓	1.07	2.4M	2022-01-21
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.272	1.2706	-0.11%	1.209	-4.95%	0.1021	✗	1.39	4.0M	2022-01-21
XVG	Verge	native	0.01234	0.012326	-0.12%	0.01002	-18.80%	0.0697	✓	1.26	1.8M	2022-01-21
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.155509	0.155319	-0.12%	0.142057	-8.65%	0.0320	✗	1.11	6.5M	2022-01-21
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	18.34	18.3176	-0.12%	15.55	-15.21%	0.0533	✓	1.01	807k	2022-01-21
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.08157	0.08147	-0.12%	0.07197	-11.77%	0.0429	✓	0.74	56k	2022-01-21
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	357.74	357.2966	-0.12%	315.04	-11.94%	0.0137	✓	1.03	6.6M	2022-01-21
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.8	2.7964	-0.13%	2.46	-12.14%	0.0188	✓	1.00	855k	2022-01-21
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.3945	1.3927	-0.13%	1.1848	-15.04%	0.0624	✓	0.91	402k	2022-01-21
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01227	0.012253	-0.13%	0.01111	-9.45%	0.0466	✗	1.32	2.1M	2022-01-21
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.1614	1.1598	-0.14%	1.0303	-11.29%	0.0145	✗	1.22	30.5M	2022-01-21
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1782	0.177955	-0.14%	0.1639	-8.02%	0.0070	✓	0.69	573k	2022-01-21
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,000.94	2,996.82	-0.14%	2,569.01	-14.39%	0.0362	✓	1.08	485.8M	2022-01-21
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5001	0.49941	-0.14%	0.4366	-12.70%	0.0091	✗	1.31	10.8M	2022-01-21
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	40,670.97	40,614.73	-0.14%	36,456.94	-10.36%	0.0014	✓	1.00	636.6M	2022-01-21
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.428	0.427397	-0.14%	0.352	-17.76%	0.0479	✓	1.34	1.8M	2022-01-21
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0736	0.073496	-0.14%	0.0619	-15.90%	0.0168	✓	1.42	826k	2022-01-21
XEM	NEM	native	0.1095	0.109343	-0.14%	0.097	-11.42%	0.0031	✓	1.07	41k	2022-01-21
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.14	6.1311	-0.14%	5.64	-8.14%	0.0107	✓	0.67	505k	2022-01-21
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1484	0.148182	-0.15%	0.1206	-18.73%	0.0676	✓	1.27	4.2M	2022-01-21
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.8203	2.8162	-0.15%	2.3265	-17.51%	0.0647	✓	1.16	665k	2022-01-21
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.35	2.3465	-0.15%	2	-14.89%	0.0140	✓	1.33	3.1M	2022-01-21
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.328	0.327514	-0.15%	0.271	-17.38%	0.1022	✓	0.80	51k	2022-01-21
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.0964	0.096256	-0.15%	0.08324	-13.65%	0.0187	✓	1.16	34k	2022-01-21
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	7.96	7.9481	-0.15%	6.49	-18.47%	0.1216	✓	0.74	1.0M	2022-01-21
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	23	22.9652	-0.15%	19.67	-14.48%	0.0050	✓	1.37	58.5M	2022-01-21
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002648	0.000026439	-0.15%	0.00002226	-15.94%	0.0242	✓	1.35	1.7M	2022-01-21
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.067694	0.067589	-0.15%	0.061109	-9.73%	0.0034	✗	0.95	486k	2022-01-21
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.429	19.3984	-0.16%	16.808	-13.49%	0.0344	✗	1.62	10.7M	2022-01-21
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.90658	0.90514	-0.16%	0.81011	-10.64%	0.0865	✗	1.80	866k	2022-01-21
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		104.32	104.1541	-0.16%	95.68	-8.28%	0.0206	✗	0.96	1.8M	2022-01-21
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	239.61	239.2221	-0.16%	213.87	-10.74%	0.0194	✗	1.20	1.3M	2022-01-21
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	24.39	24.3502	-0.16%	21.23	-12.96%	0.0339	✗	1.56	1.0M	2022-01-21
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.655547	0.65446	-0.17%	0.55846	-14.81%	0.0314	✓	1.16	2.3M	2022-01-21
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	20.18	20.1462	-0.17%	17.44	-13.58%	0.0105	✓	1.22	73.6M	2022-01-21
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1666	0.166314	-0.17%	0.1474	-11.52%	0.0207	✓	0.91	362k	2022-01-21
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.057	7.0449	-0.17%	6.1225	-13.24%	0.0182	✗	1.45	251k	2022-01-21
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.97	3.963	-0.18%	3.31	-16.62%	0.0199	✓	1.46	32.4M	2022-01-21
SOL	Solana	Solana	127.52	127.2933	-0.18%	112.32	-11.92%	0.0019	✗	1.16	142.2M	2022-01-21
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0723	0.072171	-0.18%	0.0634	-12.31%	0.0084	✓	1.11	21k	2022-01-21
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	25.43	25.3842	-0.18%	23.31	-8.34%	0.0063	✓	0.72	342k	2022-01-21
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01217	0.012148	-0.18%	0.01044	-14.22%	0.0403	✓	1.02	641k	2022-01-21
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	79.35	79.2046	-0.18%	66.07	-16.74%	0.0479	✓	1.22	87.3M	2022-01-21
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.715	3.7082	-0.18%	3.3417	-10.05%	0.0483	✗	1.39	3.1M	2022-01-21
HIVE	Hive	native	1.0699	1.0679	-0.19%	0.906	-15.32%	0.0078	✓	1.43	3.7M	2022-01-21
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2832	0.282649	-0.19%	0.2523	-10.91%	0.0274	✗	1.29	1.9M	2022-01-21
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	9.52	9.5014	-0.20%	7.97	-16.28%	0.1560	✓	0.18	3.1M	2022-01-21
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.89	0.888219	-0.20%	0.73	-17.98%	0.0132	✗	1.91	1.3M	2022-01-21
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.03	2.0259	-0.20%	1.84	-9.36%	0.0212	✗	1.07	2.7M	2022-01-21
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	29.37	29.3104	-0.20%	25.95	-11.64%	0.0028	✓	1.09	3.3M	2022-01-21
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.939	0.93708	-0.20%	0.764	-18.64%	0.0957	✓	0.99	2.0M	2022-01-21
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04537	0.045277	-0.21%	0.03977	-12.34%	0.0093	✓	1.10	24k	2022-01-21
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.143	1.1406	-0.21%	0.984	-13.91%	0.0044	✗	1.39	2.3M	2022-01-21
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.36	3.353	-0.21%	2.71	-19.35%	0.0524	✓	1.47	2.2M	2022-01-21
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	69.09	68.9454	-0.21%	58.39	-15.49%	0.0445	✓	1.11	6.3M	2022-01-21
ZEN	Horizen	Base	47.6	47.4998	-0.21%	38.94	-18.19%	0.0335	✓	1.51	620k	2022-01-21
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.8682	0.866354	-0.21%	0.6747	-22.29%	0.0960	✓	1.41	1.4M	2022-01-21
DASH	Dash	Dash	121.15	120.8867	-0.22%	105.73	-12.73%	0.0022	✓	1.20	2.8M	2022-01-21
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.682	0.680514	-0.22%	0.561	-17.74%	0.0277	✓	1.51	8.0M	2022-01-21
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.78	4.7694	-0.22%	4.17	-12.76%	0.0022	✓	1.21	3.2M	2022-01-21
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.38	7.3635	-0.22%	6.31	-14.50%	0.0843	✓	0.64	652k	2022-01-21
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.6385	2.6325	-0.23%	2.2219	-15.79%	0.0551	✓	1.05	4.3M	2022-01-21
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01551	0.015475	-0.23%	0.01394	-10.12%	0.0148	✓	0.82	21k	2022-01-21
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	41,418.10	41,323.50	-0.23%	36,607.80	-11.61%	0.0136	✓	0.98	16k	2022-01-21
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	7.75	7.7323	-0.23%	6.6	-14.84%	0.0513	✓	0.98	3.9M	2022-01-21
XMR	Monero	Monero	188.73	188.296	-0.23%	172.82	-8.43%	0.0237	✗	1.00	2.7M	2022-01-21
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.8707	1.8664	-0.23%	1.6672	-10.88%	0.0122	✗	1.14	89k	2022-01-21
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		9.432	9.4101	-0.23%	7.826	-17.03%	0.1714	✓	0.12	38k	2022-01-21
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.0173	1.0149	-0.23%	0.857	-15.76%	0.0587	✓	1.01	22.7M	2022-01-21
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.539	2.5329	-0.24%	2.197	-13.47%	0.0322	✓	1.01	24k	2022-01-21
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009053	0.000090308	-0.24%	0.00007968	-11.98%	0.0134	✓	1.02	6.5M	2022-01-21
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7088	3.6991	-0.26%	3.5345	-4.70%	0.0511	✓	-0.05	371k	2022-01-21
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.2589	1.2555	-0.27%	1.1211	-10.95%	0.0117	✗	1.14	100.6M	2022-01-21
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.861	3.8506	-0.27%	3.392	-12.15%	0.0392	✓	0.80	1.1M	2022-01-21
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	129.8	129.4472	-0.27%	114.51	-11.78%	0.0258	✗	1.36	30.5M	2022-01-21
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.9838	3.9729	-0.27%	3.555	-10.76%	0.0181	✗	1.18	3.9M	2022-01-21
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	7.4	7.379	-0.28%	6.56	-11.35%	0.0337	✓	0.77	638k	2022-01-21
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.79	2.782	-0.29%	2.29	-17.92%	0.0528	✓	1.30	2.7M	2022-01-21
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.731	4.7174	-0.29%	4.12	-12.91%	0.0614	✓	0.68	445k	2022-01-21
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.050637	0.050486	-0.30%	0.041641	-17.77%	0.0608	✓	1.20	8.4M	2022-01-21
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.026039	0.025959	-0.31%	0.022082	-15.20%	0.0477	✓	1.04	3.9M	2022-01-21
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2346	0.233876	-0.31%	0.198	-15.60%	0.0178	✓	1.36	4.0M	2022-01-21
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.68	4.6653	-0.31%	3.96	-15.38%	0.0408	✓	1.13	2.3M	2022-01-21
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.92	6.8982	-0.32%	5.957	-13.92%	0.0693	✓	0.71	163k	2022-01-21
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	30.25	30.1539	-0.32%	24.86	-17.82%	0.0092	✓	1.68	2.7M	2022-01-21
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.09	10.0578	-0.32%	9.4	-6.84%	0.0141	✗	0.75	800k	2022-01-21
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6442	0.642133	-0.32%	0.5619	-12.78%	0.0088	✗	1.30	3.2M	2022-01-21
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.06785	0.067632	-0.32%	0.05552	-18.17%	0.0592	✓	1.26	12.0M	2022-01-21
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.111	2.104	-0.33%	1.738	-17.67%	0.0656	✓	1.15	1.9M	2022-01-21
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.06	3.0498	-0.33%	2.45	-19.93%	0.0766	✓	1.30	7.8M	2022-01-21
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.59	14.5404	-0.34%	13.42	-8.02%	0.0057	✓	0.68	813k	2022-01-21
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1598	3.1488	-0.35%	3.11	-1.58%	0.1151	✗	1.17	2.1M	2022-01-21
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.095	3.0841	-0.35%	2.795	-9.69%	0.0904	✗	1.73	1.1M	2022-01-21
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1002	0.099844	-0.36%	0.0834	-16.77%	0.0573	✓	1.12	244k	2022-01-21
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.2113	5.1925	-0.36%	4.7186	-9.45%	0.0386	✗	1.23	443k	2022-01-21
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2825	0.28148	-0.36%	0.2396	-15.19%	0.0471	✓	1.04	397k	2022-01-21
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	31,414.30	31,296.08	-0.38%	25,741.64	-18.06%	0.1199	✓	0.69	21.5M	2022-01-21
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.583	3.5692	-0.39%	3.168	-11.58%	0.0412	✓	0.71	523k	2022-01-21
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.5606	0.55836	-0.40%	0.4811	-14.18%	0.0032	✓	1.39	2.6M	2022-01-21
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.07094	0.070648	-0.41%	0.061424	-13.41%	0.0305	✓	1.00	682k	2022-01-21
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.35	3.3355	-0.43%	2.9	-13.43%	0.0206	✓	1.09	752k	2022-01-21
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	77.41	77.0584	-0.45%	64.94	-16.11%	0.0347	✗	1.88	7.7M	2022-01-21
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3693	0.367591	-0.46%	0.2921	-20.90%	0.0648	✓	1.51	4.3M	2022-01-21
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.19	4.1703	-0.47%	4.65	+10.98%	0.2169	✗	0.99	471k	2022-01-21
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.481	7.4439	-0.50%	8.351	+11.63%	0.2558	✗	1.29	301k	2022-01-21
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	9.77	9.7157	-0.56%	8.647	-11.49%	0.0071	✓	1.00	1.9M	2022-01-21
GT	Gate	Ethereum	7.0322	6.9903	-0.60%	6.243	-11.22%	0.0186	✓	0.86	4.3M	2022-01-21
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5776	0.574145	-0.60%	0.5351	-7.36%	0.0803	✗	1.38	1.7M	2022-01-21
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	45.17	44.8827	-0.64%	38.52	-14.72%	0.0303	✓	1.12	24.7M	2022-01-21
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.8114	3.7848	-0.70%	3.2277	-15.31%	0.0761	✓	0.76	2,257	2022-01-21
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.757	0.750952	-0.80%	0.6365	-15.92%	0.0312	✗	1.80	46.2M	2022-01-21
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.0839	1.0749	-0.83%	0.8913	-17.77%	0.0765	✓	1.01	108k	2022-01-21
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.5815	1.5683	-0.84%	1.4321	-9.45%	0.0009	✓	0.84	1.3M	2022-01-21
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	38.97	38.6304	-0.87%	34.64	-11.11%	0.0044	✓	0.96	104.1M	2022-01-21
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.18914	0.187489	-0.87%	0.16704	-11.68%	0.0573	✗	1.58	6,611	2022-01-21

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.