2022-01-15 · +1d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1727

139 of 139 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+0.80%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

56.1%

in alpha space · 55.5% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+0.01%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0756	0.075789	+0.25%	0.0799	+5.69%	0.0527	✓	1.00	27.0M	2022-01-16
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.4232	1.4267	+0.25%	1.3643	-4.14%	0.0450	✗	1.91	1.3M	2022-01-16
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	29.69	29.7253	+0.12%	30.39	+2.36%	0.0220	✓	1.09	15.5M	2022-01-16
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	26.68	26.7103	+0.11%	27.65	+3.64%	0.0343	✓	1.85	3.9M	2022-01-16
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.074	1.0746	+0.06%	1.056	-1.68%	0.0176	✗	0.97	2.2M	2022-01-16
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	43,098.20	43,122.99	+0.06%	43,104.34	+0.01%	0.0006	✓	1.00	679.0M	2022-01-16
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.1231	3.1241	+0.03%	3.1201	-0.10%	0.0015	✗	1.14	710k	2022-01-16
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.08027	0.080295	+0.03%	0.08284	+3.20%	0.0310	✓	1.42	2.4M	2022-01-16
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	75.35	75.3724	+0.03%	80.29	+6.56%	0.0631	✓	1.08	6.2M	2022-01-16
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.61	3.6109	+0.03%	4.17	+15.51%	0.1438	✓	1.39	2.2M	2022-01-16
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0805	0.080517	+0.02%	0.0805	+0.00%	0.0004	✗	1.11	16k	2022-01-16
XEC	eCash	native	0.00010109	0.000101112	+0.02%	0.0001031	+1.99%	0.0193	✓	1.02	6.5M	2022-01-16
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	42,685.80	42,694.21	+0.02%	43,225.30	+1.26%	0.0122	✓	0.98	14k	2022-01-16
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.068548	0.06856	+0.02%	0.069898	+1.97%	0.0192	✓	0.96	537k	2022-01-16
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.875	1.8752	+0.01%	1.91	+1.87%	0.0182	✓	1.15	2.2M	2022-01-16
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.3528	1.3529	+0.01%	1.31	-3.16%	0.0324	✗	1.05	2.9M	2022-01-16
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1939	0.193893	-0.00%	0.1951	+0.62%	0.0061	✗	0.68	464k	2022-01-16
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.259056	0.259044	-0.00%	0.259124	+0.03%	0.0002	✗	1.04	24.9M	2022-01-16
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.9833	0.983233	-0.01%	0.9199	-6.45%	0.0667	✓	1.01	2.9M	2022-01-16
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	14.16	14.1568	-0.02%	14.05	-0.78%	0.0077	✓	1.14	3.0M	2022-01-16
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,328.12	3,327.21	-0.03%	3,349.46	+0.64%	0.0065	✗	1.07	533.9M	2022-01-16
XVG	Verge	native	0.01388	0.013876	-0.03%	0.01396	+0.58%	0.0059	✗	1.24	2.0M	2022-01-16
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	390.86	390.7474	-0.03%	388.33	-0.65%	0.0064	✓	1.02	7.0M	2022-01-16
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1141	0.114054	-0.04%	0.1124	-1.49%	0.0148	✓	1.12	296k	2022-01-16
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01441	0.014404	-0.04%	0.0159	+10.34%	0.0985	✗	2.37	25.3M	2022-01-16
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.02	8.0163	-0.05%	7.97	-0.62%	0.0059	✓	0.63	680k	2022-01-16
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04139	0.041371	-0.05%	0.04114	-0.60%	0.0057	✓	0.91	8.4M	2022-01-16
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5948	0.594518	-0.05%	0.5892	-0.94%	0.0092	✓	1.31	12.2M	2022-01-16
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	8.117	8.1126	-0.05%	7.826	-3.59%	0.0361	✓	0.69	188k	2022-01-16
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.344	20.3322	-0.06%	21.156	+3.99%	0.0395	✗	1.61	10.8M	2022-01-16
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	93.08	93.021	-0.06%	92.34	-0.80%	0.0075	✓	1.18	107.5M	2022-01-16
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	167.6	167.4844	-0.07%	167.7	+0.06%	0.0012	✗	0.93	6.7M	2022-01-16
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.757762	0.757239	-0.07%	0.766499	+1.15%	0.0120	✗	1.14	2.5M	2022-01-16
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	16.49	16.4784	-0.07%	17.83	+8.13%	0.0786	✗	1.30	12.4M	2022-01-16
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.09328	0.093214	-0.07%	0.09268	-0.64%	0.0058	✓	0.73	49k	2022-01-16
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	8.39	8.384	-0.07%	8.2	-2.26%	0.0223	✓	0.88	1.1M	2022-01-16
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01703	0.017018	-0.07%	0.01745	+2.47%	0.0250	✗	0.73	24k	2022-01-16
SOL	Solana	Solana	147.78	147.6718	-0.07%	147.98	+0.14%	0.0019	✗	1.13	164.2M	2022-01-16
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.020821	0.020806	-0.07%	0.021066	+1.18%	0.0123	✗	1.23	2.6M	2022-01-16
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.38	1.3789	-0.08%	1.38	+0.00%	0.0006	✓	1.67	556k	2022-01-16
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.79	28.7647	-0.09%	28.43	-1.25%	0.0118	✓	0.71	360k	2022-01-16
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1806	0.180439	-0.09%	0.1804	-0.11%	0.0003	✓	0.91	423k	2022-01-16
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	20.62	20.6014	-0.09%	20.72	+0.48%	0.0056	✗	1.05	886k	2022-01-16
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		11.158	11.1478	-0.09%	11.314	+1.40%	0.0148	✗	0.11	40k	2022-01-16
XMR	Monero	Monero	218.2	217.9902	-0.10%	224.12	+2.71%	0.0276	✗	0.99	3.1M	2022-01-16
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.28	5.2748	-0.10%	5.39	+2.08%	0.0214	✗	1.18	3.3M	2022-01-16
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	32.86	32.8277	-0.10%	32.27	-1.80%	0.0173	✓	1.06	2.9M	2022-01-16
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	27.64	27.6105	-0.11%	27.68	+0.14%	0.0023	✗	1.34	61.7M	2022-01-16
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		112.76	112.6344	-0.11%	112.64	-0.11%	0.0001	✓	0.96	2.2M	2022-01-16
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.0653	1.064	-0.12%	1.0558	-0.90%	0.0081	✓	1.78	937k	2022-01-16
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.7	6.6918	-0.12%	6.68	-0.30%	0.0019	✓	0.66	564k	2022-01-16
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.3785	1.3767	-0.13%	1.4299	+3.73%	0.0378	✗	1.17	30.5M	2022-01-16
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.11024	0.110087	-0.14%	0.11025	+0.01%	0.0013	✓	1.14	25k	2022-01-16
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003082	0.000030777	-0.14%	0.00003053	-0.94%	0.0082	✓	1.35	1.8M	2022-01-16
XEM	NEM	native	0.1187	0.118534	-0.14%	0.1198	+0.93%	0.0105	✗	1.05	55k	2022-01-16
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.324	1.3221	-0.14%	1.346	+1.66%	0.0177	✗	1.35	2.7M	2022-01-16
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.6962	1.6937	-0.14%	1.663	-1.95%	0.0184	✓	0.88	502k	2022-01-16
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01503	0.015008	-0.15%	0.01506	+0.20%	0.0033	✗	1.31	2.2M	2022-01-16
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.39	2.3865	-0.15%	2.44	+2.09%	0.0220	✗	1.06	2.8M	2022-01-16
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.76	2.7558	-0.15%	2.7	-2.17%	0.0206	✓	1.32	3.2M	2022-01-16
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01405	0.014028	-0.16%	0.01413	+0.57%	0.0071	✗	0.99	641k	2022-01-16
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.538	1.5355	-0.16%	1.489	-3.19%	0.0310	✓	1.37	4.2M	2022-01-16
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.843	2.8384	-0.16%	2.849	+0.21%	0.0036	✗	0.90	25k	2022-01-16
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.12	1.1182	-0.16%	1.09	-2.68%	0.0258	✓	1.91	1.5M	2022-01-16
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.944	4.9358	-0.17%	4.928	-0.32%	0.0017	✓	0.68	469k	2022-01-16
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1719	0.171606	-0.17%	0.1684	-2.04%	0.0190	✓	1.26	4.2M	2022-01-16
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.222	4.2147	-0.17%	4.161	-1.44%	0.0129	✓	0.80	1.1M	2022-01-16
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	147.73	147.4672	-0.18%	146.49	-0.84%	0.0068	✓	1.37	31.1M	2022-01-16
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0869	0.086745	-0.18%	0.0857	-1.38%	0.0123	✓	1.40	1.1M	2022-01-16
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	7.04	7.0274	-0.18%	6.97	-0.99%	0.0084	✓	1.29	17.7M	2022-01-16
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.3614	4.3533	-0.19%	4.3216	-0.91%	0.0075	✓	1.26	4.1M	2022-01-16
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	30.61	30.5517	-0.19%	30.87	+0.85%	0.0101	✗	1.55	1.0M	2022-01-16
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	192.18	191.8032	-0.20%	192.07	-0.06%	0.0012	✓	1.17	145k	2022-01-16
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.2922	1.2897	-0.20%	1.4118	+9.26%	0.0903	✗	1.15	95.6M	2022-01-16
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.07	15.0402	-0.20%	15.18	+0.73%	0.0092	✗	0.68	1.0M	2022-01-16
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.1257	1.1233	-0.21%	1.1373	+1.03%	0.0122	✗	1.00	23.2M	2022-01-16
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3416	0.340878	-0.21%	0.3412	-0.12%	0.0007	✓	1.52	3.8M	2022-01-16
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.846	3.8378	-0.21%	3.89	+1.14%	0.0134	✗	0.71	526k	2022-01-16
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05243	0.052318	-0.21%	0.05206	-0.71%	0.0051	✓	1.10	19k	2022-01-16
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.66	10.6368	-0.22%	10.52	-1.31%	0.0111	✓	0.76	898k	2022-01-16
ZEN	Horizen	Base	55.11	54.9854	-0.23%	55.13	+0.04%	0.0024	✗	1.49	649k	2022-01-16
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7698	3.7609	-0.24%	3.7853	+0.41%	0.0065	✗	-0.06	371k	2022-01-16
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.9986	2.9914	-0.24%	3.1203	+4.06%	0.0420	✗	1.02	5.1M	2022-01-16
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3248	0.324017	-0.24%	0.3232	-0.49%	0.0027	✓	1.28	2.2M	2022-01-16
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.81	0.808036	-0.24%	0.807	-0.37%	0.0015	✓	1.49	8.0M	2022-01-16
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1398	0.13946	-0.24%	0.1383	-1.07%	0.0085	✓	1.28	2.4M	2022-01-16
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.04	8.02	-0.25%	8.06	+0.25%	0.0049	✗	0.77	705k	2022-01-16
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	238.63	238.0374	-0.25%	242.5	+1.62%	0.0184	✗	1.18	17.6M	2022-01-16
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.028908	0.028836	-0.25%	0.028848	-0.21%	0.0003	✓	1.03	5.7M	2022-01-16
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.379	0.378051	-0.25%	0.368	-2.90%	0.0271	✓	0.76	44k	2022-01-16
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2669	0.266219	-0.26%	0.2698	+1.09%	0.0132	✗	1.33	3.9M	2022-01-16
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.871	7.8509	-0.26%	7.659	-2.69%	0.0249	✓	1.30	260k	2022-01-16
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.458	2.4517	-0.26%	2.51	+2.12%	0.0233	✗	1.12	2.0M	2022-01-16
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.057912	0.057762	-0.26%	0.057685	-0.39%	0.0015	✓	1.20	7.5M	2022-01-16
DASH	Dash	Dash	141.33	140.951	-0.27%	137.39	-2.79%	0.0258	✓	1.20	2.8M	2022-01-16
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	25.19	25.1224	-0.27%	25.51	+1.27%	0.0151	✗	1.19	74.2M	2022-01-16
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.19	3.1814	-0.27%	3.2	+0.31%	0.0057	✗	0.99	918k	2022-01-16
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.534	0.53256	-0.27%	0.544	+1.87%	0.0211	✗	1.30	1.8M	2022-01-16
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.282	4.2704	-0.27%	4.2914	+0.22%	0.0047	✗	1.37	3.8M	2022-01-16
GT	Gate	Ethereum	7.09	7.0701	-0.28%	7.0621	-0.39%	0.0013	✓	0.86	3.8M	2022-01-16
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0544	0.054242	-0.29%	0.056	+2.94%	0.0317	✗	1.37	1.5M	2022-01-16
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	8.3025	8.2781	-0.29%	8.0371	-3.20%	0.0298	✓	1.44	263k	2022-01-16
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.07028	0.070072	-0.30%	0.0706	+0.46%	0.0073	✗	1.22	14.7M	2022-01-16
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	11.13	11.0969	-0.30%	11.34	+1.89%	0.0216	✗	0.18	2.6M	2022-01-16
HIVE	Hive	native	1.3273	1.3233	-0.30%	1.3193	-0.60%	0.0032	✓	1.40	3.9M	2022-01-16
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	289.7	288.8253	-0.30%	277.6	-4.18%	0.0398	✓	1.19	1.4M	2022-01-16
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.71	5.6926	-0.30%	5.68	-0.53%	0.0024	✓	1.10	2.3M	2022-01-16
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.089	2.0826	-0.31%	2.0834	-0.27%	0.0002	✓	1.11	95k	2022-01-16
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.184596	0.184025	-0.31%	0.176716	-4.27%	0.0407	✓	1.10	5.4M	2022-01-16
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.47	8.4434	-0.31%	8.39	-0.94%	0.0065	✓	0.97	4.1M	2022-01-16
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.0846	1.0812	-0.32%	1.0543	-2.79%	0.0254	✓	1.41	1.5M	2022-01-16
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	46	45.8482	-0.33%	46.43	+0.93%	0.0125	✗	1.11	21.8M	2022-01-16
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	33,487.36	33,376.40	-0.33%	33,593.69	+0.32%	0.0064	✗	0.67	26.4M	2022-01-16
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	9.46	9.4285	-0.33%	9.47	+0.11%	0.0043	✗	0.71	1.0M	2022-01-16
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	9.81	9.7772	-0.33%	9.71	-1.02%	0.0069	✓	-0.02	1.5M	2022-01-16
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7349	0.732407	-0.34%	0.714	-2.84%	0.0256	✓	1.29	3.7M	2022-01-16
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.5	3.4877	-0.35%	3.49	-0.29%	0.0005	✓	1.09	808k	2022-01-16
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	5.28	5.2607	-0.37%	5.13	-2.84%	0.0253	✓	1.40	32.4M	2022-01-16
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	144.36	143.828	-0.37%	141.5	-1.98%	0.0165	✓	1.30	10.9M	2022-01-16
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	32.55	32.4233	-0.39%	31.18	-4.21%	0.0393	✓	1.41	34.3M	2022-01-16
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.34	3.3269	-0.39%	3.303	-1.11%	0.0075	✓	1.74	1.1M	2022-01-16
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.5259	1.5198	-0.40%	1.5381	+0.80%	0.0119	✗	0.87	926k	2022-01-16
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.3546	3.3409	-0.41%	3.3295	-0.75%	0.0036	✓	1.19	2.3M	2022-01-16
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.677	0.674059	-0.43%	0.6613	-2.32%	0.0193	✓	1.38	2.7M	2022-01-16
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	154.3287	153.648	-0.44%	149.9189	-2.86%	0.0247	✓	1.12	489k	2022-01-16
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6358	0.632988	-0.44%	0.6536	+2.80%	0.0318	✗	1.38	736k	2022-01-16
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	36.22	36.0597	-0.44%	36.27	+0.14%	0.0056	✗	1.66	2.7M	2022-01-16
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.0618	1.057	-0.45%	1.0848	+2.17%	0.0258	✗	1.01	108k	2022-01-16
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	87.55	87.1135	-0.50%	87.16	-0.45%	0.0003	✓	1.78	7.4M	2022-01-16
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3345	0.332797	-0.51%	0.3374	+0.87%	0.0136	✗	1.03	397k	2022-01-16
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	39.16	38.9445	-0.55%	43.71	+11.62%	0.1153	✗	0.94	86.7M	2022-01-16
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.1369	4.1128	-0.58%	4.1507	+0.33%	0.0091	✗	0.76	2,257	2022-01-16
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.55	3.529	-0.59%	3.82	+7.61%	0.0791	✗	1.25	8.5M	2022-01-16
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.757	6.7155	-0.62%	6.5777	-2.65%	0.0209	✓	1.22	457k	2022-01-16
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	3.25	3.2293	-0.64%	3.32	+2.15%	0.0275	✗	1.27	3.1M	2022-01-16
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.087032	0.086454	-0.66%	0.084515	-2.89%	0.0228	✓	1.00	2.2M	2022-01-16
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.20848	0.206332	-1.03%	0.20111	-3.54%	0.0259	✓	1.59	5,360	2022-01-16
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.8963	0.88397	-1.38%	1.0315	+15.08%	0.1541	✗	1.75	38.7M	2022-01-16
API3	Api3	Ethereum	5.09	5.0191	-1.39%	4.79	-5.89%	0.0468	✓	0.82	471k	2022-01-16

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.