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2022-01-14 · +1d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1992
139 of 139 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.80%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
41.7%
in alpha space · 41.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.02%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.96050.94395-1.72%0.8963-6.68%0.0521✓1.7638.7M2022-01-15
BFCBifrostEthereum0.222390.218914-1.56%0.20848-6.25%0.0491✓1.595,3602022-01-15
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0836380.083143-0.59%0.087032+4.06%0.0455✗1.002.4M2022-01-15
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.623.5987-0.59%3.55-1.93%0.0138✓1.258.5M2022-01-15
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.13564.1129-0.55%4.1369+0.03%0.0057✗0.762,2572022-01-15
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos40.4440.2214-0.54%39.16-3.17%0.0269✓0.9586.7M2022-01-15
CTSICartesiEthereum0.71450.710788-0.52%0.677-5.25%0.0489✓1.382.7M2022-01-15
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1833170.182365-0.52%0.184596+0.70%0.0120✗1.105.4M2022-01-15
CVCCivicEthereum0.32910.327398-0.52%0.3345+1.64%0.0213✗1.02397k2022-01-15
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.32043.305-0.46%3.3546+1.03%0.0147✗1.192.6M2022-01-15
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3723.3566-0.46%3.34-0.95%0.0053✓1.731.2M2022-01-15
CELLCellframeEthereum1.06471.0599-0.45%1.0618-0.27%0.0016✓1.01108k2022-01-15
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.62720.624467-0.44%0.6358+1.37%0.0177✗1.38736k2022-01-15
MOVRMoonriverBase157.2002156.5356-0.42%154.3287-1.83%0.0144✓1.12515k2022-01-15
LPTLivepeerEthereum36.2536.1074-0.39%36.22-0.08%0.0028✓1.662.7M2022-01-15
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.355.329-0.39%5.28-1.31%0.0095✓1.4032.4M2022-01-15
LUNATerraTerra 281.4781.1599-0.38%87.55+7.46%0.0756✗1.007.4M2022-01-15
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum32.5432.4173-0.38%32.55+0.03%0.0038✗1.4134.3M2022-01-15
ZECZcashZcash142.55142.0281-0.37%144.36+1.27%0.0161✗1.3010.9M2022-01-15
MASKMask NetworkEthereum9.59.4679-0.34%9.46-0.42%0.0010✓0.711.0M2022-01-15
DEXEDeXeEthereum9.849.808-0.33%9.81-0.30%0.0002✓-0.021.5M2022-01-15
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.05570.055525-0.31%0.0544-2.33%0.0207✓1.371.5M2022-01-15
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.03526.0162-0.31%6.757+11.96%0.1159✗1.21457k2022-01-15
HIVEHivenative1.311.306-0.31%1.3273+1.32%0.0160✗1.404.0M2022-01-15
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.053420.053262-0.30%0.05243-1.85%0.0159✓1.1019k2022-01-15
GTCGitcoinEthereum10.9810.9476-0.30%11.13+1.37%0.0165✗0.182.8M2022-01-15
LSKLiskEthereum2.09242.0863-0.29%2.089-0.16%0.0011✓1.1195k2022-01-15
MINAMina Protocolnative3.463.4499-0.29%3.5+1.16%0.0142✗1.09808k2022-01-15
FTTFTXEthereum44.7344.6046-0.28%46+2.84%0.0306✗1.1121.6M2022-01-15
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.07070.070507-0.27%0.07028-0.59%0.0034✓1.2316.4M2022-01-15
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.33210.3312-0.27%0.3248-2.20%0.0197✓1.282.2M2022-01-15
LINKChainlinkEthereum25.7425.6706-0.27%25.19-2.14%0.0191✓1.1974.2M2022-01-15
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.03051.0277-0.27%1.0846+5.25%0.0536✗1.401.5M2022-01-15
BANDBandEthereum5.75.6849-0.26%5.71+0.18%0.0042✗1.102.3M2022-01-15
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.193.1818-0.26%3.19+0.00%0.0024✓0.99918k2022-01-15
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.41981.4161-0.26%1.5259+7.47%0.0745✗0.87922k2022-01-15
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0596540.059505-0.25%0.057912-2.92%0.0274✓1.207.5M2022-01-15
YFIyearn.financeEthereum32,239.4932,159.19-0.25%33,487.36+3.87%0.0404✗0.6726.4M2022-01-15
DASHDashDash141.12140.7706-0.25%141.33+0.15%0.0038✗1.202.8M2022-01-15
XTZTezosTezos4.2854.2745-0.25%4.282-0.07%0.0015✓1.374.3M2022-01-15
UMAUMAEthereum8.398.3695-0.24%8.47+0.95%0.0118✗0.974.3M2022-01-15
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.76993.7607-0.24%3.7698-0.00%0.0024✓-0.06364k2022-01-15
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.71070.709024-0.24%0.7349+3.41%0.0356✗1.283.7M2022-01-15
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5210.519776-0.23%0.534+2.50%0.0268✗1.302.0M2022-01-15
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.922.9134-0.23%3.25+11.30%0.1091✗1.263.1M2022-01-15
MANADecentralandEthereum2.9552.9483-0.22%2.9986+1.48%0.0167✗1.025.2M2022-01-15
KSMKusamaHydration281.84281.2179-0.22%289.7+2.79%0.0295✗1.181.4M2022-01-15
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.4152.4098-0.21%2.458+1.78%0.0196✗1.122.0M2022-01-15
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0284310.028371-0.21%0.028908+1.68%0.0186✗1.035.7M2022-01-15
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.048.0233-0.21%8.04+0.00%0.0019✓0.77737k2022-01-15
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.6737.6572-0.21%7.871+2.58%0.0273✗1.30271k2022-01-15
GTGateEthereum6.81286.7991-0.20%7.09+4.07%0.0417✗0.863.5M2022-01-15
CHZChilizEthereum0.26680.266276-0.20%0.2669+0.04%0.0021✗1.334.0M2022-01-15
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.5210.5003-0.19%10.66+1.33%0.0150✗0.75955k2022-01-15
ZENHorizenBase53.853.6998-0.19%55.11+2.43%0.0257✗1.49667k2022-01-15
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.12231.1202-0.19%1.1257+0.30%0.0047✗1.0023.2M2022-01-15
LCXLCXEthereum0.13920.138944-0.18%0.1398+0.43%0.0059✗1.282.4M2022-01-15
CBKCobakEthereum2.8572.852-0.18%2.843-0.49%0.0033✓0.9026k2022-01-15
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.2694.2617-0.17%4.222-1.10%0.0095✓0.801.1M2022-01-15
DODODODOEthereum0.8020.800624-0.17%0.81+1.00%0.0114✗1.498.0M2022-01-15
XMRMoneroMonero229.78229.3877-0.17%218.2-5.04%0.0502✓0.993.1M2022-01-15
ADACardanoCardano1.29311.2909-0.17%1.2922-0.07%0.0008✓1.1595.6M2022-01-15
SKLSKALEEthereum0.17540.175105-0.17%0.1719-2.00%0.0187✓1.264.2M2022-01-15
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030840.00003079-0.16%0.00003082-0.06%0.0007✓1.351.8M2022-01-15
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.34634.3394-0.16%4.3614+0.35%0.0048✗1.264.1M2022-01-15
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8453.8389-0.16%3.846+0.03%0.0017✗0.71526k2022-01-15
COTICOTIEthereum0.3350.334477-0.16%0.3416+1.97%0.0208✗1.513.8M2022-01-15
API3Api3Ethereum3.923.9139-0.16%5.09+29.85%0.2626✗0.80471k2022-01-15
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3660.365433-0.16%0.379+3.55%0.0363✗0.7643k2022-01-15
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08650.08637-0.15%0.0869+0.46%0.0059✗1.401.2M2022-01-15
COMPCompoundEthereum189.59189.3102-0.15%192.18+1.37%0.0148✗1.16149k2022-01-15
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.9614.9386-0.14%15.07+0.74%0.0086✗0.681.1M2022-01-15
LTCLitecoinLitecoin144.84144.6324-0.14%147.73+2.00%0.0210✗1.3732.2M2022-01-15
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.091.0885-0.14%1.12+2.75%0.0282✗1.911.6M2022-01-15
SCSiacoinnative0.013860.013842-0.13%0.01405+1.37%0.0147✗0.99656k2022-01-15
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.772.7667-0.12%2.76-0.36%0.0026✓1.323.2M2022-01-15
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0150.014983-0.11%0.01503+0.20%0.0029✗1.312.2M2022-01-15
TRBTellor TributesEthereum29.729.6671-0.11%30.61+3.06%0.0310✗1.541.0M2022-01-15
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.38221.3807-0.11%1.3785-0.27%0.0018✓1.1730.5M2022-01-15
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.8674.8618-0.11%4.944+1.58%0.0166✗0.68469k2022-01-15
DOTPolkadotPolkadot27.7627.7309-0.10%27.64-0.43%0.0035✓1.3564.3M2022-01-15
AAVEAaveEthereum224.05223.8176-0.10%238.63+6.51%0.0639✗1.1817.6M2022-01-15
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.382.3776-0.10%2.39+0.42%0.0050✗1.062.9M2022-01-15
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.05261.0515-0.10%1.0653+1.21%0.0127✗1.78974k2022-01-15
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV113.04112.9302-0.10%112.76-0.25%0.0017✓0.962.2M2022-01-15
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.3081.3068-0.09%1.324+1.22%0.0129✗1.352.7M2022-01-15
SUSHISushiEthereum7.037.0235-0.09%7.04+0.14%0.0021✗1.2917.7M2022-01-15
CTKShentuOsmosis1.5091.5076-0.09%1.538+1.92%0.0197✗1.374.4M2022-01-15
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.093360.093275-0.09%0.09328-0.09%0.0001✓0.7352k2022-01-15
XEMNEMnative0.11920.119098-0.09%0.1187-0.42%0.0035✓1.0557k2022-01-15
ETCEthereum Classicnative31.9831.9548-0.08%32.86+2.75%0.0278✗1.062.9M2022-01-15
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.381.3791-0.06%1.38+0.00%0.0003✓1.67569k2022-01-15
AUCTIONBounceEthereum20.2920.2779-0.06%20.62+1.63%0.0165✗1.05958k2022-01-15
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.686.6761-0.06%6.7+0.30%0.0035✗0.66602k2022-01-15
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.4228.4037-0.06%28.79+1.30%0.0134✗0.71360k2022-01-15
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.17980.179698-0.06%0.1806+0.44%0.0048✗0.91432k2022-01-15
GITCOINGITCOIN10.86610.8602-0.05%11.158+2.69%0.0270✗0.1144k2022-01-15
SUNSun TokenTron0.020490.02048-0.05%0.020821+1.62%0.0163✗1.232.5M2022-01-15
DKAdKargoEthereum0.109330.109277-0.05%0.11024+0.83%0.0086✗1.1423k2022-01-15
SOLSolanaSolana146.17146.1057-0.04%147.78+1.10%0.0112✗1.13177.1M2022-01-15
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08130.081266-0.04%0.0805-0.98%0.0097✓1.1119k2022-01-15
XLMStellarStellar0.2653750.265269-0.04%0.259056-2.38%0.0239✓1.0424.2M2022-01-15
KCSKuCoinnative20.0820.0725-0.04%20.344+1.31%0.0132✗1.6111.0M2022-01-15
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.225.2182-0.04%5.28+1.15%0.0116✗1.183.3M2022-01-15
QNTQuantEthereum165.39165.3415-0.03%167.6+1.34%0.0134✗0.936.9M2022-01-15
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.1130.112973-0.02%0.1141+0.97%0.0097✗1.12303k2022-01-15
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche90.4190.3899-0.02%93.08+2.95%0.0291✗1.18108.4M2022-01-15
XYMSymbolnative0.19290.192871-0.01%0.1939+0.52%0.0052✗0.68464k2022-01-15
QTUMQtumQtum7.84427.8433-0.01%8.3025+5.84%0.0566✗1.43263k2022-01-15
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.917.9095-0.01%8.02+1.39%0.0138✗0.63680k2022-01-15
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.016660.01666-0.00%0.01703+2.22%0.0218✗0.7324k2022-01-15
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7482050.748212+0.00%0.757762+1.28%0.0125✓1.142.5M2022-01-15
ETHEthereumEthereum3,310.453,310.54+0.00%3,328.12+0.53%0.0051✓1.07556.2M2022-01-15
UNIUniswapEthereum15.8715.8706+0.00%16.49+3.91%0.0381✓1.3012.4M2022-01-15
AMPAmpEthereum0.041110.041112+0.00%0.04139+0.68%0.0066✓0.918.4M2022-01-15
XVGVergenative0.013890.013892+0.01%0.01388-0.07%0.0011✗1.242.0M2022-01-15
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash385.65385.7011+0.01%390.86+1.35%0.0131✓1.027.6M2022-01-15
XVSVenusEthereum1414.0028+0.02%14.16+1.14%0.0110✓1.143.1M2022-01-15
NANOnanopayBase3.15113.1518+0.02%3.1231-0.89%0.0093✗1.14699k2022-01-15
STORJStorjEthereum1.60691.6074+0.03%1.6962+5.56%0.0536✓0.88502k2022-01-15
RADRadworksEthereum7.927.9225+0.03%8.39+5.93%0.0572✓0.881.1M2022-01-15
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.57920.579396+0.03%0.5948+2.69%0.0260✓1.3012.2M2022-01-15
SPELLSpellEthereum0.014340.014345+0.04%0.01441+0.49%0.0041✓2.3726.1M2022-01-15
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.97790.978353+0.05%0.9833+0.55%0.0049✓1.013.0M2022-01-15
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.8531.8539+0.05%1.875+1.19%0.0111✓1.152.2M2022-01-15
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum7.7577.7608+0.05%8.117+4.64%0.0448✓0.69192k2022-01-15
TRXTRONTron0.0676580.067695+0.05%0.068548+1.32%0.0124✓0.96552k2022-01-15
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.080720.080772+0.06%0.08027-0.56%0.0065✗1.422.6M2022-01-15
IMXImmutableEthereum3.553.5526+0.07%3.61+1.69%0.0158✓1.392.2M2022-01-15
UOSUltraEthereum1.29881.2997+0.07%1.3528+4.16%0.0398✓1.053.0M2022-01-15
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,090.7243,127.24+0.08%43,098.20+0.02%0.0008✗1.00679.0M2022-01-15
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.0551.0561+0.10%1.074+1.80%0.0167✓0.972.2M2022-01-15
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum73.773.7756+0.10%75.35+2.24%0.0209✓1.076.2M2022-01-15
XECeCashnative0.000097020.000097127+0.11%0.00010109+4.20%0.0398✓1.016.5M2022-01-15
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,294.1043,350.72+0.13%42,685.80-1.41%0.0156✗0.9814k2022-01-15
FILFilecoinFilecoin29.7229.7634+0.15%29.69-0.10%0.0027✗1.0915.5M2022-01-15
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum26.2826.3187+0.15%26.68+1.52%0.0133✓1.844.1M2022-01-15
LRCLoopringEthereum1.47071.4738+0.21%1.4232-3.23%0.0352✗1.911.4M2022-01-15
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.0790.079211+0.27%0.0756-4.30%0.0468✗1.0027.8M2022-01-15
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.