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2022-01-13 · +1d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0348
139 of 139 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.41%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
52.5%
in alpha space · 39.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.20%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.84020.829012-1.33%0.9605+14.32%0.1265✗1.7438.7M2022-01-14
CTSICartesiEthereum0.70590.701143-0.67%0.7145+1.22%0.0024✓1.382.7M2022-01-14
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.054210.053876-0.62%0.05342-1.46%0.0216✓1.1019k2022-01-14
BFCBifrostEthereum0.18010.179034-0.59%0.22239+23.48%0.1984✗1.565,3602022-01-14
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.723.6983-0.58%3.62-2.69%0.0364✓1.269.0M2022-01-14
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.64180.638377-0.53%0.6272-2.27%0.0343✓1.40736k2022-01-14
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0815030.08108-0.52%0.083638+2.62%0.0192✗1.002.6M2022-01-14
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3553.3379-0.51%3.372+0.51%0.0105✓1.741.2M2022-01-14
CVCCivicEthereum0.32040.318967-0.45%0.3291+2.72%0.0191✗1.02397k2022-01-14
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos37.6237.4679-0.40%40.44+7.50%0.0652✗0.9486.7M2022-01-14
ZECZcashZcash143.25142.7165-0.37%142.55-0.49%0.0167✓1.3010.9M2022-01-14
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.2493.238-0.34%3.3204+2.20%0.0110✗1.192.6M2022-01-14
MOVRMoonriverBase161160.4632-0.33%157.2002-2.36%0.0340✓1.13540k2022-01-14
BANDBandEthereum5.845.8207-0.33%5.7-2.40%0.0342✓1.112.4M2022-01-14
MASKMask NetworkEthereum9.549.5092-0.32%9.5-0.42%0.0094✓0.711.1M2022-01-14
LPTLivepeerEthereum35.7335.6181-0.31%36.25+1.46%0.0022✓1.662.7M2022-01-14
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum31.3931.2928-0.31%32.54+3.66%0.0224✗1.4133.4M2022-01-14
CELLCellframeEthereum10.996967-0.30%1.0647+6.47%0.0542✗0.97110k2022-01-14
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.93555.9176-0.30%6.0352+1.68%0.0053✗1.21457k2022-01-14
LUNATerraTerra 277.8577.6254-0.29%81.47+4.65%0.0365✗1.007.4M2022-01-14
HIVEHivenative1.29021.2865-0.29%1.31+1.53%0.0015✓1.404.2M2022-01-14
GTCGitcoinEthereum11.0411.0093-0.28%10.98-0.54%0.0048✓0.182.8M2022-01-14
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.035.0164-0.27%5.35+6.36%0.0478✗1.3931.8M2022-01-14
LSKLiskEthereum2.08772.0823-0.26%2.0924+0.23%0.0083✓1.1194k2022-01-14
DEXEDeXeEthereum9.589.557-0.24%9.84+2.71%0.0295✗-0.021.6M2022-01-14
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.80323.7943-0.24%3.7699-0.88%0.0057✓-0.06364k2022-01-14
LINKChainlinkEthereum24.8824.8222-0.23%25.74+3.46%0.0222✗1.1974.3M2022-01-14
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.06950.069339-0.23%0.0707+1.73%0.0049✗1.2316.9M2022-01-14
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.143.133-0.22%3.19+1.59%0.0063✗0.99923k2022-01-14
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.01371.0115-0.22%1.0305+1.66%0.0020✓1.401.5M2022-01-14
XTZTezosTezos4.11614.1073-0.21%4.285+4.10%0.0262✗1.364.4M2022-01-14
DASHDashDash141.37141.0721-0.21%141.12-0.18%0.0140✓1.212.8M2022-01-14
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1715880.171227-0.21%0.183317+6.84%0.0553✗1.095.4M2022-01-14
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.05470.054587-0.21%0.0557+1.83%0.0039✗1.371.5M2022-01-14
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.38221.3793-0.21%1.4198+2.72%0.0186✗0.86922k2022-01-14
MINAMina Protocolnative3.283.2735-0.20%3.46+5.49%0.0426✗1.08808k2022-01-14
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.3712.3664-0.20%2.415+1.86%0.0070✗1.122.0M2022-01-14
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5120.510999-0.20%0.521+1.76%0.0039✗1.302.1M2022-01-14
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.6117.5962-0.19%7.673+0.81%0.0054✓1.30291k2022-01-14
GTGateEthereum6.77336.7602-0.19%6.8128+0.58%0.0025✓0.863.8M2022-01-14
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,460.4531,399.71-0.19%32,239.49+2.48%0.0185✗0.6626.4M2022-01-14
MANADecentralandEthereum2.89362.8881-0.19%2.955+2.12%0.0108✗1.025.3M2022-01-14
ZENHorizenBase55.9955.8855-0.19%53.8-3.91%0.0559✓1.50686k2022-01-14
COMPCompoundEthereum190189.647-0.19%189.59-0.22%0.0142✓1.17153k2022-01-14
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.05770.057593-0.19%0.059654+3.39%0.0209✗1.207.5M2022-01-14
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0285460.028495-0.18%0.028431-0.40%0.0145✓1.035.9M2022-01-14
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.028.0057-0.18%8.04+0.25%0.0049✓0.77767k2022-01-14
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.10861.1068-0.17%1.1223+1.24%0.0021✗1.0023.2M2022-01-14
XMRMoneroMonero223.84223.4809-0.16%229.78+2.65%0.0161✗0.993.0M2022-01-14
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.34434.3374-0.16%4.3463+0.05%0.0130✓1.264.1M2022-01-14
UMAUMAEthereum8.38.2876-0.15%8.39+1.08%0.0008✓0.974.4M2022-01-14
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.3410.3252-0.14%10.52+1.74%0.0098✗0.75994k2022-01-14
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.081.0785-0.14%1.09+0.93%0.0121✓1.911.7M2022-01-14
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.91533.9098-0.14%4.1356+5.63%0.0473✗0.752,2572022-01-14
KSMKusamaHydration266.15265.7911-0.13%281.84+5.90%0.0447✗1.181.4M2022-01-14
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.66450.663681-0.12%0.7107+6.95%0.0533✗1.274.0M2022-01-14
COTICOTIEthereum0.33080.330401-0.12%0.335+1.27%0.0042✓1.523.8M2022-01-14
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.184.1752-0.11%4.269+2.13%0.0127✗0.801.1M2022-01-14
CHZChilizEthereum0.2640.263704-0.11%0.2668+1.06%0.0042✓1.334.2M2022-01-14
CBKCobakEthereum2.8042.8009-0.11%2.857+1.89%0.0091✗0.9026k2022-01-14
ADACardanoCardano1.23281.2315-0.11%1.2931+4.89%0.0352✗1.1495.6M2022-01-14
LCXLCXEthereum0.13880.138659-0.10%0.1392+0.29%0.0113✓1.282.4M2022-01-14
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.3110.310692-0.10%0.3321+6.78%0.0515✗1.272.2M2022-01-14
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000029680.000029651-0.10%0.00003084+3.91%0.0234✗1.341.7M2022-01-14
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.36161.3604-0.09%1.3822+1.51%0.0020✗1.1730.5M2022-01-14
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3570.356677-0.09%0.366+2.52%0.0168✗0.7643k2022-01-14
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.352.348-0.09%2.38+1.28%0.0010✗1.063.1M2022-01-14
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7833.7798-0.08%3.845+1.64%0.0087✗0.70526k2022-01-14
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.732.7278-0.08%2.77+1.47%0.0004✓1.323.2M2022-01-14
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.03371.033-0.07%1.0526+1.83%0.0024✓1.79986k2022-01-14
GITCOINGITCOIN11.09111.083-0.07%10.866-2.03%0.0211✓0.1250k2022-01-14
SCSiacoinnative0.013480.013471-0.07%0.01386+2.82%0.0167✗0.99686k2022-01-14
DODODODOEthereum0.770.769522-0.06%0.802+4.16%0.0237✗1.488.0M2022-01-14
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.7114.7011-0.06%14.96+1.70%0.0094✗0.681.1M2022-01-14
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08270.082651-0.06%0.0865+4.59%0.0290✗1.391.2M2022-01-14
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.3011.3003-0.05%1.308+0.54%0.0102✓1.362.8M2022-01-14
XLMStellarStellar0.2694070.269275-0.05%0.265375-1.50%0.0270✓1.0424.2M2022-01-14
TRBTellor TributesEthereum29.329.2857-0.05%29.7+1.37%0.0043✓1.541.0M2022-01-14
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.7884.7859-0.04%4.867+1.65%0.0088✗0.67474k2022-01-14
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.014820.014814-0.04%0.015+1.21%0.0031✓1.312.2M2022-01-14
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.371.3695-0.04%1.38+0.73%0.0122✓1.67582k2022-01-14
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.1790.178935-0.04%0.1798+0.45%0.0060✓0.91439k2022-01-14
XEMNEMnative0.11580.115763-0.03%0.1192+2.94%0.0168✗1.0557k2022-01-14
SUSHISushiEthereum7.037.0282-0.03%7.03+0.00%0.0151✓1.2917.7M2022-01-14
AUCTIONBounceEthereum19.7919.7855-0.02%20.29+2.53%0.0128✗1.051.0M2022-01-14
SOLSolanaSolana146.24146.2076-0.02%146.17-0.05%0.0137✓1.13185.4M2022-01-14
API3Api3Ethereum3.643.6392-0.02%3.92+7.69%0.0653✗0.76471k2022-01-14
QNTQuantEthereum165.57165.551-0.01%165.39-0.11%0.0121✓0.937.0M2022-01-14
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV109.36109.3486-0.01%113.04+3.37%0.0219✗0.952.2M2022-01-14
LTCLitecoinLitecoin136.82136.8077-0.01%144.84+5.86%0.0409✗1.3632.2M2022-01-14
FTTFTXEthereum40.9340.9273-0.01%44.73+9.28%0.0759✗1.0921.5M2022-01-14
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche89.7689.7547-0.01%90.41+0.72%0.0068✓1.18109.3M2022-01-14
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.716.7098-0.00%6.68-0.45%0.0123✓0.66643k2022-01-14
DOTPolkadotPolkadot25.8225.8192-0.00%27.76+7.51%0.0566✗1.3366.7M2022-01-14
DKAdKargoEthereum0.108760.108759-0.00%0.10933+0.52%0.0083✓1.1425k2022-01-14
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.7227.72+0.00%28.42+2.53%0.0165✓0.71360k2022-01-14
KCSKuCoinnative19.58519.5859+0.00%20.08+2.53%0.0057✓1.6111.7M2022-01-14
CTKShentuOsmosis1.4511.4511+0.01%1.509+4.00%0.0229✓1.364.7M2022-01-14
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.092470.092477+0.01%0.09336+0.96%0.0009✓0.7352k2022-01-14
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.792.7905+0.02%2.92+4.66%0.0307✓1.243.2M2022-01-14
XYMSymbolnative0.19240.192444+0.02%0.1929+0.26%0.0057✗0.68441k2022-01-14
SKLSKALEEthereum0.15670.156741+0.03%0.1754+11.93%0.0977✓1.244.2M2022-01-14
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.927.9223+0.03%7.91-0.13%0.0091✗0.63694k2022-01-14
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7374510.737685+0.03%0.748205+1.46%0.0006✓1.142.8M2022-01-14
AAVEAaveEthereum209.41209.4857+0.04%224.05+6.99%0.0533✓1.1717.6M2022-01-14
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.2830.2912+0.04%31.98+5.61%0.0417✓1.052.9M2022-01-14
ETHEthereumEthereum3,241.883,243.15+0.04%3,310.45+2.12%0.0078✓1.07560.6M2022-01-14
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.0191.0194+0.04%0.9779-4.03%0.0537✗1.023.1M2022-01-14
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07920.079236+0.05%0.0813+2.65%0.0126✓1.1119k2022-01-14
UNIUniswapEthereum15.4615.4672+0.05%15.87+2.65%0.0103✓1.3012.4M2022-01-14
AMPAmpEthereum0.040680.040701+0.05%0.04111+1.06%0.0008✗0.918.4M2022-01-14
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.085.0827+0.05%5.22+2.76%0.0126✓1.183.3M2022-01-14
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash377.35377.5545+0.05%385.65+2.20%0.0092✓1.018.1M2022-01-14
XVSVenusEthereum13.8513.8582+0.06%14+1.08%0.0034✗1.143.2M2022-01-14
STORJStorjEthereum1.57491.5759+0.07%1.6069+2.03%0.0090✓0.88558k2022-01-14
SUNSun TokenTron0.019260.019273+0.07%0.02049+6.39%0.0467✓1.222.5M2022-01-14
XVGVergenative0.013770.01378+0.07%0.01389+0.87%0.0067✗1.242.1M2022-01-14
NANOnanopayBase3.03953.0417+0.07%3.1511+3.67%0.0218✓1.14699k2022-01-14
RADRadworksEthereum8.048.0459+0.07%7.92-1.49%0.0263✗0.881.1M2022-01-14
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.016230.016243+0.08%0.01666+2.65%0.0168✓0.7225k2022-01-14
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.57110.571589+0.09%0.5792+1.42%0.0023✗1.3012.5M2022-01-14
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.10890.108994+0.09%0.113+3.76%0.0229✓1.11303k2022-01-14
UOSUltraEthereum1.29591.2971+0.09%1.2988+0.22%0.0112✗1.053.2M2022-01-14
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.8231.8247+0.09%1.853+1.65%0.0017✓1.152.2M2022-01-14
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum7.7587.7652+0.09%7.757-0.01%0.0093✗0.69199k2022-01-14
SPELLSpellEthereum0.014440.014455+0.10%0.01434-0.69%0.0363✗2.3926.8M2022-01-14
QTUMQtumQtum7.56097.5691+0.11%7.8442+3.75%0.0187✓1.43268k2022-01-14
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,581.6542,628.88+0.11%43,090.72+1.20%0.0011✓1.00730.7M2022-01-14
TRXTRONTron0.0661580.066234+0.12%0.067658+2.27%0.0099✓0.96552k2022-01-14
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.078970.079077+0.14%0.08072+2.22%0.0037✓1.422.6M2022-01-14
IMXImmutableEthereum3.493.4951+0.15%3.55+1.72%0.0009✓1.382.2M2022-01-14
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum73.1273.2288+0.15%73.7+0.79%0.0064✗1.076.3M2022-01-14
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.0271.0287+0.16%1.055+2.73%0.0138✓0.972.2M2022-01-14
XECeCashnative0.000094970.000095131+0.17%0.00009702+2.16%0.0077✓1.016.6M2022-01-14
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,708.5042,783.88+0.18%43,294.10+1.37%0.0002✓0.9814k2022-01-14
FILFilecoinFilecoin28.5128.5638+0.19%29.72+4.24%0.0269✓1.0816.0M2022-01-14
LRCLoopringEthereum1.49531.4985+0.21%1.4707-1.65%0.0416✗1.931.4M2022-01-14
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum25.6925.7552+0.25%26.28+2.30%0.0017✓1.844.3M2022-01-14
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07930.079572+0.34%0.079-0.38%0.0191✗1.0028.0M2022-01-14
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.