2022-01-11 · +1d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1592

139 of 139 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+5.16%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

47.5%

in alpha space · 42.4% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+2.73%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.077	0.077335	+0.44%	0.0819	+6.36%	0.0304	✓	1.00	30.6M	2022-01-12
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.9389	0.94159	+0.29%	1.1869	+26.41%	0.2075	✓	0.89	3.1M	2022-01-12
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	26.75	26.8187	+0.26%	27.99	+4.64%	0.0066	✗	1.83	5.0M	2022-01-12
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.4915	1.4952	+0.25%	1.6281	+9.16%	0.0339	✓	1.91	1.4M	2022-01-12
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009356	0.000093765	+0.22%	0.00009819	+4.95%	0.0192	✓	1.00	6.7M	2022-01-12
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	72.75	72.899	+0.20%	78.16	+7.44%	0.0415	✓	1.05	6.4M	2022-01-12
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	28.89	28.9441	+0.19%	30.77	+6.51%	0.0329	✓	1.05	18.5M	2022-01-12
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01458	0.014607	+0.18%	0.01576	+8.09%	0.0124	✓	2.36	26.8M	2022-01-12
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.07976	0.079902	+0.18%	0.08196	+2.76%	0.0130	✗	1.43	2.6M	2022-01-12
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.018697	0.018729	+0.17%	0.01979	+5.85%	0.0223	✓	1.22	2.5M	2022-01-12
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.045	1.0468	+0.17%	1.084	+3.73%	0.0093	✓	0.95	2.2M	2022-01-12
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.064934	0.065038	+0.16%	0.068101	+4.88%	0.0205	✓	0.95	552k	2022-01-12
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.521	7.5323	+0.15%	7.9176	+5.27%	0.0115	✓	1.42	273k	2022-01-12
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2365	1.2383	+0.14%	1.3521	+9.35%	0.0604	✓	1.02	3.3M	2022-01-12
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.61	3.6148	+0.13%	3.73	+3.32%	0.0053	✗	1.36	2.4M	2022-01-12
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5691	0.569845	+0.13%	0.5942	+4.41%	0.0068	✓	1.30	12.5M	2022-01-12
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	42,753.44	42,808.09	+0.13%	43,920.37	+2.73%	0.0013	✗	1.00	754.4M	2022-01-12
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.15	2.1527	+0.13%	2.24	+4.19%	0.0106	✓	1.08	3.3M	2022-01-12
XVG	Verge	native	0.01386	0.013876	+0.11%	0.01475	+6.42%	0.0284	✓	1.22	2.1M	2022-01-12
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.398	1.3995	+0.11%	1.49	+6.58%	0.0261	✓	1.36	5.2M	2022-01-12
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.93	2.9331	+0.11%	3.02	+3.07%	0.0030	✗	1.19	3.2M	2022-01-12
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	42,770.20	42,814.92	+0.10%	43,982.00	+2.83%	0.0004	✓	0.98	14k	2022-01-12
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	369.84	370.2216	+0.10%	383.83	+3.78%	0.0088	✓	1.01	8.5M	2022-01-12
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.0312	3.0341	+0.10%	3.2877	+8.46%	0.0506	✓	1.10	699k	2022-01-12
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.718632	0.719318	+0.10%	0.752838	+4.76%	0.0148	✓	1.14	2.6M	2022-01-12
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01644	0.016456	+0.09%	0.01729	+5.17%	0.0307	✓	0.70	27k	2022-01-12
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.08	5.0847	+0.09%	5.43	+6.89%	0.0346	✓	1.15	3.3M	2022-01-12
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1102	0.110303	+0.09%	0.1144	+3.81%	0.0067	✓	1.10	304k	2022-01-12
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	131.67	131.7881	+0.09%	142.02	+7.86%	0.0385	✓	1.35	35.0M	2022-01-12
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	13.71	13.7215	+0.08%	14.23	+3.79%	0.0056	✓	1.14	3.3M	2022-01-12
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.86	1.8614	+0.08%	1.905	+2.42%	0.0078	✗	1.15	2.3M	2022-01-12
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	29.69	29.7112	+0.07%	31.15	+4.92%	0.0191	✓	1.05	3.2M	2022-01-12
XMR	Monero	Monero	193.01	193.1435	+0.07%	199.2	+3.21%	0.0030	✓	1.03	3.0M	2022-01-12
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,240.83	3,243.05	+0.07%	3,373.64	+4.10%	0.0108	✓	1.06	591.9M	2022-01-12
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	8.01	8.0154	+0.07%	8.13	+1.50%	0.0099	✗	0.89	1.1M	2022-01-12
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10496	0.105019	+0.06%	0.11114	+5.89%	0.0261	✓	1.14	23k	2022-01-12
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.5924	1.5933	+0.05%	1.667	+4.68%	0.0221	✓	0.86	610k	2022-01-12
SOL	Solana	Solana	140.27	140.3379	+0.05%	151.56	+8.05%	0.0470	✓	1.11	194.0M	2022-01-12
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	39.78	39.7991	+0.05%	41.43	+4.15%	0.0107	✓	1.10	20.7M	2022-01-12
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	6.99	6.9927	+0.04%	7.12	+1.86%	0.0172	✗	1.31	18.2M	2022-01-12
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.54	3.5413	+0.04%	3.79	+7.06%	0.0495	✓	0.68	486k	2022-01-12
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	213.29	213.3622	+0.03%	218.61	+2.49%	0.0072	✗	1.17	17.6M	2022-01-12
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		110.22	110.2557	+0.03%	112.64	+2.20%	0.0043	✗	0.95	2.6M	2022-01-12
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1605	0.160547	+0.03%	0.1668	+3.93%	0.0050	✓	1.23	4.2M	2022-01-12
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.378	19.3836	+0.03%	20.372	+5.13%	0.0062	✓	1.61	13.0M	2022-01-12
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	25.55	25.5573	+0.03%	27.32	+6.93%	0.0313	✓	1.32	70.4M	2022-01-12
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04184	0.041851	+0.03%	0.04277	+2.22%	0.0027	✗	0.91	8.4M	2022-01-12
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01475	0.014753	+0.02%	0.01542	+4.54%	0.0090	✓	1.31	2.2M	2022-01-12
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.153722	0.153749	+0.02%	0.162908	+5.98%	0.0281	✓	1.11	5.1M	2022-01-12
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0824	0.082409	+0.01%	0.0875	+6.19%	0.0229	✓	1.38	1.2M	2022-01-12
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	29.43	29.4332	+0.01%	31.51	+7.07%	0.0271	✓	1.52	1.0M	2022-01-12
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.747	0.747045	+0.01%	0.833	+11.51%	0.0700	✓	1.44	7.7M	2022-01-12
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.273	1.273	+0.00%	1.363	+7.07%	0.0322	✓	1.34	2.9M	2022-01-12
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8	7.9999	-0.00%	8.19	+2.38%	0.0067	✗	0.62	714k	2022-01-12
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	89.66	89.6576	-0.00%	96.02	+7.09%	0.0373	✗	1.16	115.7M	2022-01-12
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.36	1.36	-0.00%	1.43	+5.15%	0.0051	✗	1.67	738k	2022-01-12
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1778	0.177792	-0.00%	0.1826	+2.70%	0.0020	✗	0.91	463k	2022-01-12
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	15.98	15.9791	-0.01%	16.29	+1.94%	0.0158	✓	1.30	13.1M	2022-01-12
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	8.221	8.2201	-0.01%	8.452	+2.81%	0.0099	✗	0.66	221k	2022-01-12
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.96	0.959892	-0.01%	1.17	+21.88%	0.1512	✗	1.73	1.6M	2022-01-12
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.263177	0.263143	-0.01%	0.282353	+7.29%	0.0429	✗	1.02	24.9M	2022-01-12
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3101	0.310055	-0.01%	0.3269	+5.42%	0.0189	✗	1.26	2.2M	2022-01-12
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.09134	0.091324	-0.02%	0.09754	+6.79%	0.0471	✗	0.70	52k	2022-01-12
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	169.57	169.5302	-0.02%	168.76	-0.48%	0.0301	✓	0.95	7.5M	2022-01-12
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	20.39	20.3851	-0.02%	20.88	+2.40%	0.0040	✓	1.04	1.0M	2022-01-12
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.42	28.4131	-0.02%	28.89	+1.65%	0.0023	✓	0.70	363k	2022-01-12
XEM	NEM	native	0.1145	0.114465	-0.03%	0.1192	+4.10%	0.0123	✗	1.05	67k	2022-01-12
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002762	0.00002761	-0.03%	0.0000315	+14.05%	0.0983	✗	1.24	1.7M	2022-01-12
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.78	14.774	-0.04%	15.33	+3.72%	0.0190	✗	0.67	1.1M	2022-01-12
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2641	0.263986	-0.04%	0.2778	+5.19%	0.0154	✗	1.32	4.6M	2022-01-12
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	188.96	188.8782	-0.04%	196.42	+3.95%	0.0078	✗	1.17	161k	2022-01-12
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1879	1.1874	-0.04%	1.313	+10.53%	0.0708	✗	1.11	95.6M	2022-01-12
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.78	6.7769	-0.05%	6.98	+2.95%	0.0120	✗	0.65	645k	2022-01-12
SC	Siacoin	native	0.0135	0.013493	-0.05%	0.01401	+3.78%	0.0112	✗	0.98	756k	2022-01-12
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6511	0.650702	-0.06%	0.6995	+7.43%	0.0385	✗	1.25	4.4M	2022-01-12
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.765	2.7631	-0.07%	2.853	+3.18%	0.0077	✗	0.90	29k	2022-01-12
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.818	3.8153	-0.07%	3.922	+2.72%	0.0088	✗	0.70	526k	2022-01-12
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04765	0.047615	-0.07%	0.0507	+6.40%	0.0325	✗	1.12	17k	2022-01-12
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8921	0.891391	-0.08%	1.0214	+14.49%	0.1141	✗	0.82	122k	2022-01-12
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2062	0.206033	-0.08%	0.2011	-2.47%	0.0427	✓	0.69	428k	2022-01-12
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	260.77	260.5408	-0.09%	275.54	+5.66%	0.0245	✗	1.17	1.3M	2022-01-12
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.328	5.3229	-0.10%	5.895	+10.64%	0.0698	✗	1.20	446k	2022-01-12
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.14	5.1349	-0.10%	5.64	+9.73%	0.0639	✗	1.11	2.2M	2022-01-12
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.1768	4.1724	-0.10%	4.2739	+2.32%	0.0105	✓	1.28	4.2M	2022-01-12
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.8424	3.8383	-0.11%	3.9279	+2.23%	0.0028	✗	0.75	3,116	2022-01-12
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1471	0.146933	-0.11%	0.1554	+5.64%	0.0225	✗	1.24	2.1M	2022-01-12
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.0548	1.0535	-0.11%	1.1158	+5.79%	0.0095	✗	1.78	1.0M	2022-01-12
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.382	4.3769	-0.12%	4.416	+0.78%	0.0125	✓	0.79	1.1M	2022-01-12
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.076	0.075912	-0.12%	0.0825	+8.55%	0.0541	✗	1.08	19k	2022-01-12
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.4129	6.4053	-0.12%	6.8813	+7.30%	0.0489	✗	0.85	3.7M	2022-01-12
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		11.203	11.1888	-0.13%	11.904	+6.26%	0.0601	✗	0.07	56k	2022-01-12
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.8	2.7962	-0.13%	2.89	+3.21%	0.0026	✓	1.32	3.2M	2022-01-12
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.094	7.0841	-0.14%	7.779	+9.66%	0.0589	✗	1.29	271k	2022-01-12
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.65	8.6373	-0.15%	8.89	+2.77%	0.0031	✗	0.95	4.4M	2022-01-12
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.61	4.6029	-0.15%	4.91	+6.51%	0.0267	✗	1.41	30.4M	2022-01-12
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.19	10.1737	-0.16%	10.52	+3.24%	0.0134	✗	0.75	994k	2022-01-12
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3363	0.335762	-0.16%	0.3542	+5.32%	0.0129	✗	1.50	3.8M	2022-01-12
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	73.57	73.4516	-0.16%	81.93	+11.36%	0.0823	✗	1.00	7.4M	2022-01-12
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.361	0.360407	-0.16%	0.379	+4.99%	0.0305	✗	0.73	39k	2022-01-12
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.029265	0.029217	-0.16%	0.029842	+1.97%	0.0066	✓	1.03	6.3M	2022-01-12
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.025	1.0233	-0.17%	1.0716	+4.55%	0.0087	✗	1.39	1.6M	2022-01-12
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.4467	1.4442	-0.17%	1.4989	+3.61%	0.0062	✗	1.15	32.1M	2022-01-12
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0574	0.057295	-0.18%	0.0604	+5.23%	0.0167	✗	1.34	1.5M	2022-01-12
ZEN	Horizen	Base	56.11	56.0076	-0.18%	59.25	+5.60%	0.0160	✗	1.49	736k	2022-01-12
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7323	3.7255	-0.18%	3.8595	+3.41%	0.0375	✗	-0.08	371k	2022-01-12
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.311	2.3066	-0.19%	2.521	+9.09%	0.0596	✗	1.09	1.9M	2022-01-12
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	9.73	9.7109	-0.20%	10.07	+3.49%	0.0378	✗	-0.06	1.6M	2022-01-12
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.141	1.1387	-0.20%	1.1883	+4.15%	0.0162	✗	0.98	23.2M	2022-01-12
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.516	0.514972	-0.20%	0.539	+4.46%	0.0108	✗	1.29	2.1M	2022-01-12
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	32,768.96	32,701.15	-0.21%	33,839.55	+3.27%	0.0170	✗	0.64	26.4M	2022-01-12
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.9312	2.9251	-0.21%	3.0897	+5.41%	0.0278	✗	1.00	5.4M	2022-01-12
DASH	Dash	Dash	141.85	141.5408	-0.22%	143.32	+1.04%	0.0204	✓	1.22	2.2M	2022-01-12
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.1752	4.1661	-0.22%	4.3843	+5.01%	0.0147	✗	1.35	4.6M	2022-01-12
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.5799	0.578571	-0.23%	0.6859	+18.28%	0.1337	✗	1.36	2.7M	2022-01-12
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.45	3.442	-0.23%	3.59	+4.06%	0.0137	✗	1.05	715k	2022-01-12
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.2	3.1925	-0.24%	3.27	+2.19%	0.0025	✓	0.98	977k	2022-01-12
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3709	1.3676	-0.24%	1.4029	+2.33%	0.0021	✓	0.87	922k	2022-01-12
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.07076	0.070583	-0.25%	0.07298	+3.14%	0.0004	✓	1.22	16.9M	2022-01-12
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.1025	2.0967	-0.28%	2.1488	+2.20%	0.0055	✓	1.12	83k	2022-01-12
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.1	8.0775	-0.28%	8.19	+1.11%	0.0070	✓	0.77	741k	2022-01-12
HIVE	Hive	native	1.3102	1.3065	-0.28%	1.3807	+5.38%	0.0179	✗	1.39	4.5M	2022-01-12
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	26.6	26.5222	-0.29%	26.76	+0.60%	0.0230	✓	1.19	70.9M	2022-01-12
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	36.84	36.73	-0.30%	39.17	+6.32%	0.0200	✗	1.64	2.8M	2022-01-12
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	11.23	11.1938	-0.32%	12	+6.86%	0.0661	✗	0.13	2.8M	2022-01-12
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.814	4.7977	-0.34%	5.032	+4.53%	0.0301	✗	0.65	481k	2022-01-12
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	141.38	140.8981	-0.34%	144.49	+2.20%	0.0104	✓	1.32	10.9M	2022-01-12
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	9.67	9.6369	-0.34%	10.21	+5.58%	0.0393	✗	0.68	1.2M	2022-01-12
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	165.565	164.965	-0.36%	169.994	+2.68%	0.0003	✓	1.13	540k	2022-01-12
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6826	0.679948	-0.39%	0.7422	+8.73%	0.0395	✗	1.79	38.7M	2022-01-12
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.064925	0.06467	-0.39%	0.060875	-6.24%	0.0937	✓	1.23	7.3M	2022-01-12
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	38.71	38.5361	-0.45%	40.25	+3.98%	0.0188	✗	0.92	65.3M	2022-01-12
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	34.45	34.2899	-0.46%	34.99	+1.57%	0.0173	✓	1.39	29.9M	2022-01-12
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3228	0.321216	-0.49%	0.3384	+4.83%	0.0251	✗	1.00	397k	2022-01-12
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.086423	0.085987	-0.50%	0.081805	-5.34%	0.0768	✓	1.00	2.8M	2022-01-12
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1857	3.1694	-0.51%	3.2451	+1.86%	0.0090	✓	1.21	2.5M	2022-01-12
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.17303	0.172143	-0.51%	0.18305	+5.79%	0.0194	✗	1.56	5,360	2022-01-12
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.57	3.5498	-0.57%	3.75	+5.04%	0.0209	✗	1.26	9.3M	2022-01-12
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6261	0.622481	-0.58%	0.6228	-0.53%	0.0387	✓	1.45	736k	2022-01-12
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.766	3.7081	-1.54%	3.605	-4.28%	0.0767	✓	1.80	1.2M	2022-01-12

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.