2022-01-10 · +1d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1411

139 of 139 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+6.20%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

30.2%

in alpha space · 14.4% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+2.22%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.9491	0.953644	+0.48%	0.9389	-1.07%	0.0354	✗	0.90	3.2M	2022-01-11
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	25.38	25.421	+0.16%	26.75	+5.40%	0.0108	✓	1.83	5.4M	2022-01-11
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	28.14	28.1673	+0.10%	28.89	+2.67%	0.0023	✓	1.05	18.5M	2022-01-11
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	6.56	6.5654	+0.08%	6.99	+6.55%	0.0342	✓	1.30	18.2M	2022-01-11
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.143133	0.143232	+0.07%	0.153722	+7.40%	0.0467	✓	1.09	4.8M	2022-01-11
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.018158	0.01817	+0.07%	0.018697	+2.97%	0.0019	✓	1.22	2.5M	2022-01-11
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	3.13	3.1318	+0.06%	2.93	-6.39%	0.0947	✗	1.28	3.2M	2022-01-11
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	199.9	199.9759	+0.04%	213.29	+6.70%	0.0391	✓	1.16	17.6M	2022-01-11
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01395	0.013954	+0.03%	0.01458	+4.52%	0.0083	✗	2.37	26.8M	2022-01-11
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.327	1.3272	+0.01%	1.398	+5.35%	0.0223	✓	1.35	5.2M	2022-01-11
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	15.11	15.1117	+0.01%	15.98	+5.76%	0.0275	✓	1.29	13.1M	2022-01-11
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	182.25	182.2531	+0.00%	188.96	+3.68%	0.0106	✓	1.16	180k	2022-01-11
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.704	2.7037	-0.01%	3.766	+39.28%	0.2971	✗	1.56	1.2M	2022-01-11
XVG	Verge	native	0.01312	0.013118	-0.01%	0.01386	+5.64%	0.0285	✗	1.21	2.1M	2022-01-11
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1319	1.1317	-0.02%	1.2365	+9.24%	0.0665	✗	1.00	3.3M	2022-01-11
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.785	1.7847	-0.02%	1.86	+4.20%	0.0162	✗	1.15	2.3M	2022-01-11
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.468	1.4677	-0.02%	1.4915	+1.60%	0.0262	✓	1.92	1.4M	2022-01-11
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.063485	0.063464	-0.03%	0.064934	+2.28%	0.0021	✗	0.95	552k	2022-01-11
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	363.56	363.4366	-0.03%	369.84	+1.73%	0.0048	✓	1.01	8.5M	2022-01-11
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.8841	2.883	-0.04%	3.0312	+5.10%	0.0261	✗	1.09	665k	2022-01-11
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		105.99	105.9429	-0.04%	110.22	+3.99%	0.0188	✗	0.95	2.6M	2022-01-11
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1582	0.158108	-0.06%	0.1605	+1.45%	0.0122	✓	1.24	4.2M	2022-01-11
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,083.51	3,081.66	-0.06%	3,240.83	+5.10%	0.0272	✗	1.05	591.9M	2022-01-11
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0772	0.077149	-0.07%	0.077	-0.26%	0.0239	✓	1.00	33.0M	2022-01-11
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	28.48	28.4606	-0.07%	29.69	+4.25%	0.0194	✗	1.04	3.2M	2022-01-11
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.41	6.4055	-0.07%	6.78	+5.77%	0.0429	✗	0.63	645k	2022-01-11
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.07	2.0684	-0.08%	2.15	+3.86%	0.0151	✗	1.08	3.4M	2022-01-11
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	41,824.07	41,790.03	-0.08%	42,753.44	+2.22%	0.0008	✓	1.00	750.1M	2022-01-11
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.579	3.5759	-0.09%	3.818	+6.68%	0.0506	✗	0.68	514k	2022-01-11
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	68.4	68.3406	-0.09%	72.75	+6.36%	0.0398	✗	1.03	6.4M	2022-01-11
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	13.18	13.1682	-0.09%	13.71	+4.02%	0.0153	✗	1.14	3.4M	2022-01-11
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5425	0.542003	-0.09%	0.5691	+4.90%	0.0203	✗	1.29	12.5M	2022-01-11
SOL	Solana	Solana	135.89	135.7644	-0.09%	140.27	+3.22%	0.0083	✗	1.11	194.0M	2022-01-11
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	23.72	23.698	-0.09%	25.55	+7.72%	0.0467	✗	1.30	70.4M	2022-01-11
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1739	0.173737	-0.09%	0.1778	+2.24%	0.0030	✗	0.91	479k	2022-01-11
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	7.85	7.8423	-0.10%	8.01	+2.04%	0.0015	✗	0.89	1.1M	2022-01-11
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09834	0.098242	-0.10%	0.10496	+6.73%	0.0415	✗	1.12	23k	2022-01-11
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.2356	7.2284	-0.10%	7.521	+3.95%	0.0085	✗	1.42	268k	2022-01-11
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	20.09	20.0695	-0.10%	20.39	+1.49%	0.0070	✓	1.04	1.1M	2022-01-11
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1235	1.1223	-0.11%	1.1879	+5.73%	0.0327	✗	1.09	95.6M	2022-01-11
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0707	0.070624	-0.11%	0.076	+7.50%	0.0500	✗	1.06	19k	2022-01-11
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1815	0.181304	-0.11%	0.2062	+13.61%	0.1144	✗	0.65	410k	2022-01-11
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.343	0.342624	-0.11%	0.361	+5.25%	0.0364	✗	0.72	38k	2022-01-11
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6017	0.601039	-0.11%	0.6826	+13.45%	0.0885	✗	1.76	38.7M	2022-01-11
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	242.17	241.901	-0.11%	260.77	+7.68%	0.0498	✗	1.15	1.3M	2022-01-11
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.299	0.298653	-0.12%	0.3101	+3.71%	0.0100	✗	1.26	2.3M	2022-01-11
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.513	4.5077	-0.12%	4.814	+6.67%	0.0518	✗	0.63	474k	2022-01-11
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.007	18.9845	-0.12%	19.378	+1.95%	0.0152	✓	1.62	13.0M	2022-01-11
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.188	1.1866	-0.12%	1.273	+7.15%	0.0411	✗	1.33	2.9M	2022-01-11
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.4	6.3921	-0.12%	7.094	+10.84%	0.0765	✗	1.26	271k	2022-01-11
XMR	Monero	Monero	182.5	182.272	-0.12%	193.01	+5.76%	0.0348	✗	1.02	2.9M	2022-01-11
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.8683	3.8634	-0.13%	4.1768	+7.98%	0.0502	✗	1.26	4.2M	2022-01-11
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1409	0.14072	-0.13%	0.1471	+4.40%	0.0172	✗	1.23	2.1M	2022-01-11
XEM	NEM	native	0.1116	0.111456	-0.13%	0.1145	+2.60%	0.0040	✗	1.05	67k	2022-01-11
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.253061	0.252733	-0.13%	0.263177	+4.00%	0.0181	✗	1.02	24.0M	2022-01-11
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.34	1.3382	-0.13%	1.36	+1.49%	0.0208	✓	1.68	764k	2022-01-11
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	84.46	84.3469	-0.13%	89.66	+6.16%	0.0358	✗	1.15	115.7M	2022-01-11
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	126.52	126.3425	-0.14%	131.67	+4.07%	0.0118	✗	1.34	35.1M	2022-01-11
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.689086	0.688112	-0.14%	0.718632	+4.29%	0.0184	✗	1.14	2.6M	2022-01-11
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0794	0.079287	-0.14%	0.0824	+3.78%	0.0083	✗	1.37	1.2M	2022-01-11
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.0000267	0.000026662	-0.14%	0.00002762	+3.45%	0.0081	✗	1.24	1.7M	2022-01-11
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009039	0.00009026	-0.14%	0.00009356	+3.51%	0.0140	✗	1.00	6.7M	2022-01-11
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	166.33	166.0857	-0.15%	169.57	+1.95%	0.0001	✓	0.95	7.6M	2022-01-11
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.94	0.938563	-0.15%	0.96	+2.13%	0.0158	✓	1.75	1.6M	2022-01-11
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.07934	0.079219	-0.15%	0.07976	+0.53%	0.0247	✓	1.44	2.5M	2022-01-11
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.0154	0.015375	-0.16%	0.01644	+6.75%	0.0520	✗	0.68	29k	2022-01-11
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.88	4.8722	-0.16%	5.08	+4.10%	0.0165	✗	1.15	3.3M	2022-01-11
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01401	0.013987	-0.16%	0.01475	+5.28%	0.0246	✗	1.30	2.2M	2022-01-11
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	27.36	27.3142	-0.17%	28.42	+3.87%	0.0244	✗	0.69	370k	2022-01-11
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.57	3.5639	-0.17%	3.54	-0.84%	0.0220	✓	0.70	493k	2022-01-11
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.57	7.557	-0.17%	8	+5.68%	0.0436	✗	0.61	714k	2022-01-11
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.08602	0.08587	-0.17%	0.09134	+6.18%	0.0468	✗	0.68	52k	2022-01-11
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	7.61	7.5966	-0.18%	8.1	+6.44%	0.0476	✗	0.76	705k	2022-01-11
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.704	0.702741	-0.18%	0.747	+6.11%	0.0296	✗	1.43	7.7M	2022-01-11
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3129	0.312338	-0.18%	0.3363	+7.48%	0.0411	✗	1.49	4.1M	2022-01-11
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.5156	1.5128	-0.18%	1.5924	+5.07%	0.0326	✗	0.85	647k	2022-01-11
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	28.01	27.9578	-0.19%	29.43	+5.07%	0.0179	✗	1.52	1.0M	2022-01-11
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01297	0.012946	-0.19%	0.0135	+4.09%	0.0205	✗	0.98	756k	2022-01-11
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	9.5	9.4819	-0.19%	9.73	+2.42%	0.0273	✗	-0.07	1.8M	2022-01-11
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	69.46	69.3239	-0.20%	73.57	+5.92%	0.0375	✗	1.00	7.2M	2022-01-11
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	41,624.60	41,542.70	-0.20%	42,770.20	+2.75%	0.0075	✗	0.98	12k	2022-01-11
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.8409	2.8353	-0.20%	3.1857	+12.14%	0.0910	✗	1.16	2.5M	2022-01-11
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0467	0.046603	-0.21%	0.04765	+2.03%	0.0025	✓	1.12	17k	2022-01-11
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.37	8.3522	-0.21%	8.65	+3.35%	0.0141	✗	0.95	4.4M	2022-01-11
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04207	0.04198	-0.21%	0.04184	-0.55%	0.0234	✓	0.92	8.2M	2022-01-11
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.1021	5.0909	-0.22%	5.328	+4.43%	0.0194	✗	1.19	446k	2022-01-11
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.13	3.1231	-0.22%	3.2	+2.24%	0.0027	✗	0.98	977k	2022-01-11
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.031	1.0287	-0.22%	1.045	+1.36%	0.0053	✓	0.96	2.2M	2022-01-11
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.99938	0.997103	-0.23%	1.0548	+5.54%	0.0171	✗	1.78	1.0M	2022-01-11
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.0324	4.0232	-0.23%	4.1752	+3.54%	0.0074	✗	1.35	4.6M	2022-01-11
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.73	2.7237	-0.23%	2.8	+2.56%	0.0014	✓	1.32	3.2M	2022-01-11
ZEN	Horizen	Base	53.33	53.2022	-0.24%	56.11	+5.21%	0.0205	✗	1.49	736k	2022-01-11
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6318	0.630258	-0.24%	0.6511	+3.05%	0.0050	✗	1.25	4.4M	2022-01-11
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.717	2.7103	-0.25%	2.765	+1.77%	0.0001	✓	0.90	31k	2022-01-11
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.818	2.8109	-0.25%	2.9312	+4.02%	0.0199	✗	1.00	5.5M	2022-01-11
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.26	14.2238	-0.25%	14.78	+3.65%	0.0239	✗	0.66	1.1M	2022-01-11
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.7258	3.7162	-0.26%	3.8424	+3.13%	0.0170	✗	0.75	3,355	2022-01-11
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.79	3.7802	-0.26%	3.61	-4.75%	0.0776	✓	1.44	2.4M	2022-01-11
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	8.92	8.8968	-0.26%	9.67	+8.41%	0.0688	✗	0.66	1.2M	2022-01-11
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.108	0.107715	-0.26%	0.1102	+2.04%	0.0015	✓	1.11	296k	2022-01-11
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.55	0.548537	-0.27%	0.5799	+5.44%	0.0260	✗	1.35	2.7M	2022-01-11
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	141.24	140.8574	-0.27%	141.38	+0.10%	0.0256	✓	1.33	10.9M	2022-01-11
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.497	0.495644	-0.27%	0.516	+3.82%	0.0119	✗	1.29	2.1M	2022-01-11
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.251	0.250314	-0.27%	0.2641	+5.22%	0.0247	✗	1.32	4.6M	2022-01-11
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7419	3.7315	-0.28%	3.7323	-0.26%	0.0020	✓	-0.08	364k	2022-01-11
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	7.507	7.486	-0.28%	8.221	+9.51%	0.0797	✗	0.64	231k	2022-01-11
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.0021	1.9965	-0.28%	2.1025	+5.02%	0.0274	✗	1.11	83k	2022-01-11
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.06891	0.068715	-0.28%	0.07076	+2.68%	0.0024	✓	1.23	16.9M	2022-01-11
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.3624	1.3585	-0.28%	1.4467	+6.19%	0.0378	✗	1.14	32.1M	2022-01-11
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	155.6792	155.2337	-0.29%	165.565	+6.35%	0.0400	✗	1.11	515k	2022-01-11
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0556	0.055436	-0.30%	0.0574	+3.24%	0.0055	✗	1.34	1.5M	2022-01-11
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.84	9.8109	-0.30%	10.19	+3.56%	0.0217	✗	0.74	994k	2022-01-11
HIVE	Hive	native	1.2679	1.2639	-0.31%	1.3102	+3.34%	0.0054	✗	1.39	4.5M	2022-01-11
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.203	4.1898	-0.31%	4.382	+4.26%	0.0276	✗	0.78	1.1M	2022-01-11
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.2	3.1899	-0.32%	3.45	+7.81%	0.0556	✗	1.04	715k	2022-01-11
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.167	2.16	-0.33%	2.311	+6.65%	0.0439	✗	1.08	1.9M	2022-01-11
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.04	5.0235	-0.33%	5.14	+1.98%	0.0015	✓	1.11	2.2M	2022-01-11
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.1115	1.1078	-0.33%	1.141	+2.65%	0.0080	✗	0.98	22.7M	2022-01-11
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8077	0.804928	-0.34%	0.8921	+10.45%	0.0808	✗	1.00	129k	2022-01-11
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.027645	0.027548	-0.35%	0.029265	+5.86%	0.0381	✗	1.02	6.3M	2022-01-11
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	32,010.24	31,897.04	-0.35%	32,768.96	+2.37%	0.0129	✗	0.64	26.4M	2022-01-11
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.32	4.3043	-0.36%	4.61	+6.71%	0.0379	✗	1.40	30.4M	2022-01-11
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.0287	1.0249	-0.37%	1.025	-0.36%	0.0308	✓	1.40	1.5M	2022-01-11
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		10.645	10.6029	-0.40%	11.203	+5.24%	0.0539	✗	0.05	56k	2022-01-11
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	33.37	33.2331	-0.41%	36.84	+10.40%	0.0673	✗	1.63	2.8M	2022-01-11
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	38.11	37.9523	-0.41%	39.78	+4.38%	0.0231	✗	1.09	20.0M	2022-01-11
DASH	Dash	Dash	148.17	147.5456	-0.42%	141.85	-4.27%	0.0668	✓	1.25	2.1M	2022-01-11
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	10.7	10.6547	-0.42%	11.23	+4.95%	0.0501	✗	0.11	2.8M	2022-01-11
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.1496	6.122	-0.45%	6.4129	+4.28%	0.0279	✗	0.84	3.7M	2022-01-11
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.08637	0.085925	-0.52%	0.086423	+0.06%	0.0162	✓	1.00	3.0M	2022-01-11
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3749	1.3677	-0.52%	1.3709	-0.29%	0.0169	✓	0.88	922k	2022-01-11
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.48	3.4617	-0.53%	3.57	+2.59%	0.0035	✓	1.24	9.3M	2022-01-11
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3128	0.311084	-0.55%	0.3228	+3.20%	0.0150	✗	1.00	397k	2022-01-11
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	34.29	34.0977	-0.56%	34.45	+0.47%	0.0206	✓	1.40	28.0M	2022-01-11
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.17081	0.169642	-0.68%	0.17303	+1.30%	0.0147	✓	1.57	4,992	2022-01-11
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	27.98	27.7613	-0.78%	26.6	-4.93%	0.0694	✓	1.21	69.7M	2022-01-11
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	37.83	37.462	-0.97%	38.71	+2.33%	0.0126	✗	0.92	57.0M	2022-01-11
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6249	0.615377	-1.52%	0.6261	+0.19%	0.0150	✓	1.47	650k	2022-01-11
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.081082	0.079008	-2.56%	0.064925	-19.93%	0.2253	✓	1.32	7.3M	2022-01-11

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.