2022-01-10 · +1d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1575

139 of 139 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+4.11%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

59.7%

in alpha space · 62.6% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+2.22%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.081082	0.080037	-1.29%	0.064925	-19.93%	0.2383	✓	1.32	7.3M	2022-01-11
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6249	0.619863	-0.81%	0.6261	+0.19%	0.0223	✓	1.47	650k	2022-01-11
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.17081	0.169927	-0.52%	0.17303	+1.30%	0.0164	✓	1.57	4,992	2022-01-11
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	34.29	34.1237	-0.48%	34.45	+0.47%	0.0213	✓	1.40	28.0M	2022-01-11
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.48	3.4638	-0.47%	3.57	+2.59%	0.0029	✓	1.24	9.3M	2022-01-11
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.08637	0.085987	-0.44%	0.086423	+0.06%	0.0169	✓	1.00	3.0M	2022-01-11
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3128	0.311476	-0.42%	0.3228	+3.20%	0.0138	✗	1.00	397k	2022-01-11
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	37.83	37.6803	-0.40%	38.71	+2.33%	0.0068	✗	0.92	57.0M	2022-01-11
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	27.98	27.8757	-0.37%	26.6	-4.93%	0.0735	✓	1.21	69.7M	2022-01-11
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	141.24	140.8069	-0.31%	141.38	+0.10%	0.0252	✓	1.33	10.9M	2022-01-11
DASH	Dash	Dash	148.17	147.7452	-0.29%	141.85	-4.27%	0.0681	✓	1.25	2.1M	2022-01-11
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	8.92	8.898	-0.25%	9.67	+8.41%	0.0687	✗	0.66	1.2M	2022-01-11
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	10.7	10.6739	-0.24%	11.23	+4.95%	0.0483	✗	0.11	2.8M	2022-01-11
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	155.6792	155.3128	-0.24%	165.565	+6.35%	0.0395	✗	1.11	515k	2022-01-11
HIVE	Hive	native	1.2679	1.265	-0.23%	1.3102	+3.34%	0.0046	✗	1.39	4.5M	2022-01-11
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3749	1.3717	-0.23%	1.3709	-0.29%	0.0199	✓	0.88	922k	2022-01-11
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	33.37	33.3022	-0.20%	36.84	+10.40%	0.0652	✗	1.63	2.8M	2022-01-11
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7419	3.7349	-0.19%	3.7323	-0.26%	0.0011	✓	-0.08	364k	2022-01-11
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.13	3.1248	-0.17%	3.2	+2.24%	0.0021	✗	0.98	977k	2022-01-11
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.06891	0.068804	-0.15%	0.07076	+2.68%	0.0011	✓	1.23	16.9M	2022-01-11
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.818	2.8138	-0.15%	2.9312	+4.02%	0.0189	✗	1.00	5.5M	2022-01-11
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.55	0.549192	-0.15%	0.5799	+5.44%	0.0248	✗	1.35	2.7M	2022-01-11
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	9.5	9.4868	-0.14%	9.73	+2.42%	0.0268	✗	-0.07	1.8M	2022-01-11
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.0021	1.9994	-0.14%	2.1025	+5.02%	0.0260	✗	1.11	83k	2022-01-11
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.0324	4.0269	-0.14%	4.1752	+3.54%	0.0065	✗	1.35	4.6M	2022-01-11
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0556	0.055534	-0.12%	0.0574	+3.24%	0.0037	✗	1.34	1.5M	2022-01-11
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.0287	1.0275	-0.11%	1.025	-0.36%	0.0333	✓	1.40	1.5M	2022-01-11
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.497	0.496445	-0.11%	0.516	+3.82%	0.0103	✗	1.29	2.1M	2022-01-11
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.1115	1.1103	-0.11%	1.141	+2.65%	0.0058	✗	0.98	22.7M	2022-01-11
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.2	3.1966	-0.11%	3.45	+7.81%	0.0535	✗	1.04	715k	2022-01-11
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.167	2.1649	-0.10%	2.311	+6.65%	0.0417	✗	1.08	1.9M	2022-01-11
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	32,010.24	31,985.60	-0.08%	32,768.96	+2.37%	0.0102	✗	0.64	26.4M	2022-01-11
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.704	2.702	-0.07%	3.766	+39.28%	0.2978	✗	1.56	1.2M	2022-01-11
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.73	2.7281	-0.07%	2.8	+2.56%	0.0030	✓	1.32	3.2M	2022-01-11
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.84	9.8348	-0.05%	10.19	+3.56%	0.0193	✗	0.74	994k	2022-01-11
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3129	0.312739	-0.05%	0.3363	+7.48%	0.0399	✗	1.49	4.1M	2022-01-11
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.1496	6.1465	-0.05%	6.4129	+4.28%	0.0240	✗	0.84	3.7M	2022-01-11
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.32	4.3181	-0.04%	4.61	+6.71%	0.0347	✗	1.40	30.4M	2022-01-11
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		10.645	10.6404	-0.04%	11.203	+5.24%	0.0504	✗	0.05	56k	2022-01-11
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.7258	3.7242	-0.04%	3.8424	+3.13%	0.0148	✗	0.75	3,355	2022-01-11
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.37	8.3667	-0.04%	8.65	+3.35%	0.0124	✗	0.95	4.4M	2022-01-11
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.04	5.038	-0.04%	5.14	+1.98%	0.0044	✓	1.11	2.2M	2022-01-11
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	7.61	7.6071	-0.04%	8.1	+6.44%	0.0462	✗	0.76	705k	2022-01-11
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.3624	1.3619	-0.04%	1.4467	+6.19%	0.0354	✗	1.14	32.1M	2022-01-11
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.027645	0.027636	-0.03%	0.029265	+5.86%	0.0349	✗	1.02	6.3M	2022-01-11
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.99938	0.999063	-0.03%	1.0548	+5.54%	0.0152	✗	1.78	1.0M	2022-01-11
ZEN	Horizen	Base	53.33	53.315	-0.03%	56.11	+5.21%	0.0184	✗	1.49	736k	2022-01-11
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.717	2.7165	-0.02%	2.765	+1.77%	0.0021	✓	0.90	31k	2022-01-11
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.343	0.342942	-0.02%	0.361	+5.25%	0.0355	✗	0.72	38k	2022-01-11
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.8409	2.8406	-0.01%	3.1857	+12.14%	0.0892	✗	1.16	2.5M	2022-01-11
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1409	0.14089	-0.01%	0.1471	+4.40%	0.0160	✗	1.23	2.1M	2022-01-11
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	182.25	182.2457	-0.00%	188.96	+3.68%	0.0106	✗	1.16	180k	2022-01-11
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	166.33	166.3452	+0.01%	169.57	+1.95%	0.0016	✗	0.95	7.6M	2022-01-11
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6318	0.631866	+0.01%	0.6511	+3.05%	0.0025	✓	1.25	4.4M	2022-01-11
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.0000267	0.000026703	+0.01%	0.00002762	+3.45%	0.0066	✓	1.24	1.7M	2022-01-11
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0467	0.046707	+0.02%	0.04765	+2.03%	0.0047	✗	1.12	17k	2022-01-11
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.1021	5.1031	+0.02%	5.328	+4.43%	0.0169	✓	1.19	446k	2022-01-11
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.203	4.2039	+0.02%	4.382	+4.26%	0.0243	✓	0.78	1.1M	2022-01-11
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	20.09	20.0949	+0.02%	20.39	+1.49%	0.0083	✗	1.04	1.1M	2022-01-11
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.94	0.940289	+0.03%	0.96	+2.13%	0.0176	✗	1.75	1.6M	2022-01-11
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1739	0.173956	+0.03%	0.1778	+2.24%	0.0018	✓	0.91	479k	2022-01-11
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.08602	0.086053	+0.04%	0.09134	+6.18%	0.0446	✓	0.68	52k	2022-01-11
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	69.46	69.4867	+0.04%	73.57	+5.92%	0.0351	✓	1.00	7.2M	2022-01-11
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1235	1.124	+0.05%	1.1879	+5.73%	0.0312	✓	1.09	95.6M	2022-01-11
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.299	0.299148	+0.05%	0.3101	+3.71%	0.0083	✓	1.26	2.3M	2022-01-11
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01297	0.012976	+0.05%	0.0135	+4.09%	0.0181	✓	0.98	756k	2022-01-11
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.57	3.5718	+0.05%	3.54	-0.84%	0.0243	✗	0.70	493k	2022-01-11
XEM	NEM	native	0.1116	0.111663	+0.06%	0.1145	+2.60%	0.0021	✓	1.05	67k	2022-01-11
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.253061	0.253207	+0.06%	0.263177	+4.00%	0.0163	✓	1.02	24.0M	2022-01-11
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.4	6.4037	+0.06%	7.094	+10.84%	0.0747	✓	1.26	271k	2022-01-11
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6017	0.602067	+0.06%	0.6826	+13.45%	0.0868	✓	1.76	38.7M	2022-01-11
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.007	19.0194	+0.07%	19.378	+1.95%	0.0170	✗	1.62	13.0M	2022-01-11
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04207	0.042099	+0.07%	0.04184	-0.55%	0.0263	✗	0.92	8.2M	2022-01-11
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	84.46	84.521	+0.07%	89.66	+6.16%	0.0337	✓	1.15	115.7M	2022-01-11
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	27.36	27.3801	+0.07%	28.42	+3.87%	0.0220	✓	0.69	370k	2022-01-11
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.26	14.2708	+0.08%	14.78	+3.65%	0.0206	✓	0.66	1.1M	2022-01-11
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	242.17	242.3683	+0.08%	260.77	+7.68%	0.0479	✓	1.15	1.3M	2022-01-11
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.251	0.251207	+0.08%	0.2641	+5.22%	0.0211	✓	1.32	4.6M	2022-01-11
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.579	3.5821	+0.09%	3.818	+6.68%	0.0489	✓	0.68	514k	2022-01-11
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.8683	3.8716	+0.09%	4.1768	+7.98%	0.0481	✓	1.26	4.2M	2022-01-11
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.34	1.3412	+0.09%	1.36	+1.49%	0.0230	✗	1.68	764k	2022-01-11
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1582	0.158348	+0.09%	0.1605	+1.45%	0.0137	✗	1.24	4.2M	2022-01-11
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.79	3.7936	+0.10%	3.61	-4.75%	0.0812	✗	1.44	2.4M	2022-01-11
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	15.11	15.1251	+0.10%	15.98	+5.76%	0.0266	✓	1.29	13.1M	2022-01-11
SOL	Solana	Solana	135.89	136.0354	+0.11%	140.27	+3.22%	0.0063	✓	1.11	194.0M	2022-01-11
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8077	0.808583	+0.11%	0.8921	+10.45%	0.0763	✓	1.00	129k	2022-01-11
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	3.13	3.1334	+0.11%	2.93	-6.39%	0.0952	✗	1.28	3.2M	2022-01-11
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	28.01	28.0409	+0.11%	29.43	+5.07%	0.0150	✓	1.52	1.0M	2022-01-11
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.188	1.1894	+0.12%	1.273	+7.15%	0.0388	✓	1.33	2.9M	2022-01-11
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	7.85	7.8592	+0.12%	8.01	+2.04%	0.0006	✓	0.89	1.1M	2022-01-11
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.5156	1.5174	+0.12%	1.5924	+5.07%	0.0296	✓	0.85	647k	2022-01-11
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0794	0.079494	+0.12%	0.0824	+3.78%	0.0057	✓	1.37	1.2M	2022-01-11
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	41,624.60	41,678.16	+0.13%	42,770.20	+2.75%	0.0043	✓	0.98	12k	2022-01-11
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		105.99	106.127	+0.13%	110.22	+3.99%	0.0170	✓	0.95	2.6M	2022-01-11
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	38.11	38.1602	+0.13%	39.78	+4.38%	0.0176	✓	1.09	20.0M	2022-01-11
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.513	4.5192	+0.14%	4.814	+6.67%	0.0492	✓	0.63	474k	2022-01-11
XMR	Monero	Monero	182.5	182.7613	+0.14%	193.01	+5.76%	0.0321	✓	1.02	2.9M	2022-01-11
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.785	1.7876	+0.15%	1.86	+4.20%	0.0145	✓	1.15	2.3M	2022-01-11
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	28.48	28.5221	+0.15%	29.69	+4.25%	0.0173	✓	1.04	3.2M	2022-01-11
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.108	0.108164	+0.15%	0.1102	+2.04%	0.0056	✗	1.11	296k	2022-01-11
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	13.18	13.2004	+0.15%	13.71	+4.02%	0.0129	✓	1.14	3.4M	2022-01-11
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.704	0.705089	+0.15%	0.747	+6.11%	0.0262	✓	1.43	7.7M	2022-01-11
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.143133	0.143355	+0.15%	0.153722	+7.40%	0.0459	✓	1.09	4.8M	2022-01-11
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.57	7.5818	+0.16%	8	+5.68%	0.0403	✓	0.61	714k	2022-01-11
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	23.72	23.7585	+0.16%	25.55	+7.72%	0.0441	✓	1.30	70.4M	2022-01-11
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.41	6.4204	+0.16%	6.78	+5.77%	0.0405	✓	0.63	645k	2022-01-11
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01401	0.014033	+0.16%	0.01475	+5.28%	0.0213	✓	1.30	2.2M	2022-01-11
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,083.51	3,088.66	+0.17%	3,240.83	+5.10%	0.0249	✓	1.05	591.9M	2022-01-11
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	363.56	364.1679	+0.17%	369.84	+1.73%	0.0069	✗	1.01	8.5M	2022-01-11
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	126.52	126.7452	+0.18%	131.67	+4.07%	0.0086	✓	1.34	35.1M	2022-01-11
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1815	0.181831	+0.18%	0.2062	+13.61%	0.1115	✓	0.65	410k	2022-01-11
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	199.9	200.2708	+0.19%	213.29	+6.70%	0.0376	✓	1.16	17.6M	2022-01-11
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	7.507	7.521	+0.19%	8.221	+9.51%	0.0750	✓	0.64	231k	2022-01-11
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.07	2.0739	+0.19%	2.15	+3.86%	0.0124	✓	1.08	3.4M	2022-01-11
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	41,824.07	41,904.52	+0.19%	42,753.44	+2.22%	0.0019	✗	1.00	750.1M	2022-01-11
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.063485	0.06361	+0.20%	0.064934	+2.28%	0.0002	✓	0.95	552k	2022-01-11
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.07934	0.079498	+0.20%	0.07976	+0.53%	0.0283	✗	1.44	2.5M	2022-01-11
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.2356	7.2503	+0.20%	7.521	+3.95%	0.0054	✓	1.42	268k	2022-01-11
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.88	4.89	+0.20%	5.08	+4.10%	0.0129	✓	1.15	3.3M	2022-01-11
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09834	0.098543	+0.21%	0.10496	+6.73%	0.0384	✓	1.12	23k	2022-01-11
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.0154	0.015433	+0.21%	0.01644	+6.75%	0.0483	✓	0.68	29k	2022-01-11
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.031	1.0332	+0.21%	1.045	+1.36%	0.0097	✗	0.96	2.2M	2022-01-11
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.8841	2.8905	+0.22%	3.0312	+5.10%	0.0235	✓	1.09	665k	2022-01-11
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.689086	0.69063	+0.22%	0.718632	+4.29%	0.0148	✓	1.14	2.6M	2022-01-11
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0707	0.070862	+0.23%	0.076	+7.50%	0.0466	✓	1.06	19k	2022-01-11
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.327	1.3301	+0.23%	1.398	+5.35%	0.0202	✓	1.35	5.2M	2022-01-11
XVG	Verge	native	0.01312	0.01315	+0.23%	0.01386	+5.64%	0.0261	✓	1.21	2.1M	2022-01-11
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.018158	0.018201	+0.24%	0.018697	+2.97%	0.0001	✓	1.22	2.5M	2022-01-11
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5425	0.543843	+0.25%	0.5691	+4.90%	0.0169	✓	1.29	12.5M	2022-01-11
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	6.56	6.5768	+0.26%	6.99	+6.55%	0.0324	✓	1.30	18.2M	2022-01-11
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	28.14	28.2143	+0.26%	28.89	+2.67%	0.0007	✓	1.05	18.5M	2022-01-11
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1319	1.135	+0.27%	1.2365	+9.24%	0.0636	✓	1.00	3.3M	2022-01-11
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009039	0.000090664	+0.30%	0.00009356	+3.51%	0.0096	✓	1.00	6.7M	2022-01-11
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.468	1.4725	+0.30%	1.4915	+1.60%	0.0294	✗	1.92	1.4M	2022-01-11
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	68.4	68.6159	+0.32%	72.75	+6.36%	0.0358	✓	1.03	6.4M	2022-01-11
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01395	0.013994	+0.32%	0.01458	+4.52%	0.0111	✗	2.37	26.8M	2022-01-11
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.9491	0.952349	+0.34%	0.9389	-1.07%	0.0341	✗	0.90	3.2M	2022-01-11
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	25.38	25.4755	+0.38%	26.75	+5.40%	0.0086	✓	1.83	5.4M	2022-01-11
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0772	0.077561	+0.47%	0.077	-0.26%	0.0292	✗	1.00	33.0M	2022-01-11

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.