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2021-12-30 · +1d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1125
137 of 137 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.44%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
37.2%
in alpha space · 78.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.93%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
FILFilecoinFilecoin34.9634.947-0.04%34.24-2.06%0.0004✓1.0323.3M2021-12-31
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.0632.0611-0.09%2.058-0.24%0.0204✗1.123.2M2021-12-31
XYMSymbolnative0.1880.187806-0.10%0.1945+3.46%0.0457✗0.55393k2021-12-31
COMPCompoundEthereum199.64199.4255-0.11%199.58-0.03%0.0226✗1.12220k2021-12-31
XEMNEMnative0.12550.125339-0.13%0.1227-2.23%0.0005✓1.06158k2021-12-31
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV122.49122.3276-0.13%121.02-1.20%0.0077✗0.953.7M2021-12-31
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum24.7824.7455-0.14%24.42-1.45%0.0142✗1.4124.1M2021-12-31
SUNSun TokenTron0.0221420.022108-0.15%0.021822-1.45%0.0110✗1.232.4M2021-12-31
UNIUniswapEthereum17.8117.7821-0.16%16.98-4.66%0.0214✓1.2715.5M2021-12-31
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash431.58430.8999-0.16%430.15-0.33%0.0176✗0.999.8M2021-12-31
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.137.1183-0.16%7.06-0.98%0.0042✗0.641.1M2021-12-31
DKAdKargoEthereum0.111260.111077-0.16%0.11271+1.30%0.0361✗1.1029k2021-12-31
QNTQuantEthereum178.71178.4161-0.16%179.22+0.29%0.0231✗0.959.8M2021-12-31
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1711830.170901-0.16%0.170222-0.56%0.0175✗1.105.5M2021-12-31
XLMStellarStellar0.2680.267545-0.17%0.266478-0.57%0.0158✗1.0129.6M2021-12-31
XVSVenusEthereum15.3715.3418-0.18%15.14-1.50%0.0088✗1.134.7M2021-12-31
QTUMQtumQtum8.83848.8221-0.18%8.736-1.16%0.0169✗1.37280k2021-12-31
DOTPolkadotPolkadot27.5327.4793-0.18%26.67-3.12%0.0054✓1.2575.5M2021-12-31
TRXTRONTron0.0778530.077709-0.19%0.075477-3.05%0.0109✓0.93607k2021-12-31
BTCBitcoinBitcoin47,122.0847,033.72-0.19%46,211.24-1.93%0.0019✓1.00750.8M2021-12-31
LINKChainlinkEthereum19.9419.9016-0.19%19.51-2.16%0.0047✗1.2669.7M2021-12-31
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum47,186.0047,093.88-0.20%46,060.20-2.39%0.0032✓0.979,2042021-12-31
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.273.2636-0.20%3.21-1.83%0.0025✗0.971.1M2021-12-31
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.0795.069-0.20%5.023-1.10%0.0022✗0.58798k2021-12-31
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.088510.088335-0.20%0.08767-0.95%0.0208✗1.454.0M2021-12-31
ETHEthereumEthereum3,710.023,702.66-0.20%3,675.80-0.92%0.0127✗1.02752.6M2021-12-31
KSMKusamaHydration280.04279.4351-0.22%276.22-1.36%0.0096✗1.081.5M2021-12-31
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.0123.9576-0.22%24.41+1.67%0.0327✗0.721.5M2021-12-31
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.20070.20026-0.22%0.1984-1.15%0.0078✗0.88655k2021-12-31
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.5734.4938-0.22%34.06-1.48%0.0069✗1.004.7M2021-12-31
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7954090.793625-0.22%0.802611+0.91%0.0320✗1.062.8M2021-12-31
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.64660.645135-0.23%0.6421-0.70%0.0186✗1.2011.8M2021-12-31
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.41890.417945-0.23%0.4139-1.19%0.0178✗1.41793k2021-12-31
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0484.0388-0.23%4.018-0.74%0.0076✗0.65514k2021-12-31
ADACardanoCardano1.35851.3554-0.23%1.3082-3.70%0.0150✓1.05114.6M2021-12-31
CBKCobakEthereum2.912.9031-0.24%2.882-0.96%0.0097✗0.8765k2021-12-31
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.462.4542-0.24%2.39-2.85%0.0068✓1.014.2M2021-12-31
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4030.402025-0.24%0.426+5.71%0.0724✗0.7445k2021-12-31
NANOnanopayBase3.48683.4778-0.26%3.4015-2.45%0.0019✓1.04819k2021-12-31
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.878.8467-0.26%8.8-0.79%0.0064✗0.601.0M2021-12-31
KCSKuCoinnative21.04820.9926-0.26%21.376+1.56%0.0499✗1.6317.5M2021-12-31
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.3028.2793-0.27%8.1-2.43%0.0020✓1.22392k2021-12-31
DODODODOEthereum0.8630.860589-0.28%0.843-2.32%0.0075✗1.448.7M2021-12-31
DASHDashDash133.04132.6659-0.28%133.78+0.56%0.0327✗1.242.0M2021-12-31
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.70814.6945-0.29%4.6064-2.16%0.0064✗1.305.0M2021-12-31
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.555.534-0.29%5.48-1.26%0.0123✗1.134.3M2021-12-31
SKLSKALEEthereum0.2080.207397-0.29%0.2023-2.74%0.0015✓1.205.7M2021-12-31
NMRNumeraireEthereum32.0631.9667-0.29%31.4-2.06%0.0055✓0.64518k2021-12-31
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.728.6945-0.29%8.41-3.56%0.0191✓0.731.1M2021-12-31
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08280.082555-0.30%0.0823-0.60%0.0174✗1.0518k2021-12-31
CTKShentuOsmosis1.6241.6192-0.30%1.634+0.62%0.0352✗1.347.9M2021-12-31
XECeCashnative0.000109590.000109262-0.30%0.00010819-1.28%0.0094✗0.999.0M2021-12-31
XTZTezosTezos4.34074.3276-0.30%4.3404-0.01%0.0285✗1.314.9M2021-12-31
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum4.334.3169-0.30%4.34+0.23%0.0249✗1.003.6M2021-12-31
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.17713.1675-0.30%3.1464-0.97%0.0171✗1.223.3M2021-12-31
SOLSolanaSolana172.52171.9935-0.31%169.88-1.53%0.0063✗0.96248.9M2021-12-31
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum95.0394.7398-0.31%93.21-1.92%0.0028✓0.987.4M2021-12-31
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.100850.10054-0.31%0.1009+0.05%0.0163✗0.6574k2021-12-31
LTCLitecoinLitecoin147.94147.4845-0.31%146.15-1.21%0.0170✗1.3449.4M2021-12-31
BANDBandEthereum5.135.1142-0.31%5.01-2.34%0.0022✓1.172.4M2021-12-31
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09810.097794-0.31%0.0971-1.02%0.0200✗1.391.9M2021-12-31
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.093.0802-0.32%2.93-5.18%0.0249✓1.293.2M2021-12-31
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.4515.4007-0.32%15.07-2.46%0.0086✓0.671.4M2021-12-31
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.1110.0775-0.32%10.11+0.00%0.0179✗0.751.4M2021-12-31
TRBTellor TributesEthereum33.9933.8759-0.34%33.06-2.74%0.0042✗1.461.3M2021-12-31
XVGVergenative0.017110.017051-0.34%0.01703-0.47%0.0220✗1.192.5M2021-12-31
FTTFTXEthereum38.8938.7559-0.34%38.25-1.65%0.0064✗1.0020.7M2021-12-31
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.5331.5275-0.36%1.542+0.59%0.0344✗1.283.8M2021-12-31
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2671.2624-0.36%1.259-0.63%0.0155✗0.932.8M2021-12-31
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.016530.01647-0.36%0.01579-4.48%0.0174✓1.272.4M2021-12-31
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.32221.3173-0.37%1.2796-3.22%0.0083✓1.061.0M2021-12-31
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.80783.7936-0.37%3.7613-1.22%0.0109✓-0.12409k2021-12-31
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5793.5656-0.37%3.496-2.32%0.0002✓1.002.7M2021-12-31
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.131.1257-0.38%1.13+0.00%0.0233✗1.002.3M2021-12-31
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.72830.725465-0.39%0.7078-2.81%0.0003✓1.256.2M2021-12-31
ZENHorizenBase61.5861.3393-0.39%60.57-1.64%0.0150✗1.421.0M2021-12-31
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.574.552-0.39%4.7425+3.77%0.0541✗0.6725k2021-12-31
AMPAmpEthereum0.048920.048727-0.39%0.04828-1.31%0.0082✗0.899.1M2021-12-31
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000033760.000033625-0.40%0.00003342-1.01%0.0187✗1.272.1M2021-12-31
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.691.6832-0.40%1.62-4.14%0.0054✓1.691.2M2021-12-31
API3Api3Ethereum4.424.4022-0.40%4.22-4.52%0.0228✓1.001.2M2021-12-31
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.05490.054679-0.40%0.05331-2.90%0.0048✓1.0515k2021-12-31
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.370.368484-0.41%0.3655-1.22%0.0169✗1.284.3M2021-12-31
SCSiacoinnative0.015310.015247-0.41%0.01518-0.85%0.0142✗0.95910k2021-12-31
LRCLoopringEthereum1.99751.9892-0.42%2.0908+4.67%0.0871✗1.911.5M2021-12-31
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0617870.061529-0.42%0.063529+2.82%0.0589✗1.387.9M2021-12-31
CHZChilizEthereum0.28960.288387-0.42%0.2833-2.18%0.0073✗1.295.6M2021-12-31
COTICOTIEthereum0.37130.36974-0.42%0.3547-4.47%0.0142✓1.404.4M2021-12-31
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum39.0638.8952-0.42%38.92-0.36%0.0363✗1.836.8M2021-12-31
YFIyearn.financeEthereum30,177.9030,050.51-0.42%33,038.28+9.48%0.1065✗0.6010.4M2021-12-31
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019450.019363-0.45%0.01908-1.90%0.0039✓0.5543k2021-12-31
XMRMoneroMonero225.01224.0008-0.45%228.93+1.74%0.0395✗0.912.9M2021-12-31
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.19471.1893-0.45%1.2039+0.77%0.0463✗1.741.4M2021-12-31
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13170.131098-0.46%0.1283-2.58%0.0007✓1.07344k2021-12-31
STORJStorjEthereum1.7551.7469-0.46%1.7428-0.69%0.0132✗0.80946k2021-12-31
LSKLiskEthereum2.44172.4305-0.46%2.397-1.83%0.0068✗1.06147k2021-12-31
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.079110.078741-0.47%0.08513+7.61%0.1022✗1.2421.7M2021-12-31
MOVRMoonriverBase185.6988184.8045-0.48%181.8528-2.07%0.0036✓1.01648k2021-12-31
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.6974.6742-0.49%4.508-4.02%0.0228✓0.691.0M2021-12-31
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.06546.0358-0.49%5.8862-2.95%0.0029✓1.14653k2021-12-31
UMAUMAEthereum9.329.2736-0.50%9.11-2.25%0.0041✓1.124.1M2021-12-31
UOSUltraEthereum1.48451.477-0.51%1.5666+5.53%0.0780✗0.984.8M2021-12-31
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.0411.9791-0.51%11.78-2.16%0.0200✓-0.173.7M2021-12-31
LCXLCXEthereum0.18560.184638-0.52%0.1752-5.60%0.0300✓1.152.9M2021-12-31
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.3299.2806-0.52%8.873-4.89%0.0327✓0.63368k2021-12-31
MANADecentralandEthereum3.28793.2703-0.53%3.2677-0.62%0.0177✗0.957.1M2021-12-31
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0337990.033618-0.53%0.033825+0.08%0.0266✗1.058.9M2021-12-31
MINAMina Protocolnative3.593.5706-0.54%3.54-1.39%0.0117✗1.04787k2021-12-31
CELLCellframeEthereum0.91990.914755-0.56%0.9088-1.21%0.0130✗1.00146k2021-12-31
AAVEAaveEthereum262.93261.4586-0.56%253.92-3.43%0.0081✓1.0811.4M2021-12-31
ZECZcashZcash153.9153.0255-0.57%146.46-4.83%0.0189✓1.2811.8M2021-12-31
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6340.630379-0.57%0.612-3.47%0.0053✓1.252.8M2021-12-31
IMXImmutableEthereum5.145.1102-0.58%4.91-4.47%0.0204✓1.002.8M2021-12-31
RADRadworksEthereum10.8310.7672-0.58%10.85+0.18%0.0244✗0.861.3M2021-12-31
HIVEHivenative1.51791.5089-0.59%1.4896-1.86%0.0139✗1.376.4M2021-12-31
LUNATerraTerra 284.8484.3387-0.59%85.56+0.85%0.0339✗1.005.3M2021-12-31
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.2031.1959-0.59%1.2282+2.09%0.0541✗1.412.3M2021-12-31
CVCCivicEthereum0.33490.332859-0.61%0.3279-2.09%0.0034✓0.94293k2021-12-31
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos30.1929.9962-0.64%32.43+7.42%0.0956✗0.9041.9M2021-12-31
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.69111.6802-0.64%1.62-4.20%0.0196✓0.864.7M2021-12-31
GTGateEthereum6.81526.7711-0.65%6.5555-3.81%0.0173✓0.774.0M2021-12-31
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche101.73101.0681-0.65%109.4+7.54%0.1000✗1.06127.7M2021-12-31
CTSICartesiEthereum0.69560.691013-0.66%0.6864-1.32%0.0191✗1.323.2M2021-12-31
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.6432.6254-0.67%2.574-2.61%0.0002✓1.012.2M2021-12-31
BFCBifrostEthereum0.20.198605-0.70%0.19688-1.56%0.0219✗1.579,2352021-12-31
MASKMask NetworkEthereum11.9811.8935-0.72%12.22+2.00%0.0381✗0.561.4M2021-12-31
LPTLivepeerEthereum40.3240.022-0.74%39.69-1.56%0.0242✗1.673.0M2021-12-31
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.72991.7167-0.77%1.6589-4.10%0.0133✓1.0731.7M2021-12-31
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.115.0697-0.79%5.32+4.11%0.0736✗1.3028.7M2021-12-31
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07870.078062-0.81%0.0763-3.05%0.0043✓1.391.7M2021-12-31
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.42661.415-0.81%1.3658-4.26%0.0176✓0.9123.6M2021-12-31
GTCGitcoinEthereum12.9312.8203-0.85%12.7-1.78%0.0095✓-0.004.6M2021-12-31
SPELLSpellEthereum0.021660.021449-0.97%0.02346+8.31%0.1091✗1.0034.3M2021-12-31
GITCOINGITCOIN12.77512.6502-0.98%12.734-0.32%0.0054✓-0.06119k2021-12-31
BICOBiconomyEthereum4.724.6661-1.14%4.55-3.60%0.0057✓1.0015.2M2021-12-31
SUSHISushiEthereum10.2510.129-1.18%9.42-8.10%0.0469✓1.3116.5M2021-12-31
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.94030.9242-1.71%0.9356-0.50%0.0449✗1.6729.3M2021-12-31
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.