8=======>

2021-12-27 · +1d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2440
137 of 137 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.37%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
65.0%
in alpha space · 92.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-6.26%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
FILFilecoinFilecoin39.239.1838-0.04%36.25-7.53%0.0121✓1.0222.1M2021-12-28
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV127.41127.3169-0.07%121.77-4.43%0.0192✗0.993.7M2021-12-28
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum51,195.6051,151.60-0.09%47,383.60-7.45%0.0131✓0.988,5662021-12-28
BTCBitcoinBitcoin50,717.7750,670.96-0.09%47,543.09-6.26%0.0009✗1.00744.5M2021-12-28
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.459.4405-0.10%9.7+2.65%0.0701✗0.661.0M2021-12-28
SUNSun TokenTron0.0241650.024137-0.12%0.021978-9.05%0.0159✓1.202.3M2021-12-28
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.098160.098033-0.13%0.08977-8.55%0.0065✗1.464.8M2021-12-28
LINKChainlinkEthereum23.0222.987-0.14%20.36-11.56%0.0368✓1.3169.7M2021-12-28
TRXTRONTron0.0811670.08105-0.14%0.077218-4.87%0.0136✗0.96648k2021-12-28
ETHEthereumEthereum4,038.644,031.81-0.17%3,793.67-6.07%0.0065✗1.04760.7M2021-12-28
XECeCashnative0.000118590.000118387-0.17%0.00010951-7.66%0.0141✓0.9910.2M2021-12-28
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash465.3464.5-0.17%438.74-5.71%0.0092✗1.0212.3M2021-12-28
FTTFTXEthereum42.642.5265-0.17%40.01-6.08%0.0073✗1.0620.7M2021-12-28
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana8.017.9961-0.17%7.57-5.49%0.0140✓0.631.0M2021-12-28
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.6137.5393-0.19%34.96-7.05%0.0036✓1.055.1M2021-12-28
XVSVenusEthereum16.8416.8079-0.19%15.54-7.72%0.0049✓1.144.8M2021-12-28
XLMStellarStellar0.3002880.299702-0.20%0.274101-8.72%0.0244✓1.0033.6M2021-12-28
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.3372.3323-0.20%2.108-9.80%0.0298✓1.103.3M2021-12-28
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.46083.4536-0.21%3.6+4.02%0.0358✗-0.09395k2021-12-28
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.3251.3222-0.21%1.28-3.40%0.0301✗0.973.1M2021-12-28
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.1611.1357-0.22%10.76-3.58%0.0157✗0.771.4M2021-12-28
XMRMoneroMonero220.72220.2362-0.22%208.62-5.48%0.0098✗0.992.8M2021-12-28
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1878140.187399-0.22%0.173745-7.49%0.0041✓1.115.5M2021-12-28
DOTPolkadotPolkadot30.9730.9008-0.22%27.84-10.11%0.0230✓1.2677.1M2021-12-28
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8761370.874116-0.23%0.798687-8.84%0.0203✓1.083.0M2021-12-28
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.21940.218872-0.24%0.1998-8.93%0.0351✓0.87701k2021-12-28
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.7999.7752-0.24%9.798-0.01%0.0427✗0.62455k2021-12-28
QNTQuantEthereum206.05205.5233-0.26%188.78-8.38%0.0242✓0.9411.9M2021-12-28
XEMNEMnative0.13910.138735-0.26%0.1284-7.69%0.0064✓1.10175k2021-12-28
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08970.089464-0.26%0.0838-6.58%0.0051✗1.0918k2021-12-28
NMRNumeraireEthereum34.5934.4982-0.27%33.51-3.12%0.0141✗0.67572k2021-12-28
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.82.7923-0.27%2.54-9.29%0.0290✓1.024.4M2021-12-28
XYMSymbolnative0.23910.238427-0.28%0.2158-9.74%0.0694✓0.47392k2021-12-28
QTUMQtumQtum9.99889.9706-0.28%9.0923-9.07%0.0007✓1.44299k2021-12-28
SOLSolanaSolana195.74195.1754-0.29%177.27-9.44%0.0303✓1.02255.1M2021-12-28
DKAdKargoEthereum0.124840.12448-0.29%0.11446-8.31%0.0129✓1.1029k2021-12-28
BANDBandEthereum5.875.8527-0.30%5.34-9.03%0.0146✓1.192.6M2021-12-28
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.8116.7604-0.30%16.17-3.81%0.0086✗0.691.4M2021-12-28
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana9.339.3022-0.30%9.08-2.68%0.0259✗0.771.1M2021-12-28
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.14530.14486-0.30%0.1358-6.54%0.0039✗1.06376k2021-12-28
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.95744.9424-0.30%4.8047-3.08%0.0197✗0.7427k2021-12-28
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,759.2031,661.92-0.31%28,691.22-9.66%0.0647✓0.528.7M2021-12-28
CTKShentuOsmosis1.8841.8781-0.32%1.664-11.68%0.0362✓1.317.9M2021-12-28
LTCLitecoinLitecoin155.78155.2866-0.32%145.67-6.49%0.0257✗1.3954.4M2021-12-28
COMPCompoundEthereum237.34236.5703-0.32%209-11.94%0.0527✓1.10239k2021-12-28
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.73750.735053-0.33%0.6659-9.71%0.0161✓1.2812.5M2021-12-28
NANOnanopayBase3.96523.9519-0.34%3.7465-5.51%0.0153✗1.06798k2021-12-28
AUCTIONBounceEthereum26.7126.6189-0.34%25.42-4.83%0.0233✗1.071.6M2021-12-28
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.4151.41-0.35%1.3011-8.05%0.0112✓1.071.2M2021-12-28
KCSKuCoinnative22.97622.8934-0.36%21.506-6.40%0.0460✗1.6818.6M2021-12-28
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum107.04106.655-0.36%99.74-6.82%0.0053✓0.967.6M2021-12-28
ADACardanoCardano1.51641.5109-0.36%1.3998-7.69%0.0076✓1.06120.2M2021-12-28
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.29215.2721-0.38%5.0292-4.97%0.0404✗1.365.2M2021-12-28
UNIUniswapEthereum19.1119.0346-0.39%18.4-3.72%0.0514✗1.3214.6M2021-12-28
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0638330.063576-0.40%0.05923-7.21%0.0234✗1.468.2M2021-12-28
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.47090.468949-0.41%0.4301-8.66%0.0057✗1.431.0M2021-12-28
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.6861.679-0.42%1.537-8.84%0.0041✓1.304.1M2021-12-28
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.63.5845-0.43%3.34-7.22%0.0068✓0.991.2M2021-12-28
GTGateEthereum6.83956.8097-0.44%6.459-5.56%0.0008✓0.814.3M2021-12-28
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.393.3751-0.44%3.03-10.62%0.0248✓1.283.0M2021-12-28
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum28.2428.1143-0.44%24.71-12.50%0.0387✓1.4022.9M2021-12-28
CBKCobakEthereum3.2673.2521-0.46%2.98-8.78%0.0331✓0.8495k2021-12-28
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos29.6829.5433-0.46%26.57-10.48%0.0503✓0.8640.2M2021-12-28
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.61033.5933-0.47%3.3661-6.76%0.0157✗1.253.1M2021-12-28
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.058160.057884-0.47%0.05427-6.69%0.0074✗1.1116k2021-12-28
XTZTezosTezos5.10165.0771-0.48%4.4909-11.97%0.0388✓1.305.3M2021-12-28
DASHDashDash151.04150.3056-0.49%134.75-10.79%0.0275✓1.262.0M2021-12-28
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.55.4731-0.49%5.695+3.55%0.0815✗0.65798k2021-12-28
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.321.3132-0.52%1.18-10.61%0.0423✓1.002.4M2021-12-28
COTICOTIEthereum0.40140.399233-0.54%0.3781-5.80%0.0438✗1.524.7M2021-12-28
SKLSKALEEthereum0.23960.238254-0.56%0.2199-8.22%0.0012✓1.226.1M2021-12-28
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000039050.000038829-0.57%0.00003492-10.58%0.0415✓1.002.4M2021-12-28
API3Api3Ethereum5.135.1008-0.57%4.56-11.11%0.0474✓1.001.2M2021-12-28
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.79430.789742-0.57%0.7165-9.79%0.0165✓1.256.8M2021-12-28
RADRadworksEthereum11.0911.0258-0.58%11.66+5.14%0.1170✗0.951.3M2021-12-28
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.41830.415871-0.58%0.3842-8.15%0.0035✓1.284.9M2021-12-28
CELLCellframeEthereum1.11.0936-0.58%1.027-6.64%0.0018✓1.00165k2021-12-28
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.021540.021414-0.58%0.01993-7.47%0.0338✓0.5946k2021-12-28
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.66311.6533-0.59%1.4667-11.81%0.0503✓1.0731.7M2021-12-28
DODODODOEthereum1.0171.0109-0.60%0.911-10.42%0.0089✓1.479.2M2021-12-28
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0373250.037102-0.60%0.033967-9.00%0.0224✓1.0210.0M2021-12-28
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.38231.3739-0.61%1.2203-11.71%0.0049✓1.761.5M2021-12-28
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.446.4004-0.61%5.85-9.16%0.0176✓1.125.1M2021-12-28
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3614.3339-0.62%4.564+4.65%0.0981✗0.72487k2021-12-28
KSMKusamaHydration322.27320.2526-0.63%294.8-8.52%0.0115✓1.101.5M2021-12-28
AMPAmpEthereum0.053410.053075-0.63%0.05063-5.21%0.0121✗0.9210.6M2021-12-28
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.114860.114124-0.64%0.10316-10.19%0.0641✓0.57113k2021-12-28
ARPAARPAEthereum0.11610.115353-0.64%0.1045-9.99%0.0105✓1.372.5M2021-12-28
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.8746.8297-0.64%6.2683-8.81%0.0090✓1.19764k2021-12-28
DYDXdYdXCosmos10.0349.968-0.66%10.128+0.94%0.1022✗1.33411k2021-12-28
XVGVergenative0.019080.018954-0.66%0.0176-7.76%0.0029✓1.192.8M2021-12-28
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018760.018636-0.66%0.01651-11.99%0.0405✓1.252.8M2021-12-28
CHZChilizEthereum0.33720.334952-0.67%0.3033-10.05%0.0165✓1.285.8M2021-12-28
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07410.073604-0.67%0.0659-11.07%0.0264✓1.302.1M2021-12-28
TRBTellor TributesEthereum39.5939.3223-0.68%35.02-11.54%0.0184✓1.511.3M2021-12-28
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.065.0249-0.69%4.5-11.07%0.0457✓1.004.9M2021-12-28
AAVEAaveEthereum277.6275.6704-0.70%252.64-8.99%0.0179✓1.0711.4M2021-12-28
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.285.2424-0.71%4.72-10.61%0.0209✓1.3026.8M2021-12-28
LUNATerraTerra 291.0190.3541-0.72%85.17-6.42%0.0056✓1.006.1M2021-12-28
MINAMina Protocolnative3.863.8309-0.75%3.52-8.81%0.0184✓1.02787k2021-12-28
LPTLivepeerEthereum43.5843.238-0.78%38.45-11.77%0.0071✓1.713.1M2021-12-28
DEXEDeXeEthereum13.0312.927-0.79%12.05-7.52%0.0884✓-0.284.5M2021-12-28
ZENHorizenBase70.7270.1595-0.79%63.32-10.46%0.0051✓1.511.2M2021-12-28
LSKLiskEthereum2.54712.5267-0.80%2.4846-2.45%0.0596✗1.18147k2021-12-28
LRCLoopringEthereum2.25782.2397-0.80%2.0752-8.09%0.0492✗1.941.6M2021-12-28
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.37931.3682-0.81%1.4291+3.61%0.1111✗1.0523.6M2021-12-28
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.084430.083741-0.82%0.07538-10.72%0.0277✓1.2021.1M2021-12-28
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche113.96113.0265-0.82%107.05-6.06%0.0186✗1.13127.7M2021-12-28
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3124.2766-0.82%3.891-9.76%0.0298✓1.003.3M2021-12-28
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum2.011.9934-0.83%1.77-11.94%0.0080✓1.711.5M2021-12-28
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.30561.2947-0.84%1.2569-3.73%0.0672✗1.502.3M2021-12-28
LCXLCXEthereum0.210.208245-0.84%0.1923-8.43%0.0060✓1.143.8M2021-12-28
STORJStorjEthereum2.05412.0368-0.84%1.8135-11.71%0.0708✓0.701.2M2021-12-28
IMXImmutableEthereum5.55.453-0.86%4.87-11.45%0.0484✓1.002.5M2021-12-28
GTCGitcoinEthereum14.1614.0342-0.89%14.64+3.39%0.0400✗-0.034.8M2021-12-28
SCSiacoinnative0.017130.016976-0.90%0.01563-8.76%0.0223✓0.931.2M2021-12-28
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.7230.716297-0.93%0.64-11.48%0.0327✓1.242.9M2021-12-28
CTSICartesiEthereum0.81110.803471-0.94%0.7106-12.39%0.0401✓1.283.6M2021-12-28
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.7444.6993-0.94%5.349+12.75%0.1834✗0.83719k2021-12-28
GITCOINGITCOIN14.10613.9712-0.96%14.59+3.43%0.0373✗-0.09129k2021-12-28
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum3.083.05-0.97%2.754-10.58%0.0394✓0.972.2M2021-12-28
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4660.461313-1.01%0.423-9.23%0.0407✓0.7145k2021-12-28
UOSUltraEthereum1.72641.7087-1.03%1.6826-2.54%0.0488✗0.995.4M2021-12-28
MANADecentralandEthereum3.74293.7035-1.05%3.3399-10.77%0.0468✓0.878.0M2021-12-28
UMAUMAEthereum10.7510.6369-1.05%9.59-10.79%0.0334✓1.094.1M2021-12-28
CVCCivicEthereum0.37560.371614-1.06%0.342-8.95%0.0243✓0.91328k2021-12-28
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum44.4443.9634-1.07%39.7-10.67%0.0166✗1.838.0M2021-12-28
MASKMask NetworkEthereum12.7412.5986-1.11%11.57-9.18%0.0513✓0.521.5M2021-12-28
ZECZcashZcash169.76167.753-1.18%149.45-11.96%0.0307✓1.3111.8M2021-12-28
HIVEHivenative1.8521.8291-1.24%1.6115-12.99%0.0410✓1.327.3M2021-12-28
SUSHISushiEthereum9.159.0351-1.26%9.06-0.98%0.0923✗1.3915.8M2021-12-28
MOVRMoonriverBase211.5789208.6577-1.38%190.178-10.11%0.0190✓1.14674k2021-12-28
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon2.07832.048-1.46%1.71-17.72%0.1372✓0.676.3M2021-12-28
BFCBifrostEthereum0.228490.225093-1.49%0.2085-8.75%0.0278✗1.6118k2021-12-28
BICOBiconomyEthereum5.185.0807-1.92%4.38-15.44%0.0838✓1.0012.4M2021-12-28
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.88430.866516-2.01%0.7896-10.71%0.0204✗1.7523.5M2021-12-28
SPELLSpellEthereum0.02620.025652-2.09%0.02187-16.53%0.0949✓1.0035.6M2021-12-28
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.