8=======>

2021-12-25 · +1d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1515
137 of 137 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.01%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
51.8%
in alpha space · 44.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.74%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
FILFilecoinFilecoin37.0236.9987-0.06%37.29+0.73%0.0004✓1.0122.7M2021-12-26
UNIUniswapEthereum17.4717.4474-0.13%18.67+6.87%0.0581✗1.3114.6M2021-12-26
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV128.21128.0256-0.14%127.5-0.55%0.0114✓0.993.2M2021-12-26
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.312.3057-0.18%2.289-0.91%0.0154✓1.113.3M2021-12-26
SUNSun TokenTron0.0238080.023763-0.19%0.024422+2.58%0.0185✗1.202.2M2021-12-26
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash455.36454.4483-0.20%451.86-0.77%0.0133✓1.0313.1M2021-12-26
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum51,009.4050,896.83-0.22%50,987.30-0.04%0.0055✓0.988,5662021-12-26
XVSVenusEthereum16.4616.4227-0.23%17.11+3.95%0.0326✗1.134.9M2021-12-26
QNTQuantEthereum195.44194.9964-0.23%194.3-0.58%0.0105✓0.9412.0M2021-12-26
DOTPolkadotPolkadot28.8628.7937-0.23%31.34+8.59%0.0755✗1.2577.3M2021-12-26
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.475.4572-0.23%5.487+0.31%0.0007✓0.65846k2021-12-26
AUCTIONBounceEthereum25.6225.5592-0.24%25.82+0.78%0.0022✓1.072.7M2021-12-26
TRXTRONTron0.0817150.08152-0.24%0.081508-0.25%0.0072✓0.96655k2021-12-26
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum27.2927.2248-0.24%26.72-2.09%0.0291✓1.4024.1M2021-12-26
XEMNEMnative0.1370.136668-0.24%0.1412+3.07%0.0245✗1.10199k2021-12-26
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.054.04-0.25%4.113+1.56%0.0126✗0.71473k2021-12-26
COMPCompoundEthereum228.44227.8758-0.25%235.5+3.09%0.0248✗1.10239k2021-12-26
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1907480.190268-0.25%0.190018-0.38%0.0095✓1.116.1M2021-12-26
KSMKusamaHydration293.74292.965-0.26%322.4+9.76%0.0877✗1.091.5M2021-12-26
DKAdKargoEthereum0.123330.122994-0.27%0.12458+1.01%0.0047✗1.1029k2021-12-26
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.553.5403-0.27%3.61+1.69%0.0122✗0.991.2M2021-12-26
BTCBitcoinBitcoin50,428.3150,289.68-0.27%50,801.79+0.74%0.0028✓1.00750.8M2021-12-26
ADACardanoCardano1.45421.4502-0.28%1.4549+0.05%0.0046✓1.06120.7M2021-12-26
LINKChainlinkEthereum22.1222.0576-0.28%22.99+3.93%0.0318✗1.3069.7M2021-12-26
XYMSymbolnative0.24240.241715-0.28%0.2394-1.24%0.0131✓0.47393k2021-12-26
XLMStellarStellar0.2900470.289223-0.28%0.291987+0.67%0.0021✓1.0035.1M2021-12-26
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.21740.21678-0.29%0.219+0.74%0.0038✗0.87756k2021-12-26
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.55243.5422-0.29%3.4826-1.96%0.0163✓-0.09384k2021-12-26
QTUMQtumQtum10.052610.0234-0.29%9.8982-1.54%0.0232✓1.44309k2021-12-26
ETHEthereumEthereum4,097.434,085.46-0.29%4,065.91-0.77%0.0125✓1.05768.5M2021-12-26
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana8.058.0257-0.30%7.96-1.12%0.0129✓0.631.0M2021-12-26
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8624610.859851-0.30%0.879132+1.93%0.0142✗1.083.4M2021-12-26
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.137.9846-0.30%37.92-0.47%0.0094✓1.055.9M2021-12-26
DODODODOEthereum0.9410.938143-0.30%1.002+6.48%0.0551✗1.468.9M2021-12-26
CBKCobakEthereum3.3313.3208-0.31%3.279-1.56%0.0189✓0.8499k2021-12-26
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.71990.717673-0.31%0.7354+2.15%0.0150✗1.2813.2M2021-12-26
DYDXdYdXCosmos9.0018.9729-0.31%9.232+2.57%0.0187✗1.33455k2021-12-26
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.732.7215-0.31%2.76+1.10%0.0066✗1.024.4M2021-12-26
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.885.8612-0.32%6.24+6.12%0.0544✗1.114.6M2021-12-26
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.284.266-0.33%4.37+2.10%0.0180✗0.83719k2021-12-26
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.133.1197-0.33%3.08-1.60%0.0223✓1.293.2M2021-12-26
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.3021.2976-0.34%1.317+1.15%0.0078✗0.963.7M2021-12-26
XMRMoneroMonero211.35210.6097-0.35%216.57+2.47%0.0206✗0.992.8M2021-12-26
XTZTezosTezos4.58384.5672-0.36%4.8691+6.22%0.0545✗1.295.4M2021-12-26
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.47030.468598-0.36%0.469-0.28%0.0097✓1.421.1M2021-12-26
NMRNumeraireEthereum34.4434.3133-0.37%34.4-0.12%0.0024✓0.67611k2021-12-26
NANOnanopayBase3.783.7656-0.38%3.8689+2.35%0.0192✗1.06819k2021-12-26
KCSKuCoinnative22.9222.8322-0.38%22.898-0.10%0.0095✓1.6820.1M2021-12-26
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08950.089153-0.39%0.0896+0.11%0.0031✓1.0919k2021-12-26
LTCLitecoinLitecoin158157.3711-0.40%155.96-1.29%0.0193✓1.3956.9M2021-12-26
XECeCashnative0.000119880.000119401-0.40%0.00012144+1.30%0.0096✗0.9911.6M2021-12-26
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana9.349.3025-0.40%9.4+0.64%0.0047✗0.77934k2021-12-26
BANDBandEthereum5.755.7268-0.40%5.85+1.74%0.0125✗1.193.0M2021-12-26
FTTFTXEthereum42.7442.5621-0.42%42.59-0.35%0.0072✓1.0621.2M2021-12-26
SOLSolanaSolana193.06192.2561-0.42%198+2.56%0.0219✗1.02257.1M2021-12-26
SUSHISushiEthereum7.657.6179-0.42%7.93+3.66%0.0300✗1.3815.1M2021-12-26
MOVRMoonriverBase185.5458184.7488-0.43%187.2077+0.90%0.0048✗1.14704k2021-12-26
LSKLiskEthereum2.51922.5084-0.43%2.4928-1.05%0.0150✓1.18147k2021-12-26
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.6391.6318-0.44%1.668+1.77%0.0123✗1.304.8M2021-12-26
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.112670.112175-0.44%0.11329+0.55%0.0057✗0.57113k2021-12-26
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.40981.4035-0.45%1.3933-1.17%0.0152✓1.071.3M2021-12-26
AMPAmpEthereum0.049560.049337-0.45%0.05082+2.54%0.0229✗0.9111.3M2021-12-26
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum109.28108.7881-0.45%107.53-1.60%0.0187✓0.968.4M2021-12-26
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.101790.101331-0.45%0.09987-1.89%0.0254✓1.474.8M2021-12-26
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.57481.5676-0.45%1.6079+2.10%0.0174✗1.0733.5M2021-12-26
DASHDashDash150149.317-0.46%149.09-0.61%0.0109✓1.272.1M2021-12-26
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.059020.058749-0.46%0.05866-0.61%0.0097✓1.1116k2021-12-26
METRONOMEMETRONOME5.17065.1467-0.46%4.9306-4.64%0.0484✓0.7528k2021-12-26
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.1811.1281-0.46%11.25+0.63%0.0052✗0.771.4M2021-12-26
MINAMina Protocolnative3.593.5733-0.46%3.81+6.13%0.0566✗1.02787k2021-12-26
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.271.2641-0.47%1.28+0.79%0.0051✗1.002.4M2021-12-26
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,196.7131,046.96-0.48%31,193.34-0.01%0.0008✓0.527.7M2021-12-26
IMXImmutableEthereum4.724.6971-0.48%4.72+0.00%0.0025✓1.002.5M2021-12-26
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019960.019863-0.49%0.01958-1.90%0.0187✓0.5953k2021-12-26
API3Api3Ethereum4.914.8861-0.49%4.79-2.44%0.0272✓1.001.3M2021-12-26
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana17.0116.9266-0.49%16.92-0.53%0.0055✓0.691.4M2021-12-26
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.28145.2554-0.49%5.3426+1.16%0.0065✗1.355.4M2021-12-26
SKLSKALEEthereum0.23450.233337-0.50%0.24+2.35%0.0192✗1.226.2M2021-12-26
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018810.018716-0.50%0.01869-0.64%0.0106✓1.252.9M2021-12-26
CTKShentuOsmosis1.9521.9423-0.50%1.942-0.51%0.0098✓1.327.9M2021-12-26
XVGVergenative0.018380.018288-0.50%0.01937+5.39%0.0487✗1.182.8M2021-12-26
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.79160.787639-0.50%0.7893-0.29%0.0071✓1.257.7M2021-12-26
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.58423.5662-0.50%3.66+2.11%0.0168✗1.253.4M2021-12-26
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.064640.064311-0.51%0.06404-0.93%0.0150✓1.469.2M2021-12-26
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.14060.139882-0.51%0.1438+2.28%0.0198✗1.06413k2021-12-26
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.295.263-0.51%5.23-1.13%0.0137✓1.006.5M2021-12-26
ARPAARPAEthereum0.11090.110327-0.52%0.113+1.89%0.0139✗1.363.0M2021-12-26
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.11811.1123-0.52%1.1705+4.69%0.0401✗1.482.4M2021-12-26
GTGateEthereum6.3896.3556-0.52%6.7502+5.65%0.0543✗0.804.3M2021-12-26
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000037720.000037518-0.54%0.00003825+1.41%0.0120✗1.002.1M2021-12-26
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.5712.5012-0.55%12.67+0.80%0.0155✗-0.284.9M2021-12-26
AAVEAaveEthereum263.91262.4573-0.55%268.05+1.57%0.0132✗1.0711.4M2021-12-26
SCSiacoinnative0.016750.016655-0.57%0.01668-0.42%0.0054✓0.931.3M2021-12-26
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.39740.395098-0.58%0.4265+7.32%0.0671✗1.275.3M2021-12-26
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.9529.894-0.58%9.727-2.26%0.0217✓0.63388k2021-12-26
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.088010.087495-0.58%0.08785-0.18%0.0048✓1.2021.7M2021-12-26
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.959.8894-0.61%9.64-3.12%0.0305✓0.671.0M2021-12-26
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos29.7929.6072-0.61%32.17+7.99%0.0767✗0.8539.4M2021-12-26
ZENHorizenBase70.7770.3262-0.63%70.3-0.66%0.0115✓1.511.3M2021-12-26
CHZChilizEthereum0.31830.316211-0.66%0.3303+3.77%0.0342✗1.285.8M2021-12-26
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.33891.3301-0.66%1.3324-0.49%0.0113✓1.761.6M2021-12-26
TRBTellor TributesEthereum39.4139.1455-0.67%38.9-1.29%0.0174✓1.511.3M2021-12-26
COTICOTIEthereum0.41760.414759-0.68%0.4225+1.17%0.0073✗1.524.4M2021-12-26
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum46.4146.0938-0.68%45.66-1.62%0.0231✓1.858.6M2021-12-26
UMAUMAEthereum9.789.7115-0.70%10.41+6.44%0.0615✗1.084.1M2021-12-26
ZECZcashZcash169.64168.448-0.70%167.45-1.29%0.0157✓1.3212.7M2021-12-26
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.866.8103-0.72%6.8179-0.61%0.0076✓1.19819k2021-12-26
LCXLCXEthereum0.20580.204284-0.74%0.2011-2.28%0.0241✓1.144.2M2021-12-26
LUNATerraTerra 298.497.6743-0.74%99.78+1.40%0.0140✗1.006.1M2021-12-26
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.3151.3051-0.75%1.3907+5.76%0.0558✗1.0422.8M2021-12-26
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.08260.081975-0.76%0.084+1.69%0.0147✗1.312.3M2021-12-26
CVCCivicEthereum0.36590.363115-0.76%0.371+1.39%0.0148✗0.91356k2021-12-26
CELLCellframeEthereum1.17991.1707-0.78%1.0806-8.42%0.0875✓1.00184k2021-12-26
STORJStorjEthereum2.01622-0.80%2.0712+2.73%0.0298✗0.701.3M2021-12-26
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0378450.037536-0.82%0.03765-0.52%0.0045✓1.0211.6M2021-12-26
HIVEHivenative1.65091.6373-0.82%1.7664+7.00%0.0662✗1.328.6M2021-12-26
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.941.9238-0.83%2.22+14.43%0.1307✗1.701.5M2021-12-26
LRCLoopringEthereum2.28412.2649-0.84%2.3444+2.64%0.0202✗1.951.9M2021-12-26
RADRadworksEthereum11.0810.9807-0.90%10.61-4.24%0.0414✓0.952.0M2021-12-26
CTSICartesiEthereum0.78690.779755-0.91%0.8093+2.85%0.0278✗1.284.0M2021-12-26
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon21.9812-0.94%2.196+9.80%0.0981✗0.667.5M2021-12-26
UOSUltraEthereum1.72411.7078-0.94%1.6918-1.87%0.0168✓1.006.2M2021-12-26
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.7210.714192-0.94%0.73+1.25%0.0128✗1.243.0M2021-12-26
MANADecentralandEthereum3.74813.7127-0.95%3.862+3.04%0.0330✗0.888.6M2021-12-26
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.2924.2508-0.96%4.307+0.35%0.0058✓1.003.6M2021-12-26
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche114.86113.7482-0.97%115.07+0.18%0.0032✓1.13136.0M2021-12-26
BFCBifrostEthereum0.216290.214106-1.01%0.20968-3.06%0.0328✓1.6223k2021-12-26
LPTLivepeerEthereum44.5744.1163-1.02%43.55-2.29%0.0256✓1.714.2M2021-12-26
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.845.7717-1.17%5.75-1.54%0.0134✓1.3128.7M2021-12-26
SPELLSpellEthereum0.022840.022564-1.21%0.02201-3.63%0.0323✓1.0035.6M2021-12-26
MASKMask NetworkEthereum13.2313.0535-1.33%13.1-0.98%0.0003✓0.532.7M2021-12-26
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum3.1343.0892-1.43%3.19+1.79%0.0249✗0.972.2M2021-12-26
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.73540.723395-1.63%0.7068-3.89%0.0362✓1.7617.7M2021-12-26
BICOBiconomyEthereum5.014.9042-2.11%5.75+14.77%0.1517✗1.0012.1M2021-12-26
GITCOINGITCOIN16.05715.7097-2.16%15.136-5.74%0.0366✓-0.08134k2021-12-26
GTCGitcoinEthereum16.1515.7996-2.17%15.17-6.07%0.0405✓-0.025.1M2021-12-26
PHAPHALAEthereum0.5360.521757-2.66%0.494-7.84%0.0600✓0.7345k2021-12-26
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.