UNION

UNION · · gru_s2

token id: #925
symbol: UNION
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-01-13
predictions: 819

Track record at +30d

assessed

243

of 273 predictions shown

direction hit

28.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2530

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

+0.0105

actual -0.2305

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.000132	0.000135501	+2.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-20	oos	0.00013755	0.000141	+2.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-19	oos	0.00014485	0.00014738	+1.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-18	oos	0.00014775	0.000149494	+1.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-17	oos	0.0001601	0.000161153	+0.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-10-16	oos	0.00019345	0.000194988	+0.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-15	oos	0.00021225	0.000215203	+1.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-14	oos	0.0002144	0.000218163	+1.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-13	oos	0.00023545	0.000238978	+1.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-12	oos	0.00019	0.000194549	+2.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-11	oos	0.0002488	0.000252429	+1.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-10-10	oos	0.0002485	0.000251938	+1.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.35
2026-10-09	oos	0.0002502	0.000253585	+1.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.35
2026-10-08	oos	0.0002485	0.000251468	+1.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-07	oos	0.0002536	0.000257931	+1.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.31
2026-10-06	oos	0.00025615	0.000260348	+1.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.30
2026-10-05	oos	0.0002497	0.000254693	+2.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.35
2026-10-04	oos	0.00026125	0.000265368	+1.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.36
2026-10-03	oos	0.0002568	0.000260689	+1.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.35
2026-10-02	oos	0.000258	0.000261574	+1.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.35
2026-10-01	oos	0.00025745	0.00026069	+1.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.35
2026-09-30	oos	0.0002593	0.00026178	+0.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.37
2026-09-29	oos	0.00026385	0.000266452	+0.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.39
2026-09-28	oos	0.00026275	0.000264939	+0.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.37
2026-09-27	oos	0.0002808	0.000282317	+0.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.33
2026-09-26	oos	0.00026415	0.000266456	+0.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-09-25	oos	0.00026715	0.000268883	+0.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.33
2026-09-24	oos	0.0002802	0.000281187	+0.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.32
2026-09-23	oos	0.000251	0.000252463	+0.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.33
2026-09-22	oos	0.00025205	0.000254586	+1.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.0002467	0.000248965	+0.92%	0.000132	-46.49%	0.6121	✗	0.49
2026-09-20	oos	0.0002636	0.000264102	+0.19%	0.00013755	-47.82%	0.6655	✗	0.61
2026-09-19	oos	0.0002404	0.000241854	+0.60%	0.00014485	-39.75%	0.5172	✗	0.62
2026-09-18	oos	0.0002521	0.000253154	+0.42%	0.00014775	-41.39%	0.5487	✗	0.74
2026-09-17	oos	0.0002492	0.000249493	+0.12%	0.0001601	-35.75%	0.4944	✗	0.80
2026-09-16	oos	0.00024635	0.000247396	+0.42%	0.00019345	-21.47%	0.2971	✗	0.75
2026-09-15	oos	0.00023975	0.000241861	+0.88%	0.00021225	-11.47%	0.1819	✗	0.62
2026-09-14	oos	0.00026425	0.000267175	+1.11%	0.0002144	-18.86%	0.2283	✗	0.19
2026-09-13	oos	0.00026755	0.00027081	+1.22%	0.00023545	-12.00%	0.1546	✗	0.19
2026-09-12	oos	0.0002721	0.000275676	+1.31%	0.00019	-30.17%	0.3823	✗	0.18
2026-09-11	oos	0.00026975	0.000273689	+1.46%	0.0002488	-7.77%	0.1078	✗	0.15
2026-09-10	oos	0.00028005	0.000284595	+1.62%	0.0002485	-11.27%	0.1488	✗	0.16
2026-09-09	oos	0.0002891	0.000294697	+1.94%	0.0002502	-13.46%	0.1719	✗	0.15
2026-09-08	oos	0.0002783	0.000285302	+2.52%	0.0002485	-10.71%	0.1452	✗	0.18
2026-09-07	oos	0.0002835	0.000291529	+2.83%	0.0002536	-10.55%	0.1485	✗	0.18
2026-09-06	oos	0.00028735	0.000296818	+3.29%	0.00025615	-10.86%	0.1632	✗	0.25
2026-09-05	oos	0.00029265	0.000302981	+3.53%	0.0002497	-14.68%	0.2118	✗	0.26
2026-09-04	oos	0.00028345	0.000294929	+4.05%	0.00026125	-7.83%	0.1446	✗	0.28
2026-09-03	oos	0.0002924	0.000305913	+4.62%	0.0002568	-12.18%	0.1864	✗	0.27
2026-09-02	oos	0.00029925	0.000312722	+4.50%	0.000258	-13.78%	0.2292	✗	0.41
2026-09-01	oos	0.0002837	0.000298655	+5.27%	0.00025745	-9.25%	0.1871	✗	0.42
2026-08-31	oos	0.00029505	0.000311304	+5.51%	0.0002593	-12.12%	0.1985	✗	0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.00030415	0.000320636	+5.42%	0.00026385	-13.25%	0.2189	✗	0.32
2026-08-29	oos	0.00030385	0.000321039	+5.66%	0.00026275	-13.53%	0.2216	✗	0.33
2026-08-28	oos	0.0002997	0.000315876	+5.40%	0.0002808	-6.31%	0.1446	✗	0.33
2026-08-27	oos	0.0003054	0.000323064	+5.78%	0.00026415	-13.51%	0.2181	✗	0.33
2026-08-26	oos	0.0002961	0.000312959	+5.69%	0.00026715	-9.78%	0.1787	✗	0.33
2026-08-25	oos	0.0002981	0.000315766	+5.93%	0.0002802	-6.00%	0.1402	✗	0.29
2026-08-24	oos	0.00029095	0.000310145	+6.60%	0.000251	-13.73%	0.2352	✗	0.36
2026-08-23	oos	0.0003022	0.000321934	+6.53%	0.00025205	-16.59%	0.2844	✗	0.38
2026-08-22	oos	0.0003231	0.00034582	+7.03%	0.0002467	-23.65%	0.3839	✗	0.40
2026-08-21	oos	0.00032075	0.000348004	+8.50%	0.0002636	-17.82%	0.2922	✗	0.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.0002986	0.000313598	+5.02%	0.0002404	-19.49%	0.2984	✗	0.31
2026-08-19	oos	0.00029885	0.000303767	+1.65%	0.0002521	-15.64%	0.2344	✗	0.31
2026-08-18	oos	0.000285	0.000291746	+2.37%	0.0002492	-12.56%	0.1956	✗	0.23
2026-08-17	oos	0.00029165	0.000298442	+2.33%	0.00024635	-15.53%	0.2302	✗	0.23
2026-08-16	oos	0.0002988	0.000304978	+2.07%	0.00023975	-19.76%	0.2875	✗	0.25
2026-08-15	oos	0.0003234	0.000328487	+1.57%	0.00026425	-18.29%	0.2712	✗	0.25
2026-08-14	oos	0.0002817	0.000288762	+2.51%	0.00026755	-5.02%	0.1224	✗	0.23
2026-08-13	oos	0.00031165	0.000317329	+1.82%	0.0002721	-12.69%	0.2021	✗	0.24
2026-08-12	oos	0.0003097	0.000314617	+1.59%	0.00026975	-12.90%	0.1882	✗	0.17
2026-08-11	oos	0.0003284	0.000330531	+0.65%	0.00028005	-14.72%	0.1952	✗	0.16
2026-08-10	oos	0.0003302	0.00033058	+0.12%	0.0002891	-12.45%	0.1667	✗	0.16
2026-08-09	oos	0.00032805	0.000327195	-0.26%	0.0002783	-15.17%	0.2037	✓	0.22
2026-08-08	oos	0.0003274	0.000325332	-0.63%	0.0002835	-13.41%	0.1777	✓	0.20
2026-08-07	oos	0.0003154	0.000313167	-0.71%	0.00028735	-8.89%	0.1371	✓	0.24
2026-08-06	oos	0.0003193	0.000316543	-0.86%	0.00029265	-8.35%	0.1301	✓	0.24
2026-08-05	oos	0.00032445	0.000320417	-1.24%	0.00028345	-12.64%	0.1717	✓	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.00032765	0.000323006	-1.42%	0.0002924	-10.76%	0.1580	✓	0.25
2026-08-03	oos	0.0003328	0.000327571	-1.57%	0.00029925	-10.08%	0.1392	✓	0.25
2026-08-02	oos	0.0003671	0.000357243	-2.69%	0.0002837	-22.72%	0.2803	✓	0.25
2026-08-01	oos	0.0003089	0.00030899	+0.03%	0.00029505	-4.48%	0.0855	✗	0.18
2026-07-31	oos	0.0003216	0.000321577	-0.01%	0.00030415	-5.43%	0.0932	✓	0.18
2026-07-30	oos	0.00033825	0.000338095	-0.05%	0.00030385	-10.17%	0.1344	✓	0.15
2026-07-29	oos	0.0003314	0.00033355	+0.65%	0.0002997	-9.57%	0.1305	✗	0.12
2026-07-28	oos	0.0003409	0.000343073	+0.64%	0.0003054	-10.41%	0.1466	✗	0.13
2026-07-27	oos	0.00034305	0.000345919	+0.84%	0.0002961	-13.69%	0.1854	✗	0.14
2026-07-26	oos	0.0003416	0.00034702	+1.59%	0.0002981	-12.73%	0.1893	✗	0.20
2026-07-25	oos	0.0003487	0.000352337	+1.04%	0.00029095	-16.56%	0.2126	✗	0.10
2026-07-24	oos	0.0003463	0.000350818	+1.30%	0.0003022	-12.73%	0.1642	✗	0.08
2026-07-23	oos	0.00038195	0.00038239	+0.12%	0.0003231	-15.41%	0.1747	✗	0.04
2026-07-22	oos	0.0003606	0.000367333	+1.87%	0.00032075	-11.05%	0.1464	✗	0.06
2026-07-21	oos	0.000374	0.000378898	+1.31%	0.0002986	-20.16%	0.2434	✗	0.06
2026-07-20	oos	0.0003359	0.000347395	+3.42%	0.00029885	-11.03%	0.1486	✗	-0.03
2026-07-19	oos	0.00032715	0.000340148	+3.97%	0.000285	-12.88%	0.1769	✗	-0.04
2026-07-18	oos	0.0003441	0.000353434	+2.71%	0.00029165	-15.24%	0.1923	✗	-0.03
2026-07-17	oos	0.00036585	0.000373228	+2.02%	0.0002988	-18.33%	0.2237	✗	-0.08
2026-07-16	oos	0.0003579	0.000365208	+2.04%	0.0003234	-9.64%	0.1220	✗	-0.03
2026-07-15	oos	0.0003639	0.000367099	+0.88%	0.0002817	-22.59%	0.2670	✗	-0.08
2026-07-14	oos	0.0003671	0.000369881	+0.76%	0.00031165	-15.10%	0.1730	✗	-0.07
2026-07-13	oos	0.0003881	0.000388861	+0.20%	0.0003097	-20.20%	0.2276	✗	-0.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.0003582	0.000361746	+0.99%	0.0003284	-8.32%	0.0965	✗	0.06
2026-07-11	oos	0.0003537	0.000357922	+1.19%	0.0003302	-6.64%	0.0807	✗	0.04
2026-07-10	oos	0.00033625	0.000342889	+1.97%	0.00032805	-2.44%	0.0448	✗	0.05
2026-07-09	oos	0.0003604	0.000364149	+1.04%	0.0003274	-9.16%	0.1085	✗	0.08
2026-07-08	oos	0.00037	0.000372399	+0.65%	0.0003154	-14.76%	0.1714	✗	0.13
2026-07-07	oos	0.000405	0.00040592	+0.23%	0.0003193	-21.16%	0.2409	✗	0.06
2026-07-06	oos	0.00042735	0.000427501	+0.04%	0.00032445	-24.08%	0.2762	✗	0.04
2026-07-05	oos	0.0004051	0.000406874	+0.44%	0.00032765	-19.12%	0.2176	✗	0.14
2026-07-04	oos	0.0004127	0.000415109	+0.58%	0.0003328	-19.36%	0.2219	✗	0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.000419	0.000422071	+0.73%	0.0003671	-12.39%	0.1424	✗	0.18
2026-07-02	oos	0.0004073	0.000412205	+1.20%	0.0003089	-24.16%	0.2923	✗	0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.0003873	0.000393371	+1.57%	0.0003216	-16.96%	0.2082	✗	0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.0004007	0.000403326	+0.66%	0.00033825	-15.59%	0.2022	✗	0.26
2026-06-29	oos	0.00040025	0.000412643	+3.10%	0.0003314	-17.20%	0.2357	✗	0.27
2026-06-28	oos	0.0004086	0.000420258	+2.85%	0.0003409	-16.57%	0.2288	✗	0.28
2026-06-27	oos	0.000399	0.000415015	+4.01%	0.00034305	-14.02%	0.2091	✗	0.31
2026-06-26	oos	0.00041255	0.000426399	+3.36%	0.0003416	-17.20%	0.2476	✗	0.30
2026-06-25	oos	0.00041245	0.000423151	+2.59%	0.0003487	-15.46%	0.2160	✗	0.30
2026-06-24	oos	0.0004483	0.000451738	+0.77%	0.0003463	-22.75%	0.2814	✗	0.32
2026-06-23	oos	0.0005133	0.000506689	-1.29%	0.00038195	-25.59%	0.2907	✓	0.21
2026-06-22	oos	0.00049685	0.000484181	-2.55%	0.0003606	-27.42%	0.3010	✓	0.19
2026-06-21	oos	0.0004866	0.000477083	-1.96%	0.000374	-23.14%	0.2533	✓	0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.0006188	0.000597905	-3.38%	0.0003359	-45.72%	0.5833	✓	0.44
2026-06-19	oos	0.0005677	0.000552165	-2.74%	0.00032715	-42.37%	0.5310	✓	0.40
2026-06-18	oos	0.0006888	0.000642259	-6.76%	0.0003441	-50.04%	0.6371	✓	0.43
2026-06-17	oos	0.0006045	0.000565016	-6.53%	0.00036585	-39.48%	0.4302	✓	0.51
2026-06-16	oos	0.0003484	0.000346183	-0.64%	0.0003579	+2.73%	0.0556	✗	0.78
2026-06-15	oos	0.00033705	0.000335634	-0.42%	0.0003639	+7.97%	0.0991	✗	0.77
2026-06-14	oos	0.0003429	0.000341363	-0.45%	0.0003671	+7.06%	0.0811	✗	0.77
2026-06-13	oos	0.0003593	0.000357358	-0.54%	0.0003881	+8.02%	0.1097	✗	0.80
2026-06-12	oos	0.0003568	0.000356286	-0.14%	0.0003582	+0.39%	0.0028	✗	0.80
2026-06-11	oos	0.0004005	0.000395914	-1.15%	0.0003537	-11.69%	0.1154	✓	0.80
2026-06-10	oos	0.0003938	0.00039387	+0.02%	0.00033625	-14.61%	0.1925	✗	0.80
2026-06-09	oos	0.0004071	0.00040507	-0.50%	0.0003604	-11.47%	0.1360	✓	0.80
2026-06-08	oos	0.0004564	0.000444844	-2.53%	0.00037	-18.93%	0.1745	✓	0.74
2026-06-07	oos	0.0004662	0.000452046	-3.04%	0.000405	-13.13%	0.1101	✓	0.75
2026-06-06	oos	0.0004529	0.000441797	-2.45%	0.00042735	-5.64%	0.0655	✓	0.64
2026-06-05	oos	0.0004608	0.000444588	-3.52%	0.0004051	-12.09%	0.1185	✓	0.62
2026-06-04	oos	0.0005039	0.000475184	-5.70%	0.0004127	-18.10%	0.1345	✓	0.57
2026-06-03	oos	0.0005097	0.000478138	-6.19%	0.000419	-17.79%	0.1186	✓	0.56
2026-06-02	oos	0.0004586	0.000438334	-4.42%	0.0004073	-11.19%	0.0174	✓	0.69
2026-06-01	oos	0.0004863	0.000474054	-2.52%	0.0003873	-20.36%	0.0580	✓	0.83
2026-05-31	oos	0.000496	0.000486169	-1.98%	0.0004007	-19.21%	0.0004	✓	0.85
2026-05-30	oos	0.0005138	0.000506429	-1.43%	0.00040025	-22.10%	0.0877	✓	0.72
2026-05-29	oos	0.0004875	0.00048409	-0.70%	0.0004086	-16.18%	0.0099	✓	0.76
2026-05-28	oos	0.0005483	0.000539673	-1.57%	0.000399	-27.23%	0.1570	✓	0.71
2026-05-27	oos	0.000479	0.00047977	+0.16%	0.00041255	-13.87%	0.0071	✗	0.67
2026-05-26	oos	0.0005493	0.000541794	-1.37%	0.00041245	-24.91%	0.1498	✓	0.51
2026-05-25	oos	0.0005725	0.000566118	-1.11%	0.0004483	-21.69%	0.1059	✓	0.54
2026-05-24	oos	0.00058805	0.000583053	-0.85%	0.0005133	-12.71%	0.0133	✓	0.55
2026-05-23	oos	0.00058485	0.000581474	-0.58%	0.00049685	-15.05%	0.0566	✓	0.56
2026-05-22	oos	0.0005853	0.000583324	-0.34%	0.0004866	-16.86%	0.0819	✓	0.56
2026-05-21	oos	0.000587	0.000583751	-0.55%	0.0006188	+5.42%	0.1676	✗	0.58
2026-05-20	oos	0.0005868	0.000586145	-0.11%	0.0005677	-3.25%	0.0744	✗	0.53
2026-05-19	oos	0.00059175	0.000591253	-0.08%	0.0006888	+16.40%	0.2582	✗	0.53
2026-05-18	oos	0.0005995	0.000600588	+0.18%	0.0006045	+0.83%	0.1021	✓	0.54
2026-05-17	oos	0.0005899	0.000598012	+1.38%	0.0003484	-40.94%	0.4518	✗	0.54
2026-05-16	oos	0.0005934	0.00060811	+2.48%	0.00033705	-43.20%	0.5019	✗	0.54
2026-05-15	oos	0.0006503	0.000663891	+2.09%	0.0003429	-47.27%	0.5715	✗	0.48
2026-05-14	oos	0.00060415	0.000623	+3.12%	0.0003593	-40.53%	0.4247	✗	0.55
2026-05-13	oos	0.0006185	0.00063486	+2.65%	0.0003568	-42.31%	0.4616	✗	0.52
2026-05-12	oos	0.000628	0.000643175	+2.42%	0.0004005	-36.23%	0.3394	✗	0.57
2026-05-11	oos	0.000715	0.000725933	+1.53%	0.0003938	-44.92%	0.4565	✗	0.54
2026-05-10	oos	0.00061955	0.000631809	+1.98%	0.0004071	-34.29%	0.2732	✗	0.58
2026-05-09	oos	0.0005873	0.000596736	+1.61%	0.0004564	-22.29%	0.1330	✗	0.55
2026-05-08	oos	0.0005998	0.000607431	+1.27%	0.0004662	-22.27%	0.1382	✗	0.53
2026-05-07	oos	0.0006156	0.000623795	+1.33%	0.0004529	-26.43%	0.1699	✗	0.55
2026-05-06	oos	0.000634	0.000647059	+2.06%	0.0004608	-27.32%	0.2372	✗	0.35
2026-05-05	oos	0.0006436	0.000655481	+1.85%	0.0005039	-21.71%	0.2170	✗	0.19
2026-05-04	oos	0.0006481	0.000654561	+1.00%	0.0005097	-21.35%	0.2017	✗	0.22
2026-05-03	oos	0.0006428	0.000644778	+0.31%	0.0004586	-28.66%	0.3007	✗	0.24
2026-05-02	oos	0.0006444	0.000649087	+0.73%	0.0004863	-24.53%	0.2648	✗	0.24
2026-05-01	oos	0.0006384	0.000647967	+1.50%	0.000496	-22.31%	0.2518	✗	0.25
2026-04-30	oos	0.0006505	0.000661156	+1.64%	0.0005138	-21.01%	0.2425	✗	0.29
2026-04-29	oos	0.0006306	0.000642073	+1.82%	0.0004875	-22.69%	0.2664	✗	0.28
2026-04-28	oos	0.000658	0.000672359	+2.18%	0.0005483	-16.67%	0.1932	✗	0.29
2026-04-27	oos	0.0007584	0.000758936	+0.07%	0.000479	-36.84%	0.4493	✗	0.27
2026-04-26	oos	0.0006143	0.000634334	+3.26%	0.0005493	-10.58%	0.1324	✗	0.31
2026-04-25	oos	0.0006453	0.000665362	+3.11%	0.0005725	-11.28%	0.1487	✗	0.31
2026-04-24	oos	0.00065425	0.000676405	+3.39%	0.00058805	-10.12%	0.1380	✗	0.31
2026-04-23	oos	0.0006497	0.00067858	+4.45%	0.00058485	-9.98%	0.1421	✗	0.31
2026-04-22	oos	0.00067115	0.000699128	+4.17%	0.0005853	-12.79%	0.1664	✗	0.31
2026-04-21	oos	0.0006797	0.000696041	+2.40%	0.000587	-13.64%	0.1753	✗	0.31
2026-04-20	oos	0.00067895	0.000689597	+1.57%	0.0005868	-13.57%	0.1685	✗	0.33
2026-04-19	oos	0.0006767	0.000673823	-0.43%	0.00059175	-12.55%	0.1427	✓	0.33
2026-04-18	oos	0.0006167	0.000621505	+0.78%	0.0005995	-2.79%	0.0418	✗	0.36
2026-04-17	oos	0.0006849	0.000682232	-0.39%	0.0005899	-13.87%	0.1468	✓	0.35
2026-04-16	oos	0.0007269	0.000712737	-1.95%	0.0005934	-18.37%	0.1972	✓	0.36
2026-04-15	oos	0.0006878	0.000680036	-1.13%	0.0006503	-5.45%	0.0643	✓	0.36
2026-04-14	oos	0.0006938	0.000688554	-0.76%	0.00060415	-12.92%	0.1637	✓	0.37
2026-04-13	oos	0.0006568	0.000656175	-0.10%	0.0006185	-5.83%	0.0829	✓	0.38
2026-04-12	oos	0.000669	0.000667531	-0.22%	0.000628	-6.13%	0.1113	✓	0.39
2026-04-11	oos	0.000678	0.000680613	+0.39%	0.000715	+5.46%	0.0051	✓	0.40
2026-04-10	oos	0.0006807	0.000685713	+0.74%	0.00061955	-8.98%	0.1483	✗	0.39
2026-04-09	oos	0.00064095	0.000650004	+1.41%	0.0005873	-8.37%	0.1454	✗	0.38
2026-04-08	oos	0.0006903	0.000698607	+1.20%	0.0005998	-13.11%	0.1992	✗	0.39
2026-04-07	oos	0.0006805	0.000690622	+1.49%	0.0006156	-9.54%	0.1567	✗	0.39
2026-04-06	oos	0.0006281	0.000629277	+0.19%	0.000634	+0.94%	0.0505	✗	0.35
2026-04-05	oos	0.0006706	0.000674979	+0.65%	0.0006436	-4.03%	0.1027	✗	0.35
2026-04-04	oos	0.0006384	0.000640005	+0.25%	0.0006481	+1.52%	0.0431	✗	0.33
2026-04-03	oos	0.0005835	0.000588144	+0.80%	0.0006428	+10.16%	0.0389	✓	0.31
2026-04-02	oos	0.00059785	0.0006048	+1.16%	0.0006444	+7.79%	0.0126	✓	0.31
2026-04-01	oos	0.0007258	0.000736265	+1.44%	0.0006384	-12.04%	0.1821	✗	0.29
2026-03-31	oos	0.0008132	0.000821541	+1.03%	0.0006505	-20.01%	0.2657	✗	0.29
2026-03-30	oos	0.0008181	0.00082353	+0.66%	0.0006306	-22.92%	0.3033	✗	0.29
2026-03-29	oos	0.0007707	0.000779802	+1.18%	0.000658	-14.62%	0.2095	✗	0.27
2026-03-28	oos	0.0007611	0.000775469	+1.89%	0.0007584	-0.35%	0.0642	✗	0.27
2026-03-27	oos	0.0007675	0.000785248	+2.31%	0.0006143	-19.96%	0.2918	✗	0.27
2026-03-26	oos	0.0008237	0.000849257	+3.10%	0.0006453	-21.66%	0.3056	✗	0.25
2026-03-25	oos	0.000827	0.00084428	+2.09%	0.00065425	-20.89%	0.2769	✗	0.26
2026-03-24	oos	0.0009455	0.000958363	+1.36%	0.0006497	-31.29%	0.4186	✗	0.29
2026-03-23	oos	0.001078	0.001083	+0.51%	0.00067115	-37.72%	0.5069	✗	0.29
2026-03-22	oos	0.0008176	0.000836232	+2.28%	0.0006797	-16.87%	0.2201	✗	0.11
2026-03-21	oos	0.0008102	0.000825068	+1.84%	0.00067895	-16.20%	0.2058	✗	0.11
2026-03-20	oos	0.0007869	0.000799639	+1.62%	0.0006767	-14.00%	0.1727	✗	0.13
2026-03-19	oos	0.0008301	0.000843208	+1.58%	0.0006167	-25.71%	0.3233	✗	0.13
2026-03-18	oos	0.000844	0.000858491	+1.72%	0.0006849	-18.85%	0.2364	✗	0.13
2026-03-17	oos	0.0008544	0.000880397	+3.04%	0.0007269	-14.92%	0.1939	✗	0.14
2026-03-16	oos	0.0008665	0.000893612	+3.13%	0.0006878	-20.62%	0.2617	✗	0.14
2026-03-15	oos	0.0008603	0.00089374	+3.89%	0.0006938	-19.35%	0.2556	✗	0.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.000847	0.000885416	+4.54%	0.0006568	-22.46%	0.3038	✗	0.12
2026-03-13	oos	0.0008553	0.000902591	+5.53%	0.000669	-21.78%	0.2992	✗	0.11
2026-03-12	oos	0.0008518	0.00090652	+6.42%	0.000678	-20.40%	0.2944	✗	0.11
2026-03-11	oos	0.0008565	0.000915182	+6.85%	0.0006807	-20.53%	0.3002	✗	0.11
2026-03-10	oos	0.0009532	0.001013	+6.25%	0.00064095	-32.76%	0.4606	✗	0.12
2026-03-09	oos	0.00092295	0.000986703	+6.91%	0.0006903	-25.21%	0.3610	✗	0.10
2026-03-08	oos	0.001003	0.001062	+5.88%	0.0006805	-32.17%	0.4573	✗	0.14
2026-03-07	oos	0.0009919	0.001038	+4.67%	0.0006281	-36.68%	0.5060	✗	0.15
2026-03-06	oos	0.001065	0.001097	+2.99%	0.0006706	-37.06%	0.4943	✗	0.14
2026-03-05	oos	0.001085	0.001103	+1.71%	0.0006384	-41.14%	0.5394	✗	0.15
2026-03-04	oos	0.001084	0.001097	+1.24%	0.0005835	-46.17%	0.6191	✗	0.15
2026-03-03	oos	0.0009642	0.000975129	+1.13%	0.00059785	-38.00%	0.4889	✗	0.01
2026-03-02	oos	0.0009868	0.000996815	+1.01%	0.0007258	-26.45%	0.3171	✗	0.01
2026-03-01	oos	0.001057	0.001064	+0.67%	0.0008132	-23.04%	0.2705	✗	0.05
2026-02-28	oos	0.001174	0.001187	+1.04%	0.0008181	-30.34%	0.3717	✗	0.04
2026-02-27	oos	0.001293	0.001286	-0.50%	0.0007707	-40.37%	0.5121	✓	0.07
2026-02-26	oos	0.00117	0.001183	+1.09%	0.0007611	-34.95%	0.4391	✗	0.10
2026-02-25	oos	0.0007948	0.000800257	+0.69%	0.0007675	-3.43%	0.0393	✗	0.10
2026-02-24	oos	0.000754	0.000754941	+0.12%	0.0008237	+9.24%	0.0870	✓	0.00
2026-02-23	oos	0.0008021	0.000802263	+0.02%	0.000827	+3.10%	0.0301	✓	0.00
2026-02-22	oos	0.0008279	0.00083036	+0.30%	0.0009455	+14.20%	0.1297	✓	0.00
2026-02-21	oos	0.0008661	0.000869307	+0.37%	0.001078	+24.43%	0.2147	✓	0.00
2026-02-20	oos	0.000957	0.000961361	+0.46%	0.0008176	-14.57%	0.1619	✗	0.02
2026-02-19	oos	0.001101	0.001107	+0.52%	0.0008102	-26.41%	0.3137	✗	0.07
2026-02-18	oos	0.001148	0.001155	+0.65%	0.0007869	-31.45%	0.3883	✗	0.07
2026-02-17	oos	0.001199	0.001208	+0.76%	0.0008301	-30.77%	0.3777	✗	0.07
2026-02-16	oos	0.001202	0.001208	+0.50%	0.000844	-29.78%	0.3612	✗	0.07
2026-02-15	oos	0.001245	0.00125	+0.37%	0.0008544	-31.37%	0.3857	✗	0.08
2026-02-14	oos	0.001165	0.001164	-0.09%	0.0008665	-25.62%	0.3010	✓	0.08
2026-02-13	oos	0.001148	0.001146	-0.20%	0.0008603	-25.06%	0.2901	✓	0.06
2026-02-12	oos	0.001191	0.001191	-0.03%	0.000847	-28.88%	0.3456	✓	0.07
2026-02-11	oos	0.001407	0.001408	+0.07%	0.0008553	-39.21%	0.5552	✗	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	0.001486	0.001482	-0.24%	0.0008518	-42.68%	0.5789	✓	1.00
2026-02-09	oos	0.001543	0.001536	-0.45%	0.0008565	-44.49%	0.5857	✓	1.00
2026-02-08	oos	0.001427	0.001417	-0.67%	0.0009532	-33.20%	0.3923	✓	1.00
2026-02-07	oos	0.001508	0.001502	-0.38%	0.00092295	-38.80%	0.4754	✓	1.00
2026-02-06	oos	0.001589	0.001578	-0.72%	0.001003	-36.86%	0.3858	✓	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	0.001658	0.001734	+4.59%	0.0009919	-40.17%	0.6274	✗	1.00
2026-02-04	oos	0.001626	0.001603	-1.40%	0.001065	-34.48%	0.3393	✓	1.00
2026-02-03	oos	0.001753	0.001729	-1.34%	0.001085	-38.13%	0.4014	✓	1.00
2026-02-02	oos	0.001893	0.001882	-0.57%	0.001084	-42.74%	0.4727	✓	1.00
2026-02-01	oos	0.001907	0.001892	-0.77%	0.0009642	-49.44%	0.5562	✓	1.00
2026-01-31	oos	0.002009	0.002005	-0.20%	0.0009868	-50.88%	0.5756	✓	1.00
2026-01-30	oos	0.002156	0.00217	+0.63%	0.001057	-50.99%	0.4734	✗	1.00
2026-01-29	oos	0.002235	0.002249	+0.61%	0.001174	-47.45%	0.4169	✗	1.00
2026-01-28	oos	0.002329	0.002327	-0.09%	0.001293	-44.50%	0.2851	✓	1.00
2026-01-27	oos	0.00229	0.002289	-0.06%	0.00117	-48.90%	0.3929	✓	1.00
2026-01-26	oos	0.002304	0.00231	+0.28%	0.0007948	-65.50%	0.8063	✗	1.00
2026-01-25	oos	0.002421	0.002433	+0.51%	0.000754	-68.86%	0.8707	✗	1.00
2026-01-24	oos	0.002488	0.002478	-0.40%	0.0008021	-67.76%	0.8071	✓	1.00
2026-01-23	oos	0.002529	0.002506	-0.91%	0.0008279	-67.26%	0.8275	✓	1.00
2026-01-22	oos	0.002458	0.002428	-1.23%	0.0008661	-64.76%	0.7557	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.