UNION

UNION · · gru_s2

token id: #925
symbol: UNION
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-01-13
predictions: 819

Track record at +1d

assessed

272

of 273 predictions shown

direction hit

54.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0504

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0010

actual -0.0097

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.000132	0.000132668	+0.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-20	oos	0.00013755	0.000138249	+0.51%	0.000132	-4.03%	0.0440	✗	0.79
2026-10-19	oos	0.00014485	0.000145581	+0.50%	0.00013755	-5.04%	0.0675	✗	0.81
2026-10-18	oos	0.00014775	0.000148471	+0.49%	0.00014485	-1.96%	0.0229	✗	0.86
2026-10-17	oos	0.0001601	0.000160743	+0.40%	0.00014775	-7.71%	0.0910	✗	0.87
2026-10-16	oos	0.00019345	0.000193734	+0.15%	0.0001601	-17.24%	0.1894	✗	0.86
2026-10-15	oos	0.00021225	0.000211912	-0.16%	0.00019345	-8.86%	0.0849	✓	0.81
2026-10-14	oos	0.0002144	0.000214223	-0.08%	0.00021225	-1.00%	0.0148	✓	0.81
2026-10-13	oos	0.00023545	0.000234123	-0.56%	0.0002144	-8.94%	0.0736	✓	0.77
2026-10-12	oos	0.00019	0.000190684	+0.36%	0.00023545	+23.92%	0.1996	✓	0.69
2026-10-11	oos	0.0002488	0.000247924	-0.35%	0.00019	-23.63%	0.2562	✓	0.42
2026-10-10	oos	0.0002485	0.000247884	-0.25%	0.0002488	+0.12%	0.0004	✓	0.35
2026-10-09	oos	0.0002502	0.000249711	-0.20%	0.0002485	-0.68%	0.0064	✓	0.35
2026-10-08	oos	0.0002485	0.000248247	-0.10%	0.0002502	+0.68%	0.0044	✗	0.34
2026-10-07	oos	0.0002536	0.000252068	-0.60%	0.0002485	-2.01%	0.0084	✓	0.31
2026-10-06	oos	0.00025615	0.000253794	-0.92%	0.0002536	-1.00%	0.0073	✓	0.30
2026-10-05	oos	0.0002497	0.000248371	-0.53%	0.00025615	+2.58%	0.0317	✗	0.35
2026-10-04	oos	0.00026125	0.000261	-0.10%	0.0002497	-4.42%	0.0411	✓	0.36
2026-10-03	oos	0.0002568	0.000256322	-0.19%	0.00026125	+1.73%	0.0117	✗	0.35
2026-10-02	oos	0.000258	0.000257789	-0.08%	0.0002568	-0.47%	0.0048	✓	0.35
2026-10-01	oos	0.00025745	0.000257491	+0.02%	0.000258	+0.21%	0.0034	✓	0.35
2026-09-30	oos	0.0002593	0.000259232	-0.03%	0.00025745	-0.71%	0.0125	✓	0.37
2026-09-29	oos	0.00026385	0.000263947	+0.04%	0.0002593	-1.72%	0.0174	✗	0.39
2026-09-28	oos	0.00026275	0.000262939	+0.07%	0.00026385	+0.42%	0.0027	✓	0.37
2026-09-27	oos	0.0002808	0.000280994	+0.07%	0.00026275	-6.43%	0.0631	✗	0.33
2026-09-26	oos	0.00026415	0.000264716	+0.21%	0.0002808	+6.30%	0.0588	✓	0.34
2026-09-25	oos	0.00026715	0.000267719	+0.21%	0.00026415	-1.12%	0.0147	✗	0.33
2026-09-24	oos	0.0002802	0.000280524	+0.12%	0.00026715	-4.66%	0.0477	✗	0.32
2026-09-23	oos	0.000251	0.000251752	+0.30%	0.0002802	+11.63%	0.1070	✓	0.33
2026-09-22	oos	0.00025205	0.000252711	+0.26%	0.000251	-0.42%	0.0014	✓	0.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.0002467	0.000247387	+0.28%	0.00025205	+2.17%	0.0209	✓	0.49
2026-09-20	oos	0.0002636	0.000263744	+0.05%	0.0002467	-6.41%	0.1061	✗	0.61
2026-09-19	oos	0.0002404	0.00024103	+0.26%	0.0002636	+9.65%	0.0901	✓	0.62
2026-09-18	oos	0.0002521	0.000252525	+0.17%	0.0002404	-4.64%	0.0525	✗	0.74
2026-09-17	oos	0.0002492	0.000249541	+0.14%	0.0002521	+1.16%	0.0356	✗	0.80
2026-09-16	oos	0.00024635	0.000246943	+0.24%	0.0002492	+1.16%	0.0071	✓	0.75
2026-09-15	oos	0.00023975	0.000240581	+0.35%	0.00024635	+2.75%	0.0191	✓	0.62
2026-09-14	oos	0.00026425	0.000265079	+0.31%	0.00023975	-9.27%	0.0939	✗	0.19
2026-09-13	oos	0.00026755	0.000268335	+0.29%	0.00026425	-1.23%	0.0186	✗	0.19
2026-09-12	oos	0.0002721	0.000272967	+0.32%	0.00026755	-1.67%	0.0190	✗	0.18
2026-09-11	oos	0.00026975	0.00027082	+0.40%	0.0002721	+0.87%	0.0046	✓	0.15
2026-09-10	oos	0.00028005	0.000280968	+0.33%	0.00026975	-3.68%	0.0422	✗	0.16
2026-09-09	oos	0.0002891	0.000289983	+0.31%	0.00028005	-3.13%	0.0314	✗	0.15
2026-09-08	oos	0.0002783	0.000279496	+0.43%	0.0002891	+3.88%	0.0342	✓	0.18
2026-09-07	oos	0.0002835	0.000284891	+0.49%	0.0002783	-1.83%	0.0220	✗	0.18
2026-09-06	oos	0.00028735	0.000289005	+0.58%	0.0002835	-1.34%	0.0153	✗	0.25
2026-09-05	oos	0.00029265	0.000294199	+0.53%	0.00028735	-1.81%	0.0252	✗	0.26
2026-09-04	oos	0.00028345	0.000285276	+0.64%	0.00029265	+3.25%	0.0250	✓	0.28
2026-09-03	oos	0.0002924	0.000293999	+0.55%	0.00028345	-3.06%	0.0312	✗	0.27
2026-09-02	oos	0.00029925	0.000300369	+0.37%	0.0002924	-2.29%	0.0475	✗	0.41
2026-09-01	oos	0.0002837	0.000285125	+0.50%	0.00029925	+5.48%	0.0488	✓	0.42
2026-08-31	oos	0.00029505	0.000296248	+0.41%	0.0002837	-3.85%	0.0395	✗	0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.00030415	0.000305133	+0.32%	0.00029505	-2.99%	0.0373	✗	0.32
2026-08-29	oos	0.00030385	0.000304882	+0.34%	0.00030415	+0.10%	0.0000	✓	0.33
2026-08-28	oos	0.0002997	0.000300733	+0.34%	0.00030385	+1.38%	0.0086	✓	0.33
2026-08-27	oos	0.0003054	0.00030649	+0.36%	0.0002997	-1.87%	0.0121	✗	0.33
2026-08-26	oos	0.0002961	0.00029706	+0.32%	0.0003054	+3.14%	0.0225	✓	0.33
2026-08-25	oos	0.0002981	0.000298812	+0.24%	0.0002961	-0.67%	0.0109	✗	0.29
2026-08-24	oos	0.00029095	0.000291394	+0.15%	0.0002981	+2.46%	0.0248	✓	0.36
2026-08-23	oos	0.0003022	0.000302301	+0.03%	0.00029095	-3.72%	0.0444	✗	0.38
2026-08-22	oos	0.0003231	0.000322654	-0.14%	0.0003022	-6.47%	0.0689	✓	0.40
2026-08-21	oos	0.00032075	0.000319864	-0.28%	0.0003231	+0.73%	0.0167	✗	0.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.0002986	0.000298776	+0.06%	0.00032075	+7.42%	0.0495	✓	0.31
2026-08-19	oos	0.00029885	0.00029886	+0.00%	0.0002986	-0.08%	0.0171	✗	0.31
2026-08-18	oos	0.000285	0.000284996	-0.00%	0.00029885	+4.86%	0.0317	✗	0.23
2026-08-17	oos	0.00029165	0.000291769	+0.04%	0.000285	-2.28%	0.0242	✗	0.23
2026-08-16	oos	0.0002988	0.00029925	+0.15%	0.00029165	-2.39%	0.0323	✗	0.25
2026-08-15	oos	0.0003234	0.000323116	-0.09%	0.0002988	-7.61%	0.0775	✓	0.25
2026-08-14	oos	0.0002817	0.000282914	+0.43%	0.0003234	+14.80%	0.1336	✓	0.23
2026-08-13	oos	0.00031165	0.000312333	+0.22%	0.0002817	-9.61%	0.1015	✗	0.24
2026-08-12	oos	0.0003097	0.000310464	+0.25%	0.00031165	+0.63%	0.0038	✓	0.17
2026-08-11	oos	0.0003284	0.000328748	+0.11%	0.0003097	-5.69%	0.0594	✗	0.16
2026-08-10	oos	0.0003302	0.000330357	+0.05%	0.0003284	-0.55%	0.0050	✗	0.16
2026-08-09	oos	0.00032805	0.000327699	-0.11%	0.0003302	+0.66%	0.0108	✗	0.22
2026-08-08	oos	0.0003274	0.000326551	-0.26%	0.00032805	+0.20%	0.0048	✗	0.20
2026-08-07	oos	0.0003154	0.000314312	-0.35%	0.0003274	+3.80%	0.0407	✗	0.24
2026-08-06	oos	0.0003193	0.00031832	-0.31%	0.0003154	-1.22%	0.0115	✓	0.24
2026-08-05	oos	0.00032445	0.000323023	-0.44%	0.0003193	-1.59%	0.0104	✓	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.00032765	0.000326327	-0.40%	0.00032445	-0.98%	0.0079	✓	0.25
2026-08-03	oos	0.0003328	0.000331245	-0.47%	0.00032765	-1.55%	0.0132	✓	0.25
2026-08-02	oos	0.0003671	0.000364089	-0.82%	0.0003328	-9.34%	0.0897	✓	0.25
2026-08-01	oos	0.0003089	0.000308203	-0.23%	0.0003671	+18.84%	0.1728	✗	0.18
2026-07-31	oos	0.0003216	0.000320669	-0.29%	0.0003089	-3.95%	0.0372	✓	0.18
2026-07-30	oos	0.00033825	0.000337042	-0.36%	0.0003216	-4.92%	0.0426	✓	0.15
2026-07-29	oos	0.0003314	0.000330742	-0.20%	0.00033825	+2.07%	0.0209	✗	0.12
2026-07-28	oos	0.0003409	0.00034027	-0.18%	0.0003314	-2.79%	0.0265	✓	0.13
2026-07-27	oos	0.00034305	0.000342582	-0.14%	0.0003409	-0.63%	0.0053	✓	0.14
2026-07-26	oos	0.0003416	0.000340067	-0.45%	0.00034305	+0.42%	0.0139	✗	0.20
2026-07-25	oos	0.0003487	0.000347303	-0.40%	0.0003416	-2.04%	0.0182	✓	0.10
2026-07-24	oos	0.0003463	0.000344097	-0.64%	0.0003487	+0.69%	0.0130	✗	0.08
2026-07-23	oos	0.00038195	0.000376377	-1.46%	0.0003463	-9.33%	0.0827	✓	0.04
2026-07-22	oos	0.0003606	0.000358565	-0.56%	0.00038195	+5.92%	0.0642	✗	0.06
2026-07-21	oos	0.000374	0.000372077	-0.51%	0.0003606	-3.58%	0.0310	✓	0.06
2026-07-20	oos	0.0003359	0.000336493	+0.18%	0.000374	+11.34%	0.1063	✓	-0.03
2026-07-19	oos	0.00032715	0.000327902	+0.23%	0.0003359	+2.67%	0.0244	✓	-0.04
2026-07-18	oos	0.0003441	0.000344566	+0.14%	0.00032715	-4.93%	0.0519	✗	-0.03
2026-07-17	oos	0.00036585	0.000366203	+0.10%	0.0003441	-5.95%	0.0611	✗	-0.08
2026-07-16	oos	0.0003579	0.000358269	+0.10%	0.00036585	+2.22%	0.0210	✓	-0.03
2026-07-15	oos	0.0003639	0.000364157	+0.07%	0.0003579	-1.65%	0.0185	✗	-0.08
2026-07-14	oos	0.0003671	0.000367414	+0.09%	0.0003639	-0.87%	0.0099	✗	-0.07
2026-07-13	oos	0.0003881	0.000388121	+0.01%	0.0003671	-5.41%	0.0557	✗	-0.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.0003582	0.000358447	+0.07%	0.0003881	+8.35%	0.0809	✓	0.06
2026-07-11	oos	0.0003537	0.000353889	+0.05%	0.0003582	+1.27%	0.0121	✓	0.04
2026-07-10	oos	0.00033625	0.000336607	+0.11%	0.0003537	+5.19%	0.0498	✓	0.05
2026-07-09	oos	0.0003604	0.000360422	+0.01%	0.00033625	-6.70%	0.0706	✗	0.08
2026-07-08	oos	0.00037	0.000369865	-0.04%	0.0003604	-2.59%	0.0278	✓	0.13
2026-07-07	oos	0.000405	0.000404398	-0.15%	0.00037	-8.64%	0.0878	✓	0.06
2026-07-06	oos	0.00042735	0.000426609	-0.17%	0.000405	-5.23%	0.0515	✓	0.04
2026-07-05	oos	0.0004051	0.00040442	-0.17%	0.00042735	+5.49%	0.0543	✗	0.14
2026-07-04	oos	0.0004127	0.000412011	-0.17%	0.0004051	-1.84%	0.0180	✓	0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.000419	0.00041807	-0.22%	0.0004127	-1.50%	0.0146	✓	0.18
2026-07-02	oos	0.0004073	0.000406151	-0.28%	0.000419	+2.87%	0.0281	✗	0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.0003873	0.000386166	-0.29%	0.0004073	+5.16%	0.0497	✗	0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.0004007	0.000397953	-0.69%	0.0003873	-3.34%	0.0335	✓	0.26
2026-06-29	oos	0.00040025	0.000399937	-0.08%	0.0004007	+0.11%	0.0094	✗	0.27
2026-06-28	oos	0.0004086	0.00040828	-0.08%	0.00040025	-2.04%	0.0230	✓	0.28
2026-06-27	oos	0.000399	0.000401048	+0.51%	0.0004086	+2.41%	0.0210	✓	0.31
2026-06-26	oos	0.00041255	0.00041461	+0.50%	0.000399	-3.28%	0.0380	✗	0.30
2026-06-25	oos	0.00041245	0.000413967	+0.37%	0.00041255	+0.02%	0.0049	✗	0.30
2026-06-24	oos	0.0004483	0.000448612	+0.07%	0.00041245	-8.00%	0.0774	✗	0.32
2026-06-23	oos	0.0005133	0.000512139	-0.23%	0.0004483	-12.66%	0.1274	✓	0.21
2026-06-22	oos	0.00049685	0.000496209	-0.13%	0.0005133	+3.31%	0.0378	✗	0.19
2026-06-21	oos	0.0004866	0.000485614	-0.20%	0.00049685	+2.11%	0.0207	✗	0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.0006188	0.000610977	-1.26%	0.0004866	-21.36%	0.2208	✓	0.44
2026-06-19	oos	0.0005677	0.000558625	-1.60%	0.0006188	+9.00%	0.0976	✗	0.40
2026-06-18	oos	0.0006888	0.0006564	-4.70%	0.0005677	-17.58%	0.1493	✓	0.43
2026-06-17	oos	0.0006045	0.000579041	-4.21%	0.0006888	+13.95%	0.1862	✗	0.51
2026-06-16	oos	0.0003484	0.000348753	+0.10%	0.0006045	+73.51%	0.5641	✓	0.78
2026-06-15	oos	0.00033705	0.000337636	+0.17%	0.0003484	+3.37%	0.0391	✓	0.77
2026-06-14	oos	0.0003429	0.000343435	+0.16%	0.00033705	-1.71%	0.0254	✗	0.77
2026-06-13	oos	0.0003593	0.000359627	+0.09%	0.0003429	-4.56%	0.0632	✗	0.80
2026-06-12	oos	0.0003568	0.000357291	+0.14%	0.0003593	+0.70%	0.0055	✗	0.80
2026-06-11	oos	0.0004005	0.000400196	-0.08%	0.0003568	-10.91%	0.1145	✓	0.80
2026-06-10	oos	0.0003938	0.000393556	-0.06%	0.0004005	+1.70%	0.0097	✓	0.80
2026-06-09	oos	0.0004071	0.000406068	-0.25%	0.0003938	-3.27%	0.0276	✓	0.80
2026-06-08	oos	0.0004564	0.000453006	-0.74%	0.0004071	-10.80%	0.0906	✓	0.74
2026-06-07	oos	0.0004662	0.000461572	-0.99%	0.0004564	-2.10%	0.0084	✓	0.75
2026-06-06	oos	0.0004529	0.00044643	-1.43%	0.0004662	+2.94%	0.0181	✗	0.64
2026-06-05	oos	0.0004608	0.000452476	-1.81%	0.0004529	-1.71%	0.0028	✓	0.62
2026-06-04	oos	0.0005039	0.000494432	-1.88%	0.0004608	-8.55%	0.0449	✓	0.57
2026-06-03	oos	0.0005097	0.000499769	-1.95%	0.0005039	-1.14%	0.0103	✓	0.56
2026-06-02	oos	0.0004586	0.000453871	-1.03%	0.0005097	+11.14%	0.1438	✗	0.69
2026-06-01	oos	0.0004863	0.00048679	+0.10%	0.0004586	-5.70%	0.0035	✗	0.83
2026-05-31	oos	0.000496	0.000496757	+0.15%	0.0004863	-1.96%	0.0051	✓	0.85
2026-05-30	oos	0.0005138	0.000514114	+0.06%	0.000496	-3.46%	0.0339	✗	0.72
2026-05-29	oos	0.0004875	0.000488175	+0.14%	0.0005138	+5.39%	0.0470	✓	0.76
2026-05-28	oos	0.0005483	0.000547123	-0.21%	0.0004875	-11.09%	0.1140	✓	0.71
2026-05-27	oos	0.000479	0.000479756	+0.16%	0.0005483	+14.47%	0.1409	✓	0.67
2026-05-26	oos	0.0005493	0.000549165	-0.02%	0.000479	-12.80%	0.1263	✓	0.51
2026-05-25	oos	0.0005725	0.000572485	-0.00%	0.0005493	-4.05%	0.0313	✓	0.54
2026-05-24	oos	0.00058805	0.000587836	-0.04%	0.0005725	-2.64%	0.0284	✓	0.55
2026-05-23	oos	0.00058485	0.000584871	+0.00%	0.00058805	+0.55%	0.0031	✓	0.56
2026-05-22	oos	0.0005853	0.000585218	-0.01%	0.00058485	-0.08%	0.0096	✓	0.56
2026-05-21	oos	0.000587	0.000586168	-0.14%	0.0005853	-0.29%	0.0145	✗	0.58
2026-05-20	oos	0.0005868	0.000585772	-0.18%	0.000587	+0.03%	0.0016	✓	0.53
2026-05-19	oos	0.00059175	0.000589869	-0.32%	0.0005868	-0.84%	0.0101	✓	0.53
2026-05-18	oos	0.0005995	0.00059674	-0.46%	0.00059175	-1.29%	0.0072	✓	0.54
2026-05-17	oos	0.0005899	0.000587358	-0.43%	0.0005995	+1.63%	0.0237	✗	0.54
2026-05-16	oos	0.0005934	0.000588956	-0.75%	0.0005899	-0.59%	0.0064	✓	0.54
2026-05-15	oos	0.0006503	0.000644308	-0.92%	0.0005934	-8.75%	0.0765	✓	0.48
2026-05-14	oos	0.00060415	0.000604272	+0.02%	0.0006503	+7.64%	0.0872	✓	0.55
2026-05-13	oos	0.0006185	0.000617523	-0.16%	0.00060415	-2.32%	0.0335	✓	0.52
2026-05-12	oos	0.000628	0.000628051	+0.01%	0.0006185	-1.51%	0.0068	✗	0.57
2026-05-11	oos	0.000715	0.000713413	-0.22%	0.000628	-12.17%	0.1192	✓	0.54
2026-05-10	oos	0.00061955	0.000620198	+0.10%	0.000715	+15.41%	0.1456	✓	0.58
2026-05-09	oos	0.0005873	0.000588249	+0.16%	0.00061955	+5.49%	0.0414	✓	0.55
2026-05-08	oos	0.0005998	0.000600738	+0.16%	0.0005873	-2.08%	0.0257	✗	0.53
2026-05-07	oos	0.0006156	0.000616612	+0.16%	0.0005998	-2.57%	0.0289	✗	0.55
2026-05-06	oos	0.000634	0.000635315	+0.21%	0.0006156	-2.90%	0.0252	✗	0.35
2026-05-05	oos	0.0006436	0.000645091	+0.23%	0.000634	-1.49%	0.0186	✗	0.19
2026-05-04	oos	0.0006481	0.000649477	+0.21%	0.0006436	-0.69%	0.0120	✗	0.22
2026-05-03	oos	0.0006428	0.000643007	+0.03%	0.0006481	+0.82%	0.0039	✓	0.24
2026-05-02	oos	0.0006444	0.000645905	+0.23%	0.0006428	-0.25%	0.0044	✗	0.24
2026-05-01	oos	0.0006384	0.000640379	+0.31%	0.0006444	+0.94%	0.0048	✓	0.25
2026-04-30	oos	0.0006505	0.000651572	+0.16%	0.0006384	-1.86%	0.0276	✗	0.29
2026-04-29	oos	0.0006306	0.000631739	+0.18%	0.0006505	+3.16%	0.0272	✓	0.28
2026-04-28	oos	0.000658	0.000657939	-0.01%	0.0006306	-4.16%	0.0403	✓	0.29
2026-04-27	oos	0.0007584	0.000752277	-0.81%	0.000658	-13.24%	0.1302	✓	0.27
2026-04-26	oos	0.0006143	0.000614177	-0.02%	0.0007584	+23.46%	0.2162	✗	0.31
2026-04-25	oos	0.0006453	0.000644157	-0.18%	0.0006143	-4.80%	0.0515	✓	0.31
2026-04-24	oos	0.00065425	0.000652868	-0.21%	0.0006453	-1.37%	0.0124	✓	0.31
2026-04-23	oos	0.0006497	0.000650215	+0.08%	0.00065425	+0.70%	0.0095	✓	0.31
2026-04-22	oos	0.00067115	0.000671686	+0.08%	0.0006497	-3.20%	0.0336	✗	0.31
2026-04-21	oos	0.0006797	0.000678995	-0.10%	0.00067115	-1.26%	0.0191	✓	0.31
2026-04-20	oos	0.00067895	0.000678357	-0.09%	0.0006797	+0.11%	0.0001	✓	0.33
2026-04-19	oos	0.0006767	0.000675778	-0.14%	0.00067895	+0.33%	0.0042	✓	0.33
2026-04-18	oos	0.0006167	0.00061709	+0.06%	0.0006767	+9.73%	0.1015	✓	0.36
2026-04-17	oos	0.0006849	0.000684686	-0.03%	0.0006167	-9.96%	0.0984	✓	0.35
2026-04-16	oos	0.0007269	0.000725517	-0.19%	0.0006849	-5.78%	0.0668	✓	0.36
2026-04-15	oos	0.0006878	0.000687335	-0.07%	0.0007269	+5.68%	0.0544	✗	0.36
2026-04-14	oos	0.0006938	0.000693358	-0.06%	0.0006878	-0.86%	0.0113	✓	0.37
2026-04-13	oos	0.0006568	0.000656996	+0.03%	0.0006938	+5.63%	0.0559	✓	0.38
2026-04-12	oos	0.000669	0.000669299	+0.04%	0.0006568	-1.82%	0.0387	✗	0.39
2026-04-11	oos	0.000678	0.000677576	-0.06%	0.000669	-1.33%	0.0001	✓	0.40
2026-04-10	oos	0.0006807	0.000679928	-0.11%	0.000678	-0.40%	0.0033	✓	0.39
2026-04-09	oos	0.00064095	0.000640572	-0.06%	0.0006807	+6.20%	0.0545	✗	0.38
2026-04-08	oos	0.0006903	0.000688677	-0.24%	0.00064095	-7.15%	0.0757	✓	0.39
2026-04-07	oos	0.0006805	0.000677638	-0.42%	0.0006903	+1.44%	0.0230	✗	0.39
2026-04-06	oos	0.0006281	0.000628165	+0.01%	0.0006805	+8.34%	0.0650	✓	0.35
2026-04-05	oos	0.0006706	0.000669767	-0.12%	0.0006281	-6.34%	0.0635	✓	0.35
2026-04-04	oos	0.0006384	0.000639038	+0.10%	0.0006706	+5.04%	0.0400	✓	0.33
2026-04-03	oos	0.0005835	0.000585529	+0.35%	0.0006384	+9.41%	0.0849	✓	0.31
2026-04-02	oos	0.00059785	0.000600333	+0.42%	0.0005835	-2.40%	0.0287	✗	0.31
2026-04-01	oos	0.0007258	0.000726743	+0.13%	0.00059785	-17.63%	0.1901	✗	0.29
2026-03-31	oos	0.0008132	0.000811367	-0.23%	0.0007258	-10.75%	0.1110	✓	0.29
2026-03-30	oos	0.0008181	0.000817092	-0.12%	0.0008132	-0.60%	0.0111	✓	0.29
2026-03-29	oos	0.0007707	0.000771368	+0.09%	0.0008181	+6.15%	0.0556	✓	0.27
2026-03-28	oos	0.0007611	0.000762165	+0.14%	0.0007707	+1.26%	0.0126	✓	0.27
2026-03-27	oos	0.0007675	0.000768965	+0.19%	0.0007611	-0.83%	0.0101	✗	0.27
2026-03-26	oos	0.0008237	0.00082408	+0.05%	0.0007675	-6.82%	0.0620	✗	0.25
2026-03-25	oos	0.000827	0.000827208	+0.03%	0.0008237	-0.40%	0.0053	✓	0.26
2026-03-24	oos	0.0009455	0.000941963	-0.37%	0.000827	-12.53%	0.1333	✓	0.29
2026-03-23	oos	0.001078	0.001058	-1.79%	0.0009455	-12.27%	0.1114	✓	0.29
2026-03-22	oos	0.0008176	0.000818604	+0.12%	0.001078	+31.81%	0.2702	✓	0.11
2026-03-21	oos	0.0008102	0.00081136	+0.14%	0.0008176	+0.91%	0.0094	✓	0.11
2026-03-20	oos	0.0007869	0.000787571	+0.09%	0.0008102	+2.96%	0.0312	✓	0.13
2026-03-19	oos	0.0008301	0.000830099	-0.00%	0.0007869	-5.20%	0.0545	✓	0.13
2026-03-18	oos	0.000844	0.000843232	-0.09%	0.0008301	-1.65%	0.0132	✓	0.13
2026-03-17	oos	0.0008544	0.000853697	-0.08%	0.000844	-1.22%	0.0063	✓	0.14
2026-03-16	oos	0.0008665	0.000866655	+0.02%	0.0008544	-1.40%	0.0125	✗	0.14
2026-03-15	oos	0.0008603	0.000858776	-0.18%	0.0008665	+0.72%	0.0054	✗	0.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.000847	0.000845584	-0.17%	0.0008603	+1.57%	0.0147	✗	0.12
2026-03-13	oos	0.0008553	0.000854408	-0.10%	0.000847	-0.97%	0.0092	✓	0.11
2026-03-12	oos	0.0008518	0.000852318	+0.06%	0.0008553	+0.41%	0.0028	✓	0.11
2026-03-11	oos	0.0008565	0.000858612	+0.25%	0.0008518	-0.55%	0.0085	✗	0.11
2026-03-10	oos	0.0009532	0.000954854	+0.17%	0.0008565	-10.14%	0.1091	✗	0.12
2026-03-09	oos	0.00092295	0.000926347	+0.37%	0.0009532	+3.28%	0.0264	✓	0.10
2026-03-08	oos	0.001003	0.001007	+0.41%	0.00092295	-8.00%	0.0926	✗	0.14
2026-03-07	oos	0.0009919	0.000995015	+0.31%	0.001003	+1.14%	0.0111	✓	0.15
2026-03-06	oos	0.001065	0.001066	+0.05%	0.0009919	-6.90%	0.0702	✗	0.14
2026-03-05	oos	0.001085	0.001084	-0.05%	0.001065	-1.77%	0.0115	✓	0.15
2026-03-04	oos	0.001084	0.001084	-0.01%	0.001085	+0.06%	0.0044	✗	0.15
2026-03-03	oos	0.0009642	0.000964945	+0.08%	0.001084	+12.42%	0.1155	✓	0.01
2026-03-02	oos	0.0009868	0.000987093	+0.03%	0.0009642	-2.29%	0.0234	✗	0.01
2026-03-01	oos	0.001057	0.001052	-0.40%	0.0009868	-6.61%	0.0668	✓	0.05
2026-02-28	oos	0.001174	0.001163	-1.01%	0.001057	-10.02%	0.0948	✓	0.04
2026-02-27	oos	0.001293	0.001257	-2.78%	0.001174	-9.14%	0.0688	✓	0.07
2026-02-26	oos	0.00117	0.001147	-1.95%	0.001293	+10.46%	0.1217	✗	0.10
2026-02-25	oos	0.0007948	0.000795582	+0.10%	0.00117	+47.22%	0.3865	✓	0.10
2026-02-24	oos	0.000754	0.000754841	+0.11%	0.0007948	+5.41%	0.0515	✓	0.00
2026-02-23	oos	0.0008021	0.000802728	+0.08%	0.000754	-6.00%	0.0626	✗	0.00
2026-02-22	oos	0.0008279	0.000828812	+0.11%	0.0008021	-3.12%	0.0326	✗	0.00
2026-02-21	oos	0.0008661	0.000867207	+0.13%	0.0008279	-4.41%	0.0464	✗	0.00
2026-02-20	oos	0.000957	0.000958095	+0.11%	0.0008661	-9.50%	0.1009	✗	0.02
2026-02-19	oos	0.001101	0.001101	+0.04%	0.000957	-13.08%	0.1415	✗	0.07
2026-02-18	oos	0.001148	0.001148	+0.01%	0.001101	-4.09%	0.0425	✗	0.07
2026-02-17	oos	0.001199	0.001199	-0.00%	0.001148	-4.25%	0.0424	✓	0.07
2026-02-16	oos	0.001202	0.001203	+0.04%	0.001199	-0.25%	0.0014	✗	0.07
2026-02-15	oos	0.001245	0.001245	+0.01%	0.001202	-3.45%	0.0354	✗	0.08
2026-02-14	oos	0.001165	0.001167	+0.13%	0.001245	+6.87%	0.0663	✓	0.08
2026-02-13	oos	0.001148	0.00115	+0.18%	0.001165	+1.48%	0.0120	✓	0.06
2026-02-12	oos	0.001191	0.001194	+0.26%	0.001148	-3.61%	0.0421	✗	0.07
2026-02-11	oos	0.001407	0.001409	+0.17%	0.001191	-15.35%	0.1561	✗	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	0.001486	0.001488	+0.11%	0.001407	-5.32%	0.0295	✗	1.00
2026-02-09	oos	0.001543	0.001544	+0.04%	0.001486	-3.69%	0.0193	✗	1.00
2026-02-08	oos	0.001427	0.00143	+0.18%	0.001543	+8.13%	0.0789	✓	1.00
2026-02-07	oos	0.001508	0.001511	+0.18%	0.001427	-5.37%	0.0718	✗	1.00
2026-02-06	oos	0.001589	0.001591	+0.10%	0.001508	-5.10%	0.0349	✗	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	0.001658	0.001675	+1.01%	0.001589	-4.16%	0.1688	✗	1.00
2026-02-04	oos	0.001626	0.001629	+0.19%	0.001658	+1.97%	0.1682	✓	1.00
2026-02-03	oos	0.001753	0.001757	+0.23%	0.001626	-7.24%	0.0416	✗	1.00
2026-02-02	oos	0.001893	0.001897	+0.20%	0.001753	-7.40%	0.0399	✗	1.00
2026-02-01	oos	0.001907	0.001913	+0.31%	0.001893	-0.73%	0.0333	✗	1.00
2026-01-31	oos	0.002009	0.002014	+0.27%	0.001907	-5.08%	0.0323	✗	1.00
2026-01-30	oos	0.002156	0.002159	+0.12%	0.002009	-6.82%	0.0047	✗	1.00
2026-01-29	oos	0.002235	0.002237	+0.09%	0.002156	-3.53%	0.0321	✗	1.00
2026-01-28	oos	0.002329	0.002325	-0.16%	0.002235	-4.04%	0.0140	✗	1.00
2026-01-27	oos	0.00229	0.002287	-0.14%	0.002329	+1.70%	0.0177	✗	1.00
2026-01-26	oos	0.002304	0.002303	-0.05%	0.00229	-0.61%	0.0154	✓	1.00
2026-01-25	oos	0.002421	0.002421	-0.02%	0.002304	-4.83%	0.0687	✓	1.00
2026-01-24	oos	0.002488	0.002481	-0.27%	0.002421	-2.69%	0.0041	✗	1.00
2026-01-23	oos	0.002529	0.002518	-0.45%	0.002488	-1.62%	0.0074	✓	1.00
2026-01-22	oos	0.002458	0.002447	-0.45%	0.002529	+2.89%	0.0329	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.