UMXM

Manadia · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s2

token id: #947
symbol: UMXM
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x44fc58faaaca03e5d52e493dae930ffa63e2a664
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-23
predictions: 519

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

166

of 173 predictions shown

direction hit

34.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2127

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0091

actual -0.1429

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.03595	0.035532	-1.16%	–	pending	–	–	-1.33
2026-10-20	oos	0.04015	0.039514	-1.58%	–	pending	–	–	-1.20
2026-10-19	oos	0.04395	0.043228	-1.64%	–	pending	–	–	-1.16
2026-10-18	oos	0.04805	0.04711	-1.96%	–	pending	–	–	-1.24
2026-10-17	oos	0.05595	0.054323	-2.91%	–	pending	–	–	-1.32
2026-10-16	oos	0.0651	0.06263	-3.79%	–	pending	–	–	-1.33
2026-10-15	oos	0.0648	0.062323	-3.82%	–	pending	–	–	-1.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.25085	0.220709	-12.02%	0.03595	-85.67%	1.7988	✓	-1.16
2026-10-13	oos	0.0581	0.057527	-0.99%	0.04015	-30.90%	0.3602	✓	-0.26
2026-10-12	oos	0.0588	0.058308	-0.84%	0.04395	-25.26%	0.2824	✓	-0.29
2026-10-11	oos	0.05905	0.059102	+0.09%	0.04805	-18.63%	0.2115	✗	-0.22
2026-10-10	oos	0.0592	0.059371	+0.29%	0.05595	-5.49%	0.0641	✗	-0.25
2026-10-09	oos	0.0591	0.059282	+0.31%	0.0651	+10.15%	0.0903	✓	-0.26
2026-10-08	oos	0.0616	0.061701	+0.16%	0.0648	+5.19%	0.0504	✓	-0.27
2026-10-07	oos	0.0618	0.061884	+0.14%	0.25085	+305.91%	1.3947	✓	-0.23
2026-10-06	oos	0.0634	0.062246	-1.82%	0.0581	-8.36%	0.0751	✓	-0.21
2026-10-05	oos	0.0619	0.060232	-2.69%	0.0588	-5.01%	0.0348	✓	-0.22
2026-10-04	oos	0.06095	0.058483	-4.05%	0.05905	-3.12%	0.0022	✓	-0.22
2026-10-03	oos	0.066	0.063788	-3.35%	0.0592	-10.30%	0.0791	✓	-0.20
2026-10-02	oos	0.0647	0.062452	-3.47%	0.0591	-8.66%	0.0597	✓	-0.19
2026-10-01	oos	0.06655	0.063548	-4.51%	0.0616	-7.44%	0.0382	✓	-0.19
2026-09-30	oos	0.06295	0.062257	-1.10%	0.0618	-1.83%	0.0080	✓	-0.20
2026-09-29	oos	0.0632	0.063076	-0.20%	0.0634	+0.32%	0.0088	✗	-0.16
2026-09-28	oos	0.06695	0.067217	+0.40%	0.0619	-7.54%	0.0787	✗	-0.14
2026-09-27	oos	0.0776	0.077615	+0.02%	0.06095	-21.46%	0.2366	✗	-0.21
2026-09-26	oos	0.0759	0.076765	+1.14%	0.066	-13.04%	0.1503	✗	-0.20
2026-09-25	oos	0.07795	0.079321	+1.76%	0.0647	-17.00%	0.2027	✗	-0.21
2026-09-24	oos	0.0836	0.08532	+2.06%	0.06655	-20.39%	0.2472	✗	-0.23
2026-09-23	oos	0.089	0.09084	+2.07%	0.06295	-29.27%	0.3690	✗	-0.23
2026-09-22	oos	0.09335	0.095257	+2.04%	0.0632	-32.30%	0.4183	✗	-0.27
2026-09-21	oos	0.09665	0.098339	+1.75%	0.06695	-30.73%	0.3953	✗	-0.29
2026-09-20	oos	0.09805	0.099097	+1.07%	0.0776	-20.86%	0.2288	✗	-0.39
2026-09-19	oos	0.0989	0.099778	+0.89%	0.0759	-23.26%	0.2592	✗	-0.37
2026-09-18	oos	0.0993	0.099855	+0.56%	0.07795	-21.50%	0.2324	✗	-0.39
2026-09-17	oos	0.09925	0.099617	+0.37%	0.0836	-15.77%	0.1281	✗	-0.47
2026-09-16	oos	0.0999	0.100319	+0.42%	0.089	-10.91%	0.0723	✗	-0.46
2026-09-15	oos	0.09935	0.099642	+0.29%	0.09335	-6.04%	0.0023	✓	-0.48
2026-09-14	oos	0.09945	0.100114	+0.67%	0.09665	-2.82%	0.0141	✓	-0.48
2026-09-13	oos	0.0999	0.10051	+0.61%	0.09805	-1.85%	0.0034	✓	-0.51
2026-09-12	oos	0.0998	0.100486	+0.69%	0.0989	-0.90%	0.0089	✓	-0.49
2026-09-11	oos	0.0995	0.100152	+0.66%	0.0993	-0.20%	0.0132	✓	-0.47
2026-09-10	oos	0.0997	0.100078	+0.38%	0.09925	-0.45%	0.0094	✗	-0.46
2026-09-09	oos	0.09985	0.100945	+1.10%	0.0999	+0.05%	0.0227	✗	-0.45
2026-09-08	oos	0.10035	0.101733	+1.38%	0.09935	-1.00%	0.0386	✗	-0.40
2026-09-07	oos	0.1002	0.101939	+1.74%	0.09945	-0.75%	0.0294	✗	-0.40
2026-09-06	oos	0.09995	0.102278	+2.33%	0.0999	-0.05%	0.0412	✗	-0.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.1004	0.102418	+2.01%	0.0998	-0.60%	0.0392	✗	-0.41
2026-09-04	oos	0.09975	0.101748	+2.00%	0.0995	-0.25%	0.0336	✗	-0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.10045	0.1024	+1.94%	0.0997	-0.75%	0.0479	✗	-0.35
2026-09-02	oos	0.12235	0.119509	-2.32%	0.09985	-18.39%	0.1777	✓	-0.16
2026-09-01	oos	0.10025	0.101446	+1.19%	0.10035	+0.10%	0.0089	✓	-0.15
2026-08-31	oos	0.09965	0.100648	+1.00%	0.1002	+0.55%	0.0031	✓	-0.21
2026-08-30	oos	0.1011	0.101659	+0.55%	0.09995	-1.14%	0.0129	✗	-0.12
2026-08-29	oos	0.10075	0.101056	+0.30%	0.1004	-0.35%	0.0035	✗	-0.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.1007	0.100634	-0.07%	0.09975	-0.94%	0.0052	✓	-0.15
2026-08-27	oos	0.10085	0.101042	+0.19%	0.10045	-0.40%	0.0043	✗	-0.13
2026-08-26	oos	0.1005	0.100194	-0.30%	0.12235	+21.74%	0.1966	✗	-0.14
2026-08-25	oos	0.1009	0.100076	-0.82%	0.10025	-0.64%	0.0005	✓	-0.16
2026-08-24	oos	0.1008	0.099495	-1.29%	0.09965	-1.14%	0.0006	✓	-0.17
2026-08-23	oos	0.10075	0.099094	-1.64%	0.1011	+0.35%	0.0199	✗	-0.19
2026-08-22	oos	0.09985	0.098207	-1.65%	0.10075	+0.90%	0.0285	✗	-0.19
2026-08-21	oos	0.0995	0.098188	-1.32%	0.1007	+1.21%	0.0242	✗	-0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.1003	0.100213	-0.09%	0.10085	+0.55%	0.0282	✗	-0.23
2026-08-19	oos	0.10025	0.101221	+0.97%	0.1005	+0.25%	0.0352	✓	-0.32
2026-08-18	oos	0.10475	0.109006	+4.06%	0.1009	-3.68%	0.0101	✓	-0.35
2026-08-17	oos	0.1043	0.109601	+5.08%	0.1008	-3.36%	0.0170	✓	-0.33
2026-08-16	oos	0.13135	0.136829	+4.17%	0.10075	-23.30%	0.2770	✗	-0.14
2026-08-15	oos	0.13905	0.143733	+3.37%	0.09985	-28.19%	0.3343	✗	-0.15
2026-08-14	oos	0.1395	0.142935	+2.46%	0.0995	-28.67%	0.3265	✗	-0.16
2026-08-13	oos	0.1552	0.15871	+2.26%	0.1003	-35.37%	0.4326	✗	-0.19
2026-08-12	oos	0.16135	0.165775	+2.74%	0.10025	-37.87%	0.4843	✗	-0.21
2026-08-11	oos	0.1805	0.185943	+3.02%	0.10475	-41.97%	0.5704	✗	-0.19
2026-08-10	oos	0.20565	0.209483	+1.86%	0.1043	-49.28%	0.6955	✗	-0.22
2026-08-09	oos	0.2128	0.215777	+1.40%	0.13135	-38.28%	0.5037	✗	-0.23
2026-08-08	oos	0.2366	0.237107	+0.21%	0.13905	-41.23%	0.5405	✗	-0.23
2026-08-07	oos	0.2354	0.23568	+0.12%	0.1395	-40.74%	0.5317	✗	-0.24
2026-08-06	oos	0.244	0.242863	-0.47%	0.1552	-36.39%	0.4508	✓	-0.23
2026-08-05	oos	0.2479	0.245476	-0.98%	0.16135	-34.91%	0.4238	✓	-0.22
2026-08-04	oos	0.24485	0.240214	-1.89%	0.1805	-26.28%	0.2875	✓	-0.21
2026-08-03	oos	0.2522	0.246377	-2.31%	0.20565	-18.46%	0.1792	✓	-0.21
2026-08-02	oos	0.2667	0.254275	-4.66%	0.2128	-20.21%	0.1741	✓	-0.19
2026-08-01	oos	0.2733	0.257834	-5.66%	0.2366	-13.43%	0.0787	✓	-0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.2786	0.260091	-6.64%	0.2354	-15.51%	0.0928	✓	-0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.25295	0.238867	-5.57%	0.244	-3.54%	0.0205	✓	-0.11
2026-07-29	oos	0.25285	0.237637	-6.02%	0.2479	-1.96%	0.0440	✓	-0.16
2026-07-28	oos	0.26005	0.243893	-6.21%	0.24485	-5.85%	0.0042	✓	-0.09
2026-07-27	oos	0.2189	0.212417	-2.96%	0.2522	+15.21%	0.1714	✗	-0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.288	0.286841	-0.40%	0.2667	-7.40%	0.0805	✓	-0.27
2026-07-25	oos	0.43055	0.433441	+0.67%	0.2733	-36.52%	0.4639	✗	-0.11
2026-07-24	oos	0.5458	0.55447	+1.59%	0.2786	-48.96%	0.6883	✗	-0.00
2026-07-23	oos	0.67405	0.691793	+2.63%	0.25295	-62.47%	1.0064	✗	-0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.8973	0.930944	+3.75%	0.25285	-71.82%	1.3111	✗	-0.23
2026-07-21	oos	1.0072	1.0521	+4.46%	0.26005	-74.18%	1.4077	✗	-0.25
2026-07-20	oos	1.2409	1.3047	+5.14%	0.2189	-82.36%	1.7873	✗	-0.09
2026-07-19	oos	2.3075	2.281	-1.15%	0.288	-87.52%	2.0707	✓	0.13
2026-07-18	oos	2.3811	2.345	-1.51%	0.43055	-81.92%	1.6940	✓	0.13
2026-07-17	oos	2.3614	2.3145	-1.99%	0.5458	-76.89%	1.4451	✓	0.13
2026-07-16	oos	2.2402	2.213	-1.21%	0.67405	-69.91%	1.1913	✓	0.12
2026-07-15	oos	2.2807	2.2568	-1.05%	0.8973	-60.66%	0.9247	✓	0.11
2026-07-14	oos	2.2208	2.2013	-0.88%	1.0072	-54.65%	0.7845	✓	0.12
2026-07-13	oos	2.2458	2.2155	-1.35%	1.2409	-44.75%	0.5869	✓	0.16
2026-07-12	oos	2.2386	2.2181	-0.92%	2.3075	+3.08%	0.0373	✗	0.16
2026-07-11	oos	2.2285	2.2118	-0.75%	2.3811	+6.85%	0.0712	✗	0.16
2026-07-10	oos	2.2295	2.215	-0.65%	2.3614	+5.92%	0.0646	✗	0.16
2026-07-09	oos	2.2182	2.2003	-0.81%	2.2402	+0.99%	0.0165	✗	0.16
2026-07-08	oos	2.2142	2.1927	-0.97%	2.2807	+3.00%	0.0329	✗	0.17
2026-07-07	oos	2.214	2.1942	-0.90%	2.2208	+0.31%	0.0078	✓	0.16
2026-07-06	oos	2.1901	2.1732	-0.77%	2.2458	+2.54%	0.0374	✗	0.16
2026-07-05	oos	2.1837	2.1632	-0.94%	2.2386	+2.51%	0.0338	✗	0.17
2026-07-04	oos	2.1444	2.126	-0.86%	2.2285	+3.92%	0.0453	✗	0.16
2026-07-03	oos	2.1366	2.1197	-0.79%	2.2295	+4.35%	0.0463	✗	0.17
2026-07-02	oos	2.1222	2.1034	-0.89%	2.2182	+4.52%	0.0485	✗	0.17
2026-07-01	oos	2.0958	2.0731	-1.09%	2.2142	+5.65%	0.0595	✗	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	2.0838	2.0616	-1.06%	2.214	+6.25%	0.0571	✗	0.18
2026-06-29	oos	2.0821	2.0575	-1.18%	2.1901	+5.19%	0.0515	✗	0.18
2026-06-28	oos	2.0604	2.031	-1.43%	2.1837	+5.99%	0.0606	✗	0.18
2026-06-27	oos	2.0261	1.9954	-1.52%	2.1444	+5.84%	0.0628	✗	0.18
2026-06-26	oos	2.0122	1.9766	-1.77%	2.1366	+6.18%	0.0704	✗	0.18
2026-06-25	oos	1.9861	1.9442	-2.11%	2.1222	+6.86%	0.0824	✗	0.18
2026-06-24	oos	1.964	1.9259	-1.94%	2.0958	+6.71%	0.0877	✗	0.18
2026-06-23	oos	1.9527	1.9173	-1.81%	2.0838	+6.71%	0.0958	✗	0.18
2026-06-22	oos	1.8978	1.8643	-1.76%	2.0821	+9.71%	0.1230	✗	0.20
2026-06-21	oos	1.819	1.7962	-1.25%	2.0604	+13.27%	0.1484	✗	0.18
2026-06-20	oos	1.8041	1.7804	-1.32%	2.0261	+12.30%	0.1420	✗	0.18
2026-06-19	oos	1.7939	1.7688	-1.40%	2.0122	+12.17%	0.1394	✗	0.19
2026-06-18	oos	1.775	1.7489	-1.47%	1.9861	+11.89%	0.1368	✗	0.19
2026-06-17	oos	1.7866	1.7598	-1.50%	1.964	+9.93%	0.1195	✗	0.18
2026-06-16	oos	1.7721	1.7452	-1.52%	1.9527	+10.19%	0.1206	✗	0.18
2026-06-15	oos	1.7686	1.7432	-1.43%	1.8978	+7.30%	0.0912	✗	0.18
2026-06-14	oos	1.7635	1.7372	-1.49%	1.819	+3.14%	0.0529	✗	0.18
2026-06-13	oos	1.7518	1.7254	-1.50%	1.8041	+2.99%	0.0452	✗	0.19
2026-06-12	oos	1.732	1.7087	-1.34%	1.7939	+3.58%	0.0488	✗	0.19
2026-06-11	oos	1.7178	1.6943	-1.36%	1.775	+3.33%	0.0485	✗	0.19
2026-06-10	oos	1.7223	1.7022	-1.16%	1.7866	+3.73%	0.0375	✗	0.23
2026-06-09	oos	1.7114	1.6882	-1.36%	1.7721	+3.54%	0.0344	✗	0.23
2026-06-08	oos	1.7274	1.6938	-1.95%	1.7686	+2.39%	0.0326	✗	0.21
2026-06-07	oos	1.6827	1.6429	-2.36%	1.7635	+4.80%	0.0629	✗	0.21
2026-06-06	oos	1.6853	1.6429	-2.51%	1.7518	+3.95%	0.0486	✗	0.27
2026-06-05	oos	1.6878	1.6296	-3.45%	1.732	+2.62%	0.0499	✗	0.27
2026-06-04	oos	1.6892	1.6137	-4.47%	1.7178	+1.69%	0.0636	✗	0.28
2026-06-03	oos	1.6755	1.5976	-4.65%	1.7223	+2.79%	0.0867	✗	0.28
2026-06-02	oos	1.6107	1.5489	-3.84%	1.7114	+6.26%	0.1313	✗	0.41
2026-06-01	oos	1.7272	1.6629	-3.72%	1.7274	+0.01%	0.0318	✓	-0.05
2026-05-31	oos	1.6968	1.6455	-3.03%	1.6827	-0.83%	0.0190	✓	-0.02
2026-05-30	oos	1.6992	1.6488	-2.97%	1.6853	-0.82%	0.0173	✓	-0.02
2026-05-29	oos	1.6483	1.606	-2.57%	1.6878	+2.39%	0.0410	✗	-0.05
2026-05-28	oos	1.6386	1.5995	-2.39%	1.6892	+3.09%	0.0479	✗	-0.05
2026-05-27	oos	1.641	1.6056	-2.16%	1.6755	+2.10%	0.0331	✗	-0.06
2026-05-26	oos	1.6222	1.5896	-2.01%	1.6107	-0.71%	0.0052	✓	-0.06
2026-05-25	oos	1.6498	1.6142	-2.15%	1.7272	+4.69%	0.0556	✗	-0.15
2026-05-24	oos	1.6164	1.5878	-1.77%	1.6968	+4.98%	0.0593	✗	-0.16
2026-05-23	oos	1.6125	1.5871	-1.58%	1.6992	+5.38%	0.0625	✗	-0.15
2026-05-22	oos	1.6076	1.5852	-1.39%	1.6483	+2.53%	0.0670	✗	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	1.6017	1.58	-1.36%	1.6386	+2.30%	0.0899	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	1.6625	1.6338	-1.73%	1.641	-1.29%	0.0461	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	1.617	1.5971	-1.23%	1.6222	+0.32%	0.0279	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	1.6751	1.6467	-1.70%	1.6498	-1.52%	0.0021	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	1.5775	1.5558	-1.37%	1.6164	+2.47%	0.0438	✗	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	1.5375	1.5227	-0.96%	1.6125	+4.88%	0.0761	✗	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	1.5322	1.5096	-1.47%	1.6076	+4.92%	0.1097	✗	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	1.5186	1.4851	-2.20%	1.6017	+5.48%	0.1201	✗	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	1.5346	1.5111	-1.53%	1.6625	+8.33%	0.1186	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	1.5227	1.4938	-1.90%	1.617	+6.19%	0.1265	✗	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	1.5116	1.4837	-1.85%	1.6751	+10.82%	0.1817	✗	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	1.5148	1.4873	-1.81%	1.5775	+4.14%	0.1189	✗	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.5776	1.5389	-2.45%	1.5375	-2.54%	0.0312	✗	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	1.5512	1.5166	-2.23%	1.5322	-1.22%	0.0244	✗	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	1.5268	1.4902	-2.39%	1.5186	-0.54%	0.0055	✓	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	1.6231	1.5839	-2.41%	1.5346	-5.45%	0.0049	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	1.6713	1.6248	-2.78%	1.5227	-8.89%	0.0597	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	1.6419	1.5899	-3.17%	1.5116	-7.93%	0.0737	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	1.7622	1.693	-3.93%	1.5148	-14.04%	0.1565	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	1.7539	1.705	-2.79%	1.5776	-10.05%	0.1024	✓	1.00