UMXM

Manadia · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s2

token id: #947
symbol: UMXM
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x44fc58faaaca03e5d52e493dae930ffa63e2a664
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-23
predictions: 522

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

173

of 174 predictions shown

direction hit

43.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0607

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0085

actual -0.0225

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.0308	0.030847	+0.15%	–	pending	–	–	-1.52
2026-10-21	oos	0.0305	0.030565	+0.21%	0.0308	+0.98%	0.0109	✓	-1.41
2026-10-20	oos	0.04015	0.040264	+0.29%	0.0305	-24.03%	0.2621	✗	-1.20
2026-10-19	oos	0.04395	0.044053	+0.23%	0.04015	-8.65%	0.0772	✗	-1.16
2026-10-18	oos	0.04805	0.048134	+0.17%	0.04395	-8.53%	0.0935	✗	-1.24
2026-10-17	oos	0.05595	0.055927	-0.04%	0.04805	-14.12%	0.1417	✓	-1.32
2026-10-16	oos	0.0651	0.064852	-0.38%	0.05595	-14.06%	0.1496	✓	-1.33
2026-10-15	oos	0.0648	0.06463	-0.26%	0.0651	+0.46%	0.0027	✓	-1.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.25085	0.230663	-8.05%	0.0648	-74.17%	1.2618	✓	-1.16
2026-10-13	oos	0.0581	0.058	-0.17%	0.25085	+331.76%	1.4595	✗	-0.26
2026-10-12	oos	0.0588	0.058682	-0.20%	0.0581	-1.19%	0.0053	✓	-0.29
2026-10-11	oos	0.05905	0.059011	-0.07%	0.0588	-0.42%	0.0087	✓	-0.22
2026-10-10	oos	0.0592	0.059173	-0.05%	0.05905	-0.25%	0.0003	✓	-0.25
2026-10-09	oos	0.0591	0.059031	-0.12%	0.0592	+0.17%	0.0040	✗	-0.26
2026-10-08	oos	0.0616	0.061504	-0.16%	0.0591	-4.06%	0.0371	✓	-0.27
2026-10-07	oos	0.0618	0.061797	-0.01%	0.0616	-0.32%	0.0077	✓	-0.23
2026-10-06	oos	0.0634	0.063433	+0.05%	0.0618	-2.52%	0.0318	✗	-0.21
2026-10-05	oos	0.0619	0.061889	-0.02%	0.0634	+2.42%	0.0236	✗	-0.22
2026-10-04	oos	0.06095	0.060891	-0.10%	0.0619	+1.56%	0.0145	✗	-0.22
2026-10-03	oos	0.066	0.065692	-0.47%	0.06095	-7.65%	0.0707	✓	-0.20
2026-10-02	oos	0.0647	0.064524	-0.27%	0.066	+2.01%	0.0232	✗	-0.19
2026-10-01	oos	0.06655	0.066502	-0.07%	0.0647	-2.78%	0.0282	✓	-0.19
2026-09-30	oos	0.06295	0.062988	+0.06%	0.06655	+5.72%	0.0581	✓	-0.20
2026-09-29	oos	0.0632	0.063233	+0.05%	0.06295	-0.40%	0.0046	✗	-0.16
2026-09-28	oos	0.06695	0.066974	+0.04%	0.0632	-5.60%	0.0577	✗	-0.14
2026-09-27	oos	0.0776	0.077554	-0.06%	0.06695	-13.72%	0.1496	✓	-0.21
2026-09-26	oos	0.0759	0.075802	-0.13%	0.0776	+2.24%	0.0235	✗	-0.20
2026-09-25	oos	0.07795	0.077826	-0.16%	0.0759	-2.63%	0.0242	✓	-0.21
2026-09-24	oos	0.0836	0.083447	-0.18%	0.07795	-6.76%	0.0689	✓	-0.23
2026-09-23	oos	0.089	0.088827	-0.19%	0.0836	-6.07%	0.0606	✓	-0.23
2026-09-22	oos	0.09335	0.09313	-0.24%	0.089	-4.66%	0.0510	✓	-0.27
2026-09-21	oos	0.09665	0.096422	-0.24%	0.09335	-3.41%	0.0337	✓	-0.29
2026-09-20	oos	0.09805	0.097285	-0.78%	0.09665	-1.43%	0.0190	✗	-0.39
2026-09-19	oos	0.0989	0.09807	-0.84%	0.09805	-0.86%	0.0005	✓	-0.37
2026-09-18	oos	0.0993	0.097808	-1.50%	0.0989	-0.40%	0.0128	✓	-0.39
2026-09-17	oos	0.09925	0.098179	-1.08%	0.0993	+0.05%	0.0385	✗	-0.47
2026-09-16	oos	0.0999	0.098842	-1.06%	0.09925	-0.65%	0.0054	✓	-0.46
2026-09-15	oos	0.09935	0.098261	-1.10%	0.0999	+0.55%	0.0201	✗	-0.48
2026-09-14	oos	0.09945	0.097759	-1.70%	0.09935	-0.10%	0.0001	✓	-0.48
2026-09-13	oos	0.0999	0.098601	-1.30%	0.09945	-0.45%	0.0176	✗	-0.51
2026-09-12	oos	0.0998	0.098495	-1.31%	0.0999	+0.10%	0.0112	✓	-0.49
2026-09-11	oos	0.0995	0.098271	-1.23%	0.0998	+0.30%	0.0158	✗	-0.47
2026-09-10	oos	0.0997	0.098223	-1.48%	0.0995	-0.20%	0.0169	✗	-0.46
2026-09-09	oos	0.09985	0.09819	-1.66%	0.0997	-0.15%	0.0052	✓	-0.45
2026-09-08	oos	0.10035	0.098799	-1.55%	0.09985	-0.50%	0.0097	✓	-0.40
2026-09-07	oos	0.1002	0.098563	-1.63%	0.10035	+0.15%	0.0147	✓	-0.40
2026-09-06	oos	0.09995	0.098299	-1.65%	0.1002	+0.25%	0.0130	✓	-0.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.1004	0.098638	-1.76%	0.09995	-0.45%	0.0158	✓	-0.41
2026-09-04	oos	0.09975	0.097947	-1.81%	0.1004	+0.65%	0.0254	✗	-0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.10045	0.098738	-1.70%	0.09975	-0.70%	0.0032	✓	-0.35
2026-09-02	oos	0.12235	0.119251	-2.53%	0.10045	-17.90%	0.1635	✓	-0.16
2026-09-01	oos	0.10025	0.098775	-1.47%	0.12235	+22.04%	0.2139	✗	-0.15
2026-08-31	oos	0.09965	0.097731	-1.93%	0.10025	+0.60%	0.0224	✗	-0.21
2026-08-30	oos	0.1011	0.099237	-1.84%	0.09965	-1.43%	0.0055	✓	-0.12
2026-08-29	oos	0.10075	0.098794	-1.94%	0.1011	+0.35%	0.0220	✗	-0.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.1007	0.098827	-1.86%	0.10075	+0.05%	0.0201	✗	-0.15
2026-08-27	oos	0.10085	0.098638	-2.19%	0.1007	-0.15%	0.0168	✓	-0.13
2026-08-26	oos	0.1005	0.098526	-1.96%	0.10085	+0.35%	0.0256	✗	-0.14
2026-08-25	oos	0.1009	0.099098	-1.79%	0.1005	-0.40%	0.0150	✓	-0.16
2026-08-24	oos	0.1008	0.099086	-1.70%	0.1009	+0.10%	0.0172	✗	-0.17
2026-08-23	oos	0.10075	0.099422	-1.32%	0.1008	+0.05%	0.0168	✗	-0.19
2026-08-22	oos	0.09985	0.098827	-1.02%	0.10075	+0.90%	0.0210	✗	-0.19
2026-08-21	oos	0.0995	0.098423	-1.08%	0.09985	+0.35%	0.0115	✗	-0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.1003	0.100459	+0.16%	0.0995	-0.80%	0.0066	✓	-0.23
2026-08-19	oos	0.10025	0.10121	+0.96%	0.1003	+0.05%	0.0078	✓	-0.32
2026-08-18	oos	0.10475	0.106391	+1.57%	0.10025	-4.30%	0.0356	✗	-0.35
2026-08-17	oos	0.1043	0.106211	+1.83%	0.10475	+0.43%	0.0128	✓	-0.33
2026-08-16	oos	0.13135	0.133303	+1.49%	0.1043	-20.59%	0.2418	✗	-0.14
2026-08-15	oos	0.13905	0.140926	+1.35%	0.13135	-5.54%	0.0708	✗	-0.15
2026-08-14	oos	0.1395	0.14119	+1.21%	0.13905	-0.32%	0.0152	✗	-0.16
2026-08-13	oos	0.1552	0.15616	+0.62%	0.1395	-10.12%	0.1141	✗	-0.19
2026-08-12	oos	0.16135	0.162054	+0.44%	0.1552	-3.81%	0.0432	✗	-0.21
2026-08-11	oos	0.1805	0.180465	-0.02%	0.16135	-10.61%	0.1123	✓	-0.19
2026-08-10	oos	0.20565	0.204954	-0.34%	0.1805	-12.23%	0.1283	✓	-0.22
2026-08-09	oos	0.2128	0.211946	-0.40%	0.20565	-3.36%	0.0336	✓	-0.23
2026-08-08	oos	0.2366	0.235823	-0.33%	0.2128	-10.06%	0.1029	✓	-0.23
2026-08-07	oos	0.2354	0.23456	-0.36%	0.2366	+0.51%	0.0087	✗	-0.24
2026-08-06	oos	0.244	0.243094	-0.37%	0.2354	-3.52%	0.0300	✓	-0.23
2026-08-05	oos	0.2479	0.246856	-0.42%	0.244	-1.57%	0.0128	✓	-0.22
2026-08-04	oos	0.24485	0.243725	-0.46%	0.2479	+1.25%	0.0188	✗	-0.21
2026-08-03	oos	0.2522	0.250898	-0.52%	0.24485	-2.91%	0.0225	✓	-0.21
2026-08-02	oos	0.2667	0.265525	-0.44%	0.2522	-5.44%	0.0516	✓	-0.19
2026-08-01	oos	0.2733	0.272164	-0.42%	0.2667	-2.41%	0.0178	✓	-0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.2786	0.276778	-0.65%	0.2733	-1.90%	0.0129	✓	-0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.25295	0.245813	-2.82%	0.2786	+10.14%	0.1220	✗	-0.11
2026-07-29	oos	0.25285	0.240848	-4.75%	0.25295	+0.04%	0.0510	✗	-0.16
2026-07-28	oos	0.26005	0.242306	-6.82%	0.25285	-2.77%	0.0427	✓	-0.09
2026-07-27	oos	0.2189	0.187441	-14.37%	0.26005	+18.80%	0.3276	✗	-0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.288	0.253927	-11.83%	0.2189	-23.99%	0.1553	✓	-0.27
2026-07-25	oos	0.43055	0.41255	-4.18%	0.288	-33.11%	0.3575	✓	-0.11
2026-07-24	oos	0.5458	0.537666	-1.49%	0.43055	-21.12%	0.2222	✓	-0.00
2026-07-23	oos	0.67405	0.669886	-0.62%	0.5458	-19.03%	0.2058	✓	-0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.8973	0.898829	+0.17%	0.67405	-24.88%	0.2914	✗	-0.23
2026-07-21	oos	1.0072	1.0063	-0.10%	0.8973	-10.92%	0.1162	✓	-0.25
2026-07-20	oos	1.2409	1.2397	-0.09%	1.0072	-18.83%	0.2058	✓	-0.09
2026-07-19	oos	2.3075	2.3005	-0.31%	1.2409	-46.22%	0.6183	✓	0.13
2026-07-18	oos	2.3811	2.3719	-0.38%	2.3075	-3.09%	0.0273	✓	0.13
2026-07-17	oos	2.3614	2.3498	-0.49%	2.3811	+0.83%	0.0114	✗	0.13
2026-07-16	oos	2.2402	2.2319	-0.37%	2.3614	+5.41%	0.0561	✗	0.12
2026-07-15	oos	2.2807	2.2703	-0.45%	2.2402	-1.78%	0.0117	✓	0.11
2026-07-14	oos	2.2208	2.2086	-0.55%	2.2807	+2.69%	0.0326	✗	0.12
2026-07-13	oos	2.2458	2.2335	-0.55%	2.2208	-1.11%	0.0124	✓	0.16
2026-07-12	oos	2.2386	2.2269	-0.52%	2.2458	+0.32%	0.0121	✗	0.16
2026-07-11	oos	2.2285	2.2196	-0.40%	2.2386	+0.45%	0.0086	✗	0.16
2026-07-10	oos	2.2295	2.2223	-0.32%	2.2285	-0.05%	0.0036	✗	0.16
2026-07-09	oos	2.2182	2.2079	-0.46%	2.2295	+0.51%	0.0073	✗	0.16
2026-07-08	oos	2.2142	2.2026	-0.52%	2.2182	+0.18%	0.0046	✓	0.17
2026-07-07	oos	2.214	2.1999	-0.64%	2.2142	+0.01%	0.0093	✗	0.16
2026-07-06	oos	2.1901	2.1794	-0.49%	2.214	+1.09%	0.0175	✗	0.16
2026-07-05	oos	2.1837	2.167	-0.77%	2.1901	+0.29%	0.0095	✗	0.17
2026-07-04	oos	2.1444	2.1329	-0.54%	2.1837	+1.83%	0.0223	✗	0.16
2026-07-03	oos	2.1366	2.1276	-0.42%	2.1444	+0.37%	0.0064	✗	0.17
2026-07-02	oos	2.1222	2.1135	-0.41%	2.1366	+0.68%	0.0080	✗	0.17
2026-07-01	oos	2.0958	2.083	-0.61%	2.1222	+1.26%	0.0143	✗	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	2.0838	2.0768	-0.34%	2.0958	+0.58%	0.0048	✗	0.18
2026-06-29	oos	2.0821	2.073	-0.44%	2.0838	+0.08%	0.0101	✗	0.18
2026-06-28	oos	2.0604	2.0477	-0.62%	2.0821	+1.05%	0.0146	✗	0.18
2026-06-27	oos	2.0261	2.0171	-0.45%	2.0604	+1.69%	0.0226	✗	0.18
2026-06-26	oos	2.0122	2.0049	-0.37%	2.0261	+0.69%	0.0108	✗	0.18
2026-06-25	oos	1.9861	1.9745	-0.58%	2.0122	+1.32%	0.0181	✗	0.18
2026-06-24	oos	1.964	1.9547	-0.48%	1.9861	+1.12%	0.0198	✗	0.18
2026-06-23	oos	1.9527	1.9426	-0.52%	1.964	+0.58%	0.0159	✗	0.18
2026-06-22	oos	1.8978	1.8802	-0.92%	1.9527	+2.90%	0.0421	✗	0.20
2026-06-21	oos	1.819	1.8125	-0.35%	1.8978	+4.33%	0.0439	✗	0.18
2026-06-20	oos	1.8041	1.7973	-0.38%	1.819	+0.82%	0.0149	✗	0.18
2026-06-19	oos	1.7939	1.787	-0.39%	1.8041	+0.57%	0.0074	✗	0.19
2026-06-18	oos	1.775	1.7659	-0.52%	1.7939	+1.06%	0.0140	✗	0.19
2026-06-17	oos	1.7866	1.7764	-0.57%	1.775	-0.65%	0.0035	✓	0.18
2026-06-16	oos	1.7721	1.7635	-0.48%	1.7866	+0.82%	0.0162	✗	0.18
2026-06-15	oos	1.7686	1.7614	-0.41%	1.7721	+0.20%	0.0078	✗	0.18
2026-06-14	oos	1.7635	1.7562	-0.41%	1.7686	+0.29%	0.0055	✗	0.18
2026-06-13	oos	1.7518	1.7414	-0.59%	1.7635	+0.67%	0.0090	✗	0.19
2026-06-12	oos	1.732	1.7256	-0.37%	1.7518	+1.15%	0.0125	✗	0.19
2026-06-11	oos	1.7178	1.7122	-0.32%	1.732	+0.83%	0.0115	✗	0.19
2026-06-10	oos	1.7223	1.7191	-0.19%	1.7178	-0.26%	0.0085	✓	0.23
2026-06-09	oos	1.7114	1.7088	-0.16%	1.7223	+0.63%	0.0088	✗	0.23
2026-06-08	oos	1.7274	1.7229	-0.26%	1.7114	-0.92%	0.0019	✓	0.21
2026-06-07	oos	1.6827	1.6787	-0.24%	1.7274	+2.66%	0.0294	✗	0.21
2026-06-06	oos	1.6853	1.6848	-0.03%	1.6827	-0.15%	0.0120	✓	0.27
2026-06-05	oos	1.6878	1.6867	-0.06%	1.6853	-0.15%	0.0000	✓	0.27
2026-06-04	oos	1.6892	1.686	-0.19%	1.6878	-0.08%	0.0135	✗	0.28
2026-06-03	oos	1.6755	1.6735	-0.12%	1.6892	+0.82%	0.0104	✗	0.28
2026-06-02	oos	1.6107	1.6074	-0.21%	1.6755	+4.02%	0.0578	✗	0.41
2026-06-01	oos	1.7272	1.7126	-0.84%	1.6107	-6.75%	0.0648	✓	-0.05
2026-05-31	oos	1.6968	1.6795	-1.02%	1.7272	+1.79%	0.0273	✗	-0.02
2026-05-30	oos	1.6992	1.6795	-1.16%	1.6968	-0.14%	0.0102	✓	-0.02
2026-05-29	oos	1.6483	1.6316	-1.02%	1.6992	+3.09%	0.0409	✗	-0.05
2026-05-28	oos	1.6386	1.6228	-0.97%	1.6483	+0.60%	0.0155	✗	-0.05
2026-05-27	oos	1.641	1.6242	-1.02%	1.6386	-0.15%	0.0081	✓	-0.06
2026-05-26	oos	1.6222	1.6053	-1.04%	1.641	+1.16%	0.0208	✗	-0.06
2026-05-25	oos	1.6498	1.6306	-1.16%	1.6222	-1.67%	0.0079	✓	-0.15
2026-05-24	oos	1.6164	1.6003	-0.99%	1.6498	+2.06%	0.0310	✗	-0.16
2026-05-23	oos	1.6125	1.5977	-0.92%	1.6164	+0.24%	0.0123	✗	-0.15
2026-05-22	oos	1.6076	1.595	-0.78%	1.6125	+0.31%	0.0049	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	1.6017	1.5876	-0.88%	1.6076	+0.37%	0.0400	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	1.6625	1.6454	-1.03%	1.6017	-3.66%	0.0278	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	1.617	1.6031	-0.86%	1.6625	+2.82%	0.0272	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	1.6751	1.6587	-0.98%	1.617	-3.47%	0.0232	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	1.5775	1.5626	-0.94%	1.6751	+6.19%	0.0755	✗	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	1.5375	1.5257	-0.77%	1.5775	+2.60%	0.0424	✗	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	1.5322	1.5213	-0.71%	1.5375	+0.35%	0.0228	✗	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	1.5186	1.5076	-0.72%	1.5322	+0.90%	0.0414	✗	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	1.5346	1.5236	-0.71%	1.5186	-1.05%	0.0257	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	1.5227	1.5125	-0.67%	1.5346	+0.78%	0.0295	✗	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	1.5116	1.5036	-0.53%	1.5227	+0.73%	0.0279	✗	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	1.5148	1.5071	-0.51%	1.5116	-0.21%	0.0088	✗	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.5776	1.5697	-0.50%	1.5148	-3.98%	0.0545	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	1.5512	1.5448	-0.41%	1.5776	+1.70%	0.0152	✗	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	1.5268	1.5213	-0.36%	1.5512	+1.60%	0.0172	✗	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	1.6231	1.6181	-0.30%	1.5268	-5.93%	0.0404	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	1.6713	1.666	-0.31%	1.6231	-2.89%	0.0327	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	1.6419	1.6372	-0.29%	1.6713	+1.79%	0.0075	✗	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	1.7622	1.7552	-0.40%	1.6419	-6.83%	0.0831	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	1.7539	1.7507	-0.18%	1.7622	+0.47%	0.0081	✗	1.00