TREAD
Tread.fi · Ethereum · gru_s2
- token id
- #929
- symbol
- TREAD
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x31eea0edeb85b0cb65c1400bd2f4e487fd61b537
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 84
Track record at +7d
assessed
21
of 28 predictions shown
direction hit
61.9%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1310
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0643
actual -0.0223
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.85085 | 0.818891 | -3.76% | – | pending | – | – | -0.34 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.8493 | 0.820892 | -3.34% | – | pending | – | – | -0.34 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.89125 | 0.857052 | -3.84% | – | pending | – | – | -0.28 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.8999 | 0.865782 | -3.79% | – | pending | – | – | -0.24 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.83765 | 0.815083 | -2.69% | – | pending | – | – | -0.23 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.8799 | 0.852148 | -3.15% | – | pending | – | – | -0.19 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.8869 | 0.858082 | -3.25% | – | pending | – | – | -0.20 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.0433 | 0.991076 | -5.01% | 0.85085 | -18.45% | 0.1777 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 1.03 | 0.977716 | -5.08% | 0.8493 | -17.54% | 0.1705 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 1.0138 | 0.960892 | -5.22% | 0.89125 | -12.09% | 0.0733 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.98725 | 0.936826 | -5.11% | 0.8999 | -8.85% | 0.0414 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.0868 | 1.0205 | -6.10% | 0.83765 | -22.92% | 0.1773 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.1368 | 1.0587 | -6.87% | 0.8799 | -22.60% | 0.1664 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.0573 | 0.992569 | -6.12% | 0.8869 | -16.11% | 0.0998 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.0358 | 0.974513 | -5.92% | 1.0433 | +0.72% | 0.0629 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.0859 | 1.017 | -6.35% | 1.03 | -5.15% | 0.0335 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.1432 | 1.067 | -6.66% | 1.0138 | -11.32% | 0.0223 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.1146 | 1.0411 | -6.60% | 0.98725 | -11.43% | 0.0052 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.1689 | 1.0873 | -6.99% | 1.0868 | -7.03% | 0.0327 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.2022 | 1.0977 | -8.69% | 1.1368 | -5.44% | 0.0568 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.84095 | 0.799299 | -4.95% | 1.0573 | +25.72% | 0.3032 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.8528 | 0.810447 | -4.97% | 1.0358 | +21.46% | 0.2832 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.87815 | 0.830767 | -5.40% | 1.0859 | +23.66% | 0.2712 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.0047 | 0.940099 | -6.43% | 1.1432 | +13.78% | 0.1731 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1383 | 1.049 | -7.85% | 1.1146 | -2.09% | 0.0336 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.0855 | 0.993449 | -8.48% | 1.1689 | +7.69% | 0.1388 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.9022 | 0.846054 | -6.22% | 1.2022 | +33.25% | 0.3475 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.8192 | 0.772348 | -5.72% | 0.84095 | +2.66% | 0.0802 | ✗ | 1.00 |