TREAD
Tread.fi · Ethereum · gru_s2
- token id
- #929
- symbol
- TREAD
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x31eea0edeb85b0cb65c1400bd2f4e487fd61b537
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 84
Track record at +1d
assessed
27
of 28 predictions shown
direction hit
55.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0639
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0160
actual +0.0029
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.85085 | 0.84434 | -0.77% | – | pending | – | – | -0.34 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.8493 | 0.843656 | -0.66% | 0.85085 | +0.18% | 0.0093 | ✗ | -0.34 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.89125 | 0.883863 | -0.83% | 0.8493 | -4.71% | 0.0363 | ✓ | -0.28 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.8999 | 0.892141 | -0.86% | 0.89125 | -0.96% | 0.0023 | ✓ | -0.24 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.83765 | 0.833507 | -0.49% | 0.8999 | +7.43% | 0.0762 | ✗ | -0.23 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.8799 | 0.874372 | -0.63% | 0.83765 | -4.80% | 0.0414 | ✓ | -0.19 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.8869 | 0.88141 | -0.62% | 0.8799 | -0.79% | 0.0020 | ✓ | -0.20 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.0433 | 1.0307 | -1.21% | 0.8869 | -14.99% | 0.1427 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 1.03 | 1.0173 | -1.24% | 1.0433 | +1.29% | 0.0185 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 1.0138 | 1.001 | -1.26% | 1.03 | +1.60% | 0.0472 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.98725 | 0.975779 | -1.16% | 1.0138 | +2.69% | 0.0217 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.0868 | 1.0702 | -1.52% | 0.98725 | -9.16% | 0.0573 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.1368 | 1.1135 | -2.05% | 1.0868 | -4.40% | 0.0335 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.0573 | 1.0405 | -1.59% | 1.1368 | +7.52% | 0.0841 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.0358 | 1.0204 | -1.49% | 1.0573 | +2.07% | 0.0251 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.0859 | 1.0678 | -1.67% | 1.0358 | -4.62% | 0.0113 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.1432 | 1.1216 | -1.89% | 1.0859 | -5.00% | 0.0055 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.1146 | 1.094 | -1.85% | 1.1432 | +2.56% | 0.0464 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.1689 | 1.1445 | -2.09% | 1.1146 | -4.65% | 0.0177 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.2022 | 1.1594 | -3.56% | 1.1689 | -2.77% | 0.0124 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.84095 | 0.83058 | -1.23% | 1.2022 | +42.96% | 0.3670 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.8528 | 0.84248 | -1.21% | 0.84095 | -1.39% | 0.0022 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.87815 | 0.86692 | -1.28% | 0.8528 | -2.89% | 0.0318 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.0047 | 0.9868 | -1.78% | 0.87815 | -12.60% | 0.1157 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1383 | 1.1081 | -2.66% | 1.0047 | -11.74% | 0.1001 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.0855 | 1.0458 | -3.66% | 1.1383 | +4.87% | 0.0968 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.9022 | 0.883057 | -2.12% | 1.0855 | +20.32% | 0.2059 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.8192 | 0.80048 | -2.29% | 0.9022 | +10.13% | 0.1158 | ✗ | 1.00 |