TMX

TermMax · Ethereum · gru_s2

token id: #846
symbol: TMX
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x3c2f61f2e27c865981d2e7aaf6b2cdf823030039
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-25
predictions: 147

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 49 predictions shown

direction hit

40.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4221

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

+0.0023

actual -0.3422

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00942	0.009473	+0.57%	–	pending	–	–	3.14
2026-10-20	oos	0.00918	0.009224	+0.47%	–	pending	–	–	3.16
2026-10-19	oos	0.00918	0.009216	+0.39%	–	pending	–	–	3.15
2026-10-18	oos	0.008945	0.008968	+0.26%	–	pending	–	–	3.16
2026-10-17	oos	0.008375	0.008452	+0.92%	–	pending	–	–	3.13
2026-10-16	oos	0.007985	0.008134	+1.87%	–	pending	–	–	3.14
2026-10-15	oos	0.00795	0.008167	+2.73%	–	pending	–	–	3.18
2026-10-14	oos	0.00869	0.008891	+2.31%	0.00942	+8.40%	0.0139	✓	3.20
2026-10-13	oos	0.010375	0.010434	+0.57%	0.00918	-11.52%	0.1219	✗	3.13
2026-10-12	oos	0.01041	0.010497	+0.84%	0.00918	-11.82%	0.1377	✗	3.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.01259	0.012172	-3.32%	0.008945	-28.95%	0.2466	✓	3.04
2026-10-10	oos	0.011045	0.010906	-1.26%	0.008375	-24.17%	0.2088	✓	2.97
2026-10-09	oos	0.010635	0.010508	-1.19%	0.007985	-24.92%	0.2370	✓	2.95
2026-10-08	oos	0.010685	0.010474	-1.97%	0.00795	-25.60%	0.2912	✓	2.94
2026-10-07	oos	0.01237	0.011513	-6.93%	0.00869	-29.75%	0.2210	✓	2.90
2026-10-06	oos	0.012635	0.011442	-9.44%	0.010375	-17.89%	0.0076	✓	3.12
2026-10-05	oos	0.014305	0.012438	-13.05%	0.01041	-27.23%	0.0294	✓	3.11
2026-10-04	oos	0.01564	0.013102	-16.23%	0.01259	-19.50%	0.0635	✓	3.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.011575	0.010209	-11.81%	0.011045	-4.58%	0.1386	✗	2.74
2026-10-02	oos	0.0112	0.010009	-10.63%	0.010635	-5.04%	0.1249	✗	2.74
2026-10-01	oos	0.01535	0.012782	-16.73%	0.010685	-30.39%	0.0790	✓	2.64
2026-09-30	oos	0.00878	0.00881	+0.35%	0.01237	+40.89%	0.3465	✓	2.12
2026-09-29	oos	0.008885	0.009129	+2.75%	0.012635	+42.21%	0.2771	✓	2.13
2026-09-28	oos	0.008805	0.009202	+4.51%	0.014305	+62.46%	0.3835	✓	2.13
2026-09-27	oos	0.01078	0.011253	+4.39%	0.01564	+45.08%	0.2803	✓	2.04
2026-09-26	oos	0.012155	0.012657	+4.13%	0.011575	-4.77%	0.0972	✗	2.04
2026-09-25	oos	0.011725	0.012268	+4.63%	0.0112	-4.48%	0.1009	✗	2.03
2026-09-24	oos	0.01571	0.016037	+2.08%	0.01535	-2.29%	0.0544	✗	1.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.01868	0.018637	-0.23%	0.00878	-53.00%	0.7429	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.02111	0.02063	-2.27%	0.008885	-57.91%	0.8122	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.02088	0.020533	-1.66%	0.008805	-57.83%	0.8098	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.02122	0.021474	+1.20%	0.01078	-49.20%	0.7290	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.02048	0.020957	+2.33%	0.012155	-40.65%	0.5832	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.02102	0.021612	+2.82%	0.011725	-44.22%	0.6506	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.022235	0.02333	+4.92%	0.01571	-29.35%	0.4955	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.02379	0.024964	+4.94%	0.01868	-21.48%	0.3927	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.026725	0.027913	+4.44%	0.02111	-21.01%	0.4107	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.032755	0.033254	+1.52%	0.02088	-36.25%	0.5677	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.02957	0.030852	+4.33%	0.02122	-28.24%	0.4295	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.03304	0.034237	+3.62%	0.02048	-38.01%	0.5640	✗	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.03	0.032446	+8.15%	0.02102	-29.93%	0.4805	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.030845	0.034011	+10.27%	0.022235	-27.91%	0.4226	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.036275	0.039846	+9.84%	0.02379	-34.42%	0.4880	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.04783	0.052525	+9.82%	0.026725	-44.13%	0.6385	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.055525	0.060593	+9.13%	0.032755	-41.01%	0.6035	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.078715	0.082425	+4.71%	0.02957	-62.43%	0.9801	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.094865	0.097613	+2.90%	0.03304	-65.17%	1.0506	✗	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.0947	0.09773	+3.20%	0.03	-68.32%	1.1496	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.11449	0.116034	+1.35%	0.030845	-73.06%	1.2650	✗	1.00