TMX

TermMax · Ethereum · gru_s2

token id: #846
symbol: TMX
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x3c2f61f2e27c865981d2e7aaf6b2cdf823030039
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-25
predictions: 147

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 49 predictions shown

direction hit

39.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1134

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

+0.0013

actual -0.0513

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00942	0.009392	-0.29%	–	pending	–	–	3.14
2026-10-20	oos	0.00918	0.009152	-0.30%	0.00942	+2.61%	0.0381	✗	3.16
2026-10-19	oos	0.00918	0.009154	-0.29%	0.00918	+0.00%	0.0392	✓	3.15
2026-10-18	oos	0.008945	0.008914	-0.35%	0.00918	+2.63%	0.0360	✗	3.16
2026-10-17	oos	0.008375	0.008361	-0.16%	0.008945	+6.81%	0.0435	✗	3.13
2026-10-16	oos	0.007985	0.007991	+0.07%	0.008375	+4.88%	0.0515	✓	3.14
2026-10-15	oos	0.00795	0.007971	+0.27%	0.007985	+0.44%	0.0260	✓	3.18
2026-10-14	oos	0.00869	0.008707	+0.19%	0.00795	-8.52%	0.1127	✗	3.20
2026-10-13	oos	0.010375	0.010343	-0.31%	0.00869	-16.24%	0.1157	✓	3.13
2026-10-12	oos	0.01041	0.010374	-0.35%	0.010375	-0.34%	0.0515	✓	3.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.01259	0.012288	-2.39%	0.01041	-17.32%	0.0946	✓	3.04
2026-10-10	oos	0.011045	0.010874	-1.55%	0.01259	+13.99%	0.1192	✗	2.97
2026-10-09	oos	0.010635	0.010504	-1.23%	0.011045	+3.86%	0.0371	✗	2.95
2026-10-08	oos	0.010685	0.010547	-1.30%	0.010635	-0.47%	0.0221	✓	2.94
2026-10-07	oos	0.01237	0.012061	-2.50%	0.010685	-13.62%	0.0654	✓	2.90
2026-10-06	oos	0.012635	0.012317	-2.51%	0.01237	-2.10%	0.0880	✗	3.12
2026-10-05	oos	0.014305	0.013835	-3.28%	0.012635	-11.67%	0.0832	✓	3.11
2026-10-04	oos	0.01564	0.014972	-4.27%	0.014305	-8.54%	0.0182	✓	3.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.011575	0.01137	-1.77%	0.01564	+35.12%	0.2623	✗	2.74
2026-10-02	oos	0.0112	0.011046	-1.38%	0.011575	+3.35%	0.0391	✗	2.74
2026-10-01	oos	0.01535	0.014835	-3.35%	0.0112	-27.04%	0.2704	✓	2.64
2026-09-30	oos	0.00878	0.008857	+0.88%	0.01535	+74.83%	0.5174	✓	2.12
2026-09-29	oos	0.008885	0.008967	+0.92%	0.00878	-1.18%	0.0189	✗	2.13
2026-09-28	oos	0.008805	0.008893	+1.00%	0.008885	+0.91%	0.0055	✓	2.13
2026-09-27	oos	0.01078	0.010873	+0.86%	0.008805	-18.32%	0.1865	✗	2.04
2026-09-26	oos	0.012155	0.012255	+0.82%	0.01078	-11.31%	0.1293	✗	2.04
2026-09-25	oos	0.011725	0.011842	+1.00%	0.012155	+3.67%	0.0183	✓	2.03
2026-09-24	oos	0.01571	0.01579	+0.51%	0.011725	-25.37%	0.2909	✗	1.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.01868	0.018671	-0.05%	0.01571	-15.90%	0.1728	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.02111	0.020993	-0.55%	0.01868	-11.51%	0.0954	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.02088	0.020812	-0.33%	0.02111	+1.10%	0.0188	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.02122	0.021338	+0.56%	0.02088	-1.60%	0.0865	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.02048	0.020667	+0.91%	0.02122	+3.61%	0.0273	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.02102	0.021265	+1.17%	0.02048	-2.57%	0.0420	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.022235	0.022609	+1.68%	0.02102	-5.46%	0.1305	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.02379	0.024204	+1.74%	0.022235	-6.54%	0.0875	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.026725	0.027152	+1.60%	0.02379	-10.98%	0.1396	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.032755	0.033098	+1.05%	0.026725	-18.41%	0.1802	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.02957	0.030052	+1.63%	0.032755	+10.77%	0.0684	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.03304	0.033535	+1.50%	0.02957	-10.50%	0.1198	✗	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.03	0.030865	+2.88%	0.03304	+10.13%	0.0674	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.030845	0.031879	+3.35%	0.03	-2.74%	0.0695	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.036275	0.037455	+3.25%	0.030845	-14.97%	0.1716	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.04783	0.049234	+2.94%	0.036275	-24.16%	0.3034	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.055525	0.056841	+2.37%	0.04783	-13.86%	0.1644	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.078715	0.079538	+1.05%	0.055525	-29.46%	0.3438	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.094865	0.095298	+0.46%	0.078715	-17.02%	0.1975	✗	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.0947	0.095186	+0.51%	0.094865	+0.17%	0.0053	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.11449	0.114578	+0.08%	0.0947	-17.29%	0.1708	✗	1.00