STRAX

Xertra · native · gru_s2

token id: #188
symbol: STRAX
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2022-12-30
predictions: 3,777

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

62.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0216

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0018

actual -0.0025

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.01043	0.010418	-0.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-20	oos	0.010376	0.010365	-0.11%	0.01043	+0.52%	0.0089	✗	0.92
2026-10-19	oos	0.010326	0.010319	-0.07%	0.010376	+0.49%	0.0068	✓	0.92
2026-10-18	oos	0.010688	0.010676	-0.11%	0.010326	-3.39%	0.0315	✓	0.91
2026-10-17	oos	0.01042	0.010416	-0.04%	0.010688	+2.58%	0.0189	✗	0.91
2026-10-16	oos	0.010692	0.010682	-0.09%	0.01042	-2.55%	0.0235	✓	0.90
2026-10-15	oos	0.010319	0.010316	-0.03%	0.010692	+3.61%	0.0427	✗	0.91
2026-10-14	oos	0.010199	0.0102	+0.02%	0.010319	+1.18%	0.0054	✓	0.91
2026-10-13	oos	0.0106	0.010595	-0.05%	0.010199	-3.79%	0.0215	✓	0.90
2026-10-12	oos	0.010821	0.010812	-0.09%	0.0106	-2.04%	0.0348	✓	0.91
2026-10-11	oos	0.011079	0.011063	-0.15%	0.010821	-2.33%	0.0009	✓	0.90
2026-10-10	oos	0.010996	0.010977	-0.18%	0.011079	+0.76%	0.0008	✓	0.92
2026-10-09	oos	0.010778	0.010762	-0.15%	0.010996	+2.02%	0.0174	✗	0.92
2026-10-08	oos	0.010488	0.010476	-0.11%	0.010778	+2.77%	0.0189	✗	0.92
2026-10-07	oos	0.010789	0.010745	-0.41%	0.010488	-2.79%	0.0068	✓	0.91
2026-10-06	oos	0.01132	0.011242	-0.69%	0.010789	-4.69%	0.0172	✓	0.89
2026-10-05	oos	0.011354	0.011287	-0.59%	0.01132	-0.30%	0.0051	✓	0.91
2026-10-04	oos	0.011441	0.011395	-0.40%	0.011354	-0.77%	0.0044	✗	0.91
2026-10-03	oos	0.011499	0.011441	-0.50%	0.011441	-0.50%	0.0189	✓	0.92
2026-10-02	oos	0.011429	0.011375	-0.47%	0.011499	+0.61%	0.0082	✗	0.92
2026-10-01	oos	0.01146	0.011423	-0.33%	0.011429	-0.27%	0.0043	✗	0.92
2026-09-30	oos	0.011463	0.011426	-0.32%	0.01146	-0.02%	0.0112	✓	0.92
2026-09-29	oos	0.011352	0.011321	-0.27%	0.011463	+0.98%	0.0133	✗	0.92
2026-09-28	oos	0.011373	0.011341	-0.28%	0.011352	-0.19%	0.0010	✓	0.92
2026-09-27	oos	0.012044	0.012007	-0.31%	0.011373	-5.57%	0.0432	✓	0.92
2026-09-26	oos	0.011991	0.011958	-0.27%	0.012044	+0.44%	0.0066	✗	0.92
2026-09-25	oos	0.011898	0.011872	-0.22%	0.011991	+0.78%	0.0064	✗	0.93
2026-09-24	oos	0.011522	0.011508	-0.13%	0.011898	+3.26%	0.0366	✗	0.94
2026-09-23	oos	0.011014	0.011013	-0.01%	0.011522	+4.62%	0.0451	✗	0.94
2026-09-22	oos	0.011466	0.011466	+0.01%	0.011014	-3.94%	0.0212	✗	0.90
2026-09-21	oos	0.011139	0.011146	+0.07%	0.011466	+2.94%	0.0320	✓	0.81
2026-09-20	oos	0.010672	0.010665	-0.06%	0.011139	+4.37%	0.0136	✓	0.88
2026-09-19	oos	0.010718	0.010712	-0.05%	0.010672	-0.42%	0.0029	✓	0.89
2026-09-18	oos	0.010621	0.010619	-0.01%	0.010718	+0.91%	0.0056	✗	0.83
2026-09-17	oos	0.010108	0.010108	-0.00%	0.010621	+5.07%	0.0025	✗	0.82
2026-09-16	oos	0.010254	0.010253	-0.01%	0.010108	-1.42%	0.0164	✓	0.82
2026-09-15	oos	0.010639	0.010621	-0.17%	0.010254	-3.62%	0.0415	✓	0.86
2026-09-14	oos	0.012554	0.01246	-0.75%	0.010639	-15.25%	0.1336	✓	0.72
2026-09-13	oos	0.010762	0.010733	-0.27%	0.012554	+16.64%	0.1457	✗	0.62
2026-09-12	oos	0.010152	0.010145	-0.06%	0.010762	+6.02%	0.0628	✗	0.63
2026-09-11	oos	0.009724	0.009732	+0.08%	0.010152	+4.40%	0.0417	✓	0.62
2026-09-10	oos	0.009565	0.009574	+0.10%	0.009724	+1.67%	0.0103	✓	0.61
2026-09-09	oos	0.01004	0.010046	+0.06%	0.009565	-4.74%	0.0358	✗	0.59
2026-09-08	oos	0.009965	0.009973	+0.08%	0.01004	+0.75%	0.0075	✓	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.00971	0.009731	+0.22%	0.009965	+2.63%	0.0260	✓	0.28
2026-09-06	oos	0.009645	0.009678	+0.35%	0.00971	+0.67%	0.0079	✓	0.30
2026-09-05	oos	0.009685	0.009715	+0.31%	0.009645	-0.41%	0.0092	✗	0.30
2026-09-04	oos	0.009505	0.009542	+0.39%	0.009685	+1.89%	0.0143	✓	0.30
2026-09-03	oos	0.0096	0.009645	+0.47%	0.009505	-0.99%	0.0086	✗	0.30
2026-09-02	oos	0.00933	0.009354	+0.25%	0.0096	+2.89%	0.0045	✓	0.43
2026-09-01	oos	0.00948	0.009497	+0.18%	0.00933	-1.58%	0.0172	✗	0.45
2026-08-31	oos	0.00919	0.009243	+0.57%	0.00948	+3.16%	0.0334	✓	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.0093	0.009344	+0.47%	0.00919	-1.18%	0.0239	✗	0.63
2026-08-29	oos	0.00935	0.009399	+0.53%	0.0093	-0.53%	0.0051	✓	0.75
2026-08-28	oos	0.0094	0.009449	+0.52%	0.00935	-0.53%	0.0142	✗	0.73
2026-08-27	oos	0.00977	0.009823	+0.54%	0.0094	-3.79%	0.0219	✗	0.72
2026-08-26	oos	0.00952	0.009564	+0.46%	0.00977	+2.63%	0.0102	✓	0.71
2026-08-25	oos	0.0093	0.009334	+0.36%	0.00952	+2.37%	0.0153	✓	0.71
2026-08-24	oos	0.00938	0.0094	+0.21%	0.0093	-0.85%	0.0065	✗	0.72
2026-08-23	oos	0.00958	0.009579	-0.01%	0.00938	-2.09%	0.0328	✓	0.74
2026-08-22	oos	0.0092	0.009203	+0.03%	0.00958	+4.13%	0.0338	✓	0.73
2026-08-21	oos	0.00947	0.009467	-0.03%	0.0092	-2.85%	0.0168	✓	0.72
2026-08-20	oos	0.00884	0.008844	+0.05%	0.00947	+7.13%	0.0202	✓	0.69
2026-08-19	oos	0.008585	0.008572	-0.15%	0.00884	+2.97%	0.0050	✓	0.69
2026-08-18	oos	0.0084	0.008373	-0.32%	0.008585	+2.20%	0.0263	✓	0.74
2026-08-17	oos	0.00823	0.008216	-0.17%	0.0084	+2.07%	0.0198	✗	0.74
2026-08-16	oos	0.00833	0.008327	-0.04%	0.00823	-1.20%	0.0316	✓	0.77
2026-08-15	oos	0.00834	0.008341	+0.01%	0.00833	-0.12%	0.0009	✓	0.77
2026-08-14	oos	0.00826	0.008264	+0.05%	0.00834	+0.97%	0.0086	✓	0.78
2026-08-13	oos	0.00826	0.008263	+0.03%	0.00826	+0.00%	0.0052	✓	0.78
2026-08-12	oos	0.00828	0.008282	+0.02%	0.00826	-0.24%	0.0028	✗	0.79
2026-08-11	oos	0.00857	0.008564	-0.07%	0.00828	-3.38%	0.0322	✓	0.80
2026-08-10	oos	0.008655	0.008641	-0.16%	0.00857	-0.98%	0.0035	✓	0.80
2026-08-09	oos	0.00863	0.008599	-0.36%	0.008655	+0.29%	0.0185	✗	0.82
2026-08-08	oos	0.0087	0.008652	-0.56%	0.00863	-0.80%	0.0017	✓	0.82
2026-08-07	oos	0.00862	0.008568	-0.60%	0.0087	+0.93%	0.0151	✗	0.83
2026-08-06	oos	0.0086	0.008551	-0.57%	0.00862	+0.23%	0.0000	✓	0.84
2026-08-05	oos	0.00866	0.008597	-0.73%	0.0086	-0.69%	0.0047	✓	0.84
2026-08-04	oos	0.0085	0.008452	-0.57%	0.00866	+1.88%	0.0173	✗	0.83
2026-08-03	oos	0.008545	0.008503	-0.49%	0.0085	-0.53%	0.0080	✓	0.84
2026-08-02	oos	0.008635	0.008598	-0.42%	0.008545	-1.04%	0.0058	✓	0.84
2026-08-01	oos	0.008485	0.008467	-0.21%	0.008635	+1.77%	0.0100	✗	0.83
2026-07-31	oos	0.008465	0.008454	-0.13%	0.008485	+0.24%	0.0045	✗	0.83
2026-07-30	oos	0.00845	0.008441	-0.11%	0.008465	+0.18%	0.0283	✗	0.86
2026-07-29	oos	0.00839	0.008379	-0.13%	0.00845	+0.72%	0.0025	✓	0.85
2026-07-28	oos	0.00863	0.008609	-0.25%	0.00839	-2.78%	0.0264	✓	0.84
2026-07-27	oos	0.00876	0.008732	-0.31%	0.00863	-1.48%	0.0138	✓	0.85
2026-07-26	oos	0.00935	0.009321	-0.31%	0.00876	-6.31%	0.0413	✓	0.82
2026-07-25	oos	0.009295	0.009268	-0.29%	0.00935	+0.59%	0.0043	✓	0.81
2026-07-24	oos	0.00928	0.009256	-0.26%	0.009295	+0.16%	0.0015	✓	0.82
2026-07-23	oos	0.00937	0.009343	-0.28%	0.00928	-0.96%	0.0055	✗	0.82
2026-07-22	oos	0.00955	0.009535	-0.16%	0.00937	-1.88%	0.0045	✓	0.82
2026-07-21	oos	0.00965	0.009647	-0.03%	0.00955	-1.04%	0.0048	✓	0.82
2026-07-20	oos	0.00967	0.009663	-0.07%	0.00965	-0.21%	0.0174	✓	0.81
2026-07-19	oos	0.00971	0.009702	-0.08%	0.00967	-0.41%	0.0099	✓	0.81
2026-07-18	oos	0.00962	0.009615	-0.06%	0.00971	+0.94%	0.0113	✗	0.81
2026-07-17	oos	0.009545	0.009536	-0.09%	0.00962	+0.79%	0.0026	✓	0.81
2026-07-16	oos	0.009535	0.009526	-0.09%	0.009545	+0.10%	0.0004	✓	0.81
2026-07-15	oos	0.009575	0.009571	-0.04%	0.009535	-0.42%	0.0085	✗	0.83
2026-07-14	oos	0.009645	0.009645	+0.00%	0.009575	-0.73%	0.0038	✗	0.83
2026-07-13	oos	0.00933	0.009321	-0.09%	0.009645	+3.38%	0.0018	✓	0.84
2026-07-12	oos	0.009805	0.009805	-0.00%	0.00933	-4.84%	0.0304	✓	0.82
2026-07-11	oos	0.009615	0.00962	+0.06%	0.009805	+1.98%	0.0194	✓	0.79
2026-07-10	oos	0.009645	0.009653	+0.08%	0.009615	-0.31%	0.0005	✓	0.80
2026-07-09	oos	0.00948	0.009486	+0.06%	0.009645	+1.74%	0.0047	✓	0.80
2026-07-08	oos	0.00937	0.009372	+0.02%	0.00948	+1.17%	0.0005	✗	0.79
2026-07-07	oos	0.009815	0.009819	+0.04%	0.00937	-4.53%	0.0333	✗	0.78
2026-07-06	oos	0.00994	0.00994	-0.00%	0.009815	-1.26%	0.0044	✓	0.78
2026-07-05	oos	0.00995	0.009942	-0.08%	0.00994	-0.10%	0.0053	✓	0.77
2026-07-04	oos	0.01007	0.01006	-0.10%	0.00995	-1.19%	0.0171	✓	0.78
2026-07-03	oos	0.01008	0.010075	-0.04%	0.01007	-0.10%	0.0075	✓	0.78
2026-07-02	oos	0.009905	0.009903	-0.02%	0.01008	+1.77%	0.0048	✗	0.77
2026-07-01	oos	0.009755	0.009755	+0.00%	0.009905	+1.54%	0.0042	✗	0.78
2026-06-30	oos	0.0096	0.009595	-0.05%	0.009755	+1.61%	0.0023	✓	0.78
2026-06-29	oos	0.0101	0.01008	-0.19%	0.0096	-4.95%	0.0280	✓	0.75
2026-06-28	oos	0.010105	0.010072	-0.33%	0.0101	-0.05%	0.0059	✓	0.76
2026-06-27	oos	0.01069	0.010636	-0.50%	0.010105	-5.47%	0.0455	✓	0.75
2026-06-26	oos	0.010585	0.010553	-0.30%	0.01069	+0.99%	0.0138	✗	0.75
2026-06-25	oos	0.011035	0.010994	-0.37%	0.010585	-4.08%	0.0418	✓	0.76
2026-06-24	oos	0.01074	0.010703	-0.35%	0.011035	+2.75%	0.0475	✗	0.80
2026-06-23	oos	0.0098	0.009785	-0.15%	0.01074	+9.59%	0.1170	✗	0.89
2026-06-22	oos	0.01083	0.010777	-0.49%	0.0098	-9.51%	0.0777	✓	0.84
2026-06-21	oos	0.010395	0.010349	-0.45%	0.01083	+4.18%	0.0362	✗	0.83
2026-06-20	oos	0.00941	0.009396	-0.15%	0.010395	+10.47%	0.1143	✗	0.86
2026-06-19	oos	0.00958	0.009567	-0.14%	0.00941	-1.77%	0.0267	✓	0.87
2026-06-18	oos	0.009335	0.009324	-0.11%	0.00958	+2.62%	0.0189	✗	0.87
2026-06-17	oos	0.00994	0.009913	-0.27%	0.009335	-6.09%	0.0393	✓	0.84
2026-06-16	oos	0.01026	0.010213	-0.46%	0.00994	-3.12%	0.0119	✓	0.84
2026-06-15	oos	0.009395	0.009376	-0.20%	0.01026	+9.21%	0.0987	✗	0.86
2026-06-14	oos	0.009335	0.009312	-0.25%	0.009395	+0.64%	0.0016	✓	0.85
2026-06-13	oos	0.009485	0.009451	-0.36%	0.009335	-1.58%	0.0296	✓	0.88
2026-06-12	oos	0.00964	0.009589	-0.53%	0.009485	-1.61%	0.0233	✓	0.89
2026-06-11	oos	0.010735	0.010623	-1.04%	0.00964	-10.20%	0.0968	✓	0.89
2026-06-10	oos	0.013415	0.012918	-3.70%	0.010735	-19.98%	0.2234	✓	1.13
2026-06-09	oos	0.00833	0.008312	-0.22%	0.013415	+61.04%	0.4832	✗	1.16
2026-06-08	oos	0.0085	0.008487	-0.15%	0.00833	-2.00%	0.0071	✗	1.17
2026-06-07	oos	0.00864	0.008617	-0.26%	0.0085	-1.62%	0.0093	✓	1.16
2026-06-06	oos	0.00854	0.008509	-0.37%	0.00864	+1.17%	0.0307	✓	1.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.00888	0.008831	-0.55%	0.00854	-3.83%	0.0301	✓	1.16
2026-06-04	oos	0.01002	0.009962	-0.58%	0.00888	-11.38%	0.0668	✓	1.08
2026-06-03	oos	0.01127	0.011179	-0.81%	0.01002	-11.09%	0.1055	✓	1.06
2026-06-02	oos	0.01221	0.012119	-0.75%	0.01127	-7.70%	0.0311	✓	1.04
2026-06-01	oos	0.01342	0.013319	-0.75%	0.01221	-9.02%	0.0188	✓	1.01
2026-05-31	oos	0.01606	0.015618	-2.75%	0.01342	-16.44%	0.1243	✓	0.88
2026-05-30	oos	0.01152	0.011525	+0.04%	0.01606	+39.41%	0.3341	✓	0.87
2026-05-29	oos	0.011315	0.011326	+0.10%	0.01152	+1.81%	0.0122	✓	0.87
2026-05-28	oos	0.011425	0.011435	+0.09%	0.011315	-0.96%	0.0088	✗	0.86
2026-05-27	oos	0.011485	0.011498	+0.11%	0.011425	-0.52%	0.0029	✓	0.85
2026-05-26	oos	0.012025	0.012026	+0.01%	0.011485	-4.49%	0.0291	✗	0.84
2026-05-25	oos	0.012355	0.012342	-0.11%	0.012025	-2.67%	0.0104	✓	0.84
2026-05-24	oos	0.012315	0.012301	-0.12%	0.012355	+0.32%	0.0014	✗	0.83
2026-05-23	oos	0.012495	0.012476	-0.15%	0.012315	-1.44%	0.0166	✓	0.85
2026-05-22	oos	0.01228	0.012269	-0.09%	0.012495	+1.75%	0.0048	✗	0.85
2026-05-21	oos	0.012495	0.012459	-0.29%	0.01228	-1.72%	0.0091	✗	0.86
2026-05-20	oos	0.012365	0.012329	-0.29%	0.012495	+1.05%	0.0126	✗	0.85
2026-05-19	oos	0.01218	0.012156	-0.20%	0.012365	+1.52%	0.0092	✗	0.86
2026-05-18	oos	0.012435	0.012393	-0.34%	0.01218	-2.05%	0.0154	✓	0.86
2026-05-17	oos	0.01249	0.012458	-0.26%	0.012435	-0.44%	0.0033	✗	0.86
2026-05-16	oos	0.01282	0.012769	-0.40%	0.01249	-2.57%	0.0144	✓	0.86
2026-05-15	oos	0.01297	0.0129	-0.54%	0.01282	-1.16%	0.0043	✓	0.87
2026-05-14	oos	0.01354	0.01348	-0.44%	0.01297	-4.21%	0.0167	✓	0.87
2026-05-13	oos	0.013285	0.013229	-0.42%	0.01354	+1.92%	0.0035	✓	0.88
2026-05-12	oos	0.01358	0.013534	-0.34%	0.013285	-2.17%	0.0056	✓	0.87
2026-05-11	oos	0.014195	0.01415	-0.32%	0.01358	-4.33%	0.0282	✓	0.84
2026-05-10	oos	0.01402	0.013978	-0.30%	0.014195	+1.25%	0.0202	✗	0.84
2026-05-09	oos	0.01357	0.013535	-0.26%	0.01402	+3.32%	0.0194	✗	0.83
2026-05-08	oos	0.01339	0.013348	-0.31%	0.01357	+1.34%	0.0117	✗	0.83
2026-05-07	oos	0.01334	0.013315	-0.18%	0.01339	+0.37%	0.0037	✗	0.81
2026-05-06	oos	0.013445	0.013434	-0.08%	0.01334	-0.78%	0.0070	✗	0.79
2026-05-05	oos	0.01312	0.013112	-0.06%	0.013445	+2.48%	0.0196	✗	0.84
2026-05-04	oos	0.01288	0.012886	+0.05%	0.01312	+1.86%	0.0071	✓	0.83
2026-05-03	oos	0.0129	0.012884	-0.12%	0.01288	-0.16%	0.0140	✓	0.84
2026-05-02	oos	0.01299	0.01296	-0.23%	0.0129	-0.69%	0.0034	✓	0.84
2026-05-01	oos	0.01295	0.012913	-0.29%	0.01299	+0.31%	0.0013	✓	0.82
2026-04-30	oos	0.012865	0.012836	-0.22%	0.01295	+0.66%	0.0129	✓	0.87
2026-04-29	oos	0.01299	0.012957	-0.25%	0.012865	-0.96%	0.0135	✓	0.87
2026-04-28	oos	0.01319	0.013144	-0.35%	0.01299	-1.52%	0.0053	✓	0.87
2026-04-27	oos	0.01341	0.013352	-0.43%	0.01319	-1.64%	0.0005	✓	0.87
2026-04-26	oos	0.013445	0.013428	-0.13%	0.01341	-0.26%	0.0133	✗	0.87
2026-04-25	oos	0.01318	0.013164	-0.12%	0.013445	+2.01%	0.0098	✗	0.87
2026-04-24	oos	0.013215	0.013203	-0.09%	0.01318	-0.26%	0.0039	✓	0.87
2026-04-23	oos	0.01326	0.013268	+0.06%	0.013215	-0.34%	0.0052	✓	0.87
2026-04-22	oos	0.013285	0.01329	+0.04%	0.01326	-0.19%	0.0031	✗	0.87
2026-04-21	oos	0.01332	0.013301	-0.14%	0.013285	-0.26%	0.0223	✓	0.88
2026-04-20	oos	0.01343	0.013404	-0.20%	0.01332	-0.82%	0.0119	✓	0.88
2026-04-19	oos	0.013225	0.013177	-0.36%	0.01343	+1.55%	0.0051	✓	0.88
2026-04-18	oos	0.01363	0.013593	-0.27%	0.013225	-2.97%	0.0048	✓	0.89
2026-04-17	oos	0.01392	0.013898	-0.16%	0.01363	-2.08%	0.0037	✓	0.89
2026-04-16	oos	0.01348	0.013449	-0.23%	0.01392	+3.26%	0.0120	✗	0.88
2026-04-15	oos	0.013125	0.013107	-0.14%	0.01348	+2.70%	0.0242	✗	0.88
2026-04-14	oos	0.012865	0.012852	-0.10%	0.013125	+2.02%	0.0132	✗	0.88
2026-04-13	oos	0.01305	0.013036	-0.11%	0.012865	-1.42%	0.0100	✓	0.88
2026-04-12	oos	0.01273	0.012705	-0.20%	0.01305	+2.51%	0.0184	✓	0.89
2026-04-11	oos	0.013215	0.013182	-0.25%	0.01273	-3.67%	0.0062	✓	0.88
2026-04-10	oos	0.01322	0.013191	-0.22%	0.013215	-0.04%	0.0007	✓	0.88
2026-04-09	oos	0.0132	0.013163	-0.28%	0.01322	+0.15%	0.0103	✓	0.88
2026-04-08	oos	0.013205	0.013171	-0.26%	0.0132	-0.04%	0.0066	✓	0.88
2026-04-07	oos	0.01335	0.013313	-0.28%	0.013205	-1.09%	0.0021	✓	0.88
2026-04-06	oos	0.01299	0.012974	-0.13%	0.01335	+2.77%	0.0092	✓	0.87
2026-04-05	oos	0.01311	0.013082	-0.22%	0.01299	-0.92%	0.0051	✓	0.87
2026-04-04	oos	0.01291	0.012901	-0.07%	0.01311	+1.55%	0.0060	✓	0.88
2026-04-03	oos	0.01296	0.012948	-0.09%	0.01291	-0.39%	0.0073	✓	0.88
2026-04-02	oos	0.01269	0.012685	-0.04%	0.01296	+2.13%	0.0206	✗	0.87
2026-04-01	oos	0.012915	0.0129	-0.11%	0.01269	-1.74%	0.0006	✓	0.88
2026-03-31	oos	0.01288	0.012861	-0.14%	0.012915	+0.27%	0.0056	✗	0.88
2026-03-30	oos	0.01269	0.012679	-0.09%	0.01288	+1.50%	0.0038	✓	0.89
2026-03-29	oos	0.01258	0.012572	-0.06%	0.01269	+0.87%	0.0009	✓	0.87
2026-03-28	oos	0.01293	0.012914	-0.12%	0.01258	-2.71%	0.0214	✓	0.87
2026-03-27	oos	0.012925	0.012896	-0.23%	0.01293	+0.04%	0.0031	✗	0.87
2026-03-26	oos	0.01347	0.013419	-0.38%	0.012925	-4.05%	0.0064	✓	0.87
2026-03-25	oos	0.013955	0.013914	-0.29%	0.01347	-3.48%	0.0011	✓	0.87
2026-03-24	oos	0.01387	0.013794	-0.55%	0.013955	+0.61%	0.0022	✓	0.87
2026-03-23	oos	0.013715	0.013651	-0.47%	0.01387	+1.13%	0.0201	✗	0.87
2026-03-22	oos	0.013475	0.013386	-0.66%	0.013715	+1.78%	0.0141	✓	0.88
2026-03-21	oos	0.013835	0.013777	-0.42%	0.013475	-2.60%	0.0085	✓	0.87
2026-03-20	oos	0.014275	0.014245	-0.21%	0.013835	-3.08%	0.0093	✓	0.87
2026-03-19	oos	0.01405	0.014036	-0.10%	0.014275	+1.60%	0.0097	✗	0.87
2026-03-18	oos	0.01437	0.01435	-0.14%	0.01405	-2.23%	0.0046	✓	0.88
2026-03-17	oos	0.01482	0.014803	-0.12%	0.01437	-3.04%	0.0031	✗	0.88
2026-03-16	oos	0.014555	0.014577	+0.15%	0.01482	+1.82%	0.0281	✓	0.90
2026-03-15	oos	0.014015	0.014037	+0.15%	0.014555	+3.85%	0.0114	✓	0.89
2026-03-14	oos	0.013745	0.013764	+0.14%	0.014015	+1.96%	0.0020	✗	0.90
2026-03-13	oos	0.0139	0.013914	+0.10%	0.013745	-1.12%	0.0159	✗	0.91
2026-03-12	oos	0.013925	0.013931	+0.04%	0.0139	-0.18%	0.0075	✗	0.91
2026-03-11	oos	0.01398	0.013966	-0.10%	0.013925	-0.39%	0.0071	✓	0.91
2026-03-10	oos	0.013805	0.013824	+0.13%	0.01398	+1.27%	0.0081	✓	0.90
2026-03-09	oos	0.013675	0.013692	+0.13%	0.013805	+0.95%	0.0119	✗	0.91
2026-03-08	oos	0.0135	0.013514	+0.11%	0.013675	+1.30%	0.0219	✗	0.92
2026-03-07	oos	0.01377	0.013767	-0.02%	0.0135	-1.96%	0.0017	✓	0.92
2026-03-06	oos	0.0141	0.014086	-0.10%	0.01377	-2.34%	0.0113	✓	0.91
2026-03-05	oos	0.014565	0.014557	-0.06%	0.0141	-3.19%	0.0048	✗	0.92
2026-03-04	oos	0.0153	0.015276	-0.16%	0.014565	-4.80%	0.0250	✓	0.90
2026-03-03	oos	0.01422	0.014212	-0.06%	0.0153	+7.59%	0.0190	✗	0.89
2026-03-02	oos	0.014455	0.014449	-0.04%	0.01422	-1.63%	0.0096	✓	0.89
2026-03-01	oos	0.014395	0.014358	-0.25%	0.014455	+0.42%	0.0341	✓	0.90
2026-02-28	oos	0.01469	0.014661	-0.20%	0.014395	-2.01%	0.0014	✓	0.93
2026-02-27	oos	0.01463	0.0146	-0.21%	0.01469	+0.41%	0.0094	✓	0.93
2026-02-26	oos	0.014705	0.014693	-0.08%	0.01463	-0.51%	0.0187	✗	0.94
2026-02-25	oos	0.01505	0.015034	-0.11%	0.014705	-2.29%	0.0152	✓	0.94
2026-02-24	oos	0.01436	0.014329	-0.22%	0.01505	+4.81%	0.0071	✓	0.95
2026-02-23	oos	0.014365	0.014343	-0.15%	0.01436	-0.03%	0.0094	✗	0.95
2026-02-22	oos	0.01514	0.015122	-0.12%	0.014365	-5.12%	0.0086	✓	0.94
2026-02-21	oos	0.015795	0.015763	-0.20%	0.01514	-4.15%	0.0357	✓	0.94
2026-02-20	oos	0.015955	0.015914	-0.26%	0.015795	-1.00%	0.0071	✓	0.95
2026-02-19	oos	0.016015	0.015947	-0.43%	0.015955	-0.37%	0.0138	✓	0.96
2026-02-18	oos	0.015415	0.015387	-0.18%	0.016015	+3.89%	0.0320	✗	0.96
2026-02-17	oos	0.015795	0.015765	-0.19%	0.015415	-2.41%	0.0076	✓	0.95
2026-02-16	oos	0.0161	0.016065	-0.22%	0.015795	-1.89%	0.0025	✗	0.95
2026-02-15	oos	0.01599	0.015953	-0.23%	0.0161	+0.69%	0.0083	✗	0.95
2026-02-14	oos	0.01676	0.01669	-0.42%	0.01599	-4.59%	0.0294	✓	0.94
2026-02-13	oos	0.01614	0.016066	-0.46%	0.01676	+3.84%	0.0292	✗	0.93
2026-02-12	oos	0.01533	0.015363	+0.22%	0.01614	+5.28%	0.0140	✓	0.92
2026-02-11	oos	0.01507	0.015104	+0.23%	0.01533	+1.73%	0.0261	✓	0.92
2026-02-10	oos	0.01511	0.015116	+0.04%	0.01507	-0.26%	0.0214	✓	0.93
2026-02-09	oos	0.01524	0.01522	-0.13%	0.01511	-0.85%	0.0103	✗	0.94
2026-02-08	oos	0.01514	0.015114	-0.17%	0.01524	+0.66%	0.0106	✗	0.91
2026-02-07	oos	0.015245	0.015211	-0.23%	0.01514	-0.69%	0.0182	✓	0.91
2026-02-06	oos	0.014975	0.014885	-0.60%	0.015245	+1.80%	0.0408	✗	0.92
2026-02-05	oos	0.01383	0.014027	+1.43%	0.014975	+8.28%	0.0465	✗	0.96
2026-02-04	oos	0.016085	0.015869	-1.34%	0.01383	-14.02%	0.0097	✓	0.98
2026-02-03	oos	0.01625	0.016135	-0.71%	0.016085	-1.02%	0.0316	✗	0.97
2026-02-02	oos	0.01696	0.016912	-0.28%	0.01625	-4.19%	0.0027	✓	0.96
2026-02-01	oos	0.016795	0.016657	-0.82%	0.01696	+0.98%	0.0036	✓	0.95
2026-01-31	oos	0.01633	0.016285	-0.28%	0.016795	+2.85%	0.0544	✗	1.05
2026-01-30	oos	0.018285	0.018285	+0.00%	0.01633	-10.69%	0.0473	✗	0.98
2026-01-29	oos	0.018945	0.018934	-0.06%	0.018285	-3.48%	0.0302	✓	0.98
2026-01-28	oos	0.019745	0.01971	-0.18%	0.018945	-4.05%	0.0136	✗	0.99
2026-01-27	oos	0.019875	0.019828	-0.24%	0.019745	-0.65%	0.0047	✓	1.00
2026-01-26	oos	0.019775	0.019735	-0.20%	0.019875	+0.51%	0.0025	✓	0.98
2026-01-25	oos	0.0195	0.019467	-0.17%	0.019775	+1.41%	0.0033	✓	0.98
2026-01-24	oos	0.020355	0.020194	-0.79%	0.0195	-4.20%	0.0070	✓	0.98
2026-01-23	oos	0.020375	0.020157	-1.07%	0.020355	-0.10%	0.0140	✗	0.98
2026-01-22	oos	0.020195	0.019993	-1.00%	0.020375	+0.89%	0.0188	✗	0.97
2026-01-21	oos	0.020515	0.020355	-0.78%	0.020195	-1.56%	0.0090	✓	0.98
2026-01-20	oos	0.01997	0.019878	-0.46%	0.020515	+2.73%	0.0201	✗	0.97
2026-01-19	oos	0.020855	0.020684	-0.82%	0.01997	-4.24%	0.0107	✗	0.97
2026-01-18	oos	0.022025	0.021859	-0.75%	0.020855	-5.31%	0.0359	✓	0.96
2026-01-17	oos	0.02257	0.022427	-0.63%	0.022025	-2.41%	0.0031	✓	0.96
2026-01-16	oos	0.022515	0.022396	-0.53%	0.02257	+0.24%	0.0117	✗	0.96
2026-01-15	oos	0.0217	0.021618	-0.38%	0.022515	+3.76%	0.0415	✗	0.96
2026-01-14	oos	0.02243	0.02237	-0.27%	0.0217	-3.25%	0.0169	✓	0.95
2026-01-13	oos	0.022435	0.022378	-0.25%	0.02243	-0.02%	0.0133	✓	0.96
2026-01-12	oos	0.021575	0.0215	-0.35%	0.022435	+3.99%	0.0010	✓	0.97
2026-01-11	oos	0.022685	0.022597	-0.39%	0.021575	-4.89%	0.0497	✓	0.97
2026-01-10	oos	0.02385	0.023741	-0.46%	0.022685	-4.88%	0.0509	✓	0.99
2026-01-09	oos	0.02363	0.023518	-0.48%	0.02385	+0.93%	0.0156	✗	1.01
2026-01-08	oos	0.0246	0.024421	-0.73%	0.02363	-3.94%	0.0273	✓	1.00
2026-01-07	oos	0.0225	0.022422	-0.35%	0.0246	+9.33%	0.0959	✗	1.13
2026-01-06	oos	0.02168	0.02165	-0.14%	0.0225	+3.78%	0.0694	✗	1.17
2026-01-05	oos	0.02168	0.021652	-0.13%	0.02168	+0.00%	0.0031	✗	1.17
2026-01-04	oos	0.02104	0.021016	-0.11%	0.02168	+3.04%	0.0010	✓	1.17
2026-01-03	oos	0.02096	0.020938	-0.10%	0.02104	+0.38%	0.0068	✓	1.18
2026-01-02	oos	0.02098	0.02096	-0.09%	0.02096	-0.10%	0.0084	✓	1.18
2026-01-01	oos	0.02027	0.020262	-0.04%	0.02098	+3.50%	0.0189	✗	1.16
2025-12-31	oos	0.01998	0.019969	-0.05%	0.02027	+1.45%	0.0014	✓	1.16
2025-12-30	oos	0.021855	0.021804	-0.24%	0.01998	-8.58%	0.0756	✓	1.15
2025-12-29	oos	0.02313	0.022954	-0.76%	0.021855	-5.51%	0.0663	✓	1.18
2025-12-28	oos	0.021215	0.021111	-0.49%	0.02313	+9.03%	0.1018	✗	1.19
2025-12-27	oos	0.019825	0.019799	-0.13%	0.021215	+7.01%	0.0681	✗	1.16
2025-12-26	oos	0.01927	0.019247	-0.12%	0.019825	+2.88%	0.0229	✗	1.15
2025-12-25	oos	0.019475	0.019446	-0.15%	0.01927	-1.05%	0.0107	✓	1.15
2025-12-24	oos	0.01946	0.019435	-0.13%	0.019475	+0.08%	0.0079	✗	1.16
2025-12-23	oos	0.01933	0.019301	-0.15%	0.01946	+0.67%	0.0058	✗	1.16
2025-12-22	oos	0.01931	0.019283	-0.14%	0.01933	+0.10%	0.0173	✗	1.16
2025-12-21	oos	0.019745	0.019699	-0.23%	0.01931	-2.20%	0.0189	✓	1.16
2025-12-20	oos	0.019295	0.019276	-0.10%	0.019745	+2.33%	0.0198	✗	1.17
2025-12-19	oos	0.019015	0.019003	-0.06%	0.019295	+1.47%	0.0122	✗	1.17
2025-12-18	oos	0.01811	0.018164	+0.30%	0.019015	+5.00%	0.0107	✓	1.16
2025-12-17	oos	0.01868	0.018726	+0.25%	0.01811	-3.05%	0.0234	✗	1.16
2025-12-16	oos	0.020235	0.020221	-0.07%	0.01868	-7.68%	0.0577	✓	1.14
2025-12-15	oos	0.020345	0.020373	+0.14%	0.020235	-0.54%	0.0257	✗	1.15
2025-12-14	oos	0.022005	0.02199	-0.07%	0.020345	-7.54%	0.0551	✓	1.13
2025-12-13	oos	0.022715	0.022701	-0.06%	0.022005	-3.13%	0.0049	✓	1.12
2025-12-12	oos	0.022535	0.022534	-0.01%	0.022715	+0.80%	0.0083	✗	1.12
2025-12-11	oos	0.023045	0.023035	-0.04%	0.022535	-2.21%	0.0060	✗	1.13
2025-12-10	oos	0.023525	0.023496	-0.12%	0.023045	-2.04%	0.0256	✓	1.13
2025-12-09	oos	0.024345	0.0243	-0.18%	0.023525	-3.37%	0.0244	✓	1.13
2025-12-08	oos	0.02372	0.023678	-0.18%	0.024345	+2.63%	0.0029	✗	1.12
2025-12-07	oos	0.023335	0.023296	-0.17%	0.02372	+1.65%	0.0149	✗	1.12
2025-12-06	oos	0.02396	0.023915	-0.19%	0.023335	-2.61%	0.0388	✓	1.13
2025-12-05	oos	0.023665	0.023625	-0.17%	0.02396	+1.25%	0.0151	✗	1.13
2025-12-04	oos	0.02402	0.023977	-0.18%	0.023665	-1.48%	0.0216	✗	1.15
2025-12-03	oos	0.024665	0.024628	-0.15%	0.02402	-2.62%	0.0082	✓	1.15
2025-12-02	oos	0.024285	0.024252	-0.14%	0.024665	+1.56%	0.0099	✓	1.15
2025-12-01	oos	0.023545	0.023518	-0.12%	0.024285	+3.14%	0.0358	✓	1.20
2025-11-30	oos	0.02629	0.026231	-0.22%	0.023545	-10.44%	0.0555	✓	1.13
2025-11-29	oos	0.02459	0.024552	-0.16%	0.02629	+6.91%	0.0741	✗	1.13
2025-11-28	oos	0.02442	0.02438	-0.16%	0.02459	+0.70%	0.0095	✗	1.13
2025-11-27	oos	0.025505	0.025447	-0.23%	0.02442	-4.25%	0.0361	✓	1.13
2025-11-26	oos	0.02503	0.024966	-0.25%	0.025505	+1.90%	0.0109	✗	1.12
2025-11-25	oos	0.02415	0.024086	-0.26%	0.02503	+3.64%	0.0012	✓	1.12
2025-11-24	oos	0.02418	0.024108	-0.30%	0.02415	-0.12%	0.0138	✗	1.12
2025-11-23	oos	0.024255	0.024151	-0.43%	0.02418	-0.31%	0.0178	✓	1.14
2025-11-22	oos	0.0228	0.022729	-0.31%	0.024255	+6.38%	0.0376	✗	1.11
2025-11-21	oos	0.02302	0.022924	-0.42%	0.0228	-0.96%	0.0004	✓	1.10
2025-11-20	oos	0.0245	0.024367	-0.54%	0.02302	-6.04%	0.0383	✓	1.09
2025-11-19	oos	0.025315	0.025228	-0.34%	0.0245	-3.22%	0.0335	✗	1.13
2025-11-18	oos	0.02673	0.02662	-0.41%	0.025315	-5.29%	0.0326	✓	1.12
2025-11-17	oos	0.02681	0.026654	-0.58%	0.02673	-0.30%	0.0071	✓	1.13
2025-11-16	oos	0.02637	0.026265	-0.40%	0.02681	+1.67%	0.0465	✗	1.16
2025-11-15	oos	0.02667	0.0266	-0.26%	0.02637	-1.12%	0.0080	✗	1.16
2025-11-14	oos	0.0268	0.026734	-0.25%	0.02667	-0.49%	0.0152	✓	1.17
2025-11-13	oos	0.0281	0.028058	-0.15%	0.0268	-4.63%	0.0171	✗	1.20
2025-11-12	oos	0.03018	0.030134	-0.15%	0.0281	-6.89%	0.0464	✓	1.17
2025-11-11	oos	0.030845	0.030768	-0.25%	0.03018	-2.16%	0.0035	✓	1.18
2025-11-10	oos	0.02897	0.02898	+0.03%	0.030845	+6.47%	0.0979	✓	1.25
2025-11-09	oos	0.02878	0.028789	+0.03%	0.02897	+0.66%	0.0090	✗	1.25
2025-11-08	oos	0.02834	0.028363	+0.08%	0.02878	+1.55%	0.0148	✗	1.26
2025-11-07	oos	0.02822	0.02828	+0.21%	0.02834	+0.43%	0.0142	✓	1.24
2025-11-06	oos	0.02643	0.026588	+0.60%	0.02822	+6.77%	0.0359	✓	1.22
2025-11-05	oos	0.0256	0.025757	+0.61%	0.02643	+3.24%	0.0574	✓	1.26
2025-11-04	oos	0.02542	0.025612	+0.76%	0.0256	+0.71%	0.0303	✗	1.27
2025-11-03	oos	0.02633	0.02637	+0.15%	0.02542	-3.46%	0.0281	✓	1.32
2025-11-02	oos	0.03021	0.030155	-0.18%	0.02633	-12.84%	0.0906	✓	1.23
2025-11-01	oos	0.03048	0.030423	-0.19%	0.03021	-0.89%	0.0124	✓	1.24
2025-10-31	oos	0.03031	0.030263	-0.15%	0.03048	+0.56%	0.0015	✓	1.24
2025-10-30	oos	0.030465	0.030422	-0.14%	0.03031	-0.51%	0.0179	✓	1.25
2025-10-29	oos	0.031435	0.031375	-0.19%	0.030465	-3.09%	0.0098	✓	1.25
2025-10-28	oos	0.031465	0.031411	-0.17%	0.031435	-0.10%	0.0335	✗	1.27
2025-10-27	oos	0.031945	0.031902	-0.13%	0.031465	-1.50%	0.0006	✓	1.27
2025-10-26	oos	0.032555	0.032505	-0.15%	0.031945	-1.87%	0.0123	✓	1.27
2025-10-25	oos	0.03182	0.031781	-0.12%	0.032555	+2.31%	0.0086	✓	1.28
2025-10-24	oos	0.03197	0.031932	-0.12%	0.03182	-0.47%	0.0107	✓	1.29
2025-10-23	oos	0.03175	0.031722	-0.09%	0.03197	+0.69%	0.0031	✓	1.29
2025-10-22	oos	0.0312	0.031191	-0.03%	0.03175	+1.76%	0.0125	✓	1.30
2025-10-21	oos	0.031615	0.031616	+0.00%	0.0312	-1.31%	0.0039	✗	1.31
2025-10-20	oos	0.03246	0.032464	+0.01%	0.031615	-2.60%	0.0004	✓	1.33
2025-10-19	oos	0.032155	0.032174	+0.06%	0.03246	+0.95%	0.0156	✗	1.42
2025-10-18	oos	0.031935	0.031963	+0.09%	0.032155	+0.69%	0.0134	✗	1.42
2025-10-17	oos	0.03215	0.032178	+0.09%	0.031935	-0.67%	0.0175	✗	1.42
2025-10-16	oos	0.03262	0.032645	+0.08%	0.03215	-1.44%	0.0078	✓	1.43
2025-10-15	oos	0.03352	0.033521	+0.00%	0.03262	-2.68%	0.0065	✓	1.42
2025-10-14	oos	0.035065	0.035001	-0.18%	0.03352	-4.41%	0.0148	✓	1.41
2025-10-13	oos	0.035415	0.03536	-0.16%	0.035065	-0.99%	0.0190	✗	1.42
2025-10-12	oos	0.034095	0.034124	+0.08%	0.035415	+3.87%	0.0347	✓	1.37
2025-10-11	oos	0.03228	0.032418	+0.43%	0.034095	+5.62%	0.0012	✓	1.36
2025-10-10	oos	0.032655	0.03278	+0.38%	0.03228	-1.15%	0.0117	✓	1.36
2025-10-09	oos	0.038095	0.038098	+0.01%	0.032655	-14.28%	0.0657	✗	1.19
2025-10-08	oos	0.03818	0.038211	+0.08%	0.038095	-0.22%	0.0130	✓	1.20
2025-10-07	oos	0.037515	0.037539	+0.06%	0.03818	+1.77%	0.0014	✗	1.15
2025-10-06	oos	0.039275	0.03931	+0.09%	0.037515	-4.48%	0.0163	✗	1.13
2025-10-05	oos	0.03846	0.038479	+0.05%	0.039275	+2.12%	0.0096	✓	1.12
2025-10-04	oos	0.03878	0.038783	+0.01%	0.03846	-0.83%	0.0182	✗	1.14
2025-10-03	oos	0.04	0.039963	-0.09%	0.03878	-3.05%	0.0313	✓	1.12
2025-10-02	oos	0.04003	0.039967	-0.16%	0.04	-0.07%	0.0149	✓	1.13
2025-10-01	oos	0.03943	0.03935	-0.20%	0.04003	+1.52%	0.0005	✓	1.07
2025-09-30	oos	0.037685	0.037639	-0.12%	0.03943	+4.63%	0.0047	✗	1.06
2025-09-29	oos	0.03798	0.037913	-0.18%	0.037685	-0.78%	0.0031	✓	1.12
2025-09-28	oos	0.039005	0.038932	-0.19%	0.03798	-2.63%	0.0473	✓	1.18
2025-09-27	oos	0.03861	0.038572	-0.10%	0.039005	+1.02%	0.0152	✓	1.16
2025-09-26	oos	0.038815	0.038777	-0.10%	0.03861	-0.53%	0.0041	✓	1.16
2025-09-25	oos	0.037915	0.037918	+0.01%	0.038815	+2.37%	0.0164	✓	1.15
2025-09-24	oos	0.039985	0.03982	-0.41%	0.037915	-5.18%	0.0049	✓	1.14
2025-09-23	oos	0.039735	0.039621	-0.29%	0.039985	+0.63%	0.0044	✓	1.15
2025-09-22	oos	0.040125	0.039949	-0.44%	0.039735	-0.97%	0.0021	✓	1.17
2025-09-21	oos	0.042765	0.04262	-0.34%	0.040125	-6.17%	0.0353	✓	1.12
2025-09-20	oos	0.04302	0.042929	-0.21%	0.042765	-0.59%	0.0010	✓	1.18
2025-09-19	oos	0.04305	0.042968	-0.19%	0.04302	-0.07%	0.0006	✓	1.21
2025-09-18	oos	0.044335	0.044256	-0.18%	0.04305	-2.90%	0.0126	✓	1.23
2025-09-17	oos	0.044145	0.044063	-0.19%	0.044335	+0.43%	0.0003	✓	1.19

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.