SAFFRONFI

? · · gru_s2

token id: #442
symbol: SAFFRONFI
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-02-14
predictions: 1,809

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

54.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0492

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0064

actual +0.0040

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	102.7	102.1448	-0.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-10-20	oos	102.625	102.1322	-0.48%	102.7	+0.07%	0.0081	✗	0.87
2026-10-19	oos	105.395	104.6779	-0.68%	102.625	-2.63%	0.0316	✓	0.88
2026-10-18	oos	103.45	102.8062	-0.62%	105.395	+1.88%	0.0267	✗	0.90
2026-10-17	oos	103.575	102.948	-0.61%	103.45	-0.12%	0.0020	✓	0.89
2026-10-16	oos	105.99	105.2441	-0.70%	103.575	-2.28%	0.0147	✓	0.89
2026-10-15	oos	105.38	104.5512	-0.79%	105.99	+0.58%	0.0205	✗	0.90
2026-10-14	oos	105.55	104.657	-0.85%	105.38	-0.16%	0.0008	✓	0.90
2026-10-13	oos	108.61	107.4038	-1.11%	105.55	-2.82%	0.0006	✓	0.90
2026-10-12	oos	107.51	106.4055	-1.03%	108.61	+1.02%	0.0058	✓	0.89
2026-10-11	oos	110.54	109.1544	-1.25%	107.51	-2.74%	0.0050	✓	0.86
2026-10-10	oos	110.135	108.9207	-1.10%	110.54	+0.37%	0.0069	✓	0.85
2026-10-09	oos	110.245	108.9118	-1.21%	110.135	-0.10%	0.0074	✓	0.85
2026-10-08	oos	109.26	108.0398	-1.12%	110.245	+0.90%	0.0114	✗	0.85
2026-10-07	oos	114.1	111.6332	-2.16%	109.26	-4.24%	0.0048	✓	0.87
2026-10-06	oos	112.01	109.2664	-2.45%	114.1	+1.87%	0.0674	✗	0.90
2026-10-05	oos	109.91	107.4314	-2.26%	112.01	+1.91%	0.0440	✗	0.91
2026-10-04	oos	112.355	110.221	-1.90%	109.91	-2.18%	0.0052	✓	0.91
2026-10-03	oos	112.38	110.4442	-1.72%	112.355	-0.02%	0.0018	✓	0.92
2026-10-02	oos	114.17	112.6877	-1.30%	112.38	-1.57%	0.0053	✓	0.92
2026-10-01	oos	114.48	113.4248	-0.92%	114.17	-0.27%	0.0103	✗	0.92
2026-09-30	oos	120.395	119.3397	-0.88%	114.48	-4.91%	0.0563	✓	0.96
2026-09-29	oos	117.48	116.7608	-0.61%	120.395	+2.48%	0.0316	✗	0.96
2026-09-28	oos	115.535	114.9815	-0.48%	117.48	+1.68%	0.0194	✗	0.95
2026-09-27	oos	116.9	116.2952	-0.52%	115.535	-1.17%	0.0050	✓	0.97
2026-09-26	oos	118.39	117.7639	-0.53%	116.9	-1.26%	0.0079	✓	0.97
2026-09-25	oos	120.05	119.387	-0.55%	118.39	-1.38%	0.0121	✓	0.97
2026-09-24	oos	118.01	117.3262	-0.58%	120.05	+1.73%	0.0263	✗	0.97
2026-09-23	oos	120.23	119.3137	-0.76%	118.01	-1.85%	0.0111	✓	0.97
2026-09-22	oos	121.06	119.3289	-1.43%	120.23	-0.69%	0.0281	✗	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	120.92	118.6176	-1.90%	121.06	+0.12%	0.0248	✗	0.97
2026-09-20	oos	116.805	115.7526	-0.90%	120.92	+3.52%	0.0252	✓	1.06
2026-09-19	oos	114.55	113.4814	-0.93%	116.805	+1.97%	0.0298	✗	1.05
2026-09-18	oos	115.35	114.2838	-0.92%	114.55	-0.69%	0.0024	✓	1.06
2026-09-17	oos	112.23	112.2519	+0.02%	115.35	+2.78%	0.0377	✗	1.13
2026-09-16	oos	113.31	113.5802	+0.24%	112.23	-0.95%	0.0150	✗	1.12
2026-09-15	oos	116.825	117.3331	+0.43%	113.31	-3.01%	0.0434	✗	1.15
2026-09-14	oos	122.08	122.1481	+0.06%	116.825	-4.30%	0.0073	✗	1.10
2026-09-13	oos	123.545	124.0738	+0.43%	122.08	-1.19%	0.0350	✗	1.06
2026-09-12	oos	130.19	130.5451	+0.27%	123.545	-5.10%	0.0488	✗	1.04
2026-09-11	oos	131.485	131.9785	+0.38%	130.19	-0.98%	0.0144	✗	1.05
2026-09-10	oos	139.39	139.5384	+0.11%	131.485	-5.67%	0.0687	✗	1.06
2026-09-09	oos	136.155	136.5838	+0.31%	139.39	+2.38%	0.0451	✓	1.10
2026-09-08	oos	146.19	146.0922	-0.07%	136.155	-6.86%	0.0681	✓	1.10
2026-09-07	oos	152.695	152.1167	-0.38%	146.19	-4.26%	0.0308	✓	1.10
2026-09-06	oos	160.67	159.6276	-0.65%	152.695	-4.96%	0.0264	✓	1.15
2026-09-05	oos	161.42	160.8339	-0.36%	160.67	-0.46%	0.0083	✓	1.15
2026-09-04	oos	147.05	147.6104	+0.38%	161.42	+9.77%	0.0870	✓	1.24
2026-09-03	oos	175.98	175.0512	-0.53%	147.05	-16.44%	0.1518	✓	1.14
2026-09-02	oos	176.43	175.5675	-0.49%	175.98	-0.26%	0.0587	✓	1.22
2026-09-01	oos	174.19	173.6369	-0.32%	176.43	+1.29%	0.0174	✗	1.22
2026-08-31	oos	166.31	166.232	-0.05%	174.19	+4.74%	0.0651	✗	1.23
2026-08-30	oos	170.38	170.0479	-0.19%	166.31	-2.39%	0.0345	✓	1.07
2026-08-29	oos	169.63	169.3234	-0.18%	170.38	+0.44%	0.0140	✗	1.06
2026-08-28	oos	179.52	178.9118	-0.34%	169.63	-5.51%	0.0587	✓	1.07
2026-08-27	oos	191.01	190.5332	-0.25%	179.52	-6.02%	0.0275	✓	1.04
2026-08-26	oos	211.81	211.2448	-0.27%	191.01	-9.82%	0.1177	✓	1.09
2026-08-25	oos	217.1	216.699	-0.18%	211.81	-2.44%	0.0297	✓	1.09
2026-08-24	oos	229.97	230.0042	+0.01%	217.1	-5.60%	0.0514	✗	1.11
2026-08-23	oos	278.67	278.6216	-0.02%	229.97	-17.48%	0.2113	✓	1.21
2026-08-22	oos	287.94	287.848	-0.03%	278.67	-3.22%	0.0431	✓	1.22
2026-08-21	oos	319.02	318.477	-0.17%	287.94	-9.74%	0.0814	✓	1.18
2026-08-20	oos	306.52	304.5356	-0.65%	319.02	+4.08%	0.0456	✓	1.31
2026-08-19	oos	270.36	266.4098	-1.46%	306.52	+13.37%	0.0750	✗	1.25
2026-08-18	oos	239.18	236.9551	-0.93%	270.36	+13.04%	0.0501	✗	1.19
2026-08-17	oos	216.8	215.2594	-0.71%	239.18	+10.32%	0.1017	✗	1.17
2026-08-16	oos	226.32	224.9676	-0.60%	216.8	-4.21%	0.0692	✓	1.25
2026-08-15	oos	226.73	225.2751	-0.64%	226.32	-0.18%	0.0082	✗	1.25
2026-08-14	oos	229.55	227.848	-0.74%	226.73	-1.23%	0.0058	✓	1.24
2026-08-13	oos	211.17	209.6885	-0.70%	229.55	+8.70%	0.0995	✗	1.26
2026-08-12	oos	200.27	198.8585	-0.70%	211.17	+5.44%	0.0598	✗	1.25
2026-08-11	oos	174.33	173.4437	-0.51%	200.27	+14.88%	0.1461	✗	1.20
2026-08-10	oos	181.34	180.2205	-0.62%	174.33	-3.87%	0.0261	✓	1.19
2026-08-09	oos	176.56	175.2791	-0.73%	181.34	+2.71%	0.0516	✗	1.21
2026-08-08	oos	172.5	171.0321	-0.85%	176.56	+2.35%	0.0329	✗	1.21
2026-08-07	oos	160.685	159.137	-0.96%	172.5	+7.35%	0.0803	✗	1.20
2026-08-06	oos	136.26	135.4706	-0.58%	160.685	+17.93%	0.1599	✗	1.12
2026-08-05	oos	130.39	129.5201	-0.67%	136.26	+4.50%	0.0566	✗	1.14
2026-08-04	oos	131.76	130.871	-0.67%	130.39	-1.04%	0.0140	✓	1.20
2026-08-03	oos	131.56	130.7422	-0.62%	131.76	+0.15%	0.0034	✓	1.22
2026-08-02	oos	130.19	129.3378	-0.65%	131.56	+1.05%	0.0177	✗	1.19
2026-08-01	oos	118.78	118.2244	-0.47%	130.19	+9.61%	0.0831	✗	1.14
2026-07-31	oos	112.25	111.7825	-0.42%	118.78	+5.82%	0.0618	✗	1.14
2026-07-30	oos	116.04	115.4444	-0.51%	112.25	-3.27%	0.0054	✗	1.13
2026-07-29	oos	105.37	105.0902	-0.27%	116.04	+10.13%	0.0854	✗	1.07
2026-07-28	oos	106.24	105.9669	-0.26%	105.37	-0.82%	0.0065	✓	1.07
2026-07-27	oos	104.86	104.6218	-0.23%	106.24	+1.32%	0.0128	✗	1.08
2026-07-26	oos	110.42	110.1715	-0.23%	104.86	-5.04%	0.0227	✓	1.05
2026-07-25	oos	107.48	107.2416	-0.22%	110.42	+2.74%	0.0123	✗	1.05
2026-07-24	oos	106.4	106.1771	-0.21%	107.48	+1.02%	0.0088	✗	1.04
2026-07-23	oos	109.16	108.9455	-0.20%	106.4	-2.53%	0.0080	✓	1.04
2026-07-22	oos	111.91	111.7187	-0.17%	109.16	-2.46%	0.0066	✓	1.05
2026-07-21	oos	113.12	112.9414	-0.16%	111.91	-1.07%	0.0024	✓	1.05
2026-07-20	oos	109.55	109.3814	-0.15%	113.12	+3.26%	0.0133	✗	1.03
2026-07-19	oos	112.77	112.5378	-0.21%	109.55	-2.86%	0.0354	✓	1.04
2026-07-18	oos	113.49	113.2456	-0.22%	112.77	-0.63%	0.0024	✓	1.05
2026-07-17	oos	111.33	111.0872	-0.22%	113.49	+1.94%	0.0068	✗	1.04
2026-07-16	oos	115.02	114.7057	-0.27%	111.33	-3.21%	0.0320	✓	1.08
2026-07-15	oos	118.58	118.244	-0.28%	115.02	-3.00%	0.0117	✓	1.08
2026-07-14	oos	115.64	115.3768	-0.23%	118.58	+2.54%	0.0319	✗	1.08
2026-07-13	oos	114.74	114.3742	-0.32%	115.64	+0.78%	0.0382	✓	1.15
2026-07-12	oos	115.92	115.6203	-0.26%	114.74	-1.02%	0.0196	✗	1.16
2026-07-11	oos	117.23	116.905	-0.28%	115.92	-1.12%	0.0078	✓	1.26
2026-07-10	oos	117.69	117.3403	-0.30%	117.23	-0.39%	0.0063	✗	1.31
2026-07-09	oos	105.24	105.0535	-0.18%	117.69	+11.83%	0.0947	✗	1.26
2026-07-08	oos	106.33	106.0999	-0.22%	105.24	-1.03%	0.0278	✓	1.31
2026-07-07	oos	109.19	108.9386	-0.23%	106.33	-2.62%	0.0009	✓	1.35
2026-07-06	oos	111.53	111.2238	-0.27%	109.19	-2.10%	0.0039	✓	1.36
2026-07-05	oos	108.29	108.0065	-0.26%	111.53	+2.99%	0.0234	✗	1.32
2026-07-04	oos	108.45	108.1242	-0.30%	108.29	-0.15%	0.0089	✓	1.33
2026-07-03	oos	103.55	103.2806	-0.26%	108.45	+4.73%	0.0372	✗	1.29
2026-07-02	oos	99.23	99	-0.23%	103.55	+4.35%	0.0234	✗	1.29
2026-07-01	oos	97.2	96.9461	-0.26%	99.23	+2.09%	0.0090	✓	1.29
2026-06-30	oos	96.72	96.3934	-0.34%	97.2	+0.50%	0.0245	✓	1.35
2026-06-29	oos	101.52	101.2319	-0.28%	96.72	-4.73%	0.0084	✓	1.35
2026-06-28	oos	100.1	99.9691	-0.13%	101.52	+1.42%	0.0026	✓	1.57
2026-06-27	oos	100.63	100.556	-0.07%	100.1	-0.53%	0.0085	✗	1.68
2026-06-26	oos	101.07	100.9848	-0.08%	100.63	-0.44%	0.0016	✓	1.68
2026-06-25	oos	102.07	101.9419	-0.13%	101.07	-0.98%	0.0170	✓	1.69
2026-06-24	oos	102.095	101.8709	-0.22%	102.07	-0.02%	0.0397	✗	1.78
2026-06-23	oos	105.73	105.4187	-0.29%	102.095	-3.44%	0.0162	✗	1.79
2026-06-22	oos	115.65	115.1742	-0.41%	105.73	-8.58%	0.0492	✓	1.76
2026-06-21	oos	120.06	119.4571	-0.50%	115.65	-3.67%	0.0524	✓	1.78
2026-06-20	oos	123.13	122.4287	-0.57%	120.06	-2.49%	0.0071	✗	1.72
2026-06-19	oos	114.46	113.9463	-0.45%	123.13	+7.57%	0.0575	✗	1.71
2026-06-18	oos	116.8	116.179	-0.53%	114.46	-2.00%	0.0311	✓	1.72
2026-06-17	oos	124.21	123.3367	-0.70%	116.8	-5.97%	0.0128	✓	1.69
2026-06-16	oos	118.04	117.3183	-0.61%	124.21	+5.23%	0.0881	✗	1.73
2026-06-15	oos	101.84	101.4968	-0.34%	118.04	+15.91%	0.1686	✗	1.76
2026-06-14	oos	103.36	102.9494	-0.40%	101.84	-1.47%	0.0262	✓	1.78
2026-06-13	oos	100.71	100.303	-0.40%	103.36	+2.63%	0.0050	✓	1.78
2026-06-12	oos	99.61	99.1975	-0.41%	100.71	+1.10%	0.0098	✓	1.79
2026-06-11	oos	102.23	101.7094	-0.51%	99.61	-2.56%	0.0202	✓	1.79
2026-06-10	oos	96.72	96.2836	-0.45%	102.23	+5.70%	0.0008	✓	1.79
2026-06-09	oos	100.91	100.3289	-0.58%	96.72	-4.15%	0.0297	✓	1.79
2026-06-08	oos	113.22	112.2234	-0.88%	100.91	-10.87%	0.0682	✓	1.72
2026-06-07	oos	111.28	110.0282	-1.12%	113.22	+1.74%	0.0350	✗	1.69
2026-06-06	oos	97.28	96.085	-1.23%	111.28	+14.39%	0.0860	✗	1.54
2026-06-05	oos	97.76	96.2799	-1.51%	97.28	-0.49%	0.0148	✓	1.51
2026-06-04	oos	102.42	100.9399	-1.45%	97.76	-4.55%	0.0365	✗	1.54
2026-06-03	oos	102.84	101.3357	-1.46%	102.42	-0.41%	0.0162	✗	1.53
2026-06-02	oos	105.23	104.2443	-0.94%	102.84	-2.27%	0.0484	✗	1.55
2026-06-01	oos	103	102.691	-0.30%	105.23	+2.17%	0.1453	✗	1.79
2026-05-31	oos	105.02	104.7205	-0.29%	103	-1.92%	0.0404	✗	1.83
2026-05-30	oos	106.24	105.9126	-0.31%	105.02	-1.15%	0.0039	✓	1.73
2026-05-29	oos	104.52	104.2247	-0.28%	106.24	+1.65%	0.0097	✗	1.73
2026-05-28	oos	102	101.7751	-0.22%	104.52	+2.47%	0.0300	✗	1.73
2026-05-27	oos	102.77	102.5686	-0.20%	102	-0.75%	0.0133	✗	1.74
2026-05-26	oos	108.9	108.5626	-0.31%	102.77	-5.63%	0.0202	✓	1.72
2026-05-25	oos	115.21	114.7156	-0.43%	108.9	-5.48%	0.0228	✓	1.57
2026-05-24	oos	114.49	114.0389	-0.39%	115.21	+0.63%	0.0046	✗	1.58
2026-05-23	oos	112.58	112.2019	-0.34%	114.49	+1.70%	0.0137	✗	1.53
2026-05-22	oos	104.65	104.5863	-0.06%	112.58	+7.58%	0.0496	✗	1.52
2026-05-21	oos	108.61	108.504	-0.10%	104.65	-3.65%	0.0057	✗	1.52
2026-05-20	oos	110.37	110.1733	-0.18%	108.61	-1.59%	0.0157	✓	1.53
2026-05-19	oos	109.45	109.2261	-0.20%	110.37	+0.84%	0.0035	✓	1.52
2026-05-18	oos	113.34	112.8753	-0.41%	109.45	-3.43%	0.0274	✓	1.49
2026-05-17	oos	110.42	110.0586	-0.33%	113.34	+2.64%	0.0383	✗	1.49
2026-05-16	oos	106.5	106.2557	-0.23%	110.42	+3.68%	0.0519	✗	1.50
2026-05-15	oos	109.69	109.1173	-0.52%	106.5	-2.91%	0.0060	✓	1.51
2026-05-14	oos	110.74	110.1435	-0.54%	109.69	-0.95%	0.0342	✗	1.52
2026-05-13	oos	113.12	112.5739	-0.48%	110.74	-2.10%	0.0492	✓	1.47
2026-05-12	oos	113.72	113.2716	-0.39%	113.12	-0.53%	0.0211	✗	1.50
2026-05-11	oos	116.68	116.3379	-0.29%	113.72	-2.54%	0.0004	✓	1.46
2026-05-10	oos	119.15	118.8577	-0.25%	116.68	-2.07%	0.0109	✓	1.32
2026-05-09	oos	117.27	117.013	-0.22%	119.15	+1.60%	0.0063	✓	1.29
2026-05-08	oos	123.47	123.0848	-0.31%	117.27	-5.02%	0.0561	✓	1.32
2026-05-07	oos	112.43	112.5056	+0.07%	123.47	+9.82%	0.0901	✓	1.28
2026-05-06	oos	127.76	127.3215	-0.34%	112.43	-12.00%	0.1059	✓	1.04
2026-05-05	oos	120	119.8422	-0.13%	127.76	+6.47%	0.0565	✗	1.14
2026-05-04	oos	126.2	125.7988	-0.32%	120	-4.91%	0.0622	✓	1.14
2026-05-03	oos	125.4	124.8171	-0.46%	126.2	+0.64%	0.0089	✓	1.22
2026-05-02	oos	124.74	124.2988	-0.35%	125.4	+0.53%	0.0107	✗	1.21
2026-05-01	oos	129.15	128.374	-0.60%	124.74	-3.41%	0.0359	✓	1.25
2026-04-30	oos	128.21	127.0859	-0.88%	129.15	+0.73%	0.0149	✓	1.24
2026-04-29	oos	125.68	124.6582	-0.81%	128.21	+2.01%	0.0190	✗	1.25
2026-04-28	oos	131.47	130.1987	-0.97%	125.68	-4.40%	0.0264	✓	1.20
2026-04-27	oos	129.98	128.9592	-0.79%	131.47	+1.15%	0.0357	✗	1.20
2026-04-26	oos	135.23	134.3459	-0.65%	129.98	-3.88%	0.0130	✓	1.19
2026-04-25	oos	135.68	134.6118	-0.79%	135.23	-0.33%	0.0109	✓	1.18
2026-04-24	oos	130.23	129.3782	-0.65%	135.68	+4.18%	0.0447	✗	1.18
2026-04-23	oos	136.62	135.697	-0.68%	130.23	-4.68%	0.0287	✓	1.18
2026-04-22	oos	137.55	136.5922	-0.70%	136.62	-0.68%	0.0009	✓	1.18
2026-04-21	oos	135.85	134.7385	-0.82%	137.55	+1.25%	0.0078	✓	1.18
2026-04-20	oos	135.23	134.1577	-0.79%	135.85	+0.46%	0.0050	✓	1.18
2026-04-19	oos	130.85	129.7001	-0.88%	135.23	+3.35%	0.0098	✗	1.17
2026-04-18	oos	134.07	133.0981	-0.72%	130.85	-2.40%	0.0130	✗	1.18
2026-04-17	oos	147.48	146.4915	-0.67%	134.07	-9.09%	0.0679	✓	1.16
2026-04-16	oos	142.63	141.4474	-0.83%	147.48	+3.40%	0.0123	✗	1.16
2026-04-15	oos	146.59	145.2679	-0.90%	142.63	-2.70%	0.0234	✓	1.16
2026-04-14	oos	140.56	139.2736	-0.92%	146.59	+4.29%	0.0409	✗	1.16
2026-04-13	oos	144.36	143.0149	-0.93%	140.56	-2.63%	0.0132	✓	1.15
2026-04-12	oos	128.35	127.2204	-0.88%	144.36	+12.47%	0.0695	✗	1.12
2026-04-11	oos	141.28	139.6977	-1.12%	128.35	-9.15%	0.0494	✓	1.09
2026-04-10	oos	145.62	143.5805	-1.40%	141.28	-2.98%	0.0174	✓	1.07
2026-04-09	oos	133.67	131.7734	-1.42%	145.62	+8.94%	0.0824	✗	1.06
2026-04-08	oos	117.18	116.1165	-0.91%	133.67	+14.07%	0.1304	✗	1.04
2026-04-07	oos	124.07	122.7681	-1.05%	117.18	-5.55%	0.0346	✓	1.04
2026-04-06	oos	120.16	119.2893	-0.72%	124.07	+3.25%	0.0058	✓	1.04
2026-04-05	oos	124.07	123.0933	-0.79%	120.16	-3.15%	0.0218	✓	1.04
2026-04-04	oos	124.07	123.1844	-0.71%	124.07	+0.00%	0.0187	✓	1.03
2026-04-03	oos	119.27	118.4691	-0.67%	124.07	+4.02%	0.0411	✗	1.02
2026-04-02	oos	131.68	130.1412	-1.17%	119.27	-9.42%	0.0882	✓	1.03
2026-04-01	oos	148.48	144.6885	-2.55%	131.68	-11.31%	0.0759	✓	1.01
2026-03-31	oos	133.71	128.8987	-3.60%	148.48	+11.05%	0.1431	✗	1.01
2026-03-30	oos	94.86	93.3458	-1.60%	133.71	+40.96%	0.3392	✗	0.91
2026-03-29	oos	68.22	68.3012	+0.12%	94.86	+39.05%	0.3185	✓	0.85
2026-03-28	oos	68.28	68.3636	+0.12%	68.22	-0.09%	0.0026	✓	0.85
2026-03-27	oos	68.72	68.8049	+0.12%	68.28	-0.64%	0.0072	✗	0.85
2026-03-26	oos	78.04	77.6992	-0.44%	68.72	-11.94%	0.0936	✓	0.82
2026-03-25	oos	83.59	82.9346	-0.78%	78.04	-6.64%	0.0318	✓	0.80
2026-03-24	oos	81.88	81.3855	-0.60%	83.59	+2.09%	0.0181	✗	0.80
2026-03-23	oos	80.19	79.8161	-0.47%	81.88	+2.11%	0.0294	✗	0.80
2026-03-22	oos	77.44	77.3323	-0.14%	80.19	+3.55%	0.0015	✗	0.80
2026-03-21	oos	80.04	79.8797	-0.20%	77.44	-3.25%	0.0186	✓	0.80
2026-03-20	oos	82.16	81.9709	-0.23%	80.04	-2.58%	0.0057	✓	0.80
2026-03-19	oos	82.11	81.9853	-0.15%	82.16	+0.06%	0.0044	✓	0.80
2026-03-18	oos	83.59	83.5509	-0.05%	82.11	-1.77%	0.0018	✓	0.83
2026-03-17	oos	88.2	88.3512	+0.17%	83.59	-5.23%	0.0246	✗	0.83
2026-03-16	oos	92.75	92.9478	+0.21%	88.2	-4.91%	0.0419	✗	0.82
2026-03-15	oos	87.93	88.0914	+0.18%	92.75	+5.48%	0.0290	✓	0.81
2026-03-14	oos	83.97	84.1731	+0.24%	87.93	+4.72%	0.0261	✓	0.79
2026-03-13	oos	85.52	85.7381	+0.26%	83.97	-1.81%	0.0239	✗	0.77
2026-03-12	oos	86.84	87.0935	+0.29%	85.52	-1.52%	0.0227	✗	0.77
2026-03-11	oos	86.34	86.6443	+0.35%	86.84	+0.58%	0.0012	✓	0.76
2026-03-10	oos	100.48	100.5439	+0.06%	86.34	-14.07%	0.1550	✗	0.76
2026-03-09	oos	101.39	101.4656	+0.07%	100.48	-0.90%	0.0267	✗	0.76
2026-03-08	oos	103.17	103.4479	+0.27%	101.39	-1.73%	0.0490	✗	0.79
2026-03-07	oos	99.77	99.946	+0.18%	103.17	+3.41%	0.0474	✓	0.81
2026-03-06	oos	104.975	104.956	-0.02%	99.77	-4.96%	0.0405	✓	0.81
2026-03-05	oos	110.03	110.1459	+0.11%	104.975	-4.59%	0.0159	✗	0.81
2026-03-04	oos	110.59	110.8628	+0.25%	110.03	-0.51%	0.0127	✓	0.81
2026-03-03	oos	100.21	100.3615	+0.15%	110.59	+10.36%	0.0498	✓	0.77
2026-03-02	oos	101.99	102.2097	+0.22%	100.21	-1.75%	0.0142	✗	0.77
2026-03-01	oos	101.96	101.9476	-0.01%	101.99	+0.03%	0.0418	✓	0.93
2026-02-28	oos	106.48	106.5268	+0.04%	101.96	-4.24%	0.0257	✗	1.00
2026-02-27	oos	104.9	104.9192	+0.02%	106.48	+1.51%	0.0020	✗	1.00
2026-02-26	oos	110.4	110.5218	+0.11%	104.9	-4.98%	0.0276	✗	1.00
2026-02-25	oos	110.78	110.9629	+0.17%	110.4	-0.34%	0.0023	✓	1.00
2026-02-24	oos	110.32	110.0191	-0.27%	110.78	+0.42%	0.0569	✓	1.07
2026-02-23	oos	115.54	115.1089	-0.37%	110.32	-4.52%	0.0333	✓	1.06
2026-02-22	oos	118.83	118.6312	-0.17%	115.54	-2.77%	0.0222	✗	1.07
2026-02-21	oos	126.83	126.2895	-0.43%	118.83	-6.31%	0.0556	✓	1.06
2026-02-20	oos	123.41	122.8792	-0.43%	126.83	+2.77%	0.0321	✗	1.05
2026-02-19	oos	119.42	118.8299	-0.49%	123.41	+3.34%	0.0221	✗	1.05
2026-02-18	oos	124.21	123.2634	-0.76%	119.42	-3.86%	0.0405	✓	1.06
2026-02-17	oos	118.775	118.1346	-0.54%	124.21	+4.58%	0.0664	✗	1.04
2026-02-16	oos	121.49	120.9011	-0.48%	118.775	-2.23%	0.0032	✓	1.03
2026-02-15	oos	121.42	120.8669	-0.46%	121.49	+0.06%	0.0042	✓	1.03
2026-02-14	oos	128.2	127.4963	-0.55%	121.42	-5.29%	0.0342	✓	1.02
2026-02-13	oos	132.58	131.6389	-0.71%	128.2	-3.30%	0.0409	✓	1.02
2026-02-12	oos	136.93	135.5846	-0.98%	132.58	-3.18%	0.0629	✓	1.05
2026-02-11	oos	148.8	146.1963	-1.75%	136.93	-7.98%	0.0519	✓	1.11
2026-02-10	oos	146.95	142.8814	-2.77%	148.8	+1.26%	0.0700	✗	1.12
2026-02-09	oos	113.17	111.0743	-1.85%	146.95	+29.85%	0.3019	✗	1.18
2026-02-08	oos	76.9	77.1581	+0.34%	113.17	+47.17%	0.3860	✓	1.18
2026-02-07	oos	68.03	68.4442	+0.61%	76.9	+13.04%	0.1000	✓	1.11
2026-02-06	oos	63.97	64.3945	+0.66%	68.03	+6.35%	0.0740	✓	1.04
2026-02-05	oos	60.66	62.1333	+2.43%	63.97	+5.46%	0.1039	✗	1.14
2026-02-04	oos	74.61	74.3853	-0.30%	60.66	-18.70%	0.0479	✓	1.04
2026-02-03	oos	75.54	75.4701	-0.09%	74.61	-1.23%	0.0261	✗	1.05
2026-02-02	oos	92.03	91.8821	-0.16%	75.54	-17.92%	0.1553	✓	1.04
2026-02-01	oos	91.49	91.118	-0.41%	92.03	+0.59%	0.0095	✓	0.85
2026-01-31	oos	105.93	105.5758	-0.33%	91.49	-13.63%	0.1261	✓	0.76
2026-01-30	oos	112.79	113.1369	+0.31%	105.93	-6.08%	0.0143	✗	0.77
2026-01-29	oos	130	130.2064	+0.16%	112.79	-13.24%	0.1400	✗	0.76
2026-01-28	oos	128.92	129.1795	+0.20%	130	+0.84%	0.0508	✓	0.83
2026-01-27	oos	150.08	149.8894	-0.13%	128.92	-14.10%	0.1511	✓	0.85
2026-01-26	oos	156.06	155.684	-0.24%	150.08	-3.83%	0.0448	✓	0.83
2026-01-25	oos	162.48	162.1095	-0.23%	156.06	-3.95%	0.0545	✓	0.85
2026-01-24	oos	168.06	166.2071	-1.10%	162.48	-3.32%	0.0015	✓	0.84
2026-01-23	oos	163.68	161.4885	-1.34%	168.06	+2.68%	0.0437	✗	0.86
2026-01-22	oos	163.14	161.0298	-1.29%	163.68	+0.33%	0.0162	✗	0.87
2026-01-21	oos	161.03	159.4953	-0.95%	163.14	+1.31%	0.0216	✗	0.89
2026-01-20	oos	159.15	158.6545	-0.31%	161.03	+1.18%	0.0041	✗	0.91
2026-01-19	oos	164.44	162.0169	-1.47%	159.15	-3.22%	0.0270	✗	0.95
2026-01-18	oos	173.43	171.2405	-1.26%	164.44	-5.18%	0.0303	✓	0.89
2026-01-17	oos	175.07	173.4643	-0.92%	173.43	-0.94%	0.0151	✗	0.98
2026-01-16	oos	174.31	173.1381	-0.67%	175.07	+0.44%	0.0151	✗	0.97
2026-01-15	oos	182.76	181.8343	-0.51%	174.31	-4.62%	0.0414	✓	1.00
2026-01-14	oos	192.53	192.0224	-0.26%	182.76	-5.07%	0.0352	✓	1.00
2026-01-13	oos	196.14	195.9765	-0.08%	192.53	-1.84%	0.0343	✓	1.01
2026-01-12	oos	186.46	187.7253	+0.68%	196.14	+5.19%	0.0046	✓	0.87
2026-01-11	oos	209.79	210.5916	+0.38%	186.46	-11.12%	0.1251	✗	0.97
2026-01-10	oos	255.69	255.4714	-0.09%	209.79	-17.95%	0.2027	✓	1.04
2026-01-09	oos	263.33	263.0221	-0.12%	255.69	-2.90%	0.0257	✓	1.68
2026-01-08	oos	274.74	274.086	-0.24%	263.33	-4.15%	0.0307	✓	1.65
2026-01-07	oos	285.03	284.0798	-0.33%	274.74	-3.61%	0.0290	✓	1.58
2026-01-06	oos	294.16	292.9342	-0.42%	285.03	-3.10%	0.0131	✗	1.53
2026-01-05	oos	292.13	291.1185	-0.35%	294.16	+0.69%	0.0128	✗	1.50
2026-01-04	oos	301.38	300.152	-0.41%	292.13	-3.07%	0.0657	✓	1.50
2026-01-03	oos	300.78	299.5837	-0.40%	301.38	+0.20%	0.0086	✓	1.48
2026-01-02	oos	304.74	303.5132	-0.40%	300.78	-1.30%	0.0198	✓	1.52
2026-01-01	oos	299.75	298.621	-0.38%	304.74	+1.66%	0.0008	✓	1.54
2025-12-31	oos	294.44	293.4422	-0.34%	299.75	+1.80%	0.0013	✓	1.61
2025-12-30	oos	287.39	286.5741	-0.28%	294.44	+2.45%	0.0434	✗	1.60
2025-12-29	oos	295.675	294.7098	-0.33%	287.39	-2.80%	0.0488	✓	1.61
2025-12-28	oos	289.84	289.1468	-0.24%	295.675	+2.01%	0.0364	✗	1.61
2025-12-27	oos	295.85	295.1374	-0.24%	289.84	-2.03%	0.0193	✓	1.53
2025-12-26	oos	299.19	298.483	-0.24%	295.85	-1.12%	0.0182	✓	1.60
2025-12-25	oos	308.69	307.7869	-0.29%	299.19	-3.08%	0.0306	✓	1.61
2025-12-24	oos	299.73	299.0636	-0.22%	308.69	+2.99%	0.0397	✗	1.61
2025-12-23	oos	302.23	301.5457	-0.23%	299.73	-0.83%	0.0094	✓	1.65
2025-12-22	oos	317.89	316.9629	-0.29%	302.23	-4.93%	0.0268	✓	1.62
2025-12-21	oos	307.91	307.1297	-0.25%	317.89	+3.24%	0.0360	✗	1.63
2025-12-20	oos	301.61	300.8714	-0.24%	307.91	+2.09%	0.0172	✗	1.65
2025-12-19	oos	307.38	306.394	-0.32%	301.61	-1.88%	0.0201	✓	1.66
2025-12-18	oos	280.98	280.7483	-0.08%	307.38	+9.40%	0.0407	✗	1.65
2025-12-17	oos	308.54	307.4062	-0.37%	280.98	-8.93%	0.0756	✓	1.63
2025-12-16	oos	310.03	308.7262	-0.42%	308.54	-0.48%	0.0301	✗	1.62
2025-12-15	oos	307.59	306.4222	-0.38%	310.03	+0.79%	0.0154	✓	1.64
2025-12-14	oos	308	306.8268	-0.38%	307.59	-0.13%	0.0362	✗	1.68
2025-12-13	oos	289.37	288.6516	-0.25%	308	+6.44%	0.1049	✗	1.71
2025-12-12	oos	302.6	301.4285	-0.39%	289.37	-4.37%	0.0404	✓	1.72
2025-12-11	oos	300.2	298.8257	-0.46%	302.6	+0.80%	0.0554	✗	1.73
2025-12-10	oos	325.26	323.3119	-0.60%	300.2	-7.70%	0.0837	✓	1.74
2025-12-09	oos	332.52	330.1925	-0.70%	325.26	-2.18%	0.0029	✓	1.71
2025-12-08	oos	324	321.3223	-0.83%	332.52	+2.63%	0.0035	✓	1.70
2025-12-07	oos	289.54	287.7668	-0.61%	324	+11.90%	0.1139	✗	1.69
2025-12-06	oos	285.71	283.9026	-0.63%	289.54	+1.34%	0.0017	✓	1.69
2025-12-05	oos	288.1	286.0253	-0.72%	285.71	-0.83%	0.0004	✓	1.69
2025-12-04	oos	296.1	293.4599	-0.89%	288.1	-2.70%	0.0326	✗	1.68
2025-12-03	oos	314.86	310.7714	-1.30%	296.1	-5.96%	0.0240	✓	1.66
2025-12-02	oos	306.26	300.5149	-1.88%	314.86	+2.81%	0.0072	✓	1.70
2025-12-01	oos	248.06	245.0593	-1.21%	306.26	+23.46%	0.1345	✗	1.56
2025-11-30	oos	301.5	294.2114	-2.42%	248.06	-17.72%	0.1075	✓	1.36
2025-11-29	oos	318.94	306.7678	-3.82%	301.5	-5.47%	0.0105	✓	1.34
2025-11-28	oos	263.41	255.4716	-3.01%	318.94	+21.08%	0.2230	✗	1.34
2025-11-27	oos	197.85	195.4604	-1.21%	263.41	+33.14%	0.3045	✗	1.35
2025-11-26	oos	168.18	167.1449	-0.62%	197.85	+17.64%	0.1566	✗	1.29
2025-11-25	oos	164.31	163.4091	-0.55%	168.18	+2.36%	0.0177	✓	1.31
2025-11-24	oos	162.32	161.3108	-0.62%	164.31	+1.23%	0.0325	✗	1.32
2025-11-23	oos	163.89	162.8244	-0.65%	162.32	-0.96%	0.0253	✓	1.33
2025-11-22	oos	164.41	163.3132	-0.67%	163.89	-0.32%	0.0304	✓	1.37
2025-11-21	oos	165.91	164.4955	-0.85%	164.41	-0.90%	0.0057	✓	1.37
2025-11-20	oos	172.66	170.3669	-1.33%	165.91	-3.91%	0.0032	✓	1.36
2025-11-19	oos	175.95	173.0835	-1.63%	172.66	-1.87%	0.0736	✗	1.37
2025-11-18	oos	163.42	161.3331	-1.28%	175.95	+7.67%	0.1089	✗	1.41
2025-11-17	oos	161.65	159.2978	-1.46%	163.42	+1.09%	0.0132	✓	1.40
2025-11-16	oos	162.59	160.7156	-1.15%	161.65	-0.58%	0.0369	✗	1.39
2025-11-15	oos	158.28	157.1095	-0.74%	162.59	+2.72%	0.0543	✗	1.40
2025-11-14	oos	169.12	167.7635	-0.80%	158.28	-6.41%	0.0739	✓	1.43
2025-11-13	oos	199.31	197.6944	-0.81%	169.12	-15.15%	0.0895	✓	1.26
2025-11-12	oos	205.325	203.9796	-0.66%	199.31	-2.93%	0.0021	✓	1.25
2025-11-11	oos	212.15	211.0351	-0.53%	205.325	-3.22%	0.0113	✓	1.20
2025-11-10	oos	224.5	223.0143	-0.66%	212.15	-5.50%	0.0182	✓	1.12
2025-11-09	oos	259.1	257.2068	-0.73%	224.5	-13.35%	0.1503	✓	1.18
2025-11-08	oos	331.17	328.7255	-0.74%	259.1	-21.76%	0.2704	✓	1.39
2025-11-07	oos	350.58	347.5552	-0.86%	331.17	-5.54%	0.0354	✓	1.32
2025-11-06	oos	370.07	366.6627	-0.92%	350.58	-5.27%	0.0719	✓	1.39
2025-11-05	oos	371.54	365.9412	-1.51%	370.07	-0.40%	0.0463	✗	1.40
2025-11-04	oos	304.82	300.791	-1.32%	371.54	+21.89%	0.1816	✗	1.27
2025-11-03	oos	270.06	266.0891	-1.47%	304.82	+12.87%	0.2094	✗	1.50
2025-11-02	oos	266.28	261.7117	-1.72%	270.06	+1.42%	0.0886	✗	1.56
2025-11-01	oos	248.47	244.657	-1.53%	266.28	+7.17%	0.0779	✗	1.56
2025-10-31	oos	248.1	244.1982	-1.57%	248.47	+0.15%	0.0105	✓	1.52
2025-10-30	oos	250.71	246.7189	-1.59%	248.1	-1.04%	0.0120	✓	1.54
2025-10-29	oos	257.46	252.2405	-2.03%	250.71	-2.62%	0.0180	✓	1.53
2025-10-28	oos	252.05	245.788	-2.48%	257.46	+2.15%	0.0868	✗	1.57
2025-10-27	oos	239.2	232.6917	-2.72%	252.05	+5.37%	0.0964	✗	1.58
2025-10-26	oos	227.29	220.8562	-2.83%	239.2	+5.24%	0.0862	✗	1.59
2025-10-25	oos	218.51	213.0489	-2.50%	227.29	+4.02%	0.0236	✓	1.61
2025-10-24	oos	205.15	200.6576	-2.19%	218.51	+6.51%	0.0764	✗	1.58
2025-10-23	oos	186.69	183.7834	-1.56%	205.15	+9.89%	0.0969	✗	1.56
2025-10-22	oos	179.88	177.9919	-1.05%	186.69	+3.79%	0.0111	✗	1.58
2025-10-21	oos	231.08	226.7324	-1.88%	179.88	-22.16%	0.2205	✓	1.53
2025-10-20	oos	211.08	206.4038	-2.22%	231.08	+9.48%	0.1451	✗	1.60
2025-10-19	oos	175.62	173.3411	-1.30%	211.08	+20.19%	0.1727	✗	1.41
2025-10-18	oos	174.8	172.5098	-1.31%	175.62	+0.47%	0.0015	✓	1.43
2025-10-17	oos	153.19	151.7585	-0.93%	174.8	+14.11%	0.1316	✗	1.40
2025-10-16	oos	160.52	157.9225	-1.62%	153.19	-4.57%	0.0082	✓	1.38
2025-10-15	oos	162.23	157.7999	-2.73%	160.52	-1.05%	0.0501	✗	1.39
2025-10-14	oos	126.05	123.8094	-1.78%	162.23	+28.70%	0.3019	✗	1.56
2025-10-13	oos	150.14	144.3221	-3.87%	126.05	-16.05%	0.1068	✓	1.48
2025-10-12	oos	130.685	124.5016	-4.73%	150.14	+14.89%	0.1846	✗	1.48
2025-10-11	oos	69.25	68.8476	-0.58%	130.685	+88.71%	0.6149	✗	0.68
2025-10-10	oos	66.89	66.4822	-0.61%	69.25	+3.53%	0.0544	✗	0.69
2025-10-09	oos	71.07	70.3163	-1.06%	66.89	-5.88%	0.0033	✓	0.63
2025-10-08	oos	59.61	59.1886	-0.71%	71.07	+19.22%	0.1929	✗	0.75
2025-10-07	oos	60.94	60.449	-0.81%	59.61	-2.18%	0.0264	✓	0.78
2025-10-06	oos	55.75	55.3694	-0.68%	60.94	+9.31%	0.1199	✗	0.89
2025-10-05	oos	60.7	60.024	-1.11%	55.75	-8.15%	0.0829	✓	0.94
2025-10-04	oos	52.43	51.9234	-0.97%	60.7	+15.77%	0.1484	✗	0.90
2025-10-03	oos	47.75	47.2147	-1.12%	52.43	+9.80%	0.1037	✗	0.89
2025-10-02	oos	40.17	39.8903	-0.70%	47.75	+18.87%	0.1686	✗	0.80
2025-10-01	oos	38.88	38.6075	-0.70%	40.17	+3.32%	0.0267	✗	0.79
2025-09-30	oos	36.28	36.1416	-0.38%	38.88	+7.17%	0.0459	✗	0.69
2025-09-29	oos	36.75	36.559	-0.52%	36.28	-1.28%	0.0049	✓	1.05
2025-09-28	oos	41.4	41.0214	-0.91%	36.75	-11.23%	0.1304	✓	1.07
2025-09-27	oos	34.835	34.6332	-0.58%	41.4	+18.85%	0.1578	✗	0.91
2025-09-26	oos	29	28.9552	-0.15%	34.835	+20.12%	0.1850	✗	0.89
2025-09-25	oos	28.34	28.3088	-0.11%	29	+2.33%	0.0188	✗	0.88
2025-09-24	oos	30.515	30.2847	-0.75%	28.34	-7.13%	0.0353	✓	0.80
2025-09-23	oos	29.99	29.8123	-0.59%	30.515	+1.75%	0.0139	✗	0.80
2025-09-22	oos	30.78	30.5879	-0.62%	29.99	-2.57%	0.0147	✓	0.79
2025-09-21	oos	32.635	32.4518	-0.56%	30.78	-5.68%	0.0364	✓	0.74
2025-09-20	oos	33.01	32.836	-0.53%	32.635	-1.14%	0.0029	✓	0.80
2025-09-19	oos	33.75	33.5711	-0.53%	33.01	-2.19%	0.0173	✓	0.81
2025-09-18	oos	33.315	33.1447	-0.51%	33.75	+1.31%	0.0286	✗	0.85
2025-09-17	oos	33.34	33.159	-0.54%	33.315	-0.07%	0.0001	✓	0.89

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.