QUAI

Quai Network · native · gru_s2

token id: #972
symbol: QUAI
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-09
predictions: 561

Track record at +7d

assessed

180

of 187 predictions shown

direction hit

66.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1512

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0127

actual -0.0675

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.007425	0.007331	-1.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-20	oos	0.008005	0.007872	-1.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.00846	0.008298	-1.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-18	oos	0.008665	0.008501	-1.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.008945	0.008763	-2.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-16	oos	0.008945	0.008756	-2.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-15	oos	0.00905	0.008867	-2.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-14	oos	0.00887	0.008717	-1.73%	0.007425	-16.29%	0.1809	✓	0.69
2026-10-13	oos	0.00902	0.008842	-1.97%	0.008005	-11.25%	0.0982	✓	0.61
2026-10-12	oos	0.00913	0.00894	-2.08%	0.00846	-7.34%	0.0560	✓	0.64
2026-10-11	oos	0.009625	0.009408	-2.25%	0.008665	-9.97%	0.0625	✓	0.98
2026-10-10	oos	0.009735	0.009516	-2.25%	0.008945	-8.12%	0.0408	✓	1.13
2026-10-09	oos	0.00943	0.009256	-1.84%	0.008945	-5.14%	0.0191	✓	1.19
2026-10-08	oos	0.009405	0.009251	-1.64%	0.00905	-3.77%	0.0271	✓	0.99
2026-10-07	oos	0.00934	0.009206	-1.44%	0.00887	-5.03%	0.0165	✓	0.99
2026-10-06	oos	0.00993	0.009775	-1.56%	0.00902	-9.16%	0.0518	✓	0.99
2026-10-05	oos	0.010215	0.010047	-1.65%	0.00913	-10.62%	0.0509	✓	0.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.01106	0.010836	-2.03%	0.009625	-12.97%	0.0876	✓	0.93
2026-10-03	oos	0.011445	0.011134	-2.72%	0.009735	-14.94%	0.1135	✓	0.95
2026-10-02	oos	0.010955	0.010683	-2.48%	0.00943	-13.92%	0.1023	✓	0.96
2026-10-01	oos	0.01027	0.010086	-1.80%	0.009405	-8.42%	0.0329	✓	0.98
2026-09-30	oos	0.01042	0.010224	-1.88%	0.00934	-10.36%	0.0871	✓	1.01
2026-09-29	oos	0.010775	0.010536	-2.22%	0.00993	-7.84%	0.0778	✓	0.82
2026-09-28	oos	0.01136	0.01107	-2.55%	0.010215	-10.08%	0.1080	✓	1.02
2026-09-27	oos	0.01082	0.010614	-1.90%	0.01106	+2.22%	0.0189	✓	0.93
2026-09-26	oos	0.011225	0.01094	-2.54%	0.011445	+1.96%	0.0417	✗	0.90
2026-09-25	oos	0.01026	0.010095	-1.61%	0.010955	+6.77%	0.0775	✗	0.87
2026-09-24	oos	0.01001	0.009883	-1.27%	0.01027	+2.60%	0.0335	✗	0.88
2026-09-23	oos	0.01013	0.009988	-1.40%	0.01042	+2.86%	0.0510	✗	0.88
2026-09-22	oos	0.00994	0.009833	-1.08%	0.010775	+8.40%	0.1203	✗	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.009705	0.009607	-1.01%	0.01136	+17.05%	0.2038	✗	0.98
2026-09-20	oos	0.008555	0.008459	-1.12%	0.01082	+26.48%	0.2100	✗	0.91
2026-09-19	oos	0.00871	0.008616	-1.08%	0.011225	+28.87%	0.2297	✗	0.90
2026-09-18	oos	0.0087	0.008594	-1.22%	0.01026	+17.93%	0.1430	✗	0.88
2026-09-17	oos	0.00864	0.008474	-1.92%	0.01001	+15.86%	0.0747	✗	0.92
2026-09-16	oos	0.00867	0.00851	-1.84%	0.01013	+16.84%	0.0815	✗	0.90
2026-09-15	oos	0.008835	0.008641	-2.20%	0.00994	+12.51%	0.0319	✗	0.82
2026-09-14	oos	0.00871	0.008553	-1.80%	0.009705	+11.42%	0.0398	✗	0.85
2026-09-13	oos	0.008925	0.00875	-1.96%	0.008555	-4.15%	0.0712	✓	0.88
2026-09-12	oos	0.009815	0.009598	-2.21%	0.00871	-11.26%	0.1399	✓	0.85
2026-09-11	oos	0.01011	0.009868	-2.40%	0.0087	-13.95%	0.1645	✓	0.83
2026-09-10	oos	0.01064	0.01036	-2.63%	0.00864	-18.80%	0.1795	✓	0.81
2026-09-09	oos	0.011305	0.011071	-2.07%	0.00867	-23.31%	0.2226	✓	0.79
2026-09-08	oos	0.01114	0.01092	-1.98%	0.008835	-20.69%	0.1830	✓	0.78
2026-09-07	oos	0.012835	0.012497	-2.64%	0.00871	-32.14%	0.3522	✓	0.75
2026-09-06	oos	0.010785	0.010705	-0.74%	0.008925	-17.25%	0.1423	✓	0.88
2026-09-05	oos	0.01086	0.010722	-1.27%	0.009815	-9.62%	0.0598	✓	0.88
2026-09-04	oos	0.009735	0.009575	-1.65%	0.01011	+3.85%	0.0809	✗	0.84
2026-09-03	oos	0.00832	0.008344	+0.29%	0.01064	+27.88%	0.3018	✓	0.98
2026-09-02	oos	0.007485	0.007434	-0.68%	0.011305	+51.04%	0.4087	✗	0.83
2026-09-01	oos	0.00795	0.007889	-0.77%	0.01114	+40.13%	0.3339	✗	0.83
2026-08-31	oos	0.00855	0.008503	-0.54%	0.012835	+50.12%	0.4064	✗	0.79
2026-08-30	oos	0.00885	0.008779	-0.81%	0.010785	+21.86%	0.1813	✗	0.72
2026-08-29	oos	0.00897	0.008921	-0.55%	0.01086	+21.07%	0.1823	✗	0.71
2026-08-28	oos	0.00944	0.009367	-0.77%	0.009735	+3.12%	0.0219	✗	0.71
2026-08-27	oos	0.01052	0.010595	+0.71%	0.00832	-20.91%	0.2496	✗	0.65
2026-08-26	oos	0.010015	0.010004	-0.11%	0.007485	-25.26%	0.2764	✓	0.63
2026-08-25	oos	0.01113	0.011069	-0.55%	0.00795	-28.57%	0.3217	✓	0.64
2026-08-24	oos	0.011615	0.011571	-0.38%	0.00855	-26.39%	0.2991	✓	0.66
2026-08-23	oos	0.0117	0.011549	-1.29%	0.00885	-24.36%	0.2657	✓	0.63
2026-08-22	oos	0.01178	0.011581	-1.69%	0.00897	-23.85%	0.2651	✓	0.63
2026-08-21	oos	0.01197	0.011868	-0.85%	0.00944	-21.14%	0.2249	✓	0.64
2026-08-20	oos	0.01205	0.011598	-3.75%	0.01052	-12.70%	0.1619	✓	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	0.01204	0.011527	-4.26%	0.010015	-16.82%	0.2348	✓	0.72
2026-08-18	oos	0.01198	0.011515	-3.88%	0.01113	-7.10%	0.1898	✓	0.80
2026-08-17	oos	0.01165	0.011251	-3.42%	0.011615	-0.30%	0.1329	✓	0.81
2026-08-16	oos	0.01158	0.011235	-2.98%	0.0117	+1.04%	0.1337	✓	0.82
2026-08-15	oos	0.0113	0.011024	-2.44%	0.01178	+4.25%	0.0990	✓	0.82
2026-08-14	oos	0.0115	0.011212	-2.50%	0.01197	+4.09%	0.1129	✓	0.82
2026-08-13	oos	0.01156	0.011217	-2.96%	0.01205	+4.24%	0.0427	✓	0.81
2026-08-12	oos	0.01099	0.010773	-1.98%	0.01204	+9.55%	0.0423	✗	0.78
2026-08-11	oos	0.01114	0.010924	-1.94%	0.01198	+7.54%	0.0790	✗	0.74
2026-08-10	oos	0.0117	0.011429	-2.31%	0.01165	-0.43%	0.0128	✓	0.71
2026-08-09	oos	0.011925	0.011619	-2.56%	0.01158	-2.89%	0.0189	✓	0.71
2026-08-08	oos	0.01185	0.011572	-2.34%	0.0113	-4.64%	0.0031	✓	0.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01186	0.011603	-2.17%	0.0115	-3.04%	0.0110	✓	0.66
2026-08-06	oos	0.01172	0.011516	-1.74%	0.01156	-1.37%	0.0125	✓	0.66
2026-08-05	oos	0.01149	0.011313	-1.54%	0.01099	-4.35%	0.0167	✓	0.66
2026-08-04	oos	0.011625	0.01145	-1.51%	0.01114	-4.17%	0.0222	✓	0.64
2026-08-03	oos	0.01136	0.01127	-0.79%	0.0117	+2.99%	0.0330	✗	0.63
2026-08-02	oos	0.01228	0.0121	-1.47%	0.011925	-2.89%	0.0278	✓	0.63
2026-08-01	oos	0.01225	0.012117	-1.09%	0.01185	-3.27%	0.0436	✓	0.64
2026-07-31	oos	0.0117	0.011671	-0.24%	0.01186	+1.37%	0.0044	✓	0.63
2026-07-30	oos	0.012245	0.012135	-0.90%	0.01172	-4.29%	0.0305	✓	0.61
2026-07-29	oos	0.01324	0.01305	-1.44%	0.01149	-13.22%	0.1340	✓	0.61
2026-07-28	oos	0.01399	0.013754	-1.69%	0.011625	-16.90%	0.1700	✓	0.60
2026-07-27	oos	0.014	0.013793	-1.48%	0.01136	-18.86%	0.1919	✓	0.59
2026-07-26	oos	0.0157	0.015336	-2.32%	0.01228	-21.78%	0.2072	✓	0.53
2026-07-25	oos	0.01522	0.014896	-2.13%	0.01225	-19.51%	0.1837	✓	0.49
2026-07-24	oos	0.01478	0.014495	-1.93%	0.0117	-20.84%	0.2049	✓	0.47
2026-07-23	oos	0.01689	0.016446	-2.63%	0.012245	-27.50%	0.2928	✓	0.42
2026-07-22	oos	0.01692	0.016503	-2.47%	0.01324	-21.75%	0.2055	✓	0.44
2026-07-21	oos	0.017105	0.016676	-2.51%	0.01399	-18.21%	0.1576	✓	0.44
2026-07-20	oos	0.017445	0.016938	-2.91%	0.014	-19.75%	0.1792	✓	0.48
2026-07-19	oos	0.01711	0.016688	-2.47%	0.0157	-8.24%	0.0659	✓	0.48
2026-07-18	oos	0.018425	0.017889	-2.91%	0.01522	-17.39%	0.1582	✓	0.44
2026-07-17	oos	0.01856	0.017991	-3.07%	0.01478	-20.37%	0.1979	✓	0.42
2026-07-16	oos	0.02	0.019067	-4.66%	0.01689	-15.55%	0.1296	✓	0.42
2026-07-15	oos	0.017275	0.016771	-2.91%	0.01692	-2.05%	0.0022	✓	0.53
2026-07-14	oos	0.01913	0.018122	-5.27%	0.017105	-10.59%	0.0706	✓	0.55
2026-07-13	oos	0.01347	0.013247	-1.66%	0.017445	+29.51%	0.2734	✗	0.04
2026-07-12	oos	0.017125	0.016664	-2.69%	0.01711	-0.09%	0.0283	✗	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.03125	0.027622	-11.61%	0.018425	-41.04%	0.4034	✓	-0.09
2026-07-10	oos	0.01315	0.012954	-1.49%	0.01856	+41.14%	0.3597	✗	0.03
2026-07-09	oos	0.01353	0.013296	-1.73%	0.02	+47.82%	0.4080	✗	0.04
2026-07-08	oos	0.01271	0.012522	-1.48%	0.017275	+35.92%	0.3233	✗	-0.04
2026-07-07	oos	0.011975	0.01187	-0.88%	0.01913	+59.75%	0.4774	✗	-0.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.01265	0.012523	-1.00%	0.01347	+6.48%	0.0724	✗	-0.02
2026-07-05	oos	0.012875	0.012734	-1.10%	0.017125	+33.01%	0.2963	✗	-0.01
2026-07-04	oos	0.012325	0.012232	-0.76%	0.03125	+153.55%	0.9383	✗	-0.03
2026-07-03	oos	0.01201	0.011937	-0.61%	0.01315	+9.49%	0.0979	✗	-0.04
2026-07-02	oos	0.01109	0.011079	-0.09%	0.01353	+22.00%	0.2025	✗	-0.10
2026-07-01	oos	0.01479	0.0143	-3.31%	0.01271	-14.06%	0.1232	✓	0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.01018	0.010242	+0.61%	0.011975	+17.63%	0.1715	✓	-0.19
2026-06-29	oos	0.00911	0.009217	+1.17%	0.01265	+38.86%	0.3222	✓	-0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.01023	0.010316	+0.84%	0.012875	+25.86%	0.2245	✓	-0.04
2026-06-27	oos	0.00951	0.009646	+1.44%	0.012325	+29.60%	0.2464	✓	-0.03
2026-06-26	oos	0.009675	0.009832	+1.62%	0.01201	+24.13%	0.2013	✓	-0.03
2026-06-25	oos	0.00951	0.009691	+1.91%	0.01109	+16.61%	0.1359	✓	-0.04
2026-06-24	oos	0.01045	0.010582	+1.27%	0.01479	+41.53%	0.3333	✓	-0.09
2026-06-23	oos	0.011	0.01111	+1.00%	0.01018	-7.45%	0.0956	✗	-0.12
2026-06-22	oos	0.01209	0.012165	+0.62%	0.00911	-24.65%	0.3000	✗	-0.18
2026-06-21	oos	0.012145	0.012241	+0.79%	0.01023	-15.77%	0.1906	✗	-0.18
2026-06-20	oos	0.0117	0.011829	+1.10%	0.00951	-18.72%	0.2290	✗	-0.16
2026-06-19	oos	0.012535	0.012663	+1.02%	0.009675	-22.82%	0.2766	✗	-0.13
2026-06-18	oos	0.01336	0.013471	+0.83%	0.00951	-28.82%	0.3540	✗	-0.11
2026-06-17	oos	0.01238	0.012524	+1.16%	0.01045	-15.59%	0.1831	✗	-0.04
2026-06-16	oos	0.012045	0.012219	+1.44%	0.011	-8.68%	0.1056	✗	-0.01
2026-06-15	oos	0.01288	0.01304	+1.24%	0.01209	-6.13%	0.0767	✗	-0.03
2026-06-14	oos	0.0134	0.013561	+1.20%	0.012145	-9.37%	0.1110	✗	-0.02
2026-06-13	oos	0.013745	0.01393	+1.34%	0.0117	-14.88%	0.1745	✗	-0.01
2026-06-12	oos	0.01485	0.015034	+1.24%	0.012535	-15.59%	0.1817	✗	0.03
2026-06-11	oos	0.01551	0.015697	+1.21%	0.01336	-13.86%	0.1609	✗	0.03
2026-06-10	oos	0.015425	0.015695	+1.75%	0.01238	-19.74%	0.2375	✗	0.01
2026-06-09	oos	0.017045	0.01728	+1.38%	0.012045	-29.33%	0.3609	✗	0.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01797	0.018153	+1.02%	0.01288	-28.32%	0.3414	✗	-0.03
2026-06-07	oos	0.01781	0.018042	+1.30%	0.0134	-24.76%	0.2963	✗	-0.03
2026-06-06	oos	0.01793	0.018281	+1.96%	0.013745	-23.34%	0.2827	✗	-0.04
2026-06-05	oos	0.01961	0.0199	+1.48%	0.01485	-24.27%	0.2910	✗	-0.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.01997	0.020161	+0.96%	0.01551	-22.33%	0.2625	✗	-0.07
2026-06-03	oos	0.02101	0.021144	+0.64%	0.015425	-26.58%	0.3182	✗	-0.07
2026-06-02	oos	0.02153	0.021542	+0.06%	0.017045	-20.83%	0.2424	✗	-0.11
2026-06-01	oos	0.02205	0.021829	-1.00%	0.01797	-18.50%	0.2204	✓	-0.21
2026-05-31	oos	0.022435	0.022114	-1.43%	0.01781	-20.62%	0.2536	✓	-0.25
2026-05-30	oos	0.02147	0.021257	-0.99%	0.01793	-16.49%	0.2155	✓	-0.24
2026-05-29	oos	0.02236	0.022113	-1.11%	0.01961	-12.30%	0.1613	✓	-0.22
2026-05-28	oos	0.0211	0.02097	-0.62%	0.01997	-5.36%	0.0789	✓	-0.21
2026-05-27	oos	0.02166	0.021482	-0.82%	0.02101	-3.00%	0.0563	✓	-0.23
2026-05-26	oos	0.023105	0.022777	-1.42%	0.02153	-6.82%	0.0984	✓	-0.33
2026-05-25	oos	0.02212	0.02189	-1.04%	0.02205	-0.32%	0.0131	✓	-0.25
2026-05-24	oos	0.023125	0.022862	-1.14%	0.022435	-2.98%	0.0301	✓	-0.25
2026-05-23	oos	0.02219	0.022074	-0.52%	0.02147	-3.24%	0.0377	✓	-0.26
2026-05-22	oos	0.024525	0.024282	-0.99%	0.02236	-8.83%	0.0869	✓	-0.16
2026-05-21	oos	0.02505	0.024712	-1.35%	0.0211	-15.77%	0.1689	✓	-0.20
2026-05-20	oos	0.02708	0.02655	-1.96%	0.02166	-20.01%	0.2123	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.026065	0.02564	-1.63%	0.023105	-11.36%	0.1070	✓	-0.24
2026-05-18	oos	0.02795	0.027382	-2.03%	0.02212	-20.86%	0.2124	✓	-0.26
2026-05-17	oos	0.02865	0.028038	-2.14%	0.023125	-19.28%	0.1942	✓	-0.28
2026-05-16	oos	0.028435	0.027899	-1.88%	0.02219	-21.96%	0.2340	✓	-0.27
2026-05-15	oos	0.028395	0.027893	-1.77%	0.024525	-13.63%	0.1411	✓	-0.27
2026-05-14	oos	0.02813	0.027679	-1.60%	0.02505	-10.95%	0.1108	✓	-0.25
2026-05-13	oos	0.02913	0.028627	-1.73%	0.02708	-7.04%	0.0602	✓	-0.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.02829	0.027934	-1.26%	0.026065	-7.86%	0.0759	✓	-0.14
2026-05-11	oos	0.02831	0.02803	-0.99%	0.02795	-1.27%	0.0112	✓	-0.14
2026-05-10	oos	0.02791	0.027765	-0.52%	0.02865	+2.65%	0.0243	✗	-0.12
2026-05-09	oos	0.02927	0.029	-0.92%	0.028435	-2.85%	0.0213	✓	-0.05
2026-05-08	oos	0.02942	0.029132	-0.98%	0.028395	-3.48%	0.0114	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.0303	0.029951	-1.15%	0.02813	-7.16%	0.0761	✓	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.03002	0.029799	-0.73%	0.02913	-2.96%	0.0040	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.03032	0.030058	-0.86%	0.02829	-6.70%	0.0554	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.03088	0.030547	-1.08%	0.02831	-8.32%	0.0993	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.03038	0.030132	-0.82%	0.02791	-8.13%	0.1219	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.03163	0.031379	-0.79%	0.02927	-7.46%	0.0944	✓	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.03198	0.031748	-0.73%	0.02942	-8.01%	0.1008	✓	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.0334	0.032927	-1.42%	0.0303	-9.28%	0.1305	✓	1.00
2026-04-29	oos	0.03484	0.034175	-1.91%	0.03002	-13.83%	0.2020	✓	1.00
2026-04-28	oos	0.03428	0.033725	-1.62%	0.03032	-11.55%	0.1648	✓	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.03521	0.034684	-1.49%	0.03088	-12.30%	0.1478	✓	1.00
2026-04-26	oos	0.03492	0.034648	-0.78%	0.03038	-13.00%	0.1300	✓	1.00
2026-04-25	oos	0.036055	0.03561	-1.23%	0.03163	-12.27%	0.1317	✓	1.00
2026-04-24	oos	0.03568	0.0353	-1.07%	0.03198	-10.37%	0.1087	✓	1.00
2026-04-23	oos	0.03717	0.036844	-0.88%	0.0334	-10.14%	0.0726	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.03588	0.035664	-0.60%	0.03484	-2.90%	0.0085	✗	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.034745	0.034376	-1.06%	0.03428	-1.34%	0.0024	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.03388	0.033549	-0.98%	0.03521	+3.93%	0.0288	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.03534	0.034671	-1.89%	0.03492	-1.19%	0.0565	✓	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.03528	0.034833	-1.27%	0.036055	+2.20%	0.0095	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.