QUAI

Quai Network · native · gru_s2

token id: #972
symbol: QUAI
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-09
predictions: 561

Track record at +30d

assessed

157

of 187 predictions shown

direction hit

85.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3361

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0210

actual -0.2561

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00768	0.00732	-4.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-20	oos	0.008005	0.007635	-4.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.00846	0.007913	-6.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-18	oos	0.008665	0.008006	-7.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.008945	0.008278	-7.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-16	oos	0.008945	0.008345	-6.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-15	oos	0.00905	0.008488	-6.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-14	oos	0.00887	0.008363	-5.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-13	oos	0.00902	0.008473	-6.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-12	oos	0.00913	0.00861	-5.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-11	oos	0.009625	0.008972	-6.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-10	oos	0.009735	0.00906	-6.93%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-09	oos	0.00943	0.0088	-6.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-08	oos	0.009405	0.008822	-6.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-07	oos	0.00934	0.008705	-6.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-06	oos	0.00993	0.009039	-8.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-05	oos	0.010215	0.009205	-9.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.01106	0.009835	-11.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-03	oos	0.011445	0.010153	-11.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-02	oos	0.010955	0.009725	-11.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-01	oos	0.01027	0.009105	-11.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-09-30	oos	0.01042	0.009415	-9.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-09-29	oos	0.010775	0.009809	-8.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-09-28	oos	0.01136	0.010424	-8.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-09-27	oos	0.01082	0.00988	-8.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-09-26	oos	0.011225	0.010271	-8.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-09-25	oos	0.01026	0.009474	-7.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-09-24	oos	0.01001	0.009219	-7.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-09-23	oos	0.01013	0.009378	-7.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-09-22	oos	0.00994	0.009192	-7.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.009705	0.008989	-7.38%	0.00768	-20.87%	0.1121	✓	0.98
2026-09-20	oos	0.008555	0.008025	-6.19%	0.008005	-6.43%	0.0222	✓	0.91
2026-09-19	oos	0.00871	0.008151	-6.42%	0.00846	-2.87%	0.0305	✓	0.90
2026-09-18	oos	0.0087	0.0081	-6.90%	0.008665	-0.40%	0.0553	✓	0.88
2026-09-17	oos	0.00864	0.008173	-5.40%	0.008945	+3.53%	0.0316	✓	0.92
2026-09-16	oos	0.00867	0.008256	-4.78%	0.008945	+3.17%	0.0188	✓	0.90
2026-09-15	oos	0.008835	0.008445	-4.42%	0.00905	+2.43%	0.0009	✓	0.82
2026-09-14	oos	0.00871	0.008206	-5.79%	0.00887	+1.84%	0.0419	✓	0.85
2026-09-13	oos	0.008925	0.008553	-4.17%	0.00902	+1.06%	0.0164	✓	0.88
2026-09-12	oos	0.009815	0.009436	-3.86%	0.00913	-6.98%	0.0810	✓	0.85
2026-09-11	oos	0.01011	0.009789	-3.18%	0.009625	-4.80%	0.0838	✓	0.83
2026-09-10	oos	0.01064	0.010362	-2.61%	0.009735	-8.51%	0.1274	✓	0.81
2026-09-09	oos	0.011305	0.010924	-3.37%	0.00943	-16.59%	0.1888	✓	0.79
2026-09-08	oos	0.01114	0.010837	-2.72%	0.009405	-15.57%	0.1732	✓	0.78
2026-09-07	oos	0.012835	0.012559	-2.15%	0.00934	-27.23%	0.3348	✓	0.75
2026-09-06	oos	0.010785	0.010705	-0.74%	0.00993	-7.93%	0.1303	✓	0.88
2026-09-05	oos	0.01086	0.01069	-1.57%	0.010215	-5.94%	0.1080	✓	0.88
2026-09-04	oos	0.009735	0.009635	-1.02%	0.01106	+13.61%	0.0685	✗	0.84
2026-09-03	oos	0.00832	0.008449	+1.56%	0.011445	+37.56%	0.2624	✓	0.98
2026-09-02	oos	0.007485	0.007823	+4.51%	0.010955	+46.36%	0.2627	✓	0.83
2026-09-01	oos	0.00795	0.008334	+4.83%	0.01027	+29.18%	0.1323	✓	0.83
2026-08-31	oos	0.00855	0.008928	+4.42%	0.01042	+21.87%	0.1062	✓	0.79
2026-08-30	oos	0.00885	0.00928	+4.86%	0.010775	+21.75%	0.0957	✓	0.72
2026-08-29	oos	0.00897	0.009402	+4.81%	0.01136	+26.64%	0.1432	✓	0.71
2026-08-28	oos	0.00944	0.009754	+3.32%	0.01082	+14.62%	0.0456	✓	0.71
2026-08-27	oos	0.01052	0.010631	+1.05%	0.011225	+6.70%	0.0218	✓	0.65
2026-08-26	oos	0.010015	0.010076	+0.60%	0.01026	+2.45%	0.0207	✗	0.63
2026-08-25	oos	0.01113	0.011069	-0.55%	0.01001	-10.06%	0.1468	✓	0.64
2026-08-24	oos	0.011615	0.011513	-0.88%	0.01013	-12.79%	0.1716	✓	0.66
2026-08-23	oos	0.0117	0.011625	-0.64%	0.00994	-15.04%	0.2222	✓	0.63
2026-08-22	oos	0.01178	0.011767	-0.11%	0.009705	-17.61%	0.2665	✓	0.63
2026-08-21	oos	0.01197	0.012025	+0.46%	0.008555	-28.53%	0.3631	✗	0.64
2026-08-20	oos	0.01205	0.012052	+0.01%	0.00871	-27.72%	0.3971	✗	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	0.01204	0.01155	-4.07%	0.0087	-27.74%	0.3942	✓	0.72
2026-08-18	oos	0.01198	0.010998	-8.20%	0.00864	-27.88%	0.3745	✓	0.80
2026-08-17	oos	0.01165	0.01082	-7.13%	0.00867	-25.58%	0.3565	✓	0.81
2026-08-16	oos	0.01158	0.011031	-4.74%	0.008835	-23.70%	0.3733	✓	0.82
2026-08-15	oos	0.0113	0.010782	-4.59%	0.00871	-22.92%	0.3905	✓	0.82
2026-08-14	oos	0.0115	0.011086	-3.60%	0.008925	-22.39%	0.3791	✓	0.82
2026-08-13	oos	0.01156	0.011122	-3.79%	0.009815	-15.10%	0.2853	✓	0.81
2026-08-12	oos	0.01099	0.010608	-3.48%	0.01011	-8.01%	0.2009	✓	0.78
2026-08-11	oos	0.01114	0.010738	-3.60%	0.01064	-4.49%	0.1468	✓	0.74
2026-08-10	oos	0.0117	0.011236	-3.97%	0.011305	-3.38%	0.1386	✓	0.71
2026-08-09	oos	0.011925	0.011342	-4.89%	0.01114	-6.58%	0.1523	✓	0.71
2026-08-08	oos	0.01185	0.011251	-5.05%	0.012835	+8.31%	0.0070	✓	0.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01186	0.011245	-5.19%	0.010785	-9.06%	0.1833	✓	0.66
2026-08-06	oos	0.01172	0.011275	-3.80%	0.01086	-7.34%	0.1800	✓	0.66
2026-08-05	oos	0.01149	0.010963	-4.58%	0.009735	-15.27%	0.2566	✓	0.66
2026-08-04	oos	0.011625	0.011076	-4.72%	0.00832	-28.43%	0.4396	✓	0.64
2026-08-03	oos	0.01136	0.011054	-2.69%	0.007485	-34.11%	0.5147	✓	0.63
2026-08-02	oos	0.01228	0.011799	-3.92%	0.00795	-35.26%	0.5192	✓	0.63
2026-08-01	oos	0.01225	0.011977	-2.22%	0.00855	-30.20%	0.4798	✓	0.64
2026-07-31	oos	0.0117	0.011747	+0.40%	0.00885	-24.36%	0.4172	✗	0.63
2026-07-30	oos	0.012245	0.012278	+0.27%	0.00897	-26.75%	0.4304	✗	0.61
2026-07-29	oos	0.01324	0.013157	-0.63%	0.00944	-28.70%	0.4519	✓	0.61
2026-07-28	oos	0.01399	0.013833	-1.12%	0.01052	-24.80%	0.4112	✓	0.60
2026-07-27	oos	0.014	0.013946	-0.39%	0.010015	-28.46%	0.4592	✓	0.59
2026-07-26	oos	0.0157	0.015484	-1.37%	0.01113	-29.11%	0.4268	✓	0.53
2026-07-25	oos	0.01522	0.015171	-0.32%	0.011615	-23.69%	0.3687	✓	0.49
2026-07-24	oos	0.01478	0.014877	+0.66%	0.0117	-20.84%	0.3314	✗	0.47
2026-07-23	oos	0.01689	0.016449	-2.61%	0.01178	-30.25%	0.4055	✓	0.42
2026-07-22	oos	0.01692	0.016574	-2.04%	0.01197	-29.26%	0.3998	✓	0.44
2026-07-21	oos	0.017105	0.016747	-2.10%	0.01205	-29.55%	0.3702	✓	0.44
2026-07-20	oos	0.017445	0.016815	-3.61%	0.01204	-30.98%	0.3633	✓	0.48
2026-07-19	oos	0.01711	0.016418	-4.05%	0.01198	-29.98%	0.3151	✓	0.48
2026-07-18	oos	0.018425	0.01724	-6.43%	0.01165	-36.77%	0.3898	✓	0.44
2026-07-17	oos	0.01856	0.017174	-7.47%	0.01158	-37.61%	0.3871	✓	0.42
2026-07-16	oos	0.02	0.017994	-10.03%	0.0113	-43.50%	0.4602	✓	0.42
2026-07-15	oos	0.017275	0.015463	-10.49%	0.0115	-33.43%	0.2817	✓	0.53
2026-07-14	oos	0.01913	0.016831	-12.02%	0.01156	-39.57%	0.3622	✓	0.55
2026-07-13	oos	0.01347	0.012801	-4.97%	0.01099	-18.41%	0.1533	✓	0.04
2026-07-12	oos	0.017125	0.015549	-9.20%	0.01114	-34.95%	0.3339	✓	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.03125	0.026623	-14.81%	0.0117	-62.56%	0.8220	✓	-0.09
2026-07-10	oos	0.01315	0.013318	+1.28%	0.011925	-9.32%	0.1108	✗	0.03
2026-07-09	oos	0.01353	0.013634	+0.77%	0.01185	-12.42%	0.1412	✗	0.04
2026-07-08	oos	0.01271	0.013084	+2.94%	0.01186	-6.69%	0.0966	✗	-0.04
2026-07-07	oos	0.011975	0.01246	+4.05%	0.01172	-2.13%	0.0612	✗	-0.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.01265	0.013025	+2.97%	0.01149	-9.17%	0.1253	✗	-0.02
2026-07-05	oos	0.012875	0.013236	+2.81%	0.011625	-9.71%	0.1297	✗	-0.01
2026-07-04	oos	0.012325	0.012852	+4.28%	0.01136	-7.83%	0.1232	✗	-0.03
2026-07-03	oos	0.01201	0.012718	+5.89%	0.01228	+2.25%	0.0344	✓	-0.04
2026-07-02	oos	0.01109	0.011986	+8.08%	0.01225	+10.46%	0.0238	✓	-0.10
2026-07-01	oos	0.01479	0.014351	-2.97%	0.0117	-20.89%	0.2108	✓	0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.01018	0.010997	+8.02%	0.012245	+20.28%	0.1270	✓	-0.19
2026-06-29	oos	0.00911	0.010251	+12.52%	0.01324	+45.33%	0.2613	✓	-0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.01023	0.011182	+9.31%	0.01399	+36.75%	0.2271	✓	-0.04
2026-06-27	oos	0.00951	0.010429	+9.66%	0.014	+47.21%	0.2962	✓	-0.03
2026-06-26	oos	0.009675	0.010524	+8.78%	0.0157	+62.27%	0.4023	✓	-0.03
2026-06-25	oos	0.00951	0.010229	+7.56%	0.01522	+60.04%	0.4000	✓	-0.04
2026-06-24	oos	0.01045	0.010957	+4.85%	0.01478	+41.44%	0.3037	✓	-0.09
2026-06-23	oos	0.011	0.011227	+2.06%	0.01689	+53.55%	0.4130	✓	-0.12
2026-06-22	oos	0.01209	0.012073	-0.14%	0.01692	+39.95%	0.3433	✗	-0.18
2026-06-21	oos	0.012145	0.012212	+0.55%	0.017105	+40.84%	0.3462	✓	-0.18
2026-06-20	oos	0.0117	0.01171	+0.08%	0.017445	+49.10%	0.4010	✓	-0.16
2026-06-19	oos	0.012535	0.012606	+0.57%	0.01711	+36.50%	0.3080	✓	-0.13
2026-06-18	oos	0.01336	0.013473	+0.85%	0.018425	+37.91%	0.3164	✓	-0.11
2026-06-17	oos	0.01238	0.012335	-0.36%	0.01856	+49.92%	0.4082	✗	-0.04
2026-06-16	oos	0.012045	0.011994	-0.43%	0.02	+66.04%	0.5110	✗	-0.01
2026-06-15	oos	0.01288	0.012792	-0.68%	0.017275	+34.12%	0.2997	✗	-0.03
2026-06-14	oos	0.0134	0.013304	-0.71%	0.01913	+42.76%	0.3630	✗	-0.02
2026-06-13	oos	0.013745	0.013651	-0.68%	0.01347	-2.00%	0.0137	✓	-0.01
2026-06-12	oos	0.01485	0.014753	-0.65%	0.017125	+15.32%	0.1490	✗	0.03
2026-06-11	oos	0.01551	0.015338	-1.11%	0.03125	+101.48%	0.7116	✗	0.03
2026-06-10	oos	0.015425	0.015436	+0.07%	0.01315	-14.75%	0.1605	✗	0.01
2026-06-09	oos	0.017045	0.016868	-1.04%	0.01353	-20.62%	0.2206	✓	0.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01797	0.017555	-2.31%	0.01271	-29.27%	0.3234	✓	-0.03
2026-06-07	oos	0.01781	0.017308	-2.82%	0.011975	-32.76%	0.3683	✓	-0.03
2026-06-06	oos	0.01793	0.017372	-3.11%	0.01265	-29.45%	0.3151	✓	-0.04
2026-06-05	oos	0.01961	0.01868	-4.74%	0.012875	-34.34%	0.3704	✓	-0.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.01997	0.019034	-4.69%	0.012325	-38.28%	0.4353	✓	-0.07
2026-06-03	oos	0.02101	0.019915	-5.21%	0.01201	-42.84%	0.5074	✓	-0.07
2026-06-02	oos	0.02153	0.020617	-4.24%	0.01109	-48.49%	0.6286	✓	-0.11
2026-06-01	oos	0.02205	0.021055	-4.51%	0.01479	-32.93%	0.3896	✓	-0.21
2026-05-31	oos	0.022435	0.02119	-5.55%	0.01018	-54.62%	0.7897	✓	-0.25
2026-05-30	oos	0.02147	0.020311	-5.40%	0.00911	-57.57%	0.8498	✓	-0.24
2026-05-29	oos	0.02236	0.02107	-5.77%	0.01023	-54.25%	0.7695	✓	-0.22
2026-05-28	oos	0.0211	0.019884	-5.76%	0.00951	-54.93%	0.7809	✓	-0.21
2026-05-27	oos	0.02166	0.020375	-5.93%	0.009675	-55.33%	0.7937	✓	-0.23
2026-05-26	oos	0.023105	0.021575	-6.62%	0.00951	-58.84%	0.8973	✓	-0.33
2026-05-25	oos	0.02212	0.020727	-6.30%	0.01045	-52.76%	0.7451	✓	-0.25
2026-05-24	oos	0.023125	0.02181	-5.69%	0.011	-52.43%	0.7359	✓	-0.25
2026-05-23	oos	0.02219	0.021185	-4.53%	0.01209	-45.52%	0.6081	✓	-0.26
2026-05-22	oos	0.024525	0.023512	-4.13%	0.012145	-50.48%	0.6884	✓	-0.16
2026-05-21	oos	0.02505	0.023763	-5.14%	0.0117	-53.29%	0.7470	✓	-0.20
2026-05-20	oos	0.02708	0.025521	-5.76%	0.012535	-53.71%	0.7528	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.026065	0.024684	-5.30%	0.01336	-48.74%	0.6616	✓	-0.24
2026-05-18	oos	0.02795	0.02624	-6.12%	0.01238	-55.71%	0.7976	✓	-0.26
2026-05-17	oos	0.02865	0.026891	-6.14%	0.012045	-57.96%	0.8490	✓	-0.28
2026-05-16	oos	0.028435	0.026995	-5.06%	0.01288	-54.70%	0.7841	✓	-0.27
2026-05-15	oos	0.028395	0.027441	-3.36%	0.0134	-52.81%	0.7660	✓	-0.27
2026-05-14	oos	0.02813	0.027937	-0.69%	0.013745	-51.14%	0.7663	✓	-0.25
2026-05-13	oos	0.02913	0.028287	-2.89%	0.01485	-49.02%	0.6884	✓	-0.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.02829	0.02805	-0.85%	0.01551	-45.17%	0.6258	✓	-0.14
2026-05-11	oos	0.02831	0.028327	+0.06%	0.015425	-45.51%	0.6470	✗	-0.14
2026-05-10	oos	0.02791	0.027859	-0.18%	0.017045	-38.93%	0.5250	✓	-0.12
2026-05-09	oos	0.02927	0.029232	-0.13%	0.01797	-38.61%	0.4988	✓	-0.05
2026-05-08	oos	0.02942	0.029375	-0.15%	0.01781	-39.46%	0.2639	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.0303	0.030146	-0.51%	0.01793	-40.83%	0.2459	✓	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.03002	0.02951	-1.70%	0.01961	-34.68%	0.1202	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.03032	0.029713	-2.00%	0.01997	-34.14%	0.1599	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.03088	0.030024	-2.77%	0.02101	-31.96%	0.1363	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.03038	0.029343	-3.41%	0.02153	-29.13%	0.1453	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.03163	0.030686	-2.99%	0.02205	-30.29%	0.2322	✓	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.03198	0.031043	-2.93%	0.022435	-29.85%	0.2634	✓	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.0334	0.032339	-3.18%	0.02147	-35.72%	0.3758	✓	1.00
2026-04-29	oos	0.03484	0.033488	-3.88%	0.02236	-35.82%	0.3719	✓	1.00
2026-04-28	oos	0.03428	0.033293	-2.88%	0.0211	-38.45%	0.4186	✓	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.03521	0.034488	-2.05%	0.02166	-38.48%	0.4250	✓	1.00
2026-04-26	oos	0.03492	0.034577	-0.98%	0.023105	-33.83%	0.3663	✓	1.00
2026-04-25	oos	0.036055	0.035437	-1.71%	0.02212	-38.65%	0.4661	✓	1.00
2026-04-24	oos	0.03568	0.034967	-2.00%	0.023125	-35.19%	0.4072	✓	1.00
2026-04-23	oos	0.03717	0.036453	-1.93%	0.02219	-40.30%	0.4753	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.03588	0.035198	-1.90%	0.024525	-31.65%	0.3253	✓	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.034745	0.033552	-3.43%	0.02505	-27.90%	0.3078	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.03388	0.032688	-3.52%	0.02708	-20.07%	0.2092	✓	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.03534	0.03336	-5.60%	0.026065	-26.25%	0.2859	✓	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.03528	0.034199	-3.06%	0.02795	-20.78%	0.2176	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.