PROLOGUE

Prologue · Robinhood · gru_s2

token id: #747
symbol: PROLOGUE
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0xb9972ca7188e511174947e3936a5315ac7073277
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-30
predictions: 132

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 44 predictions shown

direction hit

64.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2354

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0283

actual -0.1660

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.001409	0.001412	+0.14%	–	pending	–	–	3.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.001988	0.001988	-0.02%	–	pending	–	–	3.49
2026-10-19	oos	0.003266	0.003241	-0.77%	–	pending	–	–	3.86
2026-10-18	oos	0.003638	0.003611	-0.72%	–	pending	–	–	3.84
2026-10-17	oos	0.003952	0.003951	-0.03%	–	pending	–	–	3.88
2026-10-16	oos	0.004829	0.004757	-1.50%	–	pending	–	–	3.85
2026-10-15	oos	0.005071	0.004977	-1.85%	–	pending	–	–	3.85
2026-10-14	oos	0.004854	0.004825	-0.60%	0.001409	-70.96%	1.2834	✓	3.84
2026-10-13	oos	0.004327	0.004398	+1.64%	0.001988	-54.06%	0.7860	✗	4.08
2026-10-12	oos	0.004935	0.004962	+0.55%	0.003266	-33.82%	0.4232	✗	4.25
2026-10-11	oos	0.005705	0.005549	-2.74%	0.003638	-36.25%	0.3378	✓	4.19
2026-10-10	oos	0.004834	0.004913	+1.64%	0.003952	-18.24%	0.1408	✗	4.13
2026-10-09	oos	0.004975	0.005057	+1.66%	0.004829	-2.92%	0.0065	✓	4.13
2026-10-08	oos	0.005437	0.005455	+0.33%	0.005071	-6.74%	0.0952	✗	4.20
2026-10-07	oos	0.005456	0.005414	-0.77%	0.004854	-11.03%	0.0195	✓	4.32
2026-10-06	oos	0.005941	0.005748	-3.25%	0.004327	-27.17%	0.1566	✓	4.41
2026-10-05	oos	0.005721	0.005602	-2.09%	0.004935	-13.74%	0.0854	✗	4.43
2026-10-04	oos	0.005961	0.005819	-2.39%	0.005705	-4.29%	0.1280	✗	4.44
2026-10-03	oos	0.005959	0.005885	-1.25%	0.004834	-18.89%	0.0976	✓	4.54
2026-10-02	oos	0.006944	0.006698	-3.55%	0.004975	-28.36%	0.1907	✓	4.54
2026-10-01	oos	0.007509	0.007105	-5.38%	0.005437	-27.59%	0.0962	✓	4.52
2026-09-30	oos	0.008083	0.007518	-6.99%	0.005456	-32.51%	0.3051	✓	4.65
2026-09-29	oos	0.007228	0.006851	-5.22%	0.005941	-17.80%	0.2476	✓	4.68
2026-09-28	oos	0.00827	0.007699	-6.90%	0.005721	-30.82%	0.3241	✓	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.00852	0.007931	-6.92%	0.005961	-30.03%	0.3093	✓	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.00893	0.008349	-6.51%	0.005959	-33.27%	0.3411	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.010942	0.010199	-6.79%	0.006944	-36.54%	0.3893	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.01306	0.012221	-6.42%	0.007509	-42.50%	0.4925	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.011093	0.010476	-5.56%	0.008083	-27.13%	0.2495	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.010161	0.009829	-3.26%	0.007228	-28.86%	0.2772	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.010187	0.009852	-3.29%	0.00827	-18.82%	0.1381	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.008994	0.008422	-6.36%	0.00852	-5.27%	0.0283	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.008861	0.008311	-6.21%	0.00893	+0.78%	0.0335	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.00998	0.009274	-7.07%	0.010942	+9.64%	0.1264	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.008086	0.007684	-4.97%	0.01306	+61.51%	0.4303	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.007527	0.007274	-3.36%	0.011093	+47.38%	0.3193	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.00747	0.007325	-1.94%	0.010161	+36.02%	0.1959	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.009209	0.008973	-2.56%	0.010187	+10.62%	0.0246	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.007935	0.007902	-0.42%	0.008994	+13.35%	0.0742	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.008396	0.008311	-1.01%	0.008861	+5.54%	0.0140	✗	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.008184	0.008172	-0.15%	0.00998	+21.94%	0.1535	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.00674	0.006958	+3.24%	0.008086	+19.97%	0.1526	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.007021	0.007265	+3.47%	0.007527	+7.20%	0.0631	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.009219	0.00921	-0.10%	0.00747	-18.97%	0.1722	✓	1.00